Long-term Slip Rate Research Articles

Evidence of long recurrence times and low slip rate along the 1668 Tancheng earthquake fault

Fault slip rates and recurrence intervals of large earthquakes for active faults are important parameters for better understanding active faults and assessing their seismic hazard. The Tanlu fault, located in the densely populated and economically developed area of eastern China is thought to be the source of the M 7 Anqiu earthquake in 70 BC, and M 8½ Tancheng earthquake in 1668. Understanding the recurrence interval of paleoearthquakes and fault slip rates for the Tancheng earthquake fault is critical for assessing the potential for seismic risk and assessment for the Tanlu fault. However, the only published study used several trenches and a single trench does not completely record the sequence of paleoearthquake events, leaving a large uncertainty of seismic hazard. GPS observations in North China show that there is no significant velocity gradient across the Tanlu fault, yet the long-term slip rate of the Tancheng segment of the fault is estimated to be significantly higher, up to 2 mm/a. Therefore, it is critical to conduct further research on the paleoearthquake history and slip rates of this fault segment to reconcile these contrasting results. In this study, we utilize aerial photographs and high-resolution satellite imagery, combined with field investigations of a surface rupture formed by the 1668 earthquake. The earthquake rupture is ~80 m long and ~2.5 m high, located in the Huaqiao village of northeastern Tancheng County. A gully across the rupture reveals a right lateral dislocation of approximately 36 m. We excavated two trenches on both sides of the rupture. Trench 1 reveals a positive flower structure and is consistent with a right lateral strike-slip fault with a thrust component consistent with the modern regional stress field. Trench 2 reveals a colluvial wedge formed by the latest paleoearthquake with a fine-grained deposit overlapping the colluvial wedge. The latest paleoearthquake should occur prior to deposition of the fine-grained deposit. AMS-14C radiocarbon dating was used to determine the age of the event and is approximately 12.8 +4.0/−3.7 ka, indicating a recurrence interval of large earthquakes greater than 10 ka, consistent with the results from other segments of the Tanlu fault. Combined with an average slip of ~9 m for the 1668 Tancheng earthquake, the dextral slip rate along the Tancheng earthquake fault since the end of the late Pleistocene is estimated to be 0.7 mm/a, consistent with low interseismic strain accumulation based on geodetic observations across the North China region.

Sunda and Sumatra Block Motion in ITRF2008

The Southeast Asia region is mostly surrounded by active subduction zones in which the Australian plate, the Indian plate, and the Philippine Sea plate submerges beneath the continental plates and blocks. The Sunda block covers the large part of the Southeast Asia region, which comprises of Indochina, the South China Sea, the northeastern part of Sumatra, Borneo, the northern part of Java, and the shallow seas in between. We collect the GPS data in the whole Southeast Asia region for the period from 1994 to 2016, and process the original carrier phase data of GPS using GAMIT/GLOBK 10.6 to obtain the velocity field in the International Terrestrial Reference Frame, ITRF2008. The velocity field thus obtained is utilized to update the Euler rotation parameters of the Sunda block in ITRF2008, and model the long-term slip rates between the adjacent plate and blocks. In this study, we model the Sunda block and the Sumatra block together with the Australian plate by using TDEFNODE. The estimated Euler pole parameters of the Sumatra and Sunda blocks are estimated as their locations at (37.4°S, 106.8°E) and (46.2°N, 89.4°W), respectively, and their angular velocities of 0.371°/Myr clockwise, and 0.327°/Myr counter clockwise, respectively. These parameters result in the slip rate of the Sumatra fault with magnitude of ~9 mm/yr.

A new geological slip rate estimate for the Calico Fault, eastern California: implications for geodetic versus geologic rate estimates in the Eastern California Shear Zone

ABSTRACTAccurate estimation of fault slip rate is fundamental to seismic hazard assessment. Previous work suggested a discrepancy between short-term geodetic and long-term geologic slip rates in the Mojave Desert section of the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ). Understanding the origin of this discrepancy can improve understanding of earthquake hazard and fault evolution. We measured offsets in alluvial fans along the Calico Fault near Newberry Springs, California, and used several techniques to date the offset landforms and determine a slip rate. Our preferred slip rate estimate is 3.2 ± 0.4 mm/yr, representing an average over the last few hundred thousand years, faster than previous estimates. Seismic hazard associated with this fault may therefore be higher than previously assumed. We discuss possible biases in the various slip rate estimates and discuss possible reasons for the rate discrepancy. We suggest that the ECSZ discrepancy is an artefact of limited data, and represents a combination of faster slip on the Calico Fault, off-fault deformation, unmapped fault strands, and uncertainties in the geologic rates that have been underestimated. Assuming our new rate estimate is correct and a fair amount (40%) of off-fault deformation occurs on major ECSZ faults, the summed geologic rate estimate across the Mojave section of the ECSZ is 10.5 ± 3.1 mm/yr, which is equivalent within uncertainties to the geodetic rate estimate.

Interseismic Coupling and Slow Slip Events on the Cascadia Megathrust

In this study, we model geodetic strain accumulation along the Cascadia subduction zone between 2007.0 and 2017.632 using position time series from 352 continuous GPS stations. First, we use the secular linear motion to determine interseismic locking along the megathrust. We determine two end member models, assuming that the megathrust is either a priori locked or creeping, which differ essentially along the trench where the inversion is poorly constrained by the data. In either case, significant locking of the megathrust updip of the coastline is needed. The downdip limit of the locked portion lies ∼ 20–80 km updip from the coast assuming a locked a priori, but very close to the coast for a creeping a priori. Second, we use a variational Bayesian Independent Component Analysis (vbICA) decomposition to model geodetic strain time variations, an approach which is effective to separate the geodetic strain signal due to non-tectonic and tectonic sources. The Slow Slip Events (SSEs) kinematics is retrieved by linearly inverting for slip on the megathrust the Independent Components related to these transient phenomena. The procedure allows the detection and modelling of 64 SSEs which spatially and temporally match with the tremors activity. SEEs and tremors occur well inland from the coastline and follow closely the estimated location of the mantle wedge corner. The transition zone, between the locked portion of the megathrust and the zone of tremors, is creeping rather steadily at the long-term slip rate and probably buffers the effect of SSEs on the megathrust seismogenic portion.

Evidence of recent ruptures in the central faults of the Acambay Graben (central Mexico)

The Acambay Graben, within the central part of the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, is one of the major sources of continental earthquakes in Mexico. To date, the activity and paleoseismological history of the axial faults of the graben are not well constrained. We provide morphological, structural and sedimentological evidence of the seismogenic nature of two of the axial structures, the Temascalcingo and the Tepuxtepec fault systems. Faults consist of multiple parallel scarps with en echelon and horse-splay patterns. Fault systems extend for 60 km and displace Quaternary to Upper Miocene volcanic edifices and volcano-sedimentary materials. Surface lengths of individual fault traces range between 3 and 25 km, and observed throws reach a minimum of 150–200 m. The long-term and short-term slip rate of the Temascalcingo fault system in the studied section presents similar values, ranging from 0.06 ± 0.02 (minimum long term) to 0.12 ± 0.02 mm y−1 (maximum value of average short-term). Only the long-term slip rate of the Tepuxtepec system could be constrained in 0.01–0.02 mm/y, being a minimum estimate. The Holocene fault rupture history at two sites provided evidence of six ruptures since 12,500–11,195 BCE, among which three ruptures should have occurred between 11,847 ± 652 BCE and 11,425 ± 465 BCE Variable single event displacements (SEDs, between 6 and 77) are interpreted as the result of fault interdependences and/or the interaction with the latest volcanic activity. Also, small displacements triggered by activity on other faults probably contributed to slip variability, i.e., faults display primary and secondary behavior.

Persistent rupture terminations at a restraining bend from slip rates on the eastern Altyn Tagh fault

Restraining double-bends along strike-slip faults inhibit or permit throughgoing ruptures depending on bend angle, length, and prior rupture history. Modeling predicts that for mature strike-slip faults in a regional stress regime characterized by simple shear, a restraining bend of >18° and >4 km length impedes propagating rupture. Indeed, natural evidence shows that the most recent rupture(s) of the Xorkoli section (90°–93°E) of the eastern Altyn Tagh fault (ATF) ended at large restraining bends. However, when multiple seismic cycles are considered in numerical dynamic rupture modeling, heterogeneous residual stresses enable some ruptures to propagate further, modulating whether the bends persistently serve as barriers. These models remain to be tested using observations of the cumulative effects of multiple earthquake ruptures. Here we investigate whether a large restraining double-bend on the ATF serves consistently as a barrier to rupture by measuring long-term slip rates around the terminus of its most recent surface rupture at the Aksay bend. Our results show a W—E decline in slip as the SATF enters the bend, as would be predicted from repeated rupture terminations there. Prior work demonstrated no Holocene slip on the central, most misoriented portion of the bend, while 19–79 m offsets suggest that multiple ruptures have occurred on the west side of the bend during the Holocene. Thus we conclude the gradient in the SATF's slip rate results from the repeated termination of earthquake ruptures there. However, a finite slip rate east of the bend represents the transmission of some slip, suggesting that a small fraction of ruptures may fully traverse or jump the double-bend. This agreement between natural observations of slip accumulation and multi-cycle models of fault rupture enables us to translate observed slip rates into insight about the dynamic rupture process of individual earthquakes as they encounter geometric complexities along faults.

Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Nepal using multiple seismic source models

The potential for devastating earthquakes in the Himalayan orogeny has long been recognized. The 2015 MW7.8 Gorkha, Nepal earthquake has heightened the likelihood that major earthquakes will occur along this orogenic belt in the future. Reliable seismic hazard assessment is a critical element in development of policy for seismic hazard mitigation and risk reduction. In this study, we conduct probabilistic seismic hazard assessment using three different seismogenic source models (smoothed gridded, linear, and areal sources) based on the complicated tectonics of the study area. Two sets of ground motion prediction equations are combined in a standard logic tree by taking into account the epistemic uncertainties in hazard estimation. Long-term slip rates and paleoseismic records are also incorporated in the linear source model. Peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration at 0.2 s and 1.0 s for 2% and 10% probabilities of exceedance in 50 years are estimated. The resulting maps show significant spatial variation in seismic hazard levels. The region of the Lesser Himalaya is found to have high seismic hazard potential. Along the Main Himalayan Thrust from east to west beneath the Main Central Thrust, large earthquakes have occurred regularly in history; hazard values in this region are found to be higher than those shown on existing hazard maps. In essence, the combination of long span earthquake catalogs and multiple seismogenic source models gives improved seismic hazard constraints in Nepal.

Late quaternary slip rates and vectors on the Median Tectonic Line active fault zone in eastern Shikoku, southwest Japan

The Median Tectonic Line active fault zone (MTLAFZ) extends for about 190 km through Shikoku, southwest Japan. Though the MTLAFZ is the most significant onshore active tectonic feature in southwest Japan, its late Quaternary slip rate has been estimated at only a few locations with reasonable references and ages. Better information on this feature's recent slip rates is critical to understanding the ongoing tectonic processes in the region and evaluating the seismic risk of this fault zone. In this paper, new estimates of the late Quaternary slip rate are reported from the Ikeda and Chichio faults in the central portion of the MTLAFZ. The author mapped late Pleistocene fluvial terrace surfaces and used tephrochronology and radiocarbon dating to constrain the age, and measured offset of terrace risers. The slip vectors of both faults are similar, as derived from piercing points on the bottoms of the terrace risers. The vertical component of displacement is 2–6% of the horizontal component. Long-term slip rates during the late Quaternary were calculated at 7.8–9.1 mm/yr, which is more precise than those in the previous studies and represents the highest slip rate in the MTLAFZ. This rate is also much faster than previously reported shorter-term slip rates of geodetic study. The long-term seismic risk of large earthquakes (>M8) along the Ikeda and Chichio faults in the next 30 years are evaluated to be more than 0.4–1.9% and 0.1–3%, respectively, much higher than a previous estimate of 0–0.3%.

Elastic block and strain modeling of GPS data around the Haiyuan-Liupanshan fault, northeastern Tibetan Plateau

Based on the dense GPS velocity field in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau from 1999 to 2016, we have produced the deformation and strain characteristics of the Haiyuan fault and the Liupanshan fault. Estimated long-term slip rate along the Haiyuan-Liupanshan fault zones show a gradual decrease from 6.4 ± 1.6 mm/yr at the Tuolaishan fault to 2.9 ± 1.2 mm/yr at the Southern Liupanshan fault. Left-lateral thrusting movement was inverted for the Xiangshan-Tianjingshan fault (XS-TJS), which has an average slip rate of 2.1 ± 3.4 mm/yr during the study period. We also calculated the heterogeneous distribution of interseismic coupling along the fault zones. Our result also shows the locking depth of the Tianzhu seismic gap is ∼22 km. The slip rate deficit, the seismic moment accumulation rate, and the Coulomb stress accumulation rate are high on the fault planes, whereas the second invariant of the strain rate is low at the surface. The Liupanshan fault is locked to a depth of ∼23 km, and the corresponding seismic moment accumulation rate on the fault plane is high, while the strain rate at the surface is low. The accumulated strain along the Tianzhu seismic gap and the Liupanshan fault could be balanced by earthquakes with magnitudes of Mw7.9 and Mw7.4, considering the absence of large earthquakes over the last 1000 years and 1400 years respectively. The Haiyuan segments had ruptured during 1920 Haiyuan earthquake, and the estimated locking depth for period 1999–2016 is 5–10 km. Its seismic moment accumulation rate at depth is low and the strain rate at the surface is high. Our result indicates that 70% of the strike-slip along the Haiyuan segments transforms into thrusting along the Liupanshan fault, while the remaining 30% is related to the orogeny of the Liupanshan. For slip between the Haiyuan fault and the XS-TJS, about 27–34% of the slip is partitioned on the XS-TJS.

Evidence of active shortening along the eastern border of the San Rafael basement block: characterization of the seismic source of the Villa Atuel earthquake (1929), Mendoza province, Argentina

AbstractOn the 30 May 1929, a massive earthquake occurred in the San Rafael area (southern Mendoza province) leading to the destruction of the Villa Atuel and Las Malvinas towns. The region affected by the ground shaking covers a large part of southern South America. Although no surface breaks have been detected on the surface, several authors have pointed out active faults that could be related to the event of 1929. Using satellite imagery and field observations, we investigated two active faults situated on the eastern border of the San Rafael Block (SRB) close to or within the epicentral area. The most prominent faults are thec.40 km long Las Malvinas andc.30 km long Cerro Negro reverse faults which are located near the epicentral area. Geological and morphological observations allow us to describe late Pleistocene activity and estimate the long-term slip rates of these faults. Possible ruptures that match our observations and which are compatible with the cartographic length of these faults would account for a seismic moment magnitude ofM0= 2.8×1019N m and a moment magnitude ofMW= 6.9. The morphological signatures of these fault segments and the occurrence of the San Rafael earthquake suggests that the southern Mendoza Province is still currently submitted to shortening.

Palaeoseismology of the Havran-Balıkesir Fault Zone: evidence for past earthquakes in the strike-slip-dominated contractional deformation along the southern branches of the North Anatolian fault in northwest Turkey

The Havran-Balıkesir Fault Zone (HBFZ) is one of the major active structures of the Southern Marmara Region, which has been shaped by the southern branch of North Anatolian fault since the Pliocene. HBFZ is a 10–12 km wide, 120 km long, right-lateral strike-slip fault zone that consists of two ENE-striking main faults, namely, the Havran-Balya and Balıkesir faults. The 90-km-long Havran-Balya fault exhibits right-stepping en echelon geometry and is made up of (1) Havran, (2) Osmanlar, (3) Turplu and (4) Ovacık fault segments. On the eastern part, the 70-km-long Balıkesir fault is divided into two fault segments; (1) Gökçeyazı and (2) Kepsut. We estimated the long-term slip rate between 3.59 and 3.78 mm/yr using river offset. The Kepsut, Gökçeyazı and Ovacık fault segments are capable of generating an earthquake with a moment magnitude of up to 7.2. Detailed palaeoseismological studies show that the HBFZ is responsible for some surface faulting earthquakes with an average recurrence interval of 1000–2000 years during the late Holocene. Considering the fact that there was no evidence of a surface-ruptured earthquake for 2000 years, it can be stated that there is a seismic gap on the Gökçeyazı fault segment.

Changing exhumation patterns during Cenozoic growth and glaciation of the Alaska Range: Insights from detrital thermochronology and geochronology

Cenozoic growth of the Alaska Range created the highest topography in North America, but the space-time pattern and drivers of exhumation are poorly constrained. We analyzed U/Pb and fission-track double dates of detrital zircon and apatite grains from 12 catchments that span a 450 km length of the Alaska Range to illuminate the timing and extent of exhumation during different periods. U/Pb ages indicate a dominant Late Cretaceous to Oligocene plutonic provenance for the detrital grains, with only a small percentage of grains recycled from the Mesozoic and Paleozoic sedimentary cover. Fission-track ages record exhumation during Alaska Range growth and incision and reveal three distinctive patterns. First, initial Oligocene exhumation was focused in the central Alaska Range at ~30 Ma and expanded outward along the entire length of the range until 18 Ma. Oligocene exhumation, coeval with initial Yakutat microplate collision >600 km to the southeast, suggests a far-field response to collision that was localized by the Denali Fault within a weak Mesozoic suture zone. Second, the variable timing of middle to late Miocene exhumation suggests independently evolving histories influenced by local structures. Time-transgressive cooling ages suggest successive rock uplift and erosion of Mounts Foraker (12 Ma) through Denali (6 Ma) as crust was advected through a restraining bend in the Denali Fault and indicate a long-term slip rate ~4 mm/yr. Third, Pliocene exhumation is synchronous (3.7–2.7 Ma) along the length of the Alaska Range but only occurs in high-relief, glacier-covered catchments. Pliocene exhumation may record an acceleration in glacial incision that was coincident with the onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation.

A New On-Land Seismogenic Structure Source Database from the Taiwan Earthquake Model (TEM) Project for Seismic Hazard Analysis of Taiwan

Taiwan is located at an active plate boundary and prone to earthquake hazards. To evaluate the island's seismic risk, the Taiwan Earthquake Model (TEM) project, supported by the Ministry of Sciences and Technology, evaluates earthquake hazard, risk, and related social and economic impact models for Taiwan through multidisciplinary collaboration. One of the major tasks of TEM is to construct a complete and updated seismogenic structure database for Taiwan to assess future seismic hazards. Toward this end, we have combined information from pre-existing databases and data obtained from new analyses to build an updated and digitized three-dimensional seismogenic structure map for Taiwan. Thirty-eight on-land active seismogenic structures are identified. For detailed information of individual structures such as their long-term slip rates and potential recurrence intervals, we collected data from existing publications, as well as calculated from results of our own field surveys and investigations. We hope this updated database would become a significant constraint for seismic hazard assessment calculations in Taiwan, and would provide important information for engineers and hazard mitigation agencies.

OSL dating of the late Quaternary slip rate on the Gyaring co Fault in central Tibet

The Gyaring Co Fault (GCF) is an active right-lateral strike-slip fault in central Tibet that accommodates convergence between India and Asia in the interior of the Tibetan Plateau. The average long-term slip rate of the fault remains controversial, given the absence of absolute age data of faulted geomorphic features. We have applied optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating to the northern segment of the GCF, revealing that the GCF has displaced alluvial fans at Aerqingsang by 500 ± 100 m since their deposition at ~109 ka, yielding a slip rate of 4.6 ± 1.0 mm/yr. A slip rate of 3.4 ± 0.4 mm/yr is inferred from analysis of an alluvial fan with an offset of 65 ± 5 m (~19 ka) at Quba site 1. The Holocene slip rate is estimated to be 1.9 ± 0.3 mm/yr, as inferred from the basal age (~8.3 ka) of terrace T1 that has a gully displacement of 16 ± 2 m at Quba site 2. These slip rates are generally lower early estimates (10–20 mm/yr), but are consistent with more recent results (2.2–4.5 mm/yr) and GPS data for other strike-slip faults in this region, indicating that deformation may be distributed across the entire Tibetan Plateau. Moreover, we suggest that the slip rate along the GCF may have decreased slightly during the late Quaternary.

Frictional strength and heat flow of southern San Andreas Fault

Frictional strength and heat flow of faults are two related subjects in geophysics and seismology. To date, the investigation on regional frictional strength and heat flow still stays at the stage of qualitative estimation. This paper is concentrated on the regional frictional strength and heat flow of the southern San Andreas Fault (SAF). Based on the in situ borehole measured stress data, using the method of 3D dynamic faulting analysis, we quantitatively determine the regional normal stress, shear stress, and friction coefficient at various seismogenic depths. These new data indicate that the southern SAF is a weak fault within the depth of 15 km. As depth increases, all the regional normal and shear stresses and friction coefficient increase. The former two increase faster than the latter. Regional shear stress increment per kilometer equals 5.75 ± 0.05 MPa/km for depth ≤15 km; regional normal stress increment per kilometer is equal to 25.3 ± 0.1 MPa/km for depth ≤15 km. As depth increases, regional friction coefficient increment per kilometer decreases rapidly from 0.08 to 0.01/km at depths less than ~3 km. As depth increases from ~3 to ~5 km, it is 0.01/km and then from ~5 to 15 km, and it is 0.002/km. Previously, frictional strength could be qualitatively determined by heat flow measurements. It is difficult to obtain the quantitative heat flow data for the SAF because the measured heat flow data exhibit large scatter. However, our quantitative results of frictional strength can be employed to investigate the heat flow in the southern SAF. We use a physical quantity P f to describe heat flow. It represents the dissipative friction heat power per unit area generated by the relative motion of two tectonic plates accommodated by off-fault deformation. P f is called “fault friction heat.” On the basis of our determined frictional strength data, utilizing the method of 3D dynamic faulting analysis, we quantitatively determine the regional long-term fault friction heat at various seismogenic depths in the southern SAF. The new data show that as depth increases, regional friction stress increases within the depth of 15 km; its increment per kilometer equals 5.75 ± 0.05 MPa/km. As depth increases, regional long-term fault friction heat increases; its increment per kilometer is equal to 3.68 ± 0.03 mW/m2/km. The values of regional long-term fault friction heat provided by this study are always lower than those from heat flow measurements. The difference between them and the scatter existing in the measured heat flow data are mainly caused by the following processes: (i) heat convection, (ii) heat advection, (iii) stress accumulation, (iv) seismic bursts between short-term lull periods in a long-term period, and (v) influence of seismicity in short-term periods upon long-term slip rate and heat flow. Fault friction heat is a fundamental parameter in research on heat flow.

An estimate of tidal and non-tidal modulations of plate subduction speed in the transition zone in the Tokai district

Non-volcanic tremors and slow slip events in subduction zones have been found to be triggered by small external stress disturbances, as demonstrated by the synchronization of temporal variations in tremor rate with diurnal and semi-diurnal tides. Therefore, long-term variations in tremor rate might be predicted by amplitude modulations of diurnal and semi-diurnal tides at decadal time scales. Given that tremors and slow slips are shear slip on the plate boundary, their long-term variations must be associated with fluctuations in plate subduction speed below the seismogenic zone. In previous work, we showed a good correlation between long-term seismicity and empirically calculated tremor rate based on observed tidal levels in the Nankai region, western Japan. Here, we present an improved method of modeling long-term slip rate fluctuation based on the calculation of Coulomb stress due to ocean and solid earth tides on the plate interface. We also include the effects of non-tidal ocean variations, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Kuroshio Current, employing an ocean model developed by the Japan Meteorological Agency. We apply the method to the Tokai district, where the effects of the Kuroshio Current are large, and demonstrate the importance of considering non-tidal effects. Our calculated slip rate fluctuations could amount to 1 mm/year in decadal scales, and periods with faster rates partly corresponded to variations in seismicity. Slow slip events in the study region weakly corresponded to times of higher stress.

Coseismic and Postseismic Displacement of 2011 Mw 6.8 Tarlay Earthquake, Myanmar using InSAR Techniques and Inversion Analysis

In this study, we investigate the March 24th 2011 Mw=6.8 Tarlay earthquake, Myanmar using Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and inversion analysis. We firstly invert InSAR coseismic displacement from our previous study. The inversions are carried out in both single and multi-patch model. The coseismic slip of 2.5 meter from single-patch solution is then combined with long-term slip rate from geomorphological study, resulting in an estimate of 1,140-4,160 years recurrence period. Then, coulomb stress changes on nearby faults in northern Thailand are calculated. It is found that stress in western and middle segments of Mae Chan fault decreases significantly while stress increase in eastern segment of Mae Chan, Mae Ing and Chiang Kham fault. Finally, the results from PSInSAR of 29 Radarsat-2 images reveal postseismic displacement rates between -24.4.6 to 34.5 millimeters per year

Fault Slip Rate of the Kazerun Fault System (KFS), Iran, Investigated Using Finite Element Modeling

A 3D non-homogenous finite element model (FEM) is developed to investigate the spatial variations of interseismic deformation for the Kazerun Fault System (KFS) in the Zagros Mountains of Iran. The model includes 19 fault segments that were extracted from geological maps and previous studies, and the average slips in the dip and strike directions on these segments were computed. The contemporary surface deformation is simulated using a free horizontal detachment surface. The dip angles of the faults in the model are varied at 90°, 70°, 50° and 30° to simulate different 3D representations of the fault systems. Tectonic loading at the boundaries of the region is applied using predicted GPS velocity vectors to the north (southern part of the Central Iran Block) and south (southern region of the Zagros mountain belt), which were obtained by solving inverse and forward problems. Where possible, the fault slip rates that are obtained using our non-homogeneous finite element model are validated using the long-term geologic and instantaneous GPS slip rates. The model is then used to estimate the dip- and strike-slip rates of the fault segments of the KFS for which no a priori information was available. We derive an upper bound of 1 mm/year for the average dip-slip rate in the region, which is consistent with estimates from geomorphologic observations. The modeling results show that in addition to the 4 main faults (Dena, Kazerun, Kareh Bas and Main Recent), other faults, such as the Zagros Front, Main Front, High Zagros and Mishan faults, accommodate up to 2.5 mm/year of the differential movement between the North and Central Zagros. We also investigated the contrast in rigidity between the southern and northern areas of the Zagros mountain belt and found that a rigidity contrast of 2 best explains the GPS data of contemporary surface deformation. Neglecting to account for the rigidity contrast in the model can lead to biased estimates of the fault slip rate of up to 50 %.

Salt-dissolution faults versus tectonic faults from the case study of salt collapse in Spanish Valley, SE Utah (USA)

A paleoseismological investigation in Spanish Valley, SE Utah, reveals that faults related to interstratal karstification of salt may show episodic displacement and significantly different parameters than tectonic faults. Spanish Valley is a 25-km-long, 3-km-wide, NW-SE–trending graben formed by the collapse of the crest of a salt anticline. This collapse is related to the karstification of Paleozoic salts, which are several kilometers thick and form the core of the anticline. Differential passive bending of the supra-evaporitic Mesozoic strata produced smaller-scale, NW-SE–trending anticlines and synclines parallel to the axis of the graben on both margins of the collapse valley. Mapping reveals that swarms of synthetic and antithetic normal faults associated with these folds accommodate most of the vertical displacement. A 27-m-long, 4.5-m-deep, trench-like artificial excavation was dug into the hanging wall of the master normal fault of the NE flank with 30–40 m of throw. The excavation exposed a complex structure consisting of a half graben and an asymmetric upper graben separated by a horst. Nine displacement events have been inferred and constrained by consistent AMS (Accelerator mass spectrometry) radiocarbon dates, indicating an anomalously high mean vertical slip rate of 3.07 mm/yr and a very low average recurrence of ∼316 yr. The most recent recorded faulting event took place after 2330 cal. yr B.P. Data derived from detailed maps indicate that the faults have aspect ratios (maximum displacement to fault length) comparable to those reported for tectonic faults. However, they show greater aperiodicity, with coefficient of variation values greater than 1, long-term slip rates between 2 and 25 times greater, and displacement per event values up to 30 times higher than those expected for tectonic faults of the same length.

Late Quaternary slip history of the Mill Creek strand of the San Andreas fault in San Gorgonio Pass, southern California: The role of a subsidiary left-lateral fault in strand switching

The fault history of the Mill Creek strand of the San Andreas fault (SAF) in the San Gorgonio Pass region, along with the reconstructed geomorphology surrounding this fault strand, reveals the important role of the left-lateral Pinto Mountain fault in the regional fault strand switching. The Mill Creek strand has 7.1–8.7 km total slip. Following this displacement, the Pinto Mountain fault offset the Mill Creek strand 1–1.25 km, as SAF slip transferred to the San Bernardino, Banning, and Garnet Hill strands. An alluvial complex within the Mission Creek watershed can be linked to palinspastic reconstruction of drainage segments to constrain slip history of the Mill Creek strand. We investigated surface remnants through detailed geologic mapping, morphometric and stratigraphic analysis, geochronology, and pedogenic analysis. The degree of soil development constrains the duration of surface stability when correlated to other regional, independently dated pedons. This correlation indicates that the oldest surfaces are significantly older than 500 ka. Luminescence dates of 106 ka and 95 ka from (respectively) 5 and 4 m beneath a younger fan surface are consistent with age estimates based on soil-profile development. Offset of the Mill Creek strand by the Pinto Mountain fault suggests a short-term slip rate of ~10–12.5 mm/yr for the Pinto Mountain fault, and a lower long-term slip rate. Uplift of the Yucaipa Ridge block during the period of Mill Creek strand activity is consistent with thermochronologic modeled uplift estimates.