Isotope Time Series Research Articles

Western Pacific Warm Pool δ18O Response to the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation

AbstractTropical Pacific seawater and precipitation stable oxygen isotope data aid in understanding modern oceanic and atmospheric interactions, and these data are particularly valuable as they are archived in isotope‐based paleoclimate records. However, the absence of modern seawater isotope time series limits the ability to identify the atmospheric influences on these data, precluding robust paleoclimate interpretations. We present a new 10 year sub‐monthly record of seawater and precipitation stable oxygen isotope values (δ18Osw and δ18Op) from Koror, Palau. Our dataset indicates that temporally, δ18Osw is strongly influenced by local δ18Op. Both monthly δ18Osw and δ18Op are highly correlated with outgoing longwave radiation across the tropical Pacific, reflecting a Walker Circulation imprint on the surface ocean. Changes in the Palau δ18Osw—salinity relationship correspond to NINO3.4 variability, indicating a difference in how these variables record El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) information, but demonstrating the utility of δ18Osw to reconstruct ENSO variability in the western tropical Pacific.

Mid-Pleistocene aridity and landscape shifts promoted Palearctic hominin dispersals

Population expansions and contractions out of and into Africa since the early Pleistocene have influenced the course of human evolution. While local- and regional-scale investigations have provided insights into the drivers of Eurasian hominin dispersals, a continental-scale and integrated study of hominin-environmental interactions across Palearctic Eurasia has been lacking. Here, we report high-resolution (up to ∼5-10 kyr sample interval) carbon isotope time series of loess deposits in Central Asia and northwest China, a region dominated by westerly winds, providing unique paleoecological and paleoclimatic records for over ~3.6 Ma. These data, combined with further syntheses of Pleistocene paleontological and archaeological records and spatio-temporal distributions of Eurasian eolian deposits and river terraces, demonstrate a pronounced transformation of landscapes around the Mid-Pleistocene Climate Transition. Increased climate amplitude and aridity fluctuations over this period led to the widespread formation of more open habitats, river terraces, and desert-loess landscapes, pushing hominins to range more widely and find solutions to increasingly challenging environments. Mid-Pleistocene climatic and ecological transitions, and the formation of modern desert and loess landscapes and river networks, emerge as critical events during the dispersal of early hominins in Palearctic Eurasia.

Evaluating input data sources for isotope‐enabled rainfall‐runoff models

AbstractIsotope‐enabled models provide a means to generate robust hydrological simulations. However, daily isotope‐enabled rainfall‐runoff models applied to larger spatial scales (>100 km2) require more input data than conventional non‐isotope models in the form of precipitation isotope time series, which are difficult to generate even with point station measurements. Spatially distributed isotope data can be circumvented by isotope‐enabled climate models. Here, we evaluate the hydrological simulations of the J2000‐isotope enabled hydrological model driven with data from corrected and un‐corrected isotope‐enabled global and regional climate models (isotope‐enabled global spectral model [IsoGSM] and isotope‐enabled regional spectral model [IsoRSM], respectively) compared with 1 year of measured reference station and a yearly average precipitation isotope input for a pilot site, the data‐scarce sub‐humid Eerste River catchment in South Africa. The models driven by all input products performed well for upstream and downstream discharge gauges with Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) from 0.58 to 0.85 and LogNSE of 0.66 to 0.93. The simulated δ2H stream isotopes using the reference J2000‐iso and J2000‐isoRSM were good for the main river with a stream Kling Gupta efficiency (KGE) of between 0.4–0.9 and the top 100 Monte Carlo simulations varying by around 5‰ for δ2H. For smaller tributaries the model was unable to capture the measured stream isotopes due to biased precipitation isotope inputs. Adjusting the J2000‐iso with a bias corrected IsoRSM improved the stream and groundwater isotope simulation and outperformed the model driven by an average yearly precipitation isotope input. Differences in simulated hydrological processes were only evident between the models when evaluating percolation with unrealistic simulations for the standard J2000 model. While the regional climate model is computationally more intensive than its global counterpart, it provided better stream isotope simulations and improvements to simulated percolation. Our results indicate that isotope‐enabled climate models can provide useful input data in data scarce regions for hydrological models, where improved water management to address climate change impacts is needed.

Monthly new water fractions and their relationships with climate and catchment properties across Alpine rivers

Abstract. The Alps are a key water resource for central Europe, providing water for drinking, agriculture, and hydropower production. Thus, understanding runoff generation processes of Alpine streams is important for sustainable water management. It is currently unclear how much streamflow is derived from old water stored in the subsurface and how much stems from more recent precipitation that reaches the stream via near-surface quick flow processes. It is also unclear how this partitioning varies across different Alpine catchments in response to hydroclimatic forcing and catchment characteristics. Here, we use stable water isotope time series in precipitation and streamflow to quantify the young water fractions (Fyw; i.e., the fraction of water younger than approximately 2–3 months) and new water fractions (Fnew; here, the fraction of water younger than 1 month) in streamflow from 32 Alpine catchments. We contrast these measures of water age between summer and winter and between wet and dry periods and then correlate them with hydroclimatic variables and physical catchment properties. New water fractions varied between 3.5 % and 9.6 %, with values of 9.2 % in rainfall-dominated catchments, 9.6 % in hybrid catchments, and 3.5 % in snow-dominated catchments (mean across all catchments of 7.1 %). Young water fractions were approximately twice as large (reflecting their longer timescale) and ranged between 10.1 % and 17.6 %, with values of 17.6 % in rainfall-dominated catchments, 16.6 % in hybrid catchments, and 10.1 % in snow-dominated catchments (mean across all catchments of 14.3 %). New water fractions were negatively correlated with catchment size (Spearman rank correlation, rS, of −0.38), q95 baseflow (rS=-0.36), catchment elevation (rS=-0.37), total catchment relief (rS=-0.59), and the fraction of slopes steeper than 40° (rS=-0.48). Large new water fractions, implying faster transmission of precipitation to streamflow, are more prevalent in small catchments, at low elevations, with small elevation differences, and with large fractions of forest cover (rS=0.36). New water fractions averaged 3.3 % following dry antecedent conditions, compared with 9.3 % after wet antecedent conditions. Our results quantify how hydroclimatic and physical drivers shape the partitioning of old and new waters across the Alps, thus indicating which landscapes transmit recent precipitation more readily to streamflow and which landscapes tend to retain water over longer periods. Our results further illustrate how new water fractions may find relationships that remained invisible with young water fractions.

Variation of stable isotope signals in precipitation during Typhoon In-Fa (2021), Eastern China

ABSTRACT High-resolution stable isotope precipitation records are crucial for understanding the mechanism of isotope variations during typhoon precipitation events. We present hourly stable isotope time series of precipitation during Typhoon InFa (2021) in Kunshan and Yangzhou, in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, Eastern China. Precipitation δ18O in Kunshan and Yangzhou ranged from −1.3‰ to −12.3‰ and −2.8‰ to −17.1‰, respectively. Both δ18O time series shifted to more negative values as the typhoon approached. The evolution of precipitation δ18O during the typhoon is likely caused by a combination of Rayleigh distillation and microphysical processes. Precipitation δ18O values in Yangzhou are more negative than those in Kunshan with a lag of ~14 h. This was mainly controlled by further continuous rainout processes during the movement of Typhoon InFa from Kunshan to Yangzhou and higher condensation efficiency. This study improves our understanding of the mechanisms underlying stable isotope changes during typhoon precipitation.

Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles of the penultimate and last glacial period recorded in stalagmites from Türkiye

The last glacial period is characterized by abrupt climate oscillations, also known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) cycles. However, D-O cycles remain poorly documented in climate proxy records covering the penultimate glacial period. Here we present highly resolved and precisely dated speleothem time series from Sofular Cave in northern Türkiye to provide clear evidence for D-O cycles during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6 as well as MIS 2-4. D-O cycles are most clearly expressed in the Sofular carbon isotope time series, which correlate inversely with regional sea surface temperature (SST) records from the Black Sea. The pacing of D-O cycles is almost twice as long during MIS 6 compared to MIS 2-4, and could be related to a weaker Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and a different mean climate during MIS 6 compared to MIS 2-4, leading most likely to a higher threshold for the occurrence of D-O cycles.

On the Variability of Equatorial Pacific Nitrate and Iron Utilization

The tropical Pacific is one of the largest ocean regions on Earth where the trace element iron limits new primary production and therefore the efficiency of carbon export to the deep sea. Although there is a long history of marine biogeochemical research in the tropical Pacific, recent advancements using GEOTRACES key parameters such as iron and nitrate isotopes (nitrate δ15N and δ18O) make this a good time to review the current understanding of tropical Pacific nitrate dynamics—how both regional subsurface nitrate characteristics and surface ocean nitrate utilization change with time. While this article provides a comprehensive overview of the biological, chemical, and physical processes shaping equatorial Pacific subsurface-to-surface nutrients, it principally explores the findings from the first nitrate isotope time series in iron-limited high nutrient, low chlorophyll waters. Results indicate that the preferential recycling of bioavailable iron within the euphotic zone is required to explain even the lowest observed nitrate utilization in the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP). Furthermore, because seasonal-to-interannual nitrate utilization variability in the EEP cannot be driven by changes in iron supply, this work argues that iron recycling (and therefore bioavailable iron) is modulated by upwelling rate changes, creating a predicted and recently observed spectrum of iron limitation in the iron-limited EEP surface waters. In other words, upper ocean physics overwhelmingly dominates seasonal-to-interannual nitrate utilization in the iron-​limited EEP. This new understanding of nitrate utilization in iron-limited waters helps to explain long-term changes in past equatorial Pacific nitrate utilization obtained via sedimentary proxy records and potentially complicates the efficacy of future iron fertilization of the equatorial Pacific.

Distinguishing the combined vegetation and soil component of δ13C variation in speleothem records from subsequent degassing and prior calcite precipitation effects

Abstract. The carbon isotopic signature inherited from soil and epikarst processes may be modified by degassing and prior calcite precipitation (PCP) before its imprint on speleothem calcite. Despite laboratory demonstration of PCP effects on carbon isotopes and increasingly sophisticated models of the governing processes, to date, there has been limited effort to deconvolve the dual PCP and soil–epikarst components in measured speleothem isotopic time series. In this contribution, we explore the feasibility, advantages, and disadvantages of using trace element ratios and δ44Ca to remove the overprinting effect of PCP on measured δ13C to infer the temporal variations in the initial δ13C of drip water prior to degassing and PCP. In nine examined stalagmites, the most widely utilized PCP indicators Mg/Ca and δ44Ca covary as expected. However, Sr / Ca does not show consistent relationships with δ44Ca so PCP is not the dominant control on Sr / Ca. From δ44Ca and Mg/Ca, our calculation of PCP as fCa, the fraction of initial Ca remaining in solution at the time the stalagmite layer is deposited, yields multiple viable solutions depending on the assumed δ44Ca fractionation factor and inferred variation in DMg. Uncertainty in the effective fractionation of δ13C during degassing and precipitation contributes to uncertainty in the absolute value of estimated initial δ13C. Nonetheless, the trends in initial δ13C are less sensitive to these uncertainties. In coeval stalagmites from the same cave spanning the 94 to 82 ka interval, trends in calculated initial δ13C are more similar than those in measured δ13C and reveal a common positive-anomaly initial δ13C during a stadial cooling event. During deglaciations, calculated initial δ13C implies a trend of greater respiration rates and higher soil CO2, although the higher interglacial drip water saturation favors more extensive PCP. Initial δ13C can be estimated for active and fossil speleothems from a range of settings, wherever there is confidence that Mg/Ca and/or δ44Ca provides a quantitative indication of past changes in PCP. Further study of Mg partitioning in speleothems will improve the robustness of Mg/Ca as a PCP proxy.

A paradigm shift in Precambrian research driven by big data

A paradigm shift in Precambrian research driven by big data

Siberian and Russian sturgeon natal origin in South America: Fish farm or established population?

AbstractSturgeon (Acipenser baerii and A. gueldenstaedtii) specimens, native to the northern hemisphere, were reported in different environments of the La Plata Basin (South America). The objectives of this study were to provide the first insights into the natal origin and habitat use of these sturgeon species in the La Plata Basin through geochemical analysis (87Sr/86Sr) of fin spines and to review historical catch reports. Spine core‐to‐edge 87Sr/86Sr ratios were measured by LA‐MC‐ICPMS. A Quadratic Discriminant Analysis model based on water 87Sr/86Sr baseline of the La Plata Basin was run to infer the natal origin. The isotopic profiles indicate a common origin, compatible with the location of the fish farms in the Uruguay Basin. The A. baerii isotopic time series suggested that the fish moved towards the Paraná Basin months before capture, while A. gueldenstaedtii would have survived a longer time (perhaps years). Seventeen reports of sturgeons were recorded and preserved in museum collections between 1998 and 2020. Sturgeons were collected from Río de la Plata Estuary, Paraná and Uruguay basins and Atlantic coastal lagoons. It is recommended to closely monitor sturgeon catches, paying special attention to the appearance of specimens of reproductive age, in order to generate management and management plans if necessary.

Rapid increase of surface water pCO2 revealed by settling particulate organic matter carbon isotope time series during 2001–2009 in Sagami Bay, Japan

Rapid increase of surface water pCO2 revealed by settling particulate organic matter carbon isotope time series during 2001–2009 in Sagami Bay, Japan

Use of Formalin-Preserved Collections to Infer Trophic Indicators of Marine Zooplankton from Stable Isotopes

Formalin preservation affects the stable isotope composition of zooplankton samples, thus limiting the analysis of valuable collections covering large time intervals. Here, we compare different procedures for correcting the bias caused by formalin in δ13C and δ15N of zooplankton community samples. Zooplankton samples representative of seasonal variations in the period 2000–2009 were collected off A Coruña (NW Spain). Part of the sample was immediately dried and analysed for δ13C, δ15N, and elemental composition within 3 years of collection. These values were used as the unpreserved reference. The remaining sample was preserved in 4% formaldehyde and aliquots obtained after a period ranging from 3 years to more than 10 years of storage were analysed as the originally dried samples. Additionally, the copepod fraction of total biomass was determined in the preserved samples. Corrections of formalin effects based on ordinary least squares regression had large uncertainties, while mass balance corrections based on the change in C:N ratio (only possible for δ13C) overestimated reference values. However, either simple corrections based on the mean difference between values in dry and preserved samples or more complex generalised additive models considering seasonality, copepod biomass, and time of sample storage, produced estimations with relatively low uncertainty. Our results highlight the importance of determining specific correction solutions for each preserved collection before reconstructing stable isotope time series. Furthermore, the uncertainties associated with the estimates can be used in sensitivity analysis to assess their potential impact on the interpretation of the series.

Identification of riverbank filtration sites at watershed scale: A geochemical and isotopic framework

Identifying groundwater wells performing riverbank filtration (RBF) is crucial to ensure safe drinking water through vulnerability assessment plans adapted to these hybrid water sources. Nonetheless, RBF is often unintentional or insufficiently documented and official inventories are scarce. We developed a user-friendly geochemical and isotopic framework for the in-situ identification of RBF facilities. It includes an interpretation abacus for non-specialists. While most studies using tracers are site-specific and/or based on discrete samples, we propose a novel multi-site characterization where time-series of EC, δ2H and δ18O are directly used as proxies of surface water infiltration at the watershed-scale. The basic statement is that time varying signal of raw water from a groundwater pumping facility reveals a significant induced infiltration of surface water. The framework was applied on nearly 2000 samples from 40 pumping wells and 4 neighboring rivers (<500 m), collected through collaborative sampling on a weekly to monthly basis for 18 months. Despite proximity to surface water, two-third of the complete dataset (19 facilities) were revealed not to benefit from significant contribution of surface water, demonstrating location criteria to be insufficient to identify RBF sites. Permanent RBF was evidenced at 5 facilities, where year-long seasonal variation of tracers in raw groundwater highlighted a continuous high proportion of infiltrated surface water. Unexpectedly, time-series also unveiled a third category: occasional RBF, where induced infiltration occurred only when specific hydrodynamic conditions were met (4 facilities). This study also provided concrete illustrations on how climate change may impact the efficiency of RBF to naturally attenuate microbiological contaminants and how geochemical and isotopic time-series considerably help at anticipating the evolution of contaminant attenuation capacity of RBF sites. Finally, by highlighting the existence of occasional RBF, this study tackles the common oversimplification that groundwater facilities can be binarily and classified either as RBF or groundwater.

Stable isotope patterns of German rivers with aspects on scales, continuity and network status

ABSTRACT In Germany, river monitoring for tritium started in the early 1970s. Today this monitoring network consists of 50 stations and includes stable isotopes. The stable isotope time series to the end of 2021 are at least four years and for some stations up to 30 years long. Daily river water samples were collected during an extraordinary dry season from October 2018 until end of January 2019 from six selected stations of the Rhine and five stations of the Elbe basin. The most dominating stable isotope effects in river water are the seasonal and altitude effects, but also a continental effect is visible. The isotopes indicate snow and ice melt contributions in the Rhine and Danube during the summer months and a consecutive dilution of these signals by mixing with tributary rivers. Close to the coasts in northern Germany, stable isotope patterns reflect influence of seawater and tides. Daily patterns during the dry season 2018/2019 surprisingly do not exhibit extreme changes but rather trends of enhanced groundwater contribution. Long-term continual data across scales are important for comparing and identifying hydrological processes in German river basins of different size and mean catchment altitudes, and highlight the benefits of a co-organized national network.

Isotopic time-series (δ13C and δ18O) obtained from the columnar layer of Permian brachiopod shells are a reliable archive of seasonal variations

In this paper, we develop a robust palaeo-proxy technique for inferring seasonal fluctuations in Phanerozoic seawater temperature. Specifically, we report δ 13 C and δ 18 O values across the columnar layer (inner shell) of Permian brachiopods, including five genera of the Order Spiriferida ( Ingellarella , Martinia, Permophricodothyris , Cartorhium , and Trigonotreta ) and two genera of Order Athyridida ( Araxathyris and Comelicania ). These brachiopod specimens are inferred to have inhabited varied palaeo-depths, based on facies analysis, and were collected from low, middle and high palaeolatitudes. To obtain high-resolution ontogenetic isotopic time-series, a handheld microdrill was used to collect low-magnesium calcite samples along the longitudinal axis of the mid-valve for each specimen. Intrageneric and intergeneric comparison of statistics (mean values, variance, and range) reveals that δ 18 O values are consistent within and between genera although δ 13 C values are more variable. In specimens obtained from low palaeolatitudes (Julfa Formation, Iran; Bellerophon Formation, Italy; Late Permian), the range of δ 18 O values is small and consistent with weak seasonal temperature variations, irrespective of water depth. In specimens obtained from middle palaeolatitudes (Qarari Formation, Oman; Early-Middle Permian), we found a range of δ 18 O values dependent on inferred water depth, possibly reflecting a change in thermocline structure between warm and cold seasons. In specimens obtained from high palaeolatitudes (Wasp Head and Wandrawandian Sandstone formations, Australia; Early-Middle Permian), brachiopods from glacial and interglacial climate phases show significant variations of δ 18 O values, probably caused by seasonal changes in the seawater surface temperature. Based on these findings, the technique developed in this paper appears to provide reliable paleoclimate and paleoenvironmental data for Permian sites, and should be also applicable for Phanerozoic studies in general. However, we caution that δ 18 O values vary dependent on the growth direction, resulting in differences of up to 5 °C in seawater paleotemperature calculations, and emphasise that a consistent sampling strategy accounting for shell structure and growth direction is required. • Paleozoic brachiopods shells are suitable for sclerogeochemical studies. • The columnar layer of calcite brachiopods embeds the short term climatic signal of δ 18 O. • Past seasonality of seawater can be potentially reconstructed using brachiopod shells. • Past seasonality was significantly different between ice- and green-house conditions.

Recharge variability in Australia's southeast alpine region derived from cave monitoring and modern stalagmite δ18O records

Oxygen isotopic (δ 18 O) variations in stalagmite records have the potential to provide new insights about past climates beyond the instrumental record. This paper presents the first high-resolution oxygen isotope time series of three coeval stalagmite records from the alpine region of south-eastern Australia covering the period 1922–2006 CE. We use extended surface and cave monitoring datasets, petrographic investigation, modelled recharge time series and farmed calcite precipitates to assess the controls on speleothem δ 18 O and investigate the coherence between three records from Harrie Wood Cave. The drip water response to recent interannual rainfall variability shows that cave drip water Cl − , δ 18 O and drip rate display a clear response to an increase in rainfall recharge. It is demonstrated that stalagmites from the same drip sites also record variability in interannual recharge, where an increase in δ 18 O values is observed with lower recharge, while a decrease in δ 18 O values correspond to higher recharge amounts. The three stalagmite δ 18 O records are in broad agreement, showing common responses to relatively higher recharge between 1945 and 1995 CE and the low recharge periods between 1937 and 1945 CE (World War II drought) and late 1996 to 2006 CE (beginning of the Millennium Drought). However, differences in the magnitude of the relative response of each stalagmite δ 18 O record varies. Based on evidence from our cave monitoring study and farmed calcites, we conclude that the differences between the three stalagmite records is attributed to variability in the contribution of preferential flows during recharge events and the store reservoir volume supplying the drip site. When the δ 18 O decreases in response to enhanced recharge, the speleothem δ 13 C also decreases, and this is interpreted to reflect a soil respiration response to changes in soil moisture availability due to recharge. Hence, stalagmite δ 18 O from the Australian alpine region can be applied to reconstruct periods of relatively higher and lower rainfall recharge and thus extend our knowledge of the timing and relative magnitude of droughts as well as past periods of higher recharge in this region. • Three replicated 20 th - 21 st C stalagmite δ 18 O records from Harrie Wood Cave, SE Australia. • Modern speleothems are examined using insights from cave monitoring datasets in this region. • Stalagmite δ 18 O records from the Australian Alps are archives of regional recharge.

Changes in the oxygen isotope composition of the Bering Sea contribution to the Arctic Ocean are an independent measure of increasing freshwater fluxes through the Bering Strait.

A large volume of freshwater is incorporated in the relatively fresh (salinity ~32–33) Pacific Ocean waters that are transported north through the Bering Strait relative to deep Atlantic salinity in the Arctic Ocean (salinity ~34.8). These freshened waters help maintain the halocline that separates cold Arctic surface waters from warmer Arctic Ocean waters at depth. The stable oxygen isotope composition of the Bering Sea contribution to the upper Arctic Ocean halocline was established as early as the late 1980’s as having a δ18OV-SMOW value of approximately -1.1‰. More recent data indicates a shift to an isotopic composition that is more depleted in 18O (mean δ18O value ~-1.5‰). This shift is supported by a data synthesis of >1400 water samples (salinity from 32.5 to 33.5) from the northern Bering and Chukchi seas, from the years 1987–2020, which show significant year-to-year, seasonal and regional variability. This change in the oxygen isotope composition of water in the upper halocline is consistent with observations of added freshwater in the Canada Basin, and mooring-based estimates of increased freshwater inflows through Bering Strait. Here, we use this isotopic time-series as an independent means of estimating freshwater flux changes through the Bering Strait. We employed a simple end-member mixing model that requires that the volume of freshwater (including runoff and other meteoric water, but not sea ice melt) flowing through Bering Strait has increased by ~40% over the past two decades to account for a change in the isotopic composition of the 33.1 salinity water from a δ18O value of approximately -1.1‰ to a mean of -1.5‰. This freshwater flux change is comparable with independent published measurements made from mooring arrays in the Bering Strait (freshwater fluxes rising from 2000–2500 km3 in 2001 to 3000–3500 km3 in 2011).

Investigating stable oxygen and carbon isotopic variability in speleothem records over the last millennium using multiple isotope-enabled climate models

Abstract. The incorporation of water isotopologues into the hydrology of general circulation models (GCMs) facilitates the comparison between modeled and measured proxy data in paleoclimate archives. However, the variability and drivers of measured and modeled water isotopologues, as well as the diversity of their representation in different models, are not well constrained. Improving our understanding of this variability in past and present climates will help to better constrain future climate change projections and decrease their range of uncertainty. Speleothems are a precisely datable terrestrial paleoclimate archives and provide well-preserved (semi-)continuous multivariate isotope time series in the lower latitudes and mid-latitudes and are therefore well suited to assess climate and isotope variability on decadal and longer timescales. However, the relationships of speleothem oxygen and carbon isotopes to climate variables are influenced by site-specific parameters, and their comparison to GCMs is not always straightforward. Here we compare speleothem oxygen and carbon isotopic signatures from the Speleothem Isotopes Synthesis and Analysis database version 2 (SISALv2) to the output of five different water-isotope-enabled GCMs (ECHAM5-wiso, GISS-E2-R, iCESM, iHadCM3, and isoGSM) over the last millennium (850–1850 CE). We systematically evaluate differences and commonalities between the standardized model simulation outputs. The goal is to distinguish climatic drivers of variability for modeled isotopes and compare them to those of measured isotopes. We find strong regional differences in the oxygen isotope signatures between models that can partly be attributed to differences in modeled surface temperature. At low latitudes, precipitation amount is the dominant driver for stable water isotope variability; however, at cave locations the agreement between modeled temperature variability is higher than for precipitation variability. While modeled isotopic signatures at cave locations exhibited extreme events coinciding with changes in volcanic and solar forcing, such fingerprints are not apparent in the speleothem isotopes. This may be attributed to the lower temporal resolution of speleothem records compared to the events that are to be detected. Using spectral analysis, we can show that all models underestimate decadal and longer variability compared to speleothems (albeit to varying extents). We found that no model excels in all analyzed comparisons, although some perform better than the others in either mean or variability. Therefore, we advise a multi-model approach whenever comparing proxy data to modeled data. Considering karst and cave internal processes, e.g., through isotope-enabled karst models, may alter the variability in speleothem isotopes and play an important role in determining the most appropriate model. By exploring new ways of analyzing the relationship between the oxygen and carbon isotopes, their variability, and co-variability across timescales, we provide methods that may serve as a baseline for future studies with different models using, e.g., different isotopes, different climate archives, or different time periods.

Controls on rainfall variability in the tropical South Pacific for the last 350 years reconstructed from oxygen isotopes in stalagmites from the Cook Islands

The hydroclimate of the South Pacific is highly variable on a range of timescales, however, the brevity of instrumental data in the region complicates the detection and attribution of this variability. Annually laminated speleothems may fill this knowledge gap by providing paleo-hydroclimate proxy data extending beyond the instrumental period. In this study, replicated oxygen isotope (δ 18 O) time series from two stalagmites from Pouatea (Pu17) and Nurau (Nu16) caves in the southern Cook Islands were used to reconstruct the variability of effective infiltration over the past 350 years (1672–2019 CE) based on observational rainfall data and cave monitoring and calcite farming experiments. The reconstructed infiltration was then compared to available reconstructions of known climate drivers of the South Pacific. Significant dry and wet periods over the last 350 years were identified based on the δ 18 O signal of compact/porous calcite fabric and their δ 13 C signals. The hydroclimate significance of these proxies was validated through comparison with the instrumental records. We could not reach an annual resolution of reconstructed infiltration, due to a combination of stable isotope sampling limitations and mixing effects within the aquifer. Nevertheless, the combined δ 18 O record of Pu17 and Nu16 identifies that the main driver of infiltration and, hence rainfall variability, in the southern Cook Islands is the location of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), which in turn is modulated by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study demonstrates the hydroclimate significance of speleothem fabrics when combined with O and C stable isotopes, and adds paleoclimate information to a region that has a paucity of data. • ENSO and movements of the SPCZ are the main drivers of rainfall in the southern Cook Islands. • Joint use of speleothem fabrics, δ 18 O and δ 13 C serves as a proxy of effective infiltration. • Reconstruction of effective infiltration variability over the past 350 years (1672–2019 CE). • Insights into large-scale controls on rain and speleothem δ 18 O variability.

Slow-growing reef corals as climate archives: A case study of the Middle Eocene Climatic Optimum 40 Ma ago.

The skeletons of stony corals on tropical shallow-water reefs are high-resolution climate archives. However, their systematic use for unlocking climate dynamics of the geologic past is limited by the susceptibility of the porous aragonite skeleton to diagenetic alterations. Here, we present oxygen and carbon isotope time series (monthly resolution) from reef corals with an unusual unaltered preservation from the Middle Eocene Climatic Optimum (MECO) “hyperthermal” (40 million years ago). Annual extension of the corals at the studied midlatitude site (France) was remarkably low (0.2 cm). Nonetheless, isotope signatures display no evidence for kinetic disequilibria that discredit their use as climate archive, but growth rate–dependent annual signal amplitude attenuations need corrections using an innovative sampling approach. Thereafter, we present evidence of symbiotic zooxanthellae in reef corals of the Paleogene and subdued sea surface temperature seasonality of only 7° to 8°C during the MECO, consistent with the globally equant climate of the hothouse.