Indicator Of Mortality Risk Research Articles

Frailty or sarcopenia: which is a better indicator of mortality risk in older adults?

BackgroundDespite the different conditions, frailty and sarcopenia overlap regarding their common link: the assessment of walking speed and muscle strength. This study aimed to compare the frailty phenotype to the...

Retrospective evaluation of the effects of pulmonary artery and aortic diameters on hospitalization duration and survival in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

This study explores the impact of vascular diameters on mortality risk in Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) patients. COVID-19, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), presents diverse clinical manifestations and is associated with thrombosis. In this study, we retrospectively examined the data of patients who were hospitalized and treated in our hospital between September 1, 2020, and November 30, 2020, and whose COVID-19 diagnosis was confirmed by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The diameters of the ascending aorta, main pulmonary artery, and right and left pulmonary arteries were measured from the chest computed tomography (CT) scans taken at the time of admission. The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of vascular diameters on the course of the disease. Of 1.705 patients, 840 were eligible for the study. We concluded that 36 of the patients (4.3%) died, and among the non-survivors patients, 12 (33.3%) were females, and 24 (66.7%) were males. Hospitalization duration was 7.1 ± 3.1 vs. 6.1 ± 2 days (p= 0.004) in surviving and non-surviving patients respectively. On the other hand, we found the mean diameters of the right pulmonary artery in the chest CT of patients to be 2.17 ± 0.35 vs. 2.44 ± 0.29 cm in survivors and non-survivors, respectively (p< 0.001). In addition, we found the mean diameters of the left pulmonary artery 2.12 ± 0.32 vs. 2.34 ± 0.28 cm in survivors and non-survivors, respectively (p< 0.001). Mean diameters of the ascending aorta were 3.53 ± 0.46 vs. 3.72 ± 0.34 cm in survivors and non-survivors, respectively (p= 0.017). The study underscores the potential prognostic value of vascular diameters, especially in the ascending aorta and main pulmonary artery, as indicators of mortality risk in COVID-19 patients. The association between vascular dilation and severity of COVID-19, coupled with elevated D-dimer levels, suggests a link between thrombosis and vascular involvement.

#2895 Erythropoietin Resistance Index (ERI) between mortality and metabolic changes in a cohort of hemodialysis patients. What acts below the surface?

Abstract Background and Aims The management of anemia in hemodialysis patients (HD-ps) is influenced by many factors, including inflammation, martial balance (MB) and mineral metabolism (MM). Recent data would identify the Erythropoietin Resistance Index (ERI) as an indicator of mortality risk in HD-ps. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the relationship of ERI with inflammation, MB and MM, as well as all-cause mortality in a cohort of HD-ps. Method An observational-retrospective study was performed on 100 HD-ps, excluding those with acute or chronic infections (3 months), neoplasia, or immunosuppressive therapy. Mortality was considered primary outcome along a 2-year follow-up (FU). Results HD-ps, predominantly males, had advanced mean age, good Hb values and fair biochemical control. ERI showed significant correlations with some elements of inflammation, MM and BM (Table 1), including c-terminal fragment of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 (cFGF23). At multivariate, ERI remained influenced by cFGF23 (p = 0.009), iron (p = 0.002) and transferrin (p = 0.007). Furthermore, after 2 years of FU, 42% of HD-ps died. As shown in Table 2, HD-ps that faced the primary outcome (death) were older, had lower levels of albumin, hemoglobin and transferrin, and higher levels of IL6, parathormone (PTH), reactive C protein (PCR), and ERI (p &amp;lt; 0.035). In multivariate, ERI (p = 0.011), age (p = 0.001) and albumin (p = 0.010) remained significant for the outcome studied. Conclusion Our data, albeit on few HD-ps, show a possible association between ERI and mortality. ERI was found to be related to several factors, including cFGF23, itself a factor implicated in maintaining a baseline inflammatory state. The results suggest the possible presence of some pathological mechanisms that can act silently with a negative impact on survival. Certainly, increased numbers and a prospective design could better clarify the explored relationships in the future.

Driving Pressure During Mechanical Ventilation of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

Background: Driving pressure has been identified as a more accurate indicator of mortality risk than low tidal volume (VT) and pulmonary compliance (Ppl). It was also noted that when this pressure surpasses the 18 cm H2O mark, there is a significant elevation in the relative risk of death. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of driving pressure guided ventilation in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Patients and Methods: The study included 64 subjects selected from the respiratory intensive care unit (RICU) of Al-Azhar University Hospital (Damietta). All participants received management through a protective lung strategy that was informed by driving Pressure. The study outcomes included 1). Determination of weaning categories; 2). Adverse events; 3). Length of ICU stay and duration of mechanical ventilation; 4). Mechanical Ventilation-free days, and 5). Organ/s dysfunction. Results: The commonest cause of admission was pneumonia (36%), and least percentage was septic shock (1.6%). The median ICU stay was 7 days (4 to 25 days) and weaning success rate was 76.6% with mortality rate of 23.4%. The severity was mainly severe (40.6%) and moderate (31.2%). Driving pressure at day 1 of ≤ 21 had sensitivity of 97.96%, specificity of 80.0% and area under curve (AUC) of 0.952. The driving pressure was significantly increased in cases with failure weaning than the success weaning (24.67 ± 1.05 vs 16.86 ± 1.24, respectively). In addition, it was significantly increased in died than alive patients. There was progressive significant increase of driving pressure from mild to moderate to severe cases. Pneumothorax was recorded among 9.4% and pleural effusion was recorded for 7.8% of patients. Conclusion: Use of driving pressure guided ventilation in patients with ARDS improves lung compliance, decreases the duration of mechanical ventilation and the length of ICU stay. Driving pressure &lt; 21 can predict mortality.

Assessing the relationship between multimorbidity, NCD configurations, frailty phenotypes, and mortality risk in older adults

BackgroundOlder adults are increasingly susceptible to prolonged illness, multiple chronic diseases, and disabilities, which can lead to the coexistence of multimorbidity and frailty. Multimorbidity may result in various noncommunicable disease (NCD) patterns or configurations that could be associated with frailty and death. Mortality risk may vary depending on the presence of specific chronic diseases configurations or frailty.MethodsThe aim was to examine the impact of NCD configurations on mortality risk among older adults with distinct frailty phenotypes. The population was analyzed from the Costa Rican Longevity and Healthy Aging Study Cohort (CRELES). A total of 2,662 adults aged 60 or older were included and followed for 5 years. Exploratory factor analysis and various clustering techniques were utilized to identify NCD configurations. The frequency of NCD accumulation was also assessed for a multimorbidity definition. Frailty phenotypes were set according to Fried et al. criteria. Kaplan‒Meier survival analyses, mortality rates, and Cox proportional hazards models were estimated.ResultsFour different types of patterns were identified: ‘Neuro-psychiatric’, ‘Metabolic’, ‘Cardiovascular’, and ‘Mixt’ configurations. These configurations showed a higher mortality risk than the mere accumulation of NCDs [Cardiovascular HR:1.65 (1.07–2.57); ‘Mixt’ HR:1.49 (1.00-2.22); ≥3 NCDs HR:1.31 (1.09–1.58)]. Frailty exhibited a high and constant mortality risk, irrespective of the presence of any NCD configuration or multimorbidity definition. However, HRs decreased and lost statistical significance when phenotypes were considered in the Cox models [frailty + ‘Cardiovascular’ HR:1.56 (1.00-2.42); frailty + ‘Mixt’:1.42 (0.95–2.11); and frailty + ≥ 3 NCDs HR:1.23 (1.02–1.49)].ConclusionsFrailty accompanying multimorbidity emerges as a more crucial indicator of mortality risk than multimorbidity alone. Therefore, studying NCD configurations is worthwhile as they may offer improved risk profiles for mortality as alternatives to straightforward counts.

Cognitive performance and mortality among patients receiving autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant

Objectives Patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HCT) are at risk for death and remain understudied relative to those undergoing allogeneic HCT. Cognitive functioning may be a useful indicator of mortality risk. We examined cognition among patients who underwent autologous HCT and its relationship to mortality. Methods Participants (N = 51; 11 patients deceased) completed tasks of processing speed, working memory, executive-mediated learning, and visual recall using the computerized CogState battery prior to HCT, 30 days post-autologous HCT, and 100 days post-autologous HCT. Results Slower processing speed (HR = 3.00) and more errors on an executive-mediated visual learning task (HR = 2.78) prior to HCT were associated with an increased risk of death following HCT. Our sample size limited longitudinal analyses of whether cognitive change predicted survival, however descriptive cognitive data of the deceased versus living patient’s performances over time suggested different patterns of performance across groups. Conclusions Pre-HCT cognition may have utility as an indicator of mortality risk following autologous HCT. More research is needed to examine whether cognitive changes after HCT could also predict mortality.

Retinal Vascular Measurements and Mortality Risk: Evidence From the UK Biobank Study.

This study aimed to investigate the association between quantitative retinal vascular measurements and the risk of all-cause and premature mortality. In this population-based cohort study using the UK Biobank data, we employed the Retina-based Microvascular Health Assessment System to assess fundus images for image quality and extracted 392 retinal vascular measurements per fundus image. These measurements encompass six categories of vascular features: caliber, density, length, tortuosity, branching angle, and complexity. Univariate Cox regression models were used to identify potential indicators of mortality risk using data on all-cause and premature mortality from death registries. Multivariate Cox regression models were then used to test these associations while controlling for confounding factors. The final analysis included 66,415 participants. After adjusting for demographic, health, and lifestyle factors and genetic risk score, 18 and 10 retinal vascular measurements were significantly associated with all-cause mortality and premature mortality, respectively. In the fully adjusted model, the following measurements of different vascular features were significantly associated with all-cause mortality and premature mortality: arterial bifurcation density (branching angle), number of arterial segments (complexity), interquartile range and median absolute deviation of arterial curve angle (tortuosity), mean and median values of mean pixel widths of all arterial segments in each image (caliber), skeleton density of arteries in macular area (density), and minimum venular arc length (length). The study revealed 18 retinal vascular measurements significantly associated with all-cause mortality and 10 associated with premature mortality. Those identified parameters should be further studied for biological mechanisms connecting them to increased mortality risk. This study identifies retinal biomarkers for increased mortality risk and provides novel targets for investigating the underlying biological mechanisms.

The Role of Endoscopy-Independent Gastrointestinal Bleeding Scores in Predicting 30-day Mortality in Aged Over 65

Introduction: The aim of this study was to assess the power of clinical findings and scoring systems to predict mortality in patients over 65 years of age with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Materials and Method: Data on demographic profiles and risk estimation scores were retrospectively extracted from electronic hospital medical records and other electronic databases using a standard data extraction form. The AIMS65, pre-Rockall, modified Glasgow-Blatchford, T, and Baylor bleeding scores were calculated to estimate the 30-day mortality risk. The inclusion criteria were patients aged 65 and over who presented with active bleeding symptoms and had been diagnosed with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding by the gastroenterology department. Results: The mean age was 75.23 years, and 23.6% of the patients died within 30 days. The 30-day mortality was associated with albumin levels, malignancy, and intensive care unit hospitalization. An inverse relationship was found between the albumin level and mortality, whereas the presence of cancer and the need for intensive care were associated with 2.8-fold and 2.2-fold increases in the risk of death, respectively. The AIMS65 score (AUC: 0.794) had the highest discriminative ability to predict 30-day mortality among all risk scores. Conclusion: Albumin levels, malignancy presence, and ICU admission were indicators of mortality risk in elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Calculating all the scores, excluding the Baylor Bleeding score, is beneficial for assessing the risk of mortality associated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The AIMS65 score demonstrates the highest discriminative ability. However, using these risk-scoring systems necessitates additional data. Keywords: Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage; Mortality; Aged.

An early warning indicator of mortality risk in patients with COVID-19: the neutrophil extracellular traps/neutrophilic segmented granulocyte ratio.

Neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) play a key role in thrombus formation in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the existing detection and observation methods for NETs are limited in their ability to provide quantitative, convenient, and accurate descriptions of in situ NETs. Therefore, establishing a quantitative description of the relationship between NETs and thrombosis remains a challenge. We employed morphological observations of blood cells and statistical analyses to investigate the correlation between the NETs/neutrophilic segmented granulocyte ratio and mortality risk in patients with COVID-19. Peripheral blood samples were collected from 117 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 between November 2022 and February 2023, and various blood cell parameters were measured. Two types of smudge cells were observed in the blood and counted: lymphatic and neutral smudge cells. Statistical data analysis was used to establish COVID-19 mortality risk assessment indicators. Morphological observations of neutrophilic smudge cells revealed swelling, eruption, and NETs formation in the neutrophil nuclei. Subsequently, the NETs/neutrophilic segmented granulocyte ratio (NNSR) was calculated. A high concentration of NETs poses a fatal risk for thrombus formation in patients. Statistical analysis indicated that a high NNSR was more suitable for evaluating the risk of death in patients with COVID-19 compared to elevated fibrinogen (FIB) and D-dimer (DD) levels. Observing blood cell morphology is an effective method for the detection of NETs, NNSR are important markers for revealing the mortality risk of patients with COVID-19.

Association of Grip Strength with All-Cause Mortality among Korean Adults with Disabilities

PURPOSE: This study utilized data from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging to investigate the association between grip strength and all-cause mortality rates in adults with disabilities aged ≥ 45 years in Korea.METHODS: The study included 430 adults with disabilities without missing values in the mortality variable and no history of cancer, cerebrovascular diseases, or cardiovascular diseases (mean age 63.2 ± 10.0 years) for analysis. Data from the first to seventh waves were used in the analysis. Grip strength was measured using a dynamometer, and mortality status and date were recorded. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association between grip strength and all-cause mortality rates to calculate the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs), considering potential confounding variables. Finally, a joint association between grip strength, obesity, and all-cause mortality was assessed.RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.09 ± 3.73 years, 135 adults with disabilities died. After adjusting all possible confounding variables, the HR of the group with the highest grip strength was significantly lower (HR: .36; 95% CI: .20-.65) than that of the group with the lowest grip strength. In the joint analysis, compared to the “weak and non-obese” group, the HRs (95% CIs) of all-cause mortality were .32 (.17-.62) and .27 (.10-.71) in the “strong and non-obese” and “strong and obese” groups, respectively.CONCLUSION: High grip strength in Korean adults with disabilities aged ≥45 years was significantly associated with a lower all-cause mortality risk, independent of obesity. Hence, grip strength may be a simple indicator of mortality risk; however, additional research using large-scale survey data is required.

Abstract 13964: Dynamic Assessment of Shock Severity in Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Patients

Introduction: A single assessment of the SCAI shock classification robustly predicts mortality, and a repeat assessment may improve prognostication. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that frequent serial assignment of the SCAI shock stage could further improve risk stratification. Methods: Unique AHA Level 1 cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) admissions at a single center from 2015 to 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. Time-stamped electronic health record data were used to assign the SCAI shock stage in each 4-hour block during the first 24 hours of CICU admission. Shock was defined as SCAI shock stage C, D, or E. In-hospital mortality was evaluated using logistic regression. Results: Among 2,918 CICU patients, 1,537 (52.7%) met criteria for shock during &gt;=1 block and 266 (9.1%) died in hospital. The SCAI shock stage on admission was: A, 37.6%; B, 31.5%; C, 25.9%; D, 1.8%; E, 3.3%. Patients with worsening SCAI shock stage after admission (first 4 hours) were at higher risk of mortality ( Figure A ), as were patients who met SCAI criteria for shock (particularly those with shock on admission, Figure B ). The pattern was consistent in patients with acute coronary syndromes, heart failure, or cardiac arrest (who had very high mortality). Each higher admission (aOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.18-1.56, AUC 0.70), maximum (aOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.37-1.85, AUC 0.73) and 24 hour mean (aOR 2.42, 95% CI 1.99-2.95, AUC 0.78) SCAI shock stage were incrementally associated with increasing in-hospital mortality. Discrimination was highest for the mean SCAI shock stage (p &lt;0.05). Each additional 4 hour block meeting SCAI criteria for shock was associated with higher mortality (aOR 1.15, 95% CI 1.07-1.24). Conclusions: Dynamic assessment of shock using serial SCAI shock classification assignment can improve mortality risk stratification in CICU patients. Cumulative time in shock was a strong mortality risk indicator, highlighting the area under the curve of shock severity as an important determinant of outcomes.

Perceived Fatigability, Fatigue, and Mortality in Mid-to-Late Life in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging.

Fatigue is an established prognostic indicator of mortality risk. It remains unknown whether fatigability anchored to a physical task is a more sensitive prognostic indicator and whether sensitivity differs by prevalent chronic conditions. A total of 1076 physically well-functioning participants 50 yr or older in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging self-reported fatigue (unusual tiredness or low energy) and had perceived fatigability assessed after a standardized treadmill walk. All-cause mortality was ascertained by proxy contact and National Death Index linkage. Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations of perceived fatigability and fatigue with all-cause mortality, adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates. Interactions by chronic conditions were also examined. Each 1 SD higher in perceived fatigability, unusual tiredness, or low energy was associated with a higher relative hazard of all-cause mortality after covariate adjustment (fatigability: hazard ratio (HR), 1.18 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.36); unusual tiredness: HR, 1.25 (95% CI, 1.08-1.44); low energy: HR, 1.27 (95% CI, 1.10-1.46)). Models had similar discrimination ( P > 0.14 for all). Perceived fatigability was associated with mortality risk among participants free of arthritis or osteoarthritis who otherwise appeared healthy (no arthritis: HR, 1.45 (95% CI, 1.15-1.84); arthritis: HR, 1.09 (95% CI, 0.92-1.30); P -interaction = 0.031). Unusual tiredness was associated with mortality among those with a history of diabetes (no diabetes: HR, 1.16 (95% CI, 0.97-1.38); diabetes: HR, 1.65 (95% CI, 1.22-2.23); P -interaction = 0.045) or pulmonary disease (no pulmonary disease: HR, 1.22 (95% CI, 1.05-1.43); pulmonary disease: HR, 2.15 (95% CI, 1.15-4.03); P -interaction = 0.034). Higher perceived fatigability and fatigue symptoms were similarly associated with higher all-cause mortality, but utility differed by chronic condition. Perceived fatigability might be useful for health screening and long-term mortality risk assessment for well-functioning adults. Alternatively, self-reported fatigue seems more disease-specific with regard to mortality risk.

Long-Term Prognosis and Predictors of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: A Retrospective Analysis.

Aortic valve disease is a common and impactful disorder that imposes significant health burdens and is associated with increased mortality rates. Particularly noteworthy is the emergence of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), a minimally invasive procedure that has revolutionized the management of aortic valve disease. However, there remain certain unresolved questions and ongoing research regarding the long-term effectiveness and suitability of TAVR in various patient populations, underscoring the need for further investigation and clinical scrutiny. This retrospective analysis aimed to investigate the long-term outcomes and predictors of mortality in 500 patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). This retrospective analysis included individuals who received transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) at Sri Venkata Sai (SVS) Medical College, Mahabubnagar, Telangana, India, between January 2020 and July 2023. Demographic characteristics, including age, gender, and comorbidities, were recorded, and long-term outcomes after TAVR were assessed, including the incidence of survival rates and major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Predictors of mortality were also identified using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The study group exhibited an average age of 75.6 years (standard deviation (SD): 6.8), with 58% male and 42% female patients. Hypertension (74%), coronary artery disease (CAD) (68%), diabetes mellitus (DM) (42%), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage ≥ 3 (36%) were prevalent comorbidities. The median follow-up duration was 5.2 years (interquartile range (IQR): 4.3-6.8 years). The overall long-term survival rate after TAVR was 73.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 69.8%-77.1%). Additionally, MACE occurred in 21% of patients throughout the follow-up period. The cumulative incidence of MACE at one year, three years, and five years was 6.8% (95% CI: 4.2%-9.5%), 14.2% (95% CI: 10.6%-18.7%), and 21.8% (95% CI: 17.3%-26.7%), respectively. The study found that higher age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04-1.12, p < 0.001), male gender (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.15-1.91, p = 0.002), and the presence of CAD (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.29-2.30, p < 0.001) were linked to an elevated risk of mortality. Additionally, diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.05-1.85, p = 0.022) and CKD stage ≥ 3 (HR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.47-2.61, p < 0.001) emerged as notable predictors of mortality. Conversely, a history of prior coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.46-0.84, p = 0.003) was associated with a reduced risk of mortality. No significant associations were found between mortality and hypertension (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.88-1.43, p = 0.360) or prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (HR: 1.21, 95% CI: 0.88-1.67, p = 0.245). Age, male gender, CAD, DM, and CKD stage ≥ 3were significant indicators of mortality risk in TAVR patients. Risk stratification and individualized management are crucial in optimizing long-term outcomes following TAVR procedures.

The Role of Folic Acid in SARS-CoV-2 Infection: An Intriguing Linkage under Investigation

SARS-CoV-2 is a life-threatening RNA virus that may cause an acute respiratory syndrome associated with extremely high morbidity and mortality rates. Folic acid (FA), also known as folate, is an essential vitamin vital for human homeostasis, participating in many biochemical pathways, and its deficiency has been associated with viral infection vulnerability. In this review, we investigated the association between FA intake and SARS-CoV-2 infection, along with the existence of any potential impact of FA on the health outcome of patients suffering from this new viral infection. Studies included were patients' and in silico and molecular docking studies. Data from in silico studies and molecular docking support that FA inhibits SARS-CoV-2 entry into the host and viral replication, binding at essential residues. Accordingly, in patients' studies, a protective role of FA supplementation against SARS-CoV-2 infection is indicated. However, contradictory data from observational studies indicate that FA supplementation, often linked to deficits during systemic inflammation due to SARS-CoV-2, increases the risk of post-infection mortality. Future randomized controlled trial studies, including the FA pharmacological group, are needed to better understand the role of FA as a potential protective or mortality risk indicator in COVID-19 patients.

Evaluation of the Association between Low-Density Lipoprotein (LDL) and All-Cause Mortality in Geriatric Patients with Hip Fractures: A Prospective Cohort Study of 339 Patients

Many factors affect the prognosis of hip fractures in the elderly. Some studies have suggested a direct or indirect association among serum lipid levels, osteoporosis, and hip fracture risk. LDL levels were found to have a statistically significant nonlinear U-shaped relationship with hip fracture risk. However, the relationship between serum LDL levels and the prognosis of patients with hip fractures remains unclear. Therefore, in this study, we assessed the influence of serum LDL levels on patient mortality over a long-term follow-up period. Elderly patients with hip fractures were screened between January 2015 and September 2019, and their demographic and clinical characteristics were collected. Linear and nonlinear multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify the association between LDL levels and mortality. Analyses were performed using Empower Stats and R software. Overall, 339 patients with a mean follow-up period of 34.17 months were included in this study. Ninety-nine patients (29.20%) died due to all-cause mortality. Linear multivariate Cox regression models showed that LDL levels were associated with mortality (HR = 0.69, 95%CI: 0.53, 0.91, p = 0.0085) after adjusting for confounding factors. However, the linear association was unstable, and nonlinearity was identified. An LDL concentration of 2.31 mmol/L was defined as the inflection point for prediction. A LDL level < 2.31 mmol/L was associated with mortality (HR = 0.42, 95%CI: 0.25, 0.69, p = 0.0006), whereas LDL > 2.31 mmol/L was not a risk factor for mortality (HR = 1.06, 95%CI: 0.70, 1.63, p = 0.7722). The preoperative LDL level was nonlinearly associated with mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures, and the LDL level was a risk indicator of mortality. Furthermore, 2.31 mmol/L could be considered a predictor cut-off for risk.

Critical water contents at leaf, stem and root level leading to irreversible drought-induced damage in two woody and one herbaceous species.

Plant water content is a simple and promising parameter for monitoring drought-driven plant mortality risk. However, critical water content thresholds leading to cell damage and plant failure are still unknown. Moreover, it is unclear whether whole-plant or a specific organ water content is the most reliable indicator of mortality risk. We assessed differences in dehydration thresholds in leaf, stem and root samples, hampering the organ-specific rehydration capacity and increasing the mortality risk. We also tested eventual differences between a fast experimental dehydration of uprooted plants, compared to long-term water stress induced by withholding irrigation in potted plants. We investigated three species with different growth forms and leaf habits i.e., Helianthus annuus (herbaceous), Populus nigra (deciduous tree) and Quercus ilex (evergreen tree). Results obtained by the two dehydration treatments largely overlapped, thus validating bench dehydration as a fast but reliable method to assess species-specific critical water content thresholds. Regardless of the organ considered, a relative water content value of 60% induced significant cell membrane damage and loss of rehydration capacity, thus leading to irreversible plant failure and death.

Periodontitis and edentulism as risk indicators for mortality: Results from a prospective cohort study with 20 years of follow-up.

To investigate the association between periodontitis and edentulism with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Baseline data of 506 subjects including 256 angiographically verified coronary artery disease patients and 250 matched participants in cardiovascular health from the Kuopio Oral Health and Heart study were collected from 1995-1996. Mortality data were accrued until May 31, 2015, and related to baseline periodontal health and edentulism, assessed as exposure and collected by means of clinical and radiographic examination by a single examiner. Cox proportional hazards regression models were fit using covariates such as age, gender, smoking, BMI, and education. The final sample size for the periodontitis models ranged from 358 to 376, while the edentate models included 413 to 503 subjects for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively with no missing values in the predictor, confounders, and outcome. The strongest association was found between edentulism and CVD and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.9 CVD , HR: 1.6all-cause ; p < .01). Edentulism considered as a poor oral health marker was associated strongly with CVD mortality while periodontitis was not.

Serum Ferritin Has Limited Prognostic Value on Mortality Risk in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis.

The prognostic value of serum ferritin remains elusive in the literature. We aimed to examine the association between serum ferritin and mortality risk in cirrhosis. A total of 257 cirrhotic patients were recruited. The cut-off of serum ferritin was determined by X-tile. The Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier method were used. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to diminish the impacts of selection bias and possible confounders. The difference regarding mortality was mostly significant for serum ferritin >158 ng/mL. Before PSM, serum ferritin >158 ng/mL was an independent predictor of mortality. However, the clinical relevance of high ferritin level for prognostication was blunted after PSM (survival rate: 86.8% vs 96.3%, P = .078). Cox regression indicated that model for end-stage liver disease remains only independent risk factor of 180-day mortality after PSM. Serum ferritin may not serve as an independent prognostic indicator of mortality risk in decompensated cirrhotic patients.

Psoas muscle size, possible sarcopenia and frailty, and long-term survival in elderly patients after isolated surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis

PurposeThis study investigated the use of psoas muscle area index (PAI) as an indicator of mortality risk in relation to survival in elderly patients after isolated surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) for aortic valve stenosis (AS).MethodsBetween January 2005 and March 2015, 140 patients with AS, aged ≥ 70 years, and with preoperative abdominal computed tomography scans, underwent elective, primary, isolated SAVR. PAI showed the ratio of the psoas muscle cross-sectional area at the fourth lumbar vertebral level to body surface area, and PAI less than the gender-specific lowest 20th percentile we called “low PAI” for the purposes of this study. Patients were classified as low PAI (n = 29) or normal PAI (n = 111).ResultsThe mean age in the low-PAI group was significantly older than in the normal-PAI group (81.0 vs. 77.3 years; p = 0.001). The mean follow-up was 4.25 years. The low-PAI group had a lower survival rate than the normal-PAI group at 1 year (89.7 ± 5.7% vs. 96.3 ± 1.8%), at 3 years (71.6 ± 9.3% vs. 91.5 ± 2.7%), and overall (53.0 ± 13.4% vs. 76.0 ± 5.6%; p = 0.039). The prognostic factors of mortality included low PAI (hazard ratio 2.95; 95% confidence interval 1.084–8.079; p = 0.034).ConclusionsPAI was associated with reduced overall survival after isolated SAVR in elderly people. PAI measurement may help to predict patient risks.

Liver transplant allocation policies and outcomes in United States: A comprehensive review.

Liver transplant allocation policies in the United States has evolved over 3 decades. The donor liver organs are matched, allocated and procured by the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network which is administered by the United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS), a not-for-profit organization governed by the United States human health services. We reviewed the evolution of liver transplant allocation policies. Prior to 2002, UNOS used Child-Turcotte-Pugh score to list and stratify patients for liver transplantation (LT). After 2002, UNOS changed its allocation policy based on model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score. The serum sodium is the independent indicator of mortality risk in patients with chronic liver disease. The priority assignment of MELD-sodium score resulted in LT and prevented mortality on waitlist. MELD-Sodium score was implemented for liver allocation policy in 2016. Prior to the current and most recent policy, livers from adult donors were matched first to the status 1A/1B patients located within the boundaries of the UNOS regions and donor-service areas (DSA). We reviewed the disadvantages of the DSA-based allocation policies and the advantages of the newest acuity circle allocation model. We then reviewed the standard and non-standard indications for MELD exceptions and the decision-making process of the National Review Liver Review Board. Finally, we reviewed the liver transplant waitlist, donation and survival outcomes in the United States.