Linear Probability Models Research Articles

Health disparities among in multicultural and non-multicultural families in South Korea

Abstract South Korea has experienced significant immigrant growth, with international marriages playing a key role in this demographic change. In 2019, international marriages accounted for 10.3% of all marriages, increasing the number of multicultural households. Multicultural families in Korea faced controversies over accepting new members in a society traditionally considered racially and ethnically homogenous. In rural areas, where patriarchal and conservative values prevail, there is greater discrimination and negative perception towards foreigners compared to urban areas, impacting access to healthcare. This potentially adversely affects the health of married immigrants. However, research on this issue is limited. This study aims to examine the differences in health behaviors, access to care, and health status between multicultural and non-multicultural families in rural and urban areas. Using a cross-sectional study design based on the 2023 Community Health Survey, the sample included 228,216 adults from non-multicultural families and 3,373 adults from multicultural families. Adjusted differences in outcome were estimated using regression models, including linear probability and logistic models. Overall, there were minimal or no differences in health behaviors and health status between adults from multicultural and non-multicultural families. However, significant differences were observed in access to care, such as annual health check-ups (0.72 [0.64, 0.81]) and vaccinations (0.84 [0.76, 0.94]). Non-multicultural families showed regional differences in all outcomes, whereas multicultural families exhibited minimal or no regional differences. These findings suggest that multicultural families may face barriers beyond regional environments, limiting their access to care and potentially leading to long-term negative health outcomes. Targeted policy development for multicultural families in Korea is necessary to address this issue. Key messages • Access to health care may vary for individual and local factors, especially for people with different ethnicities or cultures. • Multicultural families may encounter greater barriers than individual and regional characteristics, requiring the development of tailored policies for immigrants and multicultural families.

Tenant Right-to-Counsel and Adverse Birth Outcomes in New York, New York.

In 2017, New York, New York, launched the United States' first right-to-counsel program, guaranteeing lawyers to low-income tenants in select zip codes, which was associated with reducing eviction risk by half. Given documented associations between evictions during pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes, the right-to-counsel program may be associated with improved birth outcomes. To measure associations between zip code-level right-to-counsel access and risk of adverse birth outcomes, including preterm birth and low birth weight, among infants born to Medicaid-insured birthing parents. This retrospective cohort study leveraged the staggered rollout of New York's right-to-counsel program from January 2016 to February 2020 as a natural experiment using a population-based sample of live births to Medicaid-insured birthing parents residing in New York, New York. Data were analyzed from February 2022 to September 2024. Zip code right-to-counsel status 9 months prior to birth. Adverse birth outcomes were measured using individual birth records from the New York Bureau of Vital Statistics. Outcomes included dichotomous indicators of low birth weight (<2500 g), preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation), and a composite of both. Difference-in-differences linear probability models controlled for year, month, and zip code and included clustered standard errors. Among 260 493 live births (mean [SD] birthing parent age, 29 [6] years) from January 2016 to February 2020, 43 081 births (17%) were to birthing parents residing in zip codes where right-to-counsel was available during pregnancy. Exposure to right-to-counsel during pregnancy was associated with statistically significant reductions in infants' probability of adverse birth outcomes, with reductions of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.06-1.41) percentage points in low birth weight, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.10-1.71) percentage points in preterm birth, and 0.96 (95% CI, 0.09-1.84) percentage points in the composite outcome in treated vs untreated zip codes. This cohort study found that right-to-counsel was associated with reduced risk of adverse birth outcomes among Medicaid-insured birthing parents. These findings suggest that eviction prevention via right-to-counsel may have benefits that extend beyond the courtroom and across the life-course.

Parenthood and poverty risk within couples: individual and household poverty risks by gender and education in four European countries

Abstract This study examines how the presence of children is associated with poverty risk within different-sex couples across welfare state regimes, using no- and full-income pooling scenarios. It focuses on whether partners can achieve an adequate living standard without relying on family ties, and how the costs of children shape poverty risk within these scenarios. Using cross-sectional EU-SILC data (2016–2019) on 30,150 coresidential couples from Austria, France, Spain, and Sweden, I use linear probability models (LPM) to estimate household and individual poverty risks among partners with/out children, by education, gender and country. The results indicate that poverty risks vary by gender, income pooling scenario and country. While partners bear household poverty risks together, there is a pronounced gender gap in individual poverty risk across countries. Men, regardless of their education and fatherhood status, have a relatively low individual poverty risk, with little difference between income pooling scenarios. Conversely, women, especially low-educated mothers, have a higher individual than household poverty risk. Observed cross-country variations highlight that the relationship between motherhood and poverty risk is context-specific. Although education is often promoted as a shield against poverty, in some countries, such as Austria, highly educated mothers also face a high individual poverty risk.

Scarcity induces conflict in Puerto Rican fisheries

Abstract Small-scale fisheries provide vital food security for coastal communities worldwide, yet they face numerous challenges. In particular, fisheries conflicts arise when a marine resource is contested or disputed between a minimum of two actors. Despite the potentially large impacts of fisheries conflicts on marine-based economies, it is difficult to quantify the impact of conflict on fisheries production or on long-standing cooperative relationships that can be vital to the long-term sustainability of a given fishery. Previous work addressing fisheries conflicts has had a limited focus on quantitative measurements of how changes in fishing effort can influence how communities fall into conflict or make concerted efforts to cooperate. To address this knowledge gap, instances of conflict and cooperation amongst fishers in Puerto Rico were documented and categorized into different intensity levels. A linear probability model was then developed to estimate the probability of a conflict event occurring in a specific region, month, and year from 2012 to 2017. The model includes catch per unit effort as a predictor variable and controls for environmental factors. We found that an increase in catch per trip from the previous month has a negative and significant relationship with the probability of a conflict event. This result provides quantitative evidence for the supply-induced scarcity hypothesis, highlighting the importance of managing fisheries sustainably, to avoid future fisheries conflicts.

SexWork.DK: a comparative study of citizenship and working hours among sex workers in Denmark

ABSTRACT Sex workers in Europe are increasingly of nonnational origin. The Schengen cooperation allows internal migration within the European Union, but many migrant sex workers originate from outside the EU. While sex workers are already in precarious positions, nonnationals risk deportation, dependent on their citizenship status, and may have debts to smugglers. Consequently, they may be more likely to work longer hours to increase short-term profits. Using a dataset of sex work advertisements from one Danish website (n = 2,594), we estimate the association between inferred citizenship status and a) advertised hours on shift using ordinary least squares regression, and b) the probability of advertising 24/7 availability using a linear probability model. Compared to Danish sex workers, we find migrants advertise almost twice as many hours on shift and are more likely to advertise 24/7 availability. These results shed light on the inequalities that persist between national and nonnational sex workers.

Association of Medicaid Expansion With Timely Receipt of Treatment and Survival Among Patients With HR-Negative, HER2-Positive Breast Cancer.

Hormone receptor (HR)-negative, HER2-positive (also called HER2-enriched) breast cancer has no worse prognosis than other breast cancers if it is treated with HER2-targeted therapy. Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has been shown to be associated with improved access to care and outcomes for many cancers, but its association with receipt of care for HR-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer is unknown. We examined the association of Medicaid expansion with receipt of guideline-concordant treatment, time to treatment initiation, and survival among nonelderly women newly diagnosed with HR-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer. Women aged 18 to 62 years newly diagnosed with HR-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer between 2010 and 2018 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Outcomes included receipt of stage-based guideline-concordant treatment, timely initiation of treatment (<30 days, <60 days, <90 days from diagnosis), and stage-specific 2-year overall survival. A difference-in-differences (DID) analytic approach compared outcome changes following Medicaid expansion in expansion versus nonexpansion states. Multivariable linear probability models were used to estimate treatment outcomes, and flexible parametric survival models were used to evaluate survival, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical confounders. A total of 31,401 patients were included. Medicaid expansion was associated with an increase of 0.58 percentage points (ppt; 95% CI, 0.01-1.16) in receipt of guideline-concordant treatment overall, a 2.43-ppt (95% CI, 0.68-4.18) increase in initiating guideline-concordant treatment <60 days after diagnosis, and a 1.17-ppt (95% CI, 0.02-2.32) increase in 2-year survival rate. The increase in 2-year survival associated with Medicaid expansion was most prominent for patients with stage III disease (DID, 3.81; 95% CI, 0.82-6.80). Medicaid expansion was associated with improved care and survival for patients with HR-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer, an aggressive cancer type for which prognosis largely depends on access to effective treatment.

Door de ogen van de patiënt: tele- en zelfmonitoring voor zwangere vrouwen met een verhoogd risico op hypertensie

Through the patient’s eyes: remote monitoring and patient self-measurement for women at risk of gestational hypertensive disorders Remote monitoring (RM) and patient self-measurement (PSM) are new technologies that enable blood pressure monitoring at home for pregnant women at risk of gestational hypertensive disorders (GHD). As patient satisfaction is increasingly considered as an indicator of the quality of care, this study aimed to compare patients’ perceptions on RM and PSM with those on conventional care for women at risk of GHD. The data collection was part of a multicentric RCT with 2 intervention groups (RM and PSM) and 1 control group. 254 participants completed the survey, determining the patients’ perceptions regarding the care they received at 4 measurement points. Linear probability models were used to assess the impact of RM and PSM on patients’ perceptions. Women at risk of GHD were significantly more likely to be satisfied with the care outcomes, to feel confident about their role as a mother and to be satisfied with their delivery after a follow-up by RM than after a follow-up by conventional care. In addition, they were significantly less likely to be concerned about their general health. The perceptions of women in the PSM group were not significantly better than those of the control group. The positive perceptions of patients regarding RM may be partly explained by the reduction in complications and the role of the study midwife as ‘advanced midwifery practitioner’.

Comparison of Outcomes for Patients Treated by Allopathic vs Osteopathic Surgeons

There are 2 degree programs for licensed physicians in the US: allopathic medical doctorate (MD) and osteopathic doctorate (DO). However, evidence is limited as to whether outcomes differ between patients treated by MD vs DO surgeons. To evaluate differences in surgical outcomes and practice patterns by surgeon medical school training (MD vs DO). This retrospective cohort study used 100% Medicare claims data from inpatient hospitals providing surgical services from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019 among Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 to 99 years who underwent 1 of the 14 most common surgical procedures. Data analysis was performed from January 17, 2023, to August 13, 2024. Medical school degree (MD vs DO). The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were readmissions and length of stay. To assess differences between surgeons by medical school training, a multivariable linear probability model was used, which was adjusted for hospital fixed effects and patient, procedure, and surgeon characteristics. Of the 2 360 108 total surgical procedures analyzed, 2 154 562 (91.3%) were performed by MD surgeons, and 205 546 (8.7%) were performed by DO surgeons. Of 43 651 total surgeons, most surgeons were MDs (39 339 [90.1%]), the median (SD) age was 49.0 (9.8) years, and 6649 surgeons (15.2%) were female. The mean (SD) age of patients undergoing surgical procedures was 74.9 (6.7) years, 1 353 818 of 2 360 108 patients (57.4%) were female, and 2 110 611 patients (89.4%) self-reported as White. DO surgeons were significantly more likely to operate on older patients (DO patient mean [SD] age: 75.3 [7.1] years; MD patient mean [SD] age: 74.8 [6.6]), female patients (DO: 60.2% of patients; MD: 57.1% of patients), and Medicaid dual-eligible patients (DO: 10.3% of patients; MD: 8.6% of patients). DOs performed a lower proportion of elective operations (DO: 74.2% vs MD: 80.2%) and were more likely to work in public hospitals (DO: 10.3%; MD: 9.5%) and nonteaching hospitals (DO: 57.9%; MD: 68.1%). There was no evidence that 30-day mortality differed between MD and DO surgeons (adjusted mortality rate, DO: 1.61%; MD: 1.58%; absolute risk difference [aRD], -0.04 percentage points; 95% CI, -0.11 to 0.04; P = .37). On secondary analyses, no difference was found in 30-day readmissions or length of stay between MD and DO surgeons. In this retrospective cohort study using Medicare data, there was no evidence that patient outcomes differed between MD and DO surgeons for common operations after adjusting for patient factors and practice settings.

7376 Efficacy and Safety of CAM2029 in Patients With Controlled or Inadequately Controlled Acromegaly on Standard-of-Care Treatment: Interim Data for the “New to CAM2029” Patient Subgroup in a Phase 3 Study (ACROINNOVA 2)

Abstract Disclosure: D. Ferone: Consulting Fee; Self; Camurus AB, Ipsen, Novartis-AAA, Recordati. Grant Recipient; Self; Camurus AB, Ipsen, Novartis-AAA, Recordati. Research Investigator; Self; Camurus AB. J.L. Spencer-Segal: Advisory Board Member; Self; Camurus AB. Research Investigator; Self; Camurus AB. G. Fidan Yaylali: None. M. Doknic: Speaker; Self; Pfizer, Inc., Novo Nordisk, Merck, Sandoz. E. Isaeva: None. A. Dreval: None. A. Gilis-Januszewska: None. E. Gezer: None. I. Bancos: Advisory Board Member; Self; Diurnal, Spruce, Neurocrine, Adrenas, Sparrow, Corcept, HRA Pharmaceuticals, Recordati, Xeris, AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk. Grant Recipient; Self; Recordati, HRA Pharmaceuticals. L. Katznelson: Advisory Board Member; Self; Camurus AB, Recordati. M. Harrie: Employee; Self; Camurus AB. Stock Owner; Self; Camurus AB. A. Svedberg: Employee; Self; Camurus AB. Stock Owner; Self; Camurus AB. A.M. Pedroncelli: Employee; Self; Camurus AB. Stock Owner; Self; Camurus AB. F. Tiberg: Employee; Self; Camurus AB. Stock Owner; Self; Camurus AB. Background: Acromegaly is a rare, serious disorder characterized by overproduction of growth hormone (GH) and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1). There is a need for new, convenient therapies that provide effective disease control. CAM2029 is a novel subcutaneous octreotide depot designed for convenient once-monthly self-administration (ready-to-use syringe or injection pen). In a 24-week, Phase 3 trial (ACROINNOVA 1), CAM2029 was superior to placebo at attaining IGF-1 response (≤upper limit of normal [ULN] at week 22/24: 72.2% vs 37.5%; P=0.0018) in patients with acromegaly previously controlled under standard of care (SoC; octreotide long-acting repeatable [LAR]/lanreotide Autogel). Here, we report interim data from another Phase 3 trial of CAM2029 (ACROINNOVA 2; NCT04125836), focusing on the “New to CAM2029” subgroup of patients whose acromegaly was either controlled or uncontrolled under SoC. Methods: This 52-week, Phase 3, open-label trial (with a 52-week extension) enrolled patients who had received CAM2029 or placebo in ACROINNOVA 1 (reported separately) and “New to CAM2029” patients who were adequately or inadequately controlled (IGF-1 ≤2x ULN) on a stable dose of octreotide LAR/lanreotide Autogel for ≥3 months (data reported here). In the main part of the trial, new patients received once-monthly CAM2029 20 mg for up to 52 weeks. The primary endpoint was adverse events (AEs). Secondary endpoints included (i) the proportion of patients with IGF-1 ≤1x ULN (weeks 50/52 mean), (ii) the change from baseline in IGF-1, and (iii) the combined IGF-1 and GH response. Baseline values reflected SoC treatment. Data cutoff: May 23, 2023. Results: Eighty-one new patients were enrolled (mean age 51.8 years; 59.3% female). No new or unexpected safety signals were observed. The most common treatment-emergent AEs were injection site erythema (n=22) or swelling (n=13), and headache (n=12). AEs were mostly mild (grade 1/2); there were no serious or Grade 3 treatment-related AEs attributed to CAM2029. IGF-I response increased from 14.8% at baseline SoC (12/81) to 33.3% (20/60 patients with available data) at weeks 50/52. The estimated increase in IGF-1 response (linear probability model) from baseline at week 52 was 21.9% (95% CI: 9.6, 34.1). Biochemical control for both IGF-1 and GH improved over time: 30.0% of patients (18/60) had a combined IGF-1 and GH response at the end of the main part of trial, vs 11.7% (7/60) at baseline. Conclusion: CAM2029 was well tolerated with a safety profile consistent with that of SoC. Biochemical control rates improved from SoC baseline over 52 weeks of CAM2029 treatment in the “New to CAM2029” patients. These findings reinforce the efficacy and safety of CAM2029 in patients with acromegaly, including patients with uncontrolled disease with current SoC treatment (octreotide LAR/lanreotide Autogel). Presentation: 6/1/2024

State opioid prescribing laws and associations with radiotherapy delays and radiotherapy completion.

122 Background: In July 2018, Missouri introduced a 7-day limit for initial opioid prescriptions, though there was an exemption for cancer-related pain. However, some worry that the exemptions may be inadequate for patients with cancer who experience cancer-related pain. Since some courses of radiotherapy can cause pain (eg, mucositis, esophagitis), appropriate opioid access is important for helping patients complete radiotherapy in a timely manner, which is associated with oncologic outcomes. Methods: Patients with cancer of all ages treated with radiotherapy from 2018-2019 at a large academic institution in Missouri were identified. More recent data were excluded due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Missouri Medicaid expansion. Trends over time in the proportion of missed/delayed radiotherapy fractions, incomplete radiotherapy courses, and a composite measure of excessive delays (≥5 days) or incomplete course were evaluated in linear and linear probability models. Additional analyses included patients from Illinois, an adjacent state without opioid prescribing legislation, and we subsequently performed difference-in-differences analyses comparing the outcomes from pre- to post- Missouri opioid legislation between the states. We conducted unadjusted analyses as well as analyses adjusted for age, sex, site, radiotherapy modality and fractions, as well as other covariates that could impact access to radiotherapy (ZIP code deprivation, distance from the facility, insurance status, and social work referral for unmet needs). Subgroup analyses focused on patients with head and neck cancer and lung cancer receiving definitive radiotherapy, who are at high risk of radiotherapy-related pain. Results: A total of 2613 and 1518 patients from Missouri and Illinois were identified, respectively. 4.7% of fractions were missed/delayed, 3.7% of patients did not complete treatment, and 8.1% of patients had either an incomplete course or excessive delays. There were no statistically significant increases (ie, worsening) in any outcome in any quarter after opioid policy implementation, and there were significant decreases in the composite outcome in multiple post-policy quarters in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. In difference-in-differences analyses comparing trends over time with patients from Illinois, there were no significant associations of policy implementation with any of the outcomes. Results were similar in subgroup analyses for patients with head and neck and lung cancers. Conclusions: Missouri legislation limiting opioid prescribing for non-cancer-related pain was not associated with significant changes in a patient’s ability to undergo radiotherapy. Limitations of the study include evaluation of a single center in a single state and the lack of other intermediate outcomes important to patients including access to opioid medication itself, which we will examine in future work.

Ochratoxin A Status at Birth Is Associated with Reduced Birth Weight and Ponderal Index in Rural Burkina Faso

Background: Mycotoxin exposure during pregnancy has been associated with adverse birth outcomes and poor infant growth. We assessed multiple biomarkers and metabolites of exposure to mycotoxins at birth and their associations with birth outcomes and infant growth in 274 newborns in rural Burkina Faso. MethodsWhole-blood microsamples were analyzed for mycotoxin concentrations in newborns in the Biospecimen substudy nested in the MIcronutriments pour la SAnté de la Mère et de l’Enfant-III trial using ultra-performance liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry. Unadjusted and adjusted associations between mycotoxin exposure, and birth outcomes and infant growth at 6 mo were estimated using linear regression models for continuous outcomes and linear probability models with robust variance estimation for binary outcomes. Infant growth trajectories from birth to 6 mo were compared by exposure status using mixed-effects models with a random intercept for the individual infant and a random slope for the infant’s age. ResultsOchratoxin A (OTA) exposure was detected in 38.3% of newborns, with other mycotoxins being detected in the range of 0.36% and 4.01%. OTA exposure was significantly associated with adverse birth outcomes, such as lower birth weight [β (95% CI): −0.11 kg (−0.21, 0.00); P = 0.042] and ponderal index [β (95% CI): −0.62 gm/cm3 (−1.19, −0.05); P = 0.034], and a marginally significant lower length growth trajectories during the first 6 mo [β (95% CI): −0.08 cm/mo (−0.15, 0.0); P = 0.057]. ConclusionsOTA exposure was prevalent among newborns and also associated with lower growth at birth and during the first 6 mo. The results emphasize the importance of nutrition-sensitive strategies to mitigate dietary OTA, as well as adopting food safety measures in Burkina Faso during the fetal period of development.

Understanding health literacy's moderating role in remote monitoring for adjuvant endocrine therapy: Findings from a randomized clinical trial.

45 Background: Despite the efficacy of oral adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) for improving survival among women with hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer, adherence rates remain low. Our THRIVE study (NCT03592771) investigated the effectiveness of a mobile health remote monitoring app with and without tailored educational messages on AET adherence among women with breast cancer and found no statistically significant treatment effects on 1-year AET adherence overall. Health literacy contributes to patients’ understanding of their treatment plans. We conducted a post hoc analysis of the THRIVE study to examine if health literacy moderates the effectiveness of this intervention. Methods: This non-blinded randomized controlled trial included women with early-stage breast cancer prescribed AET at a large cancer center with 14 clinics across three states. Participants used a pillbox to electronically monitor AET adherence for 1 year and completed surveys at enrollment. Consented participants were randomized into (1) “App”, receiving access to the study adherence and symptom monitoring app for 6 months, with increasing/severe symptoms and missed doses reported in the app triggering follow-ups from the oncology team; (2) “App+Feedback”, receiving additional weekly text messages about managing symptoms, adherence, and communication for 6 months; or (3) “Enhanced Usual Care (EUC).” The primary outcome was 1-year AET adherence captured with the pillbox (≥80% Proportion of Days Covered [PDC] vs. &lt; 80%). The enrollment survey captured participant’s sociodemographic characteristics, including race and ethnicity, education, household income, and health literacy. We used a linear probability model to measure the interaction between the study arm and health literacy on AET adherence. Results: Among 304 women randomized (104 EUC, 98 App, and 102 App+Feedback), the 12-month follow-up retention rate was 88% (n = 266) and 19.4% reported low health literacy at enrollment. Low health literacy was more prevalent among Black (29.4%) vs. White (13.4%) participants (p &lt; 0.001), those with incomes below the federal poverty level (34.4% vs. 17.2% of those with higher incomes, p = 0.02), and those with only a high school degree or lower education (31.7%) vs. with those with some college or higher education (16.4%, p &lt; 0.01). In the low health literacy group, 80.0% of App+Feedback were AET adherent vs. 42.1% of EUC, a 37.9 percentage point (ppt) difference (95% CI: 4.1 to 71.7, p = 0.03); in higher literacy group adherence, 47.1% of App+Feedback vs. 59.0% of EUC were adherent, a -11.8 ppt difference (95% CI: -27.9 to 4.3, p = 0.15). Conclusions: A remote monitoring app with tailored educational text messages led to higher 1-year AET adherence among participants with low health literacy, but not for those with high health literacy. Clinical trial information: NCT03592771 .

Social Risk Factors, Health Insurance Coverage, and Inequities in Access to Care.

Social risk factors are associated with worse access to care. This study measured the prevalence of social risk factors among low-income adults, assessed the relationship between number of social risk factors and access to care, and examined heterogeneity by health insurance type. Using 2022 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey data from 39 states, the association between number of SRFs (0, 1, 2-3, 4, or more) and three access to care measures (having a personal doctor, having a routine checkup, and inability to see doctor because of cost) were measured using multivariable linear probability models. The analysis was stratified by health insurance coverage type (private, Medicare, Medicaid, or uninsured) to assess whether effects were differential. Analyses were conducted in 2024. Among 90,208 low-income adults, 46.6% reported at least one SRF. Compared to people who reported no SRFs, those who reported four or more were more likely to report being unable to afford care (28.21 percentage points [PP], p<0.001) and less likely to have a personal doctor (-4.98 PP, p<0.001) or routine checkup in the last two years (-4.29 PP, p<0.001). The magnitude of disparity by number of SRFs in inability to afford care was larger among privately insured and uninsured people compared to those with Medicare or Medicaid coverage. Higher levels of SRFs were associated with worse access to care among low-income adults. Policies that minimize cost-related barriers to care, coupled with care delivery reforms and social policies that address SRFs, may improve access to care.

Online Political Participation of Refugees in Germany: Analysis of a Survey in Bavaria

New media are an important resource for the political participation of marginalized groups. However, there is still a lack of knowledge about the factors that influence whether this opportunity is used. Influencing factors emerge from both the Civic Voluntarism Model and previous research on migrants’ political activity. Using data collected in 2019/2020 from 486 refugees living in Bavaria, we estimate linear probability models to investigate facilitating factors for the use of new media for political participation. The analysis shows that refugees in Germany who inform themselves about politics online tend to be predominantly male, higher educated, and politically involved. Language skills and the duration of stay also appear to be important. For the expression of one’s political opinion online, gender and language skills have an impact, but informing oneself about German politics, political interest, and offline political activity in Germany are the most relevant factors. This indicates that there is a close link between on- und offline activity. However, using the internet requires particular resources, so that people with lower language skills, for example, are particularly disadvantaged.

Spillover effects of Medicaid expansion on insurance coverage among low-income older individuals newly diagnosed with cancer.

168 Background: Medicaid expansion is associated with increased insurance coverage and improved health outcomes among patients diagnosed with cancer &lt; 65 years. Although not the target population, individuals ≥65 years may benefit from Medicaid expansion through “welcome mat” effects – the indirect increase in enrollment, particularly those with low income eligible for both Medicaid and Medicare (dual-eligible). This study aims to examine the associations of Medicaid expansion with Medicaid coverage, including both dual-eligible and Medicaid-only, among individuals diagnosed with cancer. Methods: Using the National Cancer Database, we identified patients ≥65 years newly diagnosed with cancer between 2010-2019 with income below 138% federal poverty level. We applied a quasi-experimental design, the difference-in-difference approach, with multivariable linear probability models to compare the changes in the percentage of dual-eligible or Medicaid-only coverage post (vs. pre) Medicaid expansion in expansion v. non-expansion states. Analyses were also stratified by key demographic characteristics. Results: A total of 256,997 patients with cancer were identified, with 136,373 patients from expansion states and 120,624 patients from non-expansion states. After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, the percentage of patients with dual or Medicaid-only coverage increased from 16.84 to 18.09 in expansion states and decreased from 14.14 to 12.62 in non-expansion states, resulting in a net increase of 2.11 percentage points (ppt, 95% confidence interval: 1.55, 2.67) associated with Medicaid expansion. Differences were more pronounced among patients diagnosed with stage III-IV cancers (DD: 2.53 ppt, 95%CI: 1.58, 3.48), racialized as non-Hispanic Black (DD: 3.71 ppt, 95%CI: 2.70, 4.73), residing in metropolitan areas (DD: 2.77 ppt, 95%CI: 2.08, 3.47), with two or more comorbidities (DD: 4.14 ppt, 95%CI: 2.47, 5.80), and treated in comprehensive (DD: 2.98 ppt, 95%CI: 2.02, 3.94) or academic cancer centers (DD: 3.31 ppt, 95%CI: 2.14, 4.49). Conclusions: Medicaid expansion was associated with an increase in Medicaid enrollment among patients diagnosed with cancer at 65 or older, suggesting spillover benefits of Medicaid expansion in supporting low-income elderly populations with cancer.

Changes in Chlamydia trachomatis risk before and after union formation and separation among women of reproductive age.

Not having an established relationship is associated with an elevated risk of Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) infection, but this might reflect selection into and out of unions. Although union formation and union separation are common events in reproductive age, little is known about changes in CT risk before and after these transitions. We linked Finnish Population Register data to the National Register of Infectious Diseases and used fixed-effects linear probability models that account for all time-invariant confounders to examine changes in women's 6-month CT risk 3 years before and 3 years after entry into first cohabitation (n = 293554), non-marital separation (n = 201647) or marital separation (n = 92232) during 2005-14. From 3 years to 1 year before first union formation, the 6-month risk of CT increased slightly, peaking at 1.27% immediately prior to union formation (95% confidence interval 1.22-1.31). It declined sharply following union formation, being only 0.40% (0.34-0.46) 6-12 months after union formation with little changes thereafter. Among women separating from non-marital unions, the risk increased from 0.50% (0.42-0.57) to 1.45% (1.40-1.49) around the time of separation and decreased following separation. The pattern of findings was relatively similar for marital separation, although the observed risks and changes were smaller in magnitude. Our results based on longitudinal data and individual fixed-effects models indicate that the period immediately after separation may be causally associated with an elevated risk of CT. This suggests that recently separated women should be identified as a high-risk group for CT.

Long-term effects of grandparental child neglect on adult grandchildren's mental health: A three-generation study

Child neglect is a significant social problem with severe consequences for individuals and society. This study explores how intergenerational transmission of grandparental child neglect affects grandchildren's mental health in adulthood. We utilize a three-generational dataset from the Tromsø Study and estimate a linear probability model to find the distinct roles of both maternal and paternal grandparents. We test the additive risk hypothesis for continuous, intergenerational effects of child neglect in both the maternal and paternal lineages. Furthermore, we use structural equation modeling to test how sequential exposures to neglect across generations ultimately bear on adult mental health outcomes. Our results confirm the additive risk hypothesis but only for maternal grandparents: our findings show that only maternal parents' neglectful parenting is associated with an increased probability of depression in their grandchildren, conditional on whether their parents neglected them. These results contribute to research on intergenerational transmission by the finding that additive risks of child maltreatment flow down generations mainly through maternal lineages.

Abstract C129: Adapting to disruption?: Changes in colorectal cancer screening modalities and disparities during the COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract Research Objective: At-home colorectal cancer screening methods, such as Fecal Immunochemical Tests (FIT), offered a safer, convenient alternative to in-clinic procedures like colonoscopies during the COVID-19 pandemic. Racial and ethnic minorities were more likely to use these tests prior to the pandemic, but it is unclear whether disparities in colorectal cancer screening changed because of the pandemic. We examined rates of colorectal cancer screening before and after shutdown periods across race/ethnicity, age, and income among health plan enrollees in the United States to inform screening catch-up strategies after COVID-19 disruptions. Study Design: We conducted a retrospective analysis of cancer screening claims from Optum Clinformatics Data Mart among enrollees from 2019-2021. Monthly screening volume was calculated for a three-year period, with January 2019-February 2020 as the pre-pandemic period, and July 2020-December 2021 as the post-pandemic period. We conducted an event study to calculate group-level monthly predicted probabilities of screening using a linear probability model with group interactions by month, controlling for demographic variables and comorbidities. Additionally, we used difference-in-difference (DD) regressions including group interacted with a post-pandemic dummy. The pandemic closure period months were excluded from our DD analysis. Eligible enrollees included those ages 40-75 with continuous enrollment 12 months prior to screening index month. Colorectal cancer screening claims included codes for colonoscopies and other endoscopic procedures as well as FIT and FOBT tests. Results: 2,576,760 health plan enrollees were included. Colonoscopy rates did not change significantly between the pre-COVID period and post-COVID period, however FIT test screening rates dropped from an average of 0.66% of age-eligible enrollees screened per month in the pre-pandemic period to 0.58%. Our difference-in-difference results suggested Hispanic-NH White disparities in FIT tests widened. For colonoscopy, Hispanic-NH White and Asian-White disparities widened, while Black-White disparities decreased. Conclusions: Despite the promise that in-home FIT testing would substitute for colonoscopy during the pandemic, we saw a much larger decline in FIT testing rates during the pandemic than for colonoscopy and increasing disparities. This study highlights the need for targeted strategies to address screening disparities exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly among Hispanic and NH-Asian populations. Citation Format: Cameron M. Kaplan, Willow Pastard, John Thacker, Todd Schneberk, Chun Nok Lam, Sarah Axeen, Jennifer Tsui. Adapting to disruption?: Changes in colorectal cancer screening modalities and disparities during the COVID-19 pandemic [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 17th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2024 Sep 21-24; Los Angeles, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2024;33(9 Suppl):Abstract nr C129.

Effect of pharmacological treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder on later psychiatric comorbidity: a population-based prospective long-term study

BackgroundPsychiatric comorbidity is frequent among persons with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Whether pharmacological treatment of ADHD influences the incidence of psychiatric comorbidity is uncertain.ObjectiveTo investigate associations and causal relations between pharmacological...

Malaria Rapid Tests, Febrile Illness Management, and Child Mortality Across Sub-Saharan African Countries

A prompt malaria diagnosis is crucial for the management of children with febrile illness in sub-Saharan African countries, where malaria remains a leading cause of mortality among children younger than 5 years of age. The development and distribution of point-of-care rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for malaria has transformed practice, but limited systematic evidence exists on how malaria RDTs have affected the management of febrile illness and mortality for children younger than 5 years of age across sub-Saharan Africa countries. To evaluate the association between the distribution of malaria RDTs and the management of febrile illness and mortality among children younger than 5 years of age in sub-Saharan African countries. This quasi-experimental study used a novel dataset linking malaria RDT distribution to 165 nationally representative household surveys across 35 sub-Saharan African countries with mortality data. The sample comprised approximately 3.9 million child-year observations and approximately 260 000 febrile illness episodes in children younger than 5 years of age between 2000 and 2019. Fixed-effects linear probability models were used to analyze the association between variation in malaria RDTs distributed per child younger than 5 years of age (by country per year) and blood testing, antimalarial drug use, antibiotic use, use of symptomatic treatments, and mortality rates. Variation in the effects of testing and treatment was also assessed across the sub-Saharan African countries that had varying prevalence of malaria. The mortality sample included 1 317 866 children and the fever sample included 256 292 children. The mean age of the children with febrile illness was 2.4 years (SD, 1.3 years) and 49% were female. Each additional malaria RDT distributed per child younger than 5 years of age was associated with an increase of 3.5 percentage points (95% CI, 3.2-3.8 percentage points) in blood testing, an increase of 1.5 percentage points (95% CI, 1.2-1.8 percentage points) in the use of antimalarial drugs, an increase of 0.4 percentage points (95% CI, 0.1-0.6 percentage points) in antibiotic use, and a decrease of 0.4 percentage points (95% CI, 0.1-0.8 percentage points) in the use of treatments for symptoms. Each additional malaria RDT distributed per child younger than 5 years of age was associated with a reduction in child mortality of 0.34 deaths per 1000 child-years (95% CI, 0.15-0.52 deaths per 1000 child-years). The effects of malaria RDT distribution on medication use and child mortality varied across prevalence settings (low vs high) for malaria; there were survival improvements only in areas that had a high prevalence of malaria. Increasing distribution of malaria RDTs was associated with increased blood testing, increased use of antimalarial drugs, and modestly improved survival in children younger than 5 years of age in sub-Saharan African countries. However, malaria RDTs were associated with increases in the rates of antibiotic use that were already high, suggesting that more comprehensive approaches to case management of febrile illness are needed.