Untreated ankle fractures with concomitant tibiofibular syndesmosis injury often lead to postoperative pain and early traumatic arthritis. CT has advantages in the preoperative diagnosis of combined ankle injuries. However, a few studies have investigated the best preoperative CT parameters to predict tibiofibular syndesmosis injuries associated with ankle fractures. This study aimed to identify and evaluate the optimal preoperative CT parameters for predicting tibiofibular syndesmosis injuries associated with ankle fractures. We retrospectively analyzed 129 patients who underwent preoperative CT of an ankle fracture treated between January 2016 and April 2022 at a tertiary A hospital. All patients underwent open reduction and internal fixation and intraoperative stability testing. Based on the Cotton test, the patients were divided into the stable group (n = 83, 64.3%) and unstable group (n = 46, 35.7%). After 1:1 propensity score matching, the general conditions, anterior tibiofibular distance (TFD), posterior TFD, maximum TFD, tibiofibular syndesmosis area, sagittal fracture angle, Angle-A, and Angle-B were compared between the stable and unstable groups. The propensity score-matched cohort comprised 82 patients. There were no significant differences between the stable and unstable groups in sex, age, affected side, operation interval, injury mechanism, Lauge-Hansen classification, sagittal fracture angle, and Angle-A (all P > 0.05). Compared with the stable group, the unstable group had a significantly greater aTFD, pTFD, maxTFD, and area (all P < 0.05). PTFD, maxTFD, and area were positively correlated with joint instability. Angle-B was smaller in the unstable group (57.13°) than the stable group (65.56°). ROC analysis showed that Area (AUC 0.711) and maxTFD (AUC 0.707) had the highest diagnostic efficacy. MaxTFD and Area were the best predictive parameters; a larger Area was associated with a higher likelihood of instability of the tibiofibular syndesmosis after ankle fracture fixation.
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