Lightning Activity Research Articles

Severe Convection at Burgas Airport: Case Study 17 September 2022

Convection monitoring and forecasting are crucial for air traffic management as they can lead to the development of intense thunderstorms and hazards such as severe turbulence and icing, lightning activity, microbursts and hail that affect aviation safety. The airport of Burgas is located in southeast Bulgaria on the Black Sea coast and occurrences of intense thunderstorms are mainly observed in the warm season between May and September. This work presents an analysis of severe convection over southeast Bulgaria on 17 September 2022. In the late afternoon, a gust front was formed that reached the Burgas airport with a wind speed exceeding 45 m/s, the record for the past 50 years, damaging the instrument landing system of the airport. To analyse the severe weather conditions, we combine state-of-the-art observations from satellite and radar with the upper-air sounding and surface. The studied period was dominated by the presence of a very unstable air mass over southeast Bulgaria ahead of the atmospheric front. As convection developed and moved east towards Burgas, it had four characteristics of severe deep convection, including gravitational waves at the overshooting cloud top, a cold U-shape, a flanking line and a cloud top temperature below −70 °C. The positive integrated water vapour (IWV) rate of change preceded the lightning activity peak by 30 min. Analysis of integrated vapour transport (IVT) gives higher values by a factor of two compared to climatology associated with the atmospheric river covering the eastern Mediterranean sea.

Meteorological factors associated with dry thunderstorms and simultaneous lightning-ignited wildfires: The 15 June 2022 outbreak in Catalonia

Summer heatwaves and extended dry spells create optimal meteorological conditions for occasional dry thunderstorms to produce simultaneous lightning-ignited wildfires (LIW). Concurrent ignitions put a significant burden on the firefighting's initial attack, potentially allowing incipient LIWs to escape and grow into large fires. While we can reasonably forecast lightning activity, predicting dry thunderstorm conditions and potential LIW outbreaks remains challenging. In the present study, we analyze the meteorological factors associated with a LIW outbreak that took place in Catalonia on 15 June 2022, with 22 LIW reported in three consecutive days. The fire hazard was high, but not different from past LIW episodes. ERA5-derived indices related to low-level moisture showed extreme values compared to previous studies. Atmospheric conditions with an elevated lifting condensation level coupled with the synoptic framework were set for the formation of dry thunderstorms. Radar reflectivity profiles revealed sub-cloud evaporation, and rain-gauge records corroborated the occurrence of dry lightning. In the context of global warming, we expect an increase in the frequency of LIW outbreaks in the European Mediterranean region due to an increase in lightning-ignition efficiency, which refers to the average chance of fire per lightning stroke.

Seasonal–Diurnal Distribution of Lightning over Bulgaria and the Black Sea and Its Relationship with Sea Surface Temperature

A seasonal–diurnal analysis of land-sea contrast in lightning activity over Bulgaria and the Black Sea over 10 years is presented here. The maximum number of flashes over both surface types is registered during the summer (with a peak over Bulgaria in June and over the Black Sea in July) and a minimum number in winter (December/February, respectively). During spring, the maximum flash density is observed over Bulgaria (in May), while in autumn, it is over the Black Sea (in September). The results show that only in autumn lightning activity dominates over the Black Sea compared to over land (Bulgaria), while in winter, spring, and summer is vice versa. For this reason, an additional investigation was conducted to determine whether there is a relationship between lightning activity and the sea surface temperature (SST) of the Black Sea in autumn. The analysis reveals that the influence of SST on the formation of thunderstorms over the Black Sea varies depending on the diurnal time interval, with the effect being more significant at night. At nighttime intervals, there is a clear trend of increasing mean flash frequency per case with rising SST (linear correlation coefficients range from R = 0.92 to 0.98), while during the daytime, this trend is not as evident. This indicates that, during the day, other favorable atmospheric processes have a greater influence on the formation of thunderstorms than sea-surface temperature, while in the autumn night hours, the higher SST values probably play a more significant role in thunderstorms formation, in combination with the corresponding orographic conditions.

Studies on Heavy Precipitation in Portugal: A Systematic Review

This systematic review, based on an adaptation of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement from 2020, focuses on studies of the atmospheric mechanisms underlying extreme precipitation events in mainland Portugal, as well as observed trends and projections. The 54 selected articles cover the period from 2000 to 2024, in which the most used keywords are “portugal” and “extreme precipitation”. Of the 54, 23 analyse trends and climate projections of precipitation events, confirming a decrease in total annual precipitation, especially in autumn and spring, accompanied by an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events in autumn, spring and winter. Several articles (twelve) analyse the relationship between synoptic-scale circulation and heavy precipitation, using an atmospheric circulation types approach. Others (two) establish the link with teleconnection patterns, namely the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and still others (three) explore the role of atmospheric rivers. Additionally, five articles focus on evaluating databases and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, and nine articles focus on precipitation-related extreme weather events, such as tornadoes, hail and lightning activity. Despite significant advances in the study of extreme precipitation events in Portugal, there is still a lack of studies on hourly or sub-hourly scales, which is critical to understanding mesoscale, short-lived events. Several studies show NWP models still have limitations in simulating extreme precipitation events, especially in complex orography areas. Therefore, a better understanding of such events is fundamental to promoting continuous improvements in operational weather forecasting and contributing to more reliable forecasts of such events in the future.

Development of Vertical Radar Reflectivity Profiles Based on Lightning Density Using the Geostationary Lightning Mapper Dataset in the Subtropical Region of Brazil

The study aims to develop vertical radar reflectivity profiles based on lightning density data from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) on the GOES-16 satellite in the subtropical region of Brazil. The primary objective is to improve the assimilation of lightning data in numerical weather prediction models. The methodology involves the analysis of polarimetric radar data from Chapecó-SC and Jaraguari-MS, spanning from January 2019 to December 2023, and their correlation with lightning data from the GLM. Radar reflectivity profiles were created for different lightning density classes, categorized into six classes based on geometric progression. Results show a significant relationship between lightning activity and radar reflectivity, with distinct profiles for convective and stratiform events. These findings demonstrate the potential of using GLM data to enhance short-term weather forecasting, particularly for severe weather events. The study concludes that the integration of GLM data into weather models can lead to more accurate predictions of intense precipitation events, contributing to better preparedness and response strategies.

Observation of Electrical Alignment Signatures in an Isolated Thunderstorm by Dual‐Polarized Phased Array Weather Radar and the Relationship With Intracloud Lightning Flash Rate

AbstractThe electrical alignment signatures of ice crystals in the middle and upper parts of a thunderstorm have a physical connection with the strong electric fields within the cloud. By taking advantage of the high spatio‐temporal resolution of an X‐band dual‐polarized multiparameter phased array radar, this paper employs negative KDP signatures to investigate the variation of electric fields in an isolated thunderstorm within its evolution, and the relationship between the negative KDP signatures and intracloud (IC) lightning activity. The results show that the radar‐inferred strong electric fields distributed in a region of about 8.5–10 km during the developing stage, then extended from about 10 km to the cloud top during the mature stage, with an increasing IC lightning flash rate before the end of the mature stage. Subsequently, the electric fields weakened associated with a large amount of IC lightning discharges. The qualitative analysis results indicate that the evolution of the radar‐inferred electric fields associated with the upper charge regions is consistent with the electrification process in the isolated thunderstorm, inferred by the IC lighting activity. In addition, there is a tendency for the increased IC lightning rate as the decrease in average composite KDP in the middle and upper layers of the thunderstorm, with a time lag of about 5.5 min between the minimum average composite KDP and the peak IC lightning rate, while a good correlation between the negative KDP volume and the IC lightning flash rate at a lag of approximately 9 min.

Lightning activity in India an important cause of increase in fatalities

With Recent increase in deaths due to lightning activity in India we are posed with a question - are these fatalities related to increase in the lightning activity owing to climate change? The IPCC report (2013) projects global warming of 1-5 °C by the end of 21st Century. The global warming is closely related to increased concentration of greenhouse gases. Previous studies have shown that on different temporal and spatial scales small increases in surface temperature leads to increase in thunderstorm and lightning activity. The lightning induced deaths are on the rise especially in the tropical south Asia and Africa but IPCC report does not explicitly deals with lightning activity and its future projection. Studies on this aspect become all the more important as the subgrid scale phenomena such as convective clouds and hence lightning are poorly resolved and taken in to account by climate models. In order to address this issue we have analyzed trends of lightning activity, surface temperature, upper tropospheric water vapour, cloud ice, Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and aerosols. We also present correlation of these parameters with lightning activity using lightning flash rate data of Lightning Imaging Sensor aboard TRMM, TRMM Level -2 Precipitation Radar data, gridded temperature data of IMD, aerosol data acquired by MODIS. The result indicates that upper tropospheric temperature rise is more than surface temperature rise. This imply stable atmosphere with fewer thunderstorms. The increased convection transports additional water vapour into upper troposphere. The water vapour acts as green house has by absorbing infrared radiation emitted by the surface of the Earth. This results in more warming in the upper troposphere than at the surface and stabilizing of the atmosphere. However, results also show that within the thunderstorm the instability measured by CAPE is positively correlated with lightning activity. This paradox of stabilization of global mean atmosphere with increase in lighting activity leads us to conclude that tough thunderstorm activity has subdued but those develop are much more explosive producing more lightning activity and perhaps lead to more fatalities.

Observational evidence of the association between aerosol properties and lightning characteristics in the Indian subcontinent

Abstract Lightning is a leading cause of natural disaster-related mortality in the Indian Subcontinent. Currently, there is a lack of observational evidence supporting the role of aerosol composition in modulating lightning intensity and trends in this region. In this study, we analyzed satellite and reanalysis datasets to examine the association between aerosol properties and lightning intensity over three contrasting geographic regions of Indian subcontinent during the premonsoon season (1998-2022). By comparing lightning and non-lightning days, we found a 0.1 unit increase in total aerosol optical depth specifically on lightning days in all three study areas. Additionally, we observed that the aerosol composition of a region influences convective activity. The presence of dust alongside fine aerosols acts as efficient ice nuclei, thereby stimulating lightning activity in all three regions. Therefore, considering aerosol composition together with local meteorology is essential for accurately predicting lightning flash rates in a region.

Secondary Gravity Wave Propagation in Tropical Thermospheric Region: Role of Varying Kinematic Viscosity

AbstractThe current study has investigated the thunderstorm induced atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) over Indian region based on the perturbation signatures in ionospheric total electron content (TEC) measurement. Robust traveling ionospheric disturbance (TID) signature has been identified along the east side of the thunderstorm affected area. Neutral wind was found to have a favorable impact in this aspect for a certain time duration of the day by modulating the vertical wavelength. The role of temperature was analyzed in terms of kinematic viscosity which is a crucial component, especially over tropical region, for wave dissipation and reflection along its propagation path. Ray tracing algorithm is also applied with varying kinematic viscosity and thermal diffusivity for retrieval of possible ray paths and source location of observed waves. A statistical investigation has been carried out to identify the dissipation altitude of observed waves along the ray paths. It has been found that all waves dissipated at almost a constant altitude for a specific kinematic viscosity and above this altitude vertical wavelength was found to decrease. The ray paths interacted at a common point which was located at about 125 km altitude and was very close to the region of maximum lightning activity. It can also be noted that the observed phase velocities can't be achieved by a wave below the turbopause. It indicates that the observed waves were excited from a secondary source and not directly connected to convective system. The study provides an in‐depth analysis of mesoscale system induced gravity wave propagation and dissipation over tropical region.

Global climate change below 2 °C avoids large end century increases in burned area in Canada

AbstractWildfire impacts the global carbon cycle, property, harvestable timber, and public health. Canada saw a record fire season in 2023 with 14.9 Mha burned—over seven times the 1986–2022 average of 2.1 Mha. Here we utilize a new process-based wildfire module that explicitly represents fire weather, fuel type and availability, ignition sources, fire suppression, and vegetation’s climate response to project the future of wildfire in Canada. Under rapid climate change (shared socioeconomic pathway [SSP] 370 & 585) simulated annual burned area in the 2090 s reaches 10.2 ± 2.1 to 11.7 ± 2.4 Mha, approaching the 2023 fire season total. However, climate change below a 2 °C global target (SSP126), keeps the 2090 s area burned near modern (2004–2014) norms. The simulated area burned and carbon emissions are most sensitive to climate drivers and lightning but future lightning activity is a key uncertainty.

Склоновая и высотная приуроченность молниевых разрядов и пожаров от гроз в горной местности (на примере территории Республики Алтай)

The aim of the proposed study is to analyze the relationship of lightning discharges and fires from thunderstorms to altitude above sea level and slope angle of the terrain. It has been found that the highest proportion and density of fires are characteristic of the altitude range from 1000 to 1500 meters above sea level. The highest density of lightning activity is observed in the altitude range of 500-750 meters. With further increase in altitude, the density of lightning and fires decreases. A direct correlation has been noted between the increase in fire density and the increase in slope steepness up to 35 degrees. The study is based on data from the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) and fire data provided by the Ministry of Natural Resources, Ecology and Tourism of the Altai Republic and the Altai State Natural Biosphere Reserve. The assessment of morphometric dependence of thunderstorm forest fires on the studied territory is conducted for the first time.

How Do Schumann Resonance Frequency Changes in the Vertical Electric Field Component Reflect Global Lightning Dynamics at Different Time Scales?

AbstractThe electromagnetic waves in the Schumann resonance (SR) frequency range (<100 Hz) radiated by natural “lightning antennas” excite the Earth‐ionosphere cavity confined between the Earth's surface and the lower ionosphere. The peak frequencies of SR are known to vary with source‐observer distance (SOD), while the daily frequency range (DFR: fmax − fmin) is also indicative of the average size of thunderstorm regions. This paper provides observational evidence for these relationships based on SR frequency observations of the vertical electric (EZ) field component at Nagycenk (NCK), Hungary in Central Europe from the period 1994–2015. Variations of the peak frequencies are considered on the annual, seasonal and diurnal time scales as well as during a specific event when squall‐line formation of lightning activity in South America moves toward NCK. DFR is studied in relation to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Increasing area of lightning activity in mid‐high Northern hemisphere latitudes has been identified by DFR variations during the transition from warm to cold episodes of the ENSO in 1998 and 2010. The extension of the lightning area is considered as a consequence of energy released in the tropics and exported to higher latitudes with some months of delay from the end of the El Niño episodes. The frequency variations are interpreted via model calculations and supported with satellite‐based optical lightning observations (Optical Transient Detector, Geostationary Lightning Mapper). The described variations of SR peak frequencies and DFR yield information on the global/regional lightning dynamics and on this basis they have important application to climate issues as well.

Installation and initial measurement results of the Rogowski-coil-based wind turbine lightning current waveform measurement system

This paper introduces a lightning current waveform measurement system developed at the University of Zagreb's high-voltage laboratory. It details the installation process and initial measurements of the prototype, which was deployed on a wind turbine in the southern part of Croatia, an area prone to winter lightning activity. The system employs two Rogowski coils - one high-frequency, high-amplitude (1 MHz, ±250 kA) and one low-frequency, low-amplitude (10 kHz, ±12.5 kA) - both fixed with magnets near the base of the wind turbine tower. The system efficiently captures both continuing-type currents, such as initial continuous currents, and pulse-type currents, such as return strokes and superimposed impulses. A detailed analysis of a typical upward lightning strike highlights the challenges in waveform measurement, including issues like 2-MHz oscillations in high-frequency sensor measurements and DC offsets in low-frequency sensor measurements. Validation against lightning location system data confirms the overall effectiveness of the current measurements, with the return stroke timestamps matching within the millisecond range.

Lightning activity and its connection with weather-related parameters over Sri Lanka

Lightning activity and its connection with weather-related parameters over Sri Lanka

Study on Prediction of Lightning Impulses on Transmission Line Tower Due to Harsh Field and Variable Working Condition, Environmental Condition and Tower Footing Resistances

The current state of transmission system design and development is greatly hampered by over voltages caused by lightning. To mitigate over voltage problems, researchers must be nearly obsessive. Since lightning strikes transmission and distribution network components like lines and substations, personnel are also seriously put in danger. Lightning prediction holds great significance, in addition to Lightning Detection Networks (LDNs) that offer ample information regarding lightning activity. Through the use of a fuzzy forecasting system, we are able to determine the chance of lightning in the low, medium, and high range. The method used to forecast lightning threats is provided by this system.

Investigation of anomalous lightning activity during the January 15, 2022 Tonga volcano eruption based on measurements of the VLF and ELF electromagnetic fields

An anomalous increase in the level of Very Low Frequency (VLF, 3–30 kHz) and Extremely Low Frequency (ELF, 3–3000 Hz) radio noise and the rate of VLF atmospherics was registered during the explosive eruption of the Tonga volcano on January 15, 2022 at the Akademik Vernadsky station (65.246°S; 64.257°W) about 8870 km from the volcano. At the peak activity around 5 UT, the number of atmospherics in 2-min intervals increased by almost 15 times compared to the period preceding the eruption. At this point, the estimated rate reached 360 VLF atmospherics per second. At the same time, an increase in the power spectral density of the magnetic field by 5–9 times was observed in both the ELF and VLF ranges. After 40 min, only on ELF an increased peak lasting ∼10 min was observed, comparable in magnitude to the main peak. According to the Worldwide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN), increased thunderstorm activity was concentrated very close to the volcano during this period. This discrepancy between the intensities of ELF and VLF radiation suggests a significant difference in the parameters of currents in lightning discharges occurring in the area of the volcano vent and in the area of the volcanic ash plume.

First observation results of Macao Science Satellite 1 on lightning-induced electron precipitation

AbstractThe mid-energy electron detector (MEED) is a space-borne instrument onboard Macao Science Satellite 1 (MSS-1) dedicated to monitoring the typical charged particle radiation characteristics in the satellite orbit and the process of their occurrence and development, including short bursts of lightning-induced electron precipitation (LEP). This paper presents the first results of the LEP measurements by the MSS-1. 47 LEP events are identified with the routine operation for 3 months since satellite launch, all within the range of 1.5<L<3.0 (where L represents the McIlwain L-parameter), and the causative lightning discharges are definitively geo-located for these LEP events. The LEP events occur within <1 s of the causative lightning and consist of 40–300 keV electrons. A preliminary observation result indicates that, with medium-energy electron detectors, MSS-1 can present in-situ observations of large regions of enhanced background precipitation and reveal their fine spatiotemporal characteristics and spectral signatures. The collaborative VLF ground-based measurements at the Great Wall Station, Antarctica also have a good correspondence with LEP measurements of MSS-1. The observations also imply that lightning activity has a modulation effect on the energetic electron energy-spatial structure.

Differences in Thunderstorms' Ice Microphysics Between the Amazon and Central Africa Inferred From Spaceborne Passive Microwave and Radar Observations

AbstractThis study examines the differences related to microphysical properties of ice in thunderstorms over the Amazon and Congo Basin using the Precipitation Feature (PF) data sets derived from passive microwave and radar observations from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission and Global Precipitation Mission Core Satellites. Analysis reveals that Amazon thunderstorms are likely composed of ice crystals smaller but more numerous than those in the Congo Basin, resulting in half as many flashes per PF on average in the Amazon, for similar Ice Water Content (IWC) or Area of 30 dBZ at −10°C (Acharge). The increase of the flash count following an increase of the IWC (Acharge) is only 72% (61%) as effective in the Amazon as it would be in the Congo Basin area. PFs with similar 30 dBZ radar echo top heights exhibit lower Brightness Temperatures (TBs) in the 85/89, 165, and 183 GHz frequencies over the Amazon, indicating more numerous smaller ice particles compared to those over the Congo Basin, which tend to show colder TBs at 37 GHz, possibly due to more numerous large graupel or hail particles. Comparisons of TBs in PFs with similar 30 dBZ echo top temperature between the Amazon and 3 × 3º global grids show that the median TB in Amazon is higher than that in most oceanic areas but is comparable to areas having high oceanic lightning activity (e.g., South Pacific Convergence Zone). It suggests that systems in the Amazon have similarities with maritime precipitation systems, yet with distinct characteristics indicative of land systems.

Whistler echo trains triggered by energetic winter lightning

Lightning generated electromagnetic impulses propagating in the magnetospheric plasma disperse into whistlers – several seconds long radio wave signals with decreasing frequency. Sometimes, multiple reflections form long echo trains containing many whistlers with increasing dispersion. On January 3, 2017, two necessary prerequisites – a pronounced lightning activity and a magnetospheric plasma duct – allowed for observations of a large number of whistler echo trains by the high-latitude station in Kannuslehto, Finland. Our investigation reveals that the duct existed for nearly eight hours. We show that causative lightning sferics arrived to the duct entry from three different winter thunderstorms: a small storm at the Norwegian coast, which produced energetic lightning capable to trigger echo trains in 50% of cases, and two large storms at unexpectedly distant locations in the Mediterranean region. Our results show that intense thunderstorms can repetitively feed electromagnetic energy into a magnetospheric duct and form whistler echo trains after subionospheric propagation over distances as large as 4000 km.

Total lightning signatures in a tornadic thunderstorm over the Pearl River Delta of Southern China

Tornado rises rotating air columns extending from the bottom of cumulonimbus clouds to the ground, often accompanied by strong convection with thunderstorms, hail, and short-term heavy precipitation, which seriously threaten people's lives and property safety. Studying the characteristics of thunderstorm activity during a tornado is crucial for comprehending the atmospheric electrical mechanisms involved in its generation process and developing cooperative methods for tornado warning and forecasting. Based on the VLF/LF total lightning location system and radar echo data, this paper analyzes the spatial-temporal evolution, frequency, polarity, and height of total lightning during a strong tornado (EF3) in the Pearl River Delta region on June 3, 2014. The lightning activity lasted for about 3.5 h, with a total of 41,117 total lightning flashes, of which intra-cloud (IC) flashes accounted for 74.7%, cloud-to-ground (CG) flashes accounted for 21.6%, and narrow bipolar events (NBEs) accounted for 3.7%. Connected-Component Labeling (CCL) algorithm was used to divide the thunderstorm into four stages: initiation, development, maturation, and dissipation, and it was observed that the occurrence of tornadoes was closely related to total lightning activities. The observed characteristics of lightning activity in the tornado are summarized through comparison with other studies.