The unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the strategic value of wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) of SARS-CoV-2. This multisite 28-month-long study focused on WBS for older residents in 12long-term care facilities (LTCFs) in Edmonton (AB, Canada) by assessing relationships between COVID-19, WBS, and serostatus during the pandemic. Wastewater samples collected two to three times per week were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-quantitative PCR. Theserostatus of antibodies was examined using immunoassays. The data of clinical COVID-19 outbreaks based on extensive testing were obtained from local public health officials. Analyses included calculating correlations between 7-day rolling averages for WBS and COVID-19 cases and investigating whether WBS led or lagged confirmed outbreaks using a multinomial test. Wastewater results correlated well with clinical COVID-19 infections and outbreaks at participating LTCFs. 1058 (36·0%) of 2936collected wastewater samples were SARS-CoV-2 positive, compared with 1247people (resident n=671, staff n=572, and unknown n=4) reporting positive test results of 21 673clinical samples assessed (5·8%). WBS led clinical testing in 32 (60·4%) confirmed outbreaks, which was significantly different from WBS lagged (12outbreaks [22·6%, 95% CI 11·3-33·7]). Non-detection of WBS SARS-CoV-2 served as a negative predictor for outbreaks. WBS results attested protective immunity in vaccinated individuals before the omicron wave. Aparallel increase in the proportions of positive WBS SARS-CoV-2 and anti-nucleocapsid antibodies underlined that omicron was an immunity-evading variant despite high seropositivity of neutralising antibodies after multiple doses of vaccine. Implementation of WBS could enable targeted clinical investigations and improve cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 outbreak management in LTCFs. WBS and serostatus provided informed dynamic changes of infections and immunity. Critical evidence was that LTCF WBS is an effective early warning system to support rapid public health outbreak management and protect vulnerable older populations. Canadian Immunity Task Force for COVID-19 and Alberta Health.
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