Independent Predictor Of 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Accuracy of chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF score compared with meld, MELD-NA and CTP as a mortality predictor in acute on chronic liver failure patients admitted to tertiary rural care hospital

Background Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and Child-Pugh (CTP) are established scoring systems for predicting mortality in Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) patients. However, their comparative accuracy, especially in rural care settings, still needs to be explored. This study aims to assess and compare the predictive performance of these scoring systems, providing a nuanced understanding of their applicability in a tertiary rural care hospital. Method This prospective observational cohort study will be conducted at Acharya Vinoba Bhave Rural Hospital, following approval from the institutional ethical committee. ACLF patients aged 18 and above, presenting within one week of onset, will be included. Data collection will involve comprehensive assessments, including scoring system calculations, clinical examinations, and relevant investigations. Statistical analyses, encompassing descriptive statistics, comparative analyses, survival analyses, and multivariate models, will elucidate the accuracy and independent predictors of 28-day mortality. Expected Outcome Anticipated outcomes include a comprehensive understanding of the strengths and limitations of the CLIF-C ACLF score, MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP in predicting mortality among ACLF patients in a rural care context. The study aims to identify potential correlations and independent predictors, offering valuable insights for risk stratification. These findings are expected to guide clinicians in optimising prognostic assessments and decision-making, thereby improving the care and outcomes of ACLF patients in rural healthcare settings.

Presepsin as a prognostic biomarker in COVID-19 patients: combining clinical scoring systems and laboratory inflammatory markers for outcome prediction

BackgroundThere is still limited research on the prognostic value of Presepsin as a biomarker for predicting the outcome of COVID-19 patients. Additionally, research on the combined predictive value of Presepsin with clinical scoring systems and inflammation markers for disease prognosis is lacking.MethodsA total of 226 COVID-19 patients admitted to Beijing Youan Hospital’s emergency department from May to November 2022 were screened. Demographic information, laboratory measurements, and blood samples for Presepsin levels were collected upon admission. The predictive value of Presepsin, clinical scoring systems, and inflammation markers for 28-day mortality was analyzed.ResultsA total of 190 patients were analyzed, 83 (43.7%) were mild, 61 (32.1%) were moderate, and 46 (24.2%) were severe/critically ill. 23 (12.1%) patients died within 28 days. The Presepsin levels in severe/critical patients were significantly higher compared to moderate and mild patients (p < 0.001). Presepsin showed significant predictive value for 28-day mortality in COVID-19 patients, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.828 (95% CI: 0.737–0.920). Clinical scoring systems and inflammation markers also played a significant role in predicting 28-day outcomes. After Cox regression adjustment, Presepsin, qSOFA, NEWS2, PSI, CURB-65, CRP, NLR, CAR, and LCR were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality in COVID-19 patients (all p-values < 0.05). Combining Presepsin with clinical scoring systems and inflammation markers further enhanced the predictive value for patient prognosis.ConclusionPresepsin is a favorable indicator for the prognosis of COVID-19 patients, and its combination with clinical scoring systems and inflammation markers improved prognostic assessment.

Establishment and assessment of mortality risk prediction model in patients with sepsis based on early-stage peripheral lymphocyte subsets.

This study is aimed to explore the value of lymphocyte subsets in evaluating the severity and prognosis of sepsis. The counts of lymphocytes, CD3+ T cells, CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, CD19+ B cells, and NK cells significantly decreased between day 1 and day 3 in both the survivor and the non-survivor groups. The peripheral lymphocyte subsets (PLS) at day 1 were not significantly different between the survivor and the non-survivor groups. However, at day 3, the counts of lymphocytes, CD3+ T cells, CD4+ T cells, and NK cells were remarkably lower in the non-survivor group. No significant differences in CD8+ T cells, or CD19+ B cells were observed. The PLS index was independently and significantly associated with the 28-day mortality risk in septic patients (OR: 3.08, 95% CI: 1.18-9.67). Based on these clinical parameters and the PLS index, we developed a nomograph for evaluating the individual mortality risk in sepsis. The area under the curve of prediction with the PLS index was significantly higher than that from the model with only clinical parameters (0.912 vs. 0.817). Our study suggests that the decline of PLS occurred in the early stage of sepsis. The new novel PLS index can be an independent predictor of 28-day mortality in septic patients. The prediction model based on clinical parameters and the PLS index has relatively high predicting ability.

Insights into the Novel Cardiac Biomarker in Acute Heart Failure: Mybp-C.

(1) Background: Given its high cardiac specificity and its capacity to directly assess the cardiac function, cardiac myosin-binding protein (MyBP-C) is a promising biomarker in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). The aim of our study was to investigate the clinical utility of this novel marker for diagnosis and short-term prognosis in subjects with AHF. (2) Methods: We measured plasma levels of MyBP-C at admission in 49 subjects (27 patients admitted with AHF and 22 controls). (3) Results: The plasma concentration of MyBP-C was significantly higher in patients with AHF compared to controls (54.88 vs. 0.01 ng/L, p < 0.001). For 30-day prognosis, MyBP-C showed significantly greater AUC (0.972, p < 0.001) than NT-proBNP (0.849, p = 0.001) and hs-TnI (0.714, p = 0.047). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, an elevated level of MyBP-C was the best independent predictor of 30-day mortality (OR = 1.08, p = 0.039) or combined death/recurrent 30-days rehospitalization (OR = 1.12, p = 0.014). (4) Conclusions: Our data show that circulating MyBP-C is a sensitive and cardiac-specific biomarker with potential utility for the accurate diagnosis and prognosis of AHF.

Risk factors and mortality of carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection in haematology department: A 10-year retrospective study

ObjectivesThis study aims to investigate the risk factors for carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection (CRPA-BSI) and identify predictors of outcomes among patients with P. aeruginosa bloodstream infection (PA-BSI). MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients with PA-BSI at Henan Cancer Hospital from 2013 to 2022. ResultsAmong the 503 incidences analysed, 15.1% of them were CRPA strains. Age, ANC < 100/mmc, receiving antifungal prophylaxis, exposure to carbapenems within the previous 90 days to onset of BSI, and allogeneic HSCT (allo-HSCT) were associated with the development of CRPA-BSI. CRPA-BSI patients experienced significantly higher 28-day mortality rates compared to those with carbapenem-susceptible P. aeruginosa bloodstream infection. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age at BSI, active stage of haematological disease, procalcitonin levels, prior corticosteroid treatment, isolation of CRPA, and septic shock as independent predictors of 28-day mortality. ConclusionsRisk factors for CRPA-BSI include age, ANC < 100/mmc, antifungal prophylaxis, exposure to carbapenems, and allo-HSCT. Additionally, age at BSI, active haematological disease, procalcitonin levels, prior corticosteroid treatment, CRPA isolation, and septic shock contribute to increased mortality rates among patients with PA-BSI.

Characteristics, predictors and outcomes of new-onset QT prolongation in sepsis: a multicenter retrospective study

BackgroundSepsis-induced myocardial injury is a serious complication of sepsis. QT prolongation is a proarrhythmic state which reflects myocardial injury in a group of heterogeneous disorders. However, the study on the clinical value of QT prolongation in sepsis is limited.MethodsWe aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and predictors of new-onset QT prolongation in sepsis and its impact on the outcome in a multicenter retrospective cohort study. Electrocardiographic and clinical data were collected from patients with sepsis from the wards and intensive care units of four centers after exclusion of QT-influencing medications and electrolyte abnormalities. Clinical outcomes were compared between patients with and without QT prolongation (QTc > 450 ms). Multivariate analysis was performed to ascertain whether QT prolongation was an independent predictor for 30-day mortality. The factors predicting QT prolongation in sepsis were also analyzed.ResultsNew-onset QT prolongation occurred in 235/1024 (22.9%) patients. The majority demonstrated similar pattern as type 1 long QT syndrome. Patients with QT prolongation had a higher 30-day in-hospital mortality (P < 0.001), which was also associated with increased tachyarrhythmias including paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or tachycardia (P < 0.001) and ventricular arrhythmia (P < 0.001) during hospitalization. QT prolongation independently predicted 30-day mortality (P = 0.044) after multivariate analysis. History of coronary artery disease (P = 0.001), septic shock (P = 0.008), acute respiratory (P < 0.001), heart (P = 0.021) and renal dysfunction (P = 0.013) were independent predictors of QT prolongation in sepsis.ConclusionsNew-onset QT prolongation in sepsis was associated with increased mortality as well as atrial and ventricular arrhythmias, which was predicted by disease severity and organ dysfunction.Graphical abstract

Urine Liver-Type Fatty Acid Binding Protein; Biomarker for Diagnosing Acute Kidney Injury and Predicting Mortality in Cirrhotic Patients

Objective: To determine impact of urine liver-type fatty acid binding protein (uL-FABP) and urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL), which were biomarkers linked to acute kidney injury (AKI), in AKI diagnosis and prediction of 28-day mortality among hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Materials and Methods: We prospectively enrolled hospitalized cirrhotic patients at a tertiary care university hospital between June 2018 and November 2019. The uL-FABP, uNGAL, and plasma NGAL (pNGAL) were collected within 48 hours of admission. Cutoff values of biomarkers for diagnosing AKI derived from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent factors for 28-day mortality. Results: We enrolled 109 cirrhotic patients in derivative cohort, 41.3% had AKI. Median uL-FABP, uNGAL, and pNGAL levels in AKI group were higher than non-AKI group: 8.1 vs. 2.8 ng/mL (p=0.002), 40.5 vs. 10.1 ng/mL (p&lt;0.001), and 195.7 vs 81.4 ng/mL (p=0.001), respectively. Areas under the ROC curve of uL-FABP, uNGAL, and pNGAL for AKI diagnosis were 0.68, 0.73 and 0.68, respectively. Also, all biomarkers were significantly higher in mortality group. Multivariate analysis showed that the only independent predictor for 28-day mortality was uL-FABP ≥ 4.68 ng/mL (odd ratio 4.15, p=0.02). Conclusion: UL-FABP, uNGAL, and pNGAL are associated with AKI in hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Moreover, uL-FABP ≥ 4.68 ng/mL was a significant independent predictor for 28-day mortality.

Diagnostic and prognostic significance of apelin-13, APJ for sepsis in the emergency department: A prospective study

ObjectivesThis study aimed to assess the diagnostic, risk stratification, and prognostic capabilities of apelin-13 and APJ in comparison to procalcitonin (PCT) for septic patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). MethodsTwo hundred and thirty-eight patients meeting the Third International Consensus Definition (Sepsis-3) criteria were enrolled from Beijing Chaoyang Hospital's ED, along with a control group of forty healthy individuals. Patients were categorized into two groups based on disease severity: those with sepsis or septic shock. Plasma levels of apelin-13, CD4+ Th cells, and PCT were measured. The expression levels of plasma APJ mRNA were quantified using real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) methodology. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was determined at the time of enrollment. The prognostic values of apelin-13 and APJ was evaluated in comparison to that of PCT and the SOFA score. All patients were followed up for a duration of 28 days. ResultsThe plasma concentrations of apelin-13 and APJ exhibited a positive correlation with the severity of sepsis, while the number of CD4+ T cells decreased in septic patients. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curves for apelin-13 and APJ in the diagnosis and prediction of 28-day mortality were greater than that of PCT. In non-survivors at the 28-day follow-up, the plasma levels of apelin-13 and APJ were significantly higher compared to survivors. Furthermore, apelin-13 levels were notably higher in cases of sepsis-induced cardiomyopathy (SICM) than in those without SICM. Apelin-13 and APJ emerged as independent predictors of 28-day mortality among septic patients. ConclusionsApelin-13 and APJ demonstrate value in the assessment of risk stratification, early diagnosis, and prognosis of sepsis in the ED. Apelin-13 also proves to be an effective biomarker for assessing the prognosis of SICM in the ED. Sepsis may lead to immune function suppression.

Mortality in patients with normal left ventricular function requiring emergency VA-ECMO for postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock due to coronary malperfusion.

To analyze outcomes in patients with normal preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) undergoing venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) therapy due to postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock (PCCS) related to coronary malperfusion. Retrospective single-center analysis in patients with normal preoperative LVEF treated with VA-ECMO for coronary malperfusion-related PCCS between May 1998 and May 2018. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, which was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of mortality. During the study period, a total of 62,125 patients underwent cardiac surgery at our institution. Amongst them, 59 patients (0.1%) with normal preoperative LVEF required VA-ECMO support due to coronary malperfusion-related PCCS. The mean duration of VA-ECMO support was 6 days (interquartile range 4-7 days). The 30-day mortality was 50.8%. Under VA-ECMO therapy, a complication composite outcome of bleeding, re-exploration for bleeding, acute renal failure, acute liver failure, and sepsis occurred in 51 (86.4%) patients. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality were lactate levels > 9.9 mmol/l before VA-ECMO implantation (odds ratio [OR]: 3.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5-7.0; p = 0.002), delay until revascularization > 278 minutes (OR: 2.9; 95% CI 1.3-6.4; p = 0.008) and peripheral arterial artery disease (OR: 3.3; 95% 1.6-7.5; p = 0.001). Mortality rates are high in patients with normal preoperative LVEF who develop PCCS due to coronary malperfusion. The early implantation of VA-ECMO before the development of profound tissue hypoxia and early coronary revascularization increases the likelihood of survival. Lactate levels are useful to define optimal timing for the VA-ECMO initiation.

Ammonia is associated with liver-related complications and predicts mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

The relationship between ammonia and liver-related complications (LRCs) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is not clearly established. This study aimed to evaluate the association between ammonia levels and LRCs in patients with ACLF. The study also evaluated the ability of ammonia in predicting mortality and progression of LRCs. The study prospectively recruited ACLF patients based on the APASL definition from the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) from 2009 to 2019. LRCs were a composite endpoint of bacterial infection, overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and ascites. A total of 3871 cases were screened. Of these, 701 ACLF patients were enrolled. Patients with LRCs had significantly higher ammonia levels than those without. Ammonia was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and ascites, but not in those with bacterial infection. Multivariate analysis found that ammonia was associated with LRCs. Additionally, baseline arterial ammonia was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, but it was not associated with the development of new LRCs within 30 days. In summary, baseline arterial ammonia levels are associated with 30-day mortality and LRCs, mainly overt HE and ascites in ACLF patients.

Preoperative prescription opioid use as an independent predictor of 90-day mortality and adverse events in craniotomy and craniectomy patients.

A growing body of literature suggests that preoperative opioid exposure is an independent predictor of poor outcomes in surgical patients. No outcomes data exist on preoperative opioid use and craniotomies/craniectomies. The objective of this study was to determine the impact of preoperative opioid use on 90-day adverse events after craniotomy or craniectomy. A single-center retrospective cohort study of 2445 patients undergoing a craniotomy/craniectomy between January 1, 2013, and October 1, 2018, was conducted. Baseline demographics, pre- and postoperative opioid use (morphine milligram equivalents [MMEs]), and surgical metrics were recorded. Patients were categorized based on whether they took prescription opioids preoperatively, defined as within 1 month of surgery, or were opioid naive. The outcomes were mortality and adverse events 90 days after craniotomy/craniectomy. Overall, 26.6% of patients composed the preoperative opioid group. The median daily MME intake among this group was 34.6 (IQR 14.1-90) MMEs. Lower employment rates (p < 0.001), uninsured status (p = 0.016), and intravenous drug use (p = 0.006) were associated with preoperative opioid use. Preoperative opioid use was associated with increased venous thromboembolism (p = 0.001), acute kidney injury (p = 0.002), acute respiratory failure (p < 0.001), myocardial infarction (p = 0.002), delirium (p < 0.001), and infection (p < 0.001). Preoperative opioid use was an independent predictor of overall 90-day adverse events (OR 1.643, 95% CI 1.289-2.095; p < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (OR 1.690, 95% CI 1.254-2.277; p < 0.001). Preoperative opioid use was independently associated with 90-day postoperative adverse events and mortality. Opioid use increases vulnerability in craniotomy/craniectomy patients and necessitates close monitoring to improve outcomes.

Cardiogenic Shock Prior to Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: Outcomes and Predictors of Mortality (ANZACS-QI 73)

Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a serious complication of acute myocardial infarction (MI) and is associated with significant mortality. We describe a contemporary, real-world cohort of patients with ST-elevation MI (STEMI) and CS, including 30-day mortality and clinically relevant predictors of mortality. All patients presenting with STEMI who were treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in New Zealand (2016 to 2020) were identified from the Aotearoa New Zealand All Cardiology Services Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry and stratified based on their Killip class on arrival to the cardiac catheterisation laboratory. Primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable analysis was used to identify predictors of mortality prior to PCI and to develop a mortality scoring system. In total, 6,649 patients were identified, including 192 (2.9%) Killip IV (CS) patients. Thirty-day mortality was 47.5% in patients with CS, 14.6% in those with heart failure without shock, and 3% in those without heart failure. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality for patients with CS were: estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73m2 (relative risk [RR] 1.89, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39-2.58), cardiac arrest (RR 1.54, 95% CI 1.15-2.06), diabetes (RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01-1.70), female sex (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.01-1.72), femoral arterial access (RR 1.42, 95% CI 1.06-1.90) and left main stem culprit (RR 2.16, 95% CI 1.65-2.84). A multivariable Shock score was developed which predicts 30-day mortality with good global discrimination (area under the curve 0.79, 95% CI 0.73-0.85). In this national cohort, the 30-day mortality for STEMI patients presenting with CS treated with PCI remains high, at nearly 50%. The ANZACS-QI Shock score is a promising tool for mortality risk stratification prior to PCI but requires further validation.

Ceftazidime-Avibactam Combination Therapy versus Monotherapy for the Treatment Carbapenem-Resistant Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections: A Retrospective Observational Study.

Since the introduction of ceftazidime-avibactam (CZA) in the Chinese market, accumulating clinical evidence has substantiated its efficacy in the treatment of infections caused by carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (CR-GNB). Nevertheless, an ongoing debate persists concerning the choice between monotherapy and combination therapy when devising clinical anti-infection protocols. This retrospective, single-center observational study enrolled patients with CR-GNB infections who received CZA treatment between December 2019 and August 2023. The primary outcome assessed was 30-day mortality, and the secondary outcome measured was 14-day bacterial clearance. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to identify variables that were independently associated with 30-day mortality rate. Eighty-three patients were enrolled in the study; of which, 45 received CZA monotherapy, whereas 38 received combination therapy. The overall 30-day mortality rate was 31.3%, and no significant difference was observed in the 30-day mortality rates between the CZA combination therapy and monotherapy groups (31.6% vs 31.1%, p=0.963). After adjustment by propensity score matching, the 30-day mortality rate was not significantly different between the two groups (28.6% vs 31.4%, p=0.794). Multivariate COX analysis revealed that age and SOFA score were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. Combination therapy with CZA and other antimicrobials was not found to have an advantage over monotherapy in reducing the 30-day mortality rate.

Alterations of the Adipo-Myokine Irisin in Sepsis and Septic Shock: Diagnostic and Prognostic Implications.

Irisin, a novel adipo-myokine with metabolic regulatory functions, exerts anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, and anti-apoptotic actions that may confer protection against sepsis-induced organ injury in experimental studies. Until now, only one human study has explored circulating irisin at sepsis onset. We aimed to examine serum irisin and its kinetics in critically ill patients with sepsis and septic shock with regard to sepsis severity and outcome. We enrolled 102 critically ill patients with sepsis or septic shock within 48 h of diagnosis and 102 age- and gender-matched healthy controls. Irisin was determined in serum upon enrollment in all participants and one week later in patients using an immunoenzymatic method. The outcome of sepsis was recorded 28 days after enrollment. At enrollment, circulating irisin was significantly lower in patients than controls (22.3 ± 6.8 μg/L vs. 28.1 ± 6.7 μg/L, p < 0.001), and increased significantly one week later (22.3 ± 6.8 μg/L vs. 26.6 ± 9.5 μg/L, p < 0.001). Irisin was significantly lower in patients who presented with septic shock than those with sepsis, and in non-survivors than survivors both at enrollment and one week later. However, kinetics of irisin did not differ between the groups (p > 0.05). Patients with higher circulating irisin during the first week of sepsis had a better outcome (p < 0.001). Lower irisin was independently associated with 28-day mortality (sepsis onset: HR 0.44, 95% C.I. 0.26-0.77, p = 0.004 and one week after: HR 0.37, 95% C.I. 0.23-0.58, p < 0.001). Irisin was negatively correlated with severity scores, metabolic, and inflammatory biomarkers. Circulating irisin decreases early in sepsis and is an independent predictor of 28-day mortality. Irisin may be a promising diagnostic and prognostic sepsis biomarker; nevertheless, larger studies are needed to explore its role in sepsis.

High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T and Frailty Predict Short-Term Mortality in Patients ≥75 Years Undergoing Emergency Abdominal Surgery: A Prospective Observational Study.

An elevated cardiac troponin concentration is a prognostic factor for perioperative cardiac morbidity and mortality. In elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery, frailty is a recognized risk factor, but little is known about the prognostic value of cardiac troponin in these vulnerable patients. Therefore, we investigated the prognostic significance of elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentration and frailty in a cohort of elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery. We included consecutive patients ≥75 years of age who presented for emergency abdominal surgery, defined as abdominal pathology requiring surgery within 72 hours, in a university hospital in Norway. Patients who underwent vascular procedures or palliative surgery for inoperable malignancies were excluded. Preoperatively, frailty was assessed using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), and blood samples were measured for hs-cTnT. We evaluated the predictive power of CFS and hs-cTnT concentrations using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox proportional hazard regression with 30-day mortality as the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included (1) a composite of 30-day all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiac event (MACE), defined as myocardial infarction, nonfatal cardiac arrest, or coronary revascularization; and (2) 90-day mortality. Of the 210 screened and 156 eligible patients, blood samples were available in 146, who were included. Troponin concentration exceeded the 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) in 83% and 89% of the patients pre- and postoperatively. Of the participants, 53% were classified as vulnerable or frail (CFS ≥4). The 30-day mortality rate was 12% (18 of 146). Preoperatively, a threshold of hs-cTnT ≥34 ng/L independently predicted 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 3.14, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-9.45), and the composite outcome of 30-day mortality and MACE (HR 2.58, 95% CI, 1.07-6.49). In this model, frailty (continuous CFS score) also independently predicted 30-day mortality (HR 1.42, 95% CI, 1.01-2.00) and 30-day mortality or MACE (HR 1.37, 95% CI, 1.02-1.84). The combination of troponin and frailty, 0.14 × hs-cTnT +4.0 × CFS, yielded apparent superior predictive power (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUC] 0.79, 95% CI, 0.68-0.88), compared to troponin concentration (AUC 0.69, 95% CI, 0.55-0.83) or frailty (AUC 0.69, 95% CI, 0.57-0.82) alone. After emergency abdominal surgery in elderly patients, increased preoperative troponin concentration and frailty were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The combination of increased troponin concentration and frailty seemed to provide better prognostic information than troponin or frailty alone. These results must be validated in an independent sample.

Factors affecting 30-day mortality in poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a 10-year single-center experience.

The management of patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is burdened by an unfavorable prognosis even with aggressive treatment. The aim of the present study is to investigate the risk factors affecting 30-day mortality in poor-grade aSAH patients. We performed a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database of poor-grade aSAH patients (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies, WFNS, grades IV and V) treated at our institution from December 2010 to December 2020. For all variables, percentages of frequency distributions were analyzed. Contingency tables (Chi-squared test) were used to assess the association between categorical variables and outcomes in the univariable analysis. Multivariable analysis was performed by using the multiple logistic regression method to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for 30-day mortality. A total of 149 patients were included of which 32% had WFNS grade 4 and 68% had WFNS grade 5. The overall 1-month mortality rate was 21%. On univariable analysis, five variables were found to be associated with the likelihood of death, including intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH ≥ 50 mL, p = 0.005), the total amount of intraventricular and intraparenchymal hemorrhage (IVH + ICH ≥ 90 mL, p = 0.019), the IVH Ratio (IVH Ratio ≥ 40%, p = 0.003), posterior circulation aneurysms (p = 0.019), presence of spot sign on initial CT scan angiography (p = 0.015).Nonetheless, when the multivariable analysis was performed, only IVH Ratio (p = 0.005; OR 3.97), posterior circulation aneurysms (p = 0.008; OR 4.05) and spot sign (p = 0.022; OR 6.87) turned out to be independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The risk of mortality in poor-grade aSAH remains considerable despite maximal treatment. Notwithstanding the limitations of a retrospective study, our report highlights some neuroradiological features that in the emergency setting, combined with leading clinical and anamnestic parameters, may support the multidisciplinary team in the difficult decision-making process and communication with family members from the earliest stages of poor-grade aSAH. Further prospective studies are warranted.

Mortality predictors of patients diagnosed with severe hyponatremia in the emergency department.

To determine the factors affecting mortality as a result of the analysis of the demographic and clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters of patients whose serum Na value was determined to be 125mEq/L or below at the time of admission to the emergency department (ED). Patients over 18years of age who admitted to the ED of a tertiary hospital between September 2021 and September 2022 and whose serum sodium level was determined to be 125mEq/L and below were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, admission complaints, medications used, Charles comorbidity index (CCI), laboratory parameters, and outcomes of the patients included in the study were recorded in the data form. Three hundred ninety-nine patients were included in the study. When the 30-day mortality of the patients is examined, the mortality rate was found to be 21.6%. In the analyses performed for the predictive power of laboratory parameters for mortality, it was determined that the highest predictive power among the predictive values determined by the area under the curve (AUC) was the albumin level (AUC 0.801, 95% CI 0.753-0.849, p < 0.001). In the binary logistic regression analysis, urea and albumin were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. According to study data, albumin and urea levels are independent predictors of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with severe hyponatremia in the emergency department.

Predictive value of hyponatremia for short-term mortality in supratentorial spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: a single center study

BackgroundHyponatremia is a common electrolyte disturbance in patients with neurological disease; however, its predictive role for outcome in patients with supratentorial spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is controversial. This study aims to explore the association between hyponatremia within 7 days after bleeding and 90-day mortality in patients with supratentorial sICH.MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted at our institution. Patients with sICH meeting the inclusion criteria were enrolled in this study. Multivariate regression analyses were performed to determine the predictive value of hyponatremia (serum sodium &amp;lt;135 mmol/L) for 90-day mortality and functional outcome. Subgroup analysis was performed based on the degree and duration of hyponatremia and therapeutic strategies. The Spearman correlation test was performed to explore the relationship between hyponatremia severity and duration with variables in a multivariate regression model. Kaplan–Meier curve was depicted to reveal the relationship between hyponatremia and mortality. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to show the diagnostic effect of the minimum concentration of serum sodium (sodiummin) on 90-day mortality.ResultsA total of 960 patients were enrolled, 19.6% (188) of whom were patients with hyponatremia and 26.0% (250) had 90-day mortality. The incidence of hyponatremia was roughly 2.5 times in non-survivors compared with survivors (34.8% vs. 14.2%). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that hyponatremia was the independent predictor of 90-day mortality (OR 2.763, 95%CI 1.836–4.157) and adverse outcome (OR 3.579, 95%CI 2.332–6.780). Subgroup analysis indicated an increased trend in mortality risk with both duration (more or less than 48 h) and severity of hyponatremia (mild, moderate, and severe) and confirmed the predictive value of hyponatremia for mortality in patients undergoing surgical intervention (external ventricular drainage, craniotomy, and decompressive craniectomy; all p &amp;lt; 0.05). The Spearman correlation test indicated no moderate or strong relationship between hyponatremia severity and duration with other variables in the multivariate model (all |rs| &amp;lt; 0.4). The ROC curve suggested the moderate diagnostic performance of sodiummin for mortality in both general patients and subgroups of therapeutic method patients (AUC from 0.6475 to 0.7384).ConclusionHyponatremia occurring in the first 7 days after bleeding is an independent predictor of 90-day morality and adverse outcome. Rigorous electrolyte scrutiny in patients treated surgically is required.

Decreased percentages of plasmacytoid dendritic cells predict survival in critically ill patients.

Critically ill patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) experience a broad variety of life-threatening conditions. Irrespective of the initial cause of hospitalization, many experience systemic immune dysregulation. Dendritic cells (DCs) are the most potent antigen-presenting cells and play a pivotal role in regulating the immune response by linking the innate to the adaptive immune system. The aim of this study was to analyze whether DCs or their respective subsets are associated with 30-d mortality in an unselected patient cohort admitted to a medical ICU with a cardiovascular focus. A total of 231 patients were included in this single-center prospective observational study. Blood was drawn at admission and after 72 h. Subsequently, flow cytometry was utilized for the analysis of DCs and their respective subsets. In the total cohort, low percentages of DCs were significantly associated with sepsis, respiratory failure, and septic shock. In particular, a significantly lower percentage of circulating plasmacytoid DCs (pDCs) was found to be a strong and independent predictor of 30-d mortality after adjustment for demographic and clinical variables with an hazard ratio of 4.2 (95% confidence interval: 1.3-13.3, P = 0.015). Additionally, low percentages of pDCs were correlated with additional markers of inflammation and organ dysfunction. In conclusion, we observed low percentages of DCs in patients admitted to an ICU experiencing sepsis, respiratory failure, and cardiogenic shock, suggesting their depletion as a contributing mechanism for the development of immune paralysis. In our cohort, pDCs were identified as the most robust subset to predict 30-d mortality.

Analysis of factors affecting outcome in acute type A aortic dissection complicated by preoperative cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) aggravates the pre-existing dismal prognosis of patients suffering from acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD). We aimed to identify factors affecting survival and outcome in ATAAD patients requiring CPR at presentation at 2 European aortic centres. Data on 112 surgical candidates and undergoing preoperative CPR were retrospectively evaluated. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to 30-day mortality. A multivariable model identified predictors for 30-day mortality. Preoperative death occurred in 23 patients (20.5%). In the remaining 89 surgical patients (79.5%) circulatory arrest time (41 ± 20 min in 30-day non-survivors vs 30 ± 13 min in 30-day survivor, P = 0.003) as well as cardiopulmonary bypass time (320 ± 132 min in 30-day non-survivors vs 252 ± 140 min in 30-day survivor, P = 0.020) time was significantly longer in patients with worse outcome. Thirty-day mortality of the total cohort was 61.6% (n = 69) with cardiac failure in 48% and aortic rupture or haemorrhagic shock (28%) as predominant reasons of death. Age [odds ratio (OR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.09, P = 0.034], preoperative coronary (OR 3.42, 95% CI 1.34-9.26, p = 0.012) and spinal malperfusion (OR 12.49, 95% CI 1.83-225.02, P = 0.028) emerged as independent predictors for 30-day mortality while CPR due to tamponade was associated with improved early survival (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.091-0.81, P = 0.023). Assessment of underlying cause for CPR is mandatory. Pericardial tamponade, rapidly resolved with pericardial drainage, is a predictor for improved survival, while age and presence of coronary and spinal malperfusion are associated with dismal outcome in this high-risk patient group.