Incidence Of Stomach Cancer Research Articles

Disparities, Trends, and Predictions to 2040 in Gastrointestinal Cancer Incidence, Mortality in the USA.

and Importance: Growing gastrointestinal cancers in the U.S. necessitate further research due to substantial healthcare and economic impacts. This study aims to analyze trends and future projections for five major gastrointestinal cancers (colorectal, pancreatic, liver, stomach, and esophageal). Data were sourced from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, National Center for Health Statistics, and Global Burden of Diseases databases. An age-period-cohort model utilizing the Bayesian Information Criterion method was applied to project incidence and mortality rates to 2040. Males consistently exhibited higher incidence and mortality rates across all gastrointestinal cancers, with significant variation across the 51 U.S. states. From 2000 to 2020, colorectal cancer incidence and mortality rates declined across all racial groups, except for the incidence rates of American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) men, Hispanic men, and Hispanic women, which remained stable. Pancreatic cancer incidence increased across all groups except for AIAN men, while mortality rates rose only for White men and Hispanic women. Liver cancer incidence rose among AIAN men and White, AIAN, and Hispanic women, while mortality rates declined for most groups. Stomach cancer incidence and mortality either declined or stabilized, and esophageal cancer rates showed a general decline. By 2040, increases in incidence and mortality are projected for most gastrointestinal cancers, particularly in men. Despite varied trends over the past two decades, an overall increase in gastrointestinal cancer incidence and mortality rates is anticipated in the next 20 years in the U.S., underscoring the need for effective prevention and intervention strategies.

Supporting the investigation of health outcomes due to airborne emission by different approaches: current evidence for the waste incineration sector

Life cycle assessment (LCA) along with a survey on epidemiologic and oxidative potential studies was used for analysing the current evidence of the impact of airborne emissions from municipal solid waste incineration (MSWI) on human health. The correspondence among investigated health outcomes and pollutants was discussed based on the Chemical Service (CAS) and the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). LCA indicated the ability of MSWI in avoiding human health impact, about − 2 × 10−4 DALY/tonne together with avoided emissions of particulate matter (PM) and resource depletion, about − 2.5 × 10−3 kg Sbeq/tonne and about − 0.11 kg PM2.5 eq/tonne, respectively. Positive emissions were detected for greenhouses (about 900 kg CO2eq/tonne) and ecotoxicity (about 15,000 CTUe/tonne). Epidemiologic studies performed on population exposed to MSWI reported quite contrasting results. In some of these, hazard ratio (HR) ranging from about 0.7 to 2.2 was reported concerning the incidence of stomach, liver, breast and bladder cancer. Larger agreement was detected concerning the incidence of larynx and lung cancer with HR ranging from about 1 to about 2.6. Direct causal nexuses were not definitively identified. Oxidative potential of PM was characterized by a high Pearson correlation > 0.8 to the presence of CrVI, Cu and Zn. These heavy metals were also identified by both CAS and IARC as toxic (i.e. Cu and Zn) and cancerous (i.e. CrVI) substances affecting the organs of both respiratory and digestive apparatus. In general, even if more research is necessary, LCA, oxidative potential and the epidemiologic survey results showed a high level of accordance. This suggests their integrated exploitation for supporting the investigation of both direct and indirect consequences on environment and health related to waste incineration for both retrospective and predictive studies.

Trends of stomach cancer incidence and mortality in Shandong province from 2012 to 2012 and predictions from 2023 to 2030

Objective: We aimed to analyse the trend of incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Shandong province from 2012 to 2022 and predict the development trend from 2023 to 2030. Methods: Data on incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Shandong province from 2012 to 2022 were obtained from Shandong Cancer Registry. The incidence, age-specific incidence, mortality and age-specific mortality in different years, sexes and urban and rural areas were calculated, the rates were standardized based on the age composition of the Chinese standard population in 2000. The average annual percent change (AAPC) of incidence and mortality was calculated using Joinpoint software. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the trend of stomach cancer incidence and mortality from 2023 to 2030. Results: From 2012 to 2022, the stomach cancer age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) showed a decreasing trend. The ASIR decreased from 27.47/100 000 in 2012 to 16.06/100 000 in 2022 (AAPC=-5.10%, P＜0.001), and the ASMR decreased from 17.69/100 000 to 11.09/100 000 (AAPC=-5.52%, P＜0.001). The ASIR and ASMR of male, female, urban and rural population also showed downward trends. The incidence and mortality rates of men were always higher than those of women, and the difference between urban and rural areas is gradually narrowing. In 2022, the ASIR (16.09/100 000 in urban and 16.03/100 000 in rural) and the ASMR (11.10/100 000 in urban and 11.08/100 000 in rural) of stomach cancer between urban and rural areas were nearly identical. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model predicted that the ASIR of stomach cancer in Shandong would further decrease from 2023 to 2030 (AAPC=-0.51%, P=0.001), but the change tended to be smooth. The incidences in male (AAPC=-1.46%, P=0.010) and rural areas (AAPC=-1.21%, P＜0.001) were still expected to have a little room for decline. The trend of incidences in female and urban areas were not statistically significant. The trend of mortality was consistent with the incidence. Conclusions: The stomach cancer incidence and mortality in Shandong shows a decreasing trend and it is expected to decrease further by 2030. However, the trend tends to be smooth, and the disease burden should be reduced as early as possible for high-risk population and high-risk factors of stomach cancer.

The stomach cancer epidemic in Chinese mainland: Current trends and future predictions.

China is one of the countries with the highest burdens of stomach cancer. The objective of this study was to analyze long-term trends in the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Chinese mainland from 1990 to 2019 and to make projections until 2030. Data on stomach cancer were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Population data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 and World Population Prospects 2019. An age-period-cohort framework and decomposition analysis were used in this study. The net drift for the incidence of stomach cancer was 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0%, 0.4%) per year for men and -1.8% (95% CI: -2.0%, -1.6%) for women. The net drift for mortality was -1.6% (95% CI: -1.8%, -1.3%) per year for men and -3.3% (95% CI: -3.5%, -3.1%) for women. In the last 10-15 years, the risk of stomach cancer occurrence and death has continued to decline for both sexes. Regarding birth cohorts, although the risk of stomach cancer death decreased in general among women and men born after 1920, the risk of occurrence increased in recent birth cohorts (men born after 1970 and women born after 1985). It is expected that the age-standardized incidence will increase among men and decrease among women, and age-standardized mortality will decrease for both sexes. The largest contributor to the projected increase in incident cases and deaths is population aging, and elderly individuals are projected to have an increased proportion of occurrence and death. In the past three decades, the incidence of stomach cancer among men has increased in Chinese mainland, and this trend is projected to continue. Aging will be the main contributor to future increased stomach cancer occurrence and deaths. To reduce the health impact of stomach cancer, more efforts are needed.

Comparison of the latest cancer statistics, cancer epidemic trends and determinants between China and the United States

Objective: To provide supports for the cancer prevention and control strategies in China by comparing the disease burden, epidemic trends, 5-year relative survival rate and major determinants of common cancers between China and the United States. Methods: A descriptive secondary analysis was conducted using data extracted from the GLOBOCAN database, the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, Global Burden of disease 2019 database, and previous studies. The main indicators included the cases of malignant tumors in different sites, the cases of deaths, the age-standardized incidence (world standard incidence) and mortality (world standard mortality), the 5-year relative survival rate, and population attributable fraction (PAF). Results: In 2022, an estimated 4.825 million new cases and 2.574 million deaths of malignant neoplasms in China. The world standard incidence rate (201.6/100 000) in China was lower than that in the United States (367.0/100 000), and the world standard mortality rate (96.5/100 000) was higher than that in the United States (82.3/100 000). Lung cancer ranked first in the disease burden of malignant tumors in China, the new cases and deaths accounted for 22.0% and 28.5% of all malignant tumors, respectively. The top three malignant tumors in China were breast cancer (11.5%), prostate cancer (9.7%) and lung cancer (9.5%), which were also among the top five causes of death. However, the second to fifth leading causes of death from malignant tumors in China were digestive system tumors (liver cancer 12.3%, stomach cancer 10.1%, colorectal cancer 9.3%, and esophageal cancer 7.3%). From 2000 to 2018, the world standard incidence of malignant tumors showed an increasing trend and the world standard mortality of malignant tumors showed a decreasing trend in China, while the world standard incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the United States showed a significant decreasing trend after 2000. The incidence of breast cancer, colorectal cancer and thyroid cancer increased rapidly in China, while the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer, liver cancer and esophageal cancer decreased, but they still had a heavy disease burden. From 2003 to 2015, the overall 5-year relative survival rate of malignant tumors increased from 30.9% to 40.5% in China. However, with the exception of esophageal cancer, the 5-year relative survival rates of other major malignant tumors were lower than those in the United States. In 2019, the PAF of malignant tumors death attributable to potential modifiable risk factors was 48.3% in China, which was similar to the United States (49.8%). Of these, smoking was the most important attributable risk factor, and the PAF was more than 30% both in China and the United States. In addition, about 18.8% of malignant tumors were caused by preventable chronic infections, such as hepatitis B virus and Helicobacter pylori, while less than 4% of malignant tumors in the United States were caused by infection. Conclusions: China has made great progress in the prevention and treatment of malignant tumors, but it still faces a serious disease burden. The cancer spectrum is changing from developing countries to developed countries. We should pay attention to modifiable factors, take comprehensive measures, and prevent cancer scientifically.

Australians with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease have a twofold increase in the incidence of cancer.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic morbidity. We compared the incidence of cancers in adults admitted to Queensland hospitals with MASLD with that for the Queensland population and examined the association between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes and the development of extrahepatic cancers. In this retrospective study, we identified all cancers (Queensland Cancer Registry) after the first hospitalization with MASLD during Jul-2007 to Dec-2019, estimated age-standardized incidence (ASI) of cancers, and compared that with the ASI in the Queensland population (incidence rate ratios [IRR]). Among the MASLD cohort, we examined the association between diabetes and cancer risk (Cox regression). Median follow-up was 3.8 years (54 204 person-years). Totally 1104 new cancers were diagnosed in 1018 patients (8.9% of 9771 non-cirrhotic and 1712 adults with cirrhosis). The ASI (all cancers) of 1668.2 per 100 000 person-years in men (95% CI 1523.7-1827.4) and 1284.0 per 100 000 person-years in women (95% CI 1169.6-1408.2) was 2-fold higher than that of the Queensland population (IRR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.75-2.16 and IRR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.78-2.22, respectively). Incidence of stomach cancer, unknown primary, and pancreas was 3- to 5-fold higher compared to the general population (all P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis of the MASLD cohort, older age (e.g. ≥70 years adjusted hazard ratio [adj-HR] = 4.59, 95% CI 3.61-5.83), male gender (adj-HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37), and cirrhosis (adj-HR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.11-1.70) were independently associated with extrahepatic cancer risk, while diabetes was not. Our findings will help to raise awareness among clinicians about the importance of cancer vigilance in this patient group.

Exploring age-standardized cancer incidence rates and regional disparities: A retrospective cohort study of 8 major cancers in South Korea

BackgroundWe analyzed trends in cancer incidence and regional disparities of eight major types of cancer in Korea. MethodsThis retrospective cohort study used the data of 17 cities/provinces from the Korea Central Cancer Registry (1999–2020) in South Korea. Age-standardized incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years), between-group variance (per 100,000 person-years)2, and annual percentage changes ( %) were calculated for the eight most common malignancies. Joinpoint regression was utilized to identify the points at which significant changes occur in cancer incidence or regional disparity trends over time to characterize these trends. ResultsThe incidence of stomach cancer decreased as regional disparity decreased and that of colorectal cancer initially increased but recently declined, showing fluctuations in regional disparity. The incidence and regional disparity in liver cancer decreased. The incidence of lung cancer remained stable, with reduced regional disparities. The incidence of breast cancer rose with increasing regional disparity, whereas the incidence of cervical cancer decreased, accompanied by decreased regional disparity. A significant increase in prostate cancer was found, with initially reduced regional disparities but later showed a resurgence. The incidence of thyroid cancer fluctuated alongside variations in regional disparities. ConclusionThis study revealed cancer incidence and regional variations in each cancer type in Korea. More studies are needed to understand the underlying factors and potential interventions for reducing cancer incidence and addressing regional disparity.

Trends and disparities in the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in the United States.

e16102 Background: Stomach cancer is the fifth most common cancer worldwide and has one of the lowest survival rates across all malignancies. There is a constant need to define current stomach cancer incidence and incidence-based mortality (IBM) rates among different population groups for improved clinical practice. We aimed to investigate the trends of stomach cancer incidence and IBM by population characteristics of age groups, gender and ethnic groups. Methods: Data obtained from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End results (SEER) Registry 12 were obtained to determine the incidence and IBM rate of stomach incidence from 1992 to 2020. Joinpoint Regression Analysis program was used to calculate the annual percent change (APC) for trend analysis. Results: A total of 82,810 stomach cancer patients were identified from the dataset. Most of the patients were males; N = 49,909(60.27%) and Non-Hispanic Whites, N = 40,894 (49.38%). The overall incidence rate was 8.00 (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 7.95 to 8.06) and the overall IBM rate was 6.44 (95%CI: 6.39 to 6.49). The incidence rate of stomach cancer decreased significantly by 1.28 % per year from 1992 to 2020; however the degree of decline from 1992 to 2017, APC (-1.18, 95% CI: -1.27 to -1.04, p &lt; .001) was lower compared to between 2017 and 2020, APC (-3.42, 95% CI: -6.08 to -1.69, p = 0.01). Conversely, IBM rate increased significantly from 1992 to 1994, APC (36.59, 95% CI: 22.51 to 52.29, p &lt; .001) followed by a significant decrease from 1994 to 2020, APC (-1.29, 95%CI: -1.43 to -1.15, p &lt; .001).Incidence rates reduced significantly from 1992 to 2020 for all gender, ethnic and age groups except among the Non-Hispanic Asian Indian or Alaska Native (NHAIAN) population with APC (-0.67, 95 CI% -1.93 to 0.61, p = 0.29) and &lt; 60 years age group with APC (0.03, 95 CI % : 0.18 to 0.25, p = 0.76). Significant decline in IBM rate was observed from 2000 to 2020 across all gender, ethnicities and age groups except among the NHAIAN, APC (-0.21, 95 CI%: -1.26 to 0.84, p = 0.68) and the &lt; 60 years age group, APC (0.16, 95 CI%: -0.33 to -0.65, p = 0.52). Conclusions: Stomach cancer incidence and IBM rates have decreased significantly over the last 20 years except in NHAIAN and &lt; 60 years age populations. These findings suggest the need for further research focused efforts in these potentially high-risk groups.

Using RNN Artificial Neural Network to Predict the Occurrence of Gastric Cancer in the Future of the World

Gastric cancer is an important health problem and is the fourth most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. The incidence of stomach cancer is increasing and it can be dealt with using new methods in prediction and diagnosis. Our goal is to implement an artificial neural network to predict new cancer cases. Gastric cancer is anatomically divided into true gastric adenocarcinomas (non-cardiac gastric cancers) and gastric-esophageal- connective cancer (adenocardia (cardiac) gastric cancers). We use MATLAB R2018 software (MathWorks) to implement an artificial neural network. We used. The data were repeatedly and randomly divided into training (70%) and validation (30%) subsets. Our predictions emphasize the need for detailed studies on the risk factors associated with gastric cell carcinoma to reduce the incidence and has also provided an accuracy of about 99.998%.

Association of gastroesophageal reflux disease with gastritis activity in schoolchildren living in a region with a high incidence of gastric and esophageal cancer

Aim. To study the activity of the inflammatory process in the gastric mucosa (GM) in gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) in schoolchildren living in a region with a high incidence of stomach and esophageal cancer. Material and methods. The transverse method in the Republic of Tyva collected data on the presence of gastroenterological complaints in 1535 schoolchildren aged 7-17 years. The main diagnostic criterion for GERD was the presence of weekly heartburn in the subjects. Subsequently, esophagogastroduodenoscopy was performed with the taking of biopsy material of the mucosa of the antrum and body of the stomach in 246 children. Morphological assessment of GM was carried out in accordance with the Sydney classification after staining biopsy sections with hematoxylin-eosin. Diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori was carried out after staining according to Giemsa. The studies were approved by the ethics committee and the consent of the examined was obtained. Results. Schoolchildren in Tyva have a high prevalence of GERD (9.5%). Associative relationship of GERD with gastritis activity, both in the body (p=0.7338) and in the antrum (p=0.2036) was not revealed. In the antrum, the activity of gastritis was higher than in the body of the stomach (p=0.0001). In children with GERD, when infected with Helicobacter pylori, there was an increase in activity, both in the antrum (p=0.0001) and in the body of the stomach (p=0.0159). At the same time, in children with GERD, the inflammatory process is associated with infection by a microorganism, regardless of its belonging to the Cag A strain. Conclusion. An association of GERD with highly active Helicobacter pylori associated gastritis has been established, regardless of whether the microorganism belongs to the Cag A strain.

Burden of Stomach Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years, and Risk Factors in 204 Countries, 1990-2019: An Examination of Global Burden of Disease 2019.

Stomach cancer is a global health problem and is one of the leading causes of cancer deaths worldwide. This study investigates the spatial and temporal patterns of stomach cancer burden in 204 countries in the last three decades. The estimates of stomach cancer burden and itsrisk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, covering the years 1990 to 2019, across 204 countries within 21 world regions. GBD employs the cause-of-death ensemble modeling framework to calculate disease-specific mortality estimates. Estimated average percent change (EAPC) of absolute counts (incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)) and age-standardized rates (age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDALR)) was calculated in the regions to illustrate the relative changes between 1990 and 2019. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze global trends of stomach cancer burdenin the last three decades. Incidence of stomach cancer globally increased from 883,396 cases in 1990 to 1.3 million cases in 2019andnumber of deathsdue to stomach cancer rose from 788,317 in 1990 to 957,185 in 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, the global ASIR decreased from 22.4 per 100,000 to 15.6 per 100,000, the ASMR decreased from 20.5 per 100,000 to 11.9 per 100,000and the ASDALRdeclined from 493.4 per 100,000 to 290.6per 100,000. Trend analysis using joinpoint regression revealed the slowest rise in incident cases and largest decline in ASIR between 2004 and 2016. In 2019, East Asia had the highest number of incident cases, totaling 626,489, followed by high-income Asia-Pacific (128,168) and South Asia (99,399). The ASIR was thehighest in East Asia (30.2/100,000)followed by high-income Asia-Pacific (28.2/100,000) and Andean Latin America (22.4/100,000), while high-income North America had the lowest ASIR at 6.1/100,000. In terms of absolute counts, the top three countries in 2019 were China, India, and Japantogether accounting for 61.5% of global incident cases, 58.6% of deaths, and DALYs. Mongolia had the highest ASIR (43.7 per 100,000), followed by Bolivia (34.0 per 100,000) and China (30.6 per 100,000) in 2019, while the lowest ASIR was 3.3 per 100,000 in Malawi. Globally, for both sexes combined, 7.8% of stomach cancer DALYs were associated with a diet high in sodium and 17.2% were linked to smoking. Among males, 24.0% of stomach cancerDALYs were attributable to smoking, compared to only 4.3% in females in 2019. Significant progress has been made globally in the fight against stomach cancer, with the ASIR decreasing by 30.3% and the ASMR by 41.2% between 1990 and 2019. To further reduce the burden of stomach cancer, it is essential to address factors such as Helicobacter pylori prevalence, obesity, and smoking. Additionally, improvements in early detection, socioeconomic development (including better public sanitation, hygiene, and drinking water), and dietary habits are imperative.

Gastrointestinal cancer trends in the Hispanic population: A SEER database population study (2000-2019).

725 Background: Cancer continues to be the leading cause of death in the Hispanic population. Gastrointestinal cancer surveillance data in Hispanic individuals has only recently become available in the last 3 decades. Differences in incidence rates among Hispanics and Non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs) need further elucidation. In this study, we analyzed trends in Hispanics and NHW populations across multiple gastrointestinal cancers. Methods: Gastrointestinal cancers (liver, colon and rectum, pancreas, esophagus, gallbladder, stomach, small intestine, anus, anal canal and anorectum) diagnosed between 2000-2019 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) Database. We calculated incidence rates, confidence intervals and incidence rate ratios. Rates are per 100,000 and age adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Rate ratios are the rounded rates in Hispanic individuals divided by the rounded rates in NHWs. Results: There was a higher incidence of liver, gallbladder, and stomach cancers among Hispanics when compared to NHWs between the years 2000-2019. Liver cancer incidence rate is (11.5 per 100,000) in Hispanics compared with (6.3 per 100, 000) in NHWs with an incidence rate ratio of 1.8. Gallbladder cancer incidence rate is (2.2 per 100,000) in Hispanics compared with (0.9 per 100,000) in NHWs with an incidence rate ratio of 2.4. Stomach cancer is (10.9 per 100,000) in Hispanics compared with (5.7 per 100,000) in NHWs with an incidence rate ratio of 1.9. The lowest incidence rate ratio was seen for anus, anal canal and anorectum cancers in Hispanics compared to NHWs. The incidence rate is (1.2 per 100,000) in Hispanics compared with (2.1 per 100,000) in NHWs with an incidence rate ratio of 0.6. Remaining cancers had incidence rate ratios less than 1.0 and were more likely to occur in NHWs. Conclusions: This study illustrates differing incidence rates of multiple gastrointestinal cancers among Hispanics compared to NHWs. Liver, gallbladder and stomach cancer incidence rates in Hispanics is double that of NHWs. Interestingly, the remaining gastrointestinal cancers had higher incidence rates among NHWs. Further research is warranted to understand the differences in cancer risk within the Hispanic population as well as healthcare access, language barriers and cultural differences that may play a role.[Table: see text]

Incidence, Prognostic Factors, and Survival of Gastric Cancer in Iran: A review of evidence

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most prevalent cancer and the fourth in terms of cancer-related death worldwide. The GC is the most commonly diagnosed and the most important cause of cancer-related death in Iranians. Due to the significant burden of stomach cancer in Iran, we aimed to review all articles that have been conducted on the Incidence, Prognostic Factors, and survival of Gastric Cancer in Iran and compare them with the global situation. We surveyed Google Scholar, Pub Med, Scopus, Web of Science (ISI), and Science Direct databases using the keywords of Gastric Cancer, Stomach Cancer, Gastric Neoplasm, Stomach Neoplasm, and Iran and obtained English language articles. After a two-step screening of articles, 51 out of 202 remained eligible for our study (related to Incidence, Prognostic Factors, and survival of stomach Cancer in Iran). We found that although Iran is one of the high-burden countries for GC, the incidence rate and mortality rate are very different in different provinces (up to a six-fold and thirty-fold difference in mortality rate and incidence rate have been reported respectively in reviewed articles between Northern and Southern Iran). Considering that the initial stage is one of the most important and probably the most important prognostic factors, through upper endoscopy screening, the disease can be diagnosed in earlier stages and the survival of patients can be improved. We recommend the Ministry of Health identify high-risk people according to their combination of risk factors (especially geographical region) and make a national cost-effective screening algorithm for Iran.

The Trends of Gastric Cancer in China From 1990 to 2019 and Predictions to 2040: A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Prediction Study.

This study aims to provide the most up-to-date temporal trends in incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of total gastric cancer in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict the gastric cancer trends up to 2040. Data for the incidence, mortality, and DALYs of stomach cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). We conducted joinpoint regression analysis to explore possible segmented changes in gastric cancer trends. We predicted gastric cancer trends up to 2040 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model. The absolute incidence, mortality, and DALYs of gastric cancer increased from 1990 to 2019 in China. However, the age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, mortality, and DALYs for gastric cancer decreased between 1990 and 2019, and the reductions were more pronounced for mortality and DALYs for gastric cancer. Our study generally reveals favorable declining trends of gastric cancer incidence and predicts that this will continue to 2040. However, the high contemporary incidence combined with China's aging population will likely slow or even reverse the declining trend in gastric cancer mortality.

RADIOTHERAPY NEEDS BY PORTUGUESE OLDER ADULTS IN 2040—A GLOBOCAN ANALYSIS

Abstract In Portugal, cancer is the second leading cause of death, accounting 28,544 deaths in 2018 (around 25% of all deaths). Radiotherapy (RT) is an effective cancer treatment. Around half of all cancer patients will require RT as part of their treatment. The European SocieTy for Radiotherapy and Oncology - Health Economics in Radiation Oncology (ESTRO-HERO) project data states that Portuguese actual utilisation of RT relative to the evidence-based optimal use is between 50-60%. The aim of this study was to project RT use and resources to maintain RT accessibility for Portuguese older adults in 2040 for the most common types of cancers. The authors examined GLOBOCAN data to determine expected incidence of prostate, colon, rectum, lung, breast, and stomach cancers for those aged 70 and over. Results show that in 2040, new cancer cases in older adults are expected to account for around 60% of total cancer cases. Cancer incidence is estimated to increase between 30 to 40% in this population. In accordance with this projection, the authors used the optimal utilisation percentage of RT to calculate the number of RT courses anticipated to be needed for each cancer type and an increase of around 38% (8878 to 12729) is expected by 2040 to address the needs of this population. The ESTRO-HERO guidelines state that each RT machine should treat 400 to 450 patients per year. So, to cover the older patients’ demand, we estimate the need to install 8 to 10 additional RT machines by 2040.

Population-based evaluation of disparities in stomach cancer by nativity among Asian and Hispanic populations in California, 2011-2015.

Stomach cancer incidence presents significant racial/ethnic disparities among racial/ethnic minority groups in the United States, particularly among Asian and Hispanic immigrant populations. However, population-based evaluation of disparities by nativity has been scarce because of the lack of nativity-specific population denominators, especially for disaggregated Asian subgroups. Population-based stomach cancer incidence and tumor characteristics by detailed race/ethnicity and nativity were examined. Annual age-adjusted incidence rates were calculated by race/ethnicity, sex, and nativity and tumor characteristics, such as stage and anatomic subsite, were evaluated using the 2011-2015 California Cancer Registry data. For Hispanic and Asian populations, nativity-specific population counts were estimated using the US Census and the American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample data. During 2011-2015 in California, 14,198 patients were diagnosed with stomach cancer. Annual age-adjusted incidence rates were higher among foreign-born individuals than their US-born counterparts. The difference was modest among Hispanics (∼1.3-fold) but larger (∼2- to 3-fold) among Chinese, Japanese, and Korean Americans. The highest incidence was observed for foreign-born Korean and Japanese Americans (33 and 33 per 100,000 for men; 15 and 12 per 100,000 for women, respectively). The proportion of localized stage disease was highest among foreign-born Korean Americans (44%); a similar proportion was observed among US-born Korean Americans, although numbers were limited. For other Asians and Hispanics, the localized stage proportion was generally lower among foreign-born than US-born individuals and lowest among foreign-born Japanese Americans (23%). Nativity-specific investigation with disaggregated racial/ethnic groups identified substantial stomach cancer disparities among foreign-born immigrant populations.

Association between brown sugar intake and decreased risk of cancer in the Amami islands region, Japan.

Although excess white sugar intake imposes various health burdens, brown sugar is high in minerals, polyphenols, and polycosanol. However, few epidemiological studies have assessed brown sugar intake for health benefit. People in the Amami islands region, with a relatively high proportion of individuals with longevity, consume brown sugar as a type of refreshment. This cohort study was conducted in Amami to clarify the association of brown sugar intake with mortality risk and cancer incidence. Participants were recruited from the general population of Amami as part of the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study. The number of eligible participants was 5004 (2057 men and 2947 women). During the median follow-up period of 13.4 years, 274 deaths and 338 cases of cancer were observed. HRs and 95% CIs were estimated using the Cox proportional hazard model, after adjusting for sugar-related and other variables. After adjusting for their related confounding factors, brown sugar intake was associated with decreased HRs and a decreasing trend for all-site and stomach cancer incidence (p = 0.001 and 0.017, respectively) in women and men, and for breast cancer incidence (p = 0.034) in women. Additionally, a decreasing trend in the HRs for lung cancer incidence was observed among never and ex-smokers (p = 0.039). Decreased HRs for overall death, cancer, and cardiovascular disease were not apparent. Brown sugar intake was associated with decreased risk of all-site, stomach, and breast cancer incidences in the Amami population.

Abstract C105: Addressing stomach cancer disparities in low-income New York City Chinese American immigrants: A randomized controlled trial

Abstract Background Stomach cancer is the most common infection-related cancer worldwide. In the United States, Chinese Americans, especially recent immigrants, experience a disproportionate burden of stomach cancer incidence and mortality. Infection with the bacterium Helicobacter pylori (H. Pylori) is the strongest risk factor for stomach cancer. However, adherence to the complex H. pylori treatment regimen is challenging for Chinese New Yorkers with limited English proficiency (LEP) and low health literacy. By linking bilingual/bicultural community health workers (CHWs) to Chinese-speaking patients in clinical settings – the first intervention of its kind that targets this at-risk population – we aim to help participants facilitate H. pylori eradication and stomach cancer prevention. Objective We seek to implement and assess the efficacy of a patient-centered, culturally-adapted and in-language intervention to reduce stomach cancer risk factors for at-risk Chinese American immigrants in NYC. Methods We conducted a multiyear, 2-arm RCT (n=135). Participants randomized to the intervention group were paired with a bilingual/bicultural CHW for 6 months and received a standardized protocol consisting of culturally and linguistically-adapted educational sessions, goal-setting and action planning. Data collection methods include: 1) Baseline, 2-month and 6-month surveys; 2) interviews with intervention group participants; and 3) encounter reports. Clinical outcomes were confirmed through chart review. Results Participants in the RCT were predominantly LEP, low-income Chinese immigrants with low health literacy and limited knowledge of H. pylori and stomach cancer risk factors. We will share the primary and secondary study outcomes of H. pylori eradication, medication adherence, self-efficacy, and health literacy. Our results will be supplemented with qualitative findings from the encounter reports detailing participant barriers and facilitators to medication adherence, goal-setting and behavior change. Citation Format: Simona Kwon, Yi-Ling Tan, Suzanne Vang, Angel Mui, Janet Pan, Stella Chong, Laura Wyatt, Qiuqu Zhao, Renee Williams, Patrick Xiao, Anju Malieckal, Zoi Gamagaris, Chau Trinh-Shevrin. Addressing stomach cancer disparities in low-income New York City Chinese American immigrants: A randomized controlled trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 16th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2023 Sep 29-Oct 2;Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2023;32(12 Suppl):Abstract nr C105.

Trend and Joinpoint Analysis of Cancer Incidence and 1-Year Mortality in North-East Spain 2005–2020

Cancer is the second leading cause of death. It is thus essential to examine cancer trends in all regions. In addition, trend data after 2019 and on cancer 1-year mortality are scarce. Our aim was to analyze incidence and 1-year mortality cancer trends in northeastern Spain during 2005–2020. We used the Osona Tumor Registry, which registers cancer incidence and mortality in Osona. The mortality information came from the Spanish Death Index. We analyzed age-standardized incidence rates and 1-year mortality by sex in the population aged &gt; 17 years during 2005–2020. Trends were examined with negative binomial and joinpoint regression. Incidence rates of colorectal, lung and bronchus, and urinary bladder cancer increased annually in females by 2.86%, 4.20%, and 4.56%, respectively. In males, the incidence of stomach and prostate cancer decreased annually by 3.66% and 2.05%, respectively. One-year mortality trends decreased annually for endometrium cancer (−9.0%) and for colorectal cancer in males (−3.1%). From 2019 to 2020, the incidence of cancer decreased, while 1-year mortality increased in both sexes. In a North-Eastern Spanish county, 1-year mortality decreased for endometrium cancer in females and for colorectal cancer in males. Our results suggest a trend of decreasing cancer incidence and increasing cancer mortality as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Incidence of Stomach, Liver, and Colorectal Cancers by Geography and Social Vulnerability Among American Indian and Alaska Native Populations, 2010-2019.

Social determinants of health and associated systems, policies, and practices are important drivers of health disparities. American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations in the United States have elevated incidence rates of stomach, liver, and colorectal cancers compared with other racial/ethnic groups. In this study, we examined incidence rates of 3 types of gastrointestinal cancer among non-Hispanic AI/AN (NH-AI/AN) and non-Hispanic White (NHW) populations by geographic region and Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) score. Incident cases diagnosed during 2010-2019 were identified from population-based cancer registries linked with the Indian Health Service patient registration databases. Age-adjusted incidence rates (per 100,000 population) for stomach, liver, and colorectal cancers were compared within NH-AI/AN populations and between the NH-AI/AN and NHW populations by SVI score. Rates were higher among NH-AI/AN populations in moderate- and high-SVI-score counties in Alaska, the Southern Plains, and the East than in low-SVI counties. Incidence rates among NH-AI/AN populations were elevated when compared with NHW populations by SVI category. Results indicated that higher social vulnerability may drive elevated cancer incidence among NH-AI/AN populations. Additionally, disparities between NH-AI/AN and NHW populations persist even when accounting for SVI. Exploring social vulnerability can aid in designing more effective interventions to address root causes of cancer disparities among AI/AN populations.