We present a multiphysics model of the High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor for comparison with past and predict future loss-of-forced-cooling (LOFC) experiments. The approach selected combines (1) 3-D full-core superhomogenization-corrected neutronics, (2) 3-D full-core homogenized or semi-heterogeneous heat transfer (macroscale), (3) 2-D axisymmetric fuel rod heat transfer (pin-scale), and (4) 1-D thermal-hydraulics channels. Although large uncertainties remain, the time and magnitude of the first power peak after re-criticality is predicted within 1.5 h and 175 kW, respectively. The novelty of our work includes (1) a new macroscale/pin-scale heat transfer coupling approach relying on gap conductance to drastically speed up numerical convergence by two orders of magnitude, (2) determination of a radial effective thermal conductivity, reproducing the semi-heterogeneous re-criticality time within one hour using a homogenized macroscale model, and (3) a preliminary study of the reactor’s early behavior following a LOFC event, enabling further assessment of numerical models against fission power measurements.
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