Joint Effects Model Research Articles

Epigenetic inactivation of the SFRP genes is associated with drinking, smoking and HPV in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

The soluble frizzled receptor protein (SFRP) family encodes antagonists of the WNT pathway, and silencing of these genes, through promoter hypermethylation, leads to constitutive WNT signaling. In bladder cancers, hypermethylation of the SFRP genes occurs more often in current and former smokers and is a strong predictor of poor patient survival. Hence, we examined methylation of these genes in another tobacco-related epithelial cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), to determine if the pattern of tobacco exposure again predicts the epigenetic alteration of these genes. Using methylation-specific PCR, the prevalence of methylation of SFRP1, SFRP2, SFRP4 and SFRP5 was 35, 32, 35 and 29%, respectively among 350 HNSCC cases. Promoter methylation of SFRP1 occurred more often in both heavy (OR 3.5, 95% CI 0.9-13.7) and light drinkers (OR 3.7, 95% CI 1.0-14.3) compared to nondrinkers. SFRP4 promoter methylation, on the other hand, occurred at a higher prevalence in never smokers and former smokers than in current smokers, and also was independently associated with HPV16 viral DNA. A joint effects model of SFRP4 promoter methylation demonstrated that smoking status and HPV virus significantly interacted (p < 0.04) such that never smokers with HPV16 had an OR of SFRP4 methylation of 9.0 (95% CI 2.1-38.6). These results suggest that epigenetic alterations of the SFRP genes are highly prevalent in HNSCC, and that the clonal selection for these alterations is complex and may be related to the carcinogenic exposures that are known risk factors for this disease.

Predictions of patterns of response to artificial selection in lines derived from natural populations.

The pattern of response to artificial selection on quantitative traits in laboratory populations can tell us something of the genetic architecture in the natural population from which they were derived. We modeled artificial selection in samples drawn from natural populations in which variation had been maintained by recurrent mutation, with genes having an effect on the trait, which was subject to real stabilizing selection, and a pleitropic effect on fitness (the joint-effect model). Natural selection leads to an inverse correlation between effects and frequencies of genes, such that the frequency distribution of genes increasing the trait has an extreme U-shape. In contrast to the classical infinitesimal model, an early accelerated response and a larger variance of response among replicates were predicted. However, these are reduced if the base population has been maintained in the laboratory for some generations by random sampling prior to artificial selection. When multiple loci and linkage are also taken into account, the gametic disequilibria generated by the Bulmer and Hill-Robertson effects are such that little or no increase in variance and acceleration of response in early generations of artificial selection are predicted; further, the patterns of predicted responses for the joint-effect model now become close to those of the infinitesimal model. Comparison with data from laboratory selection experiments shows that, overall, the analysis did not provide clear support for the joint-effect model or a clear case for rejection.

Influence of dominance, leptokurtosis and pleiotropy of deleterious mutations on quantitative genetic variation at mutation-selection balance.

In models of maintenance of genetic variance (V (G)) it has often been assumed that mutant alleles act additively. However, experimental data show that the dominance coefficient varies among mutant alleles and those of large effect tend to be recessive. On the basis of empirical knowledge of mutations, a joint-effect model of pleiotropic and real stabilizing selection that includes dominance is constructed and analyzed. It is shown that dominance can dramatically alter the prediction of equilibrium V (G). Analysis indicates that for the situations where mutations are more recessive for fitness than for a quantitative trait, as supported by the available data, the joint-effect model predicts a significantly higher V (G) than does an additive model. Importantly, for what seem to be realistic distributions of mutational effects (i.e., many mutants may not affect the quantitative trait substantially but are likely to affect fitness), the observed high levels of genetic variation in the quantitative trait under strong apparent stabilizing selection can be generated. This investigation supports the hypothesis that most V (G) comes from the alleles nearly neutral for fitness in heterozygotes while apparent stabilizing selection is contributed mainly by the alleles of large effect on the quantitative trait. Thus considerations of dominance coefficients of mutations lend further support to our previous conclusion that mutation-selection balance is a plausible mechanism of the maintenance of the genetic variance in natural populations.

Dynamic balance of segregation distortion and selection maintains normal allele sizes at the myotonic dystrophy locus

Myotonic dystrophy (DM), an autosomal dominant neurological disorder, is caused by CTG-repeat expansions at the DMPK locus, with affected individuals having > or = 50 repeats of this trinucleotide. Reduced reproductive fitness of affected individuals and decreased viability of congenital DM have been noted. Expanded CTG-repeat alleles are highly unstable, predominantly yielding even higher repeat sizes. Preferential transmission of longer alleles from heterozygous mothers within the normal size range of alleles also is observed. In view of these observations, it is worth examining how DM has been maintained in human populations for hundreds of generations. We present an analysis of the dynamic properties of a model of joint effects of segregation distortion and selection (intensity of which increases with allele sizes of an individual's genotype). Our mathematical formulation and numerical analyses demonstrate that a weak segregation distortion during female meiosis, together with selection of comparable intensity (within the normal allele size range), can maintain an equilibrium distribution of allele frequencies. Genetic drift, acting in conjunction with the occasional contraction of alleles by mutation, can contribute to the balance of segregation distortion and mutation, in the sense that even weaker selection can explain the observed allele frequencies. The model is applied to CTG-repeat size distributions at the DMPK locus, observed in normal individuals from world populations.