BackgroundThe Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) introduced the concept of “possible sarcopenia” in 2019. However, the association between possible sarcopenia and hip fracture is not well characterized. Hence, we conducted a study to explore this association in older Chinese adults. MethodsThis was a population-based cohort study based on nationally representative data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Individuals aged ≥60 years with no history of hip fracture at baseline (2011–2012) were included and followed up until September 2018. Possible sarcopenia was defined based on the AWGS 2019 criteria during the study period, and the occurrence of hip fractures was monitored. The association between possible sarcopenia and hip fractures was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. ResultsA total of 4,011 participants were included, of whom 44.8 % had possible sarcopenia. During the 7-year follow-up, 197 individuals experienced hip fractures. Individuals with possible sarcopenia had a significantly higher risk of hip fractures than those without possible sarcopenia (hazard ratio: 2.00, 95 % confidence interval: 1.46–2.75; P < 0.001). The association was consistently observed across various subgroups based on age, sex, and overweight status. ConclusionsThis study identified possible sarcopenia as a significant risk factor for hip fractures in older Chinese adults. These findings underscore the importance of addressing possible sarcopenia as a preventive measure to reduce the incidence of hip fractures.