Located in the South of Senegal, in the transitional Guineo-Congolian/Soudanian zone, the Casamance system is composed of a small river, supplied by a narrow drainage basin and followed by a 250 km long estuary. The continuous rainfall decrease experienced by the region since the beginning of the century drastically affected the Casamance river. This climatic change suddenly accelerated during 1968–1970, which led to a four-stage succession: • - before 1968–1970 (stage 1, rainfall ⩾ 1300 mm), the Casamance estuary showed the customary negative upstream salinity gradient; • - between 1968–1970 and 1978 (stage 2, rainfall ⩽ 1000 mm), under decreasing rainfall, the Casamance estuary shifted to a hyperline “inverse estuary”. It showed well-defined physical, chemical and biological zonations. Fresh groundwater resources, supplying the upper reaches of the river during the dry season, were progressively depleted. • - between 1978 and 1986–1987 (stage 3), the salinity peak of the end of the dry season progressively rose and shifted upward. The ecological zonation showed the increasing marine influence until 1986; • - between 1986–1987 and 1990 (stage 4), the dry season fresh water input had weakened with the depletion of groundwater resources. A slight increase in rainfall was insufficient to repulse the hyperhaline waters and the restricted area extended upstream and downstream. The physical, chemical and biological zonations strongly widened and flattened. In the future, the return to stage 1 conditions, by an increase in average rainfall, would take decades. Inevitably it will be much longer than the transformation into a hyperhaline estuary. Thus a slight decrease of the average rainfall in the region provoked a drastic change of the hydrological and biological patterns of the ria. The result seems to be a major crisis in the region, and might be recorded in the fossil records. We discuss these observations in terms of possible misreadings of paleoenvironments, and in relation with long-term climate trends.
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