In order to explore the evolution law and driving mechanism of aerobic denitrification bacteria in Baiyangdian Lake under different hydrological scenarios, based on water quality survey and high-throughput sequencing technology, this study conducted a water quality factor analysis and aerobic denitrification bacteria α-diversity analysis, species composition, and network analysis. The results showed that the water body of Baiyangdian Lake was weakly alkaline, with the highest T and the lowest DO in the rainy season and the lowest T and the highest DO in the freezing season. There were significant differences between NH4+-N, NO2--N, NO3--N, TN, permanganate index, Fe, and Mn in Baiyangdian water under different hydrological scenarios (P < 0.01), and there was no significant difference in TP under different hydrological scenarios (P > 0.05). The largest category in water bodies under different hydrological scenarios was Proteobacteria, and the genera with a higher relative abundance were Magnetospirillum, Aeromonas, Pseudomonas, Azospirillum, and Bradyrhizobium. In addition, within the aerobic denitrifying bacteria community, there were significant differences in α-diversity (P < 0.001), with the highest abundance of microbial communities occurring during the freezing period, and the highest diversity and evenness of microbial communities during the dry and freezing periods. According to the RDA and Mantel analyses, the water quality driving factors of flora were different under different hydrological scenarios. The water quality driving factors of flora in the dry season were pH, NO3--N, NO2--N, and permanganate index; the driving factors of flora in the rainy season were pH, T, DO, NO2--N, and TP; the driving factors of flora in the normal season were NO2--N, Fe, and permanganate index; and the driving factors of flora in the freezing season were NO3--N and NONO2--N. Network analysis showed that there were temporal differences in species related to water quality driving factors. The genera related to water quality driving factors during the dry season were Magnetospirillum, Aeromonas, and Azoarcus, whereas the genera related to the rainy season were Magnetospirillum, Pseudomonas, and Aeromonas. The genera related to the normal season were Magnetospirillum, Pseudomonas, and Limnohabitans, and the genera related to the freezing period were Magnetospirillum, Azoarcus, and Pseudomonas. The relationship between key water quality factors (mainly T, DO, NO3--N, and permanganate index) and aerobic denitrification flora in different hydrological scenarios was gradually changing with time. In conclusion, the study on the evolution characteristics of aerobic denitrification bacteria in Baiyangdian Lake under different hydrological scenarios and the driving mechanism of environmental factors could provide a basis for understanding the evolution mechanism of aerobic denitrification bacteria in the natural environment.