Least Absolute Shrinkage And Selection Operator Research Articles

A radiomics model utilizing CT for the early detection and diagnosis of severe community-acquired pneumonia

BackgroundCommunity-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) remains a significant global health concern, with a subset of cases progressing to Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia (SCAP). This study aims to develop and validate a CT-based radiomics model for the early detection of SCAP to enable timely intervention and improve patient outcomes.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted on 115 CAP and SCAP patients at Southern Medical University Shunde Hospital from January to December 2021. Using the Pyradiomics package, 107 radiomic features were extracted from CT scans, refined via intra-class and inter-class correlation coefficients, and narrowed down using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression model. The predictive performance of the radiomics-based model was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, employing machine learning classifiers such as k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), and Random Forest (RF), trained and validated on datasets split 7:3, with a training set (n = 80) and a validation set (n = 35).ResultsThe radiomics model exhibited robust predictive performance, with the RF classifier achieving superior precision and accuracy compared to LR, SVM, and KNN classifiers. Specifically, the RF classifier demonstrated a precision of 0.977 (training set) and 0.833 (validation set), as well as an accuracy of 0.925 (training set) and 0.857 (validation set), suggesting its superior performance in both metrics. Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was utilized to evaluate the clinical efficacy of the RF classifier, demonstrating a favorable net benefit within the threshold ranges of 0.1 to 0.8 for the training set and 0.2 to 0.7 for the validation set.ConclusionsThe radiomics model developed in this study shows promise for early SCAP detection and can improve clinical decision-making.

Preoperative prediction of rectal Cancer staging combining MRI deep transfer learning, radiomics features, and clinical factors: accurate differentiation from stage T2 to T3

BackgroundThis study evaluates the efficacy of integrating MRI deep transfer learning, radiomic signatures, and clinical variables to accurately preoperatively differentiate between stage T2 and T3 rectal cancer. MethodsWe included 361 patients with pathologically confirmed stage T2 or T3 rectal cancer, divided into a training set (252 patients) and a test set (109 patients) at a 7:3 ratio. The study utilized features derived from deep transfer learning and radiomics, with Spearman rank correlation and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression techniques to reduce feature redundancy. Predictive models were developed using Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), selecting the best-performing model for a comprehensive predictive framework incorporating clinical data.Results After removing redundant features, 24 key features were identified. In the training set, the area under the curve (AUC)values for LR, RF, DT, and SVM were 0.867, 0.834, 0.900, and 0.944, respectively; in the test set, they were 0.847, 0.803, 0.842, and 0.910, respectively. The combined model, using SVM and clinical variables, achieved AUCs of 0.946 in the trainingset and 0.920 in the test set.ConclusionThe study confirms the utility of a combined model of MRI deep transfer learning, radiomic features, and clinical factors for preoperative classification of stage T2 vs. T3 rectal cancer, offering significant technological support for precise diagnosis and potential clinical application.

Development of a prediction model for frailty among older Chinese individuals with type 2 diabetes residing in the community.

The study employed a retrospective survey of 458 older individuals with T2D residing in a Chinese community, conducted between June 2020 and May 2021, to develop a predictive model for frailty. Among the participants, 83 individuals (18.1%) were diagnosed with frailty using modified frailty phenotypic criteria. The predictors of frailty in this community-dwelling older population with T2D were determined using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariable logistic regression. These predictors were utilized to construct a nomogram. The discrimination, calibration, and medical usefulness of the prediction model were assessed through the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. Additionally, internal validation of the prediction model was conducted using bootstrapping validation. The developed nomogram for frailty prediction predominantly incorporated age, smoking status, regular exercise, depression, albumin (ALB) levels, sleep condition, HbA1c, and polypharmacy as significant predictors. Our prediction model demonstrated excellent discrimination and calibration, as evidenced by a C-index of 0.768 (95% CI, 0.714-0.822) and strong calibration. Internal validation yielded a C-index of 0.732, further confirming the reliability of the model. DCA indicated the utility of the nomogram in identifying frailty among the studied population. The development of a predictive model enables a valuable estimation of frailty among community-dwelling older individuals with type 2 diabetes. This evidence-based tool provides crucial guidance to community healthcare professionals in implementing timely preventive measures to mitigate the occurrence of frailty in high-risk patients. By identifying established predictors of frailty, interventions and resources can be appropriately targeted, promoting better overall health outcomes and improved quality of life in this vulnerable population.

A 18F-FDG PET/CT based radiomics nomogram for predicting disease-free survival in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma.

This study aimed to establish a clinical nomogram model based on a radiomics signatures derived from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) and clinical parameters to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma. Understanding and predicting DFS in these patients is key to optimizing treatment strategies. A retrospective analysis included 332 cases from July 2011 to July 2021 at The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, with PET/CT assessing radiomics features and clinicopathological features. Univariate Cox regression, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox, and multivariable Cox regression identified recurrence-related radiomics features. We used a weighted radiomics score (Rad-score) and independent risk factors to construct a nomogram. Evaluation involved time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The nomogram, incorporating Rad-score, pN, and pT demonstrated robust predictive ability for DFS in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma. Training cohort areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.78, 0.80, and 0.86 at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively, and validation cohort AUCs were 0.79, 0.75, and 0.73. DCA and calibration curves affirmed the nomogram's clinical relevance. The 18F-FDG PET/CT based radiomics nomogram, including Rad-score, pN, and pT, effectively predicted tumor recurrence in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma, significantly enhancing prognostic stratification. Our findings highlight the potential of this nomogram as a guide for clinical decision making to improve patient outcomes.

Development and Validation of a Carbohydrate Metabolism-Related Model for Predicting Prognosis and Immune Landscape in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients.

The activities and products of carbohydrate metabolism are involved in key processes of cancer. However, its relationship with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. The cancer genome atlas (TCGA)-HCC and ICGC-LIRI-JP datasets were acquired via public databases. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between HCC and control samples in the TCGA-HCC dataset were identified and overlapped with 355 carbohydrate metabolism-related genes (CRGs) to obtain differentially expressed CRGs (DE-CRGs). Then, univariate Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analyses were applied to identify risk model genes, and HCC samples were divided into high/low-risk groups according to the median risk score. Next, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed on the risk model genes. The sensitivity of the risk model to immunotherapy and chemotherapy was also explored. A total of 8 risk model genes, namely, G6PD, PFKFB4, ACAT1, ALDH2, ACYP1, OGDHL, ACADS, and TKTL1, were identified. Moreover, the risk score, cancer status, age, and pathologic T stage were strongly associated with the prognosis of HCC patients. Both the stromal score and immune score had significant negative/positive correlations with the risk score, reflecting the important role of the risk model in immunotherapy sensitivity. Furthermore, the stromal and immune scores had significant negative/positive correlations with risk scores, reflecting the important role of the risk model in immunotherapy sensitivity. Eventually, we found that high-/low-risk patients were more sensitive to 102 drugs, suggesting that the risk model exhibited sensitivity to chemotherapy drugs. The results of the experiments in HCC tissue samples validated the expression of the risk model genes. Through bioinformatic analysis, we constructed a carbohydrate metabolism-related risk model for HCC, contributing to the prognosis prediction and treatment of HCC patients.

The molecular prognostic score, a classifier for risk stratification of high-grade serous ovarian cancer

BackgroundThe clinicopathological parameters such as residual tumor, grade, the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) score are often used to predict the survival of ovarian cancer patients, but the 5-year survival of high grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) still remains around 30%. Hence, the relentless pursuit of enhanced prognostic tools for HGSOC, this study introduces an unprecedented gene expression-based molecular prognostic score (mPS). Derived from a novel 20-gene signature through Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)-Cox regression, the mPS stands out for its predictive prowess.ResultsValidation across diverse datasets, including training and test sets (n = 491 each) and a large HGSOC patient cohort from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis (OTTA) consortium (n = 7542), consistently shows an area-under-curve (AUC) around 0.7 for predicting 5-year overall survival. The mPS’s impact on prognosis resonates profoundly, yielding an adjusted hazard-ratio (HR) of 6.1 (95% CI: 3.65–10.3; p < 0.001), overshadowing conventional parameters—FIGO score, residual disease, and age. Molecular insights gleaned from mPS stratification uncover intriguing pathways, with focal-adhesion, Wnt, and Notch signaling upregulated, and antigen processing and presentation downregulated (p < 0.001) in high-risk HGSOC cohorts.ConclusionPositioned as a robust prognostic marker, the 20-gene signature-derived mPS emerges as a potential game-changer in clinical settings. Beyond its role in predicting overall survival, its implications extend to guiding alternative therapies, especially targeting Wnt/Notch signaling pathways and immune evasion—a promising avenue for improving outcomes in high-risk HGSOC patients.

Ultrasound-Based Radiomics for Predicting the WHO/ISUP Grading of Clear-Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

ObjectiveTo explore the performance of ultrasound image-based radiomics in predicting World Health Organization (WHO)/International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grading of clear-cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). MethodsA retrospective study was conducted via histopathological examination on participants with ccRCC from January 2021 to August 2023. Participants were randomly allocated to a training set and a validation set in a 3:1 ratio. The maximum cross-sectional image of the lesion on the preoperative ultrasound image was obtained, with the region of interest (ROI) delineated manually. Radiomic features were computed from the ROIs and subsequently normalized using Z-scores. Wilcoxon test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were applied for feature reduction and model development. The performance of the model was estimated by indicators including area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. ResultsA total of 336 participants (median age, 57 y; 106 women) with ccRCC were finally included, of whom 243 had low-grade tumors (grade 1–2) and 93 had high-grade tumors (grade 3–4). A total of 1163 radiomic features were extracted from the ROIs for model construction and 117 informative radiomics features selected by Wilcoxon test were submitted to LASSO. Our ultrasound-based radiomics model included 51 features and achieved AUCs of 0.90 and 0.79 for the training and validation sets, respectively. Within the training set, the sensitivity and specificity measured 0.75 and 0.92, respectively, whereas in the validation set, the sensitivity and specificity measured 0.65 and 0.84, respectively. In the subgroup analysis, for the training and validation sets Philips AUCs were 0.91 and 0.75, Toshiba AUCs were 0.82 and 0.90, and General Electric AUCs were 0.95 and 0.82, respectively. ConclusionUltrasound-based radiomics can effectively predict the WHO/ISUP grading of ccRCC.

Identification and Validation of a Novel Tertiary Lymphoid Structures-Related Prognostic Gene Signature in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors originating from the digestive system. Tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), non-lymphoid tissues outside of the lymphoid organs, are closely connected to chronic inflammation and tumorigenesis. However, the detailed relationship between TLS and HCC prognosis remained unclear. In this study, we aimed to construct a TLS-related gene signature for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) clinical data from 369 HCC tissues and 50 normal liver tissues were utilized to examine the differential expression of TLS-related genes. Based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis, the prognostic model was constructed using the TCGA cohort and validated in the GSE14520 cohort and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to validate the predictive ability of the prognostic model. Furthermore, Cox regression analysis was applied to identify whether the TLS score could be employed as an independent prognosis factor. A nomogram was developed to predict the survival probability of HCC patients. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways were performed for TLS-related genes. Genetic mutation analysis, the CIBERSORT algorithm, and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were used to assess the tumor mutation landscape and immune infiltration. Finally, the role of the TLS score in HCC therapy was investigated. Six genes were included in the construction of our prognostic model (CETP, DNASE1L3, PLAC8, SKAP1, C7, and VNN2), and we validated its accuracy. Survival analysis showed that patients in the high-TLS score group had a significantly better overall survival than those in the low-TLS score group. Univariate, multivariate Cox regression analysis and the establishment of a nomogram indicated that the TLS score could independently function as a potential prognostic marker. A significant association between TLS score and immunity was revealed by an analysis of gene alterations and immune cell infiltration. In addition, two subtypes of the TLS score could accurately predict the effectiveness of sorafenib, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), and immunotherapy in HCC patients. In this research, we conducted and validated a prognostic model associated with TLS that may be helpful for predicting clinical outcomes and treatment responsiveness for HCC patients.

Improving Short-Term, Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts by Integrating Weather Pattern Information into Model Output Statistics

Abstract Dynamical numerical weather prediction has remarkably improved over the last decades. Yet postprocessing techniques are needed to calibrate forecasts which are based on statistical and machine learning techniques. With recent advances in the derivation of year-round, large-scale atmospheric circulations, or weather regimes, the question arises of whether this information can be valuable within forecast postprocessing methods. This paper investigates this by proposing a bias correction scheme to integrate the atmospheric circulation state derived from empirical orthogonal functions, referred to as weather patterns, for deterministic short-term, near-surface temperature forecasts based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. We propose a computational study which first evaluates different weather pattern definitions (spatial domain) to improve temperature forecasts in Europe. As a bias could be associated with the weather pattern at the model initialization time or at the realization time of the forecast, both variants are tested in this study. We show that forecasted weather patterns with the identical spatial domain as the forecast show best skill reaching mean-square-error skill improvements of up to 3% (day ahead) or 1% (week ahead). Only considering land surface improvements in Europe, improvements of 4%–6% for day-ahead forecasts and 1%–5% for week-ahead forecasts are observable. We believe that this study not only introduces a simple yet effective tool to reduce bias in temperature forecasts but also contributes to the active discussion of how valuable weather patterns are and how to use them within forecast calibration techniques.

Identification of shared immune infiltration characteristic molecules in dermatomyositis and nasopharyngeal carcinoma using bioinformatics: Traits in dermatomyositis and nasopharyngeal cancer.

Dermatomyositis (DM) is a kind of dermatologically associated autoimmune disease that is notably associated with an increased risk of concurrent malignancies, although the underlying mechanisms remain to be fully elucidated. The purpose of this investigation was to examine the immunological parallels between DM and nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), with the aim of identifying pivotal biomarkers that could facilitate a deeper understanding and enhance the predictive capabilities of NPC in DM patients. Data for DM and NPC were sourced from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Immune infiltration was analyzed using the "cibersort" R package, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified with the "limma" package, and functional pathways were investigated through Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) and Gene Ontology (GO) analyses. Characteristic genes were determined by Utilizing Protein-Protein Interaction (PPI) and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), and their features were validated using the GSE53819 dataset. In comparison to normal samples, significant infiltration of macrophage M1 was observed in both DM and NPC. The analysis revealed 77 DEGs in DM and 1051 DEGs in NPC, with 22 genes found to be co-DEGs. Following PPI and LASSO analysis, six distinctive genes were retained. Notably, CCL8, IFIH1, CXCL10, and CXCL11 exhibited optimal diagnostic efficacy for NPC and displayed significant correlation with macrophage M1 infiltration within the carcinoma. Four characteristic genes, CCL8, IFIH1, CXCL10, and CXCL11 are risk factors for both DM and NPC. They exhibit a robust correlation with the incidence of NPC and offer a commendable diagnostic efficacy. Furthermore, they may serve as prospective predictive biomarkers for the emergence of NPC in DM.

Integrated Single-cell and Bulk RNA Sequencing Analysis Cross Talk between Ferroptosis-related Genes and Prognosis in Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Ferroptosis is a new type of programmed apoptosis and plays an important role in tumour inhibition and immunotherapy. In this study, we aimed to explore the potential role of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) and the potential therapeutic targets in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC). The transcription data of OCSCC samples were obtained from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database as a training dataset. The prognostic FRGs were extracted by univariate Cox regression analysis. Then, we constructed a prognostic model using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Cox analysis to determine the independent prognosis FRGs. Based on this model, risk scores were calculated for the OCSCC samples. The model's capability was further evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Then, we used the GSE41613 dataset as an external validation cohort to confirm the model's predictive capability. Next, the immune infiltration and somatic mutation analysis were applied. Lastly, single-cell transcriptomic analysis was used to identify the key cells. A total of 12 prognostic FRGs were identified. Eventually, 6 FRGs were screened as independent predictors and a prognostic model was constructed in the training dataset, which significantly stratified OCSCC samples into high-risk and low-risk groups based on overall survival. The external validation of the model using the GSE41613 dataset demonstrated a satisfactory predictive capability for the prognosis of OCSCC. Further analysis revealed that patients in the highrisk group had distinct immune infiltration and somatic mutation patterns from low-risk patients. Mast cell infiltrations were identified as prognostic immune cells and played a role in OCSCC partly through ferroptosis. We successfully constructed a novel 6 FRGs model and identified a prognostic immune cell, which can serve to predict clinical prognoses for OCSCC. Ferroptosis may be a new direction for immunotherapy of OCSCC.

The potential value of dual-energy CT radiomics in evaluating CD8+, CD163+ and αSMA+ cells in the tumor microenvironment of clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

This study aims to develop radiomics models and a nomogram based on machine learning techniques, preoperative dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) images, clinical and pathological characteristics, to explore the tumor microenvironment (TME) of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). We retrospectively recruited of 87 patients diagnosed with ccRCC through pathological confirmation from Center I (training set, n = 69; validation set, n = 18), and collected their DECT images and clinical information. Feature selection was conducted using variance threshold, SelectKBest, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Radiomics models were then established using 14 classifiers to predict TME cells. Subsequently, we selected the most predictive radiomics features to calculate the radiomics score (Radscore). A combined model was constructed through multivariate logistic regression analysis combining the Radscore and relevant clinical characteristics, and presented in the form of a nomogram. Additionally, 17 patients were recruited from Center II as an external validation cohort for the nomogram. The performance of the models was assessed using methods such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The validation set AUC values for the radiomics models assessing CD8+, CD163+, and αSMA+ cells were 0.875, 0.889, and 0.864, respectively. Additionally, the external validation cohort AUC value for the nomogram reaches 0.849 and shows good calibration. Radiomics models could allow for non-invasive assessment of TME cells from DECT images in ccRCC patients, promising to enhance our understanding and management of the tumor.

Baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics for prognosis prediction in diffuse large B cell lymphoma with extranodal involvement.

The objective of this investigation is to explore the capability of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics to predict the prognosis of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) with extranodal involvement (ENI). 126 patients diagnosed with DLBCL with ENI were included in the cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was utilized to refine the optimum subset from the 1328 features. Cox regression analyses were employed to discern significant clinical variables and conventional PET parameters, which were then employed with radiomics score to develop combined model for predicting both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The fitness and the predictive capability of the models were assessed via the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and concordance index (C-index). 62 patients experienced disease recurrence or progression and 28 patients ultimately died. The combined model exhibited a lower AIC value compared to the radiomics model and SDmax/clinical variables for both PFS (507.101 vs. 510.658 vs. 525.506) and OS (215.667 vs. 230.556 vs. 219.313), respectively. The C-indices of the combined model, radiomics model, and SDmax/clinical variables were 0.724, 0.704, and 0.615 for PFS, and 0.842, 0.744, and 0.792 for OS, respectively. Kaplan--Meier curves showed significantly higher rates of relapse and mortality among patients classified as high-risk compared to those classified as low-risk (all P < 0.05). The combined model of clinical variables, conventional PET parameters, and baseline PET/CT radiomics features demonstrates a higher accuracy in predicting the prognosis of DLBCL with ENI.

Genomics and proteomics to determine novel molecular subtypes and predict the response to immunotherapy and the effect of bevacizumab in glioblastoma

Glioblastoma (GBM) is a highly aggressive, infiltrative malignancy that cannot be completely cured by current treatment modalities, and therefore requires more precise molecular subtype signatures to predict treatment response for personalized precision therapy. Expression subtypes of GBM samples from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were identified using BayesNM and compared with existing molecular subtypes of GBM. Biological features of the subtypes were determined by single-sample gene set enrichment analysis. Genomic and proteomic data from GBM samples were combined and Genomic Identification of Significant Targets in Cancer analysis was used to screen genes with recurrent somatic copy-number alterations phenomenon. The immune environment among subtypes was compared by assessing the expression of immune molecules and the infiltration of immune cells. Molecular subtypes adapted to immunotherapy were identified based on Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) score. Finally, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression was performed on the expression profiles of S2, S3 and S4 in TCGA-GBM and RPPA to determine the respective corresponding best predictive model. Four novel molecular subtypes were classified. Specifically, S1 exhibited a low proliferative profile; S2 exhibited the profile of high proliferation, IDH1 mutation, TP53 mutation and deletion; S3 was characterized by high immune scores, innate immunity and adaptive immune infiltration scores, with the lowest TIDE score and was most likely to benefit from immunotherapy; S4 was characterized by high proliferation, EGFR amplification, and high protein abundance, and was the most suitable subtype for bevacizumab. LASSO analysis constructed the best prediction model composed of 13 genes in S2 with an accuracy of 96.7%, and the prediction model consisting of 17 genes in S3 with an accuracy of 86.7%, and screened 14 genes as components of the best prediction model in S4 with an accuracy of 93%. To conclude, our study classified reproducible and robust molecular subtypes of GBM, and these findings might contribute to the identification of patients responding to immunotherapy, thereby improving GBM prognosis.

Development of a nomogram to predict 30-day mortality in patients with post-infarction ventricular septal rupture

Ventricular septal rupture (VSR) is a mechanical complication of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and its mortality has not decreased significantly in recent decades. However, no clinical model has been developed to predict short-term mortality in patients with post-infarction VSR (PIVSR). This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the 30-day mortality by using the clinical characteristics of hospitalized patients with PIVSR. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct a nomogram by R. The model was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). The bootstrap method was used to validate the model internally. As a result, a nomogram was constructed by using six variables, including CRRT, mechanical ventilation, PPCI, WBC, PASP and methods of treatment. The AUC of the prediction model was 0.96 (0.93, 0.98). The prediction model was well calibrated. The DCA showed that if the threshold probability was between 15% and 95%, the nomogram model would provide a net benefit. The well-constructed and evaluated nomogram can be beneficial to clinicians to predict the risk of death within 30 days in patients with PIVSR.

Identification and validation of ferroptosis related markers in erythrocyte differentiation of umbilical cord blood-derived CD34+ cell by bioinformatic analysis

Ferroptosis has been observed to play an important role during erythrocyte differentiation (ED). However, the biological gene markers and ferroptosis mechanisms in ED remain unknown. We downloaded the datasets of ED in human umbilical cord blood-derived CD34+ cells from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Using median differentiation time, the sample was categorized into long and short groups. The differentially expressed ferroptosis-related genes (DE-FRGs) were screened using differential expression analysis. The enrichment analyses and a protein–protein interaction (PPI) network were conducted. To predict the ED stage, a logistic regression model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Overall, 22 DE-FRGs were identified. Ferroptosis-related pathways were enriched using Gene Ontology and the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis and Gene Set Variation Analysis revealed the primary involvement of DE-FRGs in JAK-STAT, MAPK, PI3K-AKT-mTORC1, WNT, and NOTCH signaling pathways. Ten-hub DE-FRGs were obtained using PPI analysis. Furthermore, we constructed mRNA-microRNA (miRNA) and mRNA-transcription factor networks. Immune cell infiltration levels differed significantly during ED. LASSO regression analysis established a signature using six DE-FRGs (ATF3, CDH2, CHAC1, DDR2, DPP4, and GDF15) related to the ED stage. Bioinformatic analyses identified ferroptosis-associated genes during ED, which were further validated. Overall, we identified ferroptosis-related genes to predict their correlations in ED. Exploring the underlying mechanisms of ferroptosis may help us better understand pathophysiological changes in ED and provide new evidence for clinical transformation.

Predicting recurrent gestational diabetes mellitus using artificial intelligence models: a retrospective cohort study.

We aimed to develop novel artificial intelligence (AI) models based on early pregnancy features to forecast the likelihood of recurrent gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) before 14weeks of gestation in subsequent pregnancies. This study involved a cohort of 588 women who had two consecutive singleton deliveries and were diagnosed with GDM during the index pregnancy. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis were used for feature selection. 5 AI algorithms, namely support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), light gradient boosting (LGB), decision tree classifier (DTC), and random forest (RF) classifier, and traditional multivariate logistic regression (LR) model, were employed to construct predictive models for recurrent GDM. 326 (55.4%) experienced GDM recurrence in subsequent pregnancy. In the training set (67% of the study sample), 13 features were selected for AI models construction. In the testing set (33% of the study sample), the AI models (LGB, RF, and XGB) exhibited outstanding discrimination, with AUROC values of 0.942, 0.936, and 0.924, respectively. The traditional LR model showed moderate discrimination (AUROC = 0.696). LGB, RF, and XGB models also demonstrated excellent calibration, while other models indicated a lack of fit. All AI models showed superior overall net benefits, with LGB, RF, and XGB outperforming the others. The proposed LGB model demonstrated exceptional accuracy, excellent calibration, and superior overall net benefits. These advancements have the potential to assist healthcare professionals in advising women with a history of GDM and in developing preventive strategies to mitigate the adverse effects on maternal and fetal well-being.

Radiomics Models Derived From Arterial-Phase-Enhanced CT Reliably Predict Both PD-L1 Expression and Immunotherapy Prognosis in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Retrospective, Multicenter Cohort Study

Rationale and objectivesImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) is a companion biomarker. This study aims to use baseline arterial phase enhanced CT (APECT) to construct efficient radiomic models for predicting PD-L1 expression and immunotherapy prognosis in NSCLC. Materials and methodsWe extracted radiomics features from the baseline APECT images of 204 patients enrolled in a published multicenter clinical trial that commenced on August 23, 2018, and concluded on November 15, 2019 (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03607539). Of these patients, 146 patients from selected centers were assigned to the training cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to reduce dimensionality of radiomics features and calculate tumor scores. Models were created using naive bayes, decision trees, XGBoost, and random forest algorithms according to tumor scores. These models were then validated in an independent validation cohort comprising 58 patients from the remaining centers. ResultsThe random forest algorithm outperformed the other methods. In the three-classification scenario, the random forest model achieving the area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.98 and 0.94 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the two-classification scenario, the random forest model achieved AUCs of 0.99 (95%CI: 0.97-1.0, P < 0.0001) and 0.93 (95%CI: 0.83-0.98, P < 0.0001) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Furthermore, patients classified as PD-L1 high-expression by this model can predict treatment response (AUC = 0.859, 95%CI: 0.7 – 0.96, P < 0.001) and improved survival (HR = 0.2, 95%CI: 0.08-0.53, P = 0.001) only in validation sintilimab arm. ConclusionRadiomics models based on APECT represent a potential noninvasive approach to robustly predict PD-L1 expression and ICI treatment outcomes in patients with NSCLC, which could significantly improve precision cancer immunotherapy.

Predicting hormone receptor status in invasive breast cancer through radiomics analysis of long-axis and short-axis ultrasound planes

The hormone receptor (HR) status plays a significant role in breast cancer, serving as the primary guide for treatment decisions and closely correlating with prognosis. This study aims to investigate the predictive value of radiomics analysis in long-axis and short-axis ultrasound planes for distinguishing between HR-positive and HR-negative breast cancers. A cohort of 505 patients from two hospitals was stratified into discovery (Institute 1, 416 patients) and validation (Institute 2, 89 patients) cohorts. A comprehensive set of 788 ultrasound radiomics features was extracted from both long-axis and short-axis ultrasound planes, respectively. Utilizing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, distinct models were constructed for the long-axis and short-axis data. Subsequently, radiomics scores (Rad-scores) were computed for each patient. Additionally, a combined model was formulated by integrating data from long-axis and short-axis Rad-scores along with clinical factors. The diagnostic efficacy of all models was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The long-axis and short-axis models, consisting of 11 features and 15 features, respectively, were established, yielding AUCs of 0.743 and 0.751 in the discovery cohort, and 0.795 and 0.744 in the validation cohort. The calculated long-axis and short-axis Rad-scores exhibited significant differences between HR-positive and HR-negative groups across all cohorts (all p < 0.001). Univariate analysis identified ultrasound-reported tumor size as an independent predictor. The combined model, incorporating long-axis and short-axis Rad-scores along with tumor size, achieved superior AUCs of 0.788 and 0.822 in the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. The combined model effectively distinguishes between HR-positive and HR-negative breast cancers based on ultrasound radiomics features and tumor size, which may offer a valuable tool to facilitate treatment decision making and prognostic assessment.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT radiomics signature for predicting gastric cancer survival

BackgroundSurvival prognosis of patients with gastric cancer (GC) often influences physicians’ choice of their follow-up treatment. This study aimed to develop a positron emission tomography (PET)-based radiomics model combined with clinical tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with GC.MethodsWe reviewed the clinical information of a total of 327 patients with pathological confirmation of GC undergoing 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18 F-FDG) PET scans. The patients were randomly classified into training (n = 229) and validation (n = 98) cohorts. We extracted 171 PET radiomics features from the PET images and determined the PET radiomics scores (RS) using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random survival forest (RSF). A radiomics model, including PET RS and clinical TNM staging, was constructed to predict the OS of patients with GC. This model was evaluated for discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.ResultsOn multivariate COX regression analysis, the difference between age, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), clinical TNM, and PET RS in GC patients was statistically significant (p < 0.05). A radiomics model was developed based on the results of COX regression. The model had the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) of 0.817 in the training cohort and 0.707 in the validation cohort and performed better than a single clinical model and a model with clinical features combined with clinical TNM staging. Further analyses showed higher PET RS in patients who were older (p < 0.001) and those who had elevated CEA (p < 0.001) and higher clinical TNM (p < 0.001). At different clinical TNM stages, a higher PET RS was associated with a worse survival prognosis.ConclusionsRadiomics models based on PET RS, clinical TNM, and clinical features may provide new tools for predicting OS in patients with GC.