Land Use And Land Cover Classes Research Articles

Optimum Combination of Spectral Variables for Crop Mapping in Heterogeneous Landscapes based on Sentinel-2 Time Series and Machine Learning

Abstract. This article aimed to determine a workflow for more efficient large-scale crop mapping using a time series of images from the Sentinel-2 Satellite, statistical methods of attribute selection, and machine learning. The proposed methodology explores the best possible combination of spectral variables related to vegetation (16 vegetation indices in the RGB, NIR, SWIR, and Red Edge regions) to characterize different spectro-temporal profiles of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) in spatially heterogeneous landscapes. First, we applied a data dimensionality reduction analysis using the PCA (Principal Component Analysis) method. Subsequently, the variables that showed the highest statistical correlation between each other were used in the spectro-temporal classification process, using the Random Forest, TempCNN, and LightTAE algorithms, following three different strategies: C1 (ALL), C2 (BE + IV (Red Edge)) and C3 (BE + IV (without Red Edge)), where ALL – All variables; BE – Spectral Bands; IV – Vegetation Indices. Given the results found, the C2 classification scenario (with bands B3, B4, B5, B6, B7, B8, and B8A and the NDRE1, RESI, and MSR indexes) demonstrated the best LULC classification accuracy at the crop pattern level, compared to the other scenarios, with average values of 0.91, 0.88, 0.91, 0.89, and 0.89 (Global Accuracy, Producer Accuracy, User Accuracy, Kappa index, and F1-Score, respectively, for the TempCNN model), the which emphasized the importance of both qualitative and quantitative variability of sampling data and variables based on the Red Edge region for improving LULC classification processes in large-scale heterogeneous landscapes.

Assessing Land Use and Cover Changes arising from the 2022 water crisis in Southeast China: A comparative analysis of Remote Sensing Imagery classifications and Machine Learning algorithms

Abstract. The water crisis in the southeast region of China in 2022, caused by one of the worst heatwaves on record, was characterized by severe shortages of water resources, leading to challenges for local communities, agriculture, and industry. To analyze changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in the Jialing River region, Chongqing, China, we compared Remote Sensing (RS) imagery classifications before and after the intense heat waves of 2022. We evaluated the performance of two machine learning algorithms, KDTree KNN and Random Forest (RF), in LULC classifications. The classifications were carried out based on the RS images from the OLI/Landsat 8 system, NDWI index, and SRTM data. The model performances were similar, the classification accuracy showed that the RF algorithm was superior to KDTree KNN. The RF LULC classification and area calculation corroborate with the visual analysis, reaffirming the superiority of RF, which shows a decrease in water surface area, unlike DKTree KNN.

Evaluation of burning detection using modified VGG19 for LULC classification changes

Abstract. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of a modified architecture of convolutional neural network (CNN) VGG19 for detecting fires and changes in land use and land cover classification (LULC). Remote sensing data from the Landsat 8 Operational Land Imagery (OLI) satellite was used to collect images from two distinct regions, one of which was used to obtain a dataset containing 1000 labeled images, and the other region was used to perform inference and verify the generalization of the model in an area with a high annual occurrence of fires. Analyses were conducted using a time series of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and complementary cumulative distribution function (CCDF), to determine the potential for analysis in that area and define the periods of burning, pre-burning and post-burning. The VGG19 architecture was modified to maintain the input sizes of the images, resulting in a significant increase of 20.90 percentage points in the F1 score compared to the original architecture, as well as a 68.76% reduction in convergence time. In addition, the Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) technique was used to improve the interpretability of the model at the moment of inference. The proposed methodology offers an approach for detecting burns by altering the LULC classification, and the modified VGG19 showed superior results.

A Study on the Cooling Impact of the River Yamuna and its Surrounding LULC: A Case Study of New Delhi, India

Abstract. The unplanned growth of urban cities has adversely affected the thermal conditions. The Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) present in urban areas significantly impacts the thermal conditions of the surrounding environment. This study investigated the cooling effect of river in dense urban environments. It is conducted on the Yamuna river that flows through New Delhi, the capital city of India. The River Cooling Intensity (RCI) and River Cooling Range (RCR) assessment has been done for the summer season of May 2023 with the help of Landsat 8 images. The RCI ranged from 3.58°C to 1.16°C while the RCR varied from 1320 m to 360 m. It is observed that the river cooling effect is higher in the built-up class while the vegetation class weakens the effect of river cooling intensity and range. Zonal mean temperature varies from 32.02°C to 34.82°C according to the LULC distribution. This study provides valuable insights into the relationship between river cooling and temperature regulation according to the LULC classes. It also establishes the presence of an urban cool island inside the city region due to the river, as the mean temperature of the river surrounding (33.83°C) was lower than that of the city (35.73°C).

EVALUACIÓN DEL IMPACTO DE LOS CAMBIOS EN EL USO Y COBERTURA DE LA TIERRA EN EL ESCURRIMIENTO SUPERFICIAL

The aim of this study was to analyze the behavior of surface runoff as a result of changes in land use and land cover (LULC), using the Rio Novo basin (Brazil) as the analysis site. To estimate surface runoff, the curve number (NRCS-CN) method was used; as input data, the LULC classifications provided by the MapBiomas project and the pedological map of the state of São Paulo (1:250,000) were used. The Rio Novo basin was discretized into ten sub-basins. The results showed major changes in LULC between 1992 and 2022, with a reduction in pasture areas and an increase in annual crops and sugarcane fields, as well as in urban areas. Such alterations are conditioning factors of changes in Curve Number (CN) values, which imply changes in surface runoff values. For a rainfall of 130 mm (roughly 10-year return period), the surface runoff depth values ranged from 3.21 mm (areas with forest cover on soils in hydrological group A) to 101.35 mm (for urban areas on soils in hydrological group C). The urbanization process that occurred in sub-basins 1, 6, and 9 led to an increase in areas with the highest CN values (CN equal to 85 and 90). Locations with increased surface runoff values should be considered as critical areas, where soil and water losses may occur, thereby compromising water security in the basin. Keywords: NRSC-CN method, Geographic Information System, Water Resources Management, MapBiomas.

Land cover and drought risk assessment in Türkiye's mountain regions using neutrosophic decision support system.

Earth observation (EO) provides dynamic scientific methods for tracking and defining ecological parameters in mountainous regions. Open-source platforms are frequently utilized in this context to efficiently collect and evaluate spatial data. In this study, we used Collect Earth (CE), an open-source land monitoring platform, to reveal and assess land cover, land cover change, and relevant ecological parameters such as drought risk. Mountain ecosystems were subject to an evaluation for the first time by combining remote sensing with a hybridization of Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) for neutrosophic sets in risk assessment problems of several connected criteria. The high and dispersed high alpine environment of Türkiye accommodates land with relatively less human influence, making it suitable to observe climate change impacts. In the framework of the study, we evaluated more than two decades (2000-2022) of land use and land cover (LULC) changes in the mountain regions of the country. Using nine identified ecological parameters, we also evaluated drought risk. The parameters included were the LULC classes and their change, elevation, slope, aspect, precipitation, temperature, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), water deficit, and evapotranspiration (ET). The risk map we produced revealed a high to very high drought risk for almost throughout the Türkiye's mountainous areas. We concluded that integrating geospatial techniques with hybridization is promising for mapping drought risk, helping policymakers prepare effective drought mitigation measures to reasonably adapt to climate change impacts.

Prediction and Simulation for Land Use and Land Cover Change of Paddy Field Influence by Salinization in Coastal Demak Regency

The extent of coastal rice paddy agricultural land is vulnerable to land use and land cover (LULC) changes to non-agricultural uses due to land degradation, one of which is caused by salinity. This study aims to detect and project LULC changes up to 2031, particularly in coastal rice paddy areas affected by salinity, by comparing LULC in 2017, 2019, and 2021. Sentinel-2 Imagery is used for LULC classification, with recordings selected during the generative phase of rice growth to obtain the most optimal rice paddy area. There are six LULC classifications: water, wetland, low-medium-high vegetation cover, and built-up area. To understand the impact of salinity on crops, several vegetation indices (VIs) such as NDVI, SAVI, EVI, and ARVI are used. The LULC changes classified according to VIs are compared with the MOLUSCE plugin based on artificial neural networkmultilayer perceptron (ANN-MLP) and Cellular Automata (CA). The comparison of VIs results shows that NDVI is better at describing LULC changes due to the influence of salinity, with a kappa value of 0.63 and a Correctness of 72.565. The LULC projection using CA in all VIs indicates that wetland areas are more likely to convert into water bodies, suggesting that high salinity land tends to be unproductive for rice paddies, making it prone to conversion.

Comparing Sentinel-2 and Landsat 9 for land use and land cover mapping assessment in the north of Congo Republic: a case study in Sangha region

ABSTRACT A study of land use and land cover (LULC) mapping using satellite data was conducted in the Congo Basin rainforest in the Sangha area of the northern Congo Republic, which is crucial for sustainable land management. However, the heterogeneous nature of LULC features makes data classification difficult in this area because persistent cloud cover is challenging for observing the land surface and tropical humid conditions characterizing the study area. This study compares and evaluates the potential of two of the most widely used and popular satellite image sources, the recently launched Landsat 9 and Sentinel-2, to generate land-use land cover (LULC) maps in the Sangha area using pixel-based supervised machine learning algorithms, Random Forest (RF), for classification. All procedures were performed using ArcGIS Pro. The potential to improve Landsat 9 performance was tested using the nearest resampling technique, and different bands were resampled from 30 × 30 to 10 × 10 m. Owing to the heterogeneous characteristics of the Sangha study area, six classes were defined: dense forest, open forest, wetland forest, water bodies, urban areas, and bare soils. To classify and compare Sentinel-2 and Landsat 9, the shortwave infrared (SWIR), Near Infrared (NIR), and Red, Green, Blue (RGB) bands were used. These two satellite images were compared to test the quality of their results, particularly for assessing the accuracy of the LULC classifications and identifying which dataset had the highest accuracy. Results show that overall accuracy was 93.80% for Sentinel-2 while it was 91.60% for Landsat 9, similarly, the Kappa coefficient was calculated 0.89 and 0.85 for Sentinel-2 and Landsat 9, respectively. Therefore, Sentinel-2 exhibits significant classification ability compared to the nearest resample technique Landsat 9, despite the improved resolution of the latter, which offers a scientific basis for choosing the appropriate satellite imagery to create accurate LULC maps.

Long-term changes of mangrove distribution and its response to anthropogenic impacts in the Vietnamese Southern Coastal Region

Human activities related to land use and land cover (LULC) conversion have been the primary factor driving changes to mangrove distribution over recent decades. In order to quantify the anthropogenic influences associated with LULC changes on mangroves in the Vietnamese Southern Coast (VSC), we investigated the variations and trends in mangrove distribution between 1988 and 2023. We used a time-series of Landsat spectral indices from Google Earth Engine and applied hot spot analysis and machine learning algorithms to analyse mangrove variations and LULC classification, respectively. Our findings revealed that over the past 36 years, approximately half of the mangrove area has been lost due to LULC conversions. The most significant losses in mangrove cover occurred during the 1998–2011 period, with a decline of 46.79% in total area (an average of 3.6% per annum). The rate of mangrove deforestation more than halved to 17.49% (1.5% per annum) in the period between from 2011 to 2023. We attribute the reduction in mangrove loss to conservation efforts and natural regeneration processes. The emerging hot spot analysis indicated that the most significant restoration of new mangrove areas occurred between 1988 and 1998, totalling 1795 ha (1.4%), while the highest rate of mangrove deforestation was observed between 1998 and 2011, amounting to 2249 ha (2.0%). The primary causes of these variations in mangrove distribution were the conversion of mangrove areas to shrimp farming (38.91%), followed by other agricultural land use (5.82%) and the expansion of impervious surfaces (3.34%). In contrast, a result of enhanced conservation efforts and natural regeneration was associated with a 17.91% of mangrove area gain in the 2011–2023 period. Despite the regeneration potential of mangroves, our study highlighted the ongoing need to manage and protect mangrove forests to facilitate their expansion in the VSC. The analytical approach adopted in this study is applicable to other coastal areas when assessing changes in mangroves and land use practices.

The Impact of land use change on peatland degradation: A case Nathong and Saming Village, Champhone district, Champasack Province, Lao PDR

The major impact on land use change and peatland degradation was directly from human activities and inappropriate management. Changing of land use and land cover (LULC) influence directly on peat land drained and degraded. Nathong and Saming Village, Champhone district, Champasack Province, Lao PDR is one of proposed peatland area and rapid LULC changes from 2016 due to a social-economic growth. Therefore, the assessment of land use change is required for sustainable peatland management. The main objectives of this study were to assess LULC and its change between 2011 to 2016 and 2016 to 2021. In this study, remote sensing data has been used for LULC classification using random forest classifier in Google Earth Engine (GEE). Then, the post-comparison change detection algorithm was applied for detected LULC changes. The result revealed that mixed deciduous area was continually decrees 523.44 ha and 607.05 ha from 2011 to 2016 and 2016 to 2021. Additionally, cassava and dry dipterocarp were increase from 138.24 ha in 2011 to 2016 to 386.1 ha in 2016 to 2021 and 93.15 ha in 2011 to 2016 to 156.42 ha in 2016 to 2021 respectively. Additionally, the derived overall accuracy and Kappa hat coefficients of the land use and land cover map in 2011,2016 and 2021 were higher than 85%. The average producer’s accuracy and user’s accuracy for all land use and land cover types were also more than 83%. The derived information of land use and land cover data of this study can be used as information to support decision-makers and land use planners for to awareness and sustainable peatland management.

Land Use and Land Cover Change Detection Using Remote Sensing in the Kal River Basin, Raigad District, Maharashtra, India

Land use and land cover (LULC) are distinct yet interrelated concepts that describe the characteristics and utilization of land. Land cover refers to the physical surface, such as vegetation, water bodies, or man-made features, while land use denotes the purpose of land utilization. Changes in LULC significantly impact water resources, making it a critical component in water resource studies. This study aims to detect changes in LULC over a five-year period (2017–2021) in the Kal River basin, a sub-basin of the Savitri River in Maharashtra, India. Sentinel-2 satellite imagery with a 10 m resolution was used, and the supervised classification method, specifically Maximum Likelihood Classification (MLC), was applied to classify LULC into six categories: cropland, bare ground, built-up areas, trees, rangeland, and water bodies. The results show that in 2017, the areas under cropland, tree cover, bare ground, built-up areas, and water bodies were 35.20 km², 187.61 km², 0.133 km², 7.77 km², and 1.89 km² respectively. By 2021, cropland, tree cover and bare ground decreased by 3.82%, 4.85%, and 0.01% respectively while water bodies, rangeland, and built-up areas increased by 0.02%, 8.34%, and 0.32% respectively. The overall accuracy of LULC classification was 77% for 2017 and 91% for 2021 with validation using the Kappa coefficient indicating good to excellent accuracy. This study highlights the importance of monitoring LULC changes for understanding the impacts of human activities and climate on watershed development and water resource management. Such analysis provides valuable insights for decision-makers to plan for sustainable development, land conservation and environmental management, ensuring balanced growth while protecting natural resources in the Kal River basin.

Panzara River Watershed Prioritization Based on Geomorphometric and LULC Change Analysis using Geo-Spatial Techniques

Human activities can significantly influence the quality of water flowing from a watershed, either positively or negatively. As water moves through the system, these impacts accumulate, with all land-based activities having the potential to affect the water quality and quantity experienced by downstream stakeholders. Similarly, the actions of upstream landowners impact the water that flows across others' properties. Geospatial techniques like remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) are invaluable tools for analysing drainage patterns within a watershed and the associated changes in land use and cover. This study focuses on the Panzara river basin, a principal tributary of the larger Tapi river basin, situated in central India between the westward-flowing Godavari and Narmada river systems, which both ultimately discharge into the Arabian Sea. The study area spans latitudes from 20°42'0" N to 21°18'0" N and longitudes from 74°06'0" E to 75°00'0" E, covering a geographical area of 2,986.05 square kilometers with a perimeter of 570.51 kilometers. The watershed delineation was carried out using Shuttle Radar Terrain Mapper (SRTM) data with a 30-meter resolution. For land use and land cover (LULC) analysis, Landsat 5 TM C2L1 and Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS C2L1 datasets, both with 30-meter resolution, were utilized. The present study conducts a morphometric analysis and assesses LULC changes within the Panzara river basin between 2000 and 2021. Morphometric parameters such as linear parameters [Drainage density (Dd), Stream frequency (Fs), Mean bifurcation ratio (Rbm), Drainage texture ratio (Dt), Length of overland flow (Lo)] and areal parameters [Elongation ratio (Re), Circulatory ratio (Cr), Form factor (Rf), Compactness coefficient (Cc)] were used to prioritize sub-watersheds. Furthermore, the study classifies the observed LULC changes between satellite imagery datasets from 2000 and 2021, quantifying the percentage changes in the respective LULC classes across the sub-watersheds over the two decades. The overall accuracy of the LULC classification was 81.82% for 2000 and 88.88% for 2021, with Kappa coefficients of 0.772 and 0.85, respectively. In terms of prioritizing sub-watersheds, common sub- watersheds such as SW-1, SW-10, and SW-15 were classified under moderate priority, while SW-5, SW-8, and SW-14 were classified under the lowest priority. The results of this study, particularly the prioritization of sub-watersheds, can be instrumental for hydraulic engineers in planning and managing water resources in the Panzara river basin.

Spatio-temporal assessment of land use and land cover dynamics in Urmia lake basin of Iran: A bi-directional approach using optical and radar data on the Google Earth Engine platform

Sustainable development, a cornerstone in responsible land resource management, occupies a critical role in global efforts to balance economic progress with ecological preservation. This research explores the intricate dynamics of sustainable development and land resource management in the Lake Urmia watershed, northwestern Iran, with a specific focus on Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) alterations. Leveraging cutting-edge methodologies within the Google Earth Engine (GEE) framework, the study employs the Random Forest (RF) model, and multi-sensor satellite data to achieve meticulous LULC classification from the years 2016 to 2020.This strategy incorporates satellite images from Sentinel-1 (S1), Sentinel-2 (S2), coupled with ancillary data, and the implementation of the RF algorithm. It highlighted the intricate synergy between optical and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data for LULC classification in the Lake Urmia watershed. The Overall Accuracy (OA) values ranging from 88.28 % to 92.00 % affirmed the robustness of the RF model, demonstrating its potential for research objectives. In addition, Dynamic World, a near real-time global dataset, was applied to the study area, provides a convenient view to detect changes from the years 2016 to 2023, while enabling comparison with the widely used RF algorithm in past studies. Notably, this study goes beyond methodological developments to examine the concrete consequences of the observed changes. The decline in water bodies within the Urmia Lake basin and the parallel expansion of cultivated lands underscore the profound impact of human activities, particularly agricultural practices, on the ecological equilibrium. As we navigate the intricate terrain of sustainable development, this research serves as a clarion call for remote sensing approaches to monitor and manage land resources, emphasizing the delicate balance between economic growth and ecological preservation.

Assessment of Landscape Change and its Relationships with Surface Temperature and Geo-spatial Indices during 1992 - 2022 at Haldia Industrial Region, West Bengal, India

Unplanned local development and alterations in Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) are an early alert for towns and cities around the world. The population pressure has resulted in the conversion of natural land into impermeable areas, which has altered the surface energy budget and created microclimatic differences locally. The main objective of the present study is to estimate LULC changes and its relation to increases Land Surface Temperature (LST) in the Haldia Industrial Region (HIR) of West Bengal using multi-temporal Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) of 1992 and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) of 2022 with 30-m spatial resolution images were obtained from the USGS website. The supervised classification method was applied by using Maximum Likelihood classification (MLC) to classify the satellite images into various LULC classes such as settlement, waterbody, vegetation, agriculture land, and fallow land, respectively. The result suggested an overall increase of settlement area from 13.49 km2 in 1992 to 44.54 km2 in 2022. On the other hand, the agriculture land decreased from 214.26 km2 to 152.34 km2 due to fast urbanization, decline green lands, and expansion of barren lands. The outcome result from LST was exhibited that the LST value has increased 3.77°C during 1992 to 2022 in this study area. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was showed a strong negative relationship with LST with a determination coefficient (R2) values found as 0.491 (1992) and 0.356 (2022). The positive determination coefficient between LST with Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) was found as 0.0002 (1992), and 0.0417 (2022). R2 values were estimated as 0.174 (1992), and 0.0347 (2022) between LST with Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) that indicated a positive determination coefficient. The findings enhanced understanding of the relationship between urban LST and LULC in developing an inclusive climate resilience policy and making the HIR more sustainable to the effects of climate change.

Generating high-resolution land use and land cover maps for the greater Mariño watershed in 2019 with machine learning

Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) maps are important tools for environmental planning and social-ecological modeling, as they provide critical information for evaluating risks, managing natural resources, and facilitating effective decision-making. This study aimed to generate a very high spatial resolution (0.5 m) and detailed (21 classes) LULC map for the greater Mariño watershed (Peru) in 2019, using the MORINGA processing chain. This new method for LULC mapping consisted in a supervised object-based LULC classification, using the random forest algorithm along with multi-sensor satellite imagery from which spectral and textural predictors were derived (a very high spatial resolution Pléiades image and a time serie of high spatial resolution Sentinel-2 images). The random forest classifier showed a very good performance and the LULC map was further improved through additional post-treatment steps that included cross-checking with external GIS data sources and manual correction using photointerpretation, resulting in a more accurate and reliable map. The final LULC provides new information for environmental management and monitoring in the greater Mariño watershed. With this study we contribute to the efforts to develop standardized and replicable methodologies for high-resolution and high-accuracy LULC mapping, which is crucial for informed decision-making and conservation strategies.

Modeling of land use and land cover changes using google earth engine and machine learning approach: implications for landscape management

A precise and up-to-date Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) valuation serves as the fundamental basis for efficient land management. Google Earth Engine (GEE), with its numerous machine learning algorithms, is now the most advanced open-source global platform for rapid and accurate LULC classification. Thus, this study explores the dynamics of the LULC changes between 1993 and 2023 using Landsat imagery and the machine learning algorithms in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Focus group discussion and key informant interviews were also used to get further data regarding LULC dynamics. Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Classification and Regression Trees (CART) were demonstrated for LULC classification. Six LULC types (agricultural land, grazingland, shrubland, built-up area, forest and bareland) were identified and mapped for 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023. The overall accuracy and kappa coefficient demonstrated that the RF using images comprising auxiliary variables (spectral indices and topographic data) performed better than SVM and CART. Despite being the most common type of LULC, agricultural land shows a trend of shrinking during the study period. The built-up area and bareland exhibits a trend of progressive expansion. The amount of forest and shrubland has decreased over the last 20 years, whereas grazinglands have exhibited expanding trends. Population growth, agricultural land expansion, fuelwood collection, charcoal production, built-up areas expansion, illegal settlement and intervention are among causes of LULC shifts. This study provides reliable information about the patterns of LULC in the Robit watershed, which can be used to develop frameworks for watershed management and sustainability.

Addressing the impact of land use land cover changes on land surface temperature using machine learning algorithms

Over the past two and a half decades, rapid urbanization has led to significant land use and land cover (LULC) changes in Kabul province, Afghanistan. To assess the impact of LULC changes on land surface temperature (LST), Kabul province was divided into four LULC classes applying the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm using the Landsat satellite images from 1998 to 2022. The LST was assessed using Landsat data from the thermal band. The Cellular Automata-Logistic Regression (CA-LR) model was applied to predict the future patterns of LULC and LST for 2034 and 2046. Results showed significant changes in LULC classes, as the built-up areas increased about 9.37%, while the bare soil and vegetation cover decreased 7.20% and 2.35%, respectively, from 1998 to 2022. The analysis of annual LST revealed that built-up areas showed the highest mean LST, followed by bare soil and vegetation. The future simulation results indicate an expected increase in built-up areas to 17.08% and 23.10% by 2034 and 2046, respectively, compared to 11.23% in 2022. Similarly, the simulation results for LST indicated that the area experiencing the highest LST class (≥ 32 °C) is expected to increase to 27.01% and 43.05% by 2034 and 2046, respectively, compared to 11.21% in 2022. The results indicate that LST increases considerably as built-up areas increase and vegetation cover decreases, revealing a direct link between urbanization and rising temperatures.

Dry season assessment of carbon storage and emission from upland and riparian soils in the Ganga River basin

Soil organic carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) are profoundly affected by changes in land use and land cover (LULC), especially by farming in riparian zones. The five LULC classes were selected in contiguous order, i.e., undisturbed forest (CALref), conventional agriculture lands (CAL), reservoir riparian zones (RSRZ), river riparian zones (RRZ), and undisturbed riparian zones (RZref) in the Ganga River basin to study the C storage and emission trends at a landscape scale. The riparian soils showed higher moisture, temperature, and bulk density than the upland soils, strongly determining the spatial variations in the CO2 equivalent (CO2e), C:N ratio, and CO2 efflux. Riparian CO2e was more bulk density-dependent, while upland CO2e showed greater dependence on TOC. The C:N ratio showed a higher mean value in the reference soils (CALref and RZref) than in the other soils (P < 0.05). The total nitrogen (TN), total protein (TP), and NH4-N (ammonium‑nitrogen) showed the following trend: RSRZ > CAL > RRZ > RZref > CALref. The stepwise multiple regression models illustrated that soil moisture was the primary regulator of the C:N ratio and CO2 efflux in the upland soils while the temperature in the riparian soils. These intrinsic soil variables resulted in 1.15 to 2.26 times higher CO2 efflux from the cultivated soils (CAL, RSRZ, and RRZ) than from the reference soils. Hence, the present study revealed how agricultural practices tangibly increase the riparian system's carbon footprint while offering unsustainable livelihood options to farmers.

Dynamics of land use and land cover changes in Amibara and Awash-fentale districts, Ethiopia

The analysis of land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes is crucial for rural development planning, food security monitoring, and natural resource conservation. This study focuses on detecting LULC changes in Amibara and Awash-Fentale districts from 1985 to 2021. We utilized five sets of Landsat data (Landsat 5 TM for 1985, 1995, 2002, and Landsat 8 OLI for 2015 & 2020) and applied supervised maximum likelihood classification. Accuracy assessments revealed overall accuracies ranging from 88.9% to 95.3% for Amibara and 89.5%–93.2% for Awash-Fentale. Both districts exhibited six main LULC classes: agriculture, bareland, built-up, mixed forest, shrubland, and water bodies. In Amibara LULC changes from 1985 to 2021 revealed significant shifts, maintaining its primary bareland characteristic, concentrated agriculture, and expanding Prosopis-dominated shrubland due to livestock-mediated seed dispersal. Conversely, in Awash-Fentale bareland dominance decreased from 92.28% to 67.02%, while agriculture, built-up areas, and shrubland expanded. Water bodies emerged between 2015 and 2021 which is associated with the construction of Kesem Kebena dam for sugar cane farm production. The net gains were observed in shrubland (12.9%), agriculture (5.8%), mixed forest (4.1%), water bodies (1.5%), and built-up areas (0.9%), with bareland experiencing a loss of 25.3%. In conclusion, Amibara and Awash-Fentale underwent both comparable and distinct LULC shifts, featuring prevalent bareland and central agriculture, alongside Prosopis-driven shrubland expansion due to livestock dispersal. While mixed forest exhibited fluctuations, built-up areas and water bodies remained limited. Notably, Awash-Fentale showed higher LULC variability. Understanding these land cover changes helps assess vulnerability to climate impacts like droughts and floods, enhancing climate resilience. Insights from this study can inform sustainable land-use planning, conservation strategies, and policy interventions in the Afar region and similar areas. These observations highlight the need for integrated land management approaches that balance socioeconomic development with environmental sustainability.

Semi-Arid to Arid Scenario Shift: Is the Cabrobó Desertification Nucleus Becoming Arid?

Monitoring areas susceptible to desertification contributes to the strategic development of regions located in environments of extreme hydric and social vulnerability. Therefore, the objective of this study is to evaluate the process of soil degradation in the Desertification Nucleus of Cabrobó (DNC) over the past three decades using remote sensing techniques. This study used primary climatic data from TerraClimate, geospatial data of land use and land cover (LULC), and vegetation indices (SAVI and LAI) via Google Earth Engine (GEE) from Landsat 5/TM and 8/OLI satellites, and established the aridity index (AI) from 1992 to 2022. The results indicated 10 predominant LULC classes with native vegetation suppression, particularly in agriculture and urbanization. SAVI ranged from −0.84 to 0.90, with high values influenced by La Niña episodes and increased rainfall; conversely, El Niño episodes worsened the rainfall regime in the DNC region. Based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), it was possible to correlate normal and severe drought events in the DNC with years under the influence of El Niño and La Niña phases. In summary, the AI images indicated that the DNC remained semi-arid and that the transition to an arid region is a cyclical and low-frequency phenomenon, occurring in specific periods and directly influenced by El Niño and La Niña phenomena. The Mann–Kendall analysis showed no increasing trend in AI, with a Tau of −0.01 and a p-value of 0.97. During the analyzed period, there was an increase in Non-Vegetated Areas, which showed a growing trend with a Tau of 0.42 in the Mann–Kendall analysis, representing exposed soil areas. Annual meteorological conditions remained within the climatic pattern of the region, with annual averages of precipitation and actual evapotranspiration (ETa) close to 450 mm and an average temperature of 24 °C, showing changes only during El Niño and La Niña events, and did not show significant increasing or decreasing trends in the Mann–Kendall analysis.