Independent Prognostic Factor For PFS Research Articles

Analysis of risk characteristics for early progression and late progression in locally advanced rectal cancer patients: a large population-based and validated study.

The current study aimed to explore the factors influencing early progression (EP) and late progression (LP) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients. The patients were classified into EP and LP groups using one year as a cutoff. The random survival forest model was utilized to calculate the probability of time-to-progression. Besides, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) were conducted to validate our results. Our study revealed that PNI, CEA level, and pathological stage were independent prognostic factors for PFS both in EP group and LP group. For EP group patients, Group 1 had the highest probability of progression at the 9th month of follow-up, while Group 2 exhibited the highest probability at the 6th month. Group 3, on the other hand, showed two peaks of progression at the 4th and 8th months of follow-up. As for LP group patients, Groups 4, 5, and 6 all exhibited peaks of progression between the 18th and 24th months of follow-up. Furthermore, our results suggested that PNI was also an independent prognostic factor affecting OS in both EP group and LP group. Finally, the analysis of IPTW and SEER database further confirmed our findings. Our results indicated a significant correlation between immune and nutritional status with PFS and OS in both EP and LP groups. These insights can aid healthcare professionals in effectively identifying and evaluating patients' nutritional status, enabling them to develop tailored nutrition plans and interventions.

The systemic oxidative stress score has a prognostic value on gastric cancer patients undergoing surgery.

Oxidative stress is strongly associated with the development, recurrence metastasis, and treatment of gastric cancer. It is yet unknown, though, how systemic oxidative stress levels relate to the surgically treated gastric cancer patients' clinical results. This research aims to investigate the prognostic effect of systemic oxidative stress score, also known as systematic oxidative stress score (SOS), on gastric cancer patients undergoing surgical treatment. Development of the SOS Formula through Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator LASSO Cox Regression. By using optimal cut-off values, the 466 patients included in the study had been split into high SOS and low SOS groups. Utilizing Chi-square test and the Wilcoxon rank sum test, this research examined the relationship between SOS and clinical traits. With the aid of Kaplan-Meier and COX regression analysis, the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer was examined. SOS consisted of four oxidative stress-related laboratory indices. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses revealed that SOS, Age, CA724, Radical resection and TNM stage were crucial prognostic factors for OS, and the independent prognostic factors for PFS included Age, CA724, TNM stage and SOS. They could have their prognosis correctly predicted using a nomogram built around SOS and independent prognostic variables. SOS is a practical and reasonably priced tool for determining a patient's prognosis for gastric cancer. More notably, SOS is an accurate prognostic factor for patients with advanced gastric cancer who has undergone radical surgery.

Real-world prognostic significance of attaining minimal residual disease negativity in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma

The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of minimal residual disease (MRD) in the real-world setting and the interaction between MRD and molecular risk, clinical response and autologous stem-cell transplant (ASCT). A retrospective analysis of 275 newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients who achieved very good partial remission (VGPR) or better before maintenance were involved. We examined MRD status by multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC). At a median follow-up of 37 months (4–88 months), In patients who achieved ≥ VGPR, those with MRD negativity had significantly longer PFS (51 vs. 26 months; P < 0.001) and OS (Not reached: NR vs. 62 months, P < 0.001) than those with MRD positivity. MRD positivity was the independent prognostic factor for PFS with hazard ratios of 2.650 (95% CI 1.755–4.033, P < 0.001) and OS with hazard ratios of 2.122 (95% CI 1.155–3.899, P = 0.015). Achieving MRD negativity was able to ameliorate a poor prognosis associated with genetic high risk. MRD negativity was associated with better PFS regardless of ASCT treatment. MRD status was more predictable for clinical outcome than conventional clinical responses. Moreover, Sustained MRD negativity ≥ 12 or ≥ 24 months improved both PFS and OS. Patients with NDMM who achieved MRD-negative status or sustained MRD negativity had deep remission and improved clinical outcomes regardless of high-risk cytogenetics, ASCT and clinical responses in a real-world setting.

Spread Through Air Spaces in Stage I to III Resected Lung Adenocarcinomas: Should the Presence of Spread Through Air Spaces Lead to an Upstaging?

In recent years, the concept of spread through air spaces (STAS) has been discussed as an adverse prognostic factor for lung cancer. The aim of our study is to clarify the prognostic role of STAS in relation to the main recognized prognostic factors in a retrospective cohort of 330 European patients who underwent stages I to III lung adenocarcinoma resection. On univariate analysis, the presence of STAS was related to progression-free survival (PFS; hazard ratio [HR]: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.02-2.19; P = 0.038) and overall survival (OS; HR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.03-2.52; P = 0.50). On multivariate analysis, STAS was related to PFS (HR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.00-2.17; P = 0.050) and to OS (HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.00-2.81; P = 0.050). We showed that the presence of STAS was associated with lower PFS, equivalent to the next pathologic T stage, especially the median PFS of T3 stages without STAS was at 62.8 months while the median PFS of T3 stages with STAS was at 15.7 months, closer to the median PFS of 17.4 months in T4 stages. To conclude, STAS is an independent prognostic factor of PFS in this European cohort and is close to significance for OS. We suggest that the presence of STAS might lead to an upstaging of lung adenocarcinoma.

Impact of time-of-day on nivolumab monotherapy infusion in patients with metastatic gastric cancer.

268 Background: Nivolumab monotherapy, an immune checkpoint inhibitor, is a standard of care for patients with metastatic gastric cancer (mGC) as a later-line treatment. Several studies have suggested that the circadian rhythm is essential in immune system function, including anti-cancer immunity. This study evaluated whether the time-of-day patterns of nivolumab infusion alter the efficacy of mGC treatment. Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed 298 consecutive mGC patients who received nivolumab monotherapy at a single institution between December 2014 and December 2022. Patients were divided into early (EA)- and late (LA)-nivolumab infusion groups: EA group = ≥70% of their infusions before 14:00, and LA group = &lt;70% of their infusions before 14:00. Treatment efficacy (overall response rate [ORR], disease control rate [DCR], progression-free survival [PFS], and overall survival [OS]) was evaluated. Multivariate analyses included variables with P values &lt;0.1 in univariate analyses. Results: A total of 248 patients were eligible; 140 were classified as having EA, and 108 as having LA. Most baseline characteristics were similar between EA and LA. In contrast, the median infusion time was earlier in EA than in LA (11:50 vs. 14:22). The median follow-up time was 9.0 months (range, 1.2–64.7 months). ORR and DCR were significantly higher in the EA than in the LA among 149 patients with measurable lesions (ORR, 16.9% vs. 3.3%, P=0.01; DCR, 47.2% vs. 20.0%, P&lt;0.01). Patients with EA had significantly better prognoses than those with LA in terms of PFS (median PFS, 2.3 vs. 1.6 months.; hazard ratios [HR], 0.65; P&lt;0.01) and OS (median OS, 7.6 vs. 3.9 months.; HR, 0.64; P&lt;0.01). EA patients received the subsequent chemotherapy more frequently than those in LA (54% vs. 32%; P&lt;0.01). Multivariate analyses, including factors such as age, ECOG performance status, histological type, ascites, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, and timing of nivolumab infusion, showed that EA was an independent prognostic factor for PFS (adjusted HR, 0.66; P&lt;0.01) and OS (adjusted HR, 0.62; P&lt;0.01). Conclusions: Our data suggest that efforts to schedule nivolumab infusions before mid-afternoon could be considered in daily practice.

Predictive value of immunotherapy-induced inflammation indexes: dynamic changes in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors

BackgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have achieved substantial advancements in clinical care. However, there is no strong evidence for identified biomarkers of ICIs in NPC.MethodsIn this retrospective study, 284 patients were enrolled into a training or validation cohort. Inflammatory indexes based on peripheral blood parameters were evaluated, including the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR), and the lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR). The optimum cut-off value for patient stratification was identified using X-tile. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox’s proportional regression analyses were used to identify prognostic factors.ResultsImmunotherapy significantly changed the levels of SII, NLR, PLR, LCR and LMR in NPC patients. Patients with lower SII, NLR, and PLR, as well as those with higher LCR and LMR, before immunotherapy had superior PFS (all p < 0.05). Moreover, PFS in the decreased SII, reduced NLR and increased LMR group was significantly longer than in the opposite group (all p < 0.05). Both univariate and multivariate analyses validated that baseline SII and LMR, and the immunotherapy-related SII reduction and LMR elevation were independent prognostic factors for PFS in advanced NPC patients receiving ICIs.ConclusionsImmune checkpoint inhibitor treatments significantly changed the levels of SII, NLR, PLR, LCR and LMR in NPC patients treated with immunotherapy. A lower baseline SII and a higher baseline LMR, and a reduction in SII and an elevation in LMR after immunotherapy are favorable factors for predicting survival among advanced NPC patients.

Abstract C015: FGFR1 and RB1 genetic alteration impair clinical benefit of CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy in HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer

Abstract Background: One of the great challenges for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer (ABC) is to determine who respond poorly to cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i). Chemotherapy is still used in HR+/HER2- patients. We aimed to explore cfDNA biomarkers for CDK4/6i plus endocrine therapy (ET), and compare its efficacy with chemotherapy in subgroups stratified by clinical and cfDNA characteristics. Method: Patients diagnosed with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer underwent first-line CDK4/6i plus ET or chemotherapy in Peking University Cancer Hospital from January 2018 to June 2022 were enrolled in this study. Baseline blood samples of patients were collected before first-line treatment for cfDNA sequencing. Results: Among all the 125 patients included in this study, the median PFS (mPFS) of CDK4/6i plus ET group (n=51) was significantly longer than patients treated with chemotherapy(n=74) (22.0 vs. 16.0 months, P = 0.025). In multivariate analysis, RB1 loss (Hazard ratio [HR] = 6.4, adjusted P = 0.031), FGFR1 gain (HR: 4.9, adjusted P = 0.030) were associated with shorter PFS of patients treated with CDK4/6i plus ET. A better efficacy of CDK4/6i plus ET was observed in patients with visceral metastasis, higher Ki-67 (≥20%) and smaller SLD (&amp;lt; 35mm) than chemotherapy. In subgroup analysis, interaction effects were found between RB1 loss (P interaction = 0.028), FGFR1 gain (P interaction = 0.004) and first-line treatment. Conclusion: This study revealed that FGFR1 gain and RB1 loss are independent prognostic factors for PFS of CDK4/6i plus ET, and chemotherapy was not superior to CDK4/6i plus ET in the absence of FGFR1 gain and RB1 loss, which might improve selection of patients for CDK4/6 inhibitors. Citation Format: Jianxin Zhong, Bin Shao, Hanfang Jiang, Huiping Li. FGFR1 and RB1 genetic alteration impair clinical benefit of CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy in HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR-NCI-EORTC Virtual International Conference on Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics; 2023 Oct 11-15; Boston, MA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Mol Cancer Ther 2023;22(12 Suppl):Abstract nr C015.

Impact of Folinic Acid Dosing on Efficacy and Toxicity of High-Dose Methotrexate in Central Nervous System Lymphoma

Treatment of primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) is centered around a backbone of high-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) with folinic acid (FA) rescue. Higher FA doses were associated with treatment failure in several retrospective studies in acute lymphatic leukemia (ALL), leading to the adoption of lower FA doses in ALL treatment protocols. In PCNSL, FA doses have varied widely, guidelines and consensus statements generally do not address FA dosing, and the effect of FA dosing on treatment outcomes has not been assessed. We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of patients treated at our institute for PCNSL between the years 2014 and 2022 to address this question. Patient characteristics are listed in table 1. Complete dosing data was available for 36 patients. The median number of HDMTX doses administered was 6.5 (range, 2-9;), with an average dose of 3.9 g/m 2 (SD +/- 0.74; range, 2.7-5.0). Per the local protocol, IV FA rescue began 24 hours after each MTX infusion at a fixed dose of 50 mg four times daily and continued until MTX clearance. The average cumulative dose of FA administered per treatment was 322 mg/m 2 (SD +/- 141; range, 140-700). 33 patients (92%) achieved either a partial or complete response on MRI following induction treatment. Three (8%) had progressive disease. 26 patients (72%) proceeded with consolidation treatment. Of these, 16 (44%) underwent autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant. At a median follow up of 1.6 years (range, 0.3-8.1), 12 patients (33%) suffered progressive disease, disease relapse, or death. The 2-year PFS probability for the entire cohort was estimated at 64.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 49.4-84.1%), and the 2-year OS as 70.7% (95% CI 56.0-89.2%). In univariate Cox regression analysis, average FA dose during MTX treatment was a significant predictor of both PFS and OS, with hazard ratios (HR) of 2.22 (95% CI 1.39-3.55; p &amp;lt; 0.001) and 2.07 (95% CI 1.31-3.29; p = 0.002), respectively, for each 100 mg/m 2 increase. The FA dose during the first treatment cycle, before assessment of response, was also significantly associated with worse PFS (HR 1.56; 95% CI 1.24-1.96; p &amp;lt; 0.001) and OS (HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.14-1.74; p = 0.001). A trend towards worse PFS and OS was seen with male gender, elevated serum LDH, and deep structure involvement. A Cox multivariate regression analysis using the variables age, gender, serum LDH, deep structure involvement, and the average MTX and FA doses, identified FA dose as an independent prognostic factor for PFS, with an estimated hazard ratio (HR) of 2.23 for each 100 mg/m 2 increase (95% CI, 1.25-3.97; p = 0.006). A smaller effect was seen when the FA dose during only the first treatment cycle was examined (HR 1.55; 95% CI 1.16-2.08; p = 0.003). Involvement of deep structures was also significantly associated with worse PFS, with an estimated HR of 8.59 (95% CI, 1.28-57.5; p = 0.027), and there was a borderline significant trend for worse PFS with male gender and elevated LDH. None of the examined variables were identified as statistically significant predictors of OS in the multivariate analysis. Logistic regression with 2-year PFS as the dependent variable was used to define a cutoff value of 350 mg/m 2 for FA dose. The group of patients who received FA doses above and below this threshold showed significantly different PFS curves (figure 1). The 2-year PFS probability was estimated at 56.6% (95% CI, 35.4-90.5%) for patients who received doses of FA above this threshold, and 70.5% (95% CI, 51.7%-96.2%) for patients who received doses below it. We identified no effect of FA dosing on hematologic, renal, hepatic, or gastrointestinal toxicity at the dose ranges examined. In summary, we found that high FA doses were associated with inferior PFS in PCNSL. Such high doses may be avoided through use of lower individual doses of FA, such as 15 mg/m 2 or 25 mg fixed doses as have been used in some protocols, rather than the 50 mg or higher doses used in our and other's practice. Our conclusions are moderated by the study's limitations, which include a small sample size limited to a single center and a retrospective design. However, they suggest that optimizing FA dosing in treatment of PCNSL might improve treatment efficacy without excess toxicity. Future larger and prospective studies will be required to better define the range of MTX and FA doses at which the balance between prevention of treatment toxicity and preservation of treatment efficacy is preserved.

Clinical Significance of Measurable Residual Disease (MRD) in Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM) Patients (Pts) Treated with Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T Cells and T-Cell Engagers (TCE)

Clinical Significance of Measurable Residual Disease (MRD) in Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM) Patients (Pts) Treated with Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T Cells and T-Cell Engagers (TCE)

An integrated model of CDCA5 and FOXM1 expression combined with a residual disease that predicts prognosis in ovarian cancer patients.

Ovarian cancer (OC) is the most prevalent type of gynecologic cancer, leading to global death. Unfortunately, less than half of patients diagnosed with this cancer survive for up to five years. The factor forkhead box M1 (FOXM1) is a crucial oncoprotein in ovarian cancer and is currently recognized as a potential therapeutic target. The role of the Cell division cycle-associated 5 (CDCA5) is critical for advancing different types of cancers. However, the significance of CDCA5 in OC from a clinical perspective is not well comprehended. This study aimed to build a risk prognosis model and assess the data supporting the prognostic usefulness of CDCA5 and FOXM1 expression in patients with OC. In OC, we found that CDCA5 and FOXM1 were expressed. To establish the existence of variables that were independently related to PFS and OS, Cox regression, data from clinics, and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used. A risk score model and nomogram were created using the independent prognostic parameters. The accuracy of the model's predictions was then evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic(ROC) analysis. Finally, the patients were separated into groups based on their cut-off value, and then the differences in survival were investigated. Significant correlations were found between OC and CDCA5, and FOXM1 expression levels (P <0.0001). Serous ovarian tumors (P=0.025) and even specific subgroups of high-grade serous ovarian tumors were shown to have elevated CDCA5 expression levels. In our database, FOXM1 expression levels were discovered to be related to intestinal metastases (P=0.014). In OC, the expression of FOXM1 was positively correlated with the overexpression of CDCA5 (rs=0.46, P<0.0001). The results of the multivariate analysis indicated that residual disease (RD) (P=0.005), CDCA5 expression level (P=0.028), and FOXM1 expression level (P<0.0001) were identified as independent prognostic factors for PFS. Additionally, RD (P=0.023) and FOXM1 expression level (P<0.0001) were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS. While the prediction model's performance with RD was poor (AUC=0.645 for PFS, AUC=0.650 for OS), the model's performance with tissue biomarkers was enhanced (AUC=0.797 for PFS, AUC=0.741 for OS). The nomogram and risk score method showed a benefit for prognosis prediction. In summary, poor outcomes are predicted by CDCA5, which is overexpressed in OC patients and has a positive correlation with the level of FOXM1 expression. An aid to prognosis prediction in patients with OC and a resource for therapy planning is a risk prognosis model based on CDCA5 and FOXM1 expression with RD.

Survival impact of bowel resection in patients with FIGO stage II-IV ovarian cancer.

To compare the effect of bowel resection vs stripping on the clinical outcomes of patients with FIGO II-IV ovarian cancer. We retrospectively analyzed patients with FIGO II-IV ovarian cancer who suffered from bowel involvement and underwent cytoreductive surgery between January 2014 and March 2022. Patients' survival was compared by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. Four hundred and twelve patients were included. 48 patients underwent bowel resection (BR), and 364 patients underwent bowel tumor stripping (BTS). The BR group had longer operative duration, hospital stay, time to post-operative chemotherapy, and more intraoperative bleeding. The median PFS was 37months (95% CI 12-62) in BTS compared to 25months (95% CI 10-40) in BR among patients who achieved R0 resection (p = 0.590). Among those with R1 resection, the median PFS in BST was 23months (95% CI 16-30) and that in BR was 15months (95% CI 12-18, p = 0.136); moreover, a favorable median PFS was observed in BTS with residual bowel lesions (23months, 95% CI 14-32), compared to BR (15months, 95% CI 12-18, p = 0.144). Multivariate analysis indicated that FIGO stage, PCI, cytoreduction time and residual lesions were independent prognostic factors of PFS. For patients with FIGO stage II-IV ovarian cancer with bowel implicated, bowel resection is necessary to achieve complete removal to improve the survival. If complete resection was judged unfeasible, cautious decision of bowel resection is required. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy might reduce the ratio of bowel resection for some with mesenteric involvement.

A promising predictive biomarker combined EBV NDA with PNI for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in nonendemic area of China

In endemic areas, EBV DNA is used to guide diagnosis, detect recurrence and distant metastasis of NPC. Until now, the importance of EBV DNA in the prediction of NPC has received little attention in non-endemic regions. To explore the prognostic value of EBV DNA alone or in combination with PNI in NPC patients from a non-endemic area of China. In this retrospective study, 493 NPC patients were enrolled. Clinical pathologic data, pre-treatment plasma EBV DNA, and laboratory tests were all performed. A standard anticancer treatment was prescribed, and follow up data were collected. EBV DNA was found to be positively related to clinical stage (r = 0.357, P < 0.001), T stage (r = 0.193, P < 0.001), N stage (r = 0.281, P < 0.001), and M stage (r = 0.215, P < 0.001). The difference in EBV DNA loads between clinical stage, T, N and M stage was statistically significant (P < 0.001). In this study, the best cutoff value for EBV-DNA to distinguish the prognosis of NPC was 262.7 copies/ml. The 5-year OS of patients in the EBV-DNA ≤ 262.7 copies/ml group and EBV-DNA > 262.7 copies/ml group was 88% and 65.3%, respectively (P < 0.001). EBV-DNA and PNI were found to be independent prognostic factors for OS in multivariate analysis (P < 0.05). EBV-DNA was independent prognostic factors for PFS. In predicting NPC patients OS, the novel combination marker of EBV DNA and PNI outperformed TNM staging (AUC: 0.709 vs. 0.675). In addition, the difference between EBV + PNI and EBV + TNM was not statistically significant for OS or PFS (P > 0.05). This novel combination biomarker was a promising biomarker for predicting NPC survival and may one day guide treatment option.

Prognostic value of [18F]-FDG PET/CT in patients with meta-static breast cancer treated with cyclin-dependent inhibitors.

The addition of cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) to endocrine therapy impressively improved the outcome of patients with hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer. Despite their great efficacy, not all patients respond to treatment and many of them develop acquired resistance. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the role of [18F]-FDG PET/CT in predicting PFS and OS in breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6i. 114 patients who performed an [18F]-FDG PET/CT scan before (PET1) and 2-6 months (PET2) after starting treatment were retrospectively enrolled. Metabolic response was evaluated by EORTC, PERCIST and Deauville Score and correlated to PFS and OS. In patients who did not progress at PET2 (n = 90), PFS rates were not significantly different between classes of response by EORTC and PERCIST. Conversely, patients showing a Deauville score ≤3 had a longer PFS (median PFS 42 vs 21.0 months; p = 0.008). A higher total metabolic tumor volume at PET1 (TMTV1) was also associated with a shorter PFS (median 18 vs 42 months; p = 0.0026). TMTV1 and Deauville score were the only independent prognostic factors for PFS at multivariate analysis and their combination stratified the population in four definite classes of relapse risk. Conversely, the above parameters did not affect OS which was only influenced by a progressive metabolic disease at PET2 (3-years survival rate 29.8 vs 84.9%; p<0.0001). TMTV and metabolic response by Deauville score were significant prognostic factors for PFS in patients with breast cancer treated with CDK4/6i. Their determination could help physicians to select patients who may need a closer follow up.

Body composition predicts prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) with anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibody are promising treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but lack reliable biomarkers of response. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the correlation between pre-treatment body composition measures (muscle, adipose, etc.) and the prognosis of patients with HCC treated with ICIs. We measured the total area of all skeletal muscles, total adipose tissue area, subcutaneous adipose tissue area, and visceral adipose tissue area at the level of the third lumbar vertebra using quantitative CT. Then, we calculated the skeletal muscle index, visceral adipose tissue index, subcutaneous adipose tissue index (SATI), and total adipose tissue index. The Cox regression model was used to determine the independent factors of the patient prognosis and construct a nomogram to predict survival. The consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve were used to determine the predictive accuracy and discrimination ability of the nomogram. Multivariate analysis revealed that the SATI (high- vs. low SATI; HR 0.251; 95% CI 0.109-0.577; P = 0.001), sarcopenia (sarcopenia vs. no sarcopenia; HR 2.171; 95% CI 1.100-4.284; P = 0.026), and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) (PVTT vs. No PVTT; HR 2.429; 95% CI 1. 197-4. 929; P = 0.014) were indicated as independent prognostic factors for OS in multivariate analysis. Multivariate analysis indicated that Child-Pugh class (HR 0.477, 95% CI 0.257-0.885, P = 0.019) and sarcopenia (HR 2.376, 95% CI 1.335-4.230, P = 0.003) were independent prognostic factors of PFS. We established a nomogram using SATI, SA, and PVTT to predict the 12-month and 18-month survival probability of HCC patients treated with ICIs. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.754 (95% CI 0.686-0.823), and the calibration curve confirmed that the predicted results were in good agreement with the actual observations. Subcutaneous adipose and sarcopenia are significant prognostic factors of patients with HCC receiving ICIs. A nomogram based on body composition parameters and clinical factors could well predict survival in HCC patients treated with ICIs.

Real-World Efficacy and Safety of Thoracic Radiotherapy after First-Line Chemo-Immunotherapy in Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

(1) Background: At present, the efficacy and safety of thoracic radiotherapy (TRT) after chemo-immunotherapy (CT-IT) in patients with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) still remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of TRT after CT-IT in patients with ES-SCLC. (2) Methods: From January 2020 to October 2021, patients with ES-SCLC treated with first-line anti-PD-L1 antibody plus platinum-etoposide chemotherapy were enrolled retrospectively. The survival data and adverse events data of patients treated with or without TRT after CT-IT were collected for analysis. (3) Results: A total of 118 patients with ES-SCLC treated with first-line CT-IT were retrospectively enrolled, with 45 patients with TRT and 73 patients without TRT after CT-IT. The median PFS and OS in the CT-IT + TRT group and CT-IT only group were 8.0 months versus 5.9 months (HR = 0.64, p = 0.025) and 22.7 months versus 14.7 months (HR = 0.52, p = 0.015), respectively. The median PFS and OS in all 118 patients treated with first-line CT-IT were 7.2 and 19.8 months with an ORR of 72.0%. In multivariate analyses, liver metastasis and response to CT-IT were shown to be independent prognostic factors of PFS (p < 0.05), while liver metastasis and bone metastasis were independent predictive factors of OS (p < 0.05). Although TRT was significantly associated with better PFS and OS in univariate analysis, the association of TRT and OS failed to reach statistical significance (HR = 0.564, p = 0.052) in multivariate analysis. There was no significant difference in adverse events (AEs) between two treatment groups (p = 0.58). (4) Conclusions: ES-SCLC patients treated with TRT after first-line CT-IT had prolonged PFS and OS with an acceptable safety profile. Further prospective randomized studies are necessary to explore the efficacy and safety of this treatment modality for ES-SCLC in future.

Chemotherapy outcomes in EGFR-TKI resistant patients with common and uncommon EGFR mutation: An exploratory retrospective cohort study.

Some prospective studies have shown that second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) provide better control in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with uncommon epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations. However, studies comparing second-line chemotherapy efficacy between NSCLC patients with common and uncommon EGFR mutations remain rare. This retrospective study compared treatment outcomes in these patients. Patients with EGFR-mutated advanced-stage NSCLC who received first-line EGFR-TKIs in a tertiary referral center were retrospectively reviewed between January 2010 and August 2022. Patients with a negative T790M test at disease progression who received second-line chemotherapy were enrolled. We compared progression-free (PFS) and overall (OS) survival between advanced NSCLC patients with common and uncommon EGFR mutations using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. In total, 209 (54.8%) patients had a negative T790M mutation test and received second-line chemotherapy, of which 192 (91.8%) had a common EGFR mutation (exon 19 deletion or exon 21 L858R substitution), and 17 (8.2%) had an uncommon EGFR mutation. Patients with common EGFR mutations had significantly longer PFS than those with uncommon EGFR mutations (4.57 vs. 2.57 months, p = 0.031). A Cox proportional hazard regression analysis controlling for potential confounding factors indicated that an uncommon EGFR mutation was an independent prognostic factor for PFS. This study suggests that patients with uncommon EGFR mutations have poorer chemotherapy responses and shorter survival than those with common EGFR mutations. The development of new treatment strategies for these patients remains an unmet need.

Prognostic evaluation of patients with glioblastoma using a new score prediction model

Despite the wide reportage of prognostic factors for glioblastoma (GBM), it is difficult to determine how these factors interact to affect patients’ survival. To determine the combination of prognostic factors, we retrospectively analyzed the clinic data of 248 IDH wild-type GBM patients and built a novel prediction model. The survival variables of patients were identified via univariate and multivariate analyses. In addition, the score prediction models were constructed by combining classification and regression tree (CART) analysis with Cox regression analysis. Finally, the prediction model was internally validated using the bootstrap method. Patients were followed for a median of 34.4 (interquartile range, 26.1–46.0) months. Multivariate analysis identified gross total resection (GTR) (HR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.38–0.67), unopened ventricles (HR 0.75 [0.57–0.99]), and MGMT methylation (HR 0.56 [0.41–0.76]) as favorable independent prognostic factors for PFS. GTR (HR 0.67 [0.49–0.92]), unopened ventricles (HR 0.60 [0.44–0.82]), and MGMT methylation (HR 0.54 [0.38–0.76]) were favorable independent prognostic factors for OS. In the process of building the model, we incorporated GTR, ventricular opening, MGMT methylation status, and age. The model had six and five terminal nodules in PFS and OS respectively. We grouped terminal nodes with similar hazard ratios together to form three sub-groups with different PFS and OS (P < 0.001). After the internal verification of bootstrap method, the model had a good fitting and calibration. GTR, unopened ventricles, and MGMT methylation were independently associated with more satisfactory survival. The novel score prediction model which we construct can provide a prognostic reference for GBM.

Circulating CD137+ T Cell Levels Are Correlated with Response to Pembrolizumab Treatment in Advanced Head and Neck Cancer Patients.

Pembrolizumab, an anti-PD-1 antibody, has been approved as first-line treatment for recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma ((R/M) HNSCC). However, only a minority of patients benefit from immunotherapy, which highlights the need to identify novel biomarkers to optimize treatment strategies. CD137+ T cells have been identified as tumour-specific T cells correlated with immunotherapy responses in several solid tumours. In this study, we investigated the role of circulating CD137+ T cells in (R/M) HNSCC patients undergoing pembrolizumab treatment. PBMCs obtained from 40 (R/M) HNSCC patients with a PD-L1 combined positive score (CPS) ≥1 were analysed at baseline via cytofluorimetry for the expression of CD137, and it was found that the percentage of CD3+CD137+ cells is correlated with the clinical benefit rate (CBR), PFS, and OS. The results show that levels of circulating CD137+ T cells are significantly higher in responder patients than in non-responders (p = 0.03). Moreover, patients with CD3+CD137+ percentage ≥1.65% had prolonged OS (p = 0.02) and PFS (p = 0.02). Multivariate analysis, on a combination of biological and clinical parameters, showed that high levels of CD3+CD137+ cells (≥1.65%) and performance status (PS) = 0 are independent prognostic factors of PFS (CD137+ T cells, p = 0.007; PS, p = 0.002) and OS (CD137+ T cells, p = 0.006; PS, p = 0.001). Our results suggest that levels of circulating CD137+ T cells could serve as biomarkers for predicting the response of (R/M) HNSCC patients to pembrolizumab treatment, thus contributing to the success of anti-cancer treatment.

Prognostic value of metabolic tumor volume and lesion dissemination from baseline PET/CT in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: Further risk stratification of the group with low-risk and high-risk NCCN-IPI

PurposeThe purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of metabolic tumor volume and lesion dissemination from baseline PET/CT in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) and the prognostic value of them in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network International Prognostic Index (NCCN-IPI) subgroups. MethodsA total of 113 patients who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT examination in our institution were retrospectively collected. The MTV was measured by iterative adaptive algorithm. The location of the lesion was obtained according to its three-dimensional coordinates, and Dmax was obtained. SDmax is derived from Dmax standardized by body surface area (BSA). The X-tile method was used to determine the optimal cut-off values for MTV, Dmax and SDmax. Cox regression analysis was used to perform univariate and multivariate analyses. Patient survival rates were derived from Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using the log-rank test. ResultsThe median follow-up time was 24 months. The median of MTV was 196.86 cm3 (range 2.54–2925.37 cm3), and the optimal cut-off value was 489 cm3. The median of SDmax was 0.25 m−1 (range 0.12–0.51 m−1), and the best cut-off value was 0.31 m−1. MTV and SDmax were independent prognostic factors of PFS (all P < 0.001). Combined with MTV and SDmax, the patients were divided into three groups, and the difference of PFS among the groups was statistically significant (P < 0.001), and was able to stratify the risk of NCCN-IPI patients in the low-risk (NCCN-IPI < 4) and high-risk (NCCN-IPI ≥ 4) groups (P = 0.001 and P = 0.031). ConclusionMTV and SDmax are independent prognostic factors for PFS in DCBCL patients, which describe tumor burden and tumor dissemination characteristics, respectively. The combination of the two could facilitate risk stratification between the low-risk and high-risk NCCN-IPI groups.

Abstract P1-04-01: High HER2/CEP17 ratio is associated with better treatment outcomes in advanced HER2-positive breast cancer treated with pertuzumab, trastuzumab, and docetaxel regardless of HER2 2+ or 3+ results

Abstract Background: Dual HER2 blockade with trastuzumab and pertuzumab combined with docetaxel (DHP) is the standard first-line treatment option for patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. However, HER2 positivity alone often fails to predict treatment outcome of HER2 targeted therapy. The magnitude of HER2 immunohistochemical staining (IHC) and HER2/CEP17 ratio from in situ hybridization (ISH) is a well-known predictive biomarker for HER2 targeted therapy. In the neo-adjuvant setting, patients with HER2 IHC 3+ have higher pathologic complete response (pCR) rate compared to HER2 IHC&amp;lt; 3+ with HER2 ISH positive. In addition, higher HER2/CEP17 ratio is associated with higher pCR rate in HER2-positive breast cancer patients treated with dual HER2 blockade regimens. However, there is no data whether there is an association between HER2/CEP17 ratio and treatment outcome of DHP regimen in patients with advanced of metastatic breast cancer especially among those with HER2 IHC 3+. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study with patients with locally advanced or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer who were treated with first-line palliative DHP regimen between August 2008 and January 2021 at Seoul National University Hospital. In the clinical setting, HER2 IHC 3+ is defined as HER2 positive and no further ISH testing is required. Additional ISH was performed in patients with HER2 IHC 3+ without archival HER2 ISH results. The association between HER2/CEP17 ratio and treatment outcome was assessed. Results: In total, 165 patients were included with a median follow-up duration of 28.0 months. Among the 165 patients, 35 patients had archival ISH result and additional ISH was performed in 53 patients. The correlation between HER2/CEP17 ratio and treatment outcome was assessed in 88 patients. Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that HER2/CEP17 ratio is correlated with PFS (HR 0.23, 95% CI 0.11-0.49, p &amp;lt; 0.001). When dichotomized by the median HER2/CEP17 ratio of 4.17, patients with higher HER2/CEP17 ratio had significantly longer PFS (37.5 vs. 17.4 months, p = 0.003) and numerically higher ORR (54.5% vs. 34.1%, p = 0.085). Multivariate analysis revealed that HER2/CEP17 ratio is an independent prognostic factor for PFS (HR 0.72, p = 0.001). Of 88 patients with ISH results, 25 had HER2 IHC 1+ or 2+ and 63 had HER2 IHC 3+. HER2/CEP17 ratio was associated with PFS in both HER2 IHC 1+/2+ patients (HR 0.12, 95% CI 0.02-0.88, p = 0.037) and HER2 IHC 3+ patients (HR 0.18, 95% CI 0.07-0.49, p = 0.001). Patients with higher HER2/CEP17 ratio had longer PFS in both HER2 IHC 1+/2+ patients (28.6 vs. 12.9 months, p = 0.003) and HER2 IHC 3+ patients (Not reached vs. 18.3 months, p = 0.005) when dichotomized by the median HER2/CEP17 of 2.95 and 4.75, respectively. Conclusion: This is the first study to report that higher HER2/CEP17 ratio is associated with longer PFS in HER2-positive advanced breast cancer patients treated with palliative first-line DHP. The strength of this study is that we identified prognostic role of ISH even in patients with HER2 IHC 3+. It would be helpful to perform ISH not only in patients whose HER2 IHC is ambiguous, but also in patients with HER2 IHC 3+ to make better prediction of treatment outcome. Table 1. Patient characteristics. Citation Format: Jeongmin Seo, Jiwon Koh, Dae-Won Lee, Han Suk Ryu, Kyung-Hun Lee, Tae-Yong Kim, Seock-Ah Im. High HER2/CEP17 ratio is associated with better treatment outcomes in advanced HER2-positive breast cancer treated with pertuzumab, trastuzumab, and docetaxel regardless of HER2 2+ or 3+ results [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-04-01.