Long-term Mortality In Patients Research Articles

Prognostic impact of plasma volume status during hospital admission in patients with acute decompensated heart failure.

Plasma volume status (PVS), a measure of plasma volume, has been evaluated as a prognostic marker for chronic heart failure. Although the prognostic value of PVS has been reported, its significance in patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) admitted to the cardiovascular intensive care unit (CICU) remains unclear. In this study, we examined the relationship between PVS and long-term mortality in patients with ADHF admitted to the CICU. Between January 2018 and December 2020, 363 consecutive patients with ADHF were admitted to the Nippon Medical School Hospital CICU. Of the 363 patients, 206 (mean age, 74.9±12.9years; men, 64.6%) were enrolled in this study. Patients who received red blood cell transfusions, underwent dialysis, were discharged from the CICU or died in the hospital were excluded from the study. We measured the PVS of the patients at admission, transfer to the general ward (GW) and discharge using the Kaplan-Hakim formula. The patients were assigned to four groups according to the quartiles of their PVS measured at each of the three abovementioned timepoints. We examined the association between PVS and all-cause mortality during the observation period (1134days). The primary endpoint of this study was all-cause mortality. The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the high PVS group had a significantly higher mortality rate at admission, transfer to the GW and discharge than the other groups (log-rank test: P=0.016, P=0.005 and P<0.001, respectively). Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, body mass index, history of heart failure, use of beta-blockers, albumin level, blood urea nitrogen level, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level and left ventricular ejection fraction were significantly different among the PVS groups and thus were not significant prognostic factors for ADHF. Furthermore, the multivariate analysis revealed that PVS at discharge [hazard ratio (HR)=1.06 (1.00-1.12), P=0.048] was an independent poor prognostic factor for ADHF. This study highlights the effect of PVS measured at different timepoints on the prognoses of ADHF patients. Regular assessment of PVS, particularly at discharge, is crucial for optimising patient management and achieving favourable outcomes in cases of ADHF.

Long-term outcomes in patients with COPD treated with non-invasive ventilation for acute hypercapnic respiratory failure.

Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (COPD) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality across the world. We evaluated survival over 9years in a cohort of patients with COPD requiring acute inpatient non-invasive ventilation (NIV). We analyzed prognostic indices to evaluate if they were associated with mortality. We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients who were admitted to St. James's Hospital respiratory ward with COPD and acute hypercapnic respiratory failure who required NIV over a 12-month period and followed their outcomes over 9years. We investigated the association between survival and potential prognostic variables using univariate analysis and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. We evaluated the association between survival and the following parameters: age, gender, multiple admissions requiring NIV (> 1 admission in within 12months of index presentation), home NIV use preadmission, initial arterial blood gas pH, days spent on NIV, serum albumin and serum albumin to serum CRP ratio at admission. Ninety-nine patients with COPD and acute hypercapnic respiratory failure were identified over a 12-month period from January to December 2011. Survival at 1, 2, 5 and 9years was 65% (n = 64), 42% (n = 42), 25% (n = 25) and 21% (n = 21), respectively. Increasing age (p value < 0.001) and a lower serum albumin (p value < 0.005) were associated with a higher mortality. There was a trend towards improved survival in the group who were treated with home NIV prior to admission compared to no NIV therapy at home but this did not reach statistical significance (Fig.3, p value = 0.088). This study highlights the long-term mortality in patients with COPD admitted with hypercapnic respiratory failure requiring NIV and correlates with prior studies. Increasing age and lower serum albumin were associated with increased mortality.Home NIV may have a protective long-term survival benefit in patients with COPD who have been admitted for acute NIV.

Long-term prognostic ability of the GRACE 3.0 risk score in patients hospitalized for acute coronary syndromes

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Background The GRACE 3.0 (GRS 3.0) is a risk assessment tool for in hospital mortality for patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This study sought to validate the accuracy of GRS 3.0 in predicting long-term mortality following a hospitalization for ACS. Methods We measured retrospectively all various factors included in GRS 3.0 such as age, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, creatinine, sex, cardiac arrest, ST-segment deviation on ECG, troponin elevation, and Killip Class. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used. The discriminative ability of the GRACE 3.0 risk score was calculated by the c-index, which corresponds to the area under the ROC curve. Results 223 patients with ACS were included. During a median follow-up of 3 years, 57 (25.6%) patients died. Among the variables of GRS 3.0, age, heart rate, and troponin elevation at admission were the only independent predictors of mortality. The score had good discrimination for all-cause mortality (c-index=0.82, 95% CI 0.75–0.89) [Figure]. It performed equally well in both sexes. Conclusions The newly developed GRS 3.0 is well-performing for predicting long-term mortality in patients hospitalized for ACS. Thus, it may assist in tailored risk stratification and management of these patients following hospital discharge.

Impact of clinical frailty scale on short and long term outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Background As recently outlined in the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines on acute coronary syndrome (ACS), scarce data still exits about the prognostic role of frailty to guide clinical decision-making for patients with ACS. Purpose To assess the potential predictive value of frailty both for short, and long term all-cause mortality, in a contemporary ACS population. Methods All consecutive admissions due to ACS, from 01/01/2019 to 31/12/2021, were retrospectively reviewed from an internal database of a tertiary cardiac center in Salerno (Italy). Logistic and Cox proportional regression analysis were performed in order to assess the contribution of frailty on 30-days and long term mortality. Frailty was assessed using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and patients were classified as non frail (CFS 1-4), and frail (CFS 5-9). Both logistic and Cox regression analysis were adjusted for age, gender, GRACE risk score, comorbidity burden, defined by the Charlson comorbidity score (CCS), and all other relevant covariates associated with outcomes of interest in the univariate analysis. In order to estimate the survival rates during the follow-up, a Kaplan Meyer analysis was carried out and differences between the CFS groups were assessed using the log-rank test. Robustness of the results were assessed through an internal validation procedure with bootstrapping. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software version 25.0 (SPPS Inc., Chicago, Illinois) and R version 4.0.5 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). A p-value of less than 0.05 was considered significant. Results 1366 patients were identified. The median age was 68 (58-77). Of these patients, 1087 (79,6%) were classified as non-frail (CFS 1-4), and 279 (20,4%) as frail (CFS 5-9). 120 (8,8%) and 140 (11,2%) deaths occurred, respectively, during the first 30 days from admission, and during long term follow-up (median follow-up time: 15 months; IQR: 10-24). After multivariate regression analysis the CFS was associated with both short and long-term mortality (OR: 1,6, 95% CI: 1,34-1,91; p&amp;lt;0,001 and HR: 1,37, 95% CI: 1,18-1,58; p&amp;lt;0,001, Fig. 1). Patients with CFS ≥ 5 showed significant higher mortality rate during long term follow-up (p&amp;lt;0.001; Fig.2). Conclusions The CFS is a strong predictor of both short and long-term mortality in patients affected by ACS also after comprehensive adjustment for baseline differences in other risk factors.Fig. 2

Clinical impact of sarcopenia on long-term mortality in patients undergoing coronary bypass grafting

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Aims Sarcopenia is an aging-related condition characterized by loss of skeletal muscle mass and is an indicator of subclinical atherosclerosis. The relationship between sarcopenia and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with advanced coronary artery disease who have undergone coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is not fully understood. We evaluated the prognostic implications of sarcopenia in patients undergoing CABG. Methods and Results A total of 2,810 patients who underwent CABG was analyzed and classified according to presence of sarcopenia. The skeletal muscle index (SMI) was calculated as L3 muscle area (cm2)/height (m)2 on computed tomography. Sarcopenia was defined as SMI ≤45 cm2/m2 in men and ≤38 cm2/m2 in women. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality during follow-up. The median follow-up was 8.7 years, and 924 patients (32.9%) had sarcopenia. Patients with sarcopenia were older and more frequently women. SMI was significantly correlated with age (R=-0.34, P&amp;lt;0.001), weight (R=-0.56, P&amp;lt;0.001), and body mass index (R=-0.52, P&amp;lt;0.001). SMI was significantly associated with risk of death on a restricted cubic spline curve (HR=1.04 per-1 decrease, 95% CI 1.03-1.05, P&amp;lt;0.001). Patients with sarcopenia had a higher incidence of long-term mortality than those without sarcopenia (survival rate 41.4% vs. 62.8%; adjusted HR=1.18, 95% CI 1.03-1.36, P=0.02). Subgroup analysis showed that the prognostic implication of sarcopenia on long-term survival was more evident in men (adjusted HR=2.01, 95% CI 1.72-2.35) than women (adjusted HR=1.28, 95% CI 0.98-1.68) (interaction P=0.006). Conclusions Sarcopenia, defined by SMI on computed tomography, was associated with long-term mortality after CABG.

Quality of early stroke care and long-term mortality in patients with acute stroke: A nationwide follow-up study.

High quality of early stroke care is essential for optimizing the chance of a good patient outcome. The quality of care may be monitored by process performance measures (PPMs) and previous studies have found an association between fulfilment of PPMs and short-term mortality. However, the association with long-term mortality remains to be determined. We aimed to evaluate the association between fulfilment of PPMs and long-term mortality for patients with acute stroke in Denmark. We used data from Danish health care registers between 2008 and 2020 to identify all patients admitted with incident stroke (haemorrhagic (ICH) or ischaemic stroke). The quality of early stroke care was assessed using 10 PPMs. Mortality was compared using Cox proportional hazard ratios, risk ratios computed using Poisson regression, and standardized relative survival. We included 102,742 patients; 9804 cases of ICH, 88,591 cases of ischaemic stroke, and 4347 cases of unspecified strokes. The cumulative 10-year mortality risk was 56.8%. Fulfilment of the individual PPMs was associated with adjusted hazard rate ratios of death between 0.76 and 0.96. Patients with 100% fulfilment of all PPMs had a lower 10-year post-stroke mortality (adjusted risk ratio 0.90) compared to the patients with 0%-49% fulfilment and a standardized relative survival of 81.3%, compared to the general population. High quality of early stroke care was associated with lower long-term mortality following both ICH and ischaemic stroke, which emphasizes the importance of continued attention on the ability of stroke care providers to deliver high quality of early care.

Sex-Related Differences in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Undergoing Alcohol Septal Ablation.

Previous studies have shown that women with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HCM) have worse long-term outcomes irrespective of intervention. However, the outcomes of patients undergoing alcohol septal ablation (ASA) based on sex have not been described. Hence, this study aimed to evaluate pressure changes and long-term mortality in patients with HCM undergoing ASA based on sex. This is a single-center retrospective study evaluating hemodynamic changes and long-term mortality in patients with HCM treated with ASA according to sex. A total of 259 patients were included (aged 68.4±11.9 years, 62.2% women). Women had higher age and baseline pressures at the time of ASA, with a greater percent reduction in mean left atrial pressure (men versus women: 2.2% versus 15.9%, respectively; P=0.02). Women had better survival (median survival rate of men versus women: 8.6 versus 12.5 years, respectively; P=0.011). On Cox multivariable regression, predictors of mortality were age (per group change <60 years, 61-70 years, 71-80 years, and >80 years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.45 [95% CI, 1.10-1.91], P=0.008), female sex (HR, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.35-0.99], P=0.048), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.06-3.33], P=0.031), and left ventricular outflow tract gradient reduction ≤86% (HR, 1.91 [95% CI, 1.14-3.19], P=0.014). Women with HCM undergoing ASA are older and have higher left-sided baseline pressures compared with men yet have better survival. Further studies exploring the mechanisms of differential outcomes according to sex in patients with HCM undergoing ASA are needed.

Predictors of long-term mortality in older patients with hip fractures managed by hemiarthroplasty: a 10-year study based on a population registry in Saxony, Germany.

Mortality of patients with a femoral neck fracture is high, especially within the first year after surgery, but also remains elevated thereafter. The aim of this study was to identify factors potentially associated with long-term mortality in patients homogeneously treated with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture. This retrospective cohort study was performed at a single level 1 national trauma center at the university hospital of Leipzig (Saxony, Germany). The study time-window was January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. Primary outcome measure was mortality depending on individual patient-related characteristics and perioperative risk factors. Inclusion criteria was a low-energy femoral neck fracture (Garden I-IV) in geriatric patients 60 years of age or older that were primarily treated with bipolar hemiarthroplasty. Date of death or actual residence of patients alive was obtained from the population register of the eastern German state of Saxony, Germany. The outcome was tested using the log-rank test and plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves. Unadjusted and adjusted for other risk factors such as sex and age, hazard ratios were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models and presented with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The 458 included patients had a median age of 83 (IQR 77-89) years, 346 (75%) were female and 113 (25%) male patients. Mortality rates after 30 days, 1, 5 and 10 years were 13%, 25%, 60% and 80%, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis revealed age (HR = 1.1; p < 0.001), male gender (HR = 1.6; p < 0.001), ASA-Score 3-4 vs. 1-2 (HR = 1.3; p < 0.001), dementia (HR = 1.9; p < 0.001) and a history of malignancy (HR = 1.6; p = 0.002) as independent predictors for a higher long-term mortality risk. Perioperative factors such as preoperative waiting time, early surgical complications, or experience of the surgeon were not associated with a higher overall mortality. In the present study based on data from the population registry from Saxony, Germany the 10-year mortality of older patients above 60 years of age managed with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture was 80%. Independent risk factors for increased long-term mortality were higher patient age, male gender, severe comorbidity, a history of cancer and in particular dementia. Perioperative factors did not affect long-term mortality.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome

AimsRisk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).MethodsA total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160–2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS.ConclusionsThe high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.

Association between serum creatinine to albumin ratio and short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective analysis based on the MIMIC-IV database.

Serum creatinine (Cr) and albumin (Alb) are important predictors of mortality in individuals with various diseases, including acute pancreatitis (AP). However, most previous studies have only examined the relationship between single Cr or Alb levels and the prognosis of patients with AP. To our knowledge, the association between short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with AP and the blood creatinine to albumin ratio (CAR) has not been investigated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the short- and long-term relationships between CAR and all-cause mortality in patients with AP. We conducted a retrospective study utilizing data from the Medical Information Market for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database. The study involved analyzing various mortality variables and obtaining CAR values at the time of admission. The X-tile software was used to determine the optimal threshold for the CAR. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the relationship between CAR and both short- and long-term all-cause mortality. The predictive power, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of CAR for short- and long-term mortality in patients with AP after hospital admission were investigated using Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted. A total of 520 participants were included in this study. The CAR ideal threshold, determined by X-tile software, was 0.446. The Cox proportional hazards model revealed an independent association between CAR≥0.446 and all-cause mortality at 7-day (d), 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-year (y) before and after adjustment for confounders. K-M survival curves showed that patients with CAR≥0.446 had lower survival rates at 7-d, 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-y. Additionally, CAR demonstrated superior performance, with higher AUC values than Cr, Alb, serum total calcium, Glasgow Coma Scale, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome score, and Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score at 7-d, 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-y intervals. Subgroup analyses showed that CAR did not interact with a majority of subgroups. The CAR can serve as an independent predictor for short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with AP. This study enhances our understanding of the association between serum-based biomarkers and the prognosis of patients with AP.

Is pulmonary hypertension protective against cardiac tamponade? A systematic review.

The presence of pulmonary hypertension (PH) may affect whether cardiac tamponade physiology develops from a pericardial effusion. Specifically, the increased intracardiac pressure and right ventricular hypertrophy associated with PH would seemingly increase the intrapericardial pressure threshold at which the right-sided chambers collapse. In this systematic review, we examined the impact of PH on the incidence, in-hospital and long-term mortality, and echocardiographic findings of patients with cardiac tamponade. Using the PRISMA guideline, a systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Academic Search Premier, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and the Cochrane Database for studies investigating PH and cardiac tamponade. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to analyze the quality of returned studies. Primary outcomes included the incidence of cardiac tamponade, as well as in-hospital and long-term mortality rates. Secondary outcomes were the presence or absence of echocardiographic findings of cardiac tamponade in patients with PH. Forty-three studies (9 cohort studies and 34 case reports) with 1054 patients were included. The incidence of cardiac tamponade was significantly higher in patients with PH compared to those without PH, 2.0% (95% CI 1.2-3.2%) vs. 0.05% (95% CI 0.05-0.05%), p < 0.0001, OR 40.76 (95% CI 24.8-66.9). The incidence of tamponade in patients with a known pericardial effusion was similar in those with and without PH, 20.3% (95% CI 12.0-32.3%) and 20.9% (95% CI 18.0-24.1%), p = 0.9267, OR 0.97 (95% CI 0.50-1.87). In patients with tamponade, those with PH demonstrated a significantly higher in-hospital mortality than those without PH, 38.8% (95% CI 26.4-52.8%) vs. 14.4% (95% CI 14.2-14.6%), p < 0.0001, OR 3.77 (95% CI 2.12-6.70). Long-term mortality in patients with tamponade was significantly lower in those with PH than in those without PH, 45.5% (95% CI 33.0-58.5%) vs. 59.1% (95% CI 54.7-63.4%), p = 0.0258, OR 0.576 (95% CI 0.33-1.01). However, after stratifying by non-malignant etiologies, the long-term mortality benefit for those with PH disappeared. In the studies that described specific echocardiographic findings of cardiac tamponade, only 10.5% of patients with PH and tamponade showed right atrial and right ventricular collapse. When evaluating patients with pericardial effusions, physicians must recognize the effects of underlying PH on the incidence, in-hospital and long-term mortality rates, and potentially atypical echocardiographic presentation of cardiac tamponade.

Serum Lactate Is an Indicator for Short-Term and Long-Term Mortality in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis.

Serum lactate, as a single and an easily available biomarker, has been applied in various diseases. In this study, we aimed to explore the predictive value of serum lactate for short-term and long-term prognosis in acute pancreatitis (AP) admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) based on a large-scale database. AP patients admitted in ICU in the MIMIC-IV database were included. We constructed three different models to investigate the relationships between serum lactate and clinical outcomes, including 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality in AP. Smooth fitting curves were performed for intuitively demonstrating the relationship between serum lactate and different outcomes in AP by the generalized additive model. A total of 895 AP patients admitted in ICU were included. The mortalities of 30 days, 180 days, and 1 year were 12.63% (n = 113), 16.87% (n = 151), and 17.54% (n = 157). In model B, with 1-mmol/L increment in serum lactate, the values of OR in 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were 1.20 (95%CI 1.04-1.37, P = 0.0094), 1.21 (95%CI 1.06-1.37, P = 0.0039), and 1.21 (95%CI 1.07-1.38, P = 0.0035). The AUCs of serum lactate for predicting 30-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality in AP were 0.688 (95%CI 0.633-0.743), 0.655 (95%CI 0.605-0.705), and 0.653 (95%CI 0.603-0.701), respectively. The cut-off value of serum lactate predicting 30-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality in AP was 2.4mmol/L. Serum lactate could be an indicator for short-term and long-term mortality in patients with AP admitted in ICU.

Risk factors of 30-day and long-term mortality and outcomes in open repair of thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm

BackgroundOpen repair of thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA) was characterized by significant risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity. The aim of this study was to determine the perioperative predictors of early and long-term mortality in patients undergoing open repair of TAAA. Besides, the postoperative outcomes in patients with open repair of TAAA were described.MethodsThis is a single-center retrospective study, and 146 patients with open repair of TAAA from January 4, 2011, to November 22, 2018 was involved. Categorical variables were analyzed by the Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test, and continuous variables were analyzed by the independent sample t-test and the WilCoxon rank-sum test. Multivariate Logistic regression and Cox regression were applied to identify the predictors of 30-day and long-term mortality, respectively. The Kaplan Meier curves were used to illustrate survival with the Log-rank test.ResultsThe 30-day mortality was 9.59% (n = 14). Older than 50 years, the intraoperative volume of red blood cell (RBC) and epinephrine use were independently associated with postoperative 30-day mortality in open repair of TAAA. Long-term mortality was 17.12% (n = 25) (median of 3.5 years (IQR = 2–5 years) of follow-up). Prior open thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA) repair, aortic cross-clamping (ACC) time, intraoperative volume of RBC and use of epinephrine were independently correlated with long-term mortality.ConclusionsIdentifying perioperative risk factors of early and long-term mortaliy is crucial for surgeons. Intraoperative volume of RBC and use of epinephrine were predictors of both early and long-term mortality. In addition, patients of advanced age, prior open repair of TAAA and prolonged ACC time should be paid more attention.

Cardiac Rehabilitation Using the Family-Centered Empowerment Model is Effective in Improving Long-term Mortality in Patients with Myocardial Infarction: A 10-year Follow-Up Randomized Clinical Trial.

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) play a critical role in reducing the risk of future cardiovascular events and enhancing the quality of life for individuals who have survived a heart attack. To assess the mortality rates and stability of the effects in myocardial infarction (MI) survivors after implementing a Family-Centered Empowerment Model (FCEM)-focused hybrid cardiac rehabilitation program. This double-blind randomized controlled clinical trial, conducted at Shariati Hospital, an academic teaching hospital in Tehran, Iran (2012-2023), involved 70 MI patients and their families. Participants were randomly assigned to an FCEM intervention group or standard CR control group. The intervention commenced after the MI patient's safe discharge from the CCU and continued for the entire 10-year follow-up period. Various questionnaires were utilized to collect data on mortality rates and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). The 10-year follow-up period revealed lower mortality rates in the intervention group (5.7%, 11.4%, and 17.1% at 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively) compared to the control group (20%, 37.1%, and 48.9%). After adjusting for age, gender, and BMI, the control group had a four times higher mortality risk (HR: 4.346, 95% CI 1.671-7.307, P = 0.003). The FCEM-focused program demonstrated a significant and sustained positive impact on participants' quality of life for 48 months, with greater improvement compared to the control group. This study highlights the effectiveness of FCEM-based hybrid CR programs in enhancing long-term patient outcomes and reducing mortality rates among MI survivors. Further research is needed to explore the potential benefits in larger samples and diverse populations. This study (Identifier: NCT02402582) was registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov on 03/30/2015.

The association between systemic inflammatory response index and contrast-associated acute kidney injury in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention

Background The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), served as a novel inflammatory biomarker, is the synthesis of neutrophils, monocytes and lymphocytes. Aims We hypothesized that SIRI has predictive value for contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods We retrospectively observed 5685 patients undergoing elective PCI from January 2012 to December 2018. Venous blood samples were collected to obtain the experimental data on the day of admission or the morning of the next day. SIRI = neutrophil count × monocyte count/lymphocyte count. CA-AKI was defined as an increase of 50% or 0.3 mg/dl in SCr from baseline within 48 h after contrast exposure. Results The incidence of CA-AKI was 6.1% (n = 352). The best cutoff value of SIRI for predicting CA-AKI was 1.39, with a sensitivity of 52.3% and a specificity of 67.3%. [AUC: 0.620, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.590–0.651, p < 0.001]. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariate analysis showed that the high SIRI group (SIRI > 1.39) was a strong independent predictor of CA-AKI in patients undergoing elective PCI compared with the low SIRI group (SIRI ≤ 1.39) (odds ratio = 1.642, 95% CI: 1.274–2.116, p < 0.001). Additionally, COX regression analysis showed that SIRI > 1.39 was significantly associated with long-term mortality at a median follow-up of 2.8 years. [Hazard ratio (HR)=1.448, 95%CI: 1.188–1.765; p < 0.001]. Besides, Kaplan–Meier survival curve also indicated that the cumulative rate of mortality was considerably higher in the high SIRI group. Conclusions High levels of SIRI are independent predictors of CA-AKI and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective PCI.

Association between psoas major muscle mass and CPET performance and long-term survival following major colorectal surgery: A retrospective cohort study

ObjectivesTo evaluate whether computed tomography (CT)-derived psoas major muscle measurements could predict preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) performance and long-term mortality in patients undergoing major colorectal surgery and to compare predictive performance of psoas muscle measurements using 2D approach and 3D approach. MethodsA retrospective cohort study compliant with STROCSS standards was conducted. Consecutive patients undergoing major colorectal surgery between January 2011 and January 2017 following CPET as part of their preoperative assessment were included. Regression analyses were modelled to investigate association between the CT-derived psoas major muscle mass variables [total psoas muscle area (TPMA), total psoas muscle volume (TPMV) and psoas muscle index (PMI)] and CPET performance and mortality (1-year and 5-year). Discriminative performances of the variables were evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. ResultsA total of 457 eligible patients were included. The median TPMA and TPMV were 21 ​cm2 (IQR: 15–27) and 274 ​cm3 (IQR: 201–362), respectively. The median PMI measured via 2D and 3D approaches were 7 ​cm2/m2 (IQR: 6–9) and 99 ​cm3/m2 (IQR: 76–120), respectively. The risks of 1-year and 5-year mortality were 7.4% and 27.1%, respectively. Regression analyses showed TPMA, TPMV, and PMI can predict preoperative CPET performance and long-term mortality. However, ROC curve analyses showed no significant difference in predictive performance amongst TPMA, TPMV, and PMI. ConclusionRadiologically-measured psoas muscle mass variables may predict preoperative CPET performance and may be helpful with informing more objective selection of patients for preoperative CPET and prehabilitation.

VARIOUS ASPECTS OF PERCUTANEOUS CORONARY INTERVENTIONS AS PREDICTORS OF DEATH IN MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION AND CORONARY MICROVASCULAR OBSTRUCTION (NO-REFLOW)

HighlightsThe review analyzed the role of various preoperative indicators as predictors of long-term mortality in patients with myocardial infarction and coronary microvascular obstruction (no-reflow) that developed during percutaneous coronary intervention. As a result of a multifactorial analysis, taking into account the confounders available for evaluation, we have found that predilation serves as an independent predictor of death within two years. AbstractAim. To evaluate the role of various aspects of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) as predictors of long-term death in myocardial infarction (MI) and coronary microvascular obstruction (CMVO, no-reflow).Methods. The unmatched case-control study included 232 patients with type 1 MI and CMVO developed during PCI. CMVO criteria were as follows: TIMI flow grade &lt;3, Myocardial blush grade &lt;2, ST segment resolution after PCI &lt;70%. The “cases” group consisted of 54 (23.3%) patients who died within the next two years, the “controls” group consisted of 178 (76.7%) patients who survived. The analysis included the following indicators: predilation, high-pressure balloon post-dilation, vacuum assisted manual thromboaspiration, intra-aortic balloon pump, intracoronary administration of isosorbide dinitrate and verapamil hydrochloride, glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors and “potent” p2y12 inhibitors usage, bare-metal stents, stent implantation with exceeded rated burst pressure, 3 or more stents usage, PCI on more than one artery, the ratio of contrast agent volume to glomerular filtration rate (GFR) &gt;3.0. A univariate comparative analysis of the groups regarding PCI aspects and potential confounders was performed (Mann-Whitney, Fisher). To control the confounders, a multivariate analysis was carried out (logistic regression).Results. Differences were obtained for the following indicators: “predilation” – in 51 (94%) patients in the “cases” group and in 139 (78%) in the “control” group, p-value = 0.005; “intra-aortic balloon pump” – in 9 (17%) and 7 (4%) patients respectively, p-value = 0.003; “the ratio of contrast agent volume to GFR &gt;3.0” – in 26 (48%) and 48 (27%) patients, p-value = 0.005. Multivariate analysis revealed that only predilation was an independent predictor of death within two years – odds ratio 7.38 (95% confidence interval 1.70–49.04, p-value = 0.005).Conclusion. Predilation of the infarct-related coronary artery is an independent predictor of death within two years in MI patients who develop CMVO during PCI.

Impact of Frailty and Sarcopenia on Thirty-Day and Long-Term Mortality in Patients Undergoing Elective Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background: The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic role of frailty and sarcopenia on the survival of patients with AAA undergoing elective endovascular repair (EVAR). Methods: A systematic review of the literature was conducted in accordance with Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE). The association of frailty or sarcopenia with 30-day mortality and late survival was expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Meta-analysis random effects models were applied. The five-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) was used as a frailty metric and sarcopenia was determined using computed tomography angiography (CTA) with measurements of the total psoas muscle area. Frailty was defined as patients with mFI-5 ≥ 0.6 and sarcopenia was defined as the total psoas muscle area (TPA) within the lowest tertile. Results: Thirteen observational cohorts reporting a total of 56,756 patient records were eligible for analysis. Patients with frailty (mFI-5 ≥ 0.6) had significantly increased 30-day mortality than those without frailty (random effects method: OR, 4.84, 95% CI 3.34-7.00, p < 0.001). Patients with sarcopenia (lowest TPA tertile) had significantly increased 30-day mortality according to the fixed effects method (OR, 3.30, 95% CI 2.17-5.02, p < 0.001), but not the random effects method (OR, 2.64, 95% CI 0.83-8.39, p = 0.098). Patients with sarcopenia or frailty had a significantly increased hazard ratio (HR) for late mortality than those without frailty or sarcopenia according to the random effects method (HR, 2.39, 95% CI 1.66-3.43, p < 0.001). The heterogeneity of the studies was low (I2: 0.00%, p = 0.86). The relation of frailty to age extracted from four studies demonstrates that the risk of frailty increases with age according to the random effects method (standard mean differences, SMD, 0.52, 95% CI 0.44-0.61, p < 0.001). The heterogeneity of the studies was low (I2: 0.00%, p = 0.64). Conclusions: Patients with sarcopenia or frailty have a significantly increased risk of mortality following elective EVAR. Prospective studies validating the use of frailty and sarcopenia for risk prediction after EVAR are needed before these tools can be used to support decision making.

Pneumonia Severity Index And CURB-65 Scores Are Poor Predictors For Long-Term Mortality In Hospitalized Patients With Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Introduction The Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and CURB-65 scores are well-defined as tools to predict short-term mortality in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The role of these scores in predicting long-term mortality is not well-defined. The objective of this study was to evaluate the role of PSI and CURB-65 as predictors of long term mortality in patients discharged alive after an episode of CAP. Methods This was a secondary analysis of the University of Louisville Pneumonia Study (ULPS) database. The PSI and CURB-65 were calculated at the time of hospital admission. For patients discharged alive, mortality was evaluated one-year after hospital discharged. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to determine the diagnostic performance of the PSI and CURB-65 in predicting long-term mortality. Results From a total study population of 6,870 patients, 1,744 (25%) patients died within one-year post discharge, and 5,126 (75%) patients were alive one-year post-discharge. Areas under the curve (AUC) for PSI was 0.72 and for CURB-65 was 0.66. Conclusion Even though the PSI is more accurate than CURB-65, both scores are weak predictors of long-term mortality in hospitalized patients with CAP. Future research studies are necessary to improve the prediction of long-term mortality in hospitalized patients with CAP.

Prognostic value of red cell distribution width in non-ST elevation myocardial infarction: A cohort study.

Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) has a higher risk of long-term mortality than ST-elevation myocardial infarction; thus, identifying such high-risk patients is essential. Red cell distribution width (RDW) recently emerged as a strong predictor of mortality in several cardiovascular diseases, however, it is scarcely known whether RDW has a prognostic value in NSTEMI patients, therefore, this study aims to elucidate this issue. 421 consecutive patients with NSTEMI between January 2020 and June 2022 were prospectively enrolled. Patients were divided into 2 groups by the optimal cutoff value of RDW using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves. The optimal cutoff value of RDW for predicting all-cause mortality was 13.4 and the study population was divided into low RDW (≤13.4) and high RDW (>13.4). The primary endpoint of this study was long-term all-cause mortality. The secondary endpoint was the association between RDW and long-term adverse events, including heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, stroke events, re-infarction rate, cardiovascular mortality, and major adverse cardiovascular events. The association of RDW with the outcome was analyzed by Cox regression analysis. Patients with high RDW tended to be older, had a higher history of previous MI, a higher history of percutaneous coronary intervention, a higher level of neutrophil, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, a lower level of albumin, and a lower level of ejection fraction (all P < .05). During a median follow-up of 720 days (IQR, 534-913 days), the all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the high RDW group than in the low RDW group (24.8% vs 6.3%, P < .001). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, RDW > 13.4 was an independent predictor for long-term all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 3.008; 95% confidence interval 1.005, 9.003, P = .049]. Admission RDW could be used as a new biomarker for predicting long-term mortality in patients with NSTEMI, and high RDW was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.