Independent Predictor Of Overall Survival Research Articles

Serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels predict early recurrence and prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after surgical resection

IntroductionDysregulation in lipid metabolism contributes to the occurrence and development of various cancers. The connection between changes in lipid metabolism and the development of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma remains uncertain. Our objective was to investigate the significance of blood lipid levels in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who have undergone surgery. MethodsNinety-seven ICC patients who underwent surgery were retrospectively enrolled. After 92.2 months of follow-up, the Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard model were used to calculate overall survival and recurrence-free survival. ResultsThe median age of this cohort was 56 years, and 79 (81.4 %) of them were male. Eighty-eight (90.7 %) patients presented with tumor recurrence and 73 (75.3 %) died. In multivariate analyses, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (<0.91 vs. ≥ 0.91 mmol/L, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.55; 95 % CI: 1.38–4.71), lymph node metastasis (Yes vs. No, HR = 2.58; 95 % CI: 1.28–5.19), etiology factor (chronic HBV infection vs. others, HR = 0.5; 95 % CI: 0.28–0.88) and multiple tumor lesions (Yes vs. No, HR = 1.85; 95 % CI: 1.01–3.39) were independent predictors of overall survival. However, only high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (HR = 1.86; 95 % CI: 1.19–2.92) emerged as the independent factor for recurrence-free survival. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (HR = 2.07; 95 % CI: 1.26–3.41), etiology factor (HR = 0.49; 95 % CI: 0.29–0.84), and multiple tumor lesions (HR = 2.00; 95 % CI: 1.14–3.51) were independent predictors of early recurrence. For patients who did not experience the spread of cancer to the lymph nodes, there was a significant correlation between the level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and their overall survival, recurrence-free survival, and early recurrence. For patients with low pre-operation high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, high post-operation high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were associated with better prognosis. ConclusionsLow serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level might serve as a sign of poor clinical outcomes (overall survival and recurrence-free survival) and early recurrence among intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients. Strengthening the monitoring and intervention of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients with poor prognosis might be critical for improving the prognosis.

Prognostic factors of tongue cancer in children and adolescents: A SEER population-based study.

This study aims to analyze the clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes of tongue cancer in the pediatric population, a topic with limited existing data, using a population-based cohort. Pediatric patients diagnosed with tongue cancer from 1975 to 2018 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Survival rates were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate survival analysis was conducted with the log-rank test, while multivariate analysis involved Cox proportional-hazards regression to identify factors influencing overall survival (OS). A predictive nomogram was developed based on Cox regression findings. In total, 97 pediatric patients with tongue cancer were identified, with a median age at diagnosis of 15 years (range: 1-19 years). Tumors were classified as squamous cell carcinoma (45.4%), rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) (13.4%), and others (41.2%). Of the patients, squamous cell carcinoma was more common in older children, whereas rhabdomyosarcoma was more common in younger children. The Cox proportional hazard regression revealed that histology and surgery were significant independent predictors of overall survival. The chance of death increased with no surgery. Moreover, patients with squamous cell carcinoma or rhabdomyosarcoma have a poorer survival percentage than patients with other subtypes. Tongue cancer in children is rare and associated with poor survival outcomes. This study highlights the significance of tumor histology and surgical intervention in determining overall survival, offering valuable insights for clinical decision-making in pediatric tongue cancer.

Impact of frailty on survival glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype patients.

Frailty increases the risk of mortality among patients. We studied the prognostic significance of frailty using the modified 5-item frailty index (5-mFI) in patients harboring a newly diagnosed supratentorial glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype. We retrospectively reviewed records of patients surgical treated at a single neurosurgical institution at the standard radiochemotherapy era (January 2006 - December 2021). Inclusion criteria were: age ≥ 18, newly diagnosed glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype, supratentorial location, available data to assess the 5-mFI index. A total of 694 adult patients were included. The median overall survival was longer in the non-frail subgroup (5-mFI < 2, n = 538 patients; 14.3 months, 95%CI 12.5-16.0) than in the frail subgroup (5-mFI ≥ 2, n = 156 patients; 4.7 months, 95%CI 4.0-6.5 months; p < 0.001). 5-mFI ≥ 2 (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.31; 95%CI 1.07-1.61; p = 0.009) was an independent predictor of a shorter overall survival while age ≤ 60 years (aHR 0.78; 95%CI 0.66-0.93; p = 0.007), KPS score ≥ 70 (aHR 0.71; 95%CI 0.58-0.87; p = 0.001), unilateral location (aHR 0.67; 95%CI 0.52-0.87; p = 0.002), total removal (aHR 0.54; 95%CI 0.44-0.64; p < 0.0001), and standard radiochemotherapy protocol (aHR 0.32; 95%CI 0.26-0.38; p < 0.0001) were independent predictors of a longer overall survival. Frailty remained an independent predictor of overall survival within the subgroup of patients undergoing a first-line oncological treatment after surgery (n = 549) and within the subgroup of patients who benefited from a total removal plus adjuvant standard radiochemotherapy (n = 209). In newly diagnosed supratentorial glioblastoma, IDH-wildtype patients treated at the standard combined radiochemotherapy era, frailty, defined using a 5-mFI score ≥ 2 was an independent predictor of overall survival.

A retrospective study comparing the efficacy of microwave ablation and stereotactic body radiotherapy in colorectal cancer lung metastases.

The purpose of the present study was to assess and compare the efficacy of microwave ablation (MWA) and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in the treatment of lung metastases from patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and to identify the preferable treatment modality based on patient and tumor characteristics. Records of 118 patients with CRC with a total of 307 lung metastases who underwent SBRT or MWA between January 2015 and December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including the essential clinicopathological information on patients (age, sex and underlying diseases), diagnosis and treatment information [primary tumor site, levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9], imaging data [diameter of lung metastasis, location of the metastasis (i.e., whether or not the tumor was adjacent to the vessel or bronchus) and internal features] and follow-up data (postoperative therapy, complications or adverse effects and survival outcomes). For statistical analysis of the local tumor progression (LTP), disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) rates, Cox regression analysis, along with the Kaplan-Meier method adjusted using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), were performed. The median follow-up duration in the present study was 31.5 months. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that the CEA level, metastasis diameter and internal features were independent predictors of OS. In the IPTW-adjusted analysis, no significant difference in the 1-year OS rate was observed between the SBRT and MWA groups (92.9 vs. 93.9%; P=0.483); however, a notable discrepancy in the treatment modalities was noted, leading to significant differences in the 2- and 3-year OS rates (65.9 vs. 57.6%, P=0.001, and 44.7 vs. 36.4%, P<0.001, respectively). A significant interaction effect for the treatment modality was observed for LTP (P=0.021). In conclusion, the present study revealed that SBRT and MWA have similar therapeutic effects in terms of prolonging the survival of patients with CRC with lung metastases; however, regarding the local control of lung metastases, MWA is associated with a number of significant advantages.

Identifying Suitable Patients for Overcoming Androgen Deprivation Monotherapy in De Novo Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

Although metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) treatments have evolved, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) remains a widely used regimen. Therefore, this study sought patients who did not progress to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) but received ADT monotherapy and factors affecting overall survival (OS) in de novo mHSPC. De novo mHSPC patients who received ADT treatment were included. ADT included luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonists with or without anti-androgen. The total cohort was divided into two groups relative to CRPC progression within two years. Logistic analysis was used to identify factors that did not progress CRPC within two years. Cox regression was used to assess the independent predictors for OS. The total cohort was divided into the no-CRPC within two years group (n = 135) and the CRPC within two years group (n = 126). Through multivariate logistic analysis, the life expectancy (odds ratio [OR] 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.99, p = 0.014) and Gleason scores (≥9 vs. ≤8; OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.24-0.75, p = 0.003) were associated with the group without castration-resistant prostate cancer progression within two years. The multivariate Cox model revealed that life expectancy (hazard ratio [HR] 0.951, 95% CI 0.904-0.999, p = 0.0491), BMI (HR 0.870, 95% CI 0.783-0.967, p = 0.0101), and CCI (≥2 vs. <2; HR 2.018, 95% CI 1.103-3.693, p = 0.0227) were significant predictive factors for OS. Patients with long life expectancy and a Gleason score of 9 or more were more likely to develop mCRPC while alive. Patients with short life expectancy, low BMI, and worsening comorbidity were more likely to die before progressing to CRPC. Although intensified treatment is essential for oncologic outcomes in mHSPC, shared decision making is integral for patients who may not benefit from this treatment.

Predictive potential of preoperative Naples prognostic score-based nomogram model for the prognosis in surgical resected thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients: A retrospective cohort study.

The present study aimed to establish an effective prognostic nomogram model based on the Naples prognostic score (NPS) for resectable thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). A total of 277 patients with ESCC, who underwent standard curative esophagectomy and designated as study cohort, were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into different groups, including NPS 0, NPS 1, NPS 2, and NPS 3 or 4 groups, for further analysis, and the results were validated in an external cohort of 122 ESCC patients, who underwent surgery at another cancer center. In our multivariate analysis of the study cohort showed that the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, systemic inflammation score, and NPS were the independent prognostic factors for the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) durations. In addition, the differential grade was also an independent prognostic factor for the OS in the patients with ESCC after surgery (all P < .05). The area under the curve of receiver operator characteristics for the PFS and OS prediction with systemic inflammation score and NPS were 0.735 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.676-0.795, P < .001) and 0.835 (95% CI 0.786-0.884, P < .001), and 0.734 (95% CI 0.675-0.793, P < .001) and 0.851 (95% CI 0.805-0.896, P < .001), respectively. The above independent predictors for OS or PFS were all selected in the nomogram model. The concordance indices (C-indices) of the nomogram models for predicting OS and PFS were 0.718 (95% CI 0.681-0.755) and 0.669 (95% CI 0.633-0.705), respectively, which were higher than that of the 7th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system [C-index 0.598 (95% CI 0.558-0.638) for OS and 0.586 (95% CI 0.546-0.626) for PFS]. The calibration curves for predicting the 5-year OS or PFS showed a good agreement between the prediction by nomogram and actual observation. In the external validation cohort, the nomogram discrimination for OS was better than that of the 7th edition of TNM staging systems [C-index: 0.697 (95% CI 0.639-0.755) vs 0.644 (95% CI 0.589-0.699)]. The calibration curves showed good consistency in predicting the 5-year survival between the actual observation and nomogram predictions. The decision curve also showed a higher potential of the clinical application of predicting the 5-years OS of the proposed nomogram model as compared to that of the 7th edition of TNM staging systems. The preoperative NPS-based nomogram model had a certain potential role for predicting the prognosis of ESCC patients.

Abstract PO2-02-09: Pathological complete response to neoadjuvant systemic therapy and its predictive factors among early breast cancer subtypes: the emerging role of HER2

Abstract Purpose Pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for breast cancer (BC) is a prognostic factor for relapse-free and overall survival (OS). Despite recent therapeutic developments for early BC, there are still a significant proportion of patients who do not achieve pCR. In this study we established pCR rates in routine care and investigated possible predictive factors of pCR, including HER2 status. Methods We evaluated 980 stage I-III BC patients receiving NACT between 2013 and 2022. Patient characteristics, rates of pCR (ypT0-is ypN0), toxicities, treatment modifications and survival outcomes were recorded. Standard histopathological variables were recorded [with HER2-low status, defined as HER2 1+ on immunohistochemistry (IHC) or 2+ on IHC without in situ hybridization (ISH) gene amplification]. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were calculated. Median follow-up time was 60.3 months (interquartile range 19.7-78.7). Results The mean age of the study population was 49.6 ± 11.2 years. 64% had stage II disease, 70.5% had grade 3 disease, and 90.5% had ductal histopathology. 34.6% had estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative, 27.1% had triple-negative (TN), and 38.3% had HER2-positive BC. 233 patients (23.8%) had HER2-low disease. pCR rate was 35.8% in the overall population, 16.8% in ER-positive/HER2 negative BC, 32.7% in TNBC and 55.2% in HER2-positive BC. pCR rate differed according to grade, histology, HER2 status, radiological and clinical response of disease (p &amp;lt; 0.001) and early discontinuation of NACT (p = 0.001), but not according to age, menopausal status, BRCA status, platinum use, NACT dose reduction or delays, neutrophils-to-lymphocytes, platelets-to-lymphocytes, or lymphocytes-to-monocytes ratios. OS and RFS were better following pCR [HR 0.23 (95% CI, 0.14-0.38, p &amp;lt; 0.001) and HR 0.27 (95% CI, 0.18-0.40, p &amp;lt; 0.001), respectively]. Among HER2-negative BC patients (605, 61.7% of the entire cohort), there was a trend to lower pCR rate in HER2-low compared to HER2-negative (IHC 0) BC (19.7% vs 26.3% respectively, p = 0.06). pCR rate was significantly lower in ER-positive/HER2-low compared to ER-positive/HER2-negative (IHC 0) BC (12.1% vs 20.9% respectively, p = 0.031), while no difference in pCR rates was observed in TNBC patients by HER2 status. Despite a lower rate of pCR, Kaplan-Meyer curve showed that OS was significantly better in the HER2-low BC compared to HER2-negative (IHC 0) population at 100-months follow up. Multivariable Cox-regression model in the HER2-negative BC cohort demonstrated that HER2-low status was an independent predictor of OS (HR 0.59, 95% CI, 0.39-0.89 p = 0.012). Conclusions In our real-world analysis, pCR rates are consistent with the published data. Many patients still have residual disease following NACT, predicting worse outcomes, and may benefit from further adjuvant systemic therapies. Consistent with other studies, our findings suggest a possible prognostic and predictive role of HER2-low status especially among patients with ER-positive BC. This could lay the foundations for novel therapies targeting HER2 among HER2-low cancer subtypes. Citation Format: Matilde Corianò, Nicolo M.L. Battisti, Hala Aziz, Nalinie Joharatnam Hogan, Antonino Musolino, Alistair Ring. Pathological complete response to neoadjuvant systemic therapy and its predictive factors among early breast cancer subtypes: the emerging role of HER2 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-02-09.

Abstract PO1-11-11: A Novel Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) and Overall Survival among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer

Abstract Background: Measurements (amount, distribution, and radiodensity) of muscle and adipose tissue were reported to be individually associated with overall survival in breast cancer survivors, but they were not typically combined to develop an overall risk score. Such a score can identify patients at high risk of death and prioritize patients in need of lifestyle interventions. Objectives: We developed a novel body composition risk score (B-Score) by combining multiple tissue measurements. Methods: We included 3105 patients with stage II or III breast cancer (diagnosed from 2000 to 2013) at Kaiser Permanente Northern California and Dana Farber Cancer Institute. From CT scans at diagnosis, we used the third lumber vertebrae as the landmark to assess areas (cm2) and radiodensity (HU) of muscle and adipose tissue. We divided the area by height2 (m2) to derive the index and measured the average HU of the tissue area as the radiodensity, which acts as a marker of tissue 'quality' to be indicative of lipid content, inflammation, and angiogenesis. Out of all tissue measurements, we considered skeletal muscle index (SMI), subcutaneous adipose tissue index (SATI) and SAT radiodensity as they were independent predictors for overall survival. Each measurement was dichotomized using optimal stratification, with low SMI (&amp;lt; 40.1cm2/m2), high SATI (≥75.7cm2/m2), and high SAT radiodensity (≥ -97.2HU) considered risk factors. We calculated B-Score as the sum of these factors and estimated its association with overall survival using Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment for clinicopathologic factors. Results: Mean (standard deviation) age at diagnosis was 53.9 (11.8) years, 2161 (70.1%) were Non-Hispanic White, 1880 (60.5%) were stage II, and 919 (29.6%) died over a median follow-up of 10.7 years. Most patients (60.6%) had only one body composition risk factor (B-Score = 1). Compared to those with no body composition risk factors (B-Score = 0), the risk of death increased with more body composition risk factors: the adjusted hazard ratios were 1.10 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.42), 1.47 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.92), and 2.11 (95% CI: 1.26, 3.53) for B-Scores of 1, 2, and 3, respectively (Ptrend &amp;lt; 0.001). Conclusions: More unfavorable body composition characteristics were associated with increased risks of overall mortality in a dose-response manner. Considering body composition measurements together as a composite score (B-Score) may prove a useful tool to identify patients at high risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis. Table. Adjusted Associations of the Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) with Overall Mortality Among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio. a Areas (cm2) and radiodensity (HU) of skeletal muscle and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) were extracted from the single axial CT slice at the third lumbar vertebra. The body composition risk score was defined as the sum of three risk factors: low skeletal muscle index (SMI; &amp;lt;40.1cm2/m2), high SAT index (SATI; ≥75.7cm2/m2), and high SAT radiodensity (≥ -97.2HU). b Adjusted for age (years), race and ethnicity (Asian, Black, Hispanic, Non-Hispanic White, and Others), stage (II, III), ER (ER+, ER-), PR (PR+, PR-), HER2 (HER2+, HER2-, unknown), smoking (current, former, never), Charlson comorbidity index (0, 1-2, ≥3), and BMI (&amp;lt;18.5, 28.5-24.9, 25-29.9, and ≥30 kg/m2). For the trend test, B-Score was considered as a continuous variable with adjustment for the above covariates. Citation Format: En Cheng, Bette Caan, Wendy Chen, Carla Prado, Elizabeth Cespedes Feliciano. A Novel Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) and Overall Survival among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-11-11.

Nomograms for predicting the overall and cancer-specific survival in patients with non-urothelial carcinoma of the bladder: A population-based study.

Non-urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (NUCB) is a relatively rare condition, with limited comprehensive studies conducted to date. This research aims to establish nomograms for forecasting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in NUCB patients. It utilizes data of 2,522 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database spanning from 2004 to 2015. The effectiveness of these nomograms was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Key independent predictors for OS included age, race, marital status, histological variants, grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, radical cystectomy and chemotherapy administration. For CSS, the predictors were similar, encompassing age, sex, marital status, histological variants, grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, radical cystectomy and chemotherapy. The nomograms showed strong predictive accuracy. In the training cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.796 (OS) and 0.799 (CSS) at 1-year, 0.807 (OS) and 0.824 (CSS) at 3-year, and 0.807 (OS) and 0.827 (CSS) at 5-year intervals. In the validation cohort, AUC values were 0.798 (OS) and 0.798 (CSS) at 1-year, 0.810 (OS) and 0.826 (CSS) at 3-year, and 0.811 (OS) and 0.825 (CSS) at 5-year intervals, consistently around 0.8. Calibration curves indicated high congruence between predicted and actual probabilities of OS and CSS, while DCA demonstrated the models' substantial clinical utility. Overall, this study successfully developed and validated prognostic nomograms for NUCB, capable of accurately predicting OS and CSS at 1-, 3-, and 5-years, thereby offering valuable support in clinical decision-making and the design of clinical trials.

Deep Learning Features and Metabolic Tumor Volume Based on PET/CT to Construct Risk Stratification in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Objectiveto build a risk stratification by incorporating PET/CT-based deep learning features and whole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTVwb), which was to make predictions about overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for those with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) as a complement to the TNM staging. Materials and MethodsThe study enrolled 590 patients with NSCLC (413 for training and 177 for testing). Features were extracted by employing a convolutional neural network. The combined risk stratification (CRS) was constructed by the selected features and MTVwb, which were contrasted and integrated with TNM staging. In the testing set, the above was verified. ResultsMultivariate analysis revealed that CRS was an independent predictor of OS and PFS. C-indexes of the CRS demonstrated statistically significant increases in comparison to TNM staging, excepting predicting OS in the testing set (for OS, C-index = 0.71 vs. 0.691 in the training set and 0.73 vs. 0.736 in the testing set; for PFS, C-index = 0.702 vs. 0.686 in the training set and 0.732 vs. 0.71 in the testing set). The nomogram that combined CRS with TNM staging demonstrated the most superior model performance in the training and testing sets (C-index = 0.741 and 0.771). ConclusionThe addition of CRS improves TNM staging's predictive power and shows potential as a useful tool to support physicians in making treatment decisions.

Evaluation of the inflammation-based modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) as a prognostic and predictive biomarker in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy: a post hoc analysis of the randomized phase III XELAVIRI trial (AIO KRK0110)

The inflammation-based modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) combines serum levels of C-reactive protein and albumin and was shown to predict survival in advanced cancer. We aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of mGPS on survival as well as its predictive value when combined with gender in unselected metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients receiving first-line chemotherapy in the randomized phase III XELAVIRI trial. In XELAVIRI, mCRC patients were treated with either fluoropyrimidine/bevacizumab followed by additional irinotecan at first progression (sequential treatment arm; Arm A) or upfront combination of fluoropyrimidine/bevacizumab/irinotecan (intensive treatment arm; Arm B). In the present post hoc analysis, survival was evaluated with respect to the assorted mGPS categories 0, 1 or 2. Interaction between mGPS and gender was analyzed. Out of 421 mCRC patients treated in XELAVIRI, 362 [119 women (32.9%) and 243 men (67.1%)] were assessable. For the entire study population a significant association between mGPS and overall survival (OS) was observed [mGPS= 0: median 28.9 months, 95% confidence interval (CI) 25.9-33.6 months; mGPS= 1: median 21.4 months, 95% CI 17.6-26.1 months; mGPS= 2: median 16.8 months, 95% CI 14.3-21.2 months; P < 0.00001]. Similar results were found when comparing progression-free survival between groups. The effect of mGPS on survival did not depend on the applied treatment regimen (P= 0.21). In female patients, a trend towards longer OS was observed in Arm A versus Arm B, with this effect being clearly more pronounced in the mGPS cohort 0 (41.6 versus 25.5 months; P= 0.056). By contrast, median OS was longer in male patients with an mGPS of 1-2 treated in Arm B versus Arm A (20.8 versus 17.4 months; P= 0.022). We demonstrate the role of mGPS as an independent predictor of OS regardless of the treatment regimen in mCRC patients receiving first-line treatment. mGPS may help identify gender-specific subgroups that benefit more or less from upfront intensive therapy.

Outcomes with allogeneic stem cell transplant using cryopreserved versus fresh hematopoietic progenitor cell products

BackgroundAllogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHSCT) is a mainstay of treatment for hematologic malignancies such as acute leukemias and aggressive lymphomas. Historically, fresh hematopoietic progenitor cell (HPC) products have been preferred to cryopreserved products (cryo-HPC) due to concerns of loss of stem cell viability and number with the cryopreservation procedure. ObjectiveWe aimed to analyze the outcomes of patients who received cryo-HPCs during the COVID-19 pandemic and compare this against historical cohorts that received fresh HPC. Study DesignA retrospective chart review was conducted on all adult patients who received a peripheral blood alloHSCT in British Columbia, Canada between June 2017 and November 2021. Baseline characteristics, Kaplan-Meier (KM) overall survival (OS), engraftment, and incidences of acute and chronic graft versus host disease were compared between patients who received cryo-HPCs and fresh HPCs. Univariable analysis followed by multivariable analysis was performed using a backward stepwise selection procedure to generate predictors of OS, cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), nonrelapse mortality (NRM), and primary and secondary graft failure. ResultsThree hundred eighty-three patients were included in the analysis, with cryo-HPC representing 40%. Median viability was higher in the fresh-HPC group at 99.2% (IQR 98.3–99.5) versus cryo-HPCs at 97.0% (96.0, 98.6) (P < 0.01). The 12-month actuarial survivals were 77% in the fresh HPC and 75% in the cryo-HPC groups (P = 0.21). There were no differences between cryo-HPCs and fresh HPCs on univariable analysis of OS, CIR, or NRM. There was a shorter median time to platelet engraftment in patients receiving fresh HPC at 17 days (IQR 16, 20) versus cryo-HPC at 21 days (IQR 18, 29), P < 0.001. There was a shorter median time to neutrophil engraftment in the fresh HPC group at 17 days (IQR 14, 20) versus 20 days (17, 23), P < 0.001. Cryo-HPC accounted for 5 out of 6 cases of primary graft failure (P = 0.04), and 3 out of five cases of secondary graft failure (P = 0.39). There were no significant differences in acute GVHD between the fresh HPC and cryo-HPC groups (P = 0.34). The incidence of moderate or severe chronic GVHD was 32% in the fresh-HPC group and 17% in the cryo-HPC group (P < 0.001).In multivariable analysis, cryopreservation did not emerge as an independent predictor of OS, CIR, NRM, primary GF or secondary GF. However, viability <90% on arrival at our center was a significant predictor of OS (HR 5.3, 2.3–12.3, P < 0.01), primary graft failure (OR 36.3, 5.4–210.2, P < 0.01), and secondary graft failure (OR 18.4, 1.7–121.1, P < 0.01). ConclusionsPatients who received cryo-HPCs had similar OS and relapse rates to those who received fresh-HPCs but typically took 2–3 days longer to achieve engraftment of platelets or neutrophils and were associated increased primary graft failure. However, after accounting for multiple variables, cryopreservation was no longer a significant predictor of survival or engraftment while viability <90% emerged as an important predictor of OS, primary graft failure, and secondary graft failure. If confirmed, this suggests that viability on arrival at the infusion center may be a good quality control indicator used to identify HPC products that may warrant recollection if the risk of graft failure is sufficiently increased.

Artificial Intelligence Assessment of Biological Age From Transthoracic Echocardiography: Discrepancies with Chronologic Age Predict Significant Excess Mortality

Age and sex can be estimated using artificial intelligence on the basis of various sources. The aims of this study were to test whether convolutional neural networks could be trained to estimate age and predict sex using standard transthoracic echocardiography and to evaluate the prognostic implications. The algorithm was trained on 76,342 patients, validated in 22,825 patients, and tested in 20,960 patients. It was then externally validated using data from a different hospital (n=556). Finally, a prospective cohort of handheld point-of-care ultrasound devices (n=319; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT05455541) was used to confirm the findings. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the association between age estimation and chronologic age with overall survival. The mean absolute error in age estimation was 4.9years, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.922. The probabilistic value of sex had an overall accuracy of 96.1% and an area under the curve of 0.993. External validation and prospective study cohorts yielded consistent results. Finally, survival analysis demonstrated that age prediction ≥5years vs chronologic age was associated with an independent 34% increased risk for death during follow-up (P<.001). Applying artificial intelligence to standard transthoracic echocardiography allows the prediction of sex and the estimation of age. Machine-based estimation is an independent predictor of overall survival and, with further evaluation, can be used for risk stratification and estimation of biological age.

Prognostic value of preoperative combined neutrophil, monocyte, and lymphocyte scores in patients with renal cell carcinoma undergoing laparoscopic nephrectomy: A retrospective study.

In a multi-institutional clinical study, we assessed the prognostic significance of a novel indicator preoperative peripheral blood immune (PBIS) scores that combined ratios of preoperative lymphocyte, monocyte, and neutrophil of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients undergoing laparoscopic nephrectomy. Between January 2014 and December 2019, 438 patients with RCC were retrospectively analyzed in three centers. We used X-tile software to obtain the optimum cut-off values for neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes to classify the patients. To assess the relationship between PBIS score and overall survival (OS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with RCC by Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses. In addition, predictive OS and CSS nomograms were constructed. The discriminative ability of nomogram and predictive performance accuracy were verified with consistency index (C-index), calibration curves, receiver operating curve (ROC) curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) curves, and time-dependent ROC curves. The optimum cutoff values for monocytes, lymphocytes, and neutrophils were 0.46, 1.01, and 4.50, respectively. We divided patients into four subgroups according to PBIS scores, which were significantly associated with M-stage (p = 0.008), T-stage (p < 0.001), N-stage (p = 0.006), and AJCC stage (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that RCC patients with lower PBIS scores showed a worse postoperative prognosis and served as an independent predictor of OS (p = 0.002) and CSS (p < 0.001). Ultimately, the nomograms based on PBIS scores demonstrated excellent predictive performance for OS (C-index: 0.770) and CSS (C-index: 0.828) through the analysis of calibration curves, ROC curves, DCA curves, and time-dependent ROC curves. PBIS score served as novel and effective predictor to accurately predict OS and CSS in patients with RCC receiving laparoscopic nephrectomy.

Impact of Surgical Margin Status on Survival and Recurrence After Pancreaticoduodenectomy for Distal Cholangiocarcinoma: Is Microscopic Residual Tumor (R1) Associated with Higher Rates of Local Recurrence?

Patients undergoing macroscopically curative resection for distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) have high recurrence rates and poor prognoses. This study aimed to investigate the impact of surgical margin status on survival and recurrence after resection of DCC, specifically focusing on microscopic residual tumor (R1) and its relationship to local recurrence. This was a retrospective analysis of patients who had undergone pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for DCC between 2005 and 2021. Surgical margin was classified as R0, R1cis (positive bile duct margin with carcinoma in situ), and R1inv (positive bile duct margin with an invasive subepithelial component and/or positive radial margin). In total, 29 of 133 patients (21.8%) had R1cis and 23 (17.3%) R1inv. The 5-year overall survival (OS) for R0 (55.7%) did not differ significantly from that for R1cis/R1inv (47.4%/33.6%, respectively). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) for R0 was significantly longer than that for R1inv (50.1% vs. 17.4%, p = 0.003), whereas RFS did not differ significantly between those with R0 and R1cis. R1cis/R1inv status was not an independent predictor of OS and RFS in multivariate analysis. Cumulative incidence of isolated distant recurrence was significantly higher for R1cis/R1inv than for R0 (p = 0.0343/p = 0.0226, respectively), whereas surgical margin status was not significantly associated with rates of local or local plus distant recurrence. Surgical margin status does not significantly impact OS and RFS in patients undergoing PD for DCC following precise preoperative imaging evaluation. Additionally, R1 status is significantly linked to higher isolated distant recurrence rather than local recurrence, highlighting the importance of multidisciplinary therapy.

Tumor Location Is an Independent Prognostic Factor in Completely Resected Pathological Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

Previous studies suggested that the location of the primary tumor in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is associated with clinical features and prognosis, but results are conflicting. The purpose of this study was to explore tumor location as an independent risk factor of survival for patients with completely resected pathological stage I NSCLC. This was a multicenter retrospective study conducted in Taiwan. Included patients were diagnosed with stage I NSCLC and had undergone primary tumor resection. Variables including tumor location, pathological stage, histological differentiation, and International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) grade were evaluated for predictive ability for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of 208 patients were included, with 123 (59.1%) patients having a primary tumor in the upper and middle lobes. The median duration of follow-up for survivors was 60.5 months. Compared to patients with IASLC Grade 3 disease, patients with Grade 1 disease had significantly longer DFS. Tumor location and IASLC grade were independent predictors for OS in multivariate analysis. Specifically, patients with NSCLC in the lower lobe and patients who are histologically classified as IASLC Grade 3 may have poorer prognosis and require greater attention to improve outcomes.

Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer With Hydronephrosis Exhibits a High Frequency of Mutations in Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor 3 Gene.

Recent studies have reported conflicting findings regarding the significance of hydronephrosis (HN) in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). The molecular characteristics of MIBC with HN are unclear, therefore, we aimed to address the gaps in previous research and elucidate HN's molecular significance in patients with MIBC. Clinical, genetic, and imaging information on bladder cancer patients enrolled in The Cancer Genome Atlas were obtained from public databases to analyze the association between the presence of hydronephrosis and genetic alterations and molecular subtyping. A total of 108 patients who underwent total cystectomy for MIBC at the Hiroshima University Hospital were enrolled in the study to verify the association between HN and renal function with patient prognosis. We observed a statistically significant difference in the distribution of molecular subtypes (p=0.0146). The proportion of patients with the luminal papillary subtype was approximately twice as high in patients with HN (48.8%) than in those without HN (25.0%). The mutation frequency of fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) 3 was approximately three-fold higher in patients with HN (20.9%) than in those without HN (7.1%). Multivariate analysis, which considered HN and estimated glomerular filtration rate as confounding factors in our MIBC cohort, revealed that reduced renal function, but not HN, was an independent predictor for overall survival. MIBC presenting HN exhibits a high frequency of mutations in the FGFR3 gene. In addition, not HN itself, but reduced renal function due to HN may worsen the prognosis for MIBC.

Effectiveness of prognostic nutritional index in predicting overall survival and evaluating immunotherapy response in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma.

The prognostic value of nutritional status in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) remains unclear. The Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) is a reliable indicator of overall nutritional and immune status, and it has emerged as a significant prognostic factor in various malignancies. This study aimed to explore the utility of PNI in ATC. We systematically reviewed ATC patients in our institute from January 2000 to June 2023 and categorized them into high and low PNI groups based on the median PNI value. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression were employed to assess the impact of PNI on overall survival, while ROC curve analysis evaluated the predictive value of PNI. Mimics software was used for three-dimensional reconstruction of pre- and post-immunotherapy tumor volumes, enabling the assessment of treatment response. A total of 77 ATC patients were included in this study. Low baseline PNI was associated with significantly shorter overall survival (1-year survival rate: 5.26% vs 30.77%; median survival time: 5.30 months vs 8.87 months). The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year AUC values for PNI were 0.82, 0.79, and 0.77, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, both PNI and tumor size emerged as independent prognostic factors for patient overall survival. Among ATC patients receiving 2-3 cycles of immunotherapy, an increase in post-treatment PNI levels was positively correlated with a reduction in tumor volume. PNI is an independent predictor of overall survival and holds the potential to serve as a valuable indicator for assessing and predicting immunotherapy efficacy in ATC patients.

Prognostic factors of adrenocortical carcinoma in children and adolescents: a population-based study.

Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is an uncommon adrenal gland endocrine tumor that has a poor prognosis in children. We aimed toconducta population-based cohort study to predict overall survival (OS) in pediatric patients with ACC. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to conduct a retrospective cohort research on pediatric patients diagnosed with ACC between 1975 and 2018.We examined demographic characteristics, tumor stage and size, treatment options, and survival results. Kaplane-Meier estimations were used to generate survival curves based on several parameters. To compare survival curves, the log-rank test was applied.Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to determine the variables related with OS. In addition, we created a nomogram to predict overall survival in pediatric ACC patients. A total of 143 pediatric ACC patients were identified. Females were the most impacted (60.8%). Overall 1year, 3year, and 5year survival rates were 75.0%, 57.6%, and 53.7% for all patients, respectively. In comparison to older patients (5-19years), younger patients (≤ 4years) were shown to have more positive characteristics, including a higher likelihood of local disease (29.4% vs. 14%, P < 0.001), tumors less than 10cm (23.1% vs. 14.7%, P < 0.001), and improved overall survival (5year OS 89.6% vs. 27.7%, P < 0.001). Age at diagnosis, SEER stage, and surgery were significant independent predictors of OS in this model, according to the results of Cox proportional hazard regression. After that, we developed a nomogram for predicting OS in children with ACC. Patients older than 4years old had a higher chance of dying. Furthermore, the higher the SEER stage, the higher the risk of death. Patients who do not have surgery have a worse survival rate than those who do. Our study revealed that age at diagnosis, SEER stage, and surgery were found to be the most important predictors of the overall survival of pediatric ACC. These findings contribute to the existing body of knowledge and emphasize the importance of continued research to advance our understanding of pediatric ACC and improve patient care.

Prognostic impact of osteosarcopenia in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

We investigated the prognostic impact of osteosarcopenia, defined as the combination of osteopenia and sarcopenia, in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The relationship of osteosarcopenia with disease-free survival and overall survival was analyzed in 183 patients who underwent elective pancreatic resection for PDAC. Computed tomography was used to measure the pixel density in the midvertebral core of the 11th thoracic vertebra for evaluation of osteopenia and in the psoas muscle area of the 3rd lumbar vertebra for evaluation of sarcopenia. Osteosarcopenia was defined as the simultaneous presence of both osteopenia and sarcopenia. The study employed a retrospective design to examine the relationship between osteosarcopenia and survival outcomes. Osteosarcopenia was identified in 61 (33%) patients. In the univariate analysis, disease-free survival was significantly worse in patients with male sex (p = 0.031), pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001), NLR, ≥ 2.71 (p = 0.041), sarcopenia (p = 0.027), osteopenia (p = 0.001), and osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), and overall survival was significantly worse in patients with male sex (p = 0.001), pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001), distal pancreatectomy (p = 0.025), sarcopenia (p = 0.003), osteopenia (p < 0.001), and osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of disease-free survival were osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001) and pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.002), and the independent predictors of overall survival were osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), male sex (p = 0.006) and pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001). Osteosarcopenia has an adverse prognostic impact on long-term outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for PDAC.