Israel National Cancer Registry Research Articles

The Risk of Cancer Might be Lower Than We Think. Alternatives to Lifetime Risk Estimates.

BackgroundEstimates of lifetime cancer risk are commonly used in the clinical setting and in health-care evaluations. These measures are based on lifetime cancer risk estimates and may create an unrealistically frightening perception of cancer risk for an individual. We suggest using two new measures of cancer risk to complement the cancer lifetime risk measure, namely estimates of cancer risk from birth to a specific age or from a specific age to life expectancy.MethodsWe calculated risks using incidence density data from the Israel National Cancer Registry of 2013, applying a well-known formula for calculating risk, for a follow-up time. The joint disease-free survival probability is calculated for several age intervals, and hence the risk (i.e. 1–survival) for the intervals.ResultsThe risk of cancer to age 80 in Jewish men and women, respectively, ranged from about 0.336 and 0.329 at age 0, to 0.279 and 0.237 at age 60. The risk of cancer from birth up to an age in Jewish men and women, respectively, ranged from 0 and 0 at birth to 0.088 and 0.129 at age 60. The risk of cancer to age 80 in Arab men and women, respectively, ranged from 0.298 and 0.235 at age 0 to 0.249 and 0.161 at age 60. The risk of cancer from birth up to an age in Arab men and women, respectively, ranged from 0 and 0 at age 0 to 0.074 and 0.095 at age 60. In Jewish and Arab women, breast cancer risk to age 80 decreased from about 0.127 in Jewish women at age 40 to 0.079 at age 60 and from 0.080 to 0.043 in Arab women; the risk from birth up to a specific age ranged between 0 and 0.056, and 0 and 0.040, respectively.ConclusionThe two proposed new estimates convey important additional information to patients and physicians. These estimates are considerably lower than the frequently quoted 33% lifetime cancer risk and are more relevant to patients and physicians. Similarly, breast cancer risk estimates up to or from a specific age differ considerably from the frequently quoted lifetime risk estimates of 1 in 8 women.

Familial Mediterranean Fever and Incidence of Cancer: An Analysis of 8,534 Israeli Patients With 258,803 Person-Years.

Familial Mediterranean fever (FMF) is an autoinflammatory disease manifested as recurrent serosal inflammation. An association between FMF and malignancy has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to estimate cancer risk in a large cohort of FMF patients from a single institution. The study cohort consisted of 8,534 FMF patients registered at the National FMF Center in Tel Hashomer, Israel. We linked the study cohort to the database of the Israel National Cancer Registry using the national identity number. Cancer incidence in FMF patients was determined and then stratified by age and sex. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for cancers were calculated. Among 8,534 FMF patients (4,400 men, 4,134 women), 350 developed cancer during the years 1970-2011. The overall cancer risk among patients with FMF was significantly lower than was expected in specific sex and ethnic groups of the Israeli population: for males of Jewish ethnicity, SIR 0.66 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.55-0.77), P < 0.001; for females of Jewish ethnicity, SIR 0.75 (95% CI 0.64-0.86), P < 0.001; and for males of Arab ethnicity, SIR 0.34 (95% CI 0.07-0.99), P = 0.024. FMF patients have a significantly lower incidence of cancer than the general population of Israel. This pattern was demonstrated in 2 ethnic populations: Jewish and Arab. We speculate that the lower cancer incidence could be attributed to a direct physiologic effect of FMF or to its treatment.

Paternal age and risk of testicular germ cell tumors: a cohort study of 1,000,000 men.

Testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT) are the most frequent cancer among young men, with increasing incidence worldwide. Advanced paternal age has been linked to adverse health outcomes in offspring, but reports on the association of paternal age with TGCT are few and inconsistent. We aimed to examine the relationship of paternal age (PAB) at birth with the risk of TGCT and by histologic type: seminoma and non-seminoma. A population-based cohort of 1,056,058 males, examined at ages 16-19 between the years 1980-2011, was linked to the Israel National Cancer Registry to obtain incident TGCT through 2012. We applied multivariable Cox regression. During 16.5million person-years of follow-up, 1247 incident cases (604 seminomas and 643 non-seminomas) were detected. Increasing PAB was linearly associated with lower risk of TGCT (HRper year =0.983, 95% CI: 0.974-0.993, p=0.001), after adjustment for year of birth, years of education, height, cryptorchidism history and origin, and also with additional adjustment for maternal age at birth (MAB) (HRper year =0.980: 0.965-0.995, p=0.008). The association was stronger for seminoma (HRper year =0.968: 0.946-0.989, p=0.004) and persisted in a subset adjusted for sibship size (HRper year =0.950: 0.917-0.983, p=0.003). In the fully adjusted model, young PAB (15-24 vs. ≥30) was a risk factor for seminoma (HR=1.41: 1.07-1.85, p=0.014). In models adjusted for PAB, MAB was not associated with risk of TGCT. In conclusion, our findings suggest that young paternal age is a risk factor of TGCT, especially seminoma. The findings warrant further investigation into the possible impact of young paternal age on their offsprings' testes.

Primary Peritoneal Serous Carcinoma in Men: A Rare and Non-BRCA-associated Entity.

Primary peritoneal serous carcinoma (PPSC) is a rare neoplasm. The paucity of reported cases among men may provide insight to the cell of origin of PPSC. A search for the ICD 0-3 code of PPSC (C48.2) in the following datasets: the Israeli National Cancer registry (INCR), the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database in the USA, Israeli male BRCA carriers, male high-risk and BRCA carriers in a USA study, and the Italian Study on Male Breast Cancer (MBC) were performed. In the INCR dataset, 220 entries for C48.2 code were noted, with only one male (male:female ratio=0.0045). In the SEER dataset for histology codes of papillary/serous/ adenocarcinoma, 2,673 cases were recorded, with five males (male:female ratio=0.0018). None of the recorded US or Italian male BRCA carriers or MBC, or Israeli male BRCA carriers was diagnosed with PPSC. PPSC is a rare neoplasm, seemingly not associated with BRCA mutations in men, and fallopian tube epithelial cell implants may contribute to its development.

Anti-cancer effect among patients with familial Mediterranean fever: Outcome of 258,803 person-years analysis.

1566 Background: Familial Mediterranean fever (FMF) is an autoinflammatory disease that causes recurrent serosal inflammation. The association between FMF and malignancy has not been previously described. We estimated cancer risk in a large single-institution cohort of FMF patients. Methods: The study cohort consisted of 8,534 FMF patients registered in the Israel National FMF Center at Tel Hashomer, Israel. We linked the study cohort to the database of the Israel National Cancer Registry using the national identity number. Cancer incidence in FMF patients was determined and stratified by age and gender. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) for cancers were calculated. Results: Among 8,534 FMF patients (4,400 men, 4,134 women), 350 developed cancer during the years 1970-2011. Overall cancer risk among patients with FMF was significantly lower than that expected in the following gender and population groups, based on cancer incidence rates in those groups in the Israeli population: males of Jewish ethnicity SIR 0.66, CI 95% [0.55-0.77], p&lt; 0.001; females of Jewish ethnicity SIR 0.75 CI 95% [0.64-0.86], p&lt; 0.001; males of Arabic ethnicity SIR 0.34, CI 95% [0.07-0.99], p= 0.024. Conclusions: FMF patients have a significantly lower incidence of cancer than the general population. This pattern was demonstrated in two different ethnic populations, Jewish and Arabic. We speculate that the lower cancer incidence could be attributed to the direct physiological effect of FMF or to the anti-FMF treatment.

Trends of Second Primary Malignancy in Patients with Thyroid Cancer: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Israel.

Thyroid cancer (TC) is the most common endocrine malignancy. TC patients have a good prognosis and a low disease-related mortality rate. Since such patients are often young, they may be at a higher risk for a second primary malignancy (SPM). This study sought to determine the incidence, risk, and types of SPM between 1980 and 2011, and to assess SPM trends over time among Israeli TC patients. Data were derived from the Israel National Cancer Registry. Primary TC patients diagnosed during 1980-2009 were followed up for SPM incidence until December 31, 2011. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of observed to expected SPM (based on the general population rates) were calculated using Poisson regression. Analyses were stratified by time period of initial TC diagnosis (1980-1995 and 1996-2009). A total of 11,538 TC patients were identified. After exclusion of 107 duplicate cases, records of 1032 patients with SPM were analyzed (an SPM incidence of 8.9%). SIRs for all-site SPMs were 1.23 [confidence interval 1.08-1.35] for males and 1.19 [confidence interval 1.10-1.27] for females. SIRs for tumors of the urinary system and prostate were significantly elevated in males, as were SIRs for tumors of the brain, urinary system, breast, and lung in females. Variables associated with increased risk of developing SPMs included a younger age at TC diagnosis, a shorter latency period, being born in Asia/Africa for both sexes, and being born in Israel for females. Compared with the general population, a subanalysis by TC diagnosis during 1980-1995 and 1996-2009 disclosed a higher SPM incidence for the latter time period in males and for both time periods, with a slightly higher SIR for the latter time period in females. The overall risk of SPM in Israeli TC patients was significantly greater for both sexes compared with the general population, thus identifying TC patients as a high-risk group and calling for caretakers to apply specific follow-up guidelines.

Higher body mass index in 16-19 year-old Jewish Adolescents of North African, Middle Eastern and European Origins is a Predictor of Acute Myeloid Leukemia: a cohort of 2.3million Israelis.

Studies evaluating adolescent risk factors for developing acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are virtually nonexistent. We assessed adolescent predictors of AML in adults, with a main focus on adolescent BMI. The study included 2,310,922 16-19-year-old Jewish Israeli adolescents (mean age 17.3 ± 0.4, 59.5% male), called up for an obligatory health examination. Sociodemographic and health data, including measured weight and height, were gathered. Body mass index (BMI) was examined both as a continuous variable and grouped according to the World Health Organization (WHO) classification and US-CDC percentiles. Bone-marrow-biopsy-verified AML cases diagnosed up to 31 December 2012 were identified by linkage to the Israel national cancer registry. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to model time to diagnosis. During 47million person years of follow-up, 568 AML cases were identified (crude incidence rate 1.21/100,000 person years). There was a multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.041 (95% CI 1.015-1.068, p = 0.002) per unit BMI. The association was evident in those of Middle Eastern, North African, and European origin. A graded association was evident across the overweight and obese WHO grouping. With the US-CDC grouping, excess risk was evident in overweight but not in obese adolescents, although a test for trend in percentiles was significant (p = 0.004). Borderline associations were noted for origin (p = 0.065) (higher in the predominantly Ashkenazi European origin), sex (higher in women: HR = 1.24 (95% CI 0.99-1.55), and stature (HR = 1.013, 95% CI 1.000-1.026, per cm). Higher BMI in adolescence was associated with increased AML incidence in adulthood in this multiethnic population.

Epidemiology of oral, salivary gland and pharyngeal cancer in children and adolescents between 1970 and 2011

ObjectivesThe age of oral and pharyngeal cancer patients has reportedly decreased over the last decade, but most of the peer-reviewed literature regarding oral and pharyngeal cancer in individuals 0–19years of age (Y) is limited to specific tumor sites and/or types, or a small number of cases. Our aim is to characterize oral, salivary gland and pharyngeal cancer (OSPC) in 0–19Y in order to improve knowledge of the disease in young individuals. MethodsData on OSPC between 1970 and 2011 was taken from the Israel National Cancer Registry, and included patient age, gender, tumor site and tumor type. Data analysis was performed by using IBM SPSS, Winpepi software and Joinpoint Regression Program. alpha<0.05 was deemed statistically significant. ResultsA total of 13,863 OSPC cases were diagnosed with 2.6% (N=357) of 0–19Y. The male to female ratio was 1.5:1. The rates of diagnosis decreased between 1991 and 2011 and were not significantly different between the genders. The nasopharynx was the leading tumor site (42.3%) followed by the salivary glands (20.5%), and both were more common in 14–19Y. The tonsils and other pharyngeal sites were common among 0–13Y. The main tumor types were lymphomas (20.7%) and carcinomas (19.9%). ConclusionsThe general characteristics of OSPC remained unchanged over the last four decades. This may imply that environmental factors have not had any effect. Males are affected more than females and might have a genetic predisposition for nasopharyngeal malignancy. Health care providers should be aware of the common sites and tumor types among children and adolescents.

Risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma penetrates across immigrant generations: A migrant cohort study of 2.3 million Jewish Israeli adolescents.

Nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) incidence varies widely across geographic regions and ethnic groups. We conducted a large-scale migrant cohort study to assess origin and migrant generation as predictors of NPC, controlling for possible confounders. Data on 2.3 million Jewish Israeli adolescents, who underwent a compulsory general health examination at ages 16-19 between the years 1967 and 2011 were linked to the Israel National Cancer Registry to obtain incident NPC up to 2012. Cox proportional hazards were used to model time to event. During 46.5 million person-years of follow-up, 276 incident cases were identified. Origin was a strong independent predictor of NPC with high rates for first generation North African born (adjusted HR 5.52; 95% CI 2.43-12.52; p < 0.000044) and Asian born (adjusted HR 3.79; 95% CI 1.43-10.00; p = 0.007) compared to European-born, adjusted for sex, year of birth, residential socio-economic position, years of education, rural residence, body mass index and height. The magnitude of the associations was similar in the Israeli-born of North African and Asian origin, with these second and third generation immigrants showing elevated HRs (adjusted HR 6.09; 95% CI 2.81-13.20; p = 4.72.10-6 and 3.86; 95% CI 1.77-8.41; p = 0.00067, respectively). These findings suggest a strong genetic predisposition and/or efficient cultural transmission of environmental exposures in the etiology of NPC.

Possible risk for cancer among children born following assisted reproductive technology in Israel.

Among children conceived by assisted reproductive technology (ART), increased risk of adverse birth outcomes has been observed, including multiple births, preterm births, and congenital malformations. Regarding cancer among ART-conceived children, findings are discrepant. This is a historical cohort of 9,042 ART-conceived children and 211,763 spontaneously conceived (SC) children born from 1997 through 2004. The median duration of follow-up was 10.6 years (interquartile range 9.0-12.3) in the ART group and 9.3 years (interquartile range 8.0-10.6) in the SC group. The cohort database was linked with the Israel National Cancer Registry updated until December 31, 2011 using each child's personal identification number. Twenty-one cases of cancer were identified in the ART group (2.2 per 10,000 person-years), as compared to 361 cancer cases in the SC group (1.8 per 10,000 person-years). The relative risk (RR) for overall cancer in the ART group compared to the SC group adjusted for maternal characteristics was 1.18 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-1.75). ART children had a significantly increased risk for specific cancers, although based on small number of cases, including two cases of retinoblastoma (RR 6.18, 95% CI 1.22-31.2), as well as four cases of renal tumors (RR 3.25, 95% CI 1.67-6.32). A statistically significant increased risk for two pediatric cancers was found. However, for overall types of cancer the risk estimate was elevated but not statistically significant. Further studies with larger sample size and longer follow-up time are warranted in order to either confirm or refute these findings.

Incidence of Nonthyroidal Primary Malignancy and the Association with (131)I Treatment in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.

The occurrence of nonthyroidal primary malignancy (NTPM) and the potential association of with radioiodine (RAI) treatment are important concerns in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), but incidence data are conflicting. The aims of the present study were to investigate the incidence of NTPM and its association with RAI treatment in a cohort of DTC patients treated at a single tertiary medical center. The data of 1943 patients with DTC recorded in the Rabin Medical Center Thyroid Cancer Registry were cross-matched with data from the Israeli National Cancer Registry to identify those diagnosed with an NTPM. Patient medical files were reviewed. Second primary malignancy (SPM) was defined as new malignancy diagnosed at least two years after DTC diagnosis. For 1434 of the 1943 patients (73.8%), the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM stage was 1-2. The mean follow-up was 9.3 years. Of the 1943 patients, 1574 (81%) were treated with RAI, and 1467 were followed for at least 2 years, and of these, 1145 patients (78%) received a cumulative dose of ≤200 mCi. A total of 409 NTPMs were diagnosed in 368/1943 patients with DTC (18.9%; 265 female, mean age 53.9 ± 15 years), including 173 SPMs (42.3%) in 166/368 patients. The most common NTPM and SPM was breast cancer followed by hematologic malignancies. In patients followed for ≥2 years, SPMs were diagnosed in 9% of RAI-treated patients and 10.5% of non-RAI-treated patients. SPM rates were 10.2% and 7.8% for a cumulative RAI dose of ≤100 mCi and >100 mCi respectively. Hazard ratios for SPM in patients that received/did not receive RAI treatment was 1.27 (95% confidence interval 0.88-1.82; p = 0.1). There was no correlation between first or cumulative RAI dose and diagnosis of SPM. NTPMs are not uncommon in patients with DTC and usually antecede the DTC. In a population of mostly low-risk DTC patients, in whom limited activities of RAI are usually administered, this treatment is apparently not associated with an overall increased risk of SPMs compared with subjects not receiving RAI treatment.

Second Primary Cancers After Primary Breast Cancer Diagnosis in Israeli Women, 1992 to 2006.

PurposeImprovements in early detection and treatment have resulted in improved long-term survival from breast cancer, which increases the likelihood of the occurrence of second primary cancers. We calculated the risk of second primary cancers among Israeli women receiving a first primary breast cancer diagnosis.MethodsBy using data from the Israel National Cancer Registry, we identified 46,090 women with invasive breast cancer diagnosed between 1990 and 2006 and non–breast primary cancers diagnosed subsequent to breast cancer diagnosis. We used life table analysis to calculate the risk of a second primary cancer and calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) by using age-specific cancer risk in the general population of Israeli women as the standard and stratifying by diagnosis period (1992 to 1996, 1997 to 2001, 2002 to 2006) and age at diagnosis (< 50 and ≥ 50 years).ResultsThe probability of a second malignancy was 3.6% within 5 years, 8.2% within 10 years, and 13.9% within 15 years. The SIR for any second non–breast primary cancer was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.23 to 1.30). Significantly increased risks of colorectal, uterine, lung, ovarian, and thyroid cancer and leukemia were observed for the full follow-up period, which persisted after excluding the first 6 months after index diagnosis, although increased leukemia and colorectal cancer risks were no longer statistically significant. Women younger than age 50 years at initial diagnosis had a greater excess risk than women age 50 years and older (SIR, 1.77 [95% CI, 1.63 to 1.91] and 1.20 [95% CI, 1.15 to 1.24], respectively).ConclusionThe findings likely reflect a combination of personal risk factors (genetics, hormonal therapy, environmental exposures) as well as the effects of the initial cancer treatment and are unlikely to be explained by enhanced surveillance alone.

Incidence and epidemiology of non-Hodgkin lymphoma and risk of second malignancy among 22 466 survivors in Israel with 30 years of follow-up.

Previous studies have shown an increase risk of second malignancies after non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), which is probably related to a combination of factors including genetic predisposition, molecular background, host immunological status and therapy administered. Here, we determined the incidence of NHL and risk of second solid tumours and haematological malignancies among survivors of NHL diagnosed in Israel during 1980-2011. Data were collected from the records of the Israeli National Cancer Registry. The total cohort of 24 666 NHL-patients included 22 601 Jews and 2065 Arabs. Median age of diagnosis for Jews was 61.3 years and 48.2 for Arab patients. Of the Jews with NHL, 11 265 (50%) were of European-American origin, 5005 (22%) Asian or African and 6114 (27%) were born in Israel. Second cancers were recorded in 2010 NHL survivors, 1918 Jews and 92 Arabs, representing a rate of 8.5%, and 4.5% o, respectively. Second malignancies in all recorded sites were more frequent than in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1.28 for Jewish men, 1.25 for Jewish women, 1.73 for Arab men and 1.98 for Arab women. This higher risk was even more pronounced for the 309 cases with secondary haematological malignancies (secondary haematological malignancies of 1.97, 1.81, 4.48 and 4.15, respectively). Our findings show that there is an increased risk of second malignancies occurring after diagnosis of NHL in Israel, particularly for haematological malignancies such as leukaemia and NHL. The differences we report in the incidence of NHL and the types of second malignancies occurring among Jews and Arabs suggest that ethnicity and genetic susceptibility may be important relevant risk factors. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Adolescent weight and height are predictors of specific non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes among a cohort of 2,352,988 individuals aged 16 to 19 years.

The age-adjusted annual incidence of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) has risen worldwide. This trend may be affected by the secular increase in height and the sharp upswing in adolescent overweight; these drive increased insulinlike growth factor 1 and chronic inflammation, which may play an etiologic role. This study examined the association of the body mass index (BMI) and height of adolescents with NHL subtypes, which have been insufficiently evaluated. Health-related data on 2,352,988 Israeli adolescents, aged 16 to 19 years, who were examined between 1967 and 2011 were linked to the Israel National Cancer Registry to derive the NHL incidence up to December 31, 2012 (4021 cases). Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to estimate the multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for NHL subtypes associated with the BMI and height of adolescents. Adolescent overweight and obesity were associated with an HR of 1.25 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.37; P = 1.14 × 10(-5) ) for NHL in comparison with normal weight. There was a graded association of height with NHL (P = 4.29 × 10(-9) ), with the tallest adolescents (≥ 95th percentile vs 25th to < 50th percentiles [US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]) exhibiting an HR of 1.28 (95% CI, 1.04-1.56). Marginal zone lymphoma, primary cutaneous lymphoma (PCL), and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) showed the strongest associations for overweight/obesity, and DLBCL and PCL showed the strongest associations for height. The findings of this large cohort study add to the growing body of evidence showing that higher body weight and taller stature during adolescence are associated with an increased risk of NHL and may modestly contribute to its increasing incidence. Further studies are needed to elucidate the mechanisms linking anthropometric measures and NHL risk.

The risk for developing cancer in Israeli ATM, BLM, and FANCC heterozygous mutation carriers

Cancer risks in heterozygous mutation carriers of the ATM, BLM, and FANCC genes are controversial. To shed light on this issue, cancer rates were evaluated by cross referencing asymptomatic Israeli heterozygous mutation carriers in the ATM, BLM, and FANCC genes with cancer diagnoses registered at the Israeli National Cancer Registry (INCR). Comparison of observed to expected Standardized Incidence Rates (SIR) was performed. Overall, 474 individuals participated in the study: 378 females; 25 Arab and 31 Jewish ATM carriers, 152 BLM carriers, and 170 FANCC carriers (all Ashkenazim). Age range at genotyping was 19-53 years (mean + SD 30.6 + 5 years). In addition, 96 males were included; 5, 34, and 57 ATM, BLM, and FANCC mutation carriers, respectively. Over 5-16 years from genotyping (4721 person/years), 15 new cancers were diagnosed in mutation carriers: 5 breast, 4 cervical, 3 melanomas, and one each bone sarcoma, pancreatic, and colorectal cancer. No single cancer diagnosis was more prevalent then expected in all groups combined or per gene analyzed. Specifically breast cancer SIR was 0.02-0.77. We conclude that Israeli ATM, BLM, and FANCC heterozygous mutation carriers are not at an increased risk for developing cancer.

Grand multiparity and reproductive cancer in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study Cohort.

Grand multiparity is associated with reduced mortality from reproductive cancers. We aimed to separate the components of mortality, by measuring incidence of and survival after reproductive cancer onset in grand multiparous compared to other parous women. We linked data from the population-based Jerusalem Perinatal Study Cohort, which included women aged 13-55 who delivered 1964-1976, with Israel's National Cancer Registry. We compared breast and gynecologic cancer risk and all-cause survival following a cancer diagnosis, among grand multiparae (GMPs = parity 5+, n = 8,246) versus women with parity 1-4 (n = 19,703), adjusting for reproductive and demographic variables. Grand multiparae were at significantly lower risk of breast cancer than others (adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) = 0.62, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.71), after controlling for age at first birth, education, and other covariates. This reduction was greater among GMPs whose first birth occurred after age 30 (p-interaction = 0.0001) and for cancer occurring before age 50 years (p = 0.002). In contrast, GMPs were at greater risk of death than women with parity <5, following a breast cancer diagnosis (HRadj = 1.69, CI 1.39-2.1). Ovarian, uterine, and cervical cancer incidence did not differ between the groups, but survival was reduced for GMPs with uterine cancer (HRadj = 2.48, CI 1.22-5.03). Reduced reproductive cancer mortality reported among GMPs masks two opposing phenomena: decreased breast cancer risk and poorer survival after breast and uterine cancers. The latter unfavorable outcome suggests that tumors in GMPs may be particularly aggressive, having perhaps escaped protective mechanisms conferred by parity. This finding calls for heightened clinical attention in this group.

Cancer risks in Jewish male BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers.

Cancer risks and tumor types in male BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers are still unsettled. Cancer risks in men who were found to harbor a BRCA1 (n = 150) or a BRCA2 (n = 88) mutation or both (n = 2) were assessed by cross referencing with data on cancer occurrence in the Israeli National Cancer Registry. Incidence rates in mutation carriers were compared with men who were counseled, genotyped, and found not to harbor the familial mutation (true negative n = 122), and with standardized incidence rates (SIRs). Of 210 cancer-free individuals at initial counseling, 11 cancers were diagnosed after a mean follow-up of 5.06 ± 4.1 years (1064 person/years) compared with 1/122 in a BRCA true-negative man. The SIR for all BRCA1/2 mutation carriers compared with the rates in the general population were elevated for pancreatic cancer [2.97 (95 % CI 1.83-4.29)] and breast cancer [16.44 (95 % CI 9.65-26.24)]. For prostate cancer these rates were 0.59 (95 % CI 0.4-0.84). Jewish BRCA1/2 mutation carriers are at an increased risk for breast and pancreatic, but not prostate cancer. These cancer risks and the consequent recommendations, if validated, should be transmitted to carriers at test result disclosure.

Cancer Registries Often Underestimate the True Incidence of CLL

Background: The Israel National Cancer Registry (INCR) is a population based, national passive tumor registry established in 1960. Reporting by hospitals, laboratories, and other providers has been mandatory in Israel since 1982 and most cancer cases are registered on the basis of pathology reports and hospital records. In some hematopoietic malignancies where the diagnosis was not based on tissue pathology and patients initially received no inpatient treatment, cases may not have been reported to the registry, or reporting to the INCR may have been delayed, resulting in an underestimation of the true burden of disease.One diagnosis for which there is particular concern in this regard is CLL/SLL and here we used active surveillance to estimate the true incidence of CLL/SLL in Israel. Here we present the interim resultsMethods: We attempted to estimate the incidence of CLL in Israel more accurately,recognizing the fact that the exact incidence may never be known. The Israel Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Study Group, working with the Israel Center for Disease Control of the Ministry of Health, actively documented new cases of CLL/SLL in Israel for calendar years 2011 and 2012. All flow cytometry laboratories in Israel provided lists of patients with B cell clones. Israeli hematologists diagnosing CLL were asked to verify which of the B cell clones indicated a diagnosis of CLL, SLL, PLL or MBL and to fill out an internet-based reporting form. Diagnoses based on flow cytometry were verified by medical record review. Cases identified through active surveillance were pooled with cases known to INCR in order to estimate the true annual incidence of CLL/SLL and assess the completeness of the INCR data.Results: We identified 432 and 396 CLL/SLL cases for 2011 and 2012, respectively of whom 57.4% were males. The average age was 68.8. The corresponding age-adjusted[1]incidence rates per 100,000 (ASR) were 4.26 for 2011 and 3.79 for 2012. In comparison, the INCR registered 295 new CLL cases in 2011 (ASR=2.78) and 232 in 2012 (ASR=2.19), 54.5% of them males. The average age at diagnosis was 69.9. These data indicate a gap between true and reported incidence (1.48 and 1.60/100,000 in 2011 and 2012, respectively). However, it should be noted that the INCR will be fully updated for 2012 only by the beginning of 2015.Of active surveillance cases, 157 (2011) and 152 (2012) were registered in the INCR. Most cases missing in the INCR were diagnosed based on flow cytometry, peripheral blood samples and FISH (85.9% in 2011, 89.8% in 2012) without histo-pathological confirmation.Of the CLL/SLL cases existing in the INCR dataset for 2011-12 but not detected by active surveillance (138 in 2011; 80 in 2012), most (76.8% in 2011, 63.8% in 2012) had been diagnosed earlier and the remainder were coded as diagnoses other than CLL/SLL. Omitting these cases from the INCR dataset substantially increased the observed gaps in the true and the registered annual incidence of CLL/SLL (from 1.48 to 2.80 per 100,000 in 2011 and from 1.60 to 2.37 per 100,000 in 2012).Conclusions: The true incidence of CLL is unknown, but it is clear that there is under reporting to cancer registries. Completeness of CLL/SLL data requires accurate reporting of cases by hematologists and other care providers in the community. In Israel, this issue has been addressed by publishing updated guidelines for mandatory reporting stressing the requirement for reporting of hematologic malignancies.[1] Age-adjustment made on the basis of the world standard population DisclosuresRuchlemer:Roche: Research Funding.

Risk of Second Malignancies after Non Hodgkin Lymphoma: A Cohort Study of 22,466 Survivors in Israel

Previous studies have shown an increase risk of second malignancies after non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL). This is probably related to genetic predisposition, molecular and pathologic background, immunological status and type of therapy given for the lymphoma.We evaluated the risk of second solid tumor and hematological malignancy among 24,666 survivors of NHL diagnosed in Israel during 1980-2011. Data was taken from the records of the Israeli National Cancer Registry (INCR), as all public and private medical facilities, and pathology laboratories engaged in diagnosing cancer patients in Israel, are obliged to send a copy of the medical summary, demographic data and details of diagnosis, to the registry. The INCR records all the available information on these cases, including the date of diagnosis and tumor location.The cohort of 24,666 NHL-patients included Jews (22,601 cases) and Arabs (2065 cases). Median age at diagnosis of Jews was 61.3 years, and 48.2 for Arab patients. Of all Jews with NHL: 11,265 (50%) were of European-American descent, 5005 (22%) Asian African and 6114 (27%) were born in Israel. In both Jewish and Arabs sub-groups, there were more males (52%, 56% respectively). Second cancers were reported in 2010 patients; 1918 Jews (95.5 %), and 92 Arabs (4.5 %). Evaluation of the results was restricted to the cohort of Jews only, due to the small number of Arab patients.Second malignancies in all recorded sites were significantly more common in males with standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1.28, and 1.25 for females. This was even more pronounced for secondary hematological malignancies, with SIR of 1.97 and 1.81 respectively, in a total of 283 cases. (Table)Of the secondary hematological malignancies; the most frequent were leukemias (31%) and NHL (29%), followed by multiple myeloma (14%), Hodgkin lymphoma and mycosis fungoides (both 8%).In conclusion; there is an increased risk of second malignancies after NHL in Israel, particularly leukemia and non- Hodgkin lymphoma. These clearly occur more frequently in Jews, suggesting that ethnicity and genetic susceptibility may be important risk factors. TableSecond cancer after NHL in Jews ( 1980 – 2011)All sitesObservedExpectedSIR95% CImale1056822.181.281.211.36female862689.861.251.171.33HematologyObservedExpectedSIR95% CImale16483.401.971.672.27female11965.611.811.492.14 DisclosuresNo relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Israeli-born offspring of Jewish immigrants of Middle Eastern origin have a lower incidence of multiple myeloma than those of European origin: a cohort study of 746 200 Israeli men followed from late adolescence

Differences in the prevalence of multiple myeloma across races have been observed, with a two- to three-fold greater prevalence in African Americans compared with Caucasians. Little is known about the incidence or prevalence of multiple myeloma in other populations. The association between father's country of origin and the incidence of multiple myeloma was examined in a nationwide population-based cohort. Health-related data on 746 200 16–19-year-old Jewish males examined between 1967 and 1998 were linked to the Israel National Cancer Registry to derive multiple myeloma incidence up to 2006. During 17 352 349 person-years of follow-up, 109 examinees developed plasma cell dyscrasias. Middle Eastern origin was protective compared to European origin (hazard ratio [HR] 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.22–0.68; p = 0.001, adjusted for year of birth), and also when restricted to Israeli-born males (HR 0.44; 95% CI 0.24–0.82; p = 0.01). In conclusion, second-generation adolescents of Middle Eastern origin are at persistently lower risk of developing multiple myeloma compared to those of European origin, supporting a genetic component in the pathogenesis of multiple myeloma.