Influence Population Dynamics Research Articles

Population consequences of the competition of variable individuals under various of resource dynamics

Individual-based model of the dynamics of population with non-overlapping generation and explicitly introduced resources which are unequal partitioned between competing individuals is analysed. It is investigated how individual variability in assimilation of different kinds of resources influences population dynamics. Following kinds of resources are considered: unlimited resources with linear or exponential growth and limited resources growing logistically or with seasonal dynamics. When resources are unlimited population dynamics exhibits oscillations of number of individuals and resources which sooner or later end in extinction of the population. An increase of individual variability increases extinction time. Population dynamics is different when resources growth is limited. Number of individuals in the population initially increases until a certain level is reached, then fluctuates around that level. However, still greater individual variability guarantees greater persistence of the population, especially in rich environments.

Ecological and epidemiological ramification of fear: Exploring deterministic and stochastic dynamics in a predator–prey system with predator switching and harvesting

In an ecosystem, harvesting infected prey can assist in managing and containing the spread of the illness within the prey species. On the other hand, the harvesting of predators can be beneficial as it regulates their numbers, preventing them from over-consuming prey and subsequently preserving existence of the prey population. This study introduces a predator–prey model that encompasses prey infection, predator–prey interactions influenced by fear, switching and harvesting. We derive an analytic expression for the basic reproduction number, a critical determinant of disease spread. We investigate the global stability of disease-free and endemic equilibria contingent on the basic reproduction number’s value, highlighting the potential for disease eradication by maintaining it below unity. In-depth analysis of the deterministic model is undertaken, with a focus on Hopf bifurcations that delineate thresholds for disease-free and endemic states. Furthermore, the deterministic model is extended to incorporate environmental stochasticity. We obtain the conditions under which population extinction occurs. Our findings elucidate how the intensity of environmental noise influences population dynamics, providing valuable insights into extinction risks under varying noise levels.

Habitat requirements of Luronium natans (L.) Raf. in northern Belgium

We investigated the environmental range of Luronium natans populations in lower Belgium (Flanders) with particular focus on key factors influencing its population size and the interplay of nutrient availability and physical disturbances in determining its abundance. Soil calcium content and total phosphorus in the water layer were the only physical-chemical variables related to L. natans abundance. Physical water body and vegetation characteristics influenced population dynamics and incidence of reproductive strategies. The species has a ruderal character, and occurs early in vegetation succession or depends on regular physical disturbance events for prolonged presence. Presenting limited competitive abilities, especially in terms of light availability, the species is hindered by taller-growing vegetation. Large populations are typically associated with well-lit conditions. Its flexibility to switch between vegetative and generative reproduction strategies may be associated with nutrient and light conditions. The need for long-term monitoring to consider population dynamics and evaluate the effectiveness of conservation efforts is emphasized. Overall, our study provides further insight into the relation between abiotic conditions, population dynamics and conservation management and extends the basis for sustainable management of the remaining L. natans populations in Flanders and similar regions of Atlantic Europe.

Scale-dependence in elk habitat selection for a reintroduced population in Wisconsin, USA.

Habitat selection is a critical aspect of a species' ecology, requiring complex decision-making that is both hierarchical and scale-dependent, since factors that influence selection may be nested or unequal across scales. Elk (Cervus canadensis) ranged widely across diverse ecoregions in North America prior to European settlement and subsequent eastern extirpation. Most habitat selection studies have occurred within their contemporary western range, even after eastern reintroductions began. As habitat selection can vary by geographic location, available cover, season, and diel period, it is important to understand how a non-migratory, reintroduced population in northern Wisconsin, USA, is limited by the lack of variation in topography, elevation, and vegetation. We tested scale-dependent habitat selection on 79 adult elk from 2017 to 2020 using resource selection functions across temporal (i.e., seasonal) and spatial scales (i.e., landscape and home range). We found that selection varied both spatially and temporally, and elk selected areas with the greatest potential to influence fitness at larger scales, meaning elk selected areas closer to escape cover and further from "risky" features (e.g., annual wolf territory centers, county roads, and highways). We found stronger avoidance of annual wolf territory centers during spring, suggesting elk were selecting safer habitats during calving season. Elk selected habitats with less canopy cover across both spatial scales and all seasons, suggesting that elk selected areas with better access to forage as early seral stage stands have greater forage biomass than closed-canopy forests and direct solar radiation to provide warmth in the cooler seasons. This study provides insight into the complexity of hierarchical decision-making, such as how risky habitat features and land cover type influence habitat selection differently across seasons and spatial scales, influencing the decision-making of elk. Scale-dependent behavior is crucial to understand within specific geographic regions, as these decisions scale up to influence population dynamics.

Fecundity without nectar is insufficient for the persistence of a blue butterfly.

Organisms with complex life cycles undergo ecological transitions between life stages, often resulting in stage-specific resource use. The relative contribution of each stage-specific resource to vital rates influences population dynamics and subsequently whether habitats can support viable populations. In lepidopterans, survival to reproduction requires sufficient resources for immature life stages, but the extent to which resources for adults are critical to population persistence is variable. We studied Boisduval's blue butterflies (Icaricia icarioides), in a greenhouse experiment, to quantify the effect of the adult diet, nectar, on vital rates. Butterflies fed ad libitum produced 3.4 times more eggs, on average, over their lifetime and lived 6 more days relative to those which only had access to water. We used these experimental data to parameterize a population model to test if vital rates with and without nectar result in viable population growth rates. Despite individual females laying 68 eggs without nectar, we found that Boisduval's blue butterfly populations will not persist without the improved fecundity associated with nectar resources (λ<1). In this species, although amino acids in the adult diet contributed to various improvements in fecundity, these improvements did not translate to improvements in population growth rates. Incorporating our experimental vital rates into a population model indicates that the relative abundance and quality of nectar can alter at what threshold other resource(s) are limiting the population.

Emergence of an unpredictable evolution in a spatial prisoner’s dilemma via a player’s multiple perspectives

Spatial prisoner’s dilemma (SPD) has attracted researchers’ attention as a model of conflict for players. In SPD, players have two different strategies, namely, defectors and cooperators. A defector earns a high payoff from an opponent co-operator while getting nothing from an opponent defector. On the contrary, cooperators promote a win–win relationship between the two cooperators. These mechanisms influence population dynamics in SPD, and many SPD models have been developed. However, little is known about the emergence of an unstable or unpredictable evolution in population dynamics using an SPD model, which may be observed in living systems. In addressing this issue, two SPD models were proposed. In both models, players change the neighborhood definition in accordance with their strategies and sometimes select the rule for this change using probability or local information. Result showed that our models generated characteristic population patterns that may be linked to a self-organized criticality (SOC), a term referring to many systems of interconnected, nonlinear elements that evolve over time into a critical state. In fact, the second model could be spontaneously close to the critical point using local information.

Reduced trophic niche breadth is associated with higher productivity in a recovering apex predator population

AbstractUnderstanding the trophic and demographic dynamics of apex predators is of paramount importance for ecosystem conservation. Apex predators are usually free from predation, and thus, the main driver of population dynamics is the availability of trophic resources, which affects breeding performance. Albeit food habits have been described in many apex species, the effects of changes in the trophic niche on long‐term demographic dynamics are poorly known. We describe the long‐term (N = 25 years) changes in trophic niche breadth of a recovering golden eagle population in a Mediterranean landscape (northern Spain) and search for potential correlates with their productivity (i.e., number of fledged eaglets per controlled pair) as a proxy for their breeding performance (N = 290 pair‐years). We identified a total of 3475 prey items from 77 species; rabbits, hares, and red‐legged partridges were the most frequent prey consumed (overall 51%), followed by roe deer (10%), red‐billed chough, red foxes, and woodpigeons, all of them with &gt;5%. Prey diversity in eagles' diet decreased during the study period. Consumption of rabbits and roe deer increased, while that of hares and partridges decreased; no significant trends were observed in the consumption of foxes, choughs, and woodpigeons. Prey diversity and red‐legged partridge consumption were negatively correlated with productivity at the territory level, while rabbits, corvids, and pigeons showed a strong positive relationship with productivity. The size of the territory showed the strongest positive relationship with productivity, while roughness was negatively correlated. Rabbits and ungulates showed negative and positive correlations with roughness, respectively, while predator consumption exhibited a negative relationship with the size of the territory. Our findings give insights into the potential trophic mechanisms driving the dynamics of recovering apex predator populations; a reduction in the trophic niche breadth toward specific groups of prey, which could be due to a higher availability and individual specificity toward these prey species, might enhance productivity at the territory level and, ultimately, influence population dynamics facilitating the recovery process. The remarkable increase in the consumption of wild ungulates, predators, and other apex consumers suggests that the current population recovery and reduced trophic niche breadth may facilitate this eagle population to exhibit its apex role and contribute to ecosystem functionality.

Assessing the population consequences of disturbance and climate change for the Pacific walrus

Climate change and anthropogenic disturbance are increasingly affecting wildlife at a global scale. Predicting how varying types and degrees of disturbance may interact to influence population dynamics is a key management challenge. Population consequences of disturbance (PCoD) models provide a framework to link effects of anthropogenic disturbance on an individual’s behavior and physiology to population-level changes. In the present study, we develop a Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) PCoD model to encompass the population-level effects of both anthropogenic disturbance and climate change. As the Arctic becomes increasingly ice-free, walruses spend more time at coastal (vs. ice-based) haulouts, from which they must expend more energy to reach foraging areas and where they have an elevated risk of mortality. Concurrently, sea ice loss is increasing the anthropogenic footprint in the Arctic (e.g. fisheries, shipping, energy exploration), which creates additional disturbance. We applied the PCoD model to 4 scenarios (ranging from optimistic to pessimistic) which incorporate different global sea ice model projections along with varying degrees of anthropogenic disturbance. All scenarios indicated a decline in Pacific walrus vital rates by the end of the 21st century, but our results demonstrated that the intensity of that decline could be mitigated by global efforts to reduce carbon emissions, along with local management and conservation efforts to protect important coastal haulouts and foraging grounds. In summary, we introduce a flexible PCoD modeling framework in a novel context which will prove useful to researchers studying species threatened by rapid environmental change.

Disparate home range dynamics reflect nutritional inadequacies on summer range for a large herbivore

AbstractThe spatial distribution of animals has consequences for nutrition, predator–prey dynamics, spread of diseases, and population dynamics in general. Animals must establish a home range to secure adequate resources to fuel their energy needs. Home ranges, therefore, are temporally and spatially dynamic, given the changing requirements of an animal and the availability of resources on the landscape. We used data from two populations of bighorn sheep with contrasting population dynamics following pneumonia epizootics and different habitat quality on their summer range to test the hypothesis that the distribution and size of home ranges are influenced by environmental conditions and reproductive status. We used a combination of data from 768 vegetation transects and remotely sensed metrics to index forage quality of consecutive biweekly home ranges for 27 bighorn sheep, June–August 2019–2021. There were population differences in home range dynamics that were consistent with resource limitations in the population declining in abundance. Animals in both populations increased the size of their home range through the summer in association with declining forage quality indexed by plant phenology. Furthermore, animals in the Whiskey Mountain population without offspring had home ranges more than twice the size of animals with offspring, whereas there were no differences in the home range size between animals with and without offspring in Jackson. We demonstrated that limitations young offspring impose on space use of a mother may have consequences for animals living where larger home ranges are needed to secure adequate resources—sheep on Whiskey Mountain had to travel 1000 m from escape terrain to access the same amount of biomass that the Jackson sheep could access directly adjacent to escape terrain. Forage quality and availability influence movement and space use. In the presence of disease, movement and space use may influence pathogen transmission and persistence. Thus, forage availability may play an indirect role in population dynamics in the presence of disease, which is another line of evidence for how environmental and nutritional conditions may influence population dynamics when coping with disease.

Interspecies interactions in dairy biofilms drive community structure and response against cleaning and disinfection

Interspecies interactions within a biofilm community influence population dynamics and community structure, which in turn may affect the bacterial stress response to antimicrobials. This study was conducted to assess the impact of interactions between Kocuria salsicia and a three-species biofilm community (comprising Stenotrophomonas rhizophila, Bacillus licheniformis, and Microbacterium lacticum) on biofilm mass, the abundance of individual species, and their survival under a laboratory-scale cleaning and disinfection (C&D) regime. The presence of K. salsicia enhanced the cell numbers of all three species in pairwise interactions. The outcomes derived from summing up pairwise interactions did not accurately predict the bacterial population dynamics within communities of more than two species. In four-species biofilms, we observed the dominance of S. rhizophila and B. licheniformis, alongside a concurrent reduction in the cell counts of K. salsicia and M. lacticum. This pattern suggests that the underlying interactions are not purely non-transitive; instead, a more complex interplay results in the dominance of specific species. We observed that bacterial spatial organization and matrix production in different mixed-species combinations affected survival in response to C&D. Confocal microscopy analysis of spatial organization showed that S. rhizophila localized on the biofilm formed by B. licheniformis and M. lacticum, and S. rhizophila was more susceptible to C&D. Matrix production in B. licheniformis, evidenced by alterations in biofilm mass and by scanning electron microscopy, demonstrated its protective role against C&D, not only for this species itself, but also for neighbouring species. Our findings emphasise that various social interactions within a biofilm community not only affect bacterial population dynamics but also influence the biofilm community's response to C&D stress.

Impacts of Changing Climate on Arthropod Vectors and Diseases Transmission

Climate change stands as a burgeoning global concern with profound implications. The present review seeks to present the projected impacts of climate change on disease vectors and their transmission of various human and animal diseases. The impact of climate on the prevalence of vector-borne diseases (VBDs), which significantly affect human and animal populations, is notable. The occurrence of VBDs, influenced by local epidemiological and ecological factors alongside specific climatic conditions, may exhibit fluctuations due to climate change. Particularly affected are exothermic arthropod vectors, responsible for transmitting most vectorborne diseases. The intricate interplay of temperature, precipitation, humidity, and other environmental factors significantly shapes the reproduction, development, behavior, and population dynamics of arthropod disease vectors. Also, climate change can alter the spread of pathogens within vectors, influence population dynamics, and impact the range of nonhuman vertebrate reservoirs for numerous vector-borne diseases. Predicting the precise impact of sustained climate change on these diseases poses a considerable challenge, necessitating comprehensive long-term research. These researches must encompass the effects of climate change while considering the contributions of other global change agents, including increased trade and travel, demographic shifts, civil unrests, alterations in land use, water availability, and related factors. The association between climate change and the emergence of specific diseases has been established. However, for certain diseases, the risk of local transmission is significant, while for others, pinpointing the exact influence remains elusive. Therefore, strategic adaptation and preparedness for the shifting distribution patterns of VBDs are imperative, especially in the context of Nigeria and Africa as a whole.

Penerapan Algoritma K-Medoids Dalam Menentukan Cluster Kabupaten/Kota Berdasarkan Migrasi Penduduk Jawa Barat

One of the three main factors influencing population dynamics is migration, along with births and deaths. Changes in population structure will definitely be influenced by migration. If in-migration is more than out-migration, the population will increase, but if out-migration is less than in-migration, the population will decrease. Therefore, it is necessary to know the grouping of regions based on population migration levels. To carry out this grouping, it is necessary to use Data mining methods. In this research, the Data mining used is Clustering using the K-Medoids algorithm. This method divides each district into predetermined groups. The K-Medoids method was chosen because it uses physical data that is not abstract and clear, which is suitable for the problem of grouping population migration data. By grouping migration levels based on districts/cities in West Java, it will be known which districts/cities in West Java have high levels of incoming migration, medium migration and high outmigration. Then recommendations can be given to the local government according to the migration level category.

Differences in growth and competition between plants of a naturalized and an invasive population of Bunias orientalis.

The global shift of species' distributions has led to high numbers of noninvasive naturalized plants and the accumulation of invasive species within ecosystems. Competition between species may influence population dynamics, but little is known about the impacts of competition between conspecifics of naturalized and invasive populations. We investigated several plant traits at initial growth and regrowth following artificial defoliation in intra and interpopulation competition. Therefore, we used plants of Bunias orientalis from one noninvasive naturalized and one invasive population grown alone or in competition of two or three. Plants from the naturalized population were expected to be less competitive than plants from the invasive population, reflecting their differential impact in the introduced range. Independent of status, intrapopulation competition was expected to have less negative impacts on plants than interpopulation competition. Our results show that competition impacted mostly growth- rather than physiology-related traits. The relative magnitude of intra and interpopulation competition differed among plant traits at the first and second harvest. Plants of the invasive population outperformed the naturalized population by allocating relatively more resources to the aboveground biomass and producing more and longer leaves particularly when grown in competition against two plants. Moreover, plants of the invasive population were more competitive, which may influence their successful establishment and range expansion in the introduced range, but growth patterns differed after artificial defoliation. Although evolution of intrapopulation competition in naturalized and invasive ranges may be expected, interpopulation competition seems to adversely impact the performance of the naturalized plant population of B. orientalis studied here. Apart from the status (naturalized vs. invasive), other factors may have had an influence on plant performance. Thus, further research is needed with more naturalized and invasive populations to test the generality of our findings and to isolate the specific mechanisms driving differences in competitiveness.

Factors influencing population growth in a bobcat population

AbstractBobcats (Lynx rufus) are the most broadly distributed native felid in North America and have substantial ecological and economic importance. Despite this importance, little is known about factors influencing population dynamics of this cryptic carnivore. Given recent apparent declines in abundance, we investigated population growth rate (λ) for a bobcat population in the Black Hills, South Dakota, USA, 2016–2022. We constructed and evaluated a females‐only matrix population model. Our estimate of asymptotic λ, derived from estimates of vital rates obtained over 6 years, was 0.85 (95% CI = 0.72, 1.02), which indicates that the vital rates in 2016–2022 were inadequate to sustain the population. Elasticity and sensitivity values were highest for changes in adult survival probability followed by, in order, changes in kitten and juvenile survival and adult reproductive contribution. Life‐stage simulation analysis also supported that adult survival was most important; however, the juvenile survival (91 day–1 year) component of a bobcat's first year of life was also important and a stronger influence on population growth than the kitten survival (first 90 days) component. For the combination of survival and reproductive rates we estimated positive population growth required either annual adult survival &gt;0.85 or 275‐day juvenile survival &gt;0.35, regardless of other vital rates. When assuming a baseline harvest rate of 23.5%, reducing the harvest rate to 9% led to a positive mean growth rate and a &gt;0.50 probability of a growing population. Monitoring juvenile‐to‐adult harvest ratios can provide an indicator of age structure in the population, and we recommend restricting harvest when that ratio falls below 10%, particularly when managers lack research information on population growth.

Breeding behavior analysis in a large captive colony of African penguins (Spheniscus demersus) and its implications for population management and conservation

The African penguin Spheniscus demersus, frequently housed in zoos, holds potential for future reintroduction efforts due to its declining wild population. This paper aims to explore various aspects of reproductive performance in African penguins within a large ex situ colony at Zoo Wrocław in Poland, covering 9 years of breeding behaviors. The analysis reveals parallels in colony growth and partner change patterns with those observed in the wild. Positive correlations were found between breeding success and pair-bond duration, with the increasing colony size influencing reproductive performance. Contrary to their wild counterparts, captive African penguins initiate breeding attempt and produce a fertilized egg at a younger age. However, successful breeding still requires gaining experience or forming pairs with more experienced partners. Our research indicates that providing captive African penguins with unlimited food resources and sufficient nesting space results in rapid colony growth. The increased colony size facilitates breeding behaviors that positively influence population dynamics, particularly through the maintenance of long-term pair bond relationships and the potential for partner changes when necessary or desirable to enhance breeding success. We present compelling case studies in pair fidelity, offering valuable insights and implications for the management of captive populations and conservation efforts.

Asynchrony in terrestrial insect abundance corresponds with species traits.

Asynchrony in population abundance can buffer the effects of environmental change leading to greater community and ecosystem stability. Both environmental (abiotic) drivers and species functional (biotic) traits can influence population dynamics leading to asynchrony. However, empirical evidence linking dissimilarity in species traits to abundance asynchrony is limited, especially for understudied taxa such as insects. To fill this knowledge gap, we explored the relationship between pairwise species trait dissimilarity and asynchrony in interannual abundance change between pairs of species for 422 moth, butterfly, and bumblebee species in Great Britain. We also explored patterns differentiating traits that we assumed to capture 'sensitivity to environmental variables' (such as body mass), and traits that may reflect 'diversity in exposure' to environmental conditions and lead to niche partitioning (for example, habitat uses, and intra-annual emergence periods). As expected, species trait dissimilarity calculated overall and for many individual traits representing response and exposure was positively correlated with asynchrony in all three insect groups. We found that 'exposure' traits, especially those relating to the phenology of species, had the strongest relationship with abundance asynchrony from all tested traits. Positive relationships were not simply due to shared evolutionary history leading to similar life-history strategies: detected effects remained significant for most traits after accounting for phylogenetic relationships within models. Our results provide empirical support that dissimilarity in traits linked to species exposure and sensitivity to the environment could be important for temporal dissimilarity in insect abundance. Hence, we suggest that general trait diversity, but especially diversity in 'exposure' traits, could play a significant role in the resilience of insect communities to short-term environmental perturbations through driving asynchrony between species abundances.

How Nutrients Mediate the Impacts of Global Change on Locust Outbreaks.

Locusts are grasshoppers that can migrate en masse and devastate food security. Plant nutrient content is a key variable influencing population dynamics, but the relationship is not straightforward. For an herbivore, plant quality depends not only on the balance of nutrients and antinutrients in plant tissues, which is influenced by land use and climate change, but also on the nutritional state and demands of the herbivore, as well as its capacity to extract nutrients from host plants. In contrast to the concept of a positive relationship between nitrogen or protein concentration and herbivore performance, a five-decade review of lab and field studies indicates that equating plant N to plant quality is misleading because grasshoppers respond negatively or neutrally to increasing plant N just as often as they respond positively. For locusts specifically, low-N environments are actually beneficial because they supply high energy rates that support migration. Therefore, intensive land use, such as continuous grazing or cropping, and elevated ambient CO2 levels that decrease the protein:carbohydrate ratios of plants are predicted to broadly promote locust outbreaks.

High densities of large tuaki, the New Zealand cockle Austrovenus stutchburyi, provide a post-settlement predation refuge for conspecific juveniles

Bivalves are ecosystem engineers, and their effective management relies on a full understanding of the mechanisms that influence population dynamics. Juvenile tuaki (New Zealand cockle) Austrovenus stutchburyi, a numerically dominant and ecologically important bivalve in New Zealand estuaries, were found at higher densities when surrounded by high densities of large adults within Waitati Inlet, in southern New Zealand. Consequently, we hypothesised that adults provided a refuge from predation for juveniles, resulting in higher juvenile survival and retention in dense beds. The observed pattern was consistent with post-settlement Allee effects, where declines in density and truncated size distributions may have resulted in unsuccessful recruitment if a density threshold was reached. Field experiments were undertaken in 2020 and 2021 to test the potential sheltering effect of adults on retention and survival of juveniles, with and without the addition of organic loading of sediments. Presence of adults had significant effects on juvenile retention and interaction with organic loading in 2020, but not in 2021. To isolate the effects of adult presence on predation of juveniles, a series of laboratory experiments were carried out using the predatory crab Ovalipes catharus. Juvenile survivorship from crab predation was enhanced in the presence of large adults, consistent with the hypothesised sheltering effect. Further, predation rates increased significantly from winter to summer, which correlated with increasing water temperatures and the breeding and moult cycle of crabs. These findings across surveys, field and laboratory manipulations have significant implications for effective fisheries management and restoration of bed-forming bivalves.

Evolutionary algorithms guided by Erdős-Rényi complex networks.

This article proposes an evolutionary algorithm integrating Erdős-Rényi complex networks to regulate population crossovers, enhancing candidate solution refinement across generations. In this context, the population is conceptualized as a set of interrelated solutions, resembling a complex network. The algorithm enhances solutions by introducing new connections between them, thereby influencing population dynamics and optimizing the problem-solving process. The study conducts experiments comparing four instances of the traditional optimization problem known as the Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP). These experiments employ the traditional evolutionary algorithm, alternative algorithms utilizing different types of complex networks, and the proposed algorithm. The findings suggest that the approach guided by an Erdős-Rényi dynamic network surpasses the performance of the other algorithms. The proposed model exhibits improved convergence rates and shorter execution times. Thus, strategies based on complex networks reveal that network characteristics provide valuable information for solving optimization problems. Therefore, complex networks can regulate the decision-making process, similar to optimizing problems. This work emphasizes that the network structure is crucial in adding value to decision-making.

Physiological and behavioral basis of diamondback moth Plutella xylostella migration and its association with heat stress.

Migration is a strategy that shifts insects to more favorable habitats in response to deteriorating local environmental conditions. The ecological factors that govern insect migration are poorly understood for many species. Plutella xylostella causes great losses in Brassica vegetable and oilseed crops, and undergoes mass migration. However, the physiological and behavioral basis for distinguishing migratory individuals and the factors driving its migration remain unclear. Daily light trap catches conducted from April to July in a field population of P. xylostella in central China revealed a sharp decline in abundance from late-May. Analysis of ovarian development levels showed that the proportion of sexually immature females gradually increased, while the mating rate decreased, indicating that generations occurring in May mainly resulted from local breeding and that emigration began in late-May. Physiological and behavioral analyses revealed that emigrant populations had a higher take-off proportion, stronger flight capacity and greater energy reserves of triglyceride compared to residents. Furthermore, a gradual increase in temperature from 24 °C to >30 °C during larval development resulted in a significant delay in oogenesis and increased take-off propensity of adults compared with the control treatment reared at a constant temperature of 24 °C. Our results provide the physiological and behavioral factors that underpin mass migration in P. xylostella, and demonstrate that exposure to increased temperature increases their migration propensity at the cost of reproductive output. This study sheds light on understanding the factors that influence population dynamics, migratory propensity and reproductive tradeoffs in migratory insects. © 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.