Incremental Cost-effectiveness Research Articles

Cost-effectiveness of an online supervised group physical and mental health rehabilitation programme for adults with post-COVID-19 condition after hospitalisation for COVID-19: the REGAIN RCT

BackgroundFollowing the COVID-19 pandemic, millions of people continue to experience ongoing physical and mental health sequelae after recovery from acute infection. There is currently no specific treatment for the diverse symptoms associated with post-COVID-19 condition. Physical and mental health rehabilitation may help improve quality of life in such patients. This study reports the cost-effectiveness of a programme of physical and mental health rehabilitation compared to best practice usual care in people with post-COVID-19 condition who were previously hospitalised.MethodsWe conducted an economic evaluation within a randomised controlled trial from the perspective of the UK national health service (NHS) and personnel social services perspective (PSS). Resource used and health-related quality of life were collected using bespoke questionnaire and the EQ-5D-5 L questionnaire at three, six, and 12 months. Incremental costs and quality adjusted life years accrued over the follow-up period were estimated and reported as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Estimate uncertainty was managed by multiple imputation and bootstrapping cost-effectiveness estimates; and displayed graphically on the cost-effectiveness plane.ResultsOver a 12-month time horizon, incremental costs and QALYs were £305 (95% CI: -123 to 732) and 0.026 (95% CI: -0.005 to 0.052) respectively. The ICER was £11,941 per QALY indicating cost-effective care. Sensitivity analyses supported the base case findings. The probability of the intervention being cost-effective at a £30,000 per QALY willingness-to-pay threshold was 84%.ConclusionThe within-trial economic evaluation suggested that people with post-COVID-19 condition after hospitalisation should be offered a programme of physical and mental health rehabilitation as it likely reflects a cost-effective use of NHS resources. Hospitalisation for COVID-19 has become less commonplace: further evaluation in non-hospitalised patients may be worthwhile.Trial registrationISRCTN registry ISRCTN11466448 23rd November 2020.

Cost-effectiveness of hearing and vision support for residents with dementia in long-term care in Ireland: A Health Economic Analysis Plan (HEAP) for a simulation model for the SENSE-Cog Care feasibility trial

Introduction Sensory challenges exacerbate the dementia symptoms of nursing home residents. The Sense-Cog Care trial is piloting a multi-faceted intervention to investigate whether optimising and supporting hearing, vision, and sensory-friendly environments through the “sensory champion” model in Irish nursing homes can improve quality of life and dementia-related outcomes and be cost-effective (Connelly et al., 2023). A Health Economic Analysis Plan (HEAP) provides a standardised and comprehensive framework by outlining the systematic approach, methodologies, and key considerations involved in assessing the cost-effectiveness of a healthcare intervention. The HEAP presented in this paper describes the alongside-trial decision modelling approach used for preliminary estimates of cost-effectiveness and to inform the design of the final intervention. Methods A Markov model will be used to simulate residents' health progression with and without the intervention. Costs will be estimated from the Irish health and social care perspective. A key output of the planned economic analysis will be the Incremental-Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) which describes the cost over one additional unit of Quality-Adjusted Life Year (QALY). A Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis (PSA) will be conducted in the form of a Monte Carlo simulation to examine parameter uncertainty and the probability of a sensory champion being cost-effective. Results Tables for inputs and outputs are presented, and graphical representations for uncertainty, such as a tornado plot and a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Curve (CEAC), will be produced. The results will be interpreted in the context of the Irish cost-effectiveness thresholds of €20,000 and €45,000 per QALY. Discussion To our knowledge, this is the first study to model the cost-effectiveness of a sensory intervention for nursing home residents with dementia. We aim to develop an early-stage Bayesian model that serves as a prior for further research.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and chemotherapy for the treatment of metastatic, persistent, or recurrent cervical cancer (BEATcc)

ABSTRACT Background The addition of atezolizumab to bevacizumab plus platinum regimen has demonstrated notable improvements in treating metastatic, persistent, or recurrent cervical cancer, but its cost-effectiveness requires further investigation. From a US payer perspective, we aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and chemotherapy vs. standard chemotherapy as a first-line treatment for metastatic, persistent, or recurrent cervical cancer. Methods A partitioned survival model based on the data from the BEATcc trial was used to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), using cost and health utility information obtained from literature and publicly accessible databases. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the model’s responsiveness to variations in parameters. Results The addition of atezolizumab resulted in an additional 0.839 quality-adjusted life years (QALY) at an additional cost of $458,237, leading to an ICER of $545,943/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that the cost of atezolizumab had the greatest impact on the ICER, followed by the utility value of progression-free survival (PFS) and follow-up costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed a 0% cost-effectiveness probability at the current willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000 per QALY. Conclusion Adding atezolizumab to chemotherapy is cost-prohibitive in the US and may not be cost-effective for patients.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of emergency department-based hepatitis C screening and linkage-to-care program

BackgroundIn the United States (US), hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening is not covered by payers in settings outside of primary care. A non-traditional, emergency department (ED)-based HCV screening program can be cost-effective and identify infection in vulnerable populations with a high HCV risk. This study examined the long-term cost-effectiveness of routine HCV screening and linkage-to-care for high-risk patients in the ED from the payer’s perspective.MethodsThe University of Illinois Hospital and Health Sciences System (UIH) implemented Project HEAL (HIV & HCV Screening, Education, Awareness, Linkage-to-Care). Under this initiative, patients who presented to the ED received opt-out HCV screening if they were at high risk for HCV infection (birth cohort between 1945 and 1964, persons who inject drugs, and HIV infection) with subsequent linkage-to-care if infected. Using the summary data from Project HEAL, a hybrid decision-analytic Markov model was developed based on the HCV screening procedure in the ED and the natural history of HCV. A 30-year time horizon and 1-year cycle length were used. All patients who received the ED-based HCV screening were referred for treatment with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regardless of their fibrosis stage.ResultsWhen unscreened/untreated patients received DAA treatment at F1, F2, F3, and compensated cirrhosis stages, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) ranged from $6,084 to $77,063 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. When unscreened/untreated patients received DAA treatment at the decompensated cirrhosis stage, no HCV screening was dominated.ConclusionED-based HCV screening and linkage-to-care was cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000/QALY in all scenarios. A reduction in infected persons in the community may provide additional benefits not evaluated in this study.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pharmaceutical-Grade Chondroitin Sulfate for Knee Osteoarthritis Based on Individual Patient Data from a Randomized Clinical Trial.

In a previously published randomised, placebo-controlled trial, 800mg/day of pharmaceutical-grade chondroitin sulfate (CS) was shown to be superior to placebo in reducing pain and improving function over 6months in patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA). The aim of the current posthoc analyses was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of CS compared with placebo in a European perspective using individual patient data from this clinical trial. Patients with knee OA randomised to CS or placebo were followed up at 1, 3 and 6months. The algo-functional Lequesne index was used to derive the EuroQol Five-Dimension Five-Level (EQ-5D-5L) score based on a validated formula. The EQ-5D-5L scores at each time point were used to calculate the changes in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with the area under the curve method. Costs were assessed using the average price of CS in the countries where the original study took place and where CS is currently marketed. The costs of CS in three countries were then used (i.e. the Czech Republic, Italy and Switzerland). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) threshold for CS to be considered cost-effective was set at 91,870EUR per QALY (equivalent to the usually recommended threshold of US$100,000). The study used an intention-to-treat population, i.e. patients who received one dose of the study drug, and imputed missing values using the basal observation carried forward method. No significant differences in baseline characteristics were observed between the CS group (N = 199) and the placebo group (N = 205). The mean cost of CS for 6months of treatment was 194.74EUR. After 6months of treatment, CS showed a mean ICER of 33,462 (95%CI 5130-61,794) EURper QALY gained, indicating cost-effectiveness compared with placebo. The acceptability curve for cost-effectiveness shows that the CS treatment is likely to be cost-effective compared with placebo, with a 93% probability when the ceiling ratio is set at 91,870EUR per QALY gained. These results highlight the role of CS as a cost-effective therapeutic option in the management of OA. However, further studies taking into account the use of other healthcare resources are warranted for a more complete understanding.

An evaluation of vilobelimab (anti-C5a) as a cost-effective option to treat severely ill mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19.

In an effort to expedite the publication of articles, AJHP is posting manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time. COVID-19 patients in intensive care units (ICUs) requiring invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) have few available treatment options. PANAMO, a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled phase 3 study of vilobelimab, which blocks the inflammatory process caused by complement component 5a, demonstrated a significant mortality benefit at 28 and 60 days in these patients. A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted to assess the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). A Markov model was used to estimate QALYs and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of vilobelimab plus standard of care (SOC) versus SOC alone. The model simulated progression from severe COVID-19 to survival or death over a lifetime horizon. Outcomes data (COVID-19 all-cause mortality and renal replacement therapy) were incorporated from the PANAMO trial. COVID-19 mortality estimates were based on Centers for Disease Control and Prevention age-specific survival data. Utility values and hospital costs came from the literature. Vilobelimab cost was obtained from RED BOOK Online. For COVID-19 ICU patients, total costs of care were $103,414 (SOC) and $132,247 (SOC plus vilobelimab), respectively, resulting in an incremental cost of $28,833. SOC provided 6.70 QALYs versus 7.99 QALYs for vilobelimab, an additional 1.29 QALYs. The ICER for vilobelimab plus SOC versus SOC alone was $22,287/QALY. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of the cost-effectiveness result as vilobelimab plus SOC was favored at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000 in over 81% of iterations. Vilobelimab provides a cost-effective option to treat ICU patients with severe COVID-19 receiving IMV compared to SOC, at well below the commonly accepted $50,000 US willingness-to-pay threshold.

The Costs and Cost-Effectiveness of a Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccination Campaign: A Case Study in a Refugee Camp Setting in Thailand

Oral cholera vaccination (OCV) campaigns are increasingly used to prevent cholera outbreaks; however, little is known about their cost-effectiveness in refugee camps. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of a pre-emptive OCV campaign in the Maela refugee camp in Thailand, where outbreaks occurred with an annual incidence rate (IR) of up to 10.7 cases per 1000. Data were collected via health sector records and interviews and household interviews. In the base-case scenario comparing the OCV campaign with no campaign, we estimated the campaign effect on the cholera IR and case fatality rate (CFR: 0.09%) from a static cohort model and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the outcomes of death, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and cases averted. In sensitivity analyses, we varied the CFR and IR. The household economic cost of illness was USD 21, and the health sector economic cost of illness was USD 51 per case. The OCV campaign economic cost was USD 289,561, 42% attributable to vaccine costs and 58% to service delivery costs. In our base case, the incremental cost was USD 1.9 million per death averted, USD 1745 per case averted, and USD 69,892 per DALY averted. Sensitivity analyses that increased the CFR to 0.35% or the IR to 10.4 cases per 1000 resulted in a cost per DALY of USD 15,666. The low multi-year average CFR and incidence of the cholera outbreaks in the Maela camp were key factors associated with the high cost per DALY averted. However, the sensitivity analyses indicated higher cost-effectiveness in a setting with a higher CFR or cholera incidence, indicating when to consider campaign use to reduce the outbreak risk.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of three surgical options for treating displaced femoral neck fractures in active older patients in Japan: A full economic evaluation.

For older patients with displaced femoral neck fractures, in which primary osteosynthesis is usually not indicated, there are three primary prosthetic options-bipolar hemiarthroplasty (BHA), single-bearing total hip arthroplasty (SB-THA), and dual-mobility THA (DM-THA). However, the optimal choice for managing displaced femoral neck fractures remains controversial. Accordingly, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of BHA, SB-THA, and DM-THA in active older patients with displaced femoral neck fractures. A decision tree combined with a Markov model was employed to analyze the cost and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of BHA, SB-THA, and DM-THA for the management in the Japanese healthcare system. By simulating the five-year trajectory of a 75-year-old woman treated for a displaced femoral neck fracture, the cost-effectiveness of the three surgical options was evaluated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were used to assess parameter uncertainty. Additionally, two scenario analyses were conducted for other settings. The treatment was considered to be cost-effective when the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was below the 5,000,000 yen/QALY threshold. Compared with BHA, SB-THA exhibited higher costs but greater health benefits, resulting in an ICER of 1,499,440 yen/QALY. DM-THA offered additional health benefits compared with SB-THA, with an ICER of 4,145,777 yen/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed some influential parameters. PSA indicated that the probability of DM-THA, SB-THA, and BHA being cost-effective was 40.1%, 38.5%, and 21.4%, respectively. SB-THA was more cost-effective than BHA in patients aged 65-85 years, while DM-THA was more cost-effective than SB-THA in patients aged 65-75 years. The results suggest that SB-THA is a cost-effective alternative to BHA for displaced femoral neck fractures in active older patients, whereas DM-THA is more cost-effective than SB-THA in relatively younger patients. It is, therefore, recommended that orthopedic surgeons select the most appropriate surgical option based on the individual patient's physiological age.

Cost–Utility Analysis of Supervised Inspiratory Muscle Training Added to Post-COVID Rehabilitation Program in the Public Health System of Brazil

Objectives: This study aims to provide model-based cost–utility estimates for the addition of inspiratory muscle training (IMT) in COVID-19 pulmonary rehabilitation (PR). Methods: A cohort model comparing IMT with PR (intervention group) to IMT with only PR (control group) was used. The payer perspective from the Unified Health System in Brazil was adopted. Effectiveness parameters: Effectiveness was measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed using 1000 Monte Carlo simulations. A beta probability distribution was assumed for utilities, and a gamma distribution was applied to the costs. A cost-effectiveness threshold of BRL 40.000/QALYs was applied. Results: As the threshold of BRL 40.000/QALYs, we obtained 512 (51.2%) simulations that can be considered cost-effective to IMT added in PR programs. IMT added in PR treatment was more expensive (USD 317.73 versus USD 293.93) and more effective (incremental utility of 0.03 to INT group) than PR alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was 793.93 USD/QALY. Conclusions: IMT added to PR is a cost-effective alternative compared with PR for post-COVID-19 patients. This strategy may result in net cost savings and improvements in the QALYs for these patients.

Cost-Effectiveness of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F Vaccine for Prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Among Older Adults in Greece

Background/Objectives: To evaluate the health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of vaccination with bivalent respiratory syncytial virus stabilized prefusion F vaccine (RSVpreF) for the prevention of lower respiratory tract disease caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in Greek adults 60 years of age and older. Methods: A Markov model was adapted to simulate lifetime risk of health and economic outcomes from the public payer’s perspective over a lifetime horizon. Epidemiology, vaccine effectiveness, utilities, and direct medical costs (EUR, 2024) were obtained from published studies, official sources, and local experts. Model outcomes included the number of medically attended RSV cases, stratified by care setting (i.e., hospital, emergency department [ED], outpatient visits [OV]), and attributable RSV-related deaths, costs, life years (LY), quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of RSVpreF vaccination compared with no vaccination. Results: The model projected 258,170 hospitalizations, 112,248 ED encounters, 1,201,604 OV, and 25,463 deaths related to RSV in Greek older adults resulting in direct medical costs of EUR 1.6 billion over the lifetime horizon. Assuming RSV vaccination would reach the same coverage rates as pneumococcal and influenza programmes, 18,118 hospitalizations, 7874 ED encounters, 48,079 OV, and 1706 deaths could be prevented over the modelled time horizon. The health benefits associated with RSVpreF contributed to an incremental gain of 10,976 LYs and 7230 QALYs compared with no vaccination. The incremental analysis reported that vaccination with RSVpreF was estimated to be a cost-effective strategy resulting in ICERs of EUR 12,991 per LY gained, EUR 19,723 per QALY gained, and EUR 7870 per hospitalized RSV case avoided compared with no vaccination. Conclusions: Vaccination with RSVpreF was a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of RSV disease in Greek adults over 60 years of age. The introduction of RSV vaccination can improve public health by averting RSV cases and deaths and has the potential to fulfil an unmet medical need.

Cost-Effectiveness of Salt Substitution and Antihypertensive Drug Treatment in Chinese Prehypertensive Adults.

Recent guidelines recommend antihypertensive drug treatment for prehypertensive individuals with blood pressure between 130/80 and 139/89 mm Hg. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of 3 interventions in Chinese prehypertensive adults: salt substitution, antihypertensive drug treatment, and their combination. We developed a Markov cohort model to estimate cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) over a lifetime. Data from the China Kadoorie Biobank informed the simulation. Costs and utilities were drawn from published sources. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of salt substitution alone, antihypertensive drug treatment alone, and a combination of the 2, focusing on the overall prehypertensive population, those at high CVD risk, and different starting ages (40, 50, 60, and 70 years). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated per QALY gained. Salt substitution at age 40 years is the only cost-effective strategy for prehypertensive individuals, with an ICER of $6413.62/QALY. For those at high CVD risk, the combination intervention starting at age 40 years is most cost-effective, with an ICER of $2913.30/QALY. Interventions initiated at younger ages yielded greater CVD reductions and lower ICERs. For example, a combined intervention at age 40 years reduces CVD events by 5.3% with an ICER of $2913.30/QALY, compared with 4.9% and $32 635.33/QALY at age 70 years. These results were consistent across sensitivity analyses. In China, replacing usual salt with a salt substitute is more cost-effective than treating prehypertensive individuals over the age of 40 years with antihypertensive drugs. Furthermore, starting intervention at a younger age in prehypertensive adults can result in even greater cost savings.

The cost-effectiveness of a digitally enabled telerehabilitation program delivered nationally to patients in Australia

Abstract Introduction Traditionally delivered cardiac rehabilitation (CR) programs have considerable benefits, yet access and participation remains low. Emerging digital health models offer promise in healthcare delivery, but their benefits and impact on healthcare utilization and cost-effectiveness are uncertain. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of a telehealth program with a CR mobile app for post-hospitalization coronary heart disease (CHD) patients. Purpose To assess whether a digitally enabled CR program is cost-effective compared with a propensity matched usual care control group in the Australian health system. Methods Patients were recruited nationally, through a health insurer, following hospitalization for CHD. Participants received weekly telehealth consultations for up to 8 weeks, supplemented by use of an mHealth app. Using administrative private health insurance claims data, we assessed differences in hospital costs, mortality rates and bed days at 12-months post discharge. Incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERS) were calculated to determine the cost per deaths prevented and cost per bed days saved for the digital-CR group (n=133) compared with usual care (n=266). Results Among the cohort, 36% lived in regional/rural areas, 70% were male and the mean age was 68 years. The mean total hospital all cause readmission costs at 12-months were $1,488 AUD less in the digital-CR group ($16,411) compared to the usual care group ($17,899). Digital-CR had fewer total hospital days relative to the usual care group (median of 2 vs 3 days) and patients in the digital-CR group had a significantly lower mortality rate at 12-months post discharge. The ICERs were -$337 per 100 patient deaths prevented and -$3,033 per median bed days saved. Conclusion The implementation of a digital-CR program demonstrates cost-effectiveness for patients with CHD when compared to usual care. Thus, advocating for the widespread availability of digital-CR programs as an option for CHD patients following hospital discharge is warranted.

Screening for congenital Chagas disease in a non-endemic area: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Abstract Background Due to climate changes, immigration, and globalization, Chagas Disease (CD) also afflicts nations without vector transmission. In Europe, congenital CD (cCD) is a significant public health issue, perpetuating the disease: it is crucial to perform CD screening in pregnant women at risk, as the treatment of infants is effective in eradicating the infection. Only a few European regions have a definite algorithm for diagnosing cCD, but no official guidance has been published at the national or European level. To support policymakers, this study aims to outline a cost-effectiveness analysis of CD screening in non-endemic areas, such as Italy, in pregnant women born or arriving from endemic countries and in their newborns. Methods To measure the economic impact of cCD screening, a decision tree model will be used to compare the test option (screening, diagnosis, treatment, follow-up) with no test option (no screening, progression of disease). Model parameters will be taken from relevant scientific literature. The primary outcome will be the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) between the two options. Sensitivity analyses will be conducted to determine how changes in prevalence, transmission rate, screening adherence, and treatment adherence may affect the ICER. Results We expect the ‘test’ option to be cost-effective even with significant reductions in prevalence, transmission rate, adherence to screening or treatment. Threshold levels of these variables will allow to critically extend the results to areas with reduced immigration, patchy distribution of migrants at risk, health logistical limitations, and limited access to care for immigrants. Conclusions Our findings can help policymakers implement official screening programs and diagnostic algorithms for cCD in Italy and other non-endemic countries. This contributes to SDG 3 by combating the spread and burden of neglected tropical diseases and contributing to maternal, child, and migrant health. Key messages • Screening for congenital Chagas Disease in a non-endemic area may be cost-effective and cost-saving. • Study findings could provide useful information for health policymakers to combat Chagas Disease in Europe.

Cost-effectiveness of respiratory syncytial virus adjuvanted vaccine in Portuguese aged ≥ 60 years

Abstract Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections are one of the leading causes of lower respiratory tract disease among adults aged ≥60 years in Europe. This study aims to assess the potential public health impact of the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine, the first approved preventive intervention for the older adult population in Portugal. Methods A monthly-cycle static Markov model was developed to assess RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine impact on adults aged 60 years and older in Portugal. A single dose of RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine was compared to no-vaccination over a three-year time-horizon. The model captures lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) RSV cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and healthcare resource utilization. Data inputs were based on local published literature, supplemented by the best available data when local information was lacking. Results Based on preliminary analysis considering 75% vaccine coverage, model outputs estimate that RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine can prevent 71,433 LRTD cases requiring medical attendance, 11,067 hospitalizations, 1,793 intensive care unit admissions and 1,003 deaths. The model estimates that 32 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one RSV LRTD case, 207 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one hospitalization and 2,283 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one death. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated at 9,541€, hence the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine is cost-effective compared to no vaccination. Conclusions The results demonstrate a strong preventive impact of the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine on health outcomes and healthcare resource utilization in adults ≥60 years, leading to a significant public health benefit. This result emphasizes the importance of preventing RSV to preserve the health and well-being of Portugal’s older adults. In addition, data from ongoing studies may enhance precision and extensive sensitivity analyses validate the robustness of the model’s input assumptions. Key messages • This study shows the robust evidence of RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine to improve public health by preventing thousands of hospitalizations and deaths among ≥60 years, in Portugal. • Vaccinating adults aged ≥ 60 years with RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine in Portugal is a cost-effective strategy.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of Chagas disease screening in pregnant women and their infants in Italy

Abstract Background Currently, Chagas disease (CD) is widespread in European nations that host notable populations from Latin America. Vertical transmission is a pathway for the spread of the disease in countries where it is not endemic. Due to socio-economic disparities, CD is a public health concern in non-endemic regions, raised by migration phenomena in vulnerable population groups who face similar hindrances as those most at risk in endemic areas. The aim is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of CD screening versus no screening in pregnant women and their infants in Italy. Methods A Bayesian Markov model was employed to compare the CD screening versus the no screening alternative. Model parameters were sourced from pertinent scientific literature. A lifetime perspective was adopted, aligning with the perspective of the Italian National Health Service. The Eurozone threshold was applied. Costs and benefits were discounted at a rate of 3%. Gibbs sampling served as the algorithm for Bayesian inference. Uncertainty was addressed through a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) and a value of information analysis (VOI), depicted via the Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve (CEAC) and Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI). Results were presented as the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER). Results The base case results showed that CD screening was cost-effective, with an ICER of €5,112 [€1,850 - €10,043]. Furthermore, according to the CEAC, the screening option exhibited the greatest probability of being cost-effective across all thresholds. Additionally, the EVPI per mother was €818 based on a threshold of €50,000/diagnosis. Conclusions Implementing a structured CD screening program also in non-endemic countries has the potential for early detection and treatment. This contributes to SDG 3 by improving access to healthcare, preventing transmission, and reducing the disease burden as well as informing public health policies for marginalised populations. Key messages • This study proves that screening for CD in pregnant women and their infants in a non-endemic area is a cost-effective strategy and possibly cost-saving in the long term. • Study findings could support a wider implementation of CD screening in Italy by informing health policy-makers in their decision-making process.

Semaglutide for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in people with overweight or obesity, but without diabetes: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Abstract Background The recently published trial, SELECT (Semaglutide Effects on Cardiovascular Outcomes in People with Overweight or Obesity) [1], was the first study to demonstrate that the glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist, semaglutide, was superior to placebo in reducing the risk of major cardiovascular events in people with existing cardiovascular disease (CVD) and a body mass index of ≥27kg/m² but without diabetes. Despite the promising clinical benefits, the high cost of the medication has raised concerns about its financial viability and accessibility within healthcare systems. Purpose To explore whether use of semaglutide in addition to standard care (background use of lipid lowering, anti-hypertensive and/or anti-platelet therapies) for the secondary prevention of CVD in people with overweight or obesity is cost effective from the Australian healthcare perspective. Methods A Markov model was developed based on the SELECT trial, to evaluate the clinical outcomes and costs of a hypothetical population treated with semaglutide versus placebo over 20 years. With each annual cycle, subjects were at risk of having non-fatal CVD events (MI or stroke) or dying. Treatment efficacy, transition probabilities, and utilities were derived from the SELECT trial and published literature. Costs were obtained from Australian sources. The cost of semaglutide at a dosage of 2.4 mg/week (in line with SELECT) was estimated to be ~A$80 per week or A$4175 per year. The main outcome of interest was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in terms of cost per year of life saved (YoLS) and cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. All outcomes and costs were discounted by 5% per year. Costs are reported in 2023 Australian dollars (A$). Results Over a 20 year time horizon, treatment of 1000 hypothetical subjects with overweight or obesity and existing CVD with semaglutide compared to placebo prevented 126 non-fatal CVD events and 81 deaths, and yielded an additional 0.46 discounted life years and 0.48 discounted QALYs per person. The difference in total discounted costs was A$43,955 per person. This equated to ICERs of A$99,853 per YoLS and A$96,055 per QALY gained. Conclusions Assuming a willingness-to-pay-threshold of A$50,000 per QALY gained, semaglutide would not be considered cost-effective for the secondary prevention of CVD in people with overweight or obesity in Australia at current prices. A price reduction of 52% to less than A$2000 per year would be required for it to be considered a cost-effective treatment strategy in this setting. Given the modest event rates reported in SELECT, cost-effectiveness is likely to improve if use of semaglutide is targeted to higher risk groups. Moreover, SELECT primarily focused on cardiovascular benefits, however data supporting the impact of semaglutide on a number of other weight-related complications are anticipated and will inform a more holistic understanding of its cost effectiveness.

Decision-analytic modelling of costs & benefits of adding sigmoidoscopy to CRC screening in Germany

Abstract Background In Germany, a colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programme is in place that entitles individuals to a stool test or colonoscopy. However, less than half of those eligible participate. The inclusion of an additional screening option, such as the evidence-based sigmoidoscopy, could lead to a higher overall participation rate, but also to individuals preferring the additional option to the more effective colonoscopy. The objective of this modelling study is to estimate the impact of offering sigmoidoscopy as an additional option for CRC screening in Germany. Methods A life-time mathematical model (Markov model) is developed to analyse the long-term effects of the additional offer of sigmoidoscopy on benefits (prevalence, mortality, health-related quality of life (HRQoL)), costs, and cost-effectiveness. The model is based on systematic literature reviews and real-world healthcare data. It incorporates disease development, sensitivity and specificity of the options, compliance rates, survival probabilities and background mortality. A discrete choice experiment (DCE) was conducted to estimate the future uptake of the options (stool test, colonoscopy, sigmoidoscopy, no screening) based on stated preferences of n = 666 individuals. Results Adding sigmoidoscopy leads to greater effectiveness of the CRC screening programme in terms of increased screening participation, increased adenoma detection, decreased disease-specific mortality, and improved discounted HRQoL. However, it also incurs higher costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) for men and women are €507 per quality-adjusted life year gained (QALYg) and €74 per QALYg, respectively. Conclusions The results indicate that the inclusion of sigmoidoscopy in the German CRC screening programme would be cost-effective and that sigmoidoscopy should be piloted in practice. The expanded programme has the potential to enhance the program’s effectiveness, improve health outcomes, and reduce the burden of CRC. Key messages • Expanding the CRC screening programme may increase overall participation, resulting in higher costs, but also greater effectiveness in detecting more adenomas, reducing mortality, improving HRQoL. • Introducing sigmoidoscopy in Germany appears cost-effective and justifies practical piloting to enhance CRC screening efficacy and health outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of semaglutide for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in the United States

Abstract Background In the SELECT trial, semaglutide produced a 20% reduction in the composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke in individuals with overweight or obesity who did not have diabetes but had established pre-existing cardiovascular disease (CVD). Cost is an important barrier to widespread uptake of semaglutide, particularly in the US, and the cost-effectiveness for the secondary prevention of CVD is uncertain. Purpose To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide vs. no obesity treatment for the secondary prevention of CVD from a US healthcare sector perspective. Methods The CVD Policy Model is an established, validated simulation model of fatal and non-fatal CVD outcomes and costs in the US population. Using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we created a nationally representative cohort of SELECT-eligible individuals (age ≥45, BMI ≥27kg/m2, no diabetes, pre-existing CVD). Healthcare costs associated with acute and chronic CVD were estimated from national survey and claims data and inflated to 2023 US dollars. The simulated control arm received usual care; the intervention arm received weekly semaglutide 2.4mg injections (assuming 8% discontinuation, which occurs year one). We reproduced the effectiveness of semaglutide based on results of the SELECT trial primary cardiovascular composite endpoint (non-fatal MI, non-fatal strokes and CVD death). The base case assumed 7% of patients receiving semaglutide developed injection-site reactions. Monthly cost of semaglutide was assumed to be $717 (US price net of rebates and discounts), but this was varied in sensitivity analyses. The analysis adopted a health system perspective over lifetime horizon. Results Approximately 4.7 million US adults would meet SELECT trial eligibility criteria. Over a lifetime horizon, semaglutide is projected to avert 538,000 major adverse cardiovascular events (241,000 nonfatal MIs; 80,000 nonfatal stokes, and 217,000 cardiovascular deaths) at an incremental cost of $613 billion. The incremental cost effectiveness ratio for semaglutide was $443,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. In order to meet cost-effectiveness thresholds of $50,000/QALY, $100,000/QALY, $150,000/QALY, drug costs would have to decline 90%, 79%, and 69% respectively. In sensitivity analyses, lowering drug cost to the current UK price (~ $220 per patient per month) would improve the incremental cost-effectiveness of semaglutide to <$150,000 per QALY gained, a potential upper threshold for cost-effectiveness in the US. Conclusion Widespread uptake of semaglutide in the SELECT-eligible U.S. population would prevent a large number of cardiovascular events, but its use would be low economic value at current US prices. Lowering prices in line with those in Europe (e.g., monthly price from $717 to $223) would make the therapy cost-effective at a threshold of $150,000 per QALY gained.

Cost impact of the use of a universal cardiac implantable electronic devices remote monitoring solution: results of the Evidence RM study

Abstract Background Remote monitoring (RM) is considered the standard of care for patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED). In 2023 the HRS/EHRA/APHPRS/LAHRS expert consensus highlighted the potential interest of alert-based monitoring and the use of a third-party platform for RM management. By lightening the RM workload for clinical staff, valuable time and resources can be redirected towards patient care. Purpose This study aims to assess the impact on healthcare expenditures of the adoption of a Universal, vendor-neutral, and alert-focused remote monitoring (RM) platform for CIED in France, as opposed to the Conventional RM conducted via device specific manufacturers' platforms. Methods This study utilizes the French National Health Database (SNDS) to evaluate the effectiveness of RM solutions among patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD), including cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators (CRT-D). All patients under RM were categorized based on the type of monitoring, either the Universal RM or the Conventional RM. The analysis was conducted on year 2019 and included only patients maintaining consistent RM solutions and device types throughout the entirety of the study period. To mitigate potential biases, costs were adjusted according to age, gender, device type, year of first implantation, year of RM initiation, medical center experience with RM, and Elixhauser score for comorbidities. Results Study cohort consisted of 36,401 patients (age 67.3 ± 13.0 years / male 78.4% / CRT-D 40.1%), 1,482 patients followed using the Universal RM platform and 34,419 patients monitored with the Conventional RM solutions. The study findings revealed a 4% decrease in corrected total costs and a notable 17.8% reduction in hospital costs among patients utilizing the Universal RM. Analysis further identified that this decrease in hospital expenses was primarily influenced by a reduction of the costs associated with cardiovascular diseases. Conversely, the group utilizing the Universal RM experienced a 7.9% increase in total outpatient costs compared to Conventional RM, while ambulatory visit costs remained unchanged. As costs incurred by patients were not included, total costs may however be underestimated. Patients under the Universal RM solution may benefit of more proactive preventive measures delivered through outpatient care. By addressing issues preemptively, critical conditions may be averted, enhancing overall patient management, and diminishing hospital costs. The adoption of a third-party Universal platform may thus yield to cost savings, exemplified by a negative Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) of -103€ per Day Alive and Out of Hospital (DAOH) as observed in this study. Conclusions The use of a third-party Universal RM platform showed a positive impact in terms of costs reduction for the French healthcare system on this ICD population.

Cost-effectiveness of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: the brazilian case with bayesian networks and markov influence diagrams

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, with a significant burden in middle-income countries, such as Brazil. Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) have been established as a cornerstone in the treatment of HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but their adoption has faced obstacles. Until recently, spironolactone was the only MRA available in Brazil, with restricted use due to associated side effects, such as gynecomastia and hyperkalemia. However, the introduction of new MRAs, such as finerenone and eplerenone, has the potential to change the therapeutic landscape. Understanding the cost-effectiveness of these agents in the Brazilian healthcare context is essential to optimize HF management. Methods A Bayesian Network approach complemented by Markov Influence Diagrams was employed to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), presented in international dollars (Int$) gained per quality-adjusted life year (QALYs). Discontinuation rates for MRAs were incorporated into the model, reflecting real-world clinical practice, along with a 5% annual discount rate for both costs and effectiveness. To inform our model, a comprehensive systematic review was conducted, followed by a network meta-analysis (NMA) to assess the comparative effectiveness of ARMs. Data on incident cardiovascular outcomes were derived from a Brazilian real-world cohort of 1,098 patients with HFrEF. All cost assessments were made from the perspective of the Brazilian public health system, with values converted to Int$. Results The NMA highlighted that spironolactone [HR:0.75 (95%CI 0.67-0.84)], eplerenone [HR:0.84 (95%CI 0.77-0.93)] and finerenone [HR:0.90 (95%CI 0.82-0.98)] significantly reduced the relative risk of all-cause mortality compared to no MRA utilization. Notably, eplerenone significantly reduced hospitalizations due to HF [HR:0.60 (95%CI 0.41-0.90)] compared to no MRA therapy, with spironolactone and finerenone showing HRs of 0.68 (95%CI 0.40-1.17) and 0.83 (95%CI 0.59-1.15) . The analysis also revealed a notably higher risk of MRA discontinuation for finerenone (22%) and spironolactone (51%) compared to eplerenone. In cost-effectiveness comparisons, finerenone was dominated by alternatives, while eplerenone exhibited an ICER of Int$2,614 (95%CI 1,851-3,470)/QALY when compared to spironolactone. Both spironolactone and eplerenone emerged as cost-effective options when compared to no MRA therapy, with eplerenone being particularly favorable below the willingness-to-pay threshold of Int$8,900 per QALY. Conclusions In the Brazilian healthcare context, eplerenone will likely be the most cost-effective MRA compared to spironolactone, offering both a reduction in HF-related hospitalizations and a lower discontinuation rate. These findings underscore the value of integrating cost-effectiveness analyzes into healthcare decision-making processes.