Abstract Objectives This research aims to explore the relationship between glutathione peroxidase (GPX) expression variations in papillary renal cell carcinoma (pRCC) and patient survival, while also developing and evaluating a customized survival prediction model based on GPX. Methods The transcriptomic dataset, including clinical parameters and GPX expression levels, is sourced from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, comprising 290 individuals diagnosed with pRCC. We utilized a univariate Cox regression model to select differentially expressed genes. Subsequently, we calculated risk scores through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Based on the median risk score, patients were categorized into high and low-risk groups, establishing a prognostic risk model. Following this, the relationship between the risk model and the survival of pRCC patients was revealed through Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis. The sensitivity and specificity of the predictive model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Furthermore, chemotherapy drug sensitivity analysis was conducted on patients in the high and low-risk groups. Results A risk-scoring model was built by selecting GPX7 and GPX8. Compared to the low-risk group, individuals in the high-risk category showed significantly reduced overall survival rates (p=0.018). Additionally, validation results demonstrated the model’s good predictive accuracy. Conclusions The risk-scoring model constructed based on GPX family genes provides an innovative biomarker for forecasting the prognosis of pRCC and serves as a reference for individualized therapy in pRCC.
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