The aim of this study was to analyze the predictability of virtual surgical planning of mandibular reconstruction by osteogenic distraction (OD) with a custom-made osteogenic distraction device (DEOS) after ballistic trauma and to make recommendations to mitigate potential sources of discrepancy. This retrospective study involved 12 patients who were victims of facial mandibular ballistic trauma and were reconstructed with osteogenic distraction with a DEOS device. Postoperative images were compared to the planned situation by means of several measures made in two plans: distraction plane and frontal plane. The mean bone loss was 54.2mm. The anteroposterior difference was systematically inferior or equal postoperatively (10.8mm). The interrami angle difference in the frontal plane was positive, with an average of 4.8°. There was a significant negative correlation in univariate analysis between the antero-posterior difference measurement and the difference of the interrami angle in distraction. A significant difference between the planning and postoperative results was shown, explained by the device being too adjustable leading to the loosening of the locking screws of the device. A static analysis showed that there are significant rotational forces at the carriages, which can lead to the loosening of the locking elements. It is then proposed that the device be optimized by customization of some elements.