Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is widely known to cause heart failure. The catheter ablation for AF improves left ventricular function in many patients with heart failure. However, the predictors of left ventricular reverse remodeling are not well established. Purpose The purpose of this study was to examine the predictor of left ventricular reverse remodeling in patients with persistent AF. Methods The predictors of left ventricular reverse remodeling was examined using data from EARNEST-PVI trial which compared 12-month rhythm outcomes between persistent AF patients allocated to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) alone and those allocated to PVI followed by left atrial linear ablation or complex fractionated electrograms ablation. Left ventricular reverse remodeling in this study was defined as a 15% reduction of left ventricular systolic diameter at transthoracic echocardiogram 12 months after initial ablation compared to preoperative echocardiogram. Results Of the 512 patients enrolled in the EARNEST-PVI trial, 453 patients with preoperative and 12-month postoperative echocardiogram data were analyzed. Median age was 67 [60. 73] years and 75.7% were male. Recurrence of AF was observed in 106 patients (23.4%) during 12 months after the ablation. LVEF before the initial ablation was 44 [39, 47]% and LVEF 12 months after the initial ablation was 60 [55, 63]% (P<0.001), and LVDs before the initial ablation was 30 [27, 34] mm and LVDs after the initial ablation was 29 [27, 31] mm (P<0.001). Left ventricular reverse remodeling was observed in 78 patients (17.2%). Multivariate linear regression analysis showed age (Odds ratio 0.967 [95%CI=0.939-0.996], P=0.025), preoperative hear rate (Odds ratio 1.032 [95%CI=1.018-1.047], P<0.001) and the use of β-blocker (Odds ratio 2.119 [95%CI=1.235-3.638], P=0.006) were independently associated with left ventricular reverse remodeling but AF recurrence was not (Odds ratio 0.532 [95%CI=0.425-1.561], P=0.538). Conclusion Patients with persistent AF showed improvement of LVEF and left ventricular reverse remodeling 12 months after the catheter ablation. Age, heart rate before the initial ablation and the use of β-blocker were predictive factors for the left ventricular reverse remodeling after the ablation regardless of AF recurrence.
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