Kidney Endpoints Research Articles

Abstract 4137991: Association of the 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Heart Failure Staging and Cardiovascular and Kidney Outcomes in Patients with Diabetes and Kidney Disease: A Secondary Analysis of the SCORED Trial

Introduction: The 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA heart failure (HF) classification newly incorporates cardiac biomarkers to identify patients at risk of HF. Research Question: Given shared risk factors between HF and other cardiorenal events, the HF stages may also guide prognosis and management of cardiovascular (CV) and kidney-related events beyond HF. Aims: Examine the association of HF stage with CV and kidney events. Methods: SCORED was a randomized trial in diabetes with kidney disease comparing sotagliflozin (sota) v. placebo on CV death, hospitalizations for HF, and urgent HF visits. SCORED participants were grouped by HF stage post hoc . Stage A: No HF, normal cardiac biomarkers (NT-proBNP; <125 pg/mL, hs-cTnT; <14 ng/L) and normal cardiac structure/function by echocardiography. Stage B (pre-HF): No HF but elevated NTproBNP, hsTNT or abnormal echocardiography. Stage C/D: symptomatic HF. Endpoints of interest included the primary composite endpoint (CV death and HF-related events), major adverse CV events (MACE), and kidney-related composites (See Figure caption). Using Cox regression, we examined the association between HF stage and these endpoints, and whether the effect of sota v. placebo varied by HF stage. Results: There were 741 patients in stage A, 6560 in stage B (pre-HF) and 3283 in stage C/D (established HF). The mean NTproBNP and hs-cTnT increased with HF stage. Stepwise increases in HF stage were associated with a 2-4 fold higher incidence of the primary, MACE and kidney endpoints in the placebo group, although the incidence of the kidney-specific composite was similar in stage B and C/D (Figure). The relative risk reduction with sota v. placebo for all endpoints was similar irrespective of HF stage (p-interaction>0.05), with higher absolute benefit in each HF stage (Figure). The absolute benefit for the kidney-specific endpoint was comparable for stage B and C/D. Conclusions: Increasing HF stage is associated with higher risk of HF, MACE, and kidney events, but the risk of kidney events is similar in stage B (pre-HF) and stage C/D (established HF). Sota has similar relative benefits for all endpoints, irrespective of HF stage, with a corresponding increase in absolute benefits at higher stages.

Baseline, Early Changes, and Residual Albuminuria: Post-hoc Analysis of a Clinical Trial of Dapagliflozin in Chronic Kidney Disease.

Albuminuria is a strong indicator of kidney and cardiovascular risk in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We assessed risk associations between albuminuria at baseline and four months after randomization in a placebo-controlled trial of dapagliflozin and kidney endpoints in patients with CKD and albuminuria, with and without type 2 diabetes. In this post-hoc analysis of the DAPA-CKD trial, 4304 adult patients with CKD were randomized to dapagliflozin 10mg or placebo as adjunct to maximally tolerated renin-angiotensin-system (RAAS) inhibitors. The primary endpoint was a composite of sustained ≥50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate, kidney failure, or death from kidney or cardiovascular cause. The kidney composite endpoint was similar but excluded cardiovascular death. We assessed associations among baseline albuminuria, early change in albuminuria, (baseline to Month 4), and residual albuminuria (Month 4) with the primary composite and kidney composite endpoints using Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. Compared to placebo, dapagliflozin reduced urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR; baseline to Month 4) by 36% (95% CI: 30.2%, 42.5%) and 21% (95% CI: 12, 30%) in participants with and without type 2 diabetes, respectively (p-interaction: 0.02). A reduction in UACR from baseline to Month 4 was associated with a lower risk for the primary and kidney composite endpoints with a similar risk gradient for participants with and without type 2 diabetes (p-interaction: 0.10 and 0.19, respectively). Residual albuminuria was associated with a similar risk for the primary and kidney composite endpoints in each treatment arm (p-interaction: 0.19 and 0.18, respectively). Dapagliflozin reduced albuminuria, and the magnitude of albuminuria reduction showed similar proportional reductions in risks for the primary and kidney composite endpoints in participants with and without type 2 diabetes. Patients with residual albuminuria at Month 4 - whether randomized to dapagliflozin or placebo - experienced relatively high rates of CKD progression kidney endpoints, suggesting that therapies added to RAAS inhibitors and dapagliflozin may be required to sustain kidney and cardiovascular health. A Study to Evaluate the Effect of Dapagliflozin on Renal Outcomes and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (DAPA-CKD), NCT03036150.

Current management of chronic kidney disease in type-2 diabetes-A tiered approach: An overview of the joint Association of British Clinical Diabetologists and UK Kidney association (ABCD-UKKA) guidelines.

A growing and significant number of people with diabetes develop chronic kidney disease (CKD). Diabetes-related CKD is a leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and people with diabetes and CKD have high morbidity and mortality, predominantly related to cardiovascular disease (CVD). Despite advances in care over the recent decades, most people with CKD and type 2 diabetes are likely to die of CVD before developing ESKD. Hyperglycaemia and hypertension are modifiable risk factors to prevent onset and progression of CKD and related CVD. People with type 2 diabetes often have dyslipidaemia and CKD per se is an independent risk factor for CVD, therefore people with CKD and type 2 diabetes require intensive lipid lowering to reduce burden of CVD. Recent clinical trials of people with type 2 diabetes and CKD have demonstrated a reduction in composite kidney end point events (significant decline in kidney function, need for kidney replacement therapy and kidney death) with sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, non-steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist finerenone and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists. The Association of British Clinical Diabetologists (ABCD) and UK Kidney Association (UKKA) Diabetic Kidney Disease Clinical Speciality Group have previously undertaken a narrative review and critical appraisal of the available evidence to inform clinical practice guidelines for the management of hyperglycaemia, hyperlipidaemia and hypertension in adults with type 2 diabetes and CKD. This 2024 abbreviatedupdated guidance summarises the recommendations and the implications for clinical practice for healthcare professionals who treat people with diabetes and CKD in primary, community and secondary care settings.

SGLT-2 Inhibitors Versus GLP-1 Receptor Agonists Effects on Kidney and Clinical Outcomes in Veterans with Type 2 Diabetes.

The primary aim compared kidney endpoints between patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) 36 months after initiation on a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) or a GLP-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA). Secondary aims compared estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), weight, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) changes. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of propensity score matched veterans with T2D, baseline eGFR>20mL/min/1.73m2, and initiated on a SGLT2i vs GLP-1RA between 4/1/2009-9/1/2020. Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to evaluate effectiveness between both groups on composite endpoint (decline of >=40% in eGFR from baseline, ESRD event, and all-cause mortality) and its components adjusting for baseline characteristics. Spline models were constructed to evaluate eGFR change and linear mixed effects models were constructed to evaluate changes in HbA1c, weight, and UACR. We used an intent-to-treat (ITT) approach as our main analysis followed by a per-protocol (PP) approach excluding veterans who discontinued or switched therapy during the study period. A total of 29,146 propensity score matched veterans were included in SGLT2i and GLP-1RA groups (14,573 per group). In the ITT and PP analyses, veterans initiated on SGLT2i had a 35% (HR=0.65; 95% CI: 0.62, 0.68) and 34% (HR=0.66; 95% CI: 0.62, 0.69) reduction in the hazard of experiencing the composite endpoint compared to veterans initiated on GLP-1RA adjusting for baseline characteristics, respectively. Between 6-36 months, we found an improved chronic eGFR slope with SGLT2i compared to GLP-1RA in both ITT and PP analyses; +1.19 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.45) and +1.29 mL/min/1.73m2 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.57), respectively. The annual difference in chronic eGFR slope in both ITT and PP analyses were +0.97 mL/min/1.73m2/year (95% CI: 0.82, 1.11) and +1.08 mL/min/1.73m2/year (95% CI: 0.92, 1.25). Improved HbA1c, weight loss and UACR were reported for both groups. In this real-world study, veterans with T2D initiated on SGLT2i were associated with reduced hazard of experiencing mortality, worsening eGFR, or developing ESRD and improved glycemic, metabolic, and renal endpoints compared to GLP-1RA use.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and kidney outcomes.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have gained increasing attention for their potential benefits in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Most supportive evidence of a kidney-protective effect of the GLP-1RA class of medications has been derived from kidney-related outcomes reported from cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs). GLP-1RAs have been shown to reduce albuminuria, mitigate cardiovascular risk, and possibly attenuate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline. The kidney-protective effects of GLP-1RAs are thought to be attributed to their anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, and vasodilatory properties. Despite these promising findings, the use of GLP-RAs has yet to be definitively shown to slow progression to chronic kidney failure in people with T2DM. The Research Study to See How Semaglutide Works Compared to Placebo in People With Type 2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease (FLOW trial) is the first major trial assessing the potential of a GLP-1RA to slow progression of kidney disease in people with established CKD to clinically important kidney end points. On March 5, 2024, the top line result from FLOW was announced with semaglutide 1.0 mg being reported to reduce the primary end point of the trial by a significant 24% compared with placebo. Here, we summarize the kidney outcomes reported from CVOTs for the GLP-1RA class of medication and briefly describe kidney outcomes from other major GLP-1RAs trials. We also discuss a potential role of the dual GLP-1/glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) receptor agonist, tirzepatide, as a kidney-protective agent.

Prognosis of IgA nephropathy patient with proteinuria remission by supportive therapy: cohort from screening failed Chinese patients in TESTING study

Background During the run-in phase of the TESTING study, approximately half of patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN) were excluded due to proteinuria below 1 g/24 h after intensive supportive therapy. The long-term prognosis of these patients needs further investigation. Methods 112 screening failed patients in the TESTING study from 10 centers in China were enrolled in this retrospective study. The prognosis of 88 patients, who were excluded because of proteinuria below 1 g/24 h, was analyzed by Landmark Kaplan-Meier analysis. The composite kidney endpoint was defined by a ≥ 50% reduction in eGFR, ESKD (eGFR <15 mL/min per 1.73 m2), chronic dialysis for at least 6 months, or renal transplantation. Results In total, 88 patients were excluded due to proteinuria less than 1 g/24 h. During the follow-up, 73/88 (83.0%) patients received renin-angiotensin system blocker. 72/88 (81.8%) had stable proteinuria remission and did not receive immunosuppressive therapy (IST), and 16/88 (18.2%) received IST because of a relapse of proteinuria. Landmark Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that, the kidney survival from dialysis or composite kidney outcome of these excluded patients with IST was similar to those without IST during the early stages of follow-up (dialysis, before 60 months, p = 0.778; composite kidney outcome, before 48 months, p = 0.862); whereas the risk for dialysis of patients receiving IST was significantly higher than those without IST after 60 months (OR = 11.3, p = 0.03). Similarly, the risk for the composite kidney outcome of patients receiving IST was also significantly higher than those without IST after 48 months (OR = 5.92, p = 0.029). Conclusions IgAN patients who maintained a persistent remission of proteinuria after intensive supportive therapy had a much better long-term kidney outcome than those who experienced a relapse of proteinuria and needed IST.

Therapeutic Effects of Heart Failure Medical Therapies on Standardized Kidney Outcomes: Comprehensive Individual Participant-Level Analysis of 6 Randomized Clinical Trials.

Background: Kidney outcomes have been variably defined using non-standardized composite endpoints in key heart failure (HF) trials, thus introducing complexity in their interpretation and cross-trial comparability. We examined the effects of steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs), the angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) sacubitril/valsartan, and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors on composite kidney endpoints using uniform definitions in 6 contemporary HF trials. Methods: Individual participant-level data from trials of steroidal MRAs (EMPHASIS-HF, TOPCAT Americas), ARNI (PARADIGM-HF, PARAGON-HF), and SGLT2 inhibitors (DAPA-HF, DELIVER) were included. The standardized composite kidney endpoint was defined as a sustained decline (a reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) confirmed by a subsequent measurement at least 30 days later) in eGFR by 40%, 50%, or 57%, end-stage kidney disease, or renal death. eGFR was recalculated in a standardized manner using the 2009 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation. Results: Among 28,690 participants across the 6 trials (median age 69 years [IQR, 62-76]; 9,656 [33.7% ] women), the proportion experiencing the composite kidney endpoint with a more stringent definition of a sustained decline in kidney function (eGFR threshold of 57%) ranged from 0.3% to 3.3%. The proportion of patients experiencing this endpoint with a less stringent definition (eGFR threshold of 40%) ranged from 1.0% and 10.0%. The steroidal MRAs doubled the risk of the composite kidney endpoint when applying the least stringent definition compared with placebo, but these effects were less apparent and no longer significant with application of more stringent definitions. ARNI appeared to consistently reduce the occurrence of the composite kidney endpoints irrespective of specific eGFR threshold applied. The potential benefits of SGLT2-inhibitors on the composite kidney endpoints appeared more apparent when defined by more stringent eGFR thresholds, although none of these effects individually were statistically significant. Conclusions: When applying standardized stringent kidney endpoint definitions, steroidal MRAs, ARNI, and SGLT2-inhibitors have either neutral or beneficial effects on kidney outcomes in HF. Applying less stringent definitions increased event rates but included acute declines in eGFR that might not ultimately reflect long-term effects on kidney disease progression.

Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic overlap in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: Cardiac structure and function, clinical outcomes, and response to sacubitril/valsartan in PARAGON-HF.

Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) multimorbidity is prevalent among individuals with heart failure (HF), but whether cardiac structure and function, clinical outcomes, and treatment response to sacubitril/valsartan vary in relation to CKM status is unknown. In this PARAGON-HF post-hoc analysis, we evaluated the impact of CKM multimorbidity (atherosclerotic cardiovascular [CV] disease, chronic kidney disease, and type 2 diabetes) on cardiac structure and function, clinical outcomes, and treatment effects of sacubitril/valsartan versus valsartan. The primary outcome was a composite of total HF hospitalizations and CV death. Secondary outcomes included the individual components of the primary outcome and a composite kidney outcome (sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate reduction of ≥50%, end-stage kidney disease, or kidney-related death). At baseline, 35.2% had one CKM condition, 33.3% had two, 15.9% had three, and only 15.6% had HF alone. CKM multimorbidity was associated with higher septal and posterior wall thickness, lower global longitudinal strain, higher E/e', and worse right ventricular function. Total HF hospitalizations or CV death increased with greater CKM multimorbidity, with the highest relative risk observed with three CKM conditions (rate ratio 3.06, 95% confidence interval 2.33-4.03), compared with HF alone. Treatment effects of sacubitril/valsartan were consistent irrespective of the number of CKM conditions for the primary endpoint (pinteraction = 0.75), CV death (pinteraction = 0.82), total HF hospitalizations (pinteraction = 0.67), and the composite kidney endpoint (pinteraction = 0.99). Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic multimorbidity was common in PARAGON-HF and associated with adverse changes in cardiac structure and function and with a stepwise increase in risk of clinical outcomes. Treatment effects of sacubitril/valsartan were consistent irrespective of CKM burden. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01920711.

Long-term outcomes of patients with IgA nephropathy in the German CKD cohort.

The importance of albuminuria as opposed to proteinuria in predicting kidney outcomes in primary immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is not well established. From 2010 to 2012, 421 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN have been enrolled into the German Chronic Kidney Disease (GCKD) cohort, a prospective observational cohort study (N=5217). Adjudicated endpoints include a composite kidney endpoint (CKE) consisting of eGFR decline >40%, eGFR <15ml/min/1.73m2 and initiation of kidney replacement therapy; the individual components of the CKE; and combined major adverse cardiac events (MACE), including non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke and all-cause mortality. The associations between the incidence of CKE and baseline factors, including demographics, laboratory values and comorbidities were analysed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The mean age of IgAN patients at baseline was 51.6years (±13.6) and 67% were male. The patient-reported duration of disease at baseline was 5.9±8.1years. Baseline median urine albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) was 0.4g/g [interquartile range (IQR) 0.1-0.8] and mean eGFR was 52.5±22.4ml/min/1.73m2. Over a follow-up of 6.5years, 64 (15.2%) patients experienced a >40% eGFR decline, 3 (0.7%) reached eGFR <15ml/min/1.73m2, 53 (12.6%) initiated kidney replacement therapy and 28% of the patients experienced the CKE. Albuminuria, with reference to <0.1g/g, was most associated with CKE. Hazard ratios (HRs) at UACRs of 0.1-0.6g/g, 0.6-1.4g/g, 1.4-2.2g/g and >2.2g/g were 2.03 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-4.05], 3.8 (95% CI 1.92-7.5), 5.64 (95% CI 2.58-12.33) and 5.02 (95% CI 2.29-11-03), respectively. Regarding MACE, the presence of diabetes [HR 2.53 (95% CI 1.11-5.78)] was the most strongly associated factor, whereas UACR and eGFR did not show significant associations. In the GCKD IgAN subcohort, more than every fourth patient experienced a CKE event within 6.5years. Our findings support the use of albuminuria as a surrogate to assess the risk of poor kidney outcomes.

A meta-analysis of randomized controlled clinical trials for implications of acute treatment effects on glomerular filtration rate for long-term kidney protection

Pharmacologic interventions to slow chronic kidney disease progression, such as ACE-inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, or sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors, often produce acute treatment effects on glomerular filtration rate (GFR) that differ from their long-term chronic treatment effects. Observational studies assessing the implications of acute effects cannot distinguish acute effects from GFR changes unrelated to the treatment. Here, we performed meta-regression analysis of multiple trials to isolate acute effects to determine their long-term implications. In 64 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), enrolling 154,045 participants, we estimated acute effects as the mean between-group difference in GFR slope from baseline to three months, effects on chronic GFR slope (starting at three months after randomization), and effects on three composite kidney endpoints defined by kidney failure (GFR 15 ml/min/1.73m2 or less, chronic dialysis, or kidney transplantation) or sustained GFR declines of 30%, 40% or 57% decline, respectively. We used Bayesian meta-regression to relate acute effects with treatment effects on chronic slope and the composite kidney endpoints. Overall, acute effects were not associated with treatment effects on chronic slope. Acute effects were associated with the treatment effects on composite kidney outcomes such that larger negative acute effects were associated with lesser beneficial effects on the composite kidney endpoints. Associations were stronger when the kidney composite endpoints were defined by smaller thresholds of GFR decline (30% or 40%). Results were similar in a subgroup of interventions with supposedly hemodynamic effects that acutely reduce GFR. For studies with GFR 60 mL/min/1.73m2 or under, negative acute effects were associated with larger beneficial effects on chronic GFR slope. Thus, our data from a large and diverse set of RCTs suggests that acute effects of interventions may influence the treatment effect on clinical kidney outcomes.

Matrix Metalloproteinase-2 and CKD Progression: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

Matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2) plays an important role in the development of fibrosis, the final common pathway of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aimed to assess the relationship between repeated measures of MMP-2 and CKD progression in a large, diverse prospective cohort. In a prospective cohort of Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants (N=3,827), MMP-2 was measured at baseline. In a case-cohort design, MMP-2 was additionally measured at year 2 in a randomly selected subcohort and cases of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) halving or kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (N= 1,439). CRIC is a multicenter prospective cohort of adults with CKD. MMP-2 measured in plasma at baseline and at year2. A composite kidney endpoint (KRT/eGFR halving). Weighted Cox proportional hazards models for case-cohort participants. Participants were followed for a median of 4.6 years from year 2 and 6.9 years from the baseline. Persistently elevated MMP-2 (≥300ng/mL at both baseline and year 2) increased the hazard of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.42; P=0.09) after adjusting for covariates. The relationship of persistently elevated MMP-2 was modified by levels of inflammation, with a 2.6 times higher rate of the composite kidney endpoint in those with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein<2.5g/dL at study entry. Heterogeneity of effect was found with proteinuria, with a baseline MMP-2 level of≥300ng/mL associated with an increased risk of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.09-1.54) only with proteinuria≥442mg/g. The observational study design limits causal interpretation. Elevated MMP-2 is associated with CKD progression, particularly among those with low inflammation and those with proteinuria. Future investigations are warranted to confirm the reduction in risk of CKD progression among these subgroups of patients with CKD.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Slope as an Endpoint in Cardiovascular Trials.

End stage kidney disease can be a slow process and it may be challenging to achieve required follow-up for sufficient events. Therefore, a surrogate kidney endpoint, such as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope maybe attractive to assess the kidney in cardiovascular trials, especially heart failure (HF). eGFR slope can generate informative results in a shorter follow-up period, has decreased risk of type-2 error, and is less sensitive to eGFR shifts compared with other surrogate kidney endpoints (eGFR decline≥40% or doubling creatinine). However, eGFR slope has its limitations with acute effects, heterogeneity in slope calculation/reporting, and deviations from linearity. eGFR slope is a kidney endpoint which may be well-suited for HF trials. Cross-collaborated guideline recommendations are needed to optimize the use of eGFR slope as a kidney endpoint in patients with HF.

Long-term kidney outcomes of semaglutide in obesity and cardiovascular disease in the SELECT trial

The SELECT trial previously reported a 20% reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events with semaglutide (n = 8,803) versus placebo (n = 8,801) in patients with overweight/obesity and established cardiovascular disease, without diabetes. In the present study, we examined the effect of once-weekly semaglutide 2.4 mg on kidney outcomes in the SELECT trial. The incidence of the pre-specified main composite kidney endpoint (death from kidney disease, initiation of chronic kidney replacement therapy, onset of persistent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 15 ml min−1 1.73 m−2, persistent ≥50% reduction in eGFR or onset of persistent macroalbuminuria) was lower with semaglutide (1.8%) versus placebo (2.2%): hazard ratio (HR) = 0.78; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63, 0.96; P = 0.02. The treatment benefit at 104 weeks for eGFR was 0.75 ml min−1 1.73 m−2 (95% CI 0.43, 1.06; P < 0.001) overall and 2.19 ml min−1 1.73 m−2 (95% CI 1.00, 3.38; P < 0.001) in patients with baseline eGFR <60 ml min−1 1.73 m−2. These results suggest a benefit of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in individuals with overweight/obesity, without diabetes.ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03574597.

#2692 Mayo Clinic Chronicity Score: a helpful tool to establish the prognosis of patients with chronic kidney disease

Abstract Background and Aims Kidney biopsy is a useful tool to establish the diagnosis and provide information about the activity and chronicity of kidney disease. Chronic changes are generally irreversible and act as a prognostic marker. The Mayo clinic chronicity score (MCCS) standardizes and semi-quantitatively classifies the degree of chronicity as minimal, mild, moderate, or severe, based on a score assigned according to the degree of glomerulosclerosis, tubular atrophy, interstitial fibrosis, and arteriosclerosis. The objective of this study is to validate and assess whether the MCCS has prognostic value in predicting the initiation of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), death, or doubling of serum creatinine in a cohort of patients with various etiologies of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Method We conducted a single-center retrospective study including 101 patients with CKD who underwent native kidney biopsies. The degree of chronicity was classified according to MCCS into 4 categories: minimal (0–1), mild (2–4), moderate (5–7) and severe (8–10). The primary endpoint was defined as KRT, death, and/or a ≥50% increase in baseline creatinine. The kidney endpoint was defined as KRT or a ≥50% increase in baseline creatinine. Results The mean age of patients was 52.1 ± 16.8 years, 68.3% were male, with a median baseline creatinine of 1.4 mg/dL (IQR: 0.92-2.1), a median eGFR of 59.6 (33.7-96.8), and median proteinuria of 2.4 g/24 h (IQR: 0.98-3.9). The median follow-up time was 4 years (range: 1.9-6.4). Biopsies yielded a mean of 15.7 ± 8.6 glomeruli. The most frequent etiologies were IgA nephropathy (17.8%), Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis (13.9%), membranous nephropathy (11.9%), nephroangiosclerosis (10.9%) and diabetic kidney disease (9.9%). Median chronicity score was 3 (IQR: 1-5). 27 patients (26.7%) had a minimal chronicity score, 37 (36.6%) mild, 30 (29.7%) moderate, and 7 (6.9%) severe. Those patients with severe chronic damage had significantly higher baseline creatinine (p = 0.01), lower eGFR and were older (p = 0.01). During a median follow-up time of 4 years (IQR: 2-6.3), 10 patients died, 32 (61.9%) reached the primary endpoint, and 24 (28.6%) reached the kidney endpoint. According to the KM curves, patients in the severe chronicity group were at higher risk to meet the primary endpoint (Log-Rank: 21.03 p&amp;lt;0.001), and the kidney endpoint (Log-Rank: 24.9 p&amp;lt;0.001) compared to the other groups (Fig. 1). In the multivariable Cox regression analysis (adjusted for age, creatinine, sex, proteinuria), the chronicity index was significantly associated with the combined primary endpoint (HR: 6.5, 95% CI: 1.95-21.96, p: 0.002) and the kidney endpoint (HR: 8.6, 95% CI: 2.47-29.75, p: 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for the primary composite endpoint was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.68-0.87) and for the kidney endpoint was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.69-0.89). Conclusion The MCCS is a useful tool to predict the prognosis of patients undergoing kidney biopsy, regardless of the etiology of kidney disease. The MCCS could guide therapeutic management and help select patients who benefit from immunosuppressive treatment.

#755 Endotrophin as an early marker of kidney outcomes in persons with type 2 diabetes: findings from the PROVALID study

Abstract Background and Aims Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is driven by a set of pathophysiological processes, including fibrosis. Endotrophin (ETP), a pro-fibrotic fragment generated during collagen type VI formation, has previously been shown to be a biomarker of DKD progression. The aim of this study was to investigate, for the first time, circulating ETP as a risk marker for kidney outcomes in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2D) being taken care of at the primary level of healthcare. Method Levels of ETP were measured using the nordicPRO-C6TM ELISA in plasma at baseline from 3226 persons with T2D enrolled in the Prospective Cohort Study in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus for Validation of Biomarkers (PROVALID). Outcomes included a composite kidney endpoint defined as a sustained 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) &amp;lt; an eGFR of 60 ml/min/173 m2, sustained 30% increase in albuminuria including a transition in albuminuria stage, or kidney failure with replacement therapy or kidney death. A decline in eGFR and an increase in albuminuria were considered sustained if they persisted over at least two consecutive measurements. Crude and adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to investigate the potential of ETP as a risk marker of the kidney endpoint. Levels of ETP were log-transformed before analysis. The Kaplan–Meier estimator was used to compare the risks of experiencing the kidney endpoint according to ETP levels split by the median in persons with baseline eGFR &amp;gt; 90 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 976). Results The cohort consisted of 57% males; median age was 64 (58-70) years, and mean eGFR was 79 ± 24 ml/min/1.73 m2. Median follow-up was 3.9 years. Higher levels of ETP were associated with a higher risk of developing the kidney endpoint, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.63 (p = 0.0012; n = 293/3226). After adjustment for the refined variables: age, diabetes duration, HbA1c, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, blood pressure, duration of hypertension, BMI, LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, and eGFR, the HR was 1.55 (p = 0.012). In persons with an eGFR &amp;gt; 90 ml/min/1.73 m2, higher ETP was also associated with an increased risk of developing the kidney endpoint (p = 0.03; n = 69/976). Conclusion Plasma ETP was an independent risk marker for kidney outcomes in persons with T2D with early kidney disease. Higher levels of plasma ETP were associated with a significantly increased risk of developing the kidney endpoint in persons with eGFR &amp;gt; 90 ml/min/1.73 m2. These findings demonstrate that biomarkers of fibrosis, such as ETP, may serve as early markers for kidney disease progression or kidney failure in persons with T2D and apparently normal kidney function.

#2496 Effect of semaglutide on kidney outcomes in people with overweight or obesity and established cardiovascular disease in the SELECT trial

Abstract Background and Aims Obesity is an important risk factor for declining kidney function and albuminuria. Secondary analyses of cardiovascular outcome trials in people with type 2 diabetes suggest that the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist semaglutide has the potential to reduce kidney function deterioration. Semaglutide reduced the primary endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events by 20% in the randomised controlled SELECT trial in people with overweight or obesity without diabetes. The present report is the prespecified analysis on secondary and exploratory kidney outcomes in SELECT. Method The main kidney endpoint was the time from randomisation to first occurrence of a 5-component nephropathy composite comprising: death from kidney causes; initiation of chronic kidney replacement therapy (dialysis or transplantation); onset of persistent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) &amp;lt;15 mL/min/1.73 m2; persistent ≥50% reduction in eGFR compared with baseline; or onset of persistent macroalbuminuria. Persistence was defined as at least two measures at least 4 weeks apart. Patients were randomised to once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 2.4 mg or placebo. Blood and urine samples for eGFR and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) were collected at screening, at 20, 52, 104, 156, 208 weeks of follow-up and at the end of treatment. Analyses were of in-trial data and used Cox regression and mixed models for repeated measures. Results A total of 8803 patients were assigned to semaglutide and 8801 to placebo. The median follow-up was 182 weeks. The main composite nephropathy endpoint occurred in fewer of those assigned semaglutide (1.8% [155/8803]) than placebo (2.2% [198/8801]): hazard ratio 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63, 0.96]; p = 0.02 (Fig. 1). This effect on the main endpoint was driven by the treatment effect on onset of macroalbuminuria and, to a lesser extent, persistent ≥50% reduction in eGFR. At the prespecified 104-week time point, eGFR had declined less in the semaglutide than placebo arm, giving a treatment effect of 0.75 mL/min/1.73 m2 [95% CI 0.43, 1.06]; p &amp;lt; 0.001 (Fig. 2A). The treatment effect on eGFR at 104 weeks was 0.57 mL/min/1.73 m2 [95% CI 0.26, 0.89] among those with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (N = 15 638) at baseline and was 2.19 mL/min/1.73 m2 [95% CI 1.00, 3.38] in those with eGFR &amp;lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (N = 1908) at baseline. At 104 weeks the proportionate increase in UACR was less in the semaglutide than the placebo arm, with a treatment effect of –10.7% [95% CI –13.2, –8.2]; p &amp;lt; 0.001 (Fig. 2B). The treatment effect on UACR at 104 weeks was –8.1% [95% CI –10.6, –5.6], –27.2% [95% CI –35.3, –18.1] and –31.4% [95% CI –54.9, 4.3] in those with normo- (N = 14 848), micro- (N =1968) and macroalbuminuria (N = 325) at baseline, respectively. Semaglutide was not associated with any excess of acute kidney injury, regardless of baseline eGFR. Conclusion These prespecified secondary analyses suggest a beneficial effect of once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 2.4 mg on a composite kidney endpoint in people with overweight or obesity and established cardiovascular disease. Significant benefits for both eGFR and UACR were found, including clinically relevant lesser eGFR decline in those with baseline eGFR &amp;lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2.

#2715 Towards precise prediction of prognosis in ADPKD: a comprehensive biomarker analysis

Abstract Background and Aims Determining prognosis in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) heavily relies on the height-adjusted total kidney volume (HtTKV) Mayo classification. This classification predicts kidney outcomes on a group level but lacks precision in individual patients. Recently, several urine and blood biomarkers have demonstrated prognostic value in ADPKD, independent of HtTKV and baseline eGFR. This study compares the prognostic value of various biomarkers to aid selection when developing novel risk stratification tools. Method Included were participants of the DIPAK studies with a follow-up duration of &amp;gt;1 year and ≥3 eGFR measurements. We excluded patients with diabetes mellitus and patients using tolvaptan or somatostatin analogues. At baseline, urine samples were analyzed for albumin, urea, creatinine, β2-microglobulin (β2-MG), monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), TmP/GFR (tubular maximum reabsorption rate of phosphate to GFR), and blood was drawn to measure creatinine, urea (for assessment of urinary-to-plasma urea ratio; UP urea), glucagon, fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) and copeptin. Albumin, β2-MG and MCP-1 were divided by urinary creatinine concentration to account for concentration effects. The cross-sectional and longitudinal association with baseline eGFR and eGFR decline over time was analyzed using multivariate linear regression and repeated measures linear mixed model regression. Furthermore, logistic regression models were tested to identify patients with rapidly-progressive disease (eGFR slope ≤ −3.0 ml/min/1.73 m2/year). Lastly, multivariate Cox regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the time to the combined endpoint of 30% decline in eGFR, reaching an eGFR ≤ 15 ml/min/1.73 m2, initiation of dialysis or receiving a kidney transplant. Results 565 patients were included with a mean age of 47 ± 11 years, eGFR of 64 ± 27 ml/min/1.73 m2 and HtTKV of 858 [IQR: 540, 1305] ml/m. During a mean follow-up of 5.2 ± 2.2 years, the mean eGFR decline was −3.38 ± 2.37 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. Of these patients, 283 (50.1%) had rapidly progressive disease and 267 (47.3%) reached the combined kidney endpoint. All biomarkers except glucagon were associated with baseline eGFR and eGFR decline over time after adjustment for established clinical risk factors for disease progression (sex, PKD mutation and baseline age and eGFR). After adjustment for the same covariates, albumin/creatinine, MCP-1/creatinine, FGF-23, UP-urea and copeptin were predictive of rapid disease progression. The area under the curve (AUC) value for predicting rapidly progressive disease for the Mayo HtTKV classification alone was 0.694, which could be improved to 0.766 (P &amp;lt; .001) by a risk prediction model that also included the aforementioned predictive clinical risk factors. The introduction of several biomarkers further improved this clinical model, including albumin/creatinine (AUC 0.794, p = 0.03), MCP-1/creatinine (AUC 0.804, p = 0.04) and copeptin (AUC 0.789, p = 0.05). Similar results were seen in multivariate Cox regression models after adjustment for covariates, with independent predictors of the combined endpoint being again albumin/creatinine (P &amp;lt; .001), MCP-1 creatinine (P &amp;lt; .001), copeptin (p = 0.012), but now also UP-urea (p = 0.008) and FGF-23 (P &amp;lt; .001). These findings appeared robust in subgroup analyses of 200 patients with Mayo HtTKV class 1C and 122 patients with early disease (age ≤ 40 years and eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 at baseline), in whom predicting prognosis is most challenging. Conclusion In patients with ADPKD, albumin/creatinine, MCP-1/creatinine, FGF-23 and copeptin are consistent predictors of kidney outcomes after adjustment for established clinical risk factors. Our data suggest that these biomarkers should be prioritized when developing novel multimarker models to enhance precision of risk prediction in ADPKD.

Febuxostat provides renoprotection in patients with hyperuricemia or gout: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

It is unknown whether febuxostat can delay the progression of kidney dysfunction and reduce kidney endpoint events. The aim was to evaluate the renoprotective effect of febuxostat in patients with hyperuricemia or gout by performing a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). MEDLINE, Web of science, EMBASE, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the Cochrane Central Register for Randomized Controlled Trials were searched. The main outcomes included kidney events (serum creatinine doubling or progression to end-stage kidney disease or dialysis). The secondary outcomes were the rate of change in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and changes in the urine protein or urine albumin to creatinine ratio from baseline to the end of follow-up. We used random-effects models to calculate the pooled risk estimates and 95% CIs. A total of 16 RCTs were included in the meta-analysis. In comparison with the control group, the patients who received febuxostat showed a reduced risk of kidney events (RR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.37-0.84, p = 0.006) and a slower decline in eGFR (WMD = 0.90 mL/min/1.73 m2, 95% CI 0.31-1.48, p = 0.003). The pooled results also revealed that febuxostat use reduced the urine albumin to creatinine ratio (SMD = -0.21, 95% CI -0.41 to -0.01, p = 0.042). Febuxostat use is associated with a reduced risk of kidney events and a slow decline in eGFR. In addition, the urine albumin to creatinine ratio decreased in febuxostat users. Accordingly, it is an effective drug for delaying the progression of kidney function deterioration in patients with gout.Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42021272591.

Association of Obesity With Kidney and Cardiac Outcomes Among Patients With Glomerular Disease: Findings From the Cure Glomerulonephropathy Network

Rationale & ObjectiveThe influence of obesity on cardiorenal outcomes in individuals with glomerular disease is incompletely known. This study examined the association between obesity and kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in children and adults with glomerular kidney disease. Study DesignProspective, multicenter, observational study. Setting & ParticipantsParticipants in the Cure Glomerulonephropathy Network (CureGN) who were ≥5 years of age at enrollment. ExposuresAdult body mass index (BMI) groups: 20-24 (healthy) vs 25-34 (overweight/class 1 obesity) vs ≥35 (class 2/3 obesity); and Pediatric BMI Percentiles: 5th – 84th (healthy) vs 85th – 94th (overweight) vs ≥95th (obese). OutcomesA composite kidney outcome (40% eGFR decline or kidney failure) and a composite cardiovascular outcome (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, or death) Analytical ApproachTime to composite primary outcomes by BMI strata were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The adjusted associations between BMI and outcomes were estimated using Cox proportional hazards analysis. ResultsThe study included 2301 participants (1548 adults and 753 children). The incidence of the primary kidney endpoint was 90.8 per 1000 person-years in adults with class 2/3 obesity, compared with 58.0 in normal weight comparators. In the univariable analysis class 2/3 obesity was associated with the primary kidney outcome only in adults (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.2, p = 0.006) compared to the healthy weight groups. In the multivariable adjusted analysis, class 2/3 obesity did not remain significant among adults when controlling for baseline eGFR and proteinuria. Adults with class 2/3 obesity had an incidence of 19.7 cardiovascular events per 1000 person-years, and greater cardiovascular risk (HR 3.9, 95%CI 1.4-10.7, p = 0.009) in the fully adjusted model. LimitationsBMI is an imperfect indicator of adiposity. Residual confounding may exist from socioeconomic factors. ConclusionsAmong adult patients in CureGN, class 2/3 obesity is associated with cardiovascular but not kidney outcomes when adjusted for potential confounding factors.

Risk factors for acute kidney injury and kidney relapse in patients with lupus podocytopathy.

Patients with lupus podocytopathy show a high incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) and relapse, but the risk factors and mechanisms were unclear. This study analysed the clinicopathological features and risk factors for AKI and relapse in lupus podocytopathy patients. The cohort of lupus podocytopathy was generated by screening the biopsies of patients with lupus nephritis (LN) from 2002 to 2022 and was divided into the mild glomerular lesion (MGL) and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) groups based on glomerular morphological characteristics. The acute (ATI) and chronic (CTI) tubulointerstitial lesions were semi-quantitatively scored. Logistic and Cox regressions were employed to identify the risk factors for AKI and relapse, respectively. Among 6052 LN cases, 98 (1.6%) were diagnosed as lupus podocytopathy, with 71 in the MGL group and 27 in the FSGS group. All patients presented with nephrotic syndrome and 33 (34.7%) of them had AKI. Seventy-seven (78.6%) patients achieved complete renal response (CRR) within 12weeks of induction treatment, in which there was no difference in the CRR rate between glucocorticoid monotherapy and combination therapy with glucocorticoids plus immunosuppressants. Compared with the MGL group, patients in the FSGS group had significantly higher incidences of hypertension and haematuria; in addition, they had higher Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000, ATI and CTI scores but a significantly lower CRR rate. Urinary protein ≥7.0g/24h and serum C3 ≤0.750g/l were independent risk factors for AKI. During a median follow-up of 78months, 57 cases (60.0%) had relapse and none reached the kidney endpoint. Failure to achieve CRR within 12weeks, maintenance with glucocorticoid monotherapy and AKI at onset were independent risk factors for kidney relapse. In this study, histological subtypes of lupus podocytopathy were found to be associated with clinical features and treatment response. In addition, several risk factors associated with AKI occurrence and kidney relapse were identified.