Life Years Gained Research Articles

The cost-effectiveness of non-invasive stool-based colorectal cancer screening offerings from age 45 for a commercial and medicare population

AimThe United States Preventive Services Taskforce (USPSTF) recently recommended lowering the age for average-risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening from 50 to 45 years. While initiating screening at age 45 versus 50 provides a greater opportunity for CRC early detection and prevention, the full profile of benefits, risks, and cost-effectiveness of expanding the screen-eligible population requires further evaluation.Materials and methodsThe costs and clinical outcomes for screening at age 45 for triennial multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA], and other non-invasive stool-based modalities (annual fecal immunochemical test [FIT] and annual fecal-occult blood test [FOBT]), were estimated using the validated CRC-AIM microsimulation model over a lifetime horizon. Test sensitivity and specificity inputs were based on 2021 USPSTF modeling analyses; adherence rates were based on published real-world data and the costs of the screening test, follow-up colonoscopies, complications, and CRC care were included. Outcomes are reported from the perspective of a United States payer as clinical, life-years gained (LYG), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); stool-based and follow-up colonoscopy adherence ranges were explored in one-way, probabilistic and threshold analyses.ResultsWhen compared to initiation of CRC screening at age 45 versus 50, all modalities reduced both the incidence of and mortality from CRC and increased LYG. Initiating CRC screening at age 45 was cost-effective with an ICER of $59,816 and $35,857 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for mt-sDNA versus FIT and FOBT, respectively. In the threshold analyses, at equivalent rates to stool-based screening, mt-sDNA was always cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY versus FIT and FOBT.ConclusionsInitiating average-risk CRC screening at age 45 instead of age 50 increases the estimated clinical benefit by reducing disease burden while remaining cost-effective. Among stool-based screening modalities, mt-sDNA provides the most clinical benefit in a Commercial and Medicare population.

Cost-Effectiveness of Lorlatinib for the Treatment of Adult Patients with Anaplastic Lymphoma Kinase Positive Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in Spain.

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the efficiency of lorlatinib compared to alectinib and brigatinib for the treatment of adult patients with anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-positive advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) previously not treated, in Spain. A partitioned survival model comprised progression free, non-intracranial progression, intracranial progression, and death health states was constructed to estimate the total costs, life-years gained (LYG) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) accumulated in a lifetime horizon. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for lorlatinib were obtained from the CROWN study. For alectinib and brigatinib, a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials was conducted to estimate OS and PFS hazard ratios versus crizotinib. Utilities were estimated based on EQ-5D-5L data derived from the CROWN (lorlatinib), ALEX (alectinib) and ALTA-1L (brigatinib) studies. According to the Spanish National Health Service perspective the total costs (expressed in euros using a 2021 cost year) included drug acquisition and the administration's subsequent treatment, ALK+ advanced NSCLC management and adverse-event management, and palliative care. Unitary costs were obtained from local cost databases and literature. Costs, LYGs and QALYs were discounted at 3% annually. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to test the model's robustness. Lorlatinib provided higher health outcomes (+0.70 LYG/patient, +1.42 QALYs/patient) and lower costs (-€9239/patient) than alectinib. Lorlatinib yielded higher LYG (+1.74) and QALYs (+2.30) versus brigatinib but higher costs/patient (+€36,627), resulting in an incremental-cost-effectiveness-ratio of €15,912/QALY gained. The results of this study suggest that lorlatinib may be a dominant treatment option versus alectinib. Considering a willingness-to-pay threshold of €25,000/QALY, lorlatinib may be an efficient option compared to brigatinib.

Lipid-Lowering Strategies for Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease in the UK: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

We aimed to assess the cost effectiveness of four different lipid-lowering strategies for primary prevention of coronary heart disease initiated at ages 30, 40, 50, and 60 years from the UK National Health Service perspective. We developed a microsimulation model comparing the initiation of a lipid-lowering strategy to current standard of care (control). We included 458,692 participants of the UK Biobank study. The four lipid-lowering strategies were: (1) low/moderate-intensity statins; (2) high-intensity statins; (3) low/moderate-intensity statins and ezetimibe; and (4) inclisiran. The main outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for each lipid-lowering strategy compared to the control, with 3.5% annual discounting using 2021 GBP (£); incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were compared to the UK willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000-£30,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. The most effective intervention, low/moderate-intensity statins and ezetimibe, was projected to lead to a gain in quality-adjusted life-years of 0.067 per person initiated at 30 and 0.026 at age 60 years. Initiating therapy at 40 years of age was the most cost effective for all lipid-lowering strategies, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of £2553 (95% uncertainty interval: 1270, 3969), £4511 (3138, 6401), £11,107 (8655, 14,508), and £1,406,296 (1,121,775, 1,796,281) per quality-adjusted life-year gained for strategies 1-4, respectively. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were lower for male individuals (vs female individuals) and for people with higher (vs lower) low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol. For example, low/moderate-intensity statin use initiated from age 40 years had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £5891 (3822, 9348), £2174 (772, 4216), and was dominant (i.e. cost saving; -2,760, 350) in female individuals with a low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol of ≥ 3.0, ≥ 4.0 and ≥ 5.0 mmol/L, respectively. Inclisiran was not cost effective in any sub-group at its current price. Low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol lowering from early ages is a more cost-effective strategy than late intervention and cost effectiveness increased with the increasing lifetime risk of coronary heart disease.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine among adults in a Norwegian setting

BackgroundThe morbidity and mortality of adult diseases caused by S. pneumoniae increase with age and presence of underlying chronic diseases. Currently, two vaccine technologies against S. pneumoniae are used: the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) and the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, one of which is the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) that has recently been approved for adults.ObjectiveThis study was conducted to investigate the cost-effectiveness of implementing PCV20 in a reimbursement scheme for Norwegian adults aged 18–99 years at risk of pneumococcal diseases and those aged 65 years and older at low risk compared to PPV23.MethodsAn established Markov model was adapted to a Norwegian setting to estimate the economic and clinical consequences of vaccinating the Norwegian population in specific age and risk groups against pneumococcal diseases. Inputs for the model were found in Norwegian or Danish real-world evidence or retrieved from available studies. The costs and clinical outcomes were assessed using a health sector perspective and a lifetime time horizon.ResultsThe results showed that PCV20 was associated with better health outcomes including fewer disease cases, fewer disease-attributable fatalities, a higher gain of life years and quality-adjusted life years compared to PPV23. In addition, PCV20 had a lower total cost compared to PPV23. Therefore, PCV20 was the dominant vaccination strategy. The base case result was investigated in multiple sensitivity analyses, which showed that the results were robust to changes in input parameters and methodological assumptions, as PCV20 remained the dominant vaccination strategy in almost all scenarios.ConclusionResults showed that vaccinating the Norwegian adults with PCV20 was cost-effective compared to PPV23. Changes in the hospital cost of pneumonia, the price of PCV 20, the effectiveness of PCV20 against pneumonia, and the pneumonia disease incidence had the highest impact on the ICER, i.e., were the main drivers of the results.

Cetuximab as first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): a model-based economic evaluation in Indonesia setting

ObjectivesTo assess the cost-effectiveness of cetuximab in combination with chemotherapy fluorouracil, oxaliplatin, and leucovorin (FOLFOX) or fluorouracil, irinotecan and leucovorin (FOLFIRI) compared to standard chemotherapy alone as a first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) with positive KRAS wild type patients in Indonesia.MethodsA cost-utility analysis applying Markov model was constructed, with a societal perspective. Clinical evidence was derived from published clinical trials. Direct medical costs were gathered from hospital billings. Meanwhile, direct non-medical costs, indirect costs, and utility data were collected by directly interviewing patients. We applied 3% discount rate for both costs and outcomes. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to explore the model’s uncertainty. Additionally, using payer perspective, budget impact analysis was estimated to project the financial impact of treatment coverage.ResultsThere was no significant difference in life years gained (LYG) between cetuximab plus FOLFOX/FOLFIRI and chemotherapy alone. The incremental QALY was only one month, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was approximately IDR 3 billion/QALY for cetuximab plus chemotherapy. Using 1–3 GDP per capita (IDR 215 million or USD 14,350) as the current threshold, the cetuximab plus chemotherapy was not cost-effective. The budget impact analysis resulted that if cetuximab plus chemotherapy remain included in the benefits package under the Indonesian national health insurance (NHI) system, the payer would need more than IDR 1 trillion for five years.ConclusionsThe combination of cetuximab and chemotherapy for mCRC is unlikely cost-effective and has a substantial financial impact on the system.

Cost-utility analysis of using paliperidone palmitate in schizophrenia in China.

Objective: Long-acting injections (LAIs) of paliperidone palmitate have been shown to improve medication adherence and relieve psychotic symptoms. However, the specific cost-utility analysis of these LAIs in schizophrenia in China remains unclear. Methods: A multi-state Markov model was constructed to simulate the economic outcomes of patients with schizophrenia in China who received paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation (PP1M), paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation (PP3M), and paliperidone extended-release (ER). A cost-utility analysis was conducted, mostly derived from published literature and clinical databases. All costs and utilities were discounted at a rate of 5% per annum. The primary outcome measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). A series of sensitivity analyses were also applied. Results: After 20years, compared to ER, using PP1M resulted in an increased discounted cost from $36,252.59 to $43,207.28. This increased cost was associated with a gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) from 8.60 to 9.45. As a result, the ICER for PP1M was estimated to be $8,247.46/QALY, which was lower than the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $12,756.55/QALY. When using PP3M instead of ER, the incremental cost was $768.81 and the incremental utility was 0.88 QALYs, projecting an ICER of $873.13/QALY, which was also lower than the WTP threshold of $12,756.55/QALY. The univariate sensitivity analysis showed that the costs of PP1M, PP3M, and ER had the greatest impact on ICERs. The probability sensitivity analysis (PSA) revealed that when the WTP thresholds were $12,756.55/QALY, the probability of PP1M and PP3M being cost-effective was 59.2% and 66.0%, respectively. Conclusion: From the Chinese healthcare system perspective, PP3M and PP1M are both more cost-effective compared to ER, and PP3M has notable cost-utility advantages over PP1M.

An Updated Analysis of the Impact of HPV Vaccination Based on Long-term Effectiveness in the Netherlands.

Vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV) is considered the most effective strategy to protect women from cervical cancer. Three HPV vaccines are currently licensed in Europe and, although they are generally supported by favorable health economic outcomes, current models fall short in predicting vaccination benefits. Here, we aim to re-evaluate the health benefits of HPV vaccination, using updated long-term effectiveness data and emphasizing quality of life losses related to pre-cancer disease and treatment. We used a static Markov model that compared "only screening" (includes unvaccinated girls) and "vaccination" (assumes 100% vaccination coverage with the bivalent HPV vaccine). A lifetime cohort of 100,000 uninfected 12-year-old girls was included, in which the number of cases with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or higher/3 (CIN2+, CIN3), cervical cancer, and cervical cancer deaths per scenario were determined. Furthermore, the reduction in major excisional procedures, the preterm deliveries averted, and the related gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) due to vaccination were estimated. The bivalent vaccine showed larger reductions in CIN2+, CIN3, cervical cancer cases, cervical cancer deaths, and major excisional treatments, after including long-term efficacy and effectiveness data, compared to previous data. Moreover, we observed an increased amount of QALYs gained due to prevention of major excisional treatment and the negative side effects related to it. Updated health economic models for HPV vaccination, using updated and long-term effectiveness data and including prevention of treatment-related side effects, demonstrate a substantial additional positive effect on vaccination outcomes. Indeed, extrapolation of the bivalent HPV vaccine's updated long-term effectiveness data against HPV-related cervical diseases shows that the positive effects of vaccination may be more substantial than previously estimated. There is a graphical abstract available for this article.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of atezolizumab as adjuvant treatment of patients with stage II-IIIA non-small cell lung cancer, PD-L1+≥50% of tumor cells in France: A modeling study

IntroductionThe objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab versus best supportive care (BSC) as adjuvant treatment following resection and platinum-based chemotherapy for patients with stage II-IIIA non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) whose tumours have a programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression ≥ 50% of tumour cells and excluding those with ALK/EGFR mutations, from a French collective perspective. Material and MethodsA five state Markov model over a 20-year time horizon was considered, including disease-free survival (DFS11Abbreviations: AE: adverse event; ALK: anaplastic lymphoma kinase; BSC: best supportive care; DFS: disease-free survival; DSA: deterministic sensitivity analyses; EFGR: epidermal growth factor receptor; EQ-5D: EuroQol-5 dimension; HAS: Haute Autorité de Santé; ICs: immune cells; ICER: incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; IgG1: immunoglobulin G1; IV: intravenous; KM: Kaplan-Meier; LY: life-year; NSCLC: non-small cell lung cancer; OS: overall survival; PD-L1: programmed death-ligand 1; PSA: probabilistic sensitivity analysis; QALY: quality-adjusted life-year; QoL: quality of life; TCs: tumor cells.) from IMpower010 trial, three progression states (locoregional recurrence, first and second-line metastatic recurrence) and death. Utilities, quality-adjusted life year (QALY) decrements associated to adverse events, costs, resource use, and transition probabilities were considered in the model. These inputs were sourced from IMpower010 trial, literature, and clinical experts’ opinion. Model uncertainty was assessed through deterministic, probabilistic sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses. ResultsAtezolizumab was associated with a QALY gain of 1.662, mainly driven by additional time spent in the DFS state, and a life-year gain of 2.112 years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for atezolizumab versus BSC was €21,348/QALY gained. The sensitivity analyses highlighted that uncertainty within the model had limited impact on results. Changing the DFS survival curves to other plausible distributions produced ICERs below €20,000/QALY. Introducing an increasing proportion of cured patients (91.5%) from year two to year five reduced the ICER to €13,083/QALY, while including a loss of efficacy at year two in the atezolizumab treatment arm increased the ICER to €33,755/QALY. DiscussionAtezolizumab as adjuvant treatment in stage II-IIIA NSCLC resected patients with PDL1 ≥ 50% and without ALK/EGFR mutations has a lower ICER than other oncology drugs in France and a similar ICER to other adjuvant treatment in oncology.

Implementing preconception expanded carrier screening in a universal health care system: A model-based cost-effectiveness analysis

PurposeThe limited evidence available on the cost-effectiveness (CE) of expanded carrier screening (ECS) prevents its widespread use in most countries, including Italy. Herein, we aimed to estimate the CE of 3 ECS panels (ie, American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics [ACMG] Tier 1 screening, “Focused Screening,” testing 15 severe, highly penetrant conditions, and ACMG Tier 3 screening) compared with no screening, the health care model currently adopted in Italy. MethodsThe reference population consisted of Italian couples seeking pregnancy with no increased personal/familial genetic risk. The CE model was developed from the perspective of the Italian universal health care system and was based on the following assumptions: 100% sensitivity of investigated screening strategies, 77% intervention rate of at-risk couples (ARCs), and no risk to conceive an affected child by risk-averse couples opting for medical interventions. ResultsThe incremental CE ratios generated by comparing each genetic screening panel with no screening were: −14,875 ± 1,208 €/life years gained (LYG) for ACMG1S, −106,863 ± 2,379 €/LYG for Focused Screening, and −47,277 ± 1,430 €/LYG for ACMG3S. ACMG1S and Focused Screening were dominated by ACMG3S. The parameter uncertainty did not significantly affect the outcome of the analyses. ConclusionFrom a universal health care system perspective, all the 3 ECS panels considered in the study would be more cost-effective than no screening.

Pharmacoeconomic analysis of tixagevimab and cilgavimab combination for COVID-19 therapy

Objective: to evaluate the pharmacoeconomic feasibility of using monoclonal antibodies or their combinations vs standard therapy in patients with mild and moderate-severe COVID-19 in order to prevent the severe course of the disease.Material and methods. The decision tree and Markov models for calculation of costs and outcomes were used for patients with COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 syndrome, respectively. The cost-effectiveness of tixagevimab and cilgavimab was evaluated in persons ≥18 years old not vaccinated against COVID-19 with a high risk of progression to severe COVID-19. Effectiveness and safety of tixagevimab and cilgavimab combination was assessed based on TACKLE phase III study results. The quantities of life years gained (LYG) and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) were calculated. Results were compared with the wiliness-to-pay threshold measured as tripled gross domestic product per capita according the World Health Organization recommendations.Results. Treatment of COVID-19 with tixagevimab and cilgavimab results in additional 0.2657 LIGs or 0.2255 QALYs. The cost of 1 LIG was 213,4 thousand rubles, the cost of 1 QALY was 251,5 thousand rubles. Both costs of LIG and QALY appeared to be significantly less compared to the wiliness-to-pay threshold equal to 3.09 million rubles in 2022.Conclusion. Treatment of mild and moderate-severe COVID-19 is economically feasible and may be recommended for wide use in the Russian healthcare system.

Estimated health economic impact of conducting urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio testing alongside estimated glomerular filtration rate testing in the early stages of chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes

AimTo estimate the health economic impact of undertaking urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) testing versus no UACR testing in early stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).MethodsAn economic model, taking a UK healthcare system perspective, estimated the impact of UACR testing on additional costs, clinical benefits measured as prevented dialyses and cardiovascular-related deaths, life years gained (LYg), LYg before kidney failure, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sixteen of the 18 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) heatmap categories were considered separately, and grouped in health states according to CKD risk. Results were derived for current standard-of-care and emerging CKD therapies.ResultsThe cohort that adhered to both UACR and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) testing guidelines in early stages of CKD (n = 1000) was associated with approximately 500 LYg before kidney failure onset; costing approximately £2.5 M. ICERs across the KDIGO heatmap categories were approximately £5,000.LimitationsThis model used data from a comprehensive meta-analysis that was initiated more than 10 years ago (2009). While this was the most comprehensive source identified, recent changes in the treatment landscape, patient population and social determinants of CKD will not be captured. Furthermore, a narrow approach was taken, aligning included costs with UK NHS reference materials. This means that some direct and indirect drivers of costs in late-stage disease have been excluded.ConclusionsUACR testing in the early stages of CKD is cost effective in T2D patients. Emerging therapies with the potential to slow CKD progression, mean that optimal monitoring through UACR/eGFR testing will become increasingly important for accurate identification and timely treatment initiation, particularly for the highest-risk A3 category.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Integrated Bite Case Management and Sustained Dog Vaccination for Rabies Control

The successful prevention, control, and elimination of dog-mediated rabies is challenging due to insufficient resource availability and inadequate placement. An integrated dog bite case management (IBCM) system plus dog vaccination can help address these challenges. Based on data from the IBCM system in Haiti, we conducted a cost-effectiveness evaluation of a newly established IBCM system plus sustained vaccination and compared it with 1) a no bite-case management (NBCM) and 2) a non-risk-based (NRB) program, where bite victims presenting at a health clinic would receive post-exposure prophylaxis regardless of risk assessment. We also provide cost-effectiveness guidance for an ongoing IBCM system and for sub-optimal dog vaccination coverages, considering that not all cost-effective interventions are affordable. Cost-effectiveness outcomes included average cost per human death averted (USD/death averted) and per life-year gained (LYG). The analysis used a governmental perspective. Considering a sustained 5-year implementation with 70% dog vaccination coverage, IBCM had a lower average cost per death averted (IBCM: $7,528, NBCM: $7,797, NRB: $15,244) and cost per LYG (IBCM: $152, NBCM: $158, NRB: $308) than NBCM and NRB programs. As sensitivity analysis, we estimated cost-effectiveness for alternative scenarios with lower dog-vaccination coverages (30%, 55%) and lower implementation costs. Our results suggest that better health and cost-effectiveness outcomes are achieved with the continued implementation of an IBCM program ($118 per life-year saved) compared with a newly established IBCM program ($152 per life-year saved). Our results suggest that IBCM is more cost-effective than non-integrated programs to eliminate dog-mediated human rabies.

Cost-Effectiveness of Robot-Assisted Radical Cystectomy vs Open Radical Cystectomy for Patients With Bladder Cancer

The value to payers of robot-assisted radical cystectomy with intracorporeal urinary diversion (iRARC) when compared with open radical cystectomy (ORC) for patients with bladder cancer is unclear. To compare the cost-effectiveness of iRARC with that of ORC. This economic evaluation used individual patient data from a randomized clinical trial at 9 surgical centers in the United Kingdom. Patients with nonmetastatic bladder cancer were recruited from March 20, 2017, to January 29, 2020. The analysis used a health service perspective and a 90-day time horizon, with supplementary analyses exploring patient benefits up to 1 year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken. Data were analyzed from January 13, 2022, to March 10, 2023. Patients were randomized to receive either iRARC (n = 169) or ORC (n = 169). Costs of surgery were calculated using surgery timings and equipment costs, with other hospital data based on counts of activity. Quality-adjusted life-years were calculated from European Quality of Life 5-Dimension 5-Level instrument responses. Prespecified subgroup analyses were undertaken based on patient characteristics and type of diversion. A total of 305 patients with available outcome data were included in the analysis, with a mean (SD) age of 68.3 (8.1) years, and of whom 241 (79.0%) were men. Robot-assisted radical cystectomy was associated with statistically significant reductions in admissions to intensive therapy (6.35% [95% CI, 0.42%-12.28%]), and readmissions to hospital (14.56% [95% CI, 5.00%-24.11%]), but increases in theater time (31.35 [95% CI, 13.67-49.02] minutes). The additional cost of iRARC per patient was £1124 (95% CI, -£576 to £2824 [US $1622 (95% CI, -$831 to $4075)]) with an associated gain in quality-adjusted life-years of 0.01124 (95% CI, 0.00391-0.01857). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was £100 008 (US $144 312) per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Robot-assisted radical cystectomy had a much higher probability of being cost-effective for subgroups defined by age, tumor stage, and performance status. In this economic evaluation of surgery for patients with bladder cancer, iRARC reduced short-term morbidity and some associated costs. While the resulting cost-effectiveness ratio was in excess of thresholds used by many publicly funded health systems, patient subgroups were identified for which iRARC had a high probability of being cost-effective. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03049410.

Cost-effectiveness of screening for chronic kidney disease in the general adult population: a systematic review.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health problem, with rising incidence and prevalence worldwide, and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Early identification and treatment of CKD can slow its progression and prevent complications, but it is not clear whether CKD screening is cost-effective. The aim of this study is to conduct a systematic review of the cost-effectiveness of CKD screening strategies in general adult populations worldwide, and to identify factors, settings and drivers of cost-effectiveness in CKD screening. Studies examining the cost-effectiveness of CKD screening in the general adult population were identified by systematic literature search on electronic databases (MEDLINE OVID, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science) for peer-reviewed publications, hand-searched reference lists and grey literature of relevant sites, focusing on the following themes: (i) CKD, (ii) screening and (iii) cost-effectiveness. Studies comprising health economic evaluations performed for CKD screening strategies, compared with no CKD screening or usual-care strategy in adult individuals, were included. Study characteristics, model assumptions and CKD screening strategies of selected studies were identified. The primary outcome of interest is the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of CKD screening, in cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and life-year gained (LYG), expressed in 2022 US dollars equivalent. Twenty-one studies were identified, examining CKD screening in general and targeted populations. The cost-effectiveness of screening for CKD was found to vary widely across different studies, with ICERs ranging from $113 to $430 595, with a median of $26 662 per QALY and from $6516 to $38 372, with a median of $29 112 per LYG. Based on the pre-defined cost-effectiveness threshold of $50 000 per QALY, the majority of the studies found CKD screening to be cost-effective. CKD screening was especially cost-effective in those with diabetes ($113 to $42 359, with a median of $27 471 per QALY) and ethnic groups identified to be higher risk of CKD development or progression ($23 902 per QALY in African American adults and $21 285 per QALY in Canadian indigenous adults), as indicated by a lower ICER. Additionally, the cost-effectiveness of CKD screening improved if it was performed in older adults, populations with higher CKD risk scores, or when setting a higher albuminuria detection threshold or increasing the interval between screening. In contrast, CKD screening was not cost-effective in populations without diabetes and hypertension (ICERs range from $117 769 to $1792 142, with a median of $202 761 per QALY). Treatment effectiveness, prevalence of CKD, cost of CKD treatment and discount rate were identified to be the most common influential drivers of the ICERs. Screening for CKD is especially cost-effective in patients with diabetes and high-risk ethnic groups, but not in populations without diabetes and hypertension. Increasing the age of screening, screening interval or albuminuria detection threshold, or selection of population based on CKD risk scores, may increase cost-effectiveness of CKD screening, while treatment effectiveness, prevalence of CKD, cost of CKD treatment and discount rate were influential drivers of the cost-effectiveness.

The Clinical Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Surveillance of Incidentally Detected Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia: A Microsimulation Analysis

Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is associated with a higher risk of noncardia intestinal gastric adenocarcinoma (GA). The aim of this study was to estimate lifetime benefits, complications, and cost-effectiveness of GIM surveillance using esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). We developed a semi-Markov microsimulation model of patients with incidentally detected GIM, to compare the effectiveness of EGD surveillance with no surveillance at 10-year, 5-year, 3-year, 2-year, and 1-year intervals. We modeled a simulated cohort of 1,000,000 US individuals aged 50 with incidental GIM. Outcome measures were lifetime GA incidence, mortality, number of EGDs, complications, undiscounted life-years gained, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). In the absence of surveillance, the model simulated 32.0 lifetime GA cases and 23.0 lifetime GA deaths per 1000 individuals with GIM, respectively. Among surveilled individuals, simulated lifetime GA incidence (per 1000) decreased with shorter surveillance intervals (10-year to 1-year, 11.2-6.1) as did GA mortality (7.4-3.6). Compared with no surveillance, all modeled surveillance intervals yielded greater life expectancy (87-190 undiscounted life-years gained per 1000); 5-year surveillance provided the greatest number of life-years gained per EGD performed and was the cost-effective strategy ($40,706/QALY). In individuals with risk factors of family history of GA or anatomically extensive, incomplete-type GIM intensified 3-year surveillance was cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $28,156/QALY and $87,020/QALY, respectively). Using microsimulation modeling, surveillance of incidentally detected GIM every 5 years is associated with reduced GA incidence/mortality and is cost-effective from a health care sector perspective. Real-world studies evaluating the impact of GIM surveillance on GA incidence and mortality in the United States are needed.

Colorectal cancer screening with blood-based tests: Estimated impact of a 1-, 2-, or 3-year screening interval compared with annual FIT and triennial mt-sDNA strategies.

10580 Background: Blood-based tests are an emerging option for non-invasive colorectal cancer (CRC) screening for which the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has proposed coverage every 3 years for average-risk individuals. Analyses with the CRC-AIM microsimulation model demonstrated that triennial screening with blood-based tests with CMS minimum performance often yields inferior outcomes to stool-based CRC screening (fecal immunochemical test [FIT] and multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA]). CRC-AIM was used to explore the impact of blood-based screening intervals, using reported performance characteristics from the ECLIPSE study (Guardant Health, Inc.)1, on estimated clinical outcomes vs FIT and mt-sDNA screening. Methods: Outcomes were simulated for average-risk individuals screened between ages 45-75 years. Intervals were set at 1, 2, or 3 years for blood-based, 3 years for mt-sDNA and annually for FIT screening. The blood-based test was modeled at 83% CRC sensitivity, 13% advanced adenoma sensitivity, and 90% specificity. Perfect adherence (100%) was modeled for blood-based tests and real-world adherence rates used for CRC initial screening tests (mt-sDNA=65.6%; FIT=42.6%) and follow-up colonoscopy (mt-sDNA=72.1%; FIT=46.0%). Primary outcomes were life-years gained (LYG) and colonoscopies (COL) per 1000 individuals for blood-based screening compared to mt-sDNA and FIT. As a secondary analysis, estimates were generated with perfect (100%) adherence assumed for initial screening and follow-up colonoscopy for mt-sDNA and FIT as well. Results: Blood-based testing at a 3-year interval with 100% adherence led to 11% fewer LYG than mt-sDNA at RWE adherence (240 vs 270, respectively), and 9% more COL (1402/1000 vs 1288/1000). Meanwhile, blood-based testing at a 1-year interval and perfect adherence (best case scenario) resulted in the lowest LYG per COL ratio across all scenarios (16% more LYG and 87% more COL compared to mt-sDNA at RWE adherence). Blood-based test results showed similar trends when compared to FIT. Conclusions: Outcomes for blood-based screening every 3 years based on reported test performance characteristics and unrealistic perfect adherence demonstrate fewer LYG as compared to either mt-sDNA or FIT. When compared to real-world adherence for mt-sDNA and FIT, blood-based tests with 1- and 2-year intervals and perfect adherence had higher LYG with the tradeoff of a greater number of diagnostic colonoscopies. [Table: see text]

The impact of extending CRC screening to the older population: Results from CRC-AIM microsimulation model.

10567 Background: Average-risk screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) is effective and recommended. The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force issued grade A and B recommendations for screening ages 50-75 and 45-49, respectively, however the recommendation for the older population (ages 76-85) is grade C (moderate certainty that the net benefit is small). With emerging blood-based CRC screening, we evaluated the benefits of screening the older population with continued multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) or FIT strategies and/or with a modality shift to blood-based tests after age 75. Methods: Using the validated CRC-AIM microsimulation model, triennial mt-sDNA and annual FIT screening (ages 45-75) followed by four strategies for ages 76-85 (no screening, continued mt-sDNA/FIT, or a modality shift to blood-based screening using either CMS criteria [CMS] or recently reported blood test data from the ECLIPSE study1 [BT; Guardant Health, Inc.] were considered. For CMS criteria and BT, CRC sensitivity were set at 74% and 83%; and adenoma sensitivity was set to 20%, and 13%; and CRC specificity was set to 90% for both tests. Real-world (RWE) adherence for initial screening was set to 80% (CMS, BT), 65.6% (mt-sDNA), and 42.6% (FIT). Adherence for follow-up colonoscopy was set to 72.1% (mt-sDNA, CMS, BT) and 46.0% (FIT). Results: Screening among the population aged 45-85 resulted in 281 life years gained (LYG) with continued mt-sDNA as compared to 193 with continued FIT. Furthermore, mt-sDNA reduced CRC mortality by 70% as compared to 49% by FIT (Table). When screening modality was shifted to CMS (76-85 year olds), mt-sDNA/CMS resulted in 279 LYG as compared to 196 for FIT/CMS. CRC incidence was reduced by 59% (mt-sDNA/CMS) as compared to 38% (FIT/CMS), and mortality declined by 69% (mt-sDNA/CMS) as compared to 51% (FIT/CMS). Reductions in disease burden were lower when modality was switched to BT after age 75 due to reduced test performance. Conclusions: Extending CRC screening to the older population with continued mt-sDNA demonstrated the best health outcomes compared to other modalities. A modality shift after age 75 to blood-based testing resulted in greater LYG as compared to no screening, with performance at CMS criteria yielding better results than BT. Therefore, despite inferior performance, blood-based tests may offer a CRC screening option for older patients who are unable to complete stool testing. [Table: see text]

Estimated value-based pricing for blood-based colorectal cancer screening test versus multi-target stool DNA test.

e18911 Background: Stool-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening with the multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test is a guideline endorsed strategy for average-risk individuals age ≥45 years and provides a reference for value-based pricing (VBP); maximum price at which a willingness-to-pay threshold is reached. Blood-based tests (BT) are an emerging screening option. Using recent reported BT performance data from the ECLIPSE study (Guardant Health, Inc.)1, the potential VBP of BT compared with multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) was analyzed. Methods: Using the validated CRC-AIM model, we simulated a cohort of 2 million average-risk individuals who received screening with BT at 1, 2, or 3-year intervals or triennial mt-sDNA between the ages of 45-75 years. For BT, CRC sensitivity, advanced adenoma sensitivity, and specificity were based on reported clinical trial data (83%, 13%, and 90%, respectively). Adherence assumptions for BT and mt-sDNA screening were modeled at perfect (100%) or real-world mt-sDNA adherence (RWE). Key outcomes were life-years gained (LYG) per 1000 individuals vs no screening, and VBP of BT vs mt-sDNA ($895 vs $508) was assessed at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Results: The triennial mt-sDNA was more effective and less costly vs BT at all intervals with both perfect and RWE adherence at the current price. Compared with mt-sDNA screening, LYG of screening with BT was lower (320 vs. 241-314) and the VBP should be at most $49 and $11 and no-cost at the 1-, 2-, and 3-year intervals, respectively (Table), when perfect adherence is assumed. With RWE adherence, the LYG with mt-sDNA was 306 compared to 229-284 with BT across all intervals. To be comparable to RWE triennial mt-sDNA screening, the maximum VBP for BT would need to be $13 at the 1-year interval and no cost for 2- and 3-year interval. Conclusions: Compared to annual, biannual, and triennial BT, triennial mt-sDNA was more effective at all intervals and 44% to 102% less costly. The maximum price of BT should not exceed $49 to be considered a cost-effective option compared to mt-sDNA when WTP is 50,000. [Table: see text]

Stratified primary care for adults with musculoskeletal pain: the STarT MSK research programme including RCTs

Stratified primary care for adults with musculoskeletal pain: the STarT MSK research programme including RCTs

Economic evaluations of radioembolization with yttrium-90 microspheres in liver metastases of colorectal cancer: a systematic review

BackgroundTransarterial radioembolization with yttrium-90 (Y-90 TARE) microspheres therapy has demonstrated positive clinical benefits for the treatment of liver metastases from colorectal cancer (lmCRC). This study aims to conduct a systematic review of the available economic evaluations of Y-90 TARE for lmCRC.MethodsEnglish and Spanish publications were identified from PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, MEDES health technology assessment agencies, and scientific congress databases published up to May 2021. The inclusion criteria considered only economic evaluations; thus, other types of studies were excluded. Purchasing-power-parity exchange rates for the year 2020 ($US PPP) were applied for cost harmonisation.ResultsFrom 423 records screened, seven economic evaluations (2 cost-analyses [CA] and 5 cost-utility-analyses [CUA]) were included (6 European and 1 USA). All included studies (n = 7) were evaluated from a payer and the social perspective (n = 1). Included studies evaluated patients with unresectable liver-predominant metastases of CRC, refractory to chemotherapy (n = 6), or chemotherapy-naïve (n = 1). Y-90 TARE was compared to best supportive care (BSC) (n = 4), an association of folinic acid, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) (n = 1), and hepatic artery infusion (HAI) (n = 2). Y-90 TARE increased life-years gained (LYG) versus BSC (1.12 and 1.35 LYG) and versus HAI (0.37 LYG). Y-90 TARE increased the quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) versus BSC (0.81 and 0.83 QALY) and versus HAI (0.35 QALY). When considering a lifetime horizon, Y-90 TARE reported incremental cost compared to BSC (range 19,225 to 25,320 $US PPP) and versus HAI (14,307 $US PPP). Y-90 TARE reported incremental cost-utility ratios (ICURs) between 23,875 $US PPP/QALY to 31,185 $US PPP/QALY. The probability of Y-90 TARE being cost-effective at £ 30,000/QALY threshold was between 56% and 57%.ConclusionsOur review highlights that Y-90 TARE could be a cost-effective therapy either as a monotherapy or when combined with systemic therapy for treating ImCRC. However, despite the current clinical evidence on Y-90 TARE in the treatment of ImCRC, the global economic evaluation reported for Y-90 TARE in ImCRC is limited (n = 7), therefore, we recommend future economic evaluations on Y-90 TARE versus alternative options in treating ImCRC from the societal perspective.