Independent Risk Factor For Death Research Articles

Interferon-gamma driven elevation of CXCL9: a new sepsis endotype independently associated with mortality

Endotype classification becomes the cornerstone of understanding sepsis pathogenesis. Macrophage activation-like syndrome (MALS) and immunoparalysis are the best recognized major endotypes, so far. Interferon-gamma (IFNγ) action on tissue macrophages stimulates the release of the cytotoxic chemokine CXCL9. It was investigated if this mechanism may be an independent sepsis endotype. In this cohort study, 14 patient cohorts from Greece, Germany and Italy were studied. The cohorts were 2:1 randomly split into discovery and validation sets. Sepsis was defined by the Sepsis-3 definitions and blood was sampled the first 24h from meeting the Sepsis-3 definitions. Concentrations of IFNγ, CXCL9, IP-10 (IFNγ induced protein-10), soluble CD163 and ferritin were measured. The endotype of IFNγ-driven sepsis (IDS) was defined in the discovery set as the combination of a) blood IFNγ above a specified cut-off associated with the minimal risk for immunoparalysis (defined as ≥8000 HLA-DR receptors on CD45/CD14-monoytes); and b) increase of CXCL9. Results were compared to the validation set. 5503 patients were studied; 3670 in the discovery set and 1833 in the validation set. IDS was defined as IFNγ more than 3pg/ml and CXCL9 more than 2200pg/ml. The frequency of IDS in the discovery set was 19.9% (732 patients; 95% confidence intervals-CIs 18.7-21.3%) and in the validation set 20.0% (366 patients; 95% CIs 18.2-21.9%). Soluble CD163, a marker of macrophage activation, was greater in IDS and IDS had features distinct from MALS. The mortality in IDS patients was 43.0% (315 patients; 95% CIs 39.5-46.6%) in the discovery set and 40.4% in the validation set (148 patients; 95% CIs 35.5-45.5%) (p=0.44 compared to patients of the discovery set). IDS was an independent risk factor for death in the presence of other endotypes, severity scores and organ dysfunctions of the multivariate model [hazard ratio 1.71 (95% CIs 1.45-2.01) in the discovery set and 1.70 (95% CIs 1.34-2.16) in the validation set]. Decreases of IFNγ and CXCL9 blood levels within the first 72h were associated with better outcome. IDS is a new sepsis endotype independently associated with unfavorable outcome. Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis; Horizon 2020 project ImmunoSep; Swedish Orphan BioVitrum AB (publ) and German Federal Ministry of Education and Research.

Neurosurgery in Australia's Top End: the lifesaving advantages of developing sustainable neurosurgical care in rural and remote regions.

The authors' goal was to perform a retrospective audit of all emergency cranial neurosurgery performed at the Royal Darwin Hospital in the first 5 years of the unit and to compile their data in a similar fashion to an earlier study titled "Emergency Neurosurgery in Darwin: Still the Generalist Surgeons' Responsibility," which was published in 2015. All emergency cranial neurosurgery performed by a neurosurgeon between 2017 and 2021 was identified. Data were extracted from the National Critical Care and Trauma Response Centre database. Statistical analyses were descriptive logistic regression performed using Stata version 15.1 software to examine factors associated with death. A total of 320 patients (42% Indigenous) underwent 427 emergency neurosurgeries. There were 35 emergency neurosurgeries in 2017 and 82 in 2021. The most common procedure performed was insertion of an external ventricular drain, followed by craniotomy and removal of intracranial hematoma. Mortality was 7.5% overall and 8.4% among patients with trauma. Only age proved to be a statistically significant independent risk factor for death (t = -2.95, p < 0.0041; OR 1.06, p = 0.02). Location, sex, injury severity, and presenting Glasgow Coma Scale score were not associated with death. Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients had similar outcomes. The data illustrate the importance of developing small but sustainable neurosurgical units in rural and remote areas. A dedicated neurosurgical unit at the Royal Darwin Hospital has led to an increase in the amount and variety of emergency neurosurgery performed in Darwin. Interstate transfers have reduced. This has tangible lifesaving and economic advantages.

Factors associated with mortality and functional outcome after decompressive craniectomy in malignant middle cerebral artery infarction

ObjectiveIdentifying the predictive factors of mortality and functional outcomes following decompressive craniectomy (DC) surgery in patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) is essential for decision-making regarding conservative versus surgical treatment. This study aimed to assess the mortality and functional outcomes of MMCAI patients after DC surgery and to identify the predictive factors associated with mortality and functional outcomes.MethodsA total of 76 patients with MMCAI who underwent surgical DC were included. The mortality rates and functional outcomes were assessed, and factors associated with mortality and functional outcomes were identified through univariate analysis followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis.ResultsThe mortality rate was 44.8%, while a favorable functional outcome was observed in 28.9% of the patients. modified Glasgow coma scale (GCS) before DC (OR = 0.416, 95% CI = 0.261–0.662, P < 0.001) and infarct volume before DC (OR = 1.000-1.012, 95% CI = 1.000-1.012, P = 0.037) were independent risk factors for death. Age (OR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.812–0.952, P = 0.002), modified GCS before DC (OR = 2.477, 95% CI = 1.395-4.4, P = 0.002), and infarct volume before DC (OR = 0.987, 95% CI = 0.975–0.999, P = 0.035) were independent factors associated with favorable functional outcomes.ConclusionPreoperative modified GCS and preoperative infarct volume were independent factors associated with both mortality and functional outcomes. Age was only associated with functional outcomes.

Clinical impact of genetic testing in a large cohort of pediatric cardiomyopathies.

There are limited data that can explain the earlier penetrance and the different expressivity of pediatric cardiomyopathy (pCM) compared to adult-onset cardiomyopathy (aCM). In addition, the relationship between genotype and pCM results is poorly described. We compared the genotypes between a cohort of aCM and a cohort of pCM to propose hypotheses on the earlier penetrance and expressivity of pCM. Finally, we report how genetic testing was used to guide genetic counseling in pCM. 253 pCM (<18 years old) and 1466 aCM patients were sequenced on a panel of 67 cardiomyopathy genes. Risk factors for death and heart transplantation were analyzed. In pCM, the variant of interest (VOI) yield was 53.7 % including 24.2 % carrying two VOI. De novo variants represented 11 % of VOI in pCM and 50 % in restrictive pCM. An age at diagnosis younger than 1 year (HR = 2.07, p = 0.029), restrictive phenotype (HR = 2.87, p = 0.03) and the presence of two VOI (HR = 2.97, p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for death or heart transplantation. In comparison with aCM, pCM patients harbored more frequently two VOI (p = 0.02), or de novo variants (p = 4.10-13). In addition, the distribution of VOI was different in aCM and pCM. Genotyping of pCM improved genetic counseling in families and led to ten prenatal-diagnosis. Genetic testing provides clues for earlier penetrance of pCM. The presence of two VOI in children with CM is a risk factor for severe and early cardiac events.

Permanent and persistent atrial fibrillation are independent risk factors of mortality after severe COVID-19

Abstract Background New coronavirus disease (COVID-19), pandemic infection caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), had a deep global influence on morbidity and mortality profile. Comorbidities, especially cardiovascular diseases were identified to strongly modify the clinical course of COVID-19. However, the prognostic role of incident or prevalent atrial fibrillation has not been fully explained. Purpose The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between atrial fibrillation and outcomes following hospitalization in patients with severe COVID-19. Methods We analyzed 199 patients (72 female, median age 70 years) with severe COVID-19 hospitalized between November 2020 and February 2021, due to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Study cohort included 68 patients with a history of AF (34 patients with paroxysmal AF, 19 with permanent AF, 15 patients with persistent AF) and 51 patients presented with AF during hospitalization. Results Overall mortality during 90 days from the admission to hospital was 41% (n=82). Non-survivors were older, had significantly elevated inflammation markers (CRP, WBC, procalcitonin, IL-6), NT-proBNP and D-dimer on the first day of hospitalization, lower left ventricular ejection fraction and worse kidney function as compared to those who stayed alive during the follow-up. Among the hospitalized patients with COVID-19, a history of AF and the presence of AF during hospitalization contributed to higher mortality, p=0.001. The patients with permanent and persistent AF were at the greatest risk of death, p&amp;lt;0.001. In multivariate analysis, taking into account whether the patients had a history of AF, the subtypes of AF (paroxysmal, permanent, persistent) and whether the AF was present during hospitalization to identify the independent risk factors of death in the study period, we found that AF was related to worse prognosis and persistent or permanent form represented an independent predictor of mortality, p=0.035. Conclusions Different clinical presentations of AF have varying impact on survival in severe COVID-19. Mortality in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19 was higher among patients with history of AF, especially with persistent and permanent type of AF, and with AF present during hospitalization.Figure.Survival depending on the type o.

Development and validation of a clinical and laboratory-based nomogram to predict mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome

BackgroundSevere fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging global infectious disease with a high mortality rate. Clinicians lack a convenient tool for early identification of critically ill SFTS patients. The aim of this study was to construct a simple and accurate nomogarm to predict the prognosis of SFTS patients.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 372 SFTS patients collected between May 2015 and June 2023, which were divided 7:3 into a training set and an internal validation set. We used LASSO regression to select predictor variables and multivariable logistic regression to identify independent predictor variables. Prognostic nomograms for SFTS were constructed based on these factors and analysed for concordance index, calibration curves and area under the curve (AUC) to determine the predictive accuracy and consistency of the model.ResultsIn the training set, LASSO and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that age, SFTSV RNA, maximum body temperature, pancreatitis, gastrointestinal bleeding, pulmonary fungal infection (PFI), BUN, and PT were independent risk factors for death in SFTS patients. There was a strong correlation between neurological symptoms and mortality (P < 0.001, OR = 108.92). Excluding neurological symptoms, nomograms constructed based on the other eight variables had AUCs of 0.937 and 0.943 for the training and validation sets, respectively. Furthermore, we found that age, gastrointestinal bleeding, PFI, bacteraemia, SFTSV RNA, platelets, and PT were the independent risk factors for neurological symptoms, with SFTSV RNA having the highest diagnostic value (AUC = 0.785).ConclusionsThe nomogram constructed on the basis of eight common clinical variables can easily and accurately predict the prognosis of SFTS patients. Moreover, the diagnostic value of neurological symptoms far exceeded that of other predictors, and SFTSV RNA was the strongest independent risk factor for neurological symptoms, but these need to be further verified by external data.

Association between urinary incontinence and mortality risk among US adults: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundUrinary incontinence is frequent in the general population and affects men and women of all ages. UI carries an unsuspected load on the healthcare system. To investigate whether urinary incontinence is associated with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality among US adults.MethodsThe analyzed data was collected from the 2007–2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data. A total of 25,182 US participants with complete information about follow-up information and urinary incontinence (UI) were included in this cohort study. Univariate Cox regression analyses, the UpSet plot, multivariate Cox regression analysis, subgroup analysis of all-cause mortality, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve were employed to support the research objectives.ResultsA total of 25,182 participants had a mean age of 49.8 ± 17.8 years, with 49.3% of them being male and 50.7% of them being female. In the unadjusted model, we found that the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 12% (95% CI 1.03–1.22, P = 0.008), the risk of CVD mortality increased by 21% (95% CI 1.07–1.36, P = 0.002), and the risk of Cancer mortality increased by 8% (95% CI 0.95–1.22, P = 0.243) among individuals with urinary incontinence. After adjusting for multiple variables, we found that the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with urinary incontinence decreased by 1% (95% CI 0.9–1.09), but this decrease was statistically insignificant (P = 0.868), and the risk of Cancer mortality decreased by 3% (95% CI 0.84–1.12, P = 0.686). The association between urinary incontinence and mortality risk were stable in stratified analyses.ConclusionsIn our study, we found that urinary incontinence itself is an independent risk factor for death. The association between urinary incontinence and mortality became less significant after adjusting for covariates, this is a common occurrence in statistical analysis. Future research, with larger sample sizes and more robust study designs, is needed to further elucidate the complex relationship between urinary incontinence and mortality risk.

Case-control study on risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with severe COVID-19.

The purpose of this study was to identify independent risk factors affecting patient survival and explore predictors of severe cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a retrospective, observational, case-control study on adult patients with severe COVID-19 who were admitted to affiliated hospitals in Tianjin between December 18, 2022, and January 31, 2023. We used univariate and multifactorial logistic regression analyses to analyze demographic indicators, comorbidity profiles, and laboratory parameters in two groups of patients (deceased and surviving) to identify independent risk factors for death in patients with severe COVID-19. Patients in the deceased group were older than those in the survival group (p = 0.018), and there were more cases of coexisting respiratory insufficiency in the deceased group (p = 0.002). Additionally, laboratory test results for white blood cell count (WBC) and creatine kinase (CK) showed significantly higher values in the deceased group (p = 0.047 and p = 0.029, respectively), while arterial oxygen partial pressure (PAO2) showed significantly lower values compared to the survival group (p = 0.021). Age, respiratory insufficiency, WBCH (highest WBC value), CKH (highest CK value), and PAO2F (first PAO2 value) had area under curve (AUC) values of 0.698, 0.838, 0.721, 0.744, and 0.633, respectively. The main risk factors for mortality in patients with severe COVID-19 that we identified in this study were the advanced age of patients, coexisting respiratory insufficiency, elevated levels of WBC and CK, and decreased levels of PAO2. Elevated WBC and CK laboratory parameters, in particular, demonstrated good predictive value for in-hospital mortality risk.

Effect of continuous improvement of standardized construction of China Chest Pain Center on treatment time and mortality of acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A population-based study.

Standardized construction of China Chest Pain Center improves outcomes in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). A total 778 patients with a definite diagnosis of STEMI who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in our hospital from March 2017 to November 2022 were selected. Among them, 194 patients admitted from March 2017 to December 2019 were included as the pre-continuous improvement period (control group), and 584 patients admitted from January 2020 to November 2022 were included as the continuous improvement period (study group). Major quality control indicators were compared between the 2 groups. In continuous improvement period, the time of electrocardiograph (ECG) diagnosis, time of dual antiplatelet drug administration, troponin I return time, catheter activation time, and door to wire (D2W) were all significantly shorter than those in the pre-continuous improvement period (P < .05). The reperfusion rate of patients in the continuous improvement period was 98.12%, which was significantly higher than that in the pre-continuous improvement period (92.78%; P < .001). The mortality rate of STEMI patients in continuous improvement period was 3.42%, lower than 4.64% in the pre-continuous improvement period with no statistical difference (P = .439). Age, previous history of coronary artery disease, and high Killip class (Killip III-IV) were derived as independent risk factors for death by logistic regression analysis (OR＞1, P < .05). Continuous improvement of the chest pain center can effectively shorten the treatment time of STEMI patients, improve the reperfusion rate, and improve myocardial blood supply by restoring TIMI blood flow as early as possible.

Predictive Value of Combined Detection of Serum LGALS3BP and GDF-15 for the Prognosis of ICU Sepsis Patients.

This study aims to investigate the effectiveness of combining serum lectin galactoside-binding soluble 3 binding protein (LGALS3BP) with growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) for predicting outcomes in sepsis patients in an intensive care unit (ICU) setting. The study involved 208 sepsis patients from the ICU of our hospital. These patients were categorized based on their 28-day survival outcomes into two groups: 166 in the survival group and 42 in the mortality group. The serum levels of LGALS3BP and GDF-15 were measured using the ELISA technique. Pearson and Spearman methods were utilized for correlation analysis. Factors affecting mortality in ICU sepsis patients were evaluated through multivariate logistic regression analysis. The efficacy of these biomarkers in prognosis prediction was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The proportion of septic shock, APACHE II score, SOFA score, and serum LGALS3BP and GDF-15 levels in ICU sepsis patients in the death group were obviously higher than those in the survival group (P<0.05). The severity of ICU sepsis patients, APACHE II score, and SOFA score were obviously positively correlated with serum LGALS3BP and GDF-15 levels (P<0.05). LGALS3BP (OR: 95% CI=2.745:1.583~4.761) and GDF-15 (OR: 95% CI=2.639:1.423~4.893) were independent risk factors for death in ICU sepsis patients (P<0.05). The AUC of serum LGALS3BP and GDF-15 levels alone in predicting death in ICU sepsis patients was 0.859 and 0.854, obviously lower than the AUC of the combination, 0.943 (Z=2.704, 2.287, P<0.05). The AUC for predicting mortality in ICU sepsis patients using the APACHE II and SOFA scores were 0.832 and 0.842, respectively. The differences in comparison to the AUCs of LGALS3BP and GDF-15 were not statistically significant (P > 0.05). Serum levels of LGALS3BP and GDF-15 can both be used as predictive indicators for death in ICU sepsis patients, and their combined predictive efficacy is better.

Characterisation of Patients with Self-Neglect – `Room to Improve' with a New Potential Geriatric Giant?

Abstract Background Self-Neglect is an under-reported and often veiled diagnosis which is defined as ‘an adult’s inability due to physical or mental impairment or diminished capacity to perform essential self-care tasks. Self-Neglect is an independent risk factor for death and is associated with morbidity, heavy utilisation of healthcare services and safeguarding issues. Self-Neglect affects more older persons and is more commonly seen in people with cognitive deficits and social isolation. Methods Using HIPE data, patients were selected for a Descriptive Retrospective Chart Review with a diagnosis of Self-Neglect and under the care of a Consultant Geriatrician within a 2-year timeframe from April 2022 to April 2024. Data was compiled and demographics were collated. Charlson Co-Morbidity Index, Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 and Clinical Frailty Scores were employed. Results Twenty patient's charts were reviewed retrospectively. Of the twenty patients 65% were male, 40% are rural dwelling and 70% live alone. 95% of patients have an underlying cognitive impairment, and over 90% have a current or remote history of substance abuse. All 20 patients had significant concerns highlighted about their housing and 60% of patients required alternative accommodation while their home was updated or cleaned. All 20 patients required discharge planning with many requiring complex multi-disciplinary input regarding their safe discharge and had prolonged inpatient stays. Conclusion Recognition and resourcing ‘Self Neglect’ pathways will remain an issue in the health service in Ireland and worldwide. Patients presenting to hospitals with Self-Neglect are multi-morbid, socially complex and tread the line between autonomy and public health issues. Creating a service pathway that puts this vulnerable cohort at the centre and that could span both inpatient and community streams would be beneficial to the over-stretched health service but most importantly to the patient.

Impact of Medicaid expansion on kidney transplantation in the State Oklahoma.

There is no data evaluating the impact of Medicaid expansion on kidney transplants (KT) in Oklahoma. To investigate the impact of Medicaid expansion on KT patients in Oklahoma. The UNOS database was utilized to evaluate data pertaining to adult KT recipients in Oklahoma in the pre-and post-Medicaid eras. Bivariate analysis, Kaplan Meier analysis was used to estimate, and cox proportional models were utilized. There were 2758 pre- and 141 recipients in the post-Medicaid expansion era. Post-expansion patients were more often non-United States citizens (2.3% vs 5.7%), American Indian, Alaskan, or Pacific Islander (7.8% vs 9.2%), Hispanic (7.4% vs 12.8%), or Asian (2.5% vs 8.5%) (P < 0.0001). Waitlist time was shorter in the post-expansion era (410 vs 253 d) (P = 0.0011). Living donor rates, pre-emptive transplants, re-do transplants, delayed graft function rates, kidney donor profile index values, panel reactive antibodies levels, and insurance types were similar. Patients with public insurance were more frail. Despite increased early (< 6 months) rejection rates, 1-year patient and graft survival were similar. In Cox proportional hazards model, male sex, American Indian, Alaskan or Pacific Islander race, public insurance, and frailty category were independent risk factors for death at 1 year. Medicaid expansion was not associated with graft failure or patient survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.07; 95%CI: 0.26-4.41). Medicaid expansion in Oklahoma is associated with increased KT access for non-White/non-Black and non-United States citizen patients with shorter wait times. 1-year graft and patient survival rates were similar before and after expansion. Medicaid expansion itself was not independently associated with graft or patient survival outcomes. Ongoing research is necessary to determine the long-term effects of Medicaid expansion.

Stable excess mortality in a multiple sclerosis cohort diagnosed 1970-2010.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is associated with excess mortality. The use of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) has recently been associated with survival benefits. A regional MS database was linked with national registries. People with MS (pwMS) diagnosed in 1971-2010 were included and followed up until the end of the year 2019. Five matched controls were acquired for every person with MS. DMTs included in the analyses were interferon and glatiramer acetate. Median follow-up time of the 1795 pwMS was 20.0 years (range 0.1-48.7 years). Survival did not differ between decades of diagnosis (p = 0.20). Amongst pwMS, male sex (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.41-2.06), higher age at diagnosis (aHR 1.83; 95% CI 1.65-2.03 per 10-year increment) and primary progressive disease course (aHR 1.29; 95% CI 1.04-1.60) were independently associated with poorer survival. DMT use was associated with better survival (p < 0.0001) and better survival during follow-up (aHR 0.56; 95% CI 0.38-0.81). Compared to matched controls, median life expectancy was 8-9 years shorter in pwMS with survival diverging from controls during the first decade after diagnosis, more clearly in men than women. Despite DMT use being associated with better survival, relative life expectancy of pwMS did not change over five decades in Western Finland. Male sex was an independent risk factor for death amongst pwMS, but excess mortality was higher in women. More work and methods are needed to improve survival in pwMS.

Survival and cardiovascular disease mortality among primary liver cancer patients: A population-based study

BackgroundThe prognosis of primary liver cancer (PLC) was influenced by death due to non-cancer causes, particularly death related to cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to analyze mortality of non-cancer causes and identify the independent risk factors associated with CVD-related deaths in PLC patients. MethodsIn total, 112140 patients were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000–2019). Independent risk factors for death from CVD in patients with PLC were identified by Cox proportional hazards model. ResultsThe median follow-up time of all PLC patients was 76 months (interquartile range (IQR): 36–129). The median overall survival (OS) was 12 months (IQR: 3–40). Patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) had shorter OS than patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (8 vs. 14 months; P < 0.001). A total of 87299 deaths were observed, among which 61477 (70.42 % of all deaths) were from PLC, and 12727 (14.58 % of all deaths) were from other cancers. Of all non-cancer deaths (9276, 10.63 %), 2860(30.86 %) were results of CVD. PLC patients had higher risks on CVD-related deaths, compared with general population (standard mortality ratio, SMR, 2.20; 95 % confidence interval, CI, 2.12–2.28). Typically, the highest SMRs appeared in the first year following cancer diagnosis. The multivariable analysis revealed the characteristics listed as followed to be independently risk factors of CVD: age, male (hazard ratio, HR: 1.248, 95%CI: 1.147–1.359), black race (HR: 1.334, 95%CI: 1.195–1.490), year 2016–2019 of diagnosis (HR 0.758, 95%CI: 0.671–0.856), ICC (HR: 1.202, 95%CI: 1.086–1.330), without surgery (HR: 2.479, 95%CI: 2.266–2.711) and without chemotherapy (HR: 2.211, 95%CI: 2.033–2.403). ConclusionIt is essential to take cardiovascular health into consideration at the time of diagnosis for PLC patients as the risk of CVD mortality is significantly higher than that of general population.

Clinical characteristics and prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation among older patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction hospitalized for acute heart failure.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are often coexisting conditions, but their interrelationship has not yet been clarified. This study investigated the clinical characteristics and prognostic impact of AF among older patients with HFpEF hospitalized for acute HF (AHF). The study included patients 65years of age and older who were admitted to the Emergency Department due to AHF from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2019. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence of AF. The primary endpoint was all-cause, in-hospital mortality. Overall, 770 patients with HFpEF were included, mean age 82years, 53% were females. Nearly, a third (30%) of these patients had a concomitant AF and they were significantly older and had higher N-Terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) values. Overall, the in-hospital mortality rate was much higher among HFpEF patients with AF compared to those without AF (11.4% vs 6.9%, respectively; p = 0.037). At multivariate analysis, AF emerged as an independent risk factor for death (OR 1.73 [1.03-2.92]; p = 0.038). Among older patients with HFpEF admitted for AHF, the coexistence of AF was associated with a nearly twofold increased risk of all-cause in-hospital mortality. Patients with HFpEF and AF describe a phenotype of older and more symptomatic patients, with higher NT-proBNP, left atrial enlargement, right ventricular dysfunction, and higher CV mortality.

Prognostic value of novel atherogenic indices in patients with acute myocardial infarction with and without type 2 diabetes

AimsAtherogenic indices: Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, Atherogenic Index of Plasma (AIP), Atherogenic Coefficient (AC), Castelli's Risk Index I and II (CRI-I, CRI-II) are used in clinical studies as surrogates of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). Risk prediction of MACCE in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has vital role in clinical practice. We aimed to assess prognostic value of these indices following AMI. MethodsWe analyzed patients with AMI with and without T2DM and the prognostic values of atherogenic indices for in-hospital death and MACCE within 12 months after AMI. ResultsOf 2461 patients, 152 in-hospital deaths (6.2 %) were reported (74 patients [7.4 %] with T2DM and 78 [5.3 %] without T2DM; p = 0.042). MACCE occurred in 22.7 % of patients (29.7 % with T2DM and 17.9 % without T2DM; p < 0.001). TG/HDL-C and AIP were higher in T2DM patients compared to those without T2DM (p < 0.001). Long-term MACCE was more prevalent in patients with T2DM (p < 0.001). The AUC-ROC for predicting in-hospital death based on TG/HDL-C and AIP was 0.57 (p = 0.002). ConclusionsNone of the atherogenic indices was an independent risk factor for in-hospital death or MACCE at 12-month follow-up in patients with AMI. AIP was an independent risk factor for death at 12-month follow-up.

Exposure and outcomes of aortic valve change in patients initiating dialysis.

Aortic stenosis (AS) and aortic valve calcification (AVC) are occasionally observed in patients receiving maintenance dialysis. However, their prevalence and factors associated with them in patients undergoing dialysis remain unknown. We aimed to elucidate the aortic valve status at the time of dialysis initiation and patient prognosis based on aortic valve status. We analyzed 289 patients initiating dialysis (hemodialysis: peritoneal dialysis = 275:14) between 2016 and 2023. "AS and/or AVC" was detected using echocardiography. AS was defined as a maximum transaortic velocity > 2.0m/s. Statistical analyses including multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression were used to assess the association between patient characteristics and survival outcomes. Aortic valve changes were observed in 121 (42%) patients, among which 33 (11%) met the AS criteria. The mean age of patients in the AS, AVC without AS, and control groups was 79.1 ± 8.9, 75.9 ± 9.2, and 68.3 ± 12.9, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression models showed that only age was associated with aortic valve changes (P < 0.001). Age and other important factor-adjusted multivariable Cox regression models showed that AS was an independent risk factor for death after dialysis initiation (hazard ratio (HR): 1.95, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06 - 3.59, P = 0.04). However, aortic valve changes ("AS and/or AVC") were not a risk factor for death (HR: 1.51, 95% CI 0.95 - 2.39, P = 0.08). With the growing older population undergoing dialysis, aortic valve changes should be closely monitored. Particularly, AS is crucial because of its impact on patient prognosis.

High myoglobin level as an independent risk factor for death in elderly patients with critical COVID-19 infection: a retrospective case-control study

AimThis study aimed to discover risk factors for death in patients with critical COVID-19 infection in order to identify patients with a higher risk of death at an early stage.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients with critical COVID-19 infection from April 2022 to June 2022. Data were collected from the electronic medical records. Propensity matching scores were used to reduce the effect of confounding factors, such as patient baseline variables. Independent risk factors affecting patient prognosis were assessed using univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the relationship between independent and dependent variables.ResultsThe data of 132 patients with critical COVID-19 infection were included in the study. Of the 132 patients, 79 survived and 53 died. Among laboratory indicators, patients who died had higher proportions of abnormalities in procalcitonin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), creatinine, cardiac troponin I, and myoglobin. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses suggested that abnormal AST (OR = 4.98, P = 0.02), creatinine (OR = 7.93, P = 0.021), and myoglobin (OR = 103.08, P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for death. After correction for AST and creatinine, a linear relationship between myoglobin and risk of death in patients was found using restricted cubic splines.ConclusionHigh myoglobin level is an independent risk factor for death and is therefore a prognostic marker in elderly patients with severe COVID-19 infection.

The impact of quality of life on the survival of elderly patients with end-stage renal disease: a prospective multicenter cohort study in Korea.

Quality of life (QOL) is associated with mortality in dialysis patients. However, the impact of QOL index or score on elderly patients undergoing maintenance dialysis is unclear. We analyzed the relationship between QOL domains and survival in elderly end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on dialysis. We included 492 incident ESRD patients aged ≥65years from a Korean nationwide prospective cohort study who were assessed for QOL with a follow-up duration of 67.3±34.6months after dialysis initiation. Their QOL was evaluated using the Kidney Disease Quality of Life (KDQOL) instrument, and the effect of each QOL domain on mortality was analyzed. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for death after adjusting for confounding factors. Low physical component summary (PCS) and Short Form-36 score were significantly associated with low survival rate (P<.001 and P=.017, respectively), whereas the mental component summary and ESRD-targeted item scores were not correlated with survival rate. Multivariable Cox regression analysis confirmed that only a high PCS score was associated with better survival (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.52-0.97; P=.031). Linear regression analysis revealed that age, sex, modified Charlson comorbidity index, albumin and intact parathyroid hormone were associated with PCS. Among the PCS items, only the physical functioning score was significantly associated with mortality (P=.017). PCS was an independent risk factor for death in elderly ESRD patients. A higher physical functioning score was associated with a better outcome, suggesting the importance of physical condition in elderly dialysis patients.

Epidemiological and microbial trends of infective endocarditis in western Norway: a 7-year prospective observational study

BackgroundIn this prospective, observational study, we aimed to investigate epidemiologic and microbial trends of infective endocarditis in western Norway.MethodsClinical and microbiological characteristics of 497 cases of infective endocarditis from 2016 through 2022 were investigated. Categorical data were analysed using Chi-squared tests. Survival data were analysed using multiple Cox regression and reported using hazard ratios.ResultsThe mean age was 67 years, and 74% were men. The annual incidence rates varied from 10.4 to 14.1 per 100,000 inhabitants per year. Infective endocarditis on native valves was observed in 257 (52%) of the cases, whereas infective endocarditis on prosthetic valves and/or cardiac implantable electronic devices was observed in 240 (48%) of the cases: infection on surgically implanted bioprostheses was observed in 124 (25%) of the patients, infection on transcatheter aortic valve implantation was observed in 47 (10%) patients, and infection on mechanical valves was observed in 34 (7%) cases. Infection related to cardiac implantable electronic devices was observed in a total of 50 (10%) cases.Staphylococcus aureus and viridans streptococci were the most common microbial causes, and isolated in 145 (29%) and 130 (26%) of the cases, respectively.Enterococcal endocarditis showed a rising trend during the study period and constituted 90 (18%) of our total cases of infective endocarditis, and 67%, 47%, and 26% of the cases associated with prosthetic material, transcatheter aortic valve implantation and cardiac implantable electronic devices, respectively.There was no significant difference in 90-day mortality rates between the native valve endocarditis group (12%) and the group with infective endocarditis on prosthetic valves or cardiac implants (14%), p = 0.522. In a model with gender, age, people who inject drugs, microbiology and type of valve affected, only advanced age was significantly associated with fatal outcome within 90 days.ConclusionsThe incidence of infective endocarditis, and particularly enterococcal endocarditis, increased during the study period. Enterococci appeared to have a particular affinity for prosthetic cardiac material. Advanced age was the only independent risk factor for death within 90 days.