Large Italian Hospital Research Articles

Risk, prevalence, and impact of hospital malnutrition in a Tertiary Care Referral University Hospital: a cross-sectional study.

Hospital malnutrition is still underestimated among physicians, even in internal medicine settings. This is a cross-sectional study, aiming to estimate the risk, the prevalence and the impact of malnutrition in an Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology Department of a large Italian hospital (Fondazione PoliclinicoUniversitario A. GemelliIRCCS, Rome). Patients were evaluated within 72h from admission according to Nutritional Risk Screening-2002 (NRS-2002) and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism (ESPEN) Criteria. Anthropometric, laboratory tests and Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis (BIA) derived phase angle were also performed. Length of hospital stay (LOS) and in-hospital mortality were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to correlate nutritional status with LOS and hospital mortality. In 10months, 300 patients were enrolled: male patients were 172 (57.3%); mean age was 63.7 (± 17.6). At admission, 157 (52.3%) patients were at risk of malnutrition; 116 (38.7%) were malnourished. Malnourished patients had a mean LOS of 11.5 (± 8.0) days, not-malnourished 9.4 (± 6.2) days (p < 0.05). In-hospital mortality did not significantly differ between the two groups. Multivariate analysis shows that both malnutrition (p = 0.04; 95% CI 0.03-3.41) and phase angle (p = 0.004; 95% CI - 1.92 to - 0.37) independently correlate with LOS. In an Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology Department, over half (52.3%) of the patients were found at risk of malnutrition, and over a third (38.7%) were malnourished at hospital admission. Malnutrition and BIA-derived phase angle are independently associated with LOS. ESPEN Criteria and phase angle could be performed at admission to identify patients deserving specific nutritional support.

Universal newborn hearing screening using A-TEOAE and A-ABR: The experience ofalarge public hospital.

Universal newborn hearing screening (UNHS) aims to identify hearing loss in the early postnatal period; prompt detection of bilateral or unilateral hearing loss is mandatory for timely intervention. This retrospective study reports the results of the first two years of a UNHS program on 4,719 newborns in a large public Italian hospital. Screening was divided into two levels: automated transient otoacoustic emissions were used for first level; automated auditory brainstem response for second level. Second level included children with a "refer" response at first level and babies with a family history for hearing loss or other risk factors. Hearing loss diagnosis was made using clinical auditory brainstem response. During first level, 254 (5.4% ) newborns were "refer". At retest, 130 (51.1% ) babies were PASS and 48 (18.8% ) were "refer". 76 babies dropped out (29.9% ). 146 babies (3.1% ) were referred to the second level: 48 for a "refer" response at first level and 98 for a PASS response but potential hearing loss due to risk factors. 24 babies dropped out (16.4% ). Out of 122 newborns tested in the second level, 105 (86.1% ) had a PASS response and 17 (13.9% ) were "refer". Our screening protocol identified 7 (0.14% ) babies with profound hearing loss; 5 had unilateral and 2 had bilateral hearing loss. 2 babies dropped out at diagnostic level (11.8% ). A correct and early diagnosis of hearing loss is mandatory to prevent permanent consequences; the spread of hearing screening programs is the optimal solution to reach this goal.

Evaluation of candidemia and antifungal consumption in a large tertiary care Italian hospital over a 12-year period.

An early adequate antifungal therapy based on the knowledge of local epidemiology can reduce the candidemia-attributable mortality and the length of hospitalization. We performed a retrospective study to analyze the epidemiology of candidemia and the antifungal consumption in our hospital. We analyzed Candida spp. isolated from the blood, and their susceptibility profile from 2005 to 2016 in Careggi University Hospital, Florence, Italy. We also performed a stratified analysis by clinical setting where Candida spp. were isolated (Medical Wards, Surgery, Intensive Care Unit-ICU). Then, we retrospectively reviewed the annual consumption of antifungal agents and calculated the defined daily dosing for 10,000 hospital days. The rate of candidemia was higher in ICU than other settings and Candida albicans was the first cause of candidemia (61.2%). After adjustment for hospital days, the rate of C. albicans showed a statistically significant parabolic trend (p < 0.001), with a peak of incidence in 2010. After 2010, we observed a reduction of candidemia due to both C. albicans and non-albicans species. Between 2005 and 2015, we reported an increasing increased use of echinocandins. As far as resistance profile is concerned, only one Candida glabrata isolate was resistant to caspofungin (1.9%) and 30% of C. glabrata were resistant to fluconazole. Our data describe C. albicans as the first cause of candidemia in all the studied settings and the low rate of echinocandin resistance, despite their increased use over the study period. ICU was confirmed as the setting with the highest incidence of candidemia.

Children's Perceptions About the Quality of Pediatric Nursing Care: A Large Multicenter Cross-Sectional Study.

This study explored children's perceptions about the quality of nursing care and the determinants of their evaluations according to different categories of children's ages. Multicenter cross-sectional study carried out on 692 pediatric patients in eight large Italian regional hospitals. We used a validated questionnaire, translated and adapted to the Italian context, consisting of 49 items (5-point Likert scale) exploring nurse characteristics, nursing activities, and nursing environment. The mean score of children's perceptions of their overall experience of hospitalization was 3.96; the nurse characteristics factor obtained the highest score (mean = 3.79), and it was in positive correlation with the satisfaction level across different age categories: 4 to 6 years, β = .37; 7 to 11 years, β = .31; and 12 to 14 years, β = .32. Nurse characteristics is the only significant factor contributing to children's satisfaction across the three different age categories. In pediatric nursing care, it is important to emphasize that nurses' personal characteristics and the ability to connect with children are essential compared to the ability to perform tasks.

Analysis of incidents of violence in a large Italian hospital.

An increase in the rate of non-fatal violence events, from 20.65/10,000 in 2012 to 22.81/10,000 in 2014, was observed at the IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino in Genoa. To analyze the incidence and outcome of the phenomenon of violence, by identifying the type of aggressive event and the ward in which it occurred, assuming that the occurrence is evenly distributed and not only limited to the psychiatric or to the emergency department. The age and sex of both attackers and victims of aggression were also analyzed. Retrospective analysis: study of injury trends related to episodes of violence between 2012 and 2015, incidence compared to other injuries and evaluation of the direct costs. Observational staff surveys with a questionnaire based on the Overt Aggression Scale and statistical data analysis. Following the aggressions, 36 injuries were identified over the study period (2012-2015), resulting in 431 days of absence from work. The direct estimated costs were € 64,170. The observational surveys of each ward showed a high concentration of events. Reports were received from 34 out of the 76 evaluated wards. Seventy-five percent of the reports concerned only four operative units: emergency room, intermediate care, psychiatry and geriatrics. Sixty-one percent of the questionnaires were filled out by nurses, 23% by support staff and the remaining 16% was provided by physicians and coordinators. Violence against healthcare workers is a well-known problem; action is required on the scheduling of activities, improvement of communication paths with users and the training of operators.

Timing of hospital admission in labour: latent versus active phase, mode of birth and intrapartum interventions. A correlational study.

Hospitalization of women in latent labour often leads to a cascade of unnecessary intrapartum interventions, to avoid potential disadvantages the recommendation should be to stay at home to improve women's experience and perinatal outcomes. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the association between hospital admission diagnosis (latent vs active phase) and mode of birth. The secondary aim was to explore the relationship between hospital admission diagnosis, intrapartum intervention rates and maternal/neonatal outcomes. A correlational study was conducted in a large Italian maternity hospital. Data from January 2013 to December 2014 were collected from the hospital electronic records. 1.446 records of low risk women were selected. These were dichotomized into two groups based on admission diagnosis: 'latent phase' or 'active phase' of labour. 52.7% of women were admitted in active labour and 47.3% in the latent phase. Women in the latent phase group were more likely to experience a caesarean section or an instrumental birth, artificial rupture of membranes, oxytocin augmentation and epidural analgesia. Admission in the latent phase was associated with higher intrapartum interventions, which were statistically correlated to the mode of birth. Women admitted in the latent phase were more likely to experience intrapartum interventions, which increase the probability of caesarean section. Maternity services should be organized around women and families needs, providing early labour support, to enable women to feel reassured facilitating their admission in labour to avoid the cascade of intrapartum interventions which increases the risk of caesarean section.

Effect of combination therapy containing a high-dose carbapenem on mortality in patients with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infection

ObjectivesTo evaluate the impact of high-dose (HD) carbapenem-based combination therapy on clinical outcome in patients with monomicrobial carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CR-KP) bloodstream-infection (BSI). MethodsPost hoc analysis of all adult patients with CR-KP BSI who were treated with a combination antibiotic regimen, collected over a six-year period in six large Italian teaching hospitals. To control for confounding effects of HD carbapenem combination on 14-day mortality, a multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed. Due to imbalances between patients, a propensity score for receiving HD carbapenem was added to the model. Results595 patients with CR-KP BSI were analysed, 77% of isolates showed a carbapenem MIC ≥16 mg/L, 428 (71.9%) received HD carbapenem-based combination therapy. Overall, 127 patients (21.3%) died within 14 days after BSI onset. Multivariate analysis showed the Charlson comorbidity index (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.20–1.43, P < 0.001), septic shock at BSI onset (HR 3.14, 95%CI 2.19–4.50, P < 0.001), and colistin-resistant strain (HR 1.52, 95%CI 1.02–2.24, P = 0.03) were independently associated with 14-day mortality, whereas admission to surgical ward (HR 0.44, 95%CI 0.25–0.78, P = 0.005) and HD carbapenem use (HR 0.69, 95%CI 0.47–1.00, P = 0.05) were protective factors. When adjusted for the propensity score, HD carbapenem use showed a greater protective effect (HR 0.64, 95%CI 0.43–0.95, P = 0.03). Stratifying the model for carbapenem MIC, the benefit of HD carbapenem was also observed for strains with carbapenem MIC ≥16 mg/L. ConclusionsIn patients receiving combination therapy for CR-KP BSI, the use of HD carbapenem seems to be associated with better outcome, even in the presence of high-level carbapenem resistance.

Estimation of sickness absenteeism among Italian healthcare workers during seasonal influenza epidemics.

ObjectivesTo analyze absenteeism among healthcare workers (HCWs) at a large Italian hospital and to estimate the increase in absenteeism that occurred during seasonal flu periods.DesignRetrospective observational study.MethodsThe absenteeism data were divided into three “epidemic periods,” starting at week 42 of one year and terminating at week 17 of the following year (2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2012–2013), and three “non-epidemic periods,” defined as week 18 to week 41 and used as baseline data. The excess of the absenteeism occurring among HCWs during periods of epidemic influenza in comparison with baseline was estimated. All data, obtained from Hospital’s databases, were collected for each of the following six job categories: medical doctors, technical executives (i.e., pharmacists), nurses and allied health professionals (i.e., radiographers), other executives (i.e., engineers), nonmedical support staff, and administrative staff. The HCWs were classified by: in and no-contact; vaccinated and unvaccinated.Results5,544, 5,369, and 5,291 workers in three years were studied. The average duration of absenteeism during the epidemic periods increased among all employees by +2.07 days/person (from 2.99 to 5.06), and the relative increase ranged from 64–94% among the different job categories. Workers not in contact with patients experienced a slightly greater increase in absenteeism (+2.28 days/person, from 2.73 to 5.01) than did employees in contact with patients (+2.04, from 3.04 to 5.08). The vaccination rate among HCWs was below 3%, however the higher excess of absenteeism rate among unvaccinated in comparison with vaccinated workers was observed during the epidemic periods (2.09 vs 1.45 days/person).ConclusionThe influenza-related absenteeism during epidemic periods was quantified as totaling more than 11,000 days/year at the Italian hospital studied. This result confirms the economic impact of sick leave on healthcare systems and stresses on the necessity of encouraging HCWs to be immunized against influenza.

Pregnancy and neonatal outcomes among a cohort of HIV-infected women in a large Italian teaching hospital: a 30-year retrospective study.

The primary study objective was to investigate three decades from 1985 to 2014 of changes in pregnancies among HIV-infected women. The secondary objective was to assess risk factors associated with preterm delivery and severe small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants in HIV-infected women. A retrospective review of deliveries among pregnant HIV-infected women at the University of Genoa and IRCCS San Martino-IST in Genoa between 1985 and 2014 was performed. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to study the variables associated with neonatal outcomes. Overall, 262 deliveries were included in the study. An increase in median age (26 years in 1985-1994 vs. 34 years in 2005-2014), in the proportion of foreigners (none in 1985-1994 vs. 27/70 (38·6%) in 2005-2014), and a decrease in intravenous drug use (75·2% (91/121) in 1985-1994 vs. 12·9% (9/70) in 2005-2014) among pregnant HIV-infected women was observed. Progressively, HIV infections were diagnosed sooner (prior to pregnancy in 80% (56/70) of women in the last decade). An increase in combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) prescription during pregnancy (50% (27/54) in 1995-2004 vs. 92·2% (59/64) in 2005-2014) and in HIV-RNA <50 copies/ml at delivery (19·2% (5/26) in 1995-2004 vs. 82·3% (53/64) in 2005-2014) was observed. The rate of elective caesarean section from 1985 to 1994 was 9·1%, which increased to 92·3% from 2004 to 2015. Twelve (10·1%) mother-to-child transmissions (MTCT) occurred in the first decade, and six (8·3%) cases occurred in the second decade, the last of which was in 2000. Preterm delivery (<37 weeks gestation) was 5% (6/121) from 1985 to 1994 and increased to 17·1% (12/70) from 2005 to 2014. In univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses, advancing maternal age and previous pregnancies were associated with preterm delivery (odds ratio (OR) 2·7; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1-7·8 and OR 2·6; 95% CI 1·1-6·7, respectively). In the logistic regression analysis, use of heroin or methadone was found to be the only risk factor for severe SGA (OR 3·1; 95% CI 1·4-6·8). In conclusion, significant changes in demographic, clinical and therapeutic characteristics of HIV-infected pregnant women have occurred over the last 30 years. Since 2000, MTCT has decreased to zero. An increased risk of preterm delivery was found to be associated with advancing maternal age and previous pregnancies but not with cART. The use of heroin or methadone has been confirmed as a risk factor associated with severe SGA.

Computerized decision support systems: EBM at the bedside

One of the aims of Evidence-Based Medicine is to improve quality and appropriateness of care by the expedition of the knowledge transfer process. Computerized Decision Support Systems (CDSSs) are computer programs that provide alerts to the prescribing doctor directly at the moment of medical examination. In fact, alerts are integrated within the single patient electronic health record. CDSS based on the best available and updated evidence and guidelines may be an efficient tool to facilitate the transfer of the latest results from clinical research directly at the bedside, thus supporting decision-making. The CODES (COmputerized DEcision Support) trial is a research program funded by the Italian Ministry of Health and the Lombardy Region. It aims to evaluate the feasibility of the implementation of a CDSS at the hospital level and to assess its efficacy in daily clinical practice. The CODES project includes two pragmatic RCTs testing a CDSS (i.e. the EBMeDS - MediDSS) in two large Italian hospitals: the first is a general hospital in Vimercate (Lombardy), the second is an oncologic research center in Meldola (Emilia Romagna). The CDSS supports a full spectrum of decisions: therapy, drug interactions, diagnosis, and management of health care services are covered by a hundreds of reminders. However only few reminders are activated per patient, highlighting crucial problems in the delivery of high-quality care. The two trials have similar design and primary outcome, the rate at which alerts detected by the software are resolved by a decision of the clinicians. The project also includes the assessment of barriers and facilitators in the adoption of these new technologies by hospital staff members and the retrospective evaluation of the repeated risks in prescription habits. The trials are ongoing and currently more than 10,000 patients have been randomized. The qualitative analysis revealed a progressive shift in the perception of the tool. Doctors are now seeing it as a trusted second opinion, available 24/7, which is tailored to the needs of the patient. The retrospective analysis showed the opportunity to achieve a better healthcare quality through an active risk management. Aggregating data from whole hospitals emerge rare drug interactions that otherwise would not be recognizable. CDSS are promising tools to support clinicians in everyday practice. They can be used as a real time app or to perform retrospective analyses. These data can provide unique resources to hospital management.

TQM and lean strategy deployment in Italian hospitals.

Purpose This paper aims to contribute to the debate concerning total quality management (TQM)-Lean strategy in public healthcare by analyzing the deployment path for implementation, the possible benefits that can be achieved and the encountered pitfalls. Design/methodology/approach Three case studies are drawn from three large Italian hospitals with more than 500 beds each and structured with many departments. The hospitals are located in Tuscany, Italy. These three hospitals have embraced TQM and Lean, starting from strategic objectives and their deployment. At the same time, they have also implemented many TQM-Lean tools. The case studies are based on interviews held with four managers in each of these three public hospitals. Findings Results from the interviews show that there is a specific deployment path for TQM-Lean implementation. The hospitals have also achieved benefits linked to patient satisfaction and improved organizational performances. Problems related to organizational and cultural issues, such as senior managers' commitment, staff management, manufacturing culture and tools adaptation, could affect the benefits. Research limitations/implications The research has been carried out in just three Italian public hospitals. Hence, similar investigations could be managed in other countries. Researchers could also use a larger sample and investigate these issues by means of quantitative inquiry. Practical implications Practitioners could try to apply the deployment path revealed by these case studies in other public and private hospitals. Originality/value The results of this research show that there is a specific, new deployment path for implementing TQM-Lean strategy in some public hospitals.

Budgetary participation and performance: The mediating effects of medical managers’ job engagement and self-efficacy

Professional hybrids in healthcare have attracted a great deal of policy, managerial, and research interest. However, the current literature offers little guidance on (i) how hybrid roles can be supported by the hospital organization they work for as well as (ii) the cognitive and behavioral driving forces underpinning medical managers’ managerial work that determine how they inhabit their roles and consequently meet the standards of performance that contribute to organizational effectiveness. Building on engagement theory and social cognitive theory and using data collected from clinical managers working in a large Italian public hospital, the current study focuses on the mediating role of psychological variables associated with the managerial role of medical managers, namely managerial job engagement and managerial self-efficacy, in the budgetary participation-job performance link. The results suggest that the information gained by participating in budgeting impact medical managers’ thoughts and feelings about their managerial role and these, in turn, motivate different aspects of their performance. The findings are discussed in relation to theory and their managerial and policy implications.

The true cost of thyroid surgery determined by a micro-costing approach

Whether the amount of the current DRG tariff for thyroid surgery covers its actual cost has been questioned. We estimated a reliable cost of thyroid surgery for a large Italian hospital. A micro-costing approach is used with data from the University Hospital "Umberto I," a large facility that conducts a high volume of thyroidectomy surgical procedures in the Lazio region. The direct costs of surgery and hospitalization for a total and a hemi-thyroidectomy were €4956 and €4673, respectively. When compared to the DRG tariff of €3340, total thyroidectomy was €1616 (48%) more per procedure and hemi-thyroidectomy was €1333 (40%) more per procedure. This DRG shortfall is calculated to generate an annual procedure-specific deficit of approximately €1.38 million for this hospital. Furthermore, when the costs associated with pre-surgical work-up, post-surgical follow-up, and complications management through 12months are incorporated, the estimated costs of total and hemi-thyroidectomy rose to €5812 and €5277, respectively. The true cost of thyroid surgery in Italy is significantly higher than what has been reported in the literature or reimbursed by the DRG tariff.

Old Age and Aerobic Microorganisms of Patients Affected by Clostridium difficile Infection are Associated Primarily with the Intestinal Presence of Clostridium difficile

Clostridium difficile infection in human occurs when the organism is present and germinating in the bowel. Old age of patients’ and particular microorganisms in stools are identified as risk factors for the disease onset. We aimed to investigate if risk factors for C. difficile infections in a large Italian hospital were connected to C. difficile intestinal presence or to germination. Toxin B positivity was linked with age over 65 years (P=0.03), medical hospitalization (P=0.015) and growth of Enterobacteriaceae (P=0.029) and Enterococcus (P=0.05) from the same stools. The presence of tcdB was even more strictly linked with old age (P=0.005), medicine hospitalization (P=0.012) and growth of Enterobacteriaceae (P=0.003) and Enterococcus (P=0.04). Our results indicated that the presence of C. difficile in stools, irrespective of being spore or vegetative form, is reliably associated with old age of subjects and fecal presence of viable Enterobacteriaceae and Enterococcus.

What tool to measure quality improvement and patient safety in a large Italian Academic Hospital?

What tool to measure quality improvement and patient safety in a large Italian Academic Hospital?

Clostridium difficile PCR Ribotype 018, a Successful Epidemic Genotype.

Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) became a public health problem for the global spreading of the so-called hypervirulent PCR ribotypes (RTs) 027 and 078, associated with increases in the transmission and severity of the disease. However, especially in Europe, several RTs are prevalent, and the concept of hypervirulence is currently debated. We investigated the toxin and resistance profiles and the genetic relatedness of 312 C. difficile strains isolated in a large Italian teaching hospital during a 5-year period. We evaluated the role of CDI-related antibiotic consumption and infection control practices on the RT predominance in association with their molecular features and transmission capacity. Excluding secondary cases due to nosocomial transmission, RT018 was the predominant genotype (42.4%) followed by RT078 (13.6%), while RT027 accounted for 0.8% of the strains. RT078 was most frequently isolated from patients in intensive care units. Its prevalence significantly increased over time, but its transmission capacity was very low. In contrast, RT018 was highly transmissible and accounted for 95.7% of the secondary cases. Patients with the RT018 genotype were significantly older than those with RT078 and other RTs, indicating an association between epidemic RT and age. We provide here the first epidemiological evidence to consider RT018 as a successful epidemic genotype that deserves more attention in clinical practice.

Infections caused by KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae: differences in therapy and mortality in a multicentre study.

Infections caused by Klebsiella pneumoniae (Kp) carbapenemase (KPC)-producing strains of Kp have become a significant threat in recent years. To assess their outcomes and identify risk factors for 14 day mortality, we conducted a 4 year (2010-13) retrospective cohort study in five large Italian teaching hospitals. The cohort included 661 adults with bloodstream infections (BSIs; n = 447) or non-bacteraemic infections (lower respiratory tract, intra-abdominal structure, urinary tract or other sites) caused by a KPC-Kp isolate. All had received ≥48 h of therapy (empirical and/or non-empirical) with at least one drug to which the isolate was susceptible. Most deaths occurred within 2 weeks of infection onset (14 day mortality: 225/661, 34.1%). Logistic regression analysis identified BSI (OR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.34-3.29), presentation with septic shock (OR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.47-4.08), inadequate empirical antimicrobial therapy (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.01-2.18), chronic renal failure (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.44-3.58), high APACHE III score (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.07) and colistin-resistant isolates (OR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.37-3.46) as independent predictors of 14 day mortality. Combination therapy with at least two drugs displaying in vitro activity against the isolate was associated with lower mortality (OR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.35-0.77), in particular in patients with BSIs, lung infections or high APACHE III scores and/or septic shock at infection onset. Combinations that included meropenem were associated with significantly higher survival rates when the KPC-Kp isolate had a meropenem MIC of ≤8 mg/L. KPC-Kp infections are associated with high mortality. Treatment with two or more drugs displaying activity against the isolate improves survival, mainly in patients who are critically ill.

Indoor localization in a hospital environment using Random Forest classifiers

This paper proposes a new indoor localization system, based on RFID technology and a hierarchical structure of classifiers. This system has been specifically designed to work in unfriendly scenarios, where transmissions could be disturbed by other electronic devices or shielded walls. The infrastructure has been deployed and evaluated in the emergency unit of a large Italian hospital (48 rooms covering about 4000m2) to detect the room where lost or forgotten patients lie. Extensive experiments show the potential of such technology for indoor localization applications in terms of accuracy, precision, complexity, robustness and scalability. In 98% of cases the system localizes the correct room (83%) or one of its adjacency (15%).

0169 Sinonasal cancers: is intestinal type adenocarcinoma the only related to occupational exposures? Results from an Italian case-control study

ObjectivesEpithelial sinonasal cancers (SNC) are rare, severe diseases associated to the exposure to several well-established carcinogens (IARC). The etiologic role of these carcinogens in different histological subtypes is still disputed,...

Predictive models for identification of hospitalized patients harboring KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae.

The production of Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemases (KPCs) by Enterobacteriaceae has become a significant problem in recent years. To identify factors that could predict isolation of KPC-producing K. pneumoniae (KPCKP) in clinical samples from hospitalized patients, we conducted a retrospective, matched (1:2) case-control study in five large Italian hospitals. The case cohort consisted of adult inpatients whose hospital stay included at least one documented isolation of a KPCKP strain from a clinical specimen. For each case enrolled, we randomly selected two matched controls with no KPCKP-positive cultures of any type during their hospitalization. Matching involved hospital, ward, and month/year of admission, as well as time at risk for KPCKP isolation. A subgroup analysis was also carried out to identify risk factors specifically associated with true KPCKP infection. During the study period, KPCKP was isolated from clinical samples of 657 patients; 426 of these cases appeared to be true infections. Independent predictors of KPCKP isolation were recent admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), indwelling urinary catheter, central venous catheter (CVC), and/or surgical drain, ≥ 2 recent hospitalizations, hematological cancer, and recent fluoroquinolone and/or carbapenem therapy. A Charlson index of ≥ 3, indwelling CVC, recent surgery, neutropenia, ≥ 2 recent hospitalizations, and recent fluoroquinolone and/or carbapenem therapy were independent risk factors for KPCKP infection. Models developed to predict KPCKP isolation and KPCKP infection displayed good predictive power, with the areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 0.84) and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.80 to 0.85), respectively. This study provides novel information which might be useful for the clinical management of patients harboring KPCKP and for controlling the spread of this organism.