Indian Summer Monsoon Intensity Research Articles

Precipitation and Soil Moisture Variation over the Tibetan Plateau to the Anomaly of Indian Summer Monsoon from 1979 to 2019

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) can profoundly influence the summer precipitation patterns of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and indirectly affect the TP’s soil humidity. This study investigates the responses of TP’s precipitation and soil moisture to the ISM in the monsoon season (June to September, JJAS) from 1979 to 2019. Precipitation in the TP and the ISM intensity generally exhibit a positive correlation in the west and a negative correlation in the east. The response of TP soil moisture to the ISM generally aligns with precipitation patterns, albeit with noted inconsistencies in certain TP regions. A region exhibiting these inconsistencies (30°–32°N, 80°–90°E) is selected as the study area, hereafter referred to as IRR. In periods of strong ISM, precipitation in IRR increases, yet soil moisture decreases. Conversely, in years with a weak ISM, the pattern is reversed. During strong ISM years, the rainfall increase in IRR is modest, and the soil remains drier compared to other TP regions. Under the combined effects of a marginal increase in precipitation and relatively rapid evaporation, soil moisture in the IRR decreased during years of strong ISM. During weak ISM years, the surface temperature in the IRR is higher compared to strong ISM years, potentially accelerating the melting of surface permafrost and snow in this region. Additionally, glacier meltwater, resulting from warmer temperatures in the northwest edge of the TP, may also result in the humidification of the soil in the IRR.

Glacial-interglacial lake hydrochemistry in step with the Pleistocene Indian summer monsoon at the southeastern Tibetan Plateau

The lake state and chemistry are sensitive to climate change at short timescales, but it is unclear how lake hydrochemistry responds to monsoonal climate, especially over glacial-interglacial cycles, owing to lack of well-dated and continuous sedimentary records. The types and geochemical compositions of authigenic carbonates from lacustrine sediments can be used to reconstruct past hydrochemistry. Yet, little is known about the significance and influencing factors of the Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca ratios of authigenic carbonates over glacial-interglacial cycles. Here, trace-element data of a 666 m long sediment sequence from the Heqing basin, a paleo-lake situated at the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, provide detailed glacial-interglacial hydrochemical conditions and their association with Indian summer monsoon (ISM) evolution during the entire Pleistocene. In interglacials, variation in both Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca ratios can serve as proxies for salinity as a result of precipitation of low-Mg calcite, constrained by enhanced ISM intensity and catchment weathering product. Instead, in glacials, high Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca ratios reflect high-Mg calcite and aragonite precipitation under low lake level conditions. There is a nonlinear response of the Sr/Ca ratio of lacustrine sediment to salinity variation when high-Mg calcite and aragonite precipitate in a hydrologically closed and evaporative lake. Based upon the sedimentary Sr/Ca and Mg/Ca ratios in the Heqing paleo-lake, the lake hydrochemistry during the Pleistocene experienced obvious glacial-interglacial ISM cycles at the life span of the lake itself: (1) in the old interval (2640–1840 ka), the salinity was low with cycles at the early stage of lake development owing to strong ISM; (2) in the middle interval (1840–920 ka), the lake was at a balance state and its salinity was more constrained by weathering solute, rather than ISM; and (3) in the young interval (920–130 ka), the salinity fluctuated with large amplitude over glacial-interglacial cycles and subsequent increase paced the weakened ISM. This study highlights the sensitivity of the types of lacustrine authigenic carbonates and lake chemistry to ISM changes over glacial-interglacial cycles.

Indian summer monsoon variability during the past ~75 ka based on stable isotope records of sediments from NW India

Here we report continuous and chronologically well-constrained records of stable oxygen (δ18O) and carbon (δ13C) isotope compositions of carbonate nodules (nodular calcretes), and δ13C of sediment organic matters (δ13CSOM) in samples from two (~48 m deep) drill-sediment cores, collected from a paleo-Yamuna channel in the NW Indo-Gangetic Plain in north Haryana. The results were used to reconstruct Indian summer monsoon (ISM) precipitation variability and paleovegetation pattern during the past ~75 ka and present a longer record of ISM variability in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. The δ18O of carbonate nodules (−7.80‰ to −4.04‰, average −6.01‰) shows a good negative covariation with variability in the model-derived intensity of ISM precipitation, indicating it to be a good proxy for ISM variability. We infer intense ISM precipitation during late marine isotope stage (MIS) 5, early and late MIS 3, and early MIS 1 periods, marked by relatively lower δ18O of carbonates. These changes in the ISM intensity are in-phase with the precession-induced changes in the Northern Hemisphere summer insolation. The δ13CSOM (−27.4‰ to −22.3‰, average −25.3‰) indicates C3-dominated vegetation in the Himalayan catchment with a noticeable increase in δ13CSOM during late MIS 4 to early MIS 3, late MIS 3, and early MIS 1 periods, which are characterized by the intense ISM (warm and moist condition). This suggests an increased abundance of C4 plants during the periods of intensified ISM precipitation. The δ13C of carbonate nodules varies from −3.63‰ to 1.56‰ (average −1.55‰). The enrichment in 13C of the carbonates is most likely due to the influence of dissolved inorganic carbon derived from the Himalayan source and/or atmospheric CO2 on the carbonate nodules. Therefore, we suggest that the δ13C of carbonate nodules from the Indo-Gangetic Plain requires a careful evaluation.

Two-phase hydrological changes during the mid-to late Holocene transition in Southwest China

The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall feeds a vast majority of the densely populated Asian continent. A deep understanding of the ISM rainfall variations and the underlying driving mechanisms during the Holocene is essential to predict its future behaviors and formulate improved mitigating strategies under the context of global warming. It has been widely recognized that the ISM intensity declined from the early to late Holocene, with a mid-to late Holocene transition. However, the nature of hydrological changes during this critical transition still remains vague. In this study, hydrological changes in Southwest China during the mid-to late Holocene transition are reconstructed based on the molecular and compound-specific carbon and hydrogen isotopic compositions of leaf waxes (δ13C and δD of n-alkanes) from the Yanjiang peat deposit in western Yunnan. Results reveal two-phase changes of hydroclimate during the mid-to late Holocene transition in Southwest China. During the first phase (5.5–4.2 cal kyr BP), Southwest China experienced an abrupt drying as indicated by the pronounced increases in both δ13C and δD values of the C29n-alkane (δ13CC29 and δDC29) by 2.2% and 26‰, respectively. The second phase (4.2–2.6 cal kyr BP) witnessed shortening in the duration of the ISM season without further aridification, as demonstrated by an increase up to 35‰ in the δDC29 values and moderate oscillations in the δ13CC29 values. Such a two-phase hydrological transition is likely to have been triggered by the changes in the summer solar insolation and amplified by the ocean-atmosphere interactions. The first phase is primarily modulated by the positive Indian Ocean Dipole mean state, while the second phase is mainly linked with a more El Niño-like mean state over the Pacific Ocean.

Decoupled Indian Summer Monsoon Intensity and Effective Moisture Since the Last Glaciation in Southwest China

AbstractEffective moisture (EM) distribution in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) region is strongly related to regional topography. An understanding of climate change and the interactions between climate variables can help predict future climate variations. Here, we reconstruct a stack EM record for Southwest China over the past 90 kyr using environmental magnetism in lake sediment. The EM in Southwest China at the orbital scale was closely linked to precession‐induced change in North Hemisphere solar insolation, as well as the ISM variability. However, at the glacial‐interglacial scale, it was decoupled with ISM intensity, being wetter during glacial periods (weakened ISM) and drier during interglacial periods (enhanced ISM). Combined with modern meteorological observations, we suggest that the topographical barrier effect and temperature induced dryness are responsible for the decoupling between ISM intensity and EM. The terrestrial topography and temperature strongly influence EM distribution by altering the dynamics of onshore airflow and evapotranspiration.

Unusual recent prolonged low flow in the Moqu River, northeastern Tibetan Plateau, inferred from tree-ring width variations

The runoff of Moqu river in Zoige, one of most important water conservation ecological function areas in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, located in the north-east of the Tibetan Plateau, is highly sensitive to climate change. However, the current understanding of the long-term changes in the hydrology of this rives is still fragmentary. In this study, we created a regional tree-ring width chronology from two sample sites in Moqu River Basin and analysed the relationships between tree-ring width, climate, and runoff. We found significant positive correlations between tree-ring width and runoff in multiple months, the highest correlation coefficient occurred with annual runoff from previous July to current June (r = 0.617, 1981–2013). Based on this highly significant (p < 0.01) relationship, we reconstructed runoff variations of Moqu River for the period 1672 to 2019. The reconstructed runoff showed unusual prolonged and frequent low flow periods in recent decades. We found that the continuous low precipitation and the high temperature in the context of global warming are the main reasons for the abnormal runoff in recent decades. We assume that a weakening of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) circulation system may be the key large-scale factor that caused the unusually prolonged low flow. With global warming, the weakening of ISM intensity leads to reduced water vapor transport from the tropical Indian Ocean to High Asia, resulting in less precipitation and low runoff events in Zoige. Our reconstruction improves the understanding of regional runoff variability over multiple timescales, and also provides a scientific basis for the protection, development, and utilization of water resources related to ongoing global warming.

Centennial-scale variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon during the middle to late Holocene and its links with ENSO activity

Relatively little is known about the relationship between the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the centennial timescale during the Holocene. We present a well-dated high-resolution X-ray fluorescence (XRF) scanning record from a sediment core from Lake Qionghai on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, which reveals the impact of ENSO activity on ISM variability. The results indicate a gradual drying of the regional climate on the sub-orbital timescale, which is in broad agreement with ISM changes controlled by Northern Hemisphere summer insolation. Additionally, centennial-scale drought events occurred at around 6230–5740, 4620–4250, 3820–3540, 3210–2440, 2180–1320, and 1000–615 cal yr B.P. and are consistent with enhanced ENSO activity, documenting the occurrence of ENSO-related drought events in the Holocene. Both ISM oscillations and ENSO variability show significant 350-yr, 500-yr, and 800-yr cyclicities, and there is a highly significant negative relationship between the ISM and ENSO at these cyclicities, indicating that a weak ISM was related to increased ENSO intensity, and vice versa. Our findings provide evidence for the modulation of ISM intensity by ENSO variability on the centennial timescale during the Holocene.

Amplified and suppressed regional imprints of global warming events on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau during MIS 3–2

Large amplitude, rapid climate oscillations, the so-called Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events, are characteristic of the last glacial period. However, lithological evidence of D-O warming events is rare, mainly due to their brevity. Although the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is regarded as especially sensitive to climate change owing to its fragile cryosphere and ecological systems, little is known about the variability of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) over the TP on millennial to centennial timescales. Here, we use a well-dated loess-paleosol sequence (LPS) in the Niyang River valley on the southeastern TP (SE TP), China, to determine the patterns and timing of millennial-to centennial-scale variations in paleomonsoon strength and to identify their causes. This stratigraphic sequence developed between 39.2 and 21.8 cal kyr BP, covering the late marine isotope stage (MIS) 3/2 transition. Ten paleosol units were identified within the sequence, based on field observations, high-resolution measurements of color, grain size and magnetic properties, as well as mineralogical and geochemical evidence. These paleosol units provide unambiguous evidence of D-O-like abrupt warming events and repeated climatic instability, associated with large-amplitude, abrupt changes of the ISM system over the SE TP. The amplitudes, duration, and frequency of these abrupt ISM strengthening events over the SE TP present unique features, including irregular spacing and varying amplitudes. In general, the amplitude of ISM oscillations was larger during MIS 2 than in the late MIS 3 period. Four well-developed paleosol units suggest that ISM intensity at ∼38.7, 28.3, 25.9 and 23.5 cal kyr BP was notably higher compared to the climate of the Holocene, including the present-day. However, two substantial abrupt warming events of global scale are not recorded within the LZ2 LPS. We suggest that this was because of the amplification and suppression of global warming events over the SE TP, caused by the interplay of global and regional climatic dynamics. Warming amplification occurred during intervals with less snow and glacier ice cover, whereas warming suppression was the result of unusually large snow and glacier ice cover on the TP. We suggest that anomalous fluctuations of the India-Burma Trough of the westerlies to the south of the TP during winter may have played a crucial role in determining the snowfall, snow cover, glacier accumulation, and the transition from warming amplification to warming suppression. Therefore, the anomalous ISM oscillations in the SE TP were the result of the coupling of global and local processes.

Southern hemisphere forced millennial scale Indian summer monsoon variability during the late Pleistocene

Peninsular India hosts the initial rain-down of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) after which winds travel further east inwards into Asia. Stalagmite oxygen isotope composition from this region, such as those from Belum Cave, preserve the vital signals of the past ISM variability. These archives experience a single wet season with a single dominant moisture source annually. Here we present high-resolution δ18O, δ13C and trace element (Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, Ba/Ca, Mn/Ca) time series from a Belum Cave stalagmite spanning glacial MIS-6 (from ~ 183 to ~ 175 kyr) and interglacial substages MIS-5c-5a (~ 104 kyr to ~ 82 kyr). With most paleomonsoon reconstructions reporting coherent evolution of northern hemisphere summer insolation and ISM variability on orbital timescale, we focus on understanding the mechanisms behind millennial scale variability. Finding that the two are decoupled over millennial timescales, we address the role of the Southern Hemisphere processes in modulating monsoon strength as a part of the Hadley circulation. We identify several strong and weak episodes of ISM intensity during 104–82 kyr. Some of the weak episodes correspond to warming in the southern hemisphere associated with weak cross-equatorial winds. We show that during the MIS-5 substages, ISM strength gradually declined with millennial scale variability linked to Southern Hemisphere temperature changes which in turn modulate the strength of the Mascarene High.

Late Holocene vegetation dynamics and monsoonal climatic changes in Jammu, India

Knowledge of the Holocene Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) variability is important for understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics of the ISM precipitation. In this study, a Late Holocene pollen proxy record of the changes in the ISM intensity from a 1.8 m deep lacustrine sedimentary deposit in Jammu District (Jammu and Kashmir State) in India is presented. The results show that between ~3205 and 2485 cal yr BP, mixed broad-leaved/conifer forests occurred in the region under a warm and humid climate, probably indicating high monsoon precipitation. Subsequently, the conifers, such as Pinus sp., Cedrus sp., Abies sp., Picea sp. and Larix sp. increased comparatively and show dominance over the existing broad-leaved taxa between ~2485 and 1585 cal yr BP under a cool and dry climate with reduced monsoon precipitation. The climate further deteriorated (towards attaining aridity under reduced monsoon condition) during ~1585 to 865 cal yr BP, which coincides with the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP: CE/AD 400–765; 1185–1550 cal yr BP). Since ~865 cal yr BP (CE/AD 1085 onwards) to Present, the broad-leaved taxa, such as Alnus sp., Betula sp., Ulmus sp., Carpinus sp., Corylus sp. and Quercus sp. started expanding and showed their dominance over the conifers, indicating a warm and humid climate in the region with increased monsoon precipitation. This phase partly corresponds with the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA) between CE/AD 950 and 1300. Thus, the ISM rainfall intensity is linked with some of the global climatic trends in the present study.

Peat development in the Napahai wetland and its response to variations in the intensity of the Indian summer monsoon, southwestern China, since the last deglaciation

Knowledge of peatland dynamics and its response to the intensity of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is crucial to predict the future fate of the peatlands in the southwestern China under climate warming scenarios. In this study, we obtained a sediment core from the Napahai wetland in southwestern China and analyzed geochemical indices, including loss on ignition at 550 °C, carbonate content, as well as magnetic susceptibility, and ash-free bulk density, to investigate the peatland development since the last deglaciation. Results show that peat formation at ca. 13.3 cal. kyr BP in the Napahai wetland was likely attributed to climate warming during the Bølling-Allerød period. The results clearly suggest the peat continuously accumulated from 13.3 to 7.2 cal. kyr BP and weakened from the Middle to Late Holocene (7.2–1.5 cal. kyr BP), indicating notably wet conditions during the Early to Middle Holocene (11.8–7.2 cal. kyr BP) and a clear long-term drying trend in the Middle to Late Holocene. A comparison of the Napahai records with other monsoon intensity and related hydroclimatic records in areas dominated by the ISM suggests that the development of the Napahai peatland at orbital–suborbital timescales corresponded to the variations in the ISM intensity and the summer insolation.

Mass‐Wasting‐Inferred Dramatic Variability of 130,000‐Year Indian Summer Monsoon Intensity From Deposits in the Southeast Tibetan Plateau

AbstractA large proportion (∼80%) of the Indian subcontinent's precipitation comes from the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), which influences one‐fifth of the world's population. A long‐term reliable proxy for ISM is fundamental to understanding previous global climate change. We establish a mass‐wasting‐inferred proxy to examine the paleo‐hydrogeology (river undercutting history) of the Southeast Tibetan Plateau and reconstruct the dramatic variability of ISM intensity (precipitation) in the past 130,000 years. Our data suggest that mass‐wasting events, which provides us sufficient samples for paleoclimate research, are prone to dramatic climate changes, especially extreme climate environments. The Southeast Tibetan Plateau was subjected to at least four distinct ISM intensity phases in the past 130,000 years. We conclude that ISM intensity has a cyclicity featured by the Earth's orbit with obliquity, and that ISM intensity transition lags the global ice volume (sea level) change by 8–15 kyrs.

Prediction of Synoptic-Scale Sea Level Pressure Over the Indian Monsoon Region Using Deep Learning

The synoptic-scale (3–7 days) variability is a dominant contributor to the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) seasonal precipitation. An accurate prediction of ISM precipitation by dynamical or statistical model remains a challenge. Here, we show that the sea level pressure (SLP) can be used as a proxy to predict the active-break cycle as well as the genesis of low-pressure systems (LPSs), using a deep learning model, namely convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) networks. The deep learning model is able to reliably predict the daily SLP anomalies over central India and the Bay of Bengal at a lead time of 7 days. As the fluctuations in SLP drive the changes in the strength of the atmospheric circulation, the prediction of SLP anomalies is useful in predicting the intensity of ISM. A comparison of the ConvLSTM predicted SLP with the forecast of a conventional numerical weather prediction model indicates that the deep learning model possesses better skill in capturing the synoptic-scale SLP fluctuations over central India and Bay of Bengal.

Climatic history from early Weichselian (MIS 5D-C) valley-fill deposits and associated factors for basin sedimentation, mainland Kachchh, western India

Ephemeral fluvial systems in the dryland region of Kachchh are susceptible to climatic fluctuations. An increase in Indian Summer Monsoon Intensity (ISM) is responsible for the aggradation of sediments as valley-fill deposits in the river basins. In the present study sedimentological, chronometric, and geochemical analysis on the fluvial terrace sequences of Nirona and Bhukhi river basins are being used to interpret southwest summer monsoon variability from MIS 5D-5C along with the fluvial response to local tectonics. The sediment record indicates increased ISM precipitation from ∼110ka to ∼90ka, which corresponds to the MIS 5D to MIS 5C (Interstadial stage). The ISM became progressively weaker during the MIS-5B (stadial stage), leading to present-day arid conditions. The climatic factors weakened along with an interplay of local tectonics, leading to present-day conditions of bedrock incision.

Impacts of the seesaw mode between the Indian and East Asian summer monsoons on interannual variations in surface solar radiation across the low‐latitude highlands of China

AbstractThe relationship between the seesaw mode that connects the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM), and variations in summer surface solar radiation (SSR) across the low‐latitude highlands of China (CLLH), was investigated using atmospheric reanalysis and NOAA global gridded precipitation and outgoing longwave radiation datasets. Singular value decomposition, correlation analysis, and composite analysis were employed. The results indicate that the interannual variations in summer SSR in the CLLH are significantly modulated by the seesaw mode that connects the ISM with the EASM. During the boreal summer, the CLLH SSR variability is positively correlated with ISM intensity, but negatively correlated with EASM intensity. When a strong ISM and a weak EASM occur together, significant anomalous northeasterly winds appear over the CLLH, which reduces the moisture supply to the region from the Bay of Bengal. In addition, significant anomalous descending motion dominates the CLLH, leading to significant negative relative humidity anomalies over the CLLH. Consequently, water vapour, total liquid water form column clouds and high cloud cover decreased significantly over the CLLH, resulting in a higher CLLH SSR than average. Conversely, a lower‐than‐normal CLLH SSR seems to result from the approximately opposite physical process during the years where the ISM is weak and EASM is strong over the CLLH. Given the fact that the correlation between the aerosol optical depth (AOD) and the CLLH SSR is relatively weak, the AOD variability may not be the main control on interannual variations of summer CLLH SSR.

Holocene lake-level fluctuations of Selin Co on the central Tibetan plateau: Regulated by monsoonal precipitation or meltwater?

Over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), lakes as paleoenvironmental archives have been the most extensively investigated for their sensitivities to climate change on different timescales. Well-preserved shoreline and terrace remains surrounding these lakes provide critical geomorphological and sedimentary evidence that can be used to infer past lake levels over geological timescales. These features can offer an analogue for understanding how future lake-levels respond to global warming. In this study, we investigated a series of water level-related depositional profiles around the Selin Co basin from the central TP, by dating 28 samples using K-feldspar luminescence techniques. Combining the obtained chronological data with sedimentological, stratigraphic evidence and differential GPS survey observations, the Holocene history of lake-level fluctuations in Selin Co was inferred. The results show a stable highstand between 10 ka and 7 ka but a striking subsequent lake-level decline. This pattern appears to follow the solar insolation-forced changes in the intensity of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly during the early Holocene. However, such gradual weakening of ISM intensity after the early Holocene may not interpret the dramatically rapid shrinking of Selin Co, implying other components are largely underrecognized driving factors accounting for the effective moisture of lakes in the early Holocene. Here, we argue that the increased meltwater input from glaciers and permafrost, together with increased precipitation, might have resulted in the high lake level at 10–7 ka, as the high summer temperature during the early Holocene induced massive melting water flow into the lake. By 7 ka, the abrupt lake-level drop is likely related to the decreased meltwater owing to decreasing regional temperatures documented from glacier landforms, ice cores and lacustrine sediments. Therefore, we highlight that meltwater from glaciers and permafrost poured into lakes on the central TP, particularly during warm periods on the millennial timescales, might also dominate the Holocene high lake levels.

Enhancements of Himalayan and Tibetan Erosion and the Produced Organic Carbon Burial in Distal Tropical Marginal Seas During the Quaternary Glacial Periods: An Integration of Sedimentary Records

AbstractThe Himalayan and Tibetan highlands (mountains), with high rates of physical erosion, are extreme settings for earth surface processes, generating one of the largest recent terrigenous detritus and organic carbon discharges to the ocean. However, their significance with respect to the global carbon and climate cycles during the Quaternary is still unclear, especially in quantitative terms. Here, we present comprehensive records of continental erosion and weathering, terrestrial supply, marine productivity, and organic carbon burial in the distal Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal, and southern South China Sea since ∼700 ka over orbital timescales. These records exhibit periodicities corresponding to sea level and Indian summer monsoon intensity changes. During glacial periods, the enhanced highland surface erosion and activation of deep‐sea channels significantly increased inputs of terrigenous detritus, nutrients, and organic carbon into the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, whereas strengthened continental shelf surface weathering and organic matter preservation occurred in the South China Sea. Conclusively, our integrative proxies in the study area demonstrate, for the first time, pronounced glacial burial pulses of organic carbon (∼1.12 × 1012 mol/yr), dominantly originating from the highland surface erosion and marine productivity. Together with the increased silicate weathering on the exposed tropical continental shelves and in the tropical volcanic arcs, the enhanced burial flux of organic carbon in the tropical marginal seas, therefore, highlights the large contributions that tropical regions can make within the glacial‐interglacial carbon inventory of the ocean and atmosphere and thus cause significant negative feedback on the global climate.

Unstable relationship between tree-ring δ18O in the transitional zone of the Asian summer monsoon and the Indian summer monsoon

The Asian Summer Monsoon system (ASM) affects a large population in the monsoonal Asia. Previous studies have thoroughly discussed the temporally unstable response of tree-ring oxygen isotope (δ18O) to the regional climate variables and ocean–atmosphere interaction modes, however, the response to the ASM remains ambiguous. In this study, an annually resolved tree-ring δ18O chronology is developed from eastern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, in the transitional zone of the ASM. Based on the results from response analyses, the climatic controls of tree-ring δ18O is considered to be the moisture-related variables of the monsoon season. Spatial correlations suggest that in the study area, the water vapor is mainly originated from the Bay of Bengal and transported by the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM). Furthermore, the temporal stability in relationships between the tree-ring δ18O and the ISM variability are explored. Our findings suggest that on interannual to decadal timescales, the tree-ring δ18O is significantly anti-correlated, but temporally unstable with respect to the ISM. The strength of interannual relationship is affected by the ISM intensity, which is modulated by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) variability. Moreover, the strength of decadal relationship is associated with the phase shift of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Additionally, the decreasing trend of tree-ring δ18O after the late 1970 s that diverges from the simultaneous normal level of the ISM is caused by the isotopically-depleted trend in upstream precipitation of the moisture source. The opposite patterns of correlations between the tree-ring δ18O and the ENSO and IOD in recent decades demonstrate that the regional hydroclimate in the study region has been undergoing significant secular variations that are characterised by an increasing effect of the IOD and a decreasing effect of the ENSO. The findings from this study further improve our understanding of the tree-ring δ18O response to the ASM, at multi-time scales, and shed light on the impact of the ASM on regional hydroclimate variability, across the transitional zone of the ASM.

Holocene Indian Summer Monsoon variations inferred from end-member modeling of sediment grain size in the Andaman Sea

Whether the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) Maximum started in the early Holocene or middle Holocene remains a controversial issue. Grain-size measurements were conducted on 157-cm-long core ADM-C1 from the Andaman Sea; the core spanned the last 11.2 kyr BP. Four end-members (EMs) were unmixed using lognormal parametric end-member modeling. Genetic analyses of the grain-size EMs suggested the EM1 and EM2 may correlate with suspension in the upper layers and transportation in the benthic nepheloid layer, respectively, while the EM3 and EM4 were tied with deposition affected by monsoonal currents and sedimentation under extreme events, respectively. The EM3 was dominated by ISM intensity and transported by summer monsoon currents, with increase in the proportion of EM3 reflecting increasing ISM intensity, and vice versa. Variations in EM3 were used to define three stages of ISM evolution, as follows: (1) During 11.2–9.1 kyr BP, EM3 was relatively low, indicating a weak ISM; (2) during 9.1–4.5 kyr BP, EM3 increased substantially, indicating a strengthened ISM; (3) during 4.5-0 kyr BP, EM3 decreased gradually, suggesting a gradual weakening of the ISM. The Holocene ISM Maximum started at ~9.1 kyr BP rather than in the early Holocene, which may have been partly due to the slowdown of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) during the early Holocene that resulted in a decreased land-sea thermal contrast between the landmass and the Indian Ocean. An additional cause may have been the remnant Northern Hemisphere ice sheets that impeded the northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Seven relatively brief decreases in the ISM intensity (events 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1) occurred at ca. 10.3, 9.7, 7.3, 5.7, 4.2, 2.4, and 0.8 kyr BP, respectively. They corresponded, within the age uncertainties, to the increased supplies of ice-rafted detritus to North Atlantic sediments, implying that changes in the ISM intensity on millennial scale were dominated by climatic processes in northern high latitudes.

A 338-year tree-ring oxygen isotope record from Thai teak captures the variations in the Asian summer monsoon system

A 338-year oxygen isotope record from teak tree-ring cellulose collected from Mae Hong Son province in northwestern Thailand was presented. The tree-ring series preserves the isotopic signal of the regional wet season rainfall and relative humidity. Tree-ring δ18O correlates strongly with regional rainfall from May to October, showing coherent variations over large areas in Southeast Asia. We reconstructed the summer monsoon season (May to October) rainfall based on a linear regression model that explained 35.2% of the actual rainfall variance. Additionally, we found that in the 19th century, there was a remarkable drought during many years that corresponded to regional historic drought events. The signals of the June to September Indian summer monsoon (ISM) for the period between 1948 and 2009 were clearly found. Spatial correlations and spectral analyses revealed a strong impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on tree-ring δ18O. However, ENSO influenced the tree-ring δ18O more strongly in the 1870–1906, 1907–1943, and 1944–1980 periods than in the 1981–2015 period, which corresponded to periods of weaker and stronger ISM intensity.