Independent Risk Factor For Mortality Research Articles

NT-proBNP point-of-care testing for predicting mortality in end-stage renal disease: A survival analysis

This study examines the predictive value of elevated N-terminal-pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) levels for mortality among patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Data from 768 ESRD patients, excluding those with cancer or lost follow-up, were analyzed using Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models over three years. Results indicated that patients with very high NT-pro BNP levels had shorter average survival times and a significantly higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio 1.43). Advanced age, ICU admission, and comorbidities like cerebrovascular diseases and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease also contributed to increased mortality risks. Thus, elevated NT-pro BNP is an independent risk factor for mortality in ESRD patients.

Clinical Features and Prognostic Predictors in Patients with Renal Transplant Complicated by SARS-CoV-2 Infection, a Retrospective Single-Center Study.

This study examines the clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of COVID-19 in renal transplant recipients. Given their immunosuppressed status, these patients are at higher risk of severe complications from COVID-19. The study aims to provide healthcare professionals with critical insights for diagnosing and managing this vulnerable population. This retrospective cohort study included adult renal transplant recipients diagnosed with COVID-19. Data on demographics, medical history, laboratory results, and patient outcomes were analyzed to identify clinical characteristics and prognostic factors. This study included 115 renal transplant recipients with COVID-19, predominantly male, with a mortality rate of 10.4% (12 deaths). The overall vaccination rate was 20%. Univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and non-survivors in initial serum creatinine levels, and percentages of neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes, along with CRP levels on day 3. Additionally, CRP levels, hemoglobin, and platelet counts on day 7 also differed significantly. Multivariate analysis identified CRP levels on days 3 and 7, day 7 hemoglobin and platelet counts, and concurrent bacterial infections as independent risk factors for mortality. Elevated CRP levels, renal impairment, and bacterial co-infections play a significant role in the outcomes of COVID-19 in kidney transplant recipients. This study highlights the importance of monitoring these factors for early identification and management of high-risk patients.

Antigen Presenting Cell activator protein 1 (AP-1) complex contributes to Salt-sensitive Blood Pressure

Salt-sensitivity of blood pressure (SSBP) affects 50% of the hypertensive and 25% of the normotensive population and is a major independent risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We previously found that SSBP is associated with activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome in antigen presenting cells (APCs) via increased oxidated stress and isolevuglandin (IsoLG) formation, but the underlying mechanisms are unknown. The activator protein 1 (AP-1) (FOS/JUN) has been implicated in activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome but its role in SSBP is not known. We hypothesized that AP-1 transcription factor in APCs senses elevated sodium and contributes to SSBP. We further hypothesize that antioxidant flavonoid, diosmetin prevents AP-1 activation and SSBP. Using bulk RNA-sequencing in human monocytes, we found elevated sodium increases expression of the AP-1 gene family when compared to normal sodium concentration, including cFOS (2378.18 ± 480.7 vs 6494.09 ± 945.55, p= 0.0009), FOSB (53.63 ± 17. 55 vs 131.06 ± 10.30, p= 0.397), cJUN (7313.90 ± 984.93 vs 11370.09 ± 1286.35, p= 0.2563) JUNB (4218.4.36 ± 199.17 vs 570.45 ± 200.91, p= 0.0445) and JUND (3309. 63 ± 270.64 vs 8057.90 ± 1043.05, p= 0.00006). In additional experiments, we enrolled people with hypertension and phenotype them for SSBP using an established in-patient protocol of salt-loading/depletion and performed single-cell transcriptomic analyses in vivo on peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). We found that expression of the FOSB and JUNB genes are more sensitive in concert with blood pressure in salt-sensitive (SS) but not salt-resistant (SR) humans. Moreover, diosmetin attenuated high salt-induced hypertension, 123.5 ± 4.1 vs 146.8 ± 2.5 mm Hg in controls, **p< 0.01). In addition, diosmetin also reduced high salt-induced inflammation including APC production of IsoLG-protein adducts, IL-1β, and NLRP3 inflammasome expression. These findings reveal a role for immune cell AP-1 (FOS/JUN) signaling in salt-sensitive hypertension and diosmetin may provide a potential therapeutic target for treatment of SSBP. 1R01HL144941-01A1. This is the full abstract presented at the American Physiology Summit 2024 meeting and is only available in HTML format. There are no additional versions or additional content available for this abstract. Physiology was not involved in the peer review process.

Critical Care Therapies Pre and Post Heart Transplant and Their Impact: Analysis from The Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium

BackgroundFew studies highlighting the critical care management of patients after heart HTx (HTx) have been published to date. This analysis provides a contemporary representation of critical care burden pre- and post-HTx, describes care differences based on pre-transplant diagnosis and outlines the impact of intensive care unit (ICU) therapies on outcomes. MethodsData from PC4 Collaborative Registry was analyzed for pediatric patients undergoing HTx between 08/2014-04/2022. Results1877 HTx in 1857 patients were reported from 42 centers; 56.5% had congenital heart disease (CHD). Patients with CHD were younger, smaller, more likely male, White race, and publicly insured. Their pre-HTx ICU course was characterized by a higher need for catheterization, increased likelihood of inotropic support and mechanical ventilation with lower VAD rates. Their operative courses were significant for longer bypass and cross-clamp times. Postoperatively, CHD patients required more CPR and utilized more ICU therapies such as inotropes, ECMO and renal replacement. Those with CHD had a longer duration of ventilatory support (68.6 vs. 27.3 hours), total hospital stays (37.1 vs. 22.9 days) and higher hospital mortality (7.8% vs. 1.8%); all p<0.0001. Longer cardiopulmonary bypass and longer deep hypothermic circulatory arrest times and delayed sternal closure were independent risk factors for hospital mortality. Lastly, there was no association between total surgical volume for a center and outcomes but there was a significant relationship between center transplant volume and outcomes with higher volume centers demonstrating significantly lower mortality. ConclusionA diagnosis of CHD prior to HTx is associated with a greater use of ICU specific therapies compared non-CHD cohort. Operative factors, particularly in CHD patients, are independently associated with higher hospital mortality as was low transplant volume at the center. The study provides basis for further investigating ICU and operative factors that can be modified to improve transplant outcomes.

Clinical Characteristics, Prognosis and Treatment of Bloodstream Infections with Enterobacter Cloacae Complex in a Chinese Tertiary Hospital: A Retrospective Study.

This research aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics, prognosis, and antimicrobial treatment of bloodstream infections (BSI) caused by Enterobacter cloacae complex (ECC). The clinical data of patients with bloodstream infections caused by Enterobacter cloacae complex from April 2017 to June 2023 were collected retrospectively. These data were then analyzed in subgroups based on the detection results of extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL), 30-day mortality, and the type of antimicrobial agent used (β-lactam/β-lactamase inhibitor combinations (BLICs) or carbapenems). The proportion of ESBL-producing Enterobacter cloacae complex was 32.5% (37/114). Meanwhile, ICU admission, receiving surgical treatment within 3 months, and biliary tract infection were identified as risk factors for ESBL-producing ECC-BSI. Additionally, immunocompromised status and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 6.0 were identified as independent risk factors of 30-day mortality in patients with ECC-BSI (n = 108). Further analysis in BSI patients caused by non-ESBL-producing ECC revealed that patients treated with BLICs (n = 45) had lower SOFA scores and lower incidence of hypoproteinemia and sepsis compared with patients treated with carbapenems (n = 20). Moreover, in non-ESBL-producing ECC-BSI patients, the univariate Cox regression analysis indicated a significantly lower 30-day mortality rate in patients treated with BLICs compared to those treated with carbapenems (hazard ratios (HR) [95% CI] 0.190 [0.055-0.662], P = 0.009; adjusted HR [95% CI] 0.106 [0.013-0.863], P = 0.036). This study investigated the factors influencing the susceptibility to infection by ESBL-producing strains and risk factors for 30-day mortality in ECC-BSI patients. The results revealed that ESBL-negative ECC-BSI patients treated with BLICs exhibited significantly lower 30-day mortality compared to those treated with carbapenems. BLICs were found to be more effective in ECC-BSI patients with milder disease (ESBL-negative and SOFA ≤6.0).

Risk Factors and Prognosis Analysis of Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Patients With Acute Severe Cerebral Stroke.

We aim to explore the relationship between the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). We develop a nomogram model to predict mortality in critically ill stroke patients. This is a retrospective study based on the MIMIC IV database. We extracted clinical information including demographic data, comorbidities, and laboratory indicators. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to assess and identify risk factors for the occurrence of UGIB and for the in-hospital mortality of critically ill stroke patients. The resulting model was used to construct a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality. Five thousand seven hundred sixteen patients from the MIMIC-IV database were included in our analysis. UGIB occurred in 109 patients (1.9%), whereas the PPI use rate was as high as 60.6%. Chronic liver disease, sepsis, shock, anemia, and increased level of urea nitrogen were independent risk factors for the occurrence of UGIB in severe stroke patients. We identified age, heart failure, shock, coagulopathy, mechanical ventilation, continuous renal replacement therapy, antiplatelet drugs, anticoagulation, simplified acute physiology score-II, and Glasgow coma score as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in severe stroke patients. The C-index for the final nomograms was 0.852 (95% confidence interval: 0.840, 0.864). We found that the overall rate of UGIB in severe stroke patients is low, whereas the rate of PPI usage is high. In our study, PPI was not identified as a risk factor for the occurrence of UGIB and UGIB was not associated with all-cause mortality. More clinical trials are needed to evaluate the benefits of using PPI in critically ill stroke patients.

Prognostic Nutritional Index and Instant Nutritional Assessement Are Associated with Clinical Outcomes in a Geriatric Cohort of Acutely Inpatients.

Among elderly inpatients, malnutrition is one of the most important predictive factors affecting length of stay (LOS), mortality, and risk of re-hospitalization. We conducted an observational, retrospective study on a cohort of 2206 acutely inpatients. Serum albumin and lymphocytes were evaluated. Instant Nutritional Assessment (INA) and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) were calculated to predict in-hospital mortality, LOS, and risk of rehospitalization. An inverse relationship between LOS, serum albumin, and PNI were found. Deceased patients had lower albumin levels, lower PNI values, and third- and fourth-degree INA scores. An accurate predictor of mortality was PNI (AUC = 0.785) after ROC curve analysis; both lower PNI values (HR = 3.56) and third- and fourth-degree INA scores (HR = 3.12) could be independent risk factors for mortality during hospitalization after Cox regression analysis. Moreover, among 309 subjects with a lower PNI value or third- and fourth-class INA, hospitalization was re-hospitalization. PNI and INA are two simple and quick-to-calculate tools that can help in classifying the condition of hospitalized elderly patients also based on their nutritional status, or in assessing their mortality risk. A poor nutritional status at the time of discharge may represent an important risk factor for rehospitalization in the following thirty days. This study confirms the importance of evaluating nutritional status at the time of hospitalization, especially in older patients. This study also confirms the importance for adequate training of doctors and nurses regarding the importance of maintaining a good nutritional status as an integral part of the therapeutic process of hospitalization in acute departments.

Pattern of Arrhythmia among Diabetes Mellitus Patients in South-South, Nigeria: 24-Hour Ambulatory ECG (Holter ECG) Study

Background: Diabetes is known to be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, commonly associated with rhythm disorders like atrial fibrillation (AF) and ventricular arrhythmias (VA), Diabetes Mellitus (DM) patients have silent myocardial infarctions (MI) with conduction abnormalities like ectopics and others. Regular 12 lead ECGs may not capture subtle conduction abnormalities unlike Holter ECGs which takes longer time to record heart rhythms. The study aims to determine the occurrence and pattern of cardiac arrhythmias in Diabetes Mellitus. Methods: A total of 33 diabetic subjects with age ranged from 18 years and above presented to Goodheart Medical Consultants hospital for 24-hour ambulatory ECG (Holter ECG) using Schiller type (MT-101) Holter ECG machine. Results: In this study, the population consisted of 54.5% men and 45.5% women with a mean age of 63.4 ±14.41, the most common age group was 61–80 years with 42.4%. The two most common forms of arrhythmias for Holter ECGs in this study were supraventricular ectopics 36.4% and ventricular ectopics 33.3%. Conclusion: Supraventricular ectopics is the most common arrhythmia observed among the diabetic subjects in Southern Nigeria and was notably observed more in diabetic male subjects than females. This arrhythmia exposes them to risk of stroke and mortality. Diabetes-related arrhythmias may be a sign of other underlying illnesses.

Analysis of outcomes and prognostic factor in acute type A aortic dissection complicated with preoperative shock: A single-center study.

Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a critical cardiovascular emergency that requires prompt surgical intervention for preserving life, particularly in patients with critical preoperative status. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the clinical features, early and late outcomes, and prognostic factors in patients undergoing aortic repair surgery for ATAAD complicated with preoperative shock. Between April 2007 and July 2020, 694 consecutive patients underwent emergency ATAAD repair at our institution, including 162 (23.3%) presenting with preoperative shock (systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg), who were classified into the survivor (n = 125) and non-survivor (n = 37) groups according to whether they survived to hospital discharge. The clinical demographics, surgical information, and postoperative complications were compared. Five-year survival and freedom from reoperation rates of survivors were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier actuarial method. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality. The in-hospital surgical mortality rate in patients with ATAAD and shock was 22.8%. The non-survivor group showed higher rates of preoperative cardiopulmonary resuscitation, acute myocardial infarction, and cerebral infarction, and was associated with longer cardiopulmonary bypass time, higher rates of total arch replacement and intraoperative extracorporeal membrane oxygenation implementation. The non-survivor group had higher blood transfusion volumes and rates of malperfusion-related complications. Multivariate analysis revealed that preoperative cardiopulmonary resuscitation, prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time, and total arch replacement were risk factors for in-hospital mortality. For patients who survived to discharge, the 5-year cumulative survival and freedom from aortic reoperation rates were 75.6% (95% confidence interval, 67.6%-83.6%) and 82.6% (95% confidence interval, 74.2%-91.1%), respectively. Preoperative shock in ATAAD is associated with a high risk of in-hospital mortality, particularly in patients who undergo cardiopulmonary resuscitation and complex aortic repair procedures with extended cardiopulmonary bypass. However, late outcomes are acceptable for patients who were stabilized through surgical treatment and survived to discharge.

Direct Bilirubin, but not Indirect Bilirubin, is Associated with Short-term Adverse Events in HFpEF.

Abnormal live function tests have been identified as independent risk factors for ominous prognosis in patients with heart failure. However, most of the previous studies have failed to determine the contribution of direct bilirubin (DBIL) and indirect bilirubin (IBIL) separately. Hence, we aimed to explore whether DBIL or IBIL is correlated with the prognosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). <p> Methods: A total of 19837 patients were hospitalized for HFpEF between January 2012 and January 2022 in Fuqing City Hospital affiliated with Fujian Medical University. The primary endpoint was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included in-hospital cardiovascular mortality and 30-day re-admission for heart failure. <p> Results: Univariable analysis indicated that patients with elevated DBIL or IBIL were exposed to a higher risk of mortality and re-admission. However, in multivariable models, both ln-transformed DBIL and TBIL, but not IBIL, were independent risk factors for in-hospital all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR)=1.796, 95% confidential interval (CI)=1.477-2.183, P＜0.001; HR=1.854, 95% CI=1.461-2.352, P＜0.001; HR=1.161, 95% CI=0.959-1.407, P=0.126] and in-hospital cardiovascular mortality (HR=1.831, 95% CI=1.345-2.492, P＜0.001; HR=1.899, 95% CI=1.300-2.773, P=0.001; HR=1.145, 95% CI=0.841-1.561, P=0.389). Only DBIL remained independently associated with 30-day readmission for heart failure (HR=1.361, 95% CI=1.036-1.787, P=0.027). Adding ln-transformed DBIL to model 1 increased its discriminatory capacity (C-statistic: 0.851 to 0.869, respectively), whereas adding ln-transformed IBIL yielded little increment (C-statistic: 0.851 to 0.852, respectively). <p> Conclusion: DBIL, but not IBIL, was associated with short-term ominous prognosis in patients with HFpEF. Hence, DBIL may be the superior predictor for prognosis in HFpEF.

Prolonged elevated heart rate and 90-Day mortality in acute pancreatitis

Prolonged elevated heart rate (peHR) is recognized as a risk factor for poor prognosis among critically ill patients. However, there is currently a lack of studies investigating the association between peHR and patients with acute pancreatitis. Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database was used to identify patients with acute pancreatitis. PeHR was defined as a heart rate exceeding 100 beats per minute for at least 11 out of 12 consecutive hours. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association between peHR and the 90-Day mortality. A total of 364 patients (48.9%) experienced a peHR episode. The 90-day mortality was 25%. PeHR is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality (HR, 1.98; 95% CI 1.53–2.56; P < 0.001). KM survival curves exhibited a significant decrease in the survival rate at 90 days among patients who experienced a peHR episode (P < 0.001, 84.5% vs. 65.1%). We revealed a significant association of peHR with decreased survival in a large cohort of ICU patients with acute pancreatitis.

Risk factors for bacteremic pneumonia and mortality (28-day mortality) in patients with Acinetobacter baumannii bacteremia

BackgroundPatients infected with Acinetobacter baumannii (AB) bacteremia in hospital have high morbidity and mortality. We analyzed the clinical characteristics of pneumonia and nonpneumonia-related AB bloodstream infections (AB BSIs) and explored the possible independent risk factors for the incidence and prognosis of pneumonia-related AB BSIs.MethodsA retrospective monocentric observational study was performed. All 117 episodes of hospital-acquired AB bacteremia sorted into groups of pneumonia-related AB BSIs (n = 45) and nonpneumonia-related AB BSIs (n = 72) were eligible. Univariate/multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore the independent risk factors. The primary outcome was the antibiotic susceptibility in vitro of pneumonia-related AB BSIs group. The secondary outcome was the independent risk factor for the pneumonia-related AB BSIs group.ResultsAmong 117 patients with AB BSIs, the pneumonia-related group had a greater risk of multidrug resistant A. baumannii (MDRAB) infection (84.44%) and carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii (CRAB) infection (80%). Polymyxin, minocycline and amikacin had relatively high susceptibility rates (> 80%) in the nonpneumonia-related group. However, in the pneumonia-related group, only polymyxin had a drug susceptibility rate of over 80%. Univariate analysis showed that survival time (day), CRAB, MDRAB, length of hospital stay prior to culture, length of ICU stay prior to culture, immunocompromised status, antibiotics used prior to culture (n > = 3 types), endotracheal tube, fiberoptic bronchoscopy, PITT, SOFA and invasive interventions (n > = 3 types) were associated with pneumonia-related AB bacteremia. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that recent surgery (within 1 mo) [P = 0.043; 0.306 (0.098–0.962)] and invasive interventions (n > = 3 types) [P = 0.021; 0.072 (0.008–0.671)] were independent risk factors related to pneumonia-related AB bacteremia. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that length of ICU stay prior to culture [P = 0.009; 0.959 (0.930–0.990)] and recent surgery (within 1 mo) [P = 0.004; 0.260 (0.105–0.646)] were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with pneumonia-related AB bacteremia. The Kaplan‒Meier curve and the timing test showed that patients with pneumonia-related AB bacteremia had shorter survival time compared to those with nonpneumonia-related AB bacteremia.ConclusionsOur study found that A. baumannii had a high rate of antibiotic resistance in vitro in the pneumonia-related bacteremia group, and was only sensitive to polymyxin. Recent surgery was a significantly independent predictor in patients with pneumonia-related AB bacteremia.

Reduced sensitivity to thyroid hormones is associated with lung function in euthyroid individuals

BackgroundThe thyroid gland exhibits a subtle interconnection with the lungs. We further investigated the correlation between thyroid hormone sensitivity and lung function in euthyroid individuals. MethodsData on spirometry and mortality for participants aged 19–79 years were extracted from the NHANES database. Obstructive lung function was defined as a forced expiratory volume in 1 s to forced vital capacity ratio (FEV1/FVC) < 0.70, while restrictive lung function was considered when FEV1/FVC ≥0.70 and baseline FVC <80 % predicted. Central and peripheral sensitivities to thyroid hormones were mainly evaluated by Thyroid Feedback Quantile-based Index (TFQI) and Free Triiodothyronine/Free thyroxine (FT3/FT4) ratio. Logistic regression and subgroup analysis were used to examine potential associations between thyroid hormone sensitivity and lung function. The association between TFQI and all-cause mortality risk was also investigated. ResultsA total of 6539 participants were analyzed, 900 with obstructive lung function and 407 with restrictive lung function. The prevalence of impaired lung function, both obstructive and restrictive, increased with higher TFQI levels. Logistic regression analysis showed that increased TFQI and decreased FT3/FT4 levels were independent risk factors for obstructive and restrictive lung function (P < 0.05). After adjusting for the impact of lung function, TFQI (HR = 1.25, 95 % CI 1.00–1.56, P = 0.048) was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality. ConclusionReduced sensitivity to thyroid hormones has been linked to impaired lung function. TFQI and FT3/FT4 are potential epidemiological tools to quantify the role of central and peripheral thyroid resistance in lung function.

The obesity paradox in younger adult patients with sepsis: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

The obesity paradox suggests that individuals with obesity may have a survival advantage against specific critical illnesses, including sepsis. However, whether this paradox occurs at younger ages remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to investigate whether obesity could improve survival in younger adult patients with sepsis. We used clinical data sourced from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Patients with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score ≥2 and suspected infection at the time of ICU admission were identified as having sepsis, following the Sepsis-3 definition. Individuals were classified into the obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m²) and non-obesity (BMI <30 kg/m²) groups. Patients aged <50 and ≥50 years were categorized as younger adult patients and older patients, respectively. Of 73,181 patients in the MIMIC-IV ICU database, 18,120 satisfied the inclusion criteria: 2642 aged <50 years and 15,478 aged ≥50 years. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that obesity was not associated with an improved mortality rate among younger adult patients with sepsis (log-rank test: P = 0.197), while obesity exhibited a survival benefit in older patients with sepsis (log-rank test: P < 0.001). After propensity score matching, in-hospital mortality did not differ significantly between the obesity and non-obesity groups (13.3% vs. 12.2%; P = 0.457) in the younger adult patients with sepsis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that BMI was not an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in younger adult patients with sepsis (underweight: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.72, P = 0.076; overweight: aOR 0.88, P = 0.437; obesity: aOR 0.93, P = 0.677; and severe obesity: aOR 1.22, P = 0.580, with normal weight as the reference). Contrary to findings regarding older patients with sepsis, our findings suggest that the obesity paradox does not apply to younger adult patients with sepsis.

Predictive nomogram for 28-day mortality risk in mitral valve disorder patients in the intensive care unit: A comprehensive assessment from the MIMIC-III database

BackgroundMitral valve disorder (MVD) stands as the most prevalent valvular heart disease. Presently, a comprehensive clinical index to predict mortality in MVD remains elusive. The aim of our study is to construct and assess a nomogram for predicting the 28-day mortality risk of MVD patients. MethodsPatients diagnosed with MVD were identified via ICD-9 code from the MIMIC-III database. Independent risk factors were identified utilizing the LASSO method and multivariate logistic regression to construct a nomogram model aimed at predicting the 28-day mortality risk. The nomogram's performance was assessed through various metrics including the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, integrated discriminant improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and decision curve analysis (DCA). ResultsThe study encompassed a total of 2771 patients diagnosed with MVD. Logistic regression analysis identified several independent risk factors: age, anion gap, creatinine, glucose, blood urea nitrogen level (BUN), urine output, systolic blood pressure (SBP), respiratory rate, saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2), Glasgow Coma Scale score (GCS), and metastatic cancer. These factors were found to independently influence the 28-day mortality risk among patients with MVD. The calibration curve demonstrated adequate calibration of the nomogram. Furthermore, the nomogram exhibited favorable discrimination in both the training and validation cohorts. The calculations of IDI, NRI, and DCA analyses demonstrate that the nomogram model provides a greater net benefit compared to the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPSII), Acute Physiology Score III (APSIII), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scoring systems. ConclusionThis study successfully identified independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with MVD. Additionally, a nomogram model was developed to predict mortality, offering potential assistance in enhancing the prognosis for MVD patients. It's helpful in persuading patients to receive early interventional catheterization treatment, for example, transcatheter mitral valve replacement (TMVR), transcatheter mitral valve implantation (TMVI).

Association of easy albumin-bilirubin score with increased mortality in adult trauma patients.

The easy albumin-bilirubin (EZ-ALBI) score is calculated using the equation: total bilirubin (mg/dl) - 9 × albumin (g/dl), and is used to evaluate liver functional reserve. This study was designed to investigate whether the EZ-ALBI score serves as an independent risk factor for mortality and is useful for stratifying the mortality risk in adult trauma patients. We retrospectively reviewed data from the registered trauma database of the hospital and included 3,637 adult trauma patients (1,241 deaths and 2,396 survivors) due to all trauma caused between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2021. The patients were allocated to the two study groups based on the best EZ-ALBI cutoff point (EZ-ALBI = -28.5), which was determined based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results revealed that the non-survivors had a significantly higher EZ-ALBI score than the survivors (-26.4 ± 6.5 vs. -31.5 ± 6.2, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that EZ-ALBI ≥ -28.5was an independent risk factor for mortality (odds ratio, 2.31; 95% confidence interval, 1.63-3.28; p < 0.001). Patients with an EZ-ALBI score ≥ -28.5 presented with 2.47-fold higher adjusted mortality rates than patients with an EZ-ALBI score < -28.5. A propensity score-matched pair cohort of 1,236 patients was developed to reduce baseline disparities in trauma mechanisms. The analysis showed that patients with an EZ-ALBI score ≥ -28.5 had a 4.12 times higher mortality rate compared to patients with an EZ-ALBI score < -28.5. The EZ-ALBI score was a significant independent risk factor for mortality and can serve as a valuable tool for stratifying mortality risk in adult trauma patients by all trauma causes.

The association between albumin-corrected calcium and prognosis in patients with cardiac arrest: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database

BackgroundCardiac arrest (CA) is one of the leading causes of death globally, characterized by high incidence and mortality. It is of particular significance to determine the prognosis of patients with CA early and accurately. Therefore, we aim to investigate the correlation between albumin-corrected calcium (ACC) and the prognosis in patients diagnosed with CA.MethodsWe retrospectively collected data from medical information mart for intensive care IV database. Patients were divided into two groups (survival and non-survival groups), according to the 90-day prognosis. In the Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, the cut-off values (8.86 and 10.32) were obtained to categorize patients into three groups: low ACC group (< 8.86), moderate ACC group (8.86–10.32), and high ACC group (> 10.32). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with a ten-fold cross-validation regression analysis was performed to identify variables linked to the mortality. The inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to address the confounding factors, and a weighted cohort was generated. RCS, Kaplan–Meier curve, and Cox regression analyses were used to explore the relationship between ACC and the mortality. Sensitivity analysis was employed to validate the stability of the results.ResultsCut-off values for ACC of 8.86 and 10.32 were determined. RCS analyses showed that there was an overall non-linear trend relationship between ACC and the risk of 90-day and 360-day mortalities. After IPTW adjustment, compared to the moderate ACC group, the 90-day and 360-day mortalities in the high ACC group were higher (P < 0.05). The Cox analyses before and after IPTW adjustment showed that both low ACC and high ACC group were independent risk factors for 90-day and 360-day all-cause mortality in patients with CA (P < 0.05). The results obtained from sensitivity analyses indicated the stability of the findings. The Kaplan–Meier survival curves indicated that 90- and 360-day cumulative survival rates in the low ACC and high ACC groups were lower than that in the moderate ACC group (χ2 = 11.350, P = 0.003; χ2 = 14.110, P = 0.001).ConclusionBoth low ACC (< 8.86) and high ACC groups (> 10.32) were independent risk factors for 90-day and 360-day all-cause mortality in patients with CA (P < 0.05). For those CA patients with high and low ACC, it deserved the attention of clinicians.

Combined effect of time in target range and variability of systolic blood pressure on cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in patients with hypertension: A prospective cohort study.

Time in target range (TTR) and blood pressure variability (BPV) of systolic blood pressure (SBP) are independent risk factors for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. However, the association of the combination of low TTR and high BPV of SBP with the risk of MACE and all-cause mortality is unclear. This study sought to investigate the combined effect of the TTR and BPV on the risk of MACE and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension. A total of 11 496 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan cohort study were included in our study. All participants were divided into four groups according to their TTR and BPV levels. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident MACE and all-cause mortality. During a median follow-up of 5.64 years, 839 MACEs (included 99 cases of myocardial infarction, 591 cases of stroke, and 191 cases of heart failure) and 621 deaths occurred. Compared with the high-TTR and low-BPV group, the HRs (95% CI) of MACE and all-cause mortality were 1.309 (1.025-1.671) and 1.842 (1.373-2.473) for the high-TTR and high-BPV group, 1.692 (1.347-2.125) and 1.731 (1.298-2.309) for the low-TTR & low-BPV group, 2.132 (1.728-2.629) and 2.247 (1.722-2.932) for the low-TTR & high-BPV group. Our study suggests that the combination of low TTR and high BPV of SBP was associated with a higher risk of MACE and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension.

Remnant cholesterol is an effective biomarker for predicting survival in patients with breast cancer

BackgroundBreast cancer is the most common malignancy in women worldwide. The relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the prognosis of patients with breast cancer has not been clearly reported. This study investigated the prognostic value of RC in predicting mortality in patients with breast cancer.MethodsThis study prospectively analysed 709 women patients with breast cancer from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) project. Restricted cubic splines were used to analyse the dose-response relationship between RC and breast cancer mortality. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to evaluate the overall survival of patients with breast cancer. A Cox regression analyses was performed to assess the independent association between RC and breast cancer mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score was used to reduce confounding. Sensitivity analysis was performed after excluding patients with underlying diseases and survival times shorter than one year.ResultsA linear dose-response relationship was identified between RC and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with breast cancer (p = 0.036). Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and log-rank test showed that patients with high RC levels had poorer survival than those with low RC levels (p = 0.007). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that RC was an independent risk factor for mortality in women patients with breast cancer. IPTW-adjusted analyses and sensitivity analyses showed that CR remained a prognostic factor.ConclusionsRC is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of patients with breast cancer, and patients with higher RC levels have poorer survival.

Epstein–Barr virus, Cytomegalovirus, and Herpes Simplex-1/2 reactivations in critically ill patients with COVID-19

ObjectivesTo assess the incidences of Herpes Simplex-1 and 2 (HSV-1, HSV-2), Cytomegalovirus (CMV), Epstein–Barr Virus (EBV) reactivations in critically ill COVID-19 patients. To determine the association between viral reactivation and in-hospital mortality, Intensive Care Unit Bloodstream infection (ICU–BSI), ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP).DesignObservational retrospective cohort study.SettingCOVID-19 Intensive Care Unit.PatientsFrom November 2020 to May 2021, one hundred and twenty patients with COVID-19 severe pneumonia were enrolled and tested for HSV-1, HSV-2, CMV and EBV at the admission in ICU and weekly until discharge or death. The presence of VAP and ICU–BSI was evaluated according to clinical judgement and specific diagnostic criteria.Measurements and main resultsOne hundred and twenty patients were enrolled. Multiple reactivations occurred in 75/120 (63%) patients, single reactivation in 27/120 patients (23%). The most reactivated Herpesvirus was EBV, found in 78/120 (65%) patients. The multivariate analysis demonstrated that viral reactivation is a strong independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (OR = 2.46, 95% CI 1.02–5.89), ICU–BSI (OR = 2.37, 95% CI 1.06–5.29) and VAP (OR = 2.64, 95% CI 1.20–5.82).ConclusionsHuman Herpesviruses reactivations in critically ill patients with COVID-19 severe Pneumonia are associated with mortality and with a higher risk to develop both VAP and ICU–BSI.