Internal Dataset Research Articles

Discovery of a T cell proliferation-associated regulator signature correlates with prognosis risk and immunotherapy response in bladder cancer.

The efficacy of immunotherapy is heavily influenced by T cell activity. This study aimed to examine how T cell proliferation regulators can predict the prognosis and response to immunotherapy in patients with bladder cancer (BCa). T cell proliferation-related subtypes were determined by employing the non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) algorithm that analyzed the expression patterns of T cell proliferation regulators. Subtypes were assessed for variations in prognosis, immune infiltration, and functional behaviors. Subsequently, a risk model related to T cell proliferation was created through Cox and Lasso regression analyses in the TCGA cohort and then confirmed in two GEO cohorts and an immunotherapy cohort. BCa patients were categorized into two subtypes (C1 and C2) according to the expression profiles of 31T cell proliferation-related genes (TRGs) with distinct prognoses and immune landscapes. The C2 subtype had a shorter overall survival (OS), with higher levels of M2 macrophage infiltration, and the activation of cancer-related pathways than the C1 subtype. Following this, thirteen prognosis-related genes that were involved in T cell proliferation were utilized to create the prognostic signature. The model's predictive accuracy was confirmed by analyzing both internal and external datasets. Individuals in the high-risk category experienced a poorer prognosis, increased immunosuppressive factors in the tumor microenvironment, and diminished responses to immunotherapy. Additionally, the immunotherapeutic prediction efficacy of the model was further confirmed by an immunotherapy cohort (anti-PD-L1 in the IMvigor210 cohort). Our study characterized two subtypes linked to T cell proliferation in BCa patients with distinct prognoses and tumor microenvironment (TME) patterns, providing new insights into the heterogeneity of T cell proliferation in BCa and its connection to the immune landscape. The signature has prospective clinical implications for predicting outcomes and may help physicians to select prospective responders who prioritize current immunotherapy.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Dasatinib in Healthy Subjects.

Dasatinib is one of the tyrosine kinase inhibitors. The main use of these agents is inhibition of cancerous cell proliferation. The therapeutic importance of tyrosine kinase inhibitors raises the necessity of many types of investigations, especially the pharmacokinetic analysis of these drugs in humans. This analysis, along with other investigations and clinical research, will contribute to the overall knowledge of the drug. This study focused on the population pharmacokinetics of dasatinib. The objective of the study was to investigate the sources of the variability of dasatinib in a population pharmacokinetics study in healthy participants. We utilized 4180 plasma observations from 110 subjects who were administered SPRYCEL® on two separate occasions under fasting conditions; data from 20% of the subjects (22 subjects) were extracted for the purpose of internal model evaluation and data from 88 subjects were used in modeling. The model was evaluated by visual predictive check of three different datasets. A two-compartmental model with first order absorption and transit compartment was considered the simplest base model to describe the data based on the corrected Bayesian information criterion evaluation. Covariates were tested through conditional sampling for the stepwise approach-screening procedure in Monolix 2020R1 version. Conditional sampling for the stepwise approach was used to include the correlated covariates within the base model in the forward inclusion step and then to eliminate them backwardly to ensure that the key covariates were kept in the model at the final stage. The effect of body mass index on the absorption rate constant was considered as significant covariate in the final established model. Visual predictive check for simulations, 20% of the original dataset (internal dataset) and an external dataset demonstrated the appropriateness of the final model. Population pharmacokinetic modeling was performed to describe dasatinib pharmacokinetics in healthy subjects. Body mass index was considered as a factor that might be used in the future along with studies on patients to adjust the dosing regimens. Dasatinib is classified as a highly variable drug; this variability was demonstrated in the study by the effect of body mass index on the absorption rate constant.

Development of an empirical model for the prediction of the sound absorption coefficient for thin and low-density fibrous materials

Currently, FEA software such as ABAQUS uses empirical models to predict the sound absorption coefficient of poroelastic materials. However, based on a recent review of the literature it was found that the current sound absorption empirical models are inadequate for accurate prediction of thin (t < 20 mm), low-density materials (ρB < 50 kg/m3). Therefore, the predictions of the sound pressure levels in vehicle cabins, using such software, will be inaccurate since the trim materials are thin and have a low density. Thus, this research aimed to develop an empirical model that can accurately predict the sound absorption coefficient of these materials. Hence, polypropylene fibres consisting of four different diameters were manufactured and converted into nonwovens. Thereafter, airflow resistivity and impedance tube experimental testing were performed on the specimens. Subsequently, statistical analysis of the data was performed using SAS software. SAS was used to identify which independent variables should be included in the models to be developed. The empirical models were developed using the regression analysis toolbox in Microsoft Excel. Once the models were developed, various checks were performed to validate the assumptions of linear regression. The software NumXL was used to perform Cook’s distance tests. Thereafter, the models were validated against the validation dataset, where it was found that the developed exponential model performed best. Finally, the exponential model was compared to existing models using two data sets i.e. an internal dataset, and an external dataset derived from the literature. The developed model outperformed all the historic models on both datasets.

#1017 External validation of a machine learning model for the prediction of bioimpedance-determined pre-dialysis overhydration

Abstract Background and Aims An accurate, automated determination of volume status in dialysis patients using a reproducible standard would be clinically useful. We have previously developed a machine learning model for the prediction of pre-dialysis overhydration (OH) index (litres) from the Fresenius Body Composition Monitor (BCM). External validation is a requisite step before the clinical implementation of a machine learning model. Method Data analyses were performed using Python. An XGBoost regressor model was internally developed and validated in a Fresenius dataset of 9,452 patients and 279,324 BCM target events from the Czech Republic and Italy between January 2016 and December 2022. An XGBoost regressor model with 60 input variables including the average BCM OH value in the preceding year, 2-week moving averages of dialysis session data and biomarkers/ medications data from the preceding 13 weeks demonstrated the best performance of the models tested. The external validation (EV) dataset consisted of 24 patients from a 7-week observational study in a single centre, in Beaumont, Ireland comprising 94 BCM sessions and 650 haemodialysis sessions. Individualised predictions were compared with BCM measures and clinical volume assessments performed at 2-week intervals. Mean squared error (MSE), Root mean square error (RMSE), and Bland-Altman plots were used for continuous outcomes. Precision, recall and F1 score were used to assess the algorithm's performance in predicting the following fluid categories: overhydration ≥1.1L, normohydration −1.1L to 1.1L, underhydration ≤-1.1L. Normohydration weight was calculated by subtracting the predicted OH index from the pre-dialysis weight. Results There was performance degradation between the internal validation (IV) and EV set. The RMSE for pre-dialysis OH was 1.04 kg in the IV set and 1.5 kg in the EV set. This could be attributed to differences in the distribution of the outcome variable (BCM OH validation dataset=1.97 ± 1.56 kg*, EV dataset=0.89 ± 1.7 kg), and the case-mix. The RMSE for normohydration weight was 1.86 kg in the EV set. Wide limits of agreement were noted on a Bland Altman plot comparing the average of BCM and predicted values plotted against the difference in values (mean bias - 0.54, 95% limits of agreement -3.44 kg to 2.36 kg). The overall accuracy of the model in predicting fluid classes was 60%. A histogram showed a close alignment in the distributions of predicted normohydration weights and BCM values. Conclusion The performance of the algorithms degraded between the internal validation and external validation datasets. However, the pre-dialysis algorithm showed an ability to discriminate fluid categories compared to nursing staff and the overall accuracy was acceptable. Additional training of the algorithms using fluid status classes would be expected to improve the precision of predictions. *Values less than the 1st percentile of – 2.17 L were excluded.

A multimodal integration pipeline for accurate diagnosis, pathogen identification, and prognosis prediction of pulmonary infections

Pulmonary infections pose formidable challenges in clinical settings with high mortality rates across all age groups worldwide. Accurate diagnosis and early intervention are crucial to improve patient outcomes. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the capability to mine imaging features specific to different pathogens and fuse multimodal features to reach a synergistic diagnosis, enabling more precise investigation and individualized clinical management. In this study, we successfully developed a multimodal integration (MMI) pipeline to differentiate among bacterial, fungal, and viral pneumonia and pulmonary tuberculosis based on a real-world dataset of 24,107 patients. The area under the curve (AUC) of the MMI system comprising clinical text and computed tomography (CT) image scans yielded 0.910 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.904-0.916) and 0.887 (95% CI: 0.867-0.909) in the internal and external testing datasets respectively, which were comparable to those of experienced physicians. Furthermore, the MMI system was utilized to rapidly differentiate between viral subtypes with a mean AUC of 0.822 (95% CI: 0.805-0.837) and bacterial subtypes with a mean AUC of 0.803 (95% CI: 0.775-0.830). Here, the MMI system harbors the potential to guide tailored medication recommendations, thus mitigating the risk of antibiotic misuse. Additionally, the integration of multimodal factors in the AI-driven system also provided an evident advantage in predicting risks of developing critical illness, contributing to more informed clinical decision-making. To revolutionize medical care, embracing multimodal AI tools in pulmonary infections will pave the way to further facilitate early intervention and precise management in the foreseeable future.

A Deep Learning Model for Automatically Quantifying the Anterior Segment in Ultrasound Biomicroscopy Images of Implantable Collamer Lens Candidates

ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop and evaluate a deep learning-based model that could automatically measure anterior segment (AS) parameters on preoperative ultrasound biomicroscopy (UBM) images of implantable Collamer lens (ICL) surgery candidates. MethodsA total of 1164 panoramic UBM images were preoperatively obtained from 321 patients who received ICL surgery in the Eye Center of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (Wuhan, China) to develop an imaging database. First, the UNet++ network was utilized to segment AS tissues automatically, such as corneal lens and iris. In addition, image processing techniques and geometric localization algorithms were developed to automatically identify the anatomical landmarks (ALs) of pupil diameter (PD), anterior chamber depth (ACD), angle-to-angle distance (ATA), and sulcus-to-sulcus distance (STS). Based on the results of the latter two processes, PD, ACD, ATA, and STS can be measured. Meanwhile, an external dataset of 294 images from Huangshi Aier Eye Hospital was employed to further assess the model's performance in other center. Lastly, a subset of 100 random images from the external test set was chosen to compare the performance of the model with senior experts. ResultsWhether in the internal test dataset or external test dataset, using manual labeling as the reference standard, the models achieved a mean Dice coefficient exceeding 0.880. Additionally, the intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) of ALs’ coordinates were all greater than 0.947, and the percentage of Euclidean distance distribution of ALs within 250 μm was over 95.24%.While the ICCs for PD, ACD, ATA, and STS were greater than 0.957, furthermore, the average relative error (ARE) of PD, ACD, ATA, and STS were below 2.41%. In terms of human versus machine performance, the ICCs between the measurements performed by the model and those by senior experts were all greater than 0.931. ConclusionA deep learning-based model could measure AS parameters using UBM images of ICL candidates, and exhibited a performance similar to that of a senior ophthalmologist.

Two-Stage Training Framework Using Multicontrast MRI Radiomics for IDH Mutation Status Prediction in Glioma.

Purpose To develop a radiomics framework for preoperative MRI-based prediction of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status, a crucial glioma prognostic indicator. Materials and Methods Radiomics features (shape, first-order statistics, and texture) were extracted from the whole tumor or the combination of nonenhancing, necrosis, and edema regions. Segmentation masks were obtained via the federated tumor segmentation tool or the original data source. Boruta, a wrapper-based feature selection algorithm, identified relevant features. Addressing the imbalance between mutated and wild-type cases, multiple prediction models were trained on balanced data subsets using random forest or XGBoost and assembled to build the final classifier. The framework was evaluated using retrospective MRI scans from three public datasets (The Cancer Imaging Archive [TCIA, 227 patients], the University of California San Francisco Preoperative Diffuse Glioma MRI dataset [UCSF, 495 patients], and the Erasmus Glioma Database [EGD, 456 patients]) and internal datasets collected from the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (UTSW, 356 patients), New York University (NYU, 136 patients), and University of Wisconsin-Madison (UWM, 174 patients). TCIA and UTSW served as separate training sets, while the remaining data constituted the test set (1617 or 1488 testing cases, respectively). Results The best performing models trained on the TCIA dataset achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.89 for UTSW, 0.86 for NYU, 0.93 for UWM, 0.94 for UCSF, and 0.88 for EGD test sets. The best performing models trained on the UTSW dataset achieved slightly higher AUCs: 0.92 for TCIA, 0.88 for NYU, 0.96 for UWM, 0.93 for UCSF, and 0.90 for EGD. Conclusion This MRI radiomics-based framework shows promise for accurate preoperative prediction of IDH mutation status in patients with glioma. Keywords: Glioma, Isocitrate Dehydrogenase Mutation, IDH Mutation, Radiomics, MRI Supplemental material is available for this article. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. See also commentary by Moassefi and Erickson in this issue.

Confidence-aware multi-modality learning for eye disease screening

Multi-modal ophthalmic image classification plays a key role in diagnosing eye diseases, as it integrates information from different sources to complement their respective performances. However, recent improvements have mainly focused on accuracy, often neglecting the importance of confidence and robustness in predictions for diverse modalities. In this study, we propose a novel multi-modality evidential fusion pipeline for eye disease screening. It provides a measure of confidence for each modality and elegantly integrates the multi-modality information using a multi-distribution fusion perspective. Specifically, our method first utilizes normal inverse gamma prior distributions over pre-trained models to learn both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty for uni-modality. Then, the normal inverse gamma distribution is analyzed as the Student’s t distribution. Furthermore, within a confidence-aware fusion framework, we propose a mixture of Student’s t distributions to effectively integrate different modalities, imparting the model with heavy-tailed properties and enhancing its robustness and reliability. More importantly, the confidence-aware multi-modality ranking regularization term induces the model to more reasonably rank the noisy single-modal and fused-modal confidence, leading to improved reliability and accuracy. Experimental results on both public and internal datasets demonstrate that our model excels in robustness, particularly in challenging scenarios involving Gaussian noise and modality missing conditions. Moreover, our model exhibits strong generalization capabilities to out-of-distribution data, underscoring its potential as a promising solution for multimodal eye disease screening.

Assisting the analysis of insertions and deletions using regional allele frequencies.

Accurate estimation of population allele frequency (AF) is crucial for gene discovery and genetic diagnostics. However, determining AF for frameshift-inducing small insertions and deletions (indels) faces challenges due to discrepancies in mapping and variant calling methods. Here, we propose an innovative approach to assess indel AF. We developed CRAFTS-indels (Calculating Regional Allele Frequency Targeting Small indels), an algorithm that combines AF of distinct indels within a given region and provides "regional AF" (rAF). We tested and validated CRAFTS-indels using three independent datasets: gnomAD v2 (n=125,748 samples), an internal dataset (IGM; n=39,367), and the UK BioBank (UKBB; n=469,835). By comparing rAF against standard AF, we identified rare indels with rAF exceeding standard AF (sAF≤10-4 and rAF>10-4) as "rAF-hi" indels. Notably, a high percentage of rare indels were "rAF-hi", with a higher proportion in gnomAD v2 (11-20%) and IGM (11-22%) compared to the UKBB (5-9% depending on the CRAFTS-indels' parameters). Analysis of the overlap of regions based on their rAF with low complexity regions and with ClinVar classification supported the pertinence of rAF. Using the internal dataset, we illustrated the utility of CRAFTS-indel in the analysis of de novo variants and the potential negative impact of rAF-hi indels in gene discovery. In summary, annotation of indels with cohort specific rAF can be used to handle some of the limitations of current annotation pipelines and facilitate detection of novel gene disease associations. CRAFTS-indels offers a user-friendly approach to providing rAF annotation. It can be integrated into public databases such as gnomAD, UKBB and used by ClinVar to revise indel classifications.

SVPath: A Deep Learning Tool for Analysis of Stria Vascularis from Histology Slides

IntroductionThe stria vascularis (SV) may have a significant role in various otologic pathologies. Currently, researchers manually segment and analyze the stria vascularis to measure structural atrophy. Our group developed a tool, SVPath, that uses deep learning to extract and analyze the stria vascularis and its associated capillary bed from whole temporal bone histopathology slides (TBS).MethodsThis study used an internal dataset of 203 digitized hematoxylin and eosin-stained sections from a normal macaque ear and a separate external validation set of 10 sections from another normal macaque ear. SVPath employed deep learning methods YOLOv8 and nnUnet to detect and segment the SV features from TBS, respectively. The results from this process were analyzed with the SV Analysis Tool (SVAT) to measure SV capillaries and features related to SV morphology, including width, area, and cell count. Once the model was developed, both YOLOv8 and nnUnet were validated on external and internal datasets.ResultsYOLOv8 implementation achieved over 90% accuracy for cochlea and SV detection. nnUnet SV segmentation achieved a DICE score of 0.84–0.95; the capillary bed DICE score was 0.75–0.88. SVAT was applied to compare both the ears used in the study. There was no statistical difference in SV width, SV area, and average area of capillary between the two ears. There was a statistical difference between the two ears for the cell count per SV.ConclusionThe proposed method accurately and efficiently analyzes the SV from temporal histopathology bone slides, creating a platform for researchers to understand the function of the SV further.

Prediction of DNA methylation-based tumor types from histopathology in central nervous system tumors with deep learning.

Precision in the diagnosis of diverse central nervous system (CNS) tumor types is crucial for optimal treatment. DNA methylation profiles, which capture the methylation status of thousands of individual CpG sites, are state-of-the-art data-driven means to enhance diagnostic accuracy but are also time consuming and not widely available. Here, to address these limitations, we developed Deep lEarning from histoPathoLOgy and methYlation (DEPLOY), a deep learning model that classifies CNS tumors to ten major categories from histopathology. DEPLOY integrates three distinct components: the first classifies CNS tumors directly from slide images ('direct model'), the second initially generates predictions for DNA methylation beta values, which are subsequently used for tumor classification ('indirect model'), and the third classifies tumor types directly from routinely available patient demographics. First, we find that DEPLOY accurately predicts beta values from histopathology images. Second, using a ten-class model trained on an internal dataset of 1,796 patients, we predict the tumor categories in three independent external test datasets including 2,156 patients, achieving an overall accuracy of 95% and balanced accuracy of 91% on samples that are predicted with high confidence. These results showcase the potential future use of DEPLOY to assist pathologists in diagnosing CNS tumors within a clinically relevant short time frame.

Automated Analysis of Split Kidney Function from CT Scans Using Deep Learning and Delta Radiomics.

Background: Differential kidney function assessment is an important part of preoperative evaluation of various urological interventions. It is obtained through dedicated nuclear medical imaging and is not yet implemented through conventional Imaging. Objective: We assess if differential kidney function can be obtained through evaluation of contrast-enhanced computed tomography(CT) using a combination of deep learning and (2D and 3D) radiomic features. Methods: All patients who underwent kidney nuclear scanning at Mayo Clinic sites between 2018-2022 were collected. CT scans of the kidneys were obtained within a 3-month interval before or after the nuclear scans were extracted. Patients who underwent a urological or radiological intervention within this time frame were excluded. A segmentation model was used to segment both kidneys. 2D and 3D radiomics features were extracted and compared between the two kidneys to compute delta radiomics and assess its ability to predict differential kidney function. Performance was reported using receiver operating characteristics, sensitivity, and specificity. Results: Studies from Arizona & Rochester formed our internal dataset (n = 1,159). Studies from Florida were separately processed as an external test set to validate generalizability. We obtained 323 studies from our internal sites and 39 studies from external sites. The best results were obtained by a random forest model trained on 3D delta radiomics features. This model achieved an area under curve (AUC) of 0.85 and 0.81 on internal and external test sets, while specificity and sensitivity were 0.84,0.68 on the internal set, 0.70, and 0.65 on the external set. Conclusion: This proposed automated pipeline can derive important differential kidney function information from contrast-enhanced CT and reduce the need for dedicated nuclear scans for early-stage differential kidney functional assessment. Clinical Impact: We establish a machine learning methodology for assessing differential kidney function from routine CT without the need for expensive and radioactive nuclear medicine scans.

Signal enhancement ratio of multi-phase contrast-enhanced MRI: an imaging biomarker for survival in pancreatic adenocarcinoma

ObjectivesTo evaluate signal enhancement ratio (SER) for tissue characterization and prognosis stratification in pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with quantitative histopathological analysis (QHA) as the reference standard.MethodsThis retrospective study included 277 PDAC patients who underwent multi-phase contrast-enhanced (CE) MRI and whole-slide imaging (WSI) from three centers (2015–2021). SER is defined as (SIlt − SIpre)/(SIea − SIpre), where SIpre, SIea, and SIlt represent the signal intensity of the tumor in pre-contrast, early-, and late post-contrast images, respectively. Deep-learning algorithms were implemented to quantify the stroma, epithelium, and lumen of PDAC on WSIs. Correlation, regression, and Bland-Altman analyses were utilized to investigate the associations between SER and QHA. The prognostic significance of SER on overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Cox regression analysis and Kaplan–Meier curves.ResultsThe internal dataset comprised 159 patients, which was further divided into training, validation, and internal test datasets (n = 60, 41, and 58, respectively). Sixty-five and 53 patients were included in two external test datasets. Excluding lumen, SER demonstrated significant correlations with stroma (r = 0.29–0.74, all p < 0.001) and epithelium (r = −0.23 to −0.71, all p < 0.001) across a wide post-injection time window (range, 25–300 s). Bland-Altman analysis revealed a small bias between SER and QHA for quantifying stroma/epithelium in individual training, validation (all within ± 2%), and three test datasets (all within ± 4%). Moreover, SER-predicted low stromal proportion was independently associated with worse OS (HR = 1.84 (1.17–2.91), p = 0.009) in training and validation datasets, which remained significant across three combined test datasets (HR = 1.73 (1.25–2.41), p = 0.001).ConclusionSER of multi-phase CE-MRI allows for tissue characterization and prognosis stratification in PDAC.Clinical relevance statementThe signal enhancement ratio of multi-phase CE-MRI can serve as a novel imaging biomarker for characterizing tissue composition and holds the potential for improving patient stratification and therapy in PDAC.Key PointsImaging biomarkers are needed to better characterize tumor tissue in pancreatic adenocarcinoma.Signal enhancement ratio (SER)-predicted stromal/epithelial proportion showed good agreement with histopathology measurements across three distinct centers.Signal enhancement ratio (SER)-predicted stromal proportion was demonstrated to be an independent prognostic factor for OS in PDAC.Graphical

Loss modeling with the size-biased lognormal mixture and the entropy regularized EM algorithm

The Erlang mixture with a common scale parameter is one of many popular models for modeling insurance losses. However, the actuarial literature recognizes and discusses some limitations of aforementioned model in approximate heavy-tailed distributions. In this paper, a size-biased left-truncated Lognormal (SB-ltLN) mixture is proposed as a robust alternative to the Erlang mixture for modeling left-truncated insurance losses with a heavy tail. The weak denseness property of the weighted Lognormal mixture is studied along with the tail behavior. Explicit analytical solutions are derived for moments and Tail Value at Risk based on the proposed model. An extension of the regularized expectation–maximization (REM) algorithm with Shannon's entropy weights (ewREM) is introduced for parameter estimation and variability assessment. The Operational Riskdata eXchange's left-truncated internal fraud loss data set is used to illustrate applications of the proposed model. Finally, the results of a simulation study show promising performance of the proposed SB-ltLN mixture in different simulation settings.

Improving Targeted Mass Spectrometry Data Analysis with Nested Active Machine Learning

Targeted mass spectrometry (MS) holds promise for precise protein and protein‐representative peptide identification and quantification, enhancing disease diagnosis. However, its clinical application is hindered by complex data analysis and expert review requirements. It is hypothesized that machine learning (ML) models can automate data analysis to accelerate the clinical application of MS. The approach involves an ML‐driven pipeline that extracts statistical and morphological features from an MS target region and feeds these features into ML algorithms to generate and assess predictive models. The findings demonstrate ML prediction models exhibit superior performance when trained on extracted features versus raw spectra intensity data and that random forest models exhibit robust classification performance in both internal and external validation datasets. These models remain effective across varying training dataset sizes and positive sample rates and are enhanced by a nested active learning approach. This approach can thus revolutionize clinical MS applications.

Development and Validation of an Explainable Deep Learning Model to Predict In-Hospital Mortality for Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction: Algorithm Development and Validation Study.

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is one of the most severe cardiovascular diseases and is associated with a high risk of in-hospital mortality. However, the current deep learning models for in-hospital mortality prediction lack interpretability. This study aims to establish an explainable deep learning model to provide individualized in-hospital mortality prediction and risk factor assessment for patients with AMI. In this retrospective multicenter study, we used data for consecutive patients hospitalized with AMI from the Chongqing University Central Hospital between July 2016 and December 2022 and the Electronic Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database. These patients were randomly divided into training (7668/10,955, 70%) and internal test (3287/10,955, 30%) data sets. In addition, data of patients with AMI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database were used for external validation. Deep learning models were used to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with AMI, and they were compared with linear and tree-based models. The Shapley Additive Explanations method was used to explain the model with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in both the internal test and external validation data sets to quantify and visualize the features that drive predictions. A total of 10,955 patients with AMI who were admitted to Chongqing University Central Hospital or included in the Electronic Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database were randomly divided into a training data set of 7668 (70%) patients and an internal test data set of 3287 (30%) patients. A total of 9355 patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database were included for independent external validation. In-hospital mortality occurred in 8.74% (670/7668), 8.73% (287/3287), and 9.12% (853/9355) of the patients in the training, internal test, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The Self-Attention and Intersample Attention Transformer model performed best in both the internal test data set and the external validation data set among the 9 prediction models, with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.86 (95% CI 0.84-0.88) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.84-0.87), respectively. Older age, high heart rate, and low body temperature were the 3 most important predictors of increased mortality, according to the explanations of the Self-Attention and Intersample Attention Transformer model. The explainable deep learning model that we developed could provide estimates of mortality and visual contribution of the features to the prediction for a patient with AMI. The explanations suggested that older age, unstable vital signs, and metabolic disorders may increase the risk of mortality in patients with AMI.

CureAuxSP: An R package for estimating mixture cure models with auxiliary survival probabilities

Background and Objective:There is a rising interest in exploiting aggregate information from external medical studies to enhance the statistical analysis of a modestly sized internal dataset. Currently available software packages for analyzing survival data with a cure fraction ignore the potentially available auxiliary information. This paper aims at filling this gap by developing a new R package CureAuxSP that can include subgroup survival probabilities extracted outside into an interested internal survival dataset. Methods:The newly developed R package CureAuxSP provides an efficient approach for information synthesis under the mixture cure models, including Cox proportional hazards mixture cure model and the accelerated failure time mixture cure model as special cases. It focuses on synthesizing subgroup survival probabilities at multiple time points and the underlying method development lies in the control variate technique. Evaluation of homogeneity assumption based on a test statistic can be automatically carried out by our package and if heterogeneity does exist, the original outputs can be further refined adaptively. Results:The R package CureAuxSP provides a main function SMC.AxuSP() that helps us adaptively incorporate external subgroup survival probabilities into the analysis of an internal survival data. We also provide another function Print.SMC.AuxSP() for printing the results with a better presentation. Detailed usages are described, and implementations are illustrated with numerical examples, including a simulated dataset with a well-designed data generating process and a real breast cancer dataset. Substantial efficiency gain can be observed by our results. Conclusions:Our R package CureAuxSP can make the wide applications of utilizing auxiliary information possible. It is anticipated that the performance of mixture cure models can be improved for the survival data with a cure fraction, especially for those with small sample sizes.

ProBAN: Neural network algorithm for predicting binding affinity in protein-protein complexes.

Determining binding affinities in protein-protein and protein-peptide complexes is a challenging task that directly impacts the development of peptide and protein pharmaceuticals. Although several models have been proposed to predict the value of the dissociation constant and the Gibbs free energy, they are currently not capable of making stable predictions with high accuracy, in particular for complexes consisting of more than two molecules. In this work, we present ProBAN, a new method for predicting binding affinity in protein-protein complexes based on a deep convolutional neural network. Prediction is carried out for the spatial structures of complexes, presented in the format of a 4D tensor, which includes information about the location of atoms and their abilities to participate in various types of interactions realized in protein-protein and protein-peptide complexes. The effectiveness of the model was assessed both on an internal test data set containing complexes consisting of three or more molecules, as well as on an external test for the PPI-Affinity service. As a result, we managed to achieve the best prediction quality on these data sets among all the analyzed models: on the internal test, Pearson correlation R = 0.6, MAE = 1.60, on the external test, R = 0.55, MAE = 1.75. The open-source code, the trained ProBAN model, and the collected dataset are freely available at the following link https://github.com/EABogdanova/ProBAN.

A novel artificial intelligence-based endoscopic ultrasonography diagnostic system for diagnosing the invasion depth of early gastric cancer

BackgroundWe developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-based endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) system for diagnosing the invasion depth of early gastric cancer (EGC), and we evaluated the performance of this system.MethodsA total of 8280 EUS images from 559 EGC cases were collected from 11 institutions. Within this dataset, 3451 images (285 cases) from one institution were used as a development dataset. The AI model consisted of segmentation and classification steps, followed by the CycleGAN method to bridge differences in EUS images captured by different equipment. AI model performance was evaluated using an internal validation dataset collected from the same institution as the development dataset (1726 images, 135 cases). External validation was conducted using images collected from the other 10 institutions (3103 images, 139 cases).ResultsThe area under the curve (AUC) of the AI model in the internal validation dataset was 0.870 (95% CI: 0.796–0.944). Regarding diagnostic performance, the accuracy/sensitivity/specificity values of the AI model, experts (n = 6), and nonexperts (n = 8) were 82.2/63.4/90.4%, 81.9/66.3/88.7%, and 68.3/60.9/71.5%, respectively. The AUC of the AI model in the external validation dataset was 0.815 (95% CI: 0.743–0.886). The accuracy/sensitivity/specificity values of the AI model (74.1/73.1/75.0%) and the real-time diagnoses of experts (75.5/79.1/72.2%) in the external validation dataset were comparable.ConclusionsOur AI model demonstrated a diagnostic performance equivalent to that of experts.

T2-weighted imaging-based deep-learning method for noninvasive prostate cancer detection and Gleason grade prediction: a multicenter study.

To noninvasively detect prostate cancer and predict the Gleason grade using single-modality T2-weighted imaging with a deep-learning approach. Patients with prostate cancer, confirmed by histopathology, who underwent magnetic resonance imaging examinations at our hospital during September 2015-June 2022 were retrospectively included in an internal dataset. An external dataset from another medical center and a public challenge dataset were used for external validation. A deep-learning approach was designed for prostate cancer detection and Gleason grade prediction. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to compare the model performance. For prostate cancer detection, the internal datasets comprised data from 195 healthy individuals (age: 57.27 ± 14.45 years) and 302 patients (age: 72.20 ± 8.34 years) diagnosed with prostate cancer. The AUC of our model for prostate cancer detection in the validation set (n = 96, 19.7%) was 0.918. For Gleason grade prediction, datasets comprising data from 283 of 302 patients with prostate cancer were used, with 227 (age: 72.06 ± 7.98 years) and 56 (age: 72.78 ± 9.49 years) patients being used for training and testing, respectively. The external and public challenge datasets comprised data from 48 (age: 72.19 ± 7.81 years) and 91 patients (unavailable information on age), respectively. The AUC of our model for Gleason grade prediction in the training set (n = 227) was 0.902, whereas those of the validation (n = 56), external validation (n = 48), and public challenge validation sets (n = 91) were 0.854, 0.776, and 0.838, respectively. Through multicenter dataset validation, our proposed deep-learning method could detect prostate cancer and predict the Gleason grade better than human experts. Precise prostate cancer detection and Gleason grade prediction have great significance for clinical treatment and decision making. Prostate segmentation is easier to annotate than prostate cancer lesions for radiologists. Our deep-learning method detected prostate cancer and predicted the Gleason grade, outperforming human experts. Non-invasive Gleason grade prediction can reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies.