Background: Monitoring the number of deaths due to COVID-19 in different nations and settings is essential for response planning. In the UK many COVID-19 deaths occurred outside of Hospitals. We aim to use monitoring data from national statistical agencies in the UK to model of the number of COVID-19 deaths ahead of upcoming peaks.Methods: We analysed publicly available data on place of occurrence of COVID-19 deaths from national statistical agencies in the UK between March 9 and September 13, 2020. We dynamically normalise the data, modelling the proportion of deaths due to COVID-19 with an inverse Weibull distribution and the relative COVID-19 deaths in each setting with a double logistic distribution.Findings: Our results show deaths due to COVID-19 peaked in England (39.4%), Scotland (37.0%), Wales (37.0%) and Northern Ireland (25.2%) between 13 April and April 19, 2020. Peaks in deaths due to COVID-19 first occur in Homes with a peak in Care Homes two weeks later in all nations. Timings of peaks in Hospitals vary, occurring after either the peak in Homes or Care Homes. Scotland and Northern Ireland are the only nations where more COVID-19 deaths occur in Care Homes compared to Hospitals during the pandemic. The proportion of COVID-19 deaths in Care Homes increases from the start of the pandemic, reaching a maximum after the peak in number of COVID-19 deaths (England [2.6 weeks], Scotland [2.0 weeks] and Wales [1.4 weeks]) then gradually decreasing. In concordance, the proportion of COVID-19 deaths in Hospitals reduces from the start of the pandemic, reaching a minimum after the peak in number of COVID-19 deaths (England [3.1 weeks], Scotland [3.4 weeks], Wales [1.4 weeks]) then gradually increasing. In Northern Ireland, the peak in number of COVID-19 deaths coincides with proportion of COVID-19 deaths reaching a maximum in Care Homes and a minimum in Hospitals.Interpretation: The two-week delay in peaks of deaths due to COVID-19 between Homes and Care Homes indicates this as a potential transmission vehicle in the UK. The proportion of COVID-19 deaths in Care Homes continues to increase after the peak in number of deaths further indicating a delay in the disease evolution in this setting compared to Homes. Funding: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy.Declaration of Interests: The author declares no competing interests.