Independent Predictor Of Poor Outcome Research Articles

Prognostic Value of PtfV1 in Long-Term Outcomes of Patients with Unstable Angina.

P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PtfV1) irregularity has been associated with various cardiovascular conditions, including atrial fibrillation, left ventricular diastolic dysfunction, valvular heart disease, congestive heart failure, stroke, and mortality. However, its prognostic value for unstable angina (UA) has not been extensively studied. To address this knowledge gap, this study aimed to evaluate the long-term predictive significance of PtfV1 at discharge for UA patients. A total of 707 patients with newly diagnosed UA were included in this study. PtfV1 measurements were recorded at admission and discharge. PtfV1(+) was defined as an absolute value above 0.04mm·s, while PtfV1(-) was defined as an absolute value below 0.04mm·s. Based on their PtfV1 values at discharge, patients were categorized into two groups: PtfV1(-) and PtfV1(+). Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted to identify variables that could potentially contribute to the risk of UA. Univariate analysis revealed a higher incidence of total adverse outcomes and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in the PtfV1(+) group compared to the PtfV1(-) group, with a risk ratio (RR) of 2.006 [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.389-2.896] for total outcomes and an RR of 2.759 (95% CI: 1.870-4.070) for MACE. After adjusting for confounding factors through multivariate analysis, participants with PtfV1(+) had a 46% increased risk [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.458; 95% CI: 1.010-2.104]for total adverse outcomes and an 86% increased risk (adjusted HR: 1.863; 95% CI: 1.246-2.786) for MACE compared to those with PtfV1(-). The presence of PtfV1(+) at discharge is an independent predictor of poor outcomes and provides extended prognostic information for UA patients.

Liver histology and hepatic progenitor cell activity in pediatric acute liver failure: Implications for clinical outcome.

Hepatic progenitor cell (HPC) activity and regenerative process that follows pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) is still not well understood. This clinicopathological study was thus conducted with an aim to study the correlation of liver histology and HPC activity with outcomes in PALF. All PALF patients with available hepatic histological specimens were included and specimens were analyzed for hepatocyte loss, HPC activity [using cytokeratin (CK) 7, CK19, sex-determining region Y-related high mobility group box(SOX)9 and epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM)], hepatocyte proliferation (using Ki67), and hepatocyte senescence (using p53 and p21). Ninety-four children were included: 22 (23.4%) survived with native liver (SNL) (i.e., the good outcome group) while rest (i.e., the poor outcome group) either died [33%, 35.1%] or received liver transplant (LT) [39%, 41.5%]. When compared to subjects with poor outcomes, those in the SNL group exhibited significantly less severe hepatocyte loss, fewer HPC/hpf, more proliferating hepatocytes, and less senescent hepatocytes (p < .05). Increasing severity of hepatocyte loss (adjusted OR: 9.95, 95% CI: 4.22-23.45, p < .001) was identified as an independent predictor of poor outcome. Eighty percent children with >50% native hepatocyte loss had poor outcome within 10 days of hospitalization. In PALF, more severe hepatocyte loss, higher number of HPC activation, lesser number of proliferating hepatocytes, and greater number of senescent hepatocytes are associated with a poor outcome. Loss of >50% hepatocytes is an independent predictor of poor outcome in PALF.

Prognostic value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio (NAR) in predicting short-term mortality of patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC). A total of 623 DC patients were recruited from a retrospective observational cohort study. They were admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to December 2015. NAR of each patient was calculated and analyzed for the association with 90-day liver transplantation-free (LT-free) outcome. The performance of NAR and the integrated model were tested by a receiver-operator curve (ROC) and C-index. The 90-day LT-free mortality of patients with DC was 10.6%. NAR was significantly higher in 90-day non-survivors than in survivors (The median: 1.73 vs 0.76, P < 0.001). A threshold of 1.40 of NAR differentiated patients with a high risk of death (27.45%) from those with a low risk (5.11%). By multivariate analysis, high NAR was independently associated with poor short-term prognosis (high group: 5.07 (2.78, 9.22)). NAR alone had an area under the ROC curve of 0.794 and C-index of 0.7789 (0.7287, 0.8291) in predicting 90-day mortality. The integrated MELD–NAR (iMELD) model had a higher area under the ROC (0.872) and C-index (0.8558 (0.8122, 0.8994)) than the original MELD in predicting 90-day mortality. NAR can be used as an independent predictor of poor outcomes for patients with DC during short-term follow-up.

Pediatric posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome: Can MR imaging features predict outcomes in non-oncologic patients?

PurposeIdentify MR features predictive of poor outcomes in non-oncologic pediatric PRES. MethodA six-year search of all non-oncologic pediatric patients with clinical and MR features of PRES was performed. Modified Rankin scores were used to classify clinical outcomes into good versus poor, then clinical and MR features were compared among groups. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify MR predictors of poor outcomes for various imaging features, and p-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. ResultsOne hundred and forty-one patients (mean age 10.1 ± 3.0 years, male to female ratio 1:1.1) were included. Clinically, nephrotic syndrome (p = 0.03), focal deficits (p = 0.04), longer hospitalization (p < 0.001), and mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with poor outcomes. Univariate analysis revealed that deep grey matter nuclei (OR = 5.29, 95 % CI: 1.6–18.0) and cerebellar edema patterns (OR = 3.49, 95 % CI: 1.3–9.5), cytotoxic edema (OR = 63.6, 95 % CI:16.5–244.2), hemorrhage (OR = 16.58, 95 % CI: 4.3–64.2), and severe PRES patterns (OR = 11.0, 95 % CI: 3.5–34.7) on MR were all significantly associated with poor outcomes (p-values = 0.008 and 0.014, <0.001, <0.001, and < 0.001, respectively). This remained true for cytotoxic edema (OR = 84.26, 95 % CI: 17.3–410.9, p-value < 0.001) and hemorrhage (OR = 44.56, 95 % CI: 6.9–289.7, p-value < 0.001) on multivariate analysis. ConclusionDiffusion restriction and hemorrhage on initial MR scans were the two independent predictors of poor outcomes in non-oncologic pediatric patients.

Abstract 11787: The Association Between Preoperative Sarcopenia and Outcomes After Cardiac Transplantation

Introduction: Sarcopenia, or reduced muscle mass and function, is underdiagnosed in advanced heart failure and is not routinely assessed. In patients receiving a left ventricular assist device (LVAD), preoperative sarcopenia, defined using CT-derived pectoralis muscle area index (muscle area indexed to height), was an independent predictor of post-operative mortality. The association between preoperative sarcopenia and outcomes after cardiac transplantation is unknown. Aims/Hypotheses: The primary aim was to determine if preoperative sarcopenia, diagnosed using pectoralis muscle area index, is an independent predictor of days alive &amp; out of the hospital at 1-year post-cardiac transplant. We hypothesize that patients with preoperative sarcopenia will have fewer days alive &amp; out of the hospital compared to those without. Methods: Patients who underwent cardiac transplantation from January 2018 to June 2022 with available preoperative chest CT scans (68% of total cohort) were included. Sarcopenia was diagnosed as pectoralis muscle area index in the lowest sex-specific tertile (male &lt; 5.7 cm 2 /m 2 ; female &lt; 4.4 cm 2 /m 2 ). The primary endpoint was days alive &amp; out of the hospital at 1-year post-transplant. Results: 172 patients were included of whom 32.7% met criteria for sarcopenia. Patients with sarcopenia were more likely white with lower body mass index (BMI) (23.5 vs 27.7 kg/m 2 ). Patients with sarcopenia had fewer days alive &amp; out of the hospital compared to those without, with a median difference of 16.5 days (320.5 vs. 337 days, p=0.004). Patients with sarcopenia had a longer index hospitalization (28.5 vs. 22 days) and were more likely to be discharged to a facility other than home (40.4% vs. 12.3%). In a linear regression model, sarcopenia was a significant univariable and the strongest multivariable predictor of days alive &amp; out of the hospital at 1-year when controlling for diabetes status (β = -14.4, 95% CI -28, -1.2, p = 0.032). Conclusions: Preoperative sarcopenia, diagnosed using pectoralis muscle area index, is an independent predictor of poor outcomes after cardiac transplant. This parameter is easily measurable from commonly obtained preoperative CT scans and may be considered in the transplant evaluation as a marker of risk.

A Radiomics Model Based on CT Images Combined with Multiple Machine Learning Models to Predict the Prognosis of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

PurposeWe aimed to construct three predictive models, including a clinical model, a radiomics model, and a combined model, to forecast the discharge prognosis of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage on admission. MethodsA retrospective study was conducted, involving a total of 161 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). At a ratio of 7:3, 115 of these patients were assigned to the training cohort, and 46 of these patients were assigned to the validation cohort. To produce the radionics signature and pick the features to use in its construction, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied. Five machine models were applied, and the optimal model was chosen to construct the radionics model. A clinical model was constructed using univariate and stepwise analysis to identify independent risk variables for poor outcomes at discharge. A predictive combined model nomogram was generated by integrating the clinical model and radiomics model. The performance of the nomogram was assessed in the training cohort and validated in the validation cohort. Analyses of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the calibration curve, and the decision curve were performed to assess the performance of the combined model. ResultsThis study encompassed a cohort of 161 individuals diagnosed with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), consisting of 110 males and 51 females. Utilizing the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at discharge, the analysis revealed that 89 patients (55.3%) had a good prognosis, while 72 patients (44.7%) had a poor prognosis. Only 8 out of 1130 radiomics features were selected and used in conjunction with the LR algorithm to develop the radiomics model. Sex, IVH, GCS score, and ICH volume were determined to be independent predictors of poor outcomes at the time of discharge. The AUC values of the combined model, radiomics model, and clinical model were 0.8583, 0.8364, and 0.7579 in the training cohort, and 0.9153, 0.8692, and 0.7114 in the validation cohort, respectively. The combined model nomogram exhibited good calibration and clinical benefit in both the training and validation cohorts. The decision curve analysis (DCA) displays that the combined model obtained the highest net benefit compared to the radiomics model and clinics model in the training cohort. ConclusionThe combined model demonstrates reliability and efficacy in predicting the discharge prognosis of ICH, enabling physicians to perform individualized risk assessments and make optimal choices about patients with ICH.

Implications of Frailty on Postoperative Health Care Resource Utilization in Ankylosing Spondylitis Patients Undergoing Spine Surgery for Spinal Fractures

The rise of spinal surgery for ankylosing spondylitis (AS) necessitates balancing health care costs with quality patient care. Frailty has been independently associated with adverse outcomes and increased costs. This study investigates whether frailty is an independent predictor of poor outcomes after elective surgery for AS. Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database, a retrospective study was conducted on adult patients with AS who underwent posterior spinal fusion for fracture between 2016 and 2019. Each patient was assigned a modified frailty index (mFI) score and categorized as prefrail (mFI=0 or 1), moderately frail (mFI=2), and highly frail (mFI≥3). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of extended length of stay, non-routine discharge (NRD), and exorbitant admission costs. Of the 1910 patients, 35.3% were prefrail, 31.2% moderately frail, and 33.5% highly frail. Age was significantly different across groups (P < 0.001), and frailty was associated with increased comorbidities (P < 0.001). Mean length of stay (P= 0.007), NRD rate (P < 0.001), and mean cost of admission (P= 0.002) all significantly increased with increasing frailty. However, frailty was not an independent predictor of extended hospital stay, NRD, or higher costs on multivariate analysis. Instead, predictors included multiple adverse events, number of comorbidities, and race. While frailty in patients with AS is associated with older age, greater comorbidities, and increased adverse events, it was not an independent predictor of extended hospital stay, NRD, or higher hospital costs. Further research is required to understand the full impact of frailty on surgical outcomes and develop effective interventions.

Kidney sequelae in 281 Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli-hemolytic uremic syndrome patients after a median follow-up of 12years.

A substantial proportion of patients with Escherichia coli-hemolytic uremic syndrome (STEC-HUS) evolve to chronic kidney disease (CKD). The objectives of this study were to evaluate long-term kidney outcomes and to identify CKD predictors. In this single-center retrospective study, long-term outcomes of patients were analyzed according to the presence of complete recovery (CR) or CKD at last visit. Then, they were grouped into favorable (CR + CKD1) or poor (CKD2-5) outcome to compare predictors at diagnosis (sex, age, leukocytes, creatinine, hemoglobin, HUS severity score), dialysis duration, and follow-up time between them. Of 281 patients followed up for a median of 12years, 139 (49%) had CR, 104 (37%) CKD1, 27 (10%) CKD2-4, and 11 (4%) CKD5. Thirty-eight patients progressed to CKD2-5 after a median of 4.8years, 7% in the first 5years, increasing to 8%, 10%, and 14% after 5-10years, 10-15years, and > 15years, respectively. They were younger, had higher baseline hemoglobin and leukocytes, and required longer dialysis and follow-up than those with favorable outcome. By multivariate analysis, days of dialysis and follow-up time remained as independent predictors of poor outcome. The best cutoff for days of dialysis was 10days. After 5years, 20% of those dialyzed ≥ 10days evolved to CKD2-5 versus 1% of those non-dialyzed or dialyzed < 10days. Fifty-one percent of patients evolved to CKD after 12years of follow-up and 14% to CKD2-5. Ten days of dialysis was the best cutoff to recognize outcomes. In some cases, kidney damage was evident after 15years of surveillance, highlighting the need for follow-up until adulthood in all STEC-HUS patients.

Predictive Value of Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products-to-Potassium Ratio for Poor Functional Outcome in Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Retrospective Case–Control Study

BackgroundThe relationship of fibrin(ogen) degradation products (FDPs) and potassium with the functional outcomes of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is still uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of a novel combination biomarker, the FDP-to-potassium ratio (FPR), for poor functional outcomes in patients with aSAH.MethodsA total of 425 consecutive patients with aSAH at a single center were retrospectively enrolled in our study. An unfavorable outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 3–6 at 3 months after discharge. Univariate analysis and multivariable logistic regression were performed for baseline information and laboratory parameters recorded at admission. In addition, the receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted, and propensity score matching was performed based on the FPR.ResultsOn the basis of mRS grade, 301 patients were classified as having favorable outcomes, and 124 patients were assessed as having unfavorable outcomes. FPR levels were significantly correlated with mRS grade (r[Spearman] = 0.410; P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio [OR] 1.043, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.016–1.071; P = 0.002), white blood cell count (OR 1.150, 95% CI 1.044–1.267; P = 0.005), potassium (OR 0.526, 95% CI 0.291–0.949; P = 0.033), World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade (OR 1.276, 95% CI 1.055–1.544; P = 0.012), and FPR (OR 1.219, 95% CI 1.102–1.349; P < 0.001) at admission were independently associated with poor functional outcomes. The DeLong test showed that the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of FPR was higher than that of age, white blood cell count, potassium, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade, or FDP alone, indicating that FPR had better predictive potential than these other variables. After 1:1 propensity score matching (FPR ≥ 1.45 vs. FPR < 1.45), the rate of poor prognosis was still significantly increased in the high-FPR group (48/121 [39.7%] vs. 16/121 [13.2%], P < 0.001).ConclusionsFibrin(ogen) degradation product-to-potassium ratio is an independent predictor of poor outcomes for patients with aSAH and may be a promising tool for clinicians to evaluate patients’ functional prognosis.

The relationship between hematoma morphology and intraventricular hemorrhage in supratentorial deep intracerebral hemorrhage.

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a strong independent predictor of poor outcomes. Although the location and volume of ICH are associated with IVH, our knowledge concerning the mechanism of IVH after ICH is still limited. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between hematoma morphology and IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH. We retrospectively analyzed adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with spontaneous supratentorial deep ICH who underwent computed tomography (CT) within 48 h after ICH symptom onset in Peking University First Hospital between January 2017 and August 2022. We collected the clinical and imaging data of the patients and assessed hematoma morphology using several quantitative radiological parameters including hematoma volume, sphericity index, A/B ratio (A: the largest area of hematoma; B: the largest diameter 90° to A on the same slice), and our newly proposed largest diameter-midline angle (LMA). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between these parameters and the presence of IVH on the initial CT scan. Among 114 patients with spontaneous supratentorial deep ICH, 41 (36.0%) had IVH. In patients with IVH, the sphericity index was lower than that in individuals without IVH, while the LMA was larger. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sphericity index [0.1-unit odds ratio (OR) =0.252; 95% CI: 0.089-0.709; P=0.009] and the LMA (10-unit OR =1.281; 95% CI: 1.007-1.630; P=0.04) were independently associated with the presence of IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH. Univariate analyses showed that hematoma volume, A/B ratio, sphericity index, and the LMA were significantly associated with poor outcomes at discharge. Two quantitative parameters of hematoma morphology, sphericity index and the LMA, were significantly associated with the presence of IVH in patients with supratentorial deep ICH. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes are needed to validate our results.

The relationship between systemic inflammation index, systemic immune-inflammatory index, and inflammatory prognostic index and 90-day outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis

Background and purposeTo explore the association of systemic inflammatory index (SIRI), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) and inflammatory prognosis index (IPI) with 90d outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after intravenous thrombolysis.MethodsThe patients who underwent intravenous thrombolysis were enrolled in the present study from September 2019 to December 2022. According to the relevant blood indexes obtained in 24 h after admission, the corresponding values of SIRI, SII and IPI were calculated. The correlation among SIRI, SII, IPI, and admission NIHSS scores was examined by Spearman correlation analysis. ROC curve analysis was conducted to determine the optimal cut-off value of SIRI, SII, IPI, and their corresponding sensitivity and specificity to evaluate their predictive value on admission for poor prognosis. To investigate whether high SIRI, SII, and IPI were independent predictors of poor outcomes within 90 days, variables with P-value < 0.05 during univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis.ResultsCompared with the good outcome group, the poor outcome group had higher SIRI, IPI, and SII. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the SIRI, IPI, and SII levels significantly correlated with the admission NIHSS score (r = 0.338, 0.356, 0.427, respectively; Ps < 0.001). Univariate analysis and Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed high SIRI, SII, and IPI values as independent risk factors for poor 90-day prognosis (OR = 1.09, 1.003 and 7.109, respectively).ConclusionsHigh SIRI, IPI, and SII values are correlated with poor 90d outcomes in AIS patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis.

TRIP13 overexpression in hepatocellular carcinoma: implications for poor prognosis and immune cell infiltration

PurposeThe overexpression of TRIP13 has been observed in many types of cancer and has been identified as an oncogene. However, its role in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been extensively studied. This study aimed to investigate the expression of TRIP13 in HCC and its impact on immune cell infiltration and prognosis.MethodsWe analyzed TCGA and GSE62232 datasets to assess TRIP13 expression in HCC. Kaplan–Meier and subgroup analysis were performed to examine the correlation between TRIP13 expression and HCC. Univariate and Cox regression analysis were conducted to determine the predictive value of TRIP13 in assessing patient outcomes. A nomogram was developed using TRIP13 mRNA expression to predict HCC prognosis. TRIP13 expression was validated using immunohistochemistry in our patient cohort. Survival and subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the role of TRIP13 in HCC prognosis.ResultsThe results indicated that TRIP13 upregulation in HCC was a strong independent predictor of poor outcome, as determined by Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression analyses. A high AUC value of 0.982 from ROC curves suggested that TRIP13 upregulation could serve as a reliable diagnostic indicator for HCC. The immunohistochemical validation of TRIP13 expression in the patient cohort confirmed its prognostic significance, and high TRIP13 expression was found to be associated with increased infiltration of Th2 cells and decreased infiltration of neutrophils, Th17 cells, and dendritic cells.ConclusionThese findings suggest that TRIP13 could be a potential prognostic biomarker for HCC.

Activation of cerebral Ras-related C3 botulinum toxin substrate (Rac) 1 promotes post-ischemic stroke functional recovery in aged mice.

Brain functional impairment after stroke is common; however, the molecular mechanisms of post-stroke recovery remain unclear. It is well-recognized that age is the most important independent predictor of poor outcomes after stroke as older patients show poorer functional outcomes following stroke. Mounting evidence suggests that axonal regeneration and angiogenesis, the major forms of brain plasticity responsible for post-stroke recovery, diminished with advanced age. Previous studies suggest that Ras-related C3 botulinum toxin substrate (Rac) 1 enhances stroke recovery as activation of Rac1 improved behavior recovery in a young mice stroke model. Here, we investigated the role of Rac1 signaling in long-term functional recovery and brain plasticity in an aged (male, 18 to 22 months old C57BL/6J) brain after ischemic stroke. We found that as mice aged, Rac1 expression declined in the brain. Delayed overexpression of Rac1, using lentivirus encoding Rac1 injected day 1 after ischemic stroke, promoted cognitive (assessed using novel object recognition test) and sensorimotor (assessed using adhesive removal tests) recovery on days 14-28. This was accompanied by the increase of neurite and proliferative endothelial cells in the peri-infarct zone assessed by immunostaining. In a reverse approach, pharmacological inhibition of Rac1 by intraperitoneal injection of Rac1 inhibitor NSC23766 for 14 successive days after ischemic stroke worsened the outcome with the reduction of neurite and proliferative endothelial cells. Furthermore, Rac1 inhibition reduced the activation of p21-activated kinase 1, the protein level of brain-derived neurotrophic factor, and increased the protein level of glial fibrillary acidic protein in the ischemic brain on day 28 after stroke. Our work provided insight into the mechanisms behind the diminished plasticity after cerebral ischemia in aged brains and identified Rac1 as a potential therapeutic target for improving functional recovery in the older adults after stroke.

Microsurgical Treatment of Arteriovenous Malformations: A Single-Center Study Experience.

The purpose of the study was to assess the functional outcomes after microsurgical resection of arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) and to compare the results between patients eligible for A Randomized Trial of Unruptured Brain Arteriovenous Malformations in this surgical series to the results reported and the ARUBA study. We reviewed the records of 169 patients who underwent microsurgical treatment of arteriovenous malformation (AVMs) in our institution between January 2016 and December 2021. These patients' functional status was assessed using modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at the last follow-up and before treatment. The mRS scores at the latest follow-up were classified into good outcomes (mRS < 3) and poor outcomes (mRS ≥ 3). Clinical presentation, patients' demographics, AVM characteristics, follow-up time, and obliteration rate were analyzed. Subgroup analyses were performed on the whole cohort, comparing Spetzler-Martin Grade I and Grade II, and ARUBA-eligible AVMs. The initial hemorrhagic presentation occurred in 71 (42%) out of 169 patients. The majority of the patients presented with headaches (73%). The AVMs were completely obliterated in 166 (98.2%) patients. The series included 65 Spetzler-Martin Grade I (38.5%), 46 Grade II (27.2%), 32 Grade III (18.9%), 22 Grade IV (13%), and 4 Grade V (2.4%) AVMs. There were 98 unruptured and 79 ARUBA-eligible cases. Also, optimal functional outcome was achieved in 145 (85.8%) patients. The overall mortality rate was 5.3% (9/169). The multivariate analysis illustrated that a poor outcome was significantly associated with presurgical mRS ≥3 (p < 0.013; OR, 0.206; 95% CI 0.059-0.713), increasing age (p < 0.045; odds ratio [OR], 1.022; 95% CI 1.000-0.045), and female gender (p < 0.009; OR, 2.991; 95% CI 1.309-6.832). Our study suggests that better outcomes can be obtained using microsurgical resection in the majority of patients with AVMs. Independent predictors of poor outcomes after surgical resection of AVMs include increasing age at the time of surgery, poor presurgical functional status, and female gender. Supposing that patients are more suitable for microsurgery after presurgical examination, outcomes are normally better in that case than those achieved by multimodal interventions (such as conservative treatment or ARUBA treatment arm). Therefore, we recommend early surgical removal on all surgically accessible AVMs to prevent successive hemorrhages and the consequences of poor neurological outcomes.

Non-contrast cardiac computed tomography-derived mitral annular calcification scores in mitral valve disease.

Mitral annular calcification (MAC) by computed tomography (CT) is reported as an independent predictor of poor outcomes. However, it currently remains unclear if quantitative MAC parameters provide more value for mitral valve disease (MVD) management, therefore, we examined the prognostic value of MAC-scores using non-contrast cardiac-CT in MVD-patients. Between January 2020 and December 2021, we prospectively enrolled 300 consecutive patients with MVD (MAC-present=80 and MAC-absent=220) undergoing preoperative cardiac-CT and mitral valve (MV) surgery. Non-contrast cardiac-CT images were used to qualitatively detect MAC (present or absent) and evaluate MAC-scores. For analyses, we also collected baseline clinical data, intra-operative conversion (from MV repair to MV replacement) and follow-up arrhythmia data. Compared with the MAC-absent group, MAC-present patients were older (62±7vs.58±9 years, p<0.001), mostly women (55%vs.39.5%, p=0.017), and also had aortic valve calcification (57.5%vs.23.2%, p<0.001), mitral stenosis (82.5%vs.61.8%, p<0.001), atrial fibrillation (AF, 30%vs.11.8%, p<0.001), and larger left atrial end-diastolic dimension [LADD, 49(44-56)vs.46(41-50), p=0.001]. Furthermore, MAC-present patients underwent more MV replacements (61.8%vs.82.5%, p=0.001) and experienced a higher intra-operative conversion prevalence (11.8%vs.61.3%, p<0.001). Multiple logistic regression analyses showed that the female gender [odds ratio (OR)/95%confidence interval (CI)/p=2.001/1.042-3.841/0.037] and MAC-scores (OR/95%CI/p=10.153/4.434-23.253/p<0.001) were independent predictors of intra-operative conversion. During a follow-up of 263±134 days, MAC-present patients had more arrhythmias (42.5%vs.9.5%, p<0.001). Also, MAC-scores [hazard ratio (HR)/95%CI/p=6.841/3.322-14.089/p<0.001] and LADD (HR/95%CI/p=1.039/1.018-1.060/p<0.001) were independently associated with arrhythmias by Cox regression analyses. Non-contrast cardiac CT-derived MAC-scores showed high risk for intraoperative conversion and follow-up arrhythmias in MVD-patients. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Functional predictors of poor outcomes in Chagas cardiomyopathy: The value of end-tidal carbon dioxide at peak exercise

BackgroundFunctional impairment can be detected from the onset of heart disease in patients with Chagas cardiomyopathy (ChC) and the prognostic value of the end-tidal carbon dioxide at peak exercise (PETCO2 peak) should be investigated. ObjectiveTo verify the prognostic value of PETCO2 peak in patients with ChC. MethodsSeventy-six patients with ChC (49.2 ± 9.8 years, NYHA I-III) were evaluated by echocardiography and Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing. Patients were followed up to four years and the end-point was defined as cardiovascular death, stroke, or cardiac transplantation. ResultsAt the end of the follow-up period (29.0 ± 16.0 months), 16 patients (21%) had experienced adverse events. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to identify the risk of adverse events by PETCO2 peak in patients with ChC was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.69 to 0.97), and the value of 32 mmHg was the optimal cut point (70% of sensitivity and 85% of specificity). In the Kaplan-Meier diagram, there was a significant difference (p<0.001) between patients with reduced (≤ 32 mmHg) and preserved PETCO2 peak (>32 mmHg). In the final Cox multivariate model, only reduced PETCO2 peak (HR 4.435; 95% CI: 1.228 to 16.016, p = 0.023) and VO2peak (HR 0.869; 95% CI: 0.778 to 0.971, p = 0.013) remained as independent predictors of poor outcome in ChC patients. ConclusionReduced PETCO2 peak and VO2peak demonstrated valuable prognostic value in patients with ChC. The cutoff points for both functional variables can be used during risk stratification and may help in the development of therapeutic strategies in ChC patients.

Clinical outcome of Mantle Cell Lymphoma patients with high-risk disease (high-risk MIPI-c or high p53 expression)

Currently, treatment allocation of patients with Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) is mainly based on age and medical fitness. The combined MCL International Prognostic Index (MIPI-c) allows to predict prognosis using clinical factors (MIPI) and the Ki-67 index. However, high p53 expression as surrogate for TP53 alterations has demonstrated to be an independent predictor for poor outcome. We aimed to define a clear high-risk group based on the combination of MIPI, Ki-67 and p53 expression/TP53 alteration. A total of 684 patients from the prospective European MCL-Younger and MCL-Elderly trials were evaluable. The classification of high-risk disease (HRD) as high-risk MIPI-c or p53 expression >50% versus low-risk disease (LRD) as low, low-intermediate or high-intermediate MIPI-c and p53 expression ≤50% allowed to characterize two distinct groups with highly divergent outcome. Patients with HRD had significantly shorter median failure-free survival (FFS) (1.1 vs. 5.6 years, p < 0.0001) and overall survival (OS) (2.2 vs. 13.2 years, p < 0.0001) compared to those with LRD. These major differences were confirmed in two validation cohorts from the Italian MCL0208 and the Nordic-MCL4 trials. The results suggest that this subset of HRD patients is not sufficiently managed with the current standard treatment and is asking for novel treatment strategies.

Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia in the Pediatric Emergency Department and Predictors of Poor Outcome.

Staphylococcus aureus has become the leading cause of bacteremia among previously healthy children older than 5 years. We aimed to describe the infants presenting to pediatric emergency departments and diagnosed with S. aureus bacteremia (SAB) and identify predictors (clinical and laboratory variables) of poor outcome (complications, sequelae or death). We performed an observational study and subanalysis of a multicenter prospective registry, including every patient under the age of 18 years with a positive blood culture obtained at any of the 22 participating Spanish pediatric emergency departments between 2011 and 2016. We considered chronic diseases, immunosuppressive treatment and the presence of mechanical devices as risk factors for SAB. Of the 229 patients with SAB, 176 (76.9%) were previously healthy, 192 (83.8%) had a normal pediatric assessment triangle and 158 (69.0%) had an associated focal infection (mainly osteoarticular infection, skin and soft tissue infection and pneumonia). Fifty-three patients (23.1%) had 1 or more risk factors for SAB. Thirty-one (13.5%) presented a poor outcome, including 4 deaths (1.7%). A poor outcome was more common in patients with SAB risk factors [odds ratio (OR): 7.0; 95% CI: 3.2-15.4], abnormal PAT (OR: 5.9; 95% CI: 2.6-13.3), elevated procalcitonin (OR: 1.2; 95% CI: 1.05-1.3) and C-reactive protein, the latter being the only independent predictor of poor outcome (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01-1.02). Overall, children with SAB are previously healthy, appear well, and have an associated focal infection. One out of 7 had a poor outcome, with C-reactive protein being the only predictor identified.

Loss of chromosome Y in primary tumors

Certain cancer types afflict female and male patients disproportionately. The reasons include differences in male/female physiology, effect of sex hormones, risk behavior, environmental exposures, and genetics of the sex chromosomes X and Y. Loss of Y (LOY) is common in peripheral blood cells in aging men, and this phenomenon is associated with several diseases. However, the frequency and role of LOY in tumors is little understood. Here, we present a comprehensive catalog of LOY in >5,000 primary tumors from male patients in the TCGA. We show that LOY rates vary by tumor type and provide evidence for LOY being either a passenger or driver event depending on context. LOY in uveal melanoma specifically is associated with age and survival and is an independent predictor of poor outcome. LOY creates common dependencies on DDX3X and EIF1AX in male cell lines, suggesting that LOY generates unique vulnerabilities that could be therapeutically exploited.

Outcomes of umbilical hernia repair in cirrhotic veterans: a VASQIP study.

Umbilical hernia repair (UHR) in cirrhotics with ascites is a challenging problem associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study examines the outcomes of UHR in veterans, comparing those undergoing elective versus emergent repair. VASQIP was queried for all UHRs during the period 2008-2015. Data collection included demographics, operative details, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, and postoperative outcomes. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed, and a p value of ≤ 0.05 was considered significant. A total of 383 patients were included in the analysis. Overall, mean age was 58.9, 99.0% were males, mean body mass index (BMI) was 26.7kg/m2, 98.2% had American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification ≥ III, and 87.7% had independent functional status. More than 1/3 the patients underwent emergent UHR (37.6%). Compared with the elective UHR group, who underwent emergent repair were older, more likely to be functionally dependent, higher MELD score. Hypoalbuminemia, emergency repair and MELD score were found to be independent predictors of poor outcomes. UHR in cirrhotic veterans has worse outcomes when performed emergently. Diagnosis should be followed by medical optimization and elective repair, rather than waiting for an emergent indication in > 1/3 of patients.