IN REPLY: We thank Dr. Radetsky for his interest in our article on meningococcemia and his letter concerning the timing of antibiotic administration in meningococcemia. That the mortality of meningococcemia has decreased from >80% to <20% since the inception of antibiotic therapy is well-known. The timing of antibiotic administration and its relationship to disease outcome has been a topic of debate. The studies that we cited in support of early antibiotic therapy include a retrospective review exhibiting a reduction in the case fatality rate by 40% in patients given antibiotics before hospital admission (relative risk, 0.6; 95% confidence interval, 0.2 to 1.5)1 and a second retrospective analysis with no deaths reported in patients given antibiotics before referral and 24% mortality in patients admitted without such treatment (P = 0.106).2 Neither of these studies meet criteria for statistical significance at the 95% confidence level; however, the choice of 95% certainty as a measure of statistical significance is somewhat arbitrary and may not be a synonymous with clinical significance. The second study, for example, shows a decrease in mortality that is 89.4% likely not to be caused by chance. Additionally the combination of these two studies and one additional study with a similar trend resulted in a statistically significant case fatality reduction from 12% to 5% (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.04 to 7.18).3 There is, however, one retrospective report of a significantly (P = 0.03) higher mortality rate (24%) in patients receiving antibiotics for suspected meningococcal disease than in those not receiving antibiotics before admission (6%).4 This question will never be studied in a prospective, randomized, controlled manner because of the severity of the disease and the potential hazards of withholding antibiotics. Therefore current recommendations can be based only on the available clinical data and the known immunopathophysiology of the disease. That a patient's immune response to infection is more important than the timing of antibiotics with regards to the outcome of meningococcemia may be true. High lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and cytokine levels vary markedly between individuals with meningococcal disease, and high levels are associated with worse prognosis.5-9 However, this does not argue against the contention that early antibiotics could improve outcome. LPS levels fall dramatically after antibiotic therapy.6 It is likely that LPS levels rise with a longer duration of meningococcal infection and possible that the rapid clearance of LPS seen with antibiotic administration could result in improved outcome. Neither of these hypotheses has been tested. In clinical medicine recommendations must often be made in the absence of definitive scientific proof, and the division between hypothesis and fact is not as clear as one would like. Unclear to us is the extent to which the medical-legal climate should influence clinical recommendations. Our recommendations are based on a review of the available clinical data, the immunopathophysiology of meningococcemia and our clinical experience with the disease. We believe these data support the role of timely antibiotic administration in meningococcemia and our opinion that outcome, although we concede that definitive scientific proof is not available, is likely affected by early antibiotic intervention. It is possible that the issue may become clearer in the wake of several ongoing studies of meningococcemia, some of which include prospective data collection of the timing of antimicrobial administration. Erica A. Kirsch, M.D. Brett P. Giroir, M.D. Department of Pediatrics; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center; Dallas, TX