Increase In Vegetation Greenness Research Articles

Diminished water yield coefficient of glacial catchments in Northwest China

Study region19 glacial catchments located in Northwest China. Study focusThe water yield coefficient (denoted as WYc) of glacier catchments in Northwest China has changed over the past six decades, closely linked to shifts in land cover dynamics. However, quantifying the impacts of climate and land cover changes on glacier catchments remains challenging due to the complexity of glacier hydrological processes and the scarcity of long-term glacier runoff data. In this study, the Budyko equation was coupled with a glacier runoff model to enable quantitative analysis of the factors driving changes in water yield (WY). Path analysis was then employed to assess the direct and indirect effects of climate and landscape changes on the WYc. New hydrological insight for the regionThe results indicated that 14 out of 19 catchments experienced a decline in WYc, particularly in those with greater glacier coverage. Glacier retreat and increased vegetation greenness adversely affected WYc by increasing the catchment parameter, with effects of −26.42 % and −25.21 %, respectively. Although overall WY in the catchments has increased—driven primarily by increased precipitation and glacier storage loss, with contribution rates of 100.66 % and 25.05 %, respectively—the diminished WYc is expected to decelerate the rate of WY increase. This trend poses significant challenges for water resource management in arid and water-scarce regions.

Changes in Vegetation Greenness and Responses to Land Use Changes in the Yongding River Basin (in North China) from 2002 to 2022

Vegetation is an important component of an ecosystem, fulfilling various ecological functions in areas such as soil and water conservation, climate regulation, and water source maintenance. This study focuses on the Yongding River Basin as a research area. This study used vegetation indices with long time series as a data source in combination with Landsat land use data. This study applied linear trend estimation to analyze the interannual variation trend in vegetation greenness from 2002 to 2022 in the Yongding River Basin and quantitatively analyzed the impact of land use changes on vegetation greenness. The results show that, from 2002 to 2022, the vegetation greenness in the Yongding River Basin has shown an overall increasing trend. The average growth season and the maximum annual normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) growth rates were 0.006/10a and 0.008/10a, respectively, and the area of increased vegetation greenness accounted for 90% of the total area. During the main growth season (April to October) in the Yongding River Basin, the NDVI generally showed a spatial pattern of being higher in mountainous areas and lower in water areas, with the largest coefficient of variation in vegetation in the river water areas, and the most stable vegetation in forest land. In terms of the changes in vegetation greenness, the contribution rate of arable land was between 36.73% and 38.63%, followed by grassland and forest land, with contribution rates of 26.86% to 27.11% and 23.94% to 26.43%, respectively. The total contribution rate of water areas, construction land, and unused land was around 10.18%. This study can provide a theoretical basis for environmental protection and rational land use in the Yongding River Basin.

Siberian vegetation growth intensifies monsoon precipitation in southern East Asia in late spring and early summer

Regional hydrological cycle responding to rising temperatures can have significant influences on society and human activities. We suggest a new perspective on East Asia’s enhanced precipitation amount that emphasizes the role of Siberian surface warming. Increased vegetation greenness in late spring and early summer in eastern Siberia, which may be a response to global warming, acts to warm the surface by reducing the surface albedo with an increase in net absorbed shortwave radiation. Subsequently, eastern Siberia warming leads to the strengthening of anti-cyclonic atmospheric circulation over inner East Asia as well as the subtropical western North Pacific high via thermal forcing and the enhanced land-sea thermal contrast, respectively. Consequently, the anticyclonic circulation over inner East Asia transports much drier and cooler air to southern East Asia. This leads to favorable conditions for increased precipitation in combination with an increased tropical moisture flux from the subtropical western North Pacific high. Therefore, continuous Siberian vegetation growth has a potential influence on the future precipitation amount in the subtropics through vegetation–atmosphere coupled processes.

Revisiting the hydrological legacy of revegetation on China's Loess Plateau using Eagleson's ecohydrological perspective

Revegetation has resulted in a trend of increasing vegetation greenness on the Chinese Loess Plateau. However, it remains unclear whether the regional vegetation coverage exceeds hydroclimatic limitations in the context of revegetation, and the hydrological effects of greening are controversial. Eagleson's optimality hypothesis can explain some of the hydrological effects on the Loess Plateau. Here, building on previous research, the geospatial vegetation states were estimated for pre- and post-revegetation periods on the Loess Plateau from 1982 to 2015 using Eagleson's ecological optimality theory. Additionally, a drought composite analysis approach was utilized to investigate the hydrological effects related to drought (including sensitivity and partitioning) under various vegetation states. It was found that revegetation increased the proportion of catchments in the equilibrium state and decreased the proportion in the disturbed state, owing to a wetter climate compared with the pre-revegetation period. Root-zone soil drought, driven by precipitation (P) deficit, asymmetrically triggered hydrological effects for both the pre- and post-revegetation periods, with reduced runoff (Q) for both periods and a decrease in evapotranspiration (ET) during the pre-revegetation period but an increase in ET during the post-revegetation period. Moreover, catchments in an equilibrium state exhibited lower sensitivity between ET and P, and more stable partitioning of ET with regards to P, compared with those in a disturbed state. These results underscore the theoretical framework that an equilibrium state is crucial for maintaining ecosystem ET. Our results highlight the necessity of considering the hydrologic regulation of vegetation states when assessing the hydrological effects of vegetation change.

The greening of vegetation on the Loess Plateau has resulted in a northward shift of the vegetation greenness line

Vegetation greenness is crucial for assessing vegetation dynamics and evaluating the effectiveness of ecological governance on the Loess Plateau. In this study, we utilized Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and Landsat image to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of vegetation greenness and the shift of vegetation greenness lines (VGLs) during the growing season on the Loess Plateau from 1987 to 2020. The driving factors were analyzed using a geographic detector. The results show that the average annual growth rates of NDVI and EVI in the Loess Plateau growing season from 1987 to 2020 were 0.0042/year (P < 0.01) and 0.0023/year (P < 0.01), respectively, with the growth rate after 2000 being three to four times higher. Spatially, significant increases of 78.8% in NDVI and 69.2% in EVI were observed across the entire area of the Loess Plateau. Furthermore, the average VGL based on NDVI and EVI on the Loess Plateau from 1987 to 2020 exhibited a northwestward shift at a rate of 9.79 km/year. This shift resulted in an average movement of 271.83 km over the period. The most significant shifts occurred between 2005 and 2010. Land use and precipitation emerged as the predominant driving factors influencing both the change in vegetation greenness and the shift of the VGLs. Land use and precipitation are the primary factors influencing changes in vegetation greenness and the shift of the VGLs. Land use explains 49.7% of the variation in vegetation greenness, while precipitation accounts for 43%. The combined influence of land use and precipitation explains 68% of the variation in vegetation greenness on the Loess Plateau. Prolonged growing seasons due to climate changes and the “Grain for Green” Project significantly contributed to increased vegetation greenness and northward VGL shifts. Our study offers valuable insights into the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation greenness and the shift of VGLs, enhancing our understanding and providing guidance for effective vegetation restoration efforts on the Loess Plateau.

Greenness change associated with construction and operation of photovoltaic solar energy in China

Photovoltaic (PV) solar energy is considered as a promising solution to mitigate the environmental costs associated with the use of fossil fuels. However, the environmental impacts of constructing and operating PV solar energy remain unclear. This study assesses the environmental consequences of PV construction and operation by examining changes in vegetation greenness on a national scale in China, where PV solar energy has rapidly expanded. Utilizing 30-m vegetation indices and PV maps, we discover that the construction of PV facilities could significantly reduce greenness, with the magnitude of the impacts varying according to local greenness levels. Forests were found to suffer the greatest adverse impacts, while barrens were less affected. Small and medium-sized PV facilities, often established in regions with high levels of greenness, exhibited a stronger negative influence on greenness compared to larger ones. However, during the operational phase, an increase in vegetation greenness is generally observed in PV facilities, particularly in barrens. The magnitude of green recovery may vary considerably across different facilities, with approximately 21 % of PV facilities showing an improvement in greenness compared to their pre-construction levels. This study provides a reference for guiding the synergistic development of renewable energy and environmental protection.

Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)

The decline of the iconic monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) in North America has motivated research on the impacts of land use and land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on monarch habitat and population dynamics. We investigated spring and fall trends in LULC, milkweed and nectar resources over a 20-year period, and ~ 30 years of climate variables in Mexico and Texas, U.S. This region supports spring breeding, and spring and fall migration during the annual life cycle of the monarch. We estimated a − 2.9% decline in milkweed in Texas, but little to no change in Mexico. Fall and spring nectar resources declined < 1% in both study extents. Vegetation greenness increased in the fall and spring in Mexico while the other climate variables did not change in both Mexico and Texas. Monarch habitat in Mexico and Texas appears relatively more intact than in the midwestern, agricultural landscapes of the U.S. Given the relatively modest observed changes in nectar and milkweed, the relatively stable climate conditions, and increased vegetation greenness in Mexico, it seems unlikely that habitat loss (quantity or quality) in Mexico and Texas has caused large declines in population size or survival during migration.

Aridification and Its Impacts on Terrestrial Hydrology and Ecosystems over a Comprehensive Transition Zone in China

Abstract In China, the topography, climate, ecology, hydrology, and human environment vary greatly from southeast to northwest, and a typical natural and social environmental transition zone (i.e., comprehensive transition zone) exists near the “Hu Huanyong line,” which is a famous demographic dividing line in China, known as the Hu zone. Dry and wet climate changes in the Hu zone can have a significant impact on terrestrial ecosystems and hydrological conditions, ultimately affecting human–land relations. However, there is still a lack of clear understanding of environmental changes in the context of climate change in the Hu zone. Here, a quantitative analysis of climate change and its impacts on terrestrial hydrology and ecosystems from 1951 to 2020 is presented. The results showed that there exists a significant drying trend in the Hu zone and a dramatic decrease in terrestrial water storage (TWS), indicating that the environment has become worse. Conversely, from the perspective of significant greening, the environment has improved. This contradiction is mainly due to climate change dominating the depletion of TWS, while the increase in vegetation greenness is more driven by human activities including agricultural management and ecological restoration, offsetting to some extent the negative impact of water scarcity on vegetation growth. Significance Statement The Hu zone is a transition zone between southeast and northwest China, which is a sensitive area under climate change as well as key region for coordinated development. The purpose of this study is to reveal the long-term climate change in the Hu zone and its impacts on hydrology and ecology. Our results indicate a significant drying trend in this zone over the last 70 years, which led to a substantial reduction in water storage. However, the vegetation coverage increased due to human activities. This study provides guidance for agricultural structure adjustment and ecological protection in transition zones. Future research should focus more on the assessment and risk management of dry/wet changes in climate transition areas around the world.

Weakening Indian monsoon favors vegetation growth in humid but not in semi-arid ecosystems

The weakening Indian monsoon during recent warmer decades has caused greening and browning trends in water- and energy-limited terrestrial ecosystems of the Tibetan Plateau, respectively. Little is known, however, on the underlying mechanisms of such divergent responses of vegetation to the monsoon weakening. Herein, using the Indian monsoon index, high-resolution vegetation indices and multi-source climate data, we assessed the response of vegetation greenness to the Indian monsoon from 2000 to 2018 in two adjacent basins dominated by water- and energy-limited ecosystems and located in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. The two basins showed opposite greenness trends due to direct and indirect effects of the weakening monsoon. The weakening monsoon increased vegetation greenness in the humid sites due to more heat exposure and solar radiation, but not in dry sites because of amplified drought stress. Thus, a weaker monsoon would not favor productivity in drought-prone ecosystems, whereas it would benefit energy-limited sites due to more radiation and warmer conditions associated to lower cloudiness. The effect of atmospheric circulation and its inter-decadal oscillation on basin-scale ecological processes should be therefore taken into account to refine earth system models and climate forecasts.

Links Between Stream Water Nitrogen and Terrestrial Vegetation in Northeast Greenland

AbstractThe Arctic is warming and significant changes to the landscape, including increased vegetative cover (“greening”), are expected in the near future. These landscape changes may alter nitrogen (N) availability in terrestrial, stream, and coastal ecosystems, where production is often N limited, but the exact changes in nutrient cycling are uncertain. Here, we analyzed the relationship between vegetation greenness (i.e., NDVI) and dissolved inorganic (DIN) and organic (DON) concentrations in streams draining 14 headwater catchments (mean 3.6 km2, range 0.4–11 km2) across three samplings in the Zackenberg area, Northeast Greenland. We found large variation in DIN and DON concentrations across the sampled streams. We further show that this variation is correlated to water temperature and catchment NDVI, such that increased vegetation greenness and temperature correlated with lower DIN, and increased greenness also correlated with higher DON concentrations in streams. The results suggest that increased terrestrial vegetation due to rising air temperature could substantially alter dissolved N concentrations and form in streams, with potentially cascading impacts on coastal areas.

Tracking Moisture Sources of Precipitation Over China

AbstractMoisture of precipitation originates from terrestrial and oceanic evaporation through atmospheric transport. Understanding the contributions from different moisture sources to precipitation is essential for the hydrologic study. China is the world's third largest country in terms of land area and has contributed 25% of the global net increase in vegetation leaf area since 2000. Thus, it provides a good platform to understand the contributions from different moisture sources to precipitation and how increasing vegetation greenness affects precipitation trends. In this study, we investigated the moisture sources of precipitation and their changes in China during 1980–2018 based on the UTrack moisture recycling data set. We found that 47.3% of the moisture was from oceanic evaporation, and 52.7% was from terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET). For the moisture from terrestrial ET, 33.0% was from vegetation transpiration. The observed annual precipitation showed a significant increasing trend with 2.07 mm/year in China from 1980 to 2018. Increasing moisture from oceanic evaporation contributed the most to the increasing precipitation trend (0.98 mm/year), followed by the increasing moisture from vegetation transpiration (0.72 mm/year) and other terrestrial evaporation (0.37 mm/year). The increasing contribution of vegetation transpiration from China was comparable with that from neighboring countries (0.37 vs. 0.35 mm/year). The increasing moisture from vegetation transpiration could be due to the nationwide afforestation projects in China since 1999. The results provide a reference for understanding changes in precipitation and hydrologic processes.

Albedo-dominated biogeophysical warming effects induced by vegetation restoration on the Loess Plateau, China

Vegetation restoration can reduce surface albedo and retain more heat on the land surface. This feedback would partially offset the cooling effect of vegetation by absorbing CO2. Ignoring the climate feedback from changes in albedo will lead us to overestimate the contribution of increased vegetation to warming mitigation. Utilizing remote sensing data and employing a radiative forcing algorithm, we quantified the climatic feedback associated with vegetation restoration on the Chinese Loess Plateau (CLP). The surface albedo on the CLP decreased from 2001 to 2017, correlating with increased vegetation greenness, resulting in positive radiative forcing (multi-year average: 1.58 W/m2, average growth rate: 0.125 W/m2/yr). The radiative feedback of reduced albedo due to vegetation restoration is equivalent to the warming effect of emitting 3.7 kgCO2/m2. Contrary to expectations, CLP vegetation restoration efforts lacked a significant cooling effect, potentially increasing surface warming risks from albedo changes. These results emphasize the dominant role of biogeophysical feedback mechanisms induced by vegetation restoration. It will contribute to a comprehensive assessment of the climate benefits of large-scale vegetation increases in temperate regions. Decision makers can provide diverse vegetation management and restoration strategies depending on the differences in climate feedback for vegetation restoration at different locations.

Evaluating the impacts of watershed rehabilitation and irrigation interventions on vegetation greenness and soil erosion using remote sensing and biophysical modelling in Feresmay watershed in Ethiopia

Soil erosion and subsequent land degradation undermine efforts to ensure food security and environmental sustainability in Ethiopia. The government of Ethiopia has implemented extensive soil and water conservation (SWC) programs in severely degraded and food-insecure areas of the country, in some cases integrated with subsequent or parallel irrigation development. However, the effectiveness of these interventions has not been extensively evaluated. This study, therefore, evaluates the performance and impacts of SWC practices in terms of improving vegetation greenness and reducing soil erosion in Feresmay watershed in Ethiopia. Long-term Landsat based Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) were used for change-detection analysis before and after the implementation of various SWC intervention. The results revealed the positive impacts of SWC interventions interms of improving the vegetation greenness, and soil erosion reduction although the outcome varied by intervention. For example, increased vegetation greenness was observed largely in areas where area closure with catchment treatment (ACCT) and impacts of irrigation (IRR) interventions are dominant, while relatively less impact was observed at the watershed level analysis. Although the interventions helped to reduce soil loss, the results highlighted the need for more SWC interventions to minimize further soil loss.

No Signs of Long-term Greening Trend in Western Mongolian Grasslands

Trends for increased vegetation greenness based on satellite-derived data have been repeatedly published for the temperate grassland biome (including forest steppes) of eastern Inner Asia since 1982. Although this greening trend has been attenuated or partially reversed by drought in the early twenty-first century, linear increases in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) or other parameters of vegetation greenness are nevertheless evident when the period since 1982 is regarded. However, the question arises whether these trends are part of a long-term trend driven by climate change, as simultaneously forests in the region show widespread drought-induced growth reductions and mortality outbreaks. Therefore, we hypothesized that the post-1982 greening trend was neither part of a long-term trend nor unprecedented. To test this hypothesis, we analyzed monthly maximum NDVI data from AVHRR time series and correlated these data with standardized tree-ring data of Larix sibirica from two regions of western Mongolia. We used linear regression to model the NDVI from tree-ring anomalies and to reconstruct the NDVI since 1940. These reconstructions show that the availability of satellite-based NDVI data coincidentally began during a dry period of low vegetation greenness in the early 1980s and was followed by a wet phase in the 1990s, producing the linear greening trend. No positive long-term trend in the reconstructed NDVI was observed from 1940 to 2010. This result rules out a recent climate change-driven greening trend for the grasslands and forest steppes of western Mongolia and calls into question its existence for all of eastern Inner Asia.

Reversal of soil moisture constraint on vegetation growth in North China

The response of vegetation growth to soil moisture varies greatly from space and time under climate change and anthropogenic activities. As an important grain producer in China, the vegetation growth and grain production of North China are constrained by the region's water resources. With the significant increase in vegetation greenness in North China over the last 40 years, it is essential to explore the changes in soil moisture constraints on vegetation growth to water management. However, to what degree vegetation growth responds to soil moisture and how the response varies spatiotemporally in North China remain unclear. In this study, the response patterns of vegetation growth to soil moisture at different depths and the spatiotemporal trend patterns of their relationships were explored thoroughly based on long time series remote sensing data in North China over the past 40 years. The results showed that compared to forests, the growth of grasslands and crops with one maturity per year and two maturity per year in North China was more constrained by soil moisture. Due to the combined effects of climatic conditions and human activities, vegetation growth in North China has been significantly less constrained by soil moisture over the last 40 years. This was especially seen in one maturity per year crop and natural vegetation in Shanxi and central Shandong. However, with the significant increase in temperature, potential evapotranspiration and water demand of the crop, the moisture constraints on vegetation growth in North China have begun to show an increasing trend since the early 2000s, especially for irrigated crop in central and southern North China. These findings highlight a comprehensive understanding of the vegetation response to soil moisture from the time-varying perspective and provide a theoretical basis for water management and appropriate planning of agricultural water use in North China.

Satellite greenness and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence reveal reverse desertification in Gurbantunggut Desert.

The desertification reversal is a process of revegetation and natural restoration in fragile dryland areas due to human activities and climate change mediation. Understanding the impact of desertification reversion on terrestrial ecosystems, including vegetation greenness and photosynthetic capacity, is crucial for land policy-making and carbon-cycle model improvement. However, the phenomenon of desertification reversal is rarely mentioned in previous studies, which dramatically limits the understanding of vegetation dynamics in the arid area. Therefore, it is of great necessity to investigate the status of desertification reversal on the ecosystem in arid areas. In this study, we first reported the phenomenon of desertification reversion over the southern edge of the Gurbantunggut Desert through the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer classification map year by year. We discussed the consequences, ways, and causes of desertification reversion. Our results showed that the desertification reversal significantly increased vegetation greenness and photosynthetic capacity, which largely offset the negative impact of desertification on the ecosystem productivity; cropland expansion and grassland's natural restoration were the two main ways of desertification reversal; the improvement of soil-water condition was an essential environmental factor leading to the phenomenon of reverse desertification. This finding highlights the importance of desertification reversal in the carbon cycle of dryland ecosystems and prove that desertification reversal is an integral part of global and dryland vegetation greening.

Quantifying the effect of vegetation greening on evapotranspiration and its components on the Loess Plateau

As one of the largest revegetation projects in China, the Grain for Green Project has dramatically increased vegetation greenness (greening) on the Loess Plateau. Large-scale greening inevitably changed the spatiotemporal pattern of water availability on the Loess Plateau by increasing evapotranspiration (ET). Quantifying the effect of greening on ET is critical for regional water resources management and planning. This study uses the maximum entropy production (MEP) model and two attribution methods (the detrending and extending methods) to quantify the effect of greening on ET and its components (soil evaporation (Es) and transpiration (Et)) on the Loess Plateau from 2001 to 2018. The ensemble-averaged results of two attribution methods are used to reduce the potential uncertainty caused by the choice of attribution methods. The MEP model performs well in capturing the spatiotemporal variability of ET on both the site and basin scales. Greening significantly (p < 0.05) increases Et and decreases Es for the Loess Plateau, and the magnitude of increase in Et exceeds the magnitude of decrease in Es, leading to a nonsignificant (p > 0.05) increase in ET. The contribution of greening to mean annual Es, Et, and ET for the Loess Plateau is −16.6, 20.7, and 4.1 mm/yr, respectively. An increase in ET may further exacerbate water scarcity for the Loess Plateau.

Changes in vegetation cover and its influencing factors in the inner Mongolia reach of the yellow river basin from 2001 to 2018

Vegetation cover is one of the primary indicators of changes in ecosystems. China has implemented a few large-scale afforestation programs in the arid and semi-arid areas, including the Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River Basin to prevent and control soil erosion. Although these programs have alleviated the environment problems in the region to a certain extent, the effects of the increasing vegetation greenness on the environments under climate change remain controversial for the argued large water consumption. In this study, the spatio-temporal characteristics of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in the vegetation coverage area of the study area based on remote sensing data from 2001 to 2018. Meanwhile, using the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method – an excellent algorithm for ensemble learning methods – to forecast vegetation growth in the following ten years. The results indicated that, despite of the spatial heterogeneity, the vegetation NDVI exhibited a significant increase across the study area. Based on the NDVI trend, the area of improved vegetation in this region was much larger than the degraded area from 2001 to 2018, accounting for 85.9% and 8.6% of the total vegetation coverage area, respectively. However, the forecasting result by the Hurst index shows the future growth and carbon sequestration capacity in most areas showed a declining trend. Further, based on the Coupled Model Inter comparison Project - Phase 6 (CMIP6) data, the XGBoost method is used to predict the growth status and carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation in this area under different climate scenarios. The results showed that different climate scenarios had little effect on vegetation growth from 2019 to 2030. Results from this study may provide basis for the protection of ecological environment in the Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River Basin.

Optimal ranges of social-environmental drivers and their impacts on vegetation dynamics in Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan is part of the Eurasian Steppes, the world's largest contiguous grassland system. Kazakh grassland systems are largely understudied despite being historically important for agropastoral practices. These grasslands are considered vulnerable to anthropogenic activities and climatic variability. Few studies have examined vegetation dynamics in Central Asia owing to the complex impacts of moisture, climatic and anthropogenic forcings. A comprehensive analysis of spatiotemporal changes of vegetation and its driving factors will help elucidate the causes of grassland degradation. Here, we investigated the individual and pairwise interactive influences of various social-environmental system (SES) drivers on greenness dynamics in Kazakhstan. We sought to examine whether there is a relationship between peak season greenness and its drivers – spring drought, preceding winter freeze-thaw cycles, percent snow cover and snow depth – for Kazakhstan during 2000–2016. As hypothesized, snow depth and spring drought accounted for 60 % and 52 % of the variance in the satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in Kazakhstan. The freeze-thaw process accounted for 50 % of NDVI variance across the country. In addition, continuous thawing during the winter increased vegetation greenness. We also found that moisture and topographic factors impacted NDVI more significantly than socioeconomic factors. However, the impacts of socioeconomic drivers on vegetation growth were amplified when they interacted with environmental drivers. Terrain slope and soil moisture had the highest q-values or power of determinant, accounting for ~70 % of the variance in NDVI across the country. Socioeconomic drivers, such as crop production (59 %), population density (48 %), and livestock density (26 %), had significant impacts on vegetation dynamics in Kazakhstan. We found that most of the pairwise interactive influences of the drivers exhibited bi-factor enhancement, and the interaction between soil moisture and elevation was the largest (q = 0.92). Our study revealed the optimal ranges and tipping points of SES drivers and quantified the impacts of various driving factors on NDVI. These findings can help us identify the factors causing grassland degradation and provide a scientific basis for ecological protection in semiarid regions.

Climate change and ecological engineering jointly induced vegetation greening in global karst regions from 2001 to 2020

Vegetation dynamics play a dominant role in the global carbon cycle and climate, especially in vulnerable karst ecosystem. Many studies have examined the past several decades changes in vegetation greenness and the associated with climate drivers. Yet, few studies have analyzed the vegetation change in global karst regions particularly in the last decades when climate change and anthropogenic disturbance widely occurred. In this study, we investigated the spatio-temporal variations in vegetation dynamic using the Seasonally Integrated Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SINDVI) and examined their relationship with climate changes using correlation analysis, the ordinary least squares method investigate the variation trends and the Mann-Kendal test to detect the turning points from 2001 to 2020. As expected, there were greening trends in global karst SINDVI from 2001 to 2020, with significant increasing trends in China (range = 0.836, P < 0.05), Europe (range = 0.456, P < 0.05) and many other regions. According to correlation analyses, SINDVI was water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, such as Middle East and central Asia, and temperature-limited in northern high-latitude. Our results suggest that anthropogenic activities were mainly responsible for the increasing vegetation greenness in tailoring management measures (e.g., Ecological Engineering, the Grain to Green Project) in China and Europe, and intensive farm in Middle East. Coupling warming temperature and increasing precipitation, southeastern Asia and Russia showed increasing trends in SINDVI. In general, climate factors were the dominant drivers for the variation in vegetation greenness in globally karst regions during research period.