Interrupted Time Series Studies Research Articles

Comparison of triamcinolone and methylprednisolone efficacy and steroid flare reaction rates after shoulder corticosteroid injection: a prospective interrupted time series study.

A corticosteroid flare reaction is a well-described phenomenon that causes significant pain and dysfunction. The paucity of literature impedes decision making regarding which corticosteroid to use for shoulder injection. The purpose of this study was to compare methylprednisolone acetate (MPA) and triamcinolone acetonide (TA) injections in the glenohumeral joint and/or subacromial space in terms of efficacy and the incidence of steroid flare reactions. In this prospective, interrupted time series, parallel study, patients received injections in the glenohumeral joint and/or subacromial space. MPA and TA were used during 2 discrete 3-month periods. The injections consisted of 2 mL of lidocaine, 2 mL of bupivacaine, and 80 mg of either MPA or TA. Visual analog scale (VAS) pain scores were recorded immediately before injection; 1-7 days after injection; and 3, 6, and 12 months after injection. The primary outcome was the incidence of a steroid flare reaction, defined as a post-injection increase in the VAS score by ≥2 points. The secondary outcome was injection failure, defined as a post-injection VAS score greater than the baseline score or the need for another intervention. We used linear mixed models with a patient-level random intercept to identify the mean VAS score change for TA injections in the first week after injection. MPA or TA shoulder injections were administered in 421 patients; of these patients, 15 received bilateral-joint injections whereas 406 received a single-joint injection, for a total of 436 injections (209 MPA and 227 TA injections). Pain scores in the first week after injection were available for 193 MPA and 199 TA injections. Significantly more patients in the MPA cohort reported flare reactions compared with the TA cohort (22.8% vs. 4.0%, P<.001) during the first week after injection. In the first week after injection, the mean VAS score of patients receiving TA injections was 1.05 (95% confidence interval, 0.47-1.63) lower than that of patients receiving MPA injections when adjusted for age, sex, race, pain type, surgeon type, and injection site. At 3 months, surveys for 169 MPA and 172 TA injections were completed, with no significant difference in the rate of injection failure for MPA vs. TA (42.6% vs. 36.1%, P=.224). Treatment failure rates were significantly higher for MPA than for TA at 6 months (78.44% vs. 62.5%, P<.001) but not at 12 months (81.18% vs. 81.42%, P=.531.) CONCLUSION: TA injections resulted in a >5-fold reduction in steroid flare reactions, with statistically superior 6-month efficacy rates, compared with MPA injections. This study supports TA as a more viable corticosteroid option for shoulder injection.

Expedited Partner Therapy: A Multicomponent Initiative to Boost Provider Counseling.

Expedited partner therapy prescription remains low and highly variable throughout the United States, leading to frequent reinfections with Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae . We examined provider counseling on expedited partner therapy before and after an electronic smart tool-based initiative. In this quasi-experimental interrupted time-series study, we implemented an initiative of electronic smart tools and education for expedited partner therapy in March 2020. We reviewed the records of patients with chlamydia and/or gonorrhea at an urban, academic obstetrics and gynecology clinic in the preimplementation (March 2019-February 2020) and postimplementation (March 2020-February 2021) groups. Descriptive statistics and an interrupted time-series model were used to compare the percent of expedited partner therapy offered by clinicians to patients in each group. A total of 287 patient encounters were analyzed, 155 preintervention and 132 postintervention. An increase in expedited partner therapy counseling of 13% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2%-24%) was observed before the intervention (27.1% [42 of 155]) versus after the intervention (40.2% [53 of 132]). Significant increases in provider counseling were seen for patients who were single (15%; 95% CI, 3%-26%), 25 years or older (21%; 95% CI, 6%-37%), receiving public insurance (15%; 95% CI, 3%-27%), seen by a registered nurse (18%; 95% CI, 4%-32%), or seen for an obstetrics indication (21%; 95% CI, 4%-39%). No difference was seen in patients' acceptance of expedited partner therapy ( P = 1.00). A multicomponent initiative focused on electronic smart tools is effective at increasing provider counseling on expedited partner therapy. Further research to understand patient perceptions and acceptance of expedited partner therapy is critical.

Impact of the tobacco law on hospitalizations for tobacco-related diseases in adults in Portugal

Abstract Introduction Tobacco contributes to about 8 million deaths per year worldwide, of which 1.2 million are due to passive exposure to tobacco smoke, according to WHO data. Ambitious anti-tobacco policies have been implemented in European countries, but few have been evaluated. The present research measures the impact of the anti-tobacco laws implemented in Portugal in 2007, and reinforced in 2015, in the adult population residing in Portugal, between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2018. Methods We used data for all in-patient stays at all public hospitals over the 2002-2018 period. A quasi-experimental interrupted time series study was applied, considering the years 2008 and 2016 as exogenous shocks. The dependent variables under study are the incidence of hospitalizations by municipality of residence and year for tobacco-related diseases, namely: AMS, stroke, lower respiratory tract infections, COPD and asthma. We adjusted the analysis by the percentage of women, percentage of people aged &amp;gt;65, and purchasing power. We produced time trend graphs for each variable, with subsequent adjustment to the Poisson regression model to predict its evolution. A comparison was made between the values observed after the implementation of the law and its reformulation and the values projected based on the regression model selected, to identify the percentage difference between the two. Expected Results In line with the international literature, a generalized decrease in the incidence of hospitalizations for tobacco-related diseases was observed after the implementation of the tobacco law. Likewise, after the changes added in its reformulation, the reduction in incidence was stronger, although not as sharply, compared to 2007. Conclusions Anti-tobacco laws in Portugal have been effective in reducing tobacco-related hospitalizations, with expected gains in life expectancy and reduced burden for the health system. Key messages • Tobacco contributes to about 8 million deaths per year worldwide, of which 1.2 million are due to passive exposure to tobacco smoke. • Generalized decrease in the incidence of hospitalizations for tobacco-related diseases was observed after the implementation of the tobacco law.

Impact of the program life in traffic and new zero-tolerance drinking and driving law on the prevalence of driving after alcohol abuse in Brazilian capitals: An interrupted time series analysis.

Driving under the influence of alcohol is one of the main factors for morbidity and mortality from traffic accidents. In 2010 and 2013, the Program Life in Traffic was implemented in Brazil, including the international initiative "Road Safety in Ten Countries", which established actions to reduce one of the main risk factors for road traffic injuries, the driving under the influence of alcohol. In 2012, a new zero-tolerance drinking and driving law (new dry law) was implemented, establishing a zero-tolerance limit for the drivers' blood alcohol concentration, and increasing punitive measures. This study aimed at analyzing the impact of these measures on the prevalence of driving under the influence of alcohol abuse in Brazilian capitals. An interrupted time series study was conducted using the models of autoregressive integrated moving average or seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average. The main outcome was the prevalence of driving after alcohol abuse in the adult population (≥ 18 years). The model's predictors were the interventions "Program Life in Traffic" and "New Dry Law". The former was implemented in the first quarter of 2011, initially in five capitals: Belo Horizonte, Campo Grande, Palmas, Teresina, and Curitiba, being expanded to the other capitals in the first quarter of 2013. The latter was implemented in the country on the first quarter of 2013. Data source for the study was the records of the surveillance system for risk and protection factors of chronic diseases through telephone survey (Vigitel) from 2007 to 2016. The time intervals considered in the study were the quarters. Thirty-eight units were considered in the analysis, corresponding to time series points. It was found that after the implementation of the Program Life in Traffic, in the first quarter of 2011, there was a reduction in the prevalence in Belo Horizonte and Curitiba. Because the introduction of the New Dry Law and the Program Life in Traffic took place in similar periods in the other cities, there was a significant reduction in the outcome prevalence in the cities of Aracaju, Belo Horizonte, Boa Vista, Fortaleza, João Pessoa, Maceió, Manaus, Palmas, Porto Alegre, Recife, Teresina, Rio Branco, and Vitória following the law application. The present study identified an immediate impact of the Program Life in Traffic in two capitals (Belo Horizonte and Curitiba) and a joint impact of the New Dry Law in 13 capitals. The results of this study have implications for strengthening interventions aimed at reducing the burden of morbidity and mortality from traffic accidents in Brazil.

Evaluating the impact of minimum unit pricing for alcohol on road traffic accidents in Scotland after 20 months: An interrupted time series study.

On 1 May 2018, Scotland implemented Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) of £0.50 per unit of alcohol with the aim to lower alcohol consumption and related harms, and reduce health inequalities. We measured the impact of MUP on the most likely categories of road traffic accidents (RTAs) to be affected by drink-driving episodes (fatal and nighttime) up to 20 months after the policy implementation. Further, we checked whether any association varied by level of socio-economic deprivation. An interrupted time series design was used to evaluate the impact of MUP on fatal and nighttime RTAs in Scotland and any effect modification across socio-economic deprivation groups. RTAs in England and Wales (E&W) were used as a comparator. Covariates representing severe weather events, bank holidays, seasonal and underlying trends were adjusted for. In Scotland, MUP implementation was associated with 40.5% (95% confidence interval: 15.5%, 65.4%) and 11.4% (-1.1%, 24.0%) increases in fatal and nighttime RTAs, respectively. There was no evidence of differential impacts of MUP by level of socio-economic deprivation. While we found a substantial increase in fatal RTAs associated with MUP, null effects observed in nighttime RTAs and high uncertainty in sensitivity analyses suggest caution be applied before attributing causation to this association. There is no evidence of an association between the introduction of minimum unit pricing for alcohol in Scotland and a reduction in fatal and nighttime road traffic accidents, these being outcome measure categories that are proxies of outcomes that directly relate alcohol consumption to road traffic accidents.

Evaluation of statistical methods used to meta-analyse results from interrupted time series studies: A simulation study.

Interrupted time series (ITS) are often meta-analysed to inform public health and policy decisions but examination of the statistical methods for ITS analysis and meta-analysis in this context is limited. We simulated meta-analyses of ITS studies with continuous outcome data, analysed the studies using segmented linear regression with two estimation methods [ordinary least squares (OLS) and restricted maximum likelihood (REML)], and meta-analysed the immediate level- and slope-change effect estimates using fixed-effect and (multiple) random-effects meta-analysis methods. Simulation design parameters included varying series length; magnitude of lag-1 autocorrelation; magnitude of level- and slope-changes; number of included studies; and, effect size heterogeneity. All meta-analysis methods yielded unbiased estimates of the interruption effects. All random effects meta-analysis methods yielded coverage close to the nominal level, irrespective of the ITS analysis method used and other design parameters. However, heterogeneity was frequently overestimated in scenarios where the ITS study standard errors were underestimated, which occurred for short series or when the ITS analysis method did not appropriately account for autocorrelation. The performance of meta-analysis methods depends on the design and analysis of the included ITS studies. Although all random effects methods performed well in terms of coverage, irrespective of the ITS analysis method, we recommend the use of effect estimates calculated from ITS methods that adjust for autocorrelation when possible. Doing so will likely to lead to more accurate estimates of the heterogeneity variance.

An Electronic Medical Record Intervention to Increase Pharmacologic Prophylaxis for Venous Thromboembolism in Emergency Department Observation Patients

The role of venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis among patients receiving emergency department (ED) observation unit care is unclear. We investigated an electronic health record-based clinical decision support tool aimed at increasing pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis use among at-risk patients placed in ED observation units. We conducted an interrupted time-series study of an Epic-based best practice advisory implemented in May 2019 at a health care system comprising 2 academic medical centers and 4 community hospitals with dedicated ED observation units. The best practice advisory alerted staff at 24 hours to conduct a risk assessment and linked to a VTE prophylaxis order set. We used an interrupted time series, Bayesian structured time series, and a multivariable mixed-effect regression model to estimate the intervention effect. Prior to the best practice advisory implementation, there were 8,895 ED observation unit patients with a length of stay more than or equal to 24 hours, and 0.9% received pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis. Afterward, there were 12,664 ED observation unit patients with a length of stay more than or equal to 24 hours, and 4.8% received pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis. The interrupted time series and causal impact analysis showed a statistically significant increase in VTE prophylaxis (eg, absolute percent difference 3.8%, 95% confidence interval 3.5 to 4.1). In a multivariable model, only the intervention was significantly associated with receiving VTE prophylaxis (odds ratio 4.56, 95% confidence interval 2.22 to 9.37). An electronic health record-based alert helped to prompt staff caring for ED observation unit patients at risk for VTE with prolonged visits to order recommended pharmacologic prophylaxis. The best risk assessment model to use and the true incidence of VTE events in this population are unclear.

Efficacy of Interventions Based on WHO Multimodal Hand Hygiene Improvement Strategy in a Tertiary Care Hospital in Eastern India: A Quasi-Experimental Study.

The study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the World Health Organization (WHO) multimodal hand hygiene improvement (WHO-5) strategy in enhancing hand hygiene compliance among health care workers at a tertiary care hospital. The interrupted time series study included preintervention, intervention, and postintervention phases, with 2 points of observation each during the pre- and postintervention phases. The baseline hand hygiene compliance was 16%, which improved to 43.9% after the intervention. Health care workers were 4 times more likely to adhere to proper hand hygiene postintervention (odds ratio [OR], 4.117). Independent predictors of hand hygiene compliance included the week of observation (week 3: adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.872; week 5: AOR, 3.427; and week 7: AOR, 4.713), health care worker type (consultants: AOR, 0.964; residents: AOR, 2.187; and interns: AOR, 6.684), daytime (AOR, 1.232), and "after" type of hand hygiene opportunity (AOR, 1.577). No significant differences were found in knowledge, attitude, and practices pre- and postintervention, and the interventions' effect was sustained and increased over time, supporting implementation in hospitals across India.

Impact of a double catastrophe, war and COVID-19, on health service utilization of a tertiary care hospital in Tigray: an interrupted time-series study

BackgroundIn developing nations with fragile healthcare systems, the effect of war is likely to be much worse than it would be in more developed countries. The presence of COVID-19 will also likely exacerbate the war’s impact. This study set out to determine the effect of armed conflict and the COVID-19 pandemic on health service utilization at Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, in the Tigray region of Ethiopia.MethodsAn interrupted time-series study design was used to analyze patient visits over forty-eight consecutive months (from July 2017 to June 2021) at inpatient, outpatient, and emergency departments. Data were analyzed using segmented regression analysis with a defined outcome of level and trend changes in the number of patient visits. In addition, negative binomial regression analysis was also used to estimate the impact of both COVID-19 and the war on patient flow.ResultsThere were 59,935 admissions, 876,533 outpatient visits, and 127,872 emergency room visits. The effect of COVID-19 was seen as soon as the Tigray regional government imposed comprehensive restrictions. Immediately after COVID-19 appeared, all the service areas exhibited a significant monthly drop in visits; [-35.6% (95% CI: -48.2%, -23.1%)] for inpatient, [-60.6% (95% CI: -71.6%, -49.5%)] for outpatient, and [-44.1% (95% CI: -59.5%, -28.7%)] for emergency department visits. The impact of the war became apparent after a lag time of one month. Controlling the effects of time and COVID-19, the war led to a significant fall in inpatient visits [-44.3% (95% CI: -67.2%, -21.5%)], outpatients [-52.1% (95% CI: -82.7%, -21.5%)], and emergency-room attendances [-45.0% (95% CI: -74.8%, -15.2%)]. An upward trend in outpatient flow was observed after the war [1,219.4 (95% CI: 326.1, 2,112.8)].ConclusionsThe present study has clearly indicated that the war and COVID-19 have led to a large reduction in admissions, outpatient attendance, and emergency department visits. The evidence from this study suggests that due to this double catastrophe, thousands of patients could not gain access to healthcare, with probable negative consequences. Governments and organizations should implement measures to buttress the healthcare system to maintain pre-war status of service.

Nationwide implementation of personalized outcomes forecasts to support physical therapists in treating patients with intermittent claudication: Protocol for an interrupted time series study.

Shared decision-making is the cornerstone of patient-centered care. However, evidence suggests that the application of shared decision-making in physical therapy practice is limited. To elicit shared decision-making and thereby potentially improve patient outcomes for patients with intermittent claudication, we developed a decision support system. This decision support system provides personalized outcomes forecasts that visualize the estimated walking distance of an individual patient. We hypothesize that personalized outcomes forecasts can support physical therapists in personalizing care to the needs and priorities of the individual patient to improve therapy outcomes. The primary aim is to evaluate the impact of personalized outcomes forecasts for patients with intermittent claudication to optimize personalized treatment. Second, this study aims to evaluate the process of implementation. This study uses a prospective interrupted time series (ITS) design. Participating physical therapists are divided into four clusters. Every month of the study period, a new cluster will be invited to begin using the decision support system. We aim to include data of 11,250 newly referred patients for physical therapy treatment. All therapists associated with a network of specialized therapists (Chronic CareNet) and patients treated by these therapists are eligible to participate. The decision support system, called the KomPas, makes use of personalized outcomes forecasts, which visualize the estimated outcome of supervised exercise therapy for an individual patient with intermittent claudication. Personalized outcomes forecasts are developed using a neighbors-based approach that selects patients similar to the index patient (a.k.a. neighbors) from a large database. Outcomes to evaluate impact of implementation are patients' functional and maximal walking distance, quality of life and shared decision-making. Process evaluation will be measured in terms of utilization efficacy, including the outcomes dropout rate and reasons to (not) use the personalized outcomes forecasts. Data will be routinely collected through two online systems: the Chronic CareNet Quality system, and the website logs of the decision support system. Additionally, observations and semi-structured interviews will be conducted with a small subset of therapists. Formal medical ethical approval by the Medical Research Ethics Committees United 'MEC-U' was not required for this study under Dutch law (reference number 2020-6250).

Prescription of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors in Japan during the COVID-19 pandemic: interrupted time series study.

We surveyed changes in angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEIs) and angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARBs) prescription trends during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Japan. Data of 1,605,708 outpatients with hypertension were extracted from the Medical Data Vision database. Trends for prescription of ACEIs and ARBs were assessed by analyzing the proportion of these prescriptions in each month, between April 2018 and November 2020. The proportion of ARBs prescriptions changed significantly in trend between the peri-pandemic and pre-pandemic periods (-0.05%/month, P = 0.012). In contrast, the proportion of ACEIs prescriptions did not change significantly in trend in the peri-pandemic period (0.01%/month, P = 0.189). There was no suggestion that the prescribing of ACEIs and ARBs was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Evaluation of the Impact of the Urgent Cancer Care Clinic on Emergency Department Visits, Primary Care Clinician Visits, and Hospitalizations in Winnipeg, Manitoba.

The urgent cancer care (UCC) clinic at CancerCare Manitoba (CCMB) opened in 2013 to provide care to individuals diagnosed with cancer and serious blood disorders experiencing complications from the underlying disorder or its treatment. This study examined the impact of the UCC clinic on other health care utilization in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. An interrupted time series study design was used to compare the rates of emergency department (ED) visits, primary care clinician (PCC) visits, and hospitalizations from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2015. Rates of ED visits were also stratified by ED location, severity, and cancer type. We found a 6% (95% CI 1.00-1.13, p-value = 0.0389) increase in PCC visits, a 7% (95% CI 0.99-1.15, p-value = 0.0737) increase in hospitalizations, a 4% (95% CI 0.86-1.08, p-value = 0.5053) decrease in the rate of ED visits, and a 3% (95% CI 0.92-1.17, p-value = 0.5778) increase in the rate of ED visits during the UCC clinic hours after the UCC clinic opened. The implementation of the UCC clinic had minimal impact on health care utilization. Future work should examine the impact of the UCC clinic on other aspects of healthcare utilization (e.g., number of tests ordered and time spent waiting in CCMB's main clinics) and patient quality of life and patient and health care provider experience.

The incidence of nosocomial bloodstream infection and urinary tract infection in Australian hospitals before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time series study

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on healthcare including increased awareness of infection prevention and control (IPC). The aim of this study was to explore if the heightened awareness of IPC measures implemented in response to the pandemic influenced the rates of healthcare associated infections (HAI) using positive bloodstream and urine cultures as a proxy measure.MethodsA 3 year retrospective review of laboratory data from 5 hospitals (4 acute public, 1 private) from two states in Australia was undertaken. Monthly positive bloodstream culture data and urinary culture data were collected from January 2017 to March 2021. Occupied bed days (OBDs) were used to generate monthly HAI incidence per 10,000 OBDs. An interrupted time series analysis was undertaken to compare incidence pre and post February 2020 (the pre COVID-19 cohort and the COVID-19 cohort respectively). A HAI was assumed if positive cultures were obtained 48 h after admission and met other criteria.ResultsA total of 1,988 bloodstream and 7,697 urine positive cultures were identified. The unadjusted incident rate was 25.5 /10,000 OBDs in the pre-COVID-19 cohort, and 25.1/10,000 OBDs in the COVID-19 cohort. The overall rate of HAI aggregated for all sites did not differ significantly between the two periods. The two hospitals in one state which experienced an earlier and larger outbreak demonstrated a significant downward trend in the COVID-19 cohort (p = 0.011).ConclusionThese mixed findings reflect the uncertainty of the effect the pandemic has had on HAI’s. Factors to consider in this analysis include local epidemiology, differences between public and private sector facilities, changes in patient populations and profiles between hospitals, and timing of enhanced IPC interventions. Future studies which factor in these differences may provide further insight on the effect of COVID-19 on HAIs.

Impact of COVID-19 on poisoning-related mortality in Iran: An interrupted time series study.

The COVID-19 pandemic had many negative effects worldwide. These effects involved mental health status issues such as suicide, depression, and the pattern of death associated with drug/poisonings. One of the major concerns of the healthcare community during the pandemic was mortality from poisonings. This study aimed to investigate the trends of mortality from different types of poisonings before and after COVID-19. The patients who died from six different categories of drugs or poisons were identified by forensic analysis of body fluids/tissues in Tehran, Iran. The pandemic was separated into the pre-COVID-19 period (April 2018 to January 2020), and the COVID pandemic (February 2020-April 2022). Demographic characteristics were collected from each victim, and comparisons of death trends before and after the pandemic were conducted using the interrupted time series analysis. The absolute number of deaths and proportion of deaths from each type of drug/poisoning were used for the analyses. A total of 6,316 deaths from drugs/poisoning were identified between April 2018-Mar 2022). During this period, 2,485 deaths occurred pre-COVID, and 3,831 were during the COVID-19 era. There were no statistical differences in terms of demographic characteristics before and after the pandemic, except for job status. There was a sharp increase in proportion of methanol death among all poisonings after the start of the pandemic (16.5%, p-value=0.025), while there was a decreasing trend during the pandemic (-0.915 deaths monthly, p-value=0.027). The trends for opioids, stimulants, and drug-related deaths changed from decreasing to increasing. No change was seen in the trends for ethanol and volatile substance deaths. This pattern was mirrored in the proportion of each type of poisoning relative to the total number. Changes in poisoning-related mortality patterns showed dramatic changes after the start of the pandemic, especially deaths from methanol. Other poisonings such as opioids, stimulants, and drugs should also be addressed as there was an increasing trend during the COVID-19 period, compared to the pre-COVID data.

An interrupted time series study using administrative health data to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on alternate care level acute hospitalizations in Ontario, Canada.

Many health systems struggle with delayed discharges (known as alternate level of care [ALC] in Canada). Our objectives were to describe and compare patient and hospitalization characteristics by ALC status, and to examine the impact of the initial period of the COVID-19 pandemic on ALC rates in Ontario, Canada. We conducted an interrupted time series using linked administrative data for acute care hospital discharges in Ontario between Feb. 28, 2018, and Nov. 30, 2020. We measured the monthly ALC rate among discharges before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (Mar. 1, 2020). We used interrupted time series regressions to examine the association between the onset of the pandemic and average ALC monthly rates. We identified no meaningful differences in patient and admission characteristics, irrespective of time; however, differences were identified by ALC status. The overall average monthly rate of ALC discharges before the COVID-19 pandemic was 4.9% and after the onset of the pandemic was 5.0%. These discharges dropped to 4.3% (n = 3558) in March 2020 but then rebounded to their peak of 5.8% (n = 3915). There was no significant change in the average level of ALC rates per month after the onset of the pandemic (increase of 0.36% average per month, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.11% to 0.83%) or monthly rate of change (slope) after the onset of the pandemic (-0.08%, 95% CI -0.15 to 0). We identified a continued high rate of hospital discharges with an ALC component despite the considerable efforts in hospital to reduce hospital occupancy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Future research should examine why ALC rates remain high despite hospital efforts.

Effects of volume-based procurement policy on the usage and expenditure of first-generation targeted drugs for non-small cell lung cancer with EGFR mutation in China: an interrupted time series study

ObjectivesIn December 2018, China launched national volume-based procurement (NVBP) to negotiate drug prices with manufacturers. Gefitinib was one of the 25 pilot drugs, which is used for treatment of non-small...

Impact of a Comprehensive Tobacco Control Package on Trends in Hospital Admissions for Depression in Beijing, China: Interrupted Time Series Study

Impact of a Comprehensive Tobacco Control Package on Trends in Hospital Admissions for Depression in Beijing, China: Interrupted Time Series Study

The Impact of Prescribing Monitoring Policy on Drug Use and Expenditures in China: A Multi-center Interrupted Time Series Study.

A prescribing monitoring policy (PMP) was implemented in November 2015 in Anhui province, China, the first province to pilot this policy to manage the use and costs of select drugs based on their large prescription volumes and/ or costs in hospitals. This study evaluated the impact of PMP on the use and expenditures of different drugs in three tertiary hospitals in Anhui. We obtained monthly drug use and expenditures data from three tertiary hospitals in Anhui (November 2014 through September 2017). An interrupted time series (ITS) design was used to estimate changes in defined daily doses (DDDs per month) and drug expenditures (dollars per month) of policy-targeted and non-targeted drugs after PMP implementation. Drugs were grouped based on whether they were recommended (recommended drugs) by any clinical guidelines or not (non-recommended drugs), or if they were potentially over-used (proton pump inhibitors, PPIs). After PMP, DDDs and costs of the targeted PPIs (omeprazole) declined while use of non-targeted PPIs increased correspondingly with overall sustained declines in total PPIs. The policy impact on recommended drugs varied based on whether the targeted drugs have appropriate alternatives. The DDDs and costs of recommended drugs that have readily accessible appropriate alternatives (atorvastatin) declined, which offset increases in its alternative non-target drugs (rosuvastatin), while there was no significant change in those recommended drugs that did not have appropriate alternative drugs (clopidogrel and ticagrelor). Finally, the DDDs and costs of non-recommended drugs decreased significantly. PMP policy impact was not the same across different drug groups. PMP did help contain the use and costs of potentially over-used drugs and non-recommended drugs. PMP did not seem to reduce the use of first-line therapeutic drugs recommended by clinical treatment guidelines, especially those lacking alternatives; such drugs are unlikely appropriate candidates for PMP.

Injured worker outcomes after compensation system overhaul: an interrupted time series study

ObjectiveIn 2015, South Australia replaced its workers’ compensation system with the aim of improving return to work rates. We examined whether this was achieved by focusing on the duration of...

Impact of 2018 EU Risk Minimisation Measures and Revised Pregnancy Prevention Programme on Utilisation and Prescribing Trends of Medicinal Products Containing Valproate: An Interrupted Time Series Study.

Due to established teratogenicity of valproates, the EU risk minimisation measures (RMMs) with a pregnancy prevention programme (PPP) for valproate were updated in March 2018. To investigate the effectiveness of the 2018 EU RMMs on valproate utilisation in five European countries/regions. A multi-database, times series study of females of childbearing potential (12-55 years) was conducted using electronic medical records from five countries/regions (01.01.2010-31.12.2020): Denmark, Tuscany (Italy), Spain, the Netherlands, and the UK. Clinical and demographic information from each database was transformed to the ConcePTION Common Data Model, quality checks were conducted and a distributed analysis was performed using common scripts. Incident and prevalent use of valproate, proportion of discontinuers and switchers to alternative medicine, frequency of contraception coverage during valproate use, and occurrence of pregnancies during valproate exposure were estimated per month. Interrupted time series analyses were conducted to estimate the level or trend change in the outcome measures. We included 69,533 valproate users from 9,699,371 females of childbearing potential from the five participating centres. A significant decline in prevalent use of valproates was observed in Tuscany, Italy (mean difference post-intervention -7.7%), Spain (-11.3%), and UK (-5.9%) and a non-significant decline in the Netherlands (-3.3%), but no decline in incident use after the 2018 RMMs compared to the period before. The monthly proportion of compliant valproate prescriptions/dispensings with a contraceptive coverage was low (<25%), with an increase after the 2018 RMMs only in the Netherlands (mean difference post-intervention 12%). There was no significant increase in switching rates from valproates to alternative medicine after the 2018 intervention in any of the countries/regions. We observed a substantial number of concurrent pregnancies during valproate exposure, but with a declining rate after the 2018 RMMs in Tuscany, Italy (0.70 per 1000 valproate users pre- and 0.27 post-intervention), Spain (0.48 and 0.13), the Netherlands (0.34 and 0.00), and an increasing rate in UK (1.13 and 5.07). There was a small impact of the 2018 RMMs on valproate use in the studied European countries/regions. The substantial number of concurrent pregnancies with valproate exposure warrants a careful monitoring of implementation of the existing PPP for valproate in clinical practice in Europe, to see if there is any need for additional measures in the future.