Grain-size strengthening of polycrystalline metals, the Hall-Petch effect, has been described for the past sixty years as a dependence of the strength of polycrystalline metals on the inverse square-root of grain size, d. The value of the coefficient of the dependence has been the subject of discussion throughout. Here, we find what known factors in the experiments may determine its value, by meta-analysis using maximum-likelihood methods of the literature values of the coefficient in sixty-one datasets. No dependence of the coefficient is found on plastic strain, and a strong dependence is found on the average grain size of each study. Combining these and other factors accounts for the reported values of about 80% of the sixty-one coefficients. The grain-size dependence of the Hall-Petch coefficient is an artefact arising from fitting the data to an incorrect expression. An alternative grain-size effect described by a lnd/d function is consistent with the theory of dislocations dynamics and generation. The corresponding analysis of the coefficients of fits based on this theory shows that none of the factors investigated are statistically significant, confirming the correctness of this approach.
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