Incidence Of Cardiovascular Disease Research Articles

Interacting and joint effects of triglyceride-glucose index and blood pressure on cardiovascular diseases risk: a prospective cohort study

AimsThe triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and hypertension (HTN) are established risk factors of CVD. However, there is a dearth of studies investigating the synergistic influence of the elevated TyG index and HTN on CVD risk, as well as any potential interaction between these factors.MethodFor this investigation, we enlisted 88,384 individuals from the Kailuan Study who did not have a history of stroke, myocardial infarction, or cancer at baseline. Incidences of CVD between 2006 and 2021 were confirmed through a thorough review of medical records. Participants were categorized into 6 groups according to BP status(normal/elevated BP, stage 1 and stage 2) or the TyG index(low and elevated group), respectively. The Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess the association of BP status and TyG index with incident CVD. The multiplicative and additive interactions were also determined.ResultsFollowing a mean follow-up period of 13.66 ± 3.24 years, incidents of CVD, MI, and stroke were observed in 8,205, 1,728, and 6,705 individuals, respectively. The BP category and TyG index additively increased the risk of CVD, MI and stroke. There were significant interacting and joint effects of TyG index and BP status on CVD risk. Additionally, stratification analysis further confirmed that the relative contribution of hypertension to the CVD development decreased with deteriorating TyG index and that of TyG index was attenuated with increasing BP status.ConclusionOur study demonstrated that a significant interaction between TyG index and BP status on the risk of CVD.

Effect of a 15-Week Whole Foods, Plant-Based Diet, Physical Activity, and Stress Management Intervention on Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in a Population of US Veterans: A Retrospective Analysis.

Military Veterans have a higher risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) than the general population and are often clinically complex. We studied the changes in cardiovascular risk factors with a lifestyle intervention in this population. We retrospectively analyzed data from 67 participants (mean age 69.2 (SD 7.9) years; 97% male) with atherosclerotic heart disease and/or type 2 diabetes in a 15-week, multiple health behavior change (MHBC) intervention implemented in a Veterans Affairs (VA) Behavioral Medicine Clinic. The intervention promoted a whole foods, plant-based (WFPB) diet, physical activity, and cognitive-behavioral stress management. We assessed cardiometabolic risk factors at baseline, 1 month into the intervention, and at 15 weeks (post-treatment). Among intervention completers (n = 67), we observed statistically significant improvements in waist circumference (-2.8 inches, P = .03), systolic blood pressure (-7.9mmHg, P = .03), LDL cholesterol (-11.27mg/dL, P = .04), fasting glucose (-15.10mg/dL, P = .03), and hemoglobin A1c (-0.55%, P = .017) at post-treatment. Participants with type 2 diabetes (n = 34) achieved improvements in hemoglobin A1c (-0.80%, P = .007), systolic blood pressure (-10.98mmHg, P = .01), and diastolic blood pressure (-6.65mmHg, P = .03) at post-treatment. Medication usage did not significantly change. Veterans who completed the MHBC intervention achieved significant improvements in cardiometabolic risk in a routine VA clinical practice setting.

Abstract Mo130: Epigenetic Mechanisms Regulate Sex Differences in Cardiac Reparative Functions of Bone Marrow Progenitor Cells

Historically, lower incidence of CVD and related deaths in women as compared with men of the same age has been attributed to female sex hormones, particularly estrogen and its receptors. Autologous Bone marrow stem cell (BMSC) clinical trials for cardiac cell therapy overwhelmingly included male patients; however, meta-analysis data on these trials suggest a better functional outcome in women as compared with men. A direct comparison of the mechanisms governing sex-specific cardiac reparative activity in bone marrow-derived mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs), with and without the influence of sex hormones, remains unexplored. This study was designed to identify mechanisms that regulate superior reparative properties of female endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) post-MI, particularly epigenetic mechanisms. Male (M), female (F), and ovariectomized female (OVX) mice-derived EPCs were subjected to a series of molecular and epigenetic analyses followed by in vivo functional assessments of cardiac repair. RNA sequencing and other quantitative assays showed a similar genetic profile between F-EPCs and OVX-EPCs, distinct from M-EPCs that displayed significant up-regulation of inflammation-related genes. F-EPCs and OVX EPCs secrete higher levels of proangiogenic factors, lower levels of proinflammatory cytokines and show better cardiac reparative activity after intra-cardiac injections in a male mouse model of myocardial infarction (MI). Epigenetic sequencing revealed a marked difference in the occupancy of the gene repressive H3K9me3 mark, particularly at transcription start sites of key angiogenic and proinflammatory genes in male EPCs compared with female and ovariectomized EPCs. Our study unveiled that functional sex differences in EPCs is, in part, mediated by differential epigenetic regulation of the proinflammatory and anti-angiogenic gene CCL3, orchestrated by the control of H3K9me3 by histone methyltransferase, G9a/Ehmt2. Our research highlights the importance of considering sex of donor cells for progenitor-based tissue repair.

Life’s Essential 8 and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in U.S. Women With Breast Cancer

BackgroundRelationships between lifestyle risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in women with breast cancer (BC) are underexplored. ObjectivesTo evaluate the incidence of CVD in relation to the Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) score among women with BC. MethodsData from the Women’s Health Initiative were utilized. The primary exposure was the LE8 score assessed prior to BC diagnosis. The LE8 score was stratified into low (0-59), moderate (60-79), and high (80-100) cardiovascular health (CVH). The primary endpoint was a composite of incident CVD events, which included coronary heart disease, defined as myocardial infarction along with coronary revascularization, CVD death, and stroke. We calculated the cumulative incidence of CVD and estimated hazard ratios. ResultsAmong 7,165 participants, the median age was 70.1 years at BC diagnosis. The mean LE8 score was 62.0 ± 12.2. Over a median follow-up period of 6 years, 490 composite CVD events occurred. The risk of CVD events was highest for low CVH compared with moderate and high CVH. Compared with low CVH, the hazard ratio for incident CVD was 0.57 (95% CI: 0.46-0.69) for moderate CVH and 0.34 (95% CI: 0.20-0.59) for high CVH. LE8, in conjunction with age, provided a C-statistic of 0.74 for the composite risk of CVD. ConclusionsHigher LE8 scores were associated with a lower risk of incident CVD among women with BC in the United States.

Advancements in Cardiovascular Disease Research Affected by Smoking.

The harmful substances in tobacco are widely recognized to exert a significant detrimental impact on human health, constituting one of the most substantial global public health threats to date. Tobacco usage also ranks among the principal contributors to cardiovascular ailments, with tobacco being attributed to up to 30% of cardiovascular disease-related deaths in various countries. Cardiovascular disease is influenced by many kinds of pathogenic factors, among them, tobacco usage has led to an increased year by year incidence of cardiovascular disease. Exploring the influencing factors of harmful substances in tobacco and achieving early prevention are important means to reduce the incidence of cardiovascular diseases and maintain health. This article provides a comprehensive review of the effects of smoking on health and cardiovascular diseases.

Associations of social determinants of health with life expectancy and future health risks among individuals with type 2 diabetes: two nationwide cohort studies in the UK and USA

Social determinants of health (SDHs) are the primary drivers of preventable health inequities, and the associations between SDHs and health outcomes among individuals with type 2diabetes remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate the associations of combined SDHs with life expectancy and future health risks among adults with type 2diabetes from the UK and USA. In an analysis of two nationwide cohort studies, adults with type 2diabetes were identified from the UKBiobank from March 13, 2006, to Oct 1, 2010 (adults aged 37-73years) and the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999to 2018 (adults aged ≥20years). Participants with type 2diabetes at baseline were included in our analysis. Participants without information on SDHs or follow-up were excluded. TheUKBiobank assessed 17SDHs and the US NHANES assessed ten SDHs, with each SDH dichotomised into advantaged and disadvantaged levels. The combined score of SDHs were calculated as the sum of the weighted scores for each SDH. Participants were then categorised into tertiles (favourable, medium, and unfavourable SDHgroups). Primary outcomes were life expectancy and mortality in both cohorts, and incidences of cardiovascular disease, diabetes-related microvascular disease, dementia, and cancer in the UK Biobank. Outcomes were obtained from disease registries up until Dec 31, 2021, in the UK Biobank and Dec 31, 2019, in the USNHANES cohorts. We included 17 321participants from the UK Biobank cohort (median age 61·0years [IQR 56·0-65·0]; 6028[34·8%] women and 11 293 [65·2%] men) and 7885participants from the NHANES cohort (mean age 59·2years [95% CI 58·7-59·6]; 3835 [49·1%, weighted] women and 4050 [50·9%, weighted] men) in our analysis. In the UKBiobank, 3235deaths (median follow-up 12·3years [IQR 11·5-13·2]), 3010incident cardiovascular disease (12·1years [10·8-13·0]), 1997 diabetes-related microvascular disease (8·0years [7·1-8·9]), 773dementia (12·6years [11·8-13·5]), and 2259cancer cases (11·3years [10·4-12·2]) were documented; and the US NHANES documented 2278deaths during a median follow-up of 7·0years (3·7-11·2). After multivariable adjustment, compared with the favourable SDH group, the hazard ratio was 1·33 (95% CI 1·21-1·46) in the medium SDH group and 1·89(1·72-2·07) in the unfavourable SDHgroup in the UK Biobank cohort; 1·51 (1·34-1·70) in the medium SDH group and 2·02 (1·75-2·33) in theunfavourable SDH group in the US NHANES cohort for all-cause mortality; 1·13 (1·04-1·24) in the medium SDHgroup and 1·40 (1·27-1·53) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cardiovascular disease; 1·13(1·01-1·27) in the medium SDH group and 1·41 (1·26-1·59) in the unfavourable SDHgroup for incident diabetes-related microvascular disease; 1·35 (1·11-1·64) in the medium SDH group and 1·76 (1·46-2·13) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident dementia; and 1·02 (0·92-1·13) in the medium SDHgroup and 1·17 (1·05-1·30) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cancer in the UK Biobank cohort (ptrend<0·010for each category). At the age of 45years, the mean life expectancy of participants was 1·6years (0·6-2·3) shorter in the medium SDH group and 4·4years (3·3-5·4) shorter in the unfavourable SDH group than in the favourable SDH group in the UK Biobank. In the US NHAHES cohort, the life expectancy was 1·7years (0·6-2·7) shorter in the medium SDH group and 3·0years (1·8-4·3) shorter in the unfavourable SDHgroup, compared with the favourable group. Combined unfavourable SDHs were associated with a greater loss of life expectancy and higher risks of developing future adverse health outcomes among adults with type 2diabetes. These associations were similar across two nationwide cohorts from varied social contexts, and were largely consistent across populations with different demographic, lifestyle, and clinical features. Thus, assessing the combined SDHs of individuals with type 2diabetes might be a promising approach to incorporate into diabetes care to identify socially vulnerable groups and reduce disease burden. The National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Key R&D Program of China, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Which Components of the Haemodynamic Response to Active Stand Predict Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality? Data From The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing.

An integrated haemodynamic response during standing may serve as an integrative marker of neuro-cardiovascular function. Individual components of both heart rate (HR) and blood pressure (BP) responses to active stand (AS) have been linked with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. We assessed longitudinal associations between entire HR/BP response curves during AS, incident CVD and mortality over 12 years. Beat-to-beat measurements of dynamic HR/BP responses to AS were conducted in 4,336 individuals (61.5±8.2 years; 53.7% female). Functional Principal Components Analysis was applied to HR/BP response curves and their association with CVD and mortality assessed. We hypothesised that integrating BP/HR information from the entire haemodynamic response curve may uncover novel associations with both CVD and mortality. Higher systolic BP (SBP) before AS and blunted recovery of SBP during AS was associated with all-cause mortality over 12-years (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.14; 1.04, 1.26; p=0.007). Higher baseline/peak HR and lower HR from 30 seconds post stand onwards were associated with lower mortality due to circulatory causes (HR: 0.78; 0.64, 0.95; p = 0.013). Higher HR throughout AS was associated with mortality from other causes (HR: 1.48; 1.22, 1.80; p<0.001). Findings persisted on robust covariate adjustment. We observed distinct relationships between HR/BP responses to AS and 12-year incident CVD and mortality. Integrating the entire haemodynamic response may reveal more nuanced relationships between HR/BP responses to AS, CVD and mortality - serving as an integrative marker of neuro-cardiovascular health in midlife and beyond.

Incidence of Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease After Bariatric Surgery in Older Patients

Bariatric surgery is associated with decreased risk of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular disease but is typically reserved for patients younger than 60 years. Whether these associations hold for patients who undergo surgery at older ages is uncertain. To determine whether bariatric surgery is associated with a decreased risk of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular disease in patients who underwent surgery at age 60 years or older. Population-based cohort study of patients from Denmark, Finland, and Sweden who underwent bariatric surgery at age 60 years or older without previous malignant neoplasm or cardiovascular disease between 1989 and 2019. Each patient who underwent surgery was exactly matched to 5 patients with nonoperative treatment for obesity of the same country, sex, and age at the date of surgery. Data were analyzed in December 2023. Receiving treatment for obesity, including bariatric surgery and nonoperative treatments. The main outcome was obesity-related cancer, defined as a composite outcome of breast, endometrial, esophageal, colorectal, and kidney cancer, identified from the national cancer registries. The secondary outcome was cardiovascular disease, defined as a composite outcome of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and cerebral hemorrhage, identified from the patient registries. Multivariable Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs adjusted for diabetes, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, kidney disease, and frailty. In total, 15 300 patients (median [IQR] age, 63 [61-65] years; 10 152 female patients [66.4%]) were included, of which 2550 (16.7%) had bariatric surgery at age 60 or older and 12 750 (83.3%) had nonoperative treatment. During a median (IQR) of 5.8 (2.8-8.5) person-years of follow-up, 658 (4.3%) developed obesity-related cancer and 1436 (9.4%) developed cardiovascular disease. The risk of obesity-related cancer (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.64-1.03) and cardiovascular disease (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.74-1.01) were similar among who underwent surgery and those who did not. Gastric bypass (1930 patients) was associated with a decreased risk of obesity-related cancer (71 patients [3.7%]; HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.97) and cardiovascular disease (159 patients [8.2%]; HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99) compared with matched controls (9650 patients; obesity-related cancer: 442 patients [4.6%]; cardiovascular disease: 859 patients [8.9%]). This cohort study found that bariatric surgery in older patients is not associated with lower rates of obesity-related cancer and cardiovascular events, but there was evidence that gastric bypass may be associated with lower risk of both outcomes.

Lower extremity function and cardiovascular disease risk in hemodialysis patients: A multicenter cross-sectional study.

Physical performance in hemodialysis patients declines and serves as a cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality predictor. However, lower extremity function's role remains unclear. This study aimed to quantify the association between lower extremity function and CVD risk in hemodialysis patients. This was a multicenter cross-sectional study enrolling 868 participants (532 males, 336 females) from seven hemodialysis centers in Shanghai, China. Patients were divided into three groups per lower extremity function, evaluated by short physical performance battery (SPPB) scores: 0-6, 7-9, and 10-12. Upper extremity function was quantified through grip strength assessment. CVD risk was assessed using the Framingham Risk Score. Approximately 35% of hemodialysis patients had impaired lower extremity function (SPPB score < 10). Participants with high SPPB scores had stronger handgrip and lower Framingham CVD risk scores than those with low and moderate SPPB scores (p < 0.05). After adjusting clinical confounders, SPPB was independently associated with CVD risk, as a categorized variable (odds ratio: 0.577, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.388-0.857, p = 0.006) and as a continuous variable (odds ratio: 0.858, 95% CI: 0.772-0.953, p = 0.004). An SPPB score < 10 predicted an increased CVD risk (area under curve: 0.649, 95% CI: 0.599-0.699, p < 0.001). Causality between physical performance and CVD risk was not considered. Some upper limb results may not be generalizable to peritoneal dialysis and kidney transplant patients. Lower extremity function was significantly associated with CVD risk in hemodialysis patients. Further studies are needed to explore the long-term relationship between lower extremity function and CVD risk.

Homocysteine, blood pressure and gene–diet interactions in relation to vascular function measures of black South Africans

Background and AimsWe investigated circulating homocysteine (Hcy), a cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor, examining its dietary associations to provide personalized nutrition advice. This study addressed the inadequacy of current dietary interventions to ultimately address the disproportionately high incidence of CVD in Black populations. Methods and Results: Cross-sectional analyses of 1,867 Black individuals of the PURE-SA study allowed the identification of dietary intake and cardiovascular measure interactions on three sub-categories: (1) normal blood pressure (BP), hypertension or Hcy-related hypertension (H-type), (2) low, normal or high Hcy concentrations, and (3) Hcy-related genetic combinations. Favorable body composition, but adverse dietary intake and cardiovascular determinants, were observed in higher Hcy categories. H-types, compared to regular hypertensives, had higher alcohol and lower macronutrient and micronutrient consumption. Inverse associations with carotid-radial pulse wave velocity were evident between monounsaturated fatty acid (FA) consumption and H-type hypertension as well as polyunsaturated FA and CBS883/ins68 TT carriers. Energy intake was positively associated with vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) in variant CBST883C/ins68 and CBS9276 GG carriers. VCAM-1 was also positively associated with plant protein intake in CBS9276 GG and MTR2756 AA carriers and negatively with total protein intake and CBS9276 GG carriers. Alcohol intake was positively associated with intercellular adhesion molecule-1 in MTR2756 minor allele carriers. Conclusion: Because Hcy gene-diet interactions are evident, personalized nutrition, by adjusting diets based on genetic profiles (e.g., CBS and MTR variations) and dietary interactions (e.g., FAs and proteins), can enhance cardiovascular outcomes by managing Hcy and related hypertension in genetically susceptible individuals.

Soluble ST2: A Novel Biomarker for Diagnosis and Prognosis of Cardiovascular Disease.

The increasing incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a significant global health concern, affecting millions of individuals each year. Accurate diagnosis of acute CVD poses a formidable challenge, as misdiagnosis can significantly decrease patient survival rates. Traditional biomarkers have played a vital role in the diagnosis and prognosis of CVDs, but they can be influenced by various factors, such as age, sex, and renal function. Soluble ST2 (sST2) is a novel biomarker that is closely associated with different CVDs. Its low reference change value makes it suitable for continuous measurement, unaffected by age, kidney function, and other confounding factors, facilitating risk stratification of CVDs. Furthermore, the combination of sST2 with other biomarkers can enhance diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of sST2, focusing on its diagnostic and prognostic value as a myocardial marker for different types of CVDs and discussing the current limitations of sST2.

Mortality, Cardiovascular Disease, and Their Associations With Risk Factors in Southeast Asia: A PURE Substudy

BackgroundThe drivers of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality may differ around the world. Regional-level prospective data can help guide policies to reduce CVD and all-cause mortality. ObjectivesThis study examined the incidence of CVD and mortality in Malaysia and the Philippines and estimated the population-level risks attributable to common risk factors for each outcome. MethodsThis prospective cohort study included 20,272 participants from Malaysia and the Philippines. The mean follow-up was 8.2 years. The incidences of CVD and mortality rates were calculated for the overall cohort and in key subgroups. For each outcome, population-attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated to compare risks associated with 12 modifiable risk factors. ResultsThe mean age of the cohort was 51.8 years (59% women). Leading causes of mortality were CVD (37.9%) and cancer (12.4%). The incidence of CVD (per 1,000 person-years) was higher in the Philippines (11.0) than Malaysia (8.3), and CVD contributed to a higher proportion of deaths in the Philippines (58% vs 36%). By contrast, all-cause mortality rates were higher in Malaysia (14.1) than in the Philippines (10.9). Approximately 78% of the PAF for CVD and 68% of the PAF for all-cause mortality were attributable to 12 modifiable risk factors. For CVD, the largest PAF was from hypertension (24.2%), whereas for all-cause mortality, the largest PAF was from low education (18.4%). ConclusionsCVD and cancer account for one-half of adult mortality in Malaysia and the Philippines. Hypertension was the largest population driver of CVD, whereas low education was associated with the largest burden of overall mortality.

Increased cardiovascular disease risk among adolescents and young adults with gastric cancer.

Previous studies have investigated cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks in cancer patients, but there is limited knowledge concerning the CVD risk in adult and young adolescent (AYA) survivors of gastric cancer. This study aims to investigate the incidence of CVD in AYA gastric cancer survivors, analyzing it by treatment type and identifying associated risk factors. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using Korean National Health Insurance Service data collected from 2006 to 2019. Propensity score matching (1:3, caliper < 0.1) was performed using the variables age, sex, income, residential area, and presence of comorbidities, and we classified participants into gastric cancer (n = 6562) and non-cancer control (n = 19,678) groups. Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD incidence. The study assessed CVD incidence by cancer treatment and identified risk factors through multivariable Cox regression. During a median 6.5-year follow-up, AYA gastric cancer survivors consistently exhibited greater CVD incidence. Their risk of CVD was significantly elevated compared to that of controls (HR, 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.33). In particular, deep vein thrombosis (HR, 3.93; 95% CI 3.06-14.67) and pulmonary embolism (HR, 6.58; 95% CI 3.06-14.67) risks were notably increased. Chemotherapy was associated with an increased risk of stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, deep vein thrombosis, and pulmonary embolism. Hypertension (HR, 1.58; 95% CI 1.10-2.26) and dyslipidemia (HR, 1.46; 95% CI 1.06-2.20) emerged as risk factors for CVD development. This study reports elevated risks of CVD in AYA gastric cancer survivors and emphasizes the need for vigilant monitoring of CVD in this population.

A prospective cohort study on the effect of lipid accumulation product index on the incidence of cardiovascular diseases

BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) is a chronic disease with a serious prognosis, and obesity is a risk factor for CVD. Lipid accumulation product index (LAP) is a new indicator of obesity, waist circumference, and triglycerides were included in the formula, but its association with CVD is inconsistent. Therefore, this study researched the effect of LAP levels on CVD.MethodsThis prospective cohort study was based on the Kailuan cohort. A total of 95,981 participants who completed the first physical examination in 2006 and had no history of CVD or LAP absence were included. The participants were divided into four groups according to the LAP quartile (Q1 - Q4). Up until December 31, 2022, incidence density was calculated for each group. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of CVD in each group were calculated by the Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 15.95 years, 9925 incident CVD events occurred (2123 myocardial infarction and 8096 stroke). There were differences in potential confounders among the four groups (P < 0.001). The incidence density and 95% CI of CVD in Q1-Q4 groups were 4.76(4.54, 5.00), 6 0.50(6.24, 6.77), 8.13(7.84, 8.44) and 9.34(9.02, 9.67), respectively. There were significant differences in the survival curves among the four groups by log-rank test (P < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, Cox proportional hazards model results showed that compared with the Q1 group, the HR and 95% CI of CVD in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups were1.15(1.08, 1.23), 1.29(1.21, 1.38) and 1.39(1.30, 1.49), respectively. The HR and 95%CI of myocardial infarction were 1.28(1.10, 1.49), 1.71(1.47, 1.98) and 1.92(1.64, 2.23), respectively. The HR and 95%CI of stroke were 1.11 (1.03, 1.19), 1.20 (1.12, 1.29) and 1.28 (1.19, 1.38), respectively. After subgroup analysis by gender, there was no significant interaction (P = 0.169), and the relationship between LAP and CVD in different genders was consistent with the main results. After subgroup analysis by age, there was a significant interaction (P = 0.007), and the association between LAP and CVD in different age groups was consistent with the main results. After subgroup analysis by BMI, there was no significant interaction (P = 0.506), and the association between LAP and CVD in different BMI groups was consistent with the main results. The results remained robust after sensitivity analyses. For each unit increase in ln(LAP), the HR and 95%CI of CVD were 4.07 (3.92, 4.23).ConclusionThis study demonstrated that the risk of CVD increased with the increase of LAP level. The risk of CVD in group Q2 - Q4 was 1.15, 1.29, and 1.39 times higher than that in group Q1, respectively.Clinical trial registration numberChiCTR2000029767

Projection for dementia burden in China to 2050: a macro-simulation study by scenarios of dementia incidence trends

It is unclear how temporal trends in dementia incidence, alongside fast-changing demography, will influence China's future dementia burden. We developed a Markov model that combines population trends in dementia, mortality, and dementia-related comorbidities, to forecast and decompose the burden of dementia in China to2050. Population-based Chinese ageing cohorts provided input data for a 10-health-state Markov macrosimulation model, IMPACT-China Ageing Model (CAM), to predict sex- and age-specific dementia prevalence among people aged 50+ by year to 2050. We assumed three potential future scenarios representing the range of likely dementia incidence trends: upward (+2.9%), flat (0%) or downward (-1.0%). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine uncertainty associated with trends in mortality rates and CVD incidence. The projected dementia burden was decomposed into population growth, population ageing, and changing dementia prevalence corresponding to the three incidence trend scenarios. Under the upward trend scenario, the estimated number of people living with dementia is projected to rise to 66.3 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 64.7-68.0 million), accounting for 10.4% of the Chinese population aged 50+ by 2050. This large burden will be lower, 43.9 (95% UI 42.9-45.0) million and 37.5 (95% UI 36.5-38.4) million, if dementia incidence remains constant or decreases. Robustness of the projection is confirmed by sensitivity analyses. Decomposition of the change in projected dementia cases indicates dominate effects of increasing dementia prevalence and population ageing, and a relatively minor contribution from negative population growth. Our findings highlight an impending surge in dementia cases in China in the forthcoming decades if the upward trend in dementia incidence continues. Public health interventions geared towards dementia prevention could play a pivotal role in alleviating this burgeoning disease issue. National Science Foundation of China/UK Economic and Social Research Council.

Cardiovascular disease among bariatric surgery candidates: coronary artery screening and the impact of metabolic syndrome

BackgroundObesity is known as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, there is an absence of preoperative cardiac risk assessment in bariatric surgery candidates and the incidence of CVD among these high-risk patients is still unknown.MethodsA consecutive series of bariatric surgery candidates at two Chinese tertiary hospitals received coronary CT angiography or coronary angiography from 2017 to 2023. Patients were categorized as metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) and metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) based on the presence or absence of MetS. CVD was diagnosed based on the maximum intraluminal stenosis > 1% in any of the segments of the major epicardial coronary arteries. Obstructive CVD was defined as coronary stenosis ≥ 50%. Binary multivariable logistic regression was performed to analyze the association between CVD and metabolic status. The number of principal MetS components was categorized into zero (without glycemic, lipid, and BP components), one (with one of the components), two (with any two components), and three (with all components) to explore their association with CVD.ResultsA total of 1446 patients were included in the study. The incidence of CVD and obstructive CVD were 31.7% and 9.6%. Compared with MHO patients, MUO patients had a significantly higher incidence of mild (13.7% vs. 6.1%, P < 0.05), moderate (7.4% vs. 0.8%, P < 0.05), and severe CVD (3.1% vs. 0%, P < 0.05). Following complete adjustment, compared with zero or one component, two principal MetS components was found to be associated with a notable increase in the risk of CVD (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.18–3.58, P < 0.05); three principal MetS components were observed to have a higher risk of CVD and obstructive CVD (OR 2.68, 95% CI 1.56–4.62, P < 0.001; OR 3.93, 95% CI 1.19–12.93, P < 0.05). Each increase in the number of principal MetS components correlated with a 1.47-fold (95% CI 1.20–1.81, P < 0.001) and 1.78-fold (95% CI 1.24–2.55, P < 0.05) higher risk of CVD and obstructive CVD, respectively.ConclusionThis study reported the incidence of CVD based on multicenter bariatric surgery cohorts. CVD is highly prevalent in patients with obesity, especially in MUO patients. Increased number of principal MetS components will significantly elevate the risk of CVD.

Short- and long-term impact of aspirin cessation in older adults: a target trial emulation

BackgroundThe net benefit of aspirin cessation in older adults remains uncertain. This study aimed to use observational data to emulate a randomized trial of aspirin cessation versus continuation in older adults without cardiovascular disease (CVD).MethodsPost hoc analysis using a target trial emulation framework applied to the immediate post-trial period (2017–2021) of a study of low-dose aspirin initiation in adults aged ≥ 70 years (ASPREE; NCT01038583). Participants from Australia and the USA were included if they were free of CVD at the start of the post-trial intervention period (time zero, T0) and had been taking open-label or randomized aspirin immediately before T0. The two groups in the target trial were as follows: aspirin cessation (participants who were taking randomized aspirin immediately before T0; assumed to have stopped at T0 as instructed) versus aspirin continuation (participants on open-label aspirin at T0 regardless of their randomized treatment; assumed to have continued at T0). The outcomes after T0 were incident CVD, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause mortality, and major bleeding during 3, 6, and 12 months (short-term) and 48 months (long-term) follow-up. Hazard ratios (HRs) comparing aspirin cessation to continuation were estimated from propensity-score (PS) adjusted Cox proportional-hazards regression models.ResultsWe included 6103 CVD-free participants (cessation: 5427, continuation: 676). Over both short- and long-term follow-up, aspirin cessation versus continuation was not associated with elevated risk of CVD, MACE, and all-cause mortality (HRs, at 3 and 48 months respectively, were 1.23 and 0.73 for CVD, 1.11 and 0.84 for MACE, and 0.23 and 0.79 for all-cause mortality, p > 0.05), but cessation had a reduced risk of incident major bleeding events (HRs at 3 and 48 months, 0.16 and 0.63, p < 0.05). Similar findings were seen for all outcomes at 6 and 12 months, except for a lowered risk of all-cause mortality in the cessation group at 12 months.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that deprescribing prophylactic aspirin might be safe in healthy older adults with no known CVD.

Disproportionately higher cardiovascular disease risk and incidence with high fructose corn syrup sweetened beverage intake among black young adults–the CARDIA study

BackgroundThe black/white heart disease mortality disparity began increasing in the early 1980’s, coincident with the switch from sucrose to high-fructose-corn-syrup/(HFCS) in the US food supply. There has been more fructose in HFCS than generally-recognized-as-safe/GRAS, which has contributed to unprecedented excess-free-fructose/(unpaired-fructose) in foods/beverages. Average- per-capita excess-free-fructose, from HFCS, began exceeding dosages/(5-10 g) that trigger fructose-malabsorption in the early 1980’s. Fructose malabsorption contributes to gut-dysbiosis and gut-in-situ-fructosylation of dietary peptides/incretins/(GLP-1/GIP) which forms atherosclerotic advanced-glycation-end-products. Both dysregulate gut endocrine function and are risk factors for cardiovascular disease/(CVD). Limited research shows that African Americans have higher fructose malabsorption prevalence than others. CVD risk begins early in life.MethodsCoronary-Artery-Risk-Development-in-Adults/(CARDIA) study data beginning in 1985–86 with 2186 Black and 2277 White participants, aged 18–30 y, were used to test the hypothesis that HFCS sweetened beverage intake increases CVD risk/incidence, more among Black than White young adults, and at lower intakes; while orange juice-a low excess-free-fructose juice with comparable total sugars and total fructose, but a 1:1 fructose-to-glucose-ratio, i.e., low excess-free-fructose, does not. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios.ResultsHFCS sweetened beverage intake was associated with higher CVD risk (HR = 1.7) than smoking (HR = 1.6). CVD risk was higher at lower HFCS sweetened beverage intake among Black than White participants. Intake, as low as 3 times/wk, was associated with twice the CVD risk vs. less frequent/never, among Black participants only (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2–3.7; P = 0.013). Probability of an ordered relationship approached significance. Among Black participants, CVD incidence jumped 62% from 59.8/1000, among ≤ 2-times/wk, to 96.9/1000 among 3–6 times/wk consumers. Among White participants, CVD incidence increased from 37.6/1000, among ≤ 1.5-times/wk, to 41.1/1000, among 2 times/wk–once/d – a 9% increase. Hypertension was highest among Black daily HFCS sweetened beverage consumers.ConclusionThe ubiquitous presence of HFCS over-the-past-40 years, at higher fructose-to-glucose ratios than generally-recognized-as-safe, may have contributed to CVD racial disparities, due to higher fructose-malabsorption prevalence among Black individuals, unpaired/excess-free-fructose induced gut dysbiosis and gut fructosylation of dietary peptides/incretins (GLP-1/GIP). These disturbances contribute to atherosclerotic plaque; promote incretin insufficiency/dysregulation/altered satiety/dysglycemia; decrease protective microbiota metabolites; and increase hypertension, CVD morbidity and mortality.

Sleep duration irregularity and risk for incident cardiovascular disease in the UK Biobank.

Emerging evidence supports a link between circadian disruption as measured by higher night-to-night variation in sleep duration and increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). It remains unclear whether this association varies by CVD types or may be modified by average sleep duration and genetic risk for CVD. Our prospective analysis included 86,219 UK Biobank participants who were free from CVD when completing 7 days of accelerometer measurement in 2013-2016. Sleep irregularity was evaluated by the standard deviation (SD) of accelerometer-measured sleep duration over 7 days. Incident major CVD events, defined as fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke, were identified through linkage to Hospital Episode Statistics data until May 31, 2022. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for associations of sleep duration SD with risk for major CVD events overall and for MI and stroke separately. We documented 2,310 incident cases of major CVD events (MI: 1,183, stroke: 1,175) over 636,258 person-years of follow-up. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors and family history of CVD, the HR (95% CI) associated with a 1-hour increase in sleep duration SD was 1.19 (1.10, 1.27) for CVD (p-trend<0.0001), 1.23 (1.11, 1.35) for MI (p-trend<0.0001), and 1.17 (1.05, 1.29) for stroke (p-trend=0.003). Additional adjustment for lifestyle factors, co-morbidities and sleep-related factors modestly attenuated these associations. Higher sleep irregularity was associated with higher CVD risk irrespective of genetic risk (p-interaction=0.43), but this association was stronger among individuals with longer average sleep duration >8 hours (p-interaction=0.006). Higher night-to-night variation in accelerometer-measured sleep duration was associated with consistently higher risks for major CVD events. The association did not seem to be modified by genetic risk for CVD and was more pronounced in long sleepers.

All-cause mortality and incidence of cardiovascular diseases in lean patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.

A few studies evaluated all-cause mortality or risk of cardiovascular diseases according to the body mass index (BMI) level in patients with type 2 diabetes. We evaluated all-cause mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular diseases in lean patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in Korea. Additionally, we aimed to determine a difference in all-cause mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular diseases according to changes in BMI over time among patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in Korea. We analyzed 419,509 patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes who underwent health screening between 2010 and 2014 and followed up until 2019. We conducted a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to determine the association between BMI and all-cause mortality or risk of cardiovascular diseases. Lean patients with type 2 diabetes had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.106, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.974-2.248), cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.132, 95% CI: 1.078, 1.189), coronary heart disease (HR: 1.219, 95% CI: 1.124-1.323), heart failure (HR: 1.405, 95% CI: 1.279-1.543), stroke (HR: 1.155, 95% CI: 1.024-1.302), and ischemic stroke (HR: 1.205, 95% CI: 1.045-1.388) compared to patients with type 2 diabetes and normal BMI. Patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes had the highest all-cause mortality when they remained lean during the follow-up. Our findings underscore the critical role of maintaining an appropriate weight status to reduce all-cause mortality and incidence of cardiovascular diseases among lean patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.