The forest succession model FORSKA was used to simulate the dynamics of stand composition and structure in Dalby Söderskog, a southern Swedish broad-leaved forest. The development of Dalby Söderskog has been monitored since the area became a national park in 1916. The model was run with the seven species found in the forest today. Species parameters were estimated from silvicultural data. A first non-initialized model run generated size distributions similar to those observed, but the numbers of the dominant species were different; beech, in particular, was too abundant. A second run, initialized to resemble the forest as it was in 1920, generated size distributions and species abundances in good agreement with observations. The known course of succession since 1930 was also correctly simulated. Today, beech is dominant in a small part of the forest; elsewhere elm is the most abundant tree, with some scattered individuals of ash and oak. Simulated future trends indicate that this forest composition is fairly stable, but that oak will likely decline. Maple, hazel and hawthorn are present in small quantities throughout the simulations; their numbers increase when large canopy trees die, implying that gap phase dynamics is important in determining the composition of this forest.
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