Inception Cohort Research Articles

Faecal volatile organic compounds differ according to inflammatory bowel disease sub-type, severity, and response to treatment in paediatric patients.

Faecal volatile organic compounds (VOCs) differ with disease sub-type and activity in adults with established inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) taking therapy. To describe patterns of faecal VOCs in children newly presented with IBD according to disease sub-type, severity, and response to treatment. Children presenting with suspected IBD were recruited from three UK hospitals. Children in whom IBD was diagnosed were matched with a non-IBD child for age, sex, and recruitment site. Faecal VOCs were characterised by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry at presentation and 3months later in children with IBD. In 132 case/control pairs, median (inter-quartile range) age in IBD was 13.3years (10.2-14.7) and 38.6% were female. Compared with controls, the mean abundance of 27/62 (43.6%) faecal VOCs was statistically significantly decreased in Crohn's disease (CD), ulcerative colitis (UC) or both especially amongst ketones/diketones, fatty acids, and alcohols (p<0.05). Short-chain, medium chain, and branched chain fatty acids were markedly reduced in severe colitis (p<0.05). Despite clinical improvement in many children with IBD, the number and abundance of almost all VOCs did not increase following treatment, suggesting persistent dysbiosis. Oct-1-en-3-ol was increased in CD (p=0.001) and UC (p=0.012) compared with controls and decreased following treatment in UC (p=0.01). In CD, propan-1-ol was significantly greater than controls (p<0.001) and extensive colitis (p=0.001) and fell with treatment (p=0.05). Phenol was significantly greater in CD (p<0.001) and fell with treatment in both CD (p=0.02) and UC (p=0.01). Characterisation of faecal VOCs in an inception cohort of children with IBD reveals patterns associated with diagnosis, disease activity, and extent. Further work should investigate the relationship between VOCs and the microbiome in IBD and their role in diagnosis and disease monitoring.

British Axial Spondyloarthritis Inception Cohort (BAxSIC): a protocol for a multicentre real-world observational cohort study of early axial spondyloarthritis.

Timely diagnosis remains a challenge in axial SpA (axSpA). In addition, data are scarce on the impact of diagnostic delay and disease progression in affected individuals. The British Axial Spondyloarthritis Inception Cohort (BAxSIC) study aims to investigate the impact of newly diagnosed axSpA, the natural history of the disease and the effect of diagnostic delay on disease outcomes. BAxSIC is a prospective, multicentre, observational study. Eligible participants are adults (≥16 years of age), with a physician-confirmed diagnosis of axSpA in the 6 months prior to study entry, recruited from secondary and tertiary rheumatology centres in the UK. Participants will be followed up for 3 years, with in-person visits at baseline and 24 months. In addition, patient self-reported assessments will be recorded remotely via the online electronic case report form (eCRF) at 6, 12, 18, 30 and 36 months. The first patient was enrolled in BAxSIC in June 2023. Recruitment is currently ongoing and is planned to end in June 2026. Initial results will be available in 2027. Since opening, the trial has undergone two protocol amendments. The BAxSIC study is the first inception cohort designed to investigate the impact of diagnostic delay on clinical presentation and long-term functional outcomes in patients with axSpA in the UK. With an innovative, patient-led virtual longitudinal data collection model, data generated from this study will help inform and improve the care of people newly diagnosed with axSpA. ClinicalTrials.gov (http://clinicaltrials.gov), NCT05676775.

Comparative effectiveness of antihypertensive monotherapies in primary prevention of cardiovascular events-a real-world longitudinal inception cohort study.

Antihypertensive drugs are used preventatively to lower the risk of cardiovascular disease events. Comparative effectiveness studies on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs), angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs), beta-blockers (BBs), calcium channel blockers (CCBs), and thiazides have yielded inconsistent results and given little consideration to patient adherence. Using a longitudinal cohort and considering time-varying adherence and confounding factors, we aimed to estimate the real-world effectiveness of five major antihypertensive drug monotherapies in the primary prevention of cardiovascular events. Eligible patients for a retrospective inception cohort study were selected using information obtained from the University of Groningen IADB.nl pharmacy prescription database. Cohort 1 comprised adherent patients with a follow-up time exceeding 1year, and cohort 2 comprised all patients independent of adherence. The exposures were ACEIs, ARBs, BBs, CCBs, and thiazides. The primary outcome was the time to the first prescription for an acute cardiac drug therapy (CDT) measured using valid drug proxies to identify the first major cardiovascular event. A per-protocol analytical approach was adopted with inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW), time-varying Cox regression analysis to obtain the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). In cohort 1 (n = 22,441), 1,294 patients (5.8%) were prescribed an acute CDT with an average follow-up time of 4.2 ± 2.8years. Following IPTW, the hazard measures of ARBs and thiazides were lower than those of BBs (HRs: 0.79 and 0.80, respectively; 95% CIs: 0.64-0.97 and 0.69-0.94, respectively). Among drug-treated diabetic patients, the hazard measures were even lower, with HR point estimates of 0.43 (CI: 0.19-0.98) for ARBs and 0.32 (CI: 0.13-0.82) for thiazides. In cohort 2 (n = 33,427) and sensitivity analysis, the comparative effectiveness results for thiazides and BBs were similar to those for cohort 1. The findings of this real-world analysis suggest that the incidence of CDT associated with long-term thiazide or ARB monotherapy is lower than the incidence of CDT with BBs, notably among high-risk patients. Incidences of CDT associated with ACEIs and CCBs were comparable relative to those associated with BBs.

Clinical course of ulcerative colitis: Frequent use of biologics and low colectomy rate first year after diagnosis-results from the IBSEN III inception cohort.

The introduction of biologic therapies and the 'treat-to-target' treatment strategy may have changed the disease course of ulcerative colitis (UC). To describe the early disease course and disease outcome at 1-year follow-up in a population-based inception cohort of adult patients with newly diagnosed UC. The Inflammatory Bowel Disease in South-Eastern Norway (IBSEN) III study is a population-based inception cohort study with prospective follow-up. Patients newly diagnosed with inflammatory bowel disease during 2017-2019 were included. Patients ≥18 years at diagnosis of UC who attended the 1-year follow-up were investigated. We registered clinical, endoscopic and demographic data at diagnosis and 1-year follow-up. We included 877 patients with UC (median age 36 years (range: 18-84), 45.8% female). At diagnosis, 39.2% presented with proctitis, 24.7% left-sided colitis and 36.0% extensive colitis. At the 1-year follow-up, 13.9% experienced disease progression, and 14.5% had received one or more biologic therapies. The colectomy rate was 0.9%. Steroid-free clinical remission was observed in 76.6%, and steroid-free endoscopic remission in 68.7%. Anaemia and initiation of systemic steroid treatment at diagnosis were associated with biologic therapy within the first year after diagnosis. In this population-based inception cohort, colectomy rate in the first year after diagnosis was low, and a high proportion of patients were in remission at 1-year follow-up. The use of biologic therapy increases, consistent with findings from previous studies.

Fluid administration and fluid accumulation in intensive care units-Protocol for an international inception cohort study (FLUID-ICU).

Fluid accumulation is associated with adverse outcomes in critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Fluid administration in the ICU may be a clinically relevant source of fluid accumulation in ICU patients. However, the extent is unknown, and no standard definition exists. We aim to provide epidemiological data on fluid accumulation, risk factors, use of fluid removal strategies, patient outcomes and describe current fluid administration practices in the ICU. We will conduct an international 14-day inception cohort study including a minimum of 1000 acutely admitted adult ICU patients. Data will be collected from medical records and laboratory reports at baseline and daily from ICU admission to discharge with a maximum of 28 days. Follow-up will be performed on day 90 after inclusion. The primary outcome is the number of patients with fluid accumulation. Secondary outcomes include the number of days with fluid accumulation, use of active fluid removal, days alive without life support at day 28, days alive and out of hospital day 90, and all-cause mortality at day 90. Furthermore, we will assess risk factors for fluid accumulation and its association with 90-day mortality and report on the types of fluid administration. This international inception cohort study will provide contemporary epidemiological data on fluid administration and fluid accumulation in adult ICU patients.

Identification and validation of a blood- based diagnostic lipidomic signature of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease

Improved biomarkers are needed for pediatric inflammatory bowel disease. Here we identify a diagnostic lipidomic signature for pediatric inflammatory bowel disease by analyzing blood samples from a discovery cohort of incident treatment-naïve pediatric patients and validating findings in an independent inception cohort. The lipidomic signature comprising of only lactosyl ceramide (d18:1/16:0) and phosphatidylcholine (18:0p/22:6) improves the diagnostic prediction compared with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Adding high-sensitivity C-reactive protein to the signature does not improve its performance. In patients providing a stool sample, the diagnostic performance of the lipidomic signature and fecal calprotectin, a marker of gastrointestinal inflammation, does not substantially differ. Upon investigation in a third pediatric cohort, the findings of increased lactosyl ceramide (d18:1/16:0) and decreased phosphatidylcholine (18:0p/22:6) absolute concentrations are confirmed. Translation of the lipidomic signature into a scalable diagnostic blood test for pediatric inflammatory bowel disease has the potential to support clinical decision making.

The course of acute low back pain: a community-based inception cohort study.

Acute low back pain (LBP) is increasingly recognized for its potential recurrent nature and long-term implications. This community-based inception cohort study aimed to delineate trajectories of acute LBP over one year and investigate associated biopsychosocial variables. One hundred seventy-six participants with acute LBP were monitored at 5 follow-up time points over 52 weeks. Pain trajectories were identified using a latent class linear mixed model, and their associations with baseline biopsychosocial factors were evaluated through multinomial logistic regression. Four distinct LBP trajectories were discerned: "mild/moderate fluctuating pain" (54.0%), "delayed recovery by week 52" (6.2%), "persistent moderate pain" (33.0%), and "moderate/severe fluctuating pain" (6.8%). Increased baseline pain intensity and history of LBP episodes were significantly linked with less favorable trajectories. Contrary to expectations, psychological variables like stress, anxiety, and depression did not significantly associate with unfavorable trajectories. This study underscores the heterogeneity of acute LBP's course over a year, challenging the conventionally benign perception of the condition. Recognizing these distinct trajectories might enable more tailored, effective clinical interventions for LBP patients. The small sample size of certain trajectories may influence the generalizability of the results. Acute LBP can manifest in different trajectories, with nearly half of the participants experiencing less favorable trajectories. Baseline pain intensity and previous episodes of LBP emerged as key factors, whereas psychological variables had no discernible influence. Recognition of these trajectories may be necessary for improved patient management and targeted interventions.

Risk factors for prevalent and incident hypertension in rheumatoid arthritis: data from the Canadian Early Arthritis Cohort.

Hypertension (HTN) is a common comorbidity in RA. This study aimed to explore the prevalence and incidence of HTN and baseline factors associated with incident HTN in early RA (ERA). Data were from the Canadian Early Arthritis Cohort (CATCH), an inception cohort of ERA patients having <1 year of disease duration. HTN was determined by patient- or physician-reported diagnosis, the use of anti-hypertensives and/or blood pressure. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine baseline factors associated with prevalent and incident HTN in this population. The study sample included 2052 ERA patients [mean age 55 years (s.d. 14), 71% female). The prevalence of HTN at study enrolment was 26% (23% in females and 34% in males). In both sexes, prevalent HTN was associated with older age, diabetes and hyperlipidaemia. HTN was associated with being overweight or high alcohol consumption in females. Of the RA patients who did not have HTN at enrolment, 24% (364/1518) developed HTN during the median follow-up period of 5 years (range 1-8). Baseline factors significantly associated with incident HTN were older age, being overweight, excess alcohol consumption and having hyperlipidaemia. Incident HTN was associated with high alcohol consumption in males and with hyperlipidaemia in females. RA-associated disease factors and treatments were not significantly associated with prevalent or incident HTN. Early RA patients had a high incidence of hypertension with the highest risk in older patients with traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

Three- and five-year outcomes of an inception cohort of Australian children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

To describe the 3- and 5-year outcomes of an inception cohort of Australian children with JIA for whom 1-year outcomes have previously been published. Data regarding clinical outcomes of the original cohort of 134 patients at 3 and 5 years were sought. Relevant clinical features and medication exposures entered prospectively into an electronic record were collected and analyzed using descriptive statistics. Data were available for 110 and 98 patients at 3 and 5 years, respectively. The proportion of patients with active joints progressively decreased from 34% at 12 months to 21% at 3 years and 16% at 5 years. Cumulative exposure to methotrexate increased between 3 and 5 years (75%-80%), however, point prevalence use decreased (45%-41%). Cumulative exposure and point prevalence use of bDMARDS both increased between 3 and 5 years; 30%-42% and 29%-33%, respectively. Thirty-five percent of patients had inactive joint disease off medications at 5 years, which occurred most frequently in patients with sJIA and oligoarthritis. Five-year outcomes of Australian children with JIA are good, with only a small minority having ongoing active joint disease at 5 years. bDMARDS play an increasing role in management over time; however, methotrexate use remains significant. A majority of children remain on medications at 5 years.

Development of a diagnostic prediction model for giant cell arteritis by sequential application of Southend Giant Cell Arteritis Probability Score and ultrasonography: a prospective multicentre study

Giant cell arteritis is a critically ischaemic disease with protean manifestations that require urgent diagnosis and treatment. European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) recommendations advocate ultrasonography as the first investigation for suspected giant cell arteritis. We developed a prediction tool that sequentially combines clinical assessment, as determined by the Southend Giant Cell Arteritis Probability Score (SGCAPS), with results of quantitative ultrasonography. This prospective, multicentre, inception cohort study included consecutive patients with suspected new onset giant cell arteritis referred to fast-track clinics (seven centres in Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and UK). Final clinical diagnosis was established at 6 months. SGCAPS and quantitative ultrasonography of temporal and axillary arteries with three scores (ie, halo count, halo score, and OMERACT GCA Score [OGUS]) were performed at diagnosis. We developed prediction models for diagnosis of giant cell arteritis by multivariable logistic regression analysis with SGCAPS and each of the three ultrasonographic scores as predicting variables. We obtained intraclass correlation coefficient for inter-rater and intra-rater reliability in a separate patient-based reliability exercise with five patients and five observers. Between Oct 1, 2019, and June 30, 2022, we recruited and followed up 229 patients (150 [66%] women and 79 [34%] men; mean age 71 years [SD 10]), of whom 84 were diagnosed with giant cell arteritis and 145 with giant cell arteritis mimics (controls) at 6 months. SGCAPS and all three ultrasonographic scores discriminated well between patients with and without giant cell arteritis. A reliability exercise showed that the inter-rater and intra-rater reliability was high for all three ultrasonographic scores. The prediction model combining SGCAPS with the halo count, which was termed HAS-GCA score, was the most accurate model, with an optimism-adjusted C statistic of 0·969 (95% CI 0·952 to 0·990). The HAS-GCA score could classify 169 (74%) of 229 patients into either the low or high probability groups, with misclassification observed in two (2%) of 105 patients in the low probability group and two (3%) of 64 of patients in the high probability group. A nomogram for easy application of the score in daily practice was created. A prediction tool for giant cell arteritis (the HAS-GCA score), combining SGCAPS and the halo count, reliably confirms and excludes giant cell arteritis from giant cell arteritis mimics in fast-track clinics. These findings require confirmation in an independent, multicentre study. Royal College of Physicians of Ireland, FOREUM.

Novel biomarker profiles to improve individual diagnosis and prognosis in patients with suspected inflammatory bowel disease: protocol for the Nordic inception cohort study (NORDTREAT)

IntroductionInflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, can be challenging to diagnose, and treatment outcomes are difficult to predict. In the NORDTREAT cohort study, a Nordic prospective...

Prospective Evaluation of the Prediction Score for a Mild Course of Crohn's Disease (PreMiCC) in Newly Diagnosed Patients With Crohn's Disease: The PROGNOS Study.

The course of Crohn's disease (CD) is highly variable. The Prospektive Evaluation eines Score zur Vorhersage eines milden Verlaufsbei neu diagnostizierten Morbus Crohn-Patienten in gastroenterologischen Fachpraxen (PROGNOS) study aimed to determine the frequency of a mild disease course and validate a proposed prediction score. The PROGNOS study is a prospective study of CD patients who were newly diagnosed and, except for 1 course of 5-aminosalicylic acid or steroids for ≤10 days, therapy-naïve. Among other predefined inclusion criteria, the initial diagnosis had to be made ≤6 weeks before enrollment. All inception cohort patients were diagnosed and screened consecutively in participating gastroenterology practices in Germany specialized in inflammatory bowel disease. All screened CD patients were scored and, if possible, included in the study for up to 5 years (NCT02193048). A total of 201 CD patients were included in the study (43.3% male; mean age 33 years, mean follow-up 38 months). Altogether, 29.5% of the patients had a mild course at 36 months. Among those with a score ≤2, therapy escalation at 36 months was necessary for only 24.2%, whereas in the group with a score >2, therapy escalation was necessary for 70.2% of patients. In the Kaplan-Meier curve showing time to therapy escalation in the 2 groups, there was a pronounced and statistically significant divergence of the curves starting at 3 months and extending to 48 months (P < .001). In this prospective study, about 30% of incident CD patients had a mild disease course. Our suggested PreMiCC (prediction score for a mild course of Crohn's disease) successfully predicted this.

Longitudinal study of patients with anti-SAE antibody positive dermatomyositis: a multicenter cohort study in China.

To describe the longitudinal study and long-term prognosis of multicentre large inception cohort of patients with anti-SAE positive DM. We retrospectively recruited patients with anti-SAE+DM in four tertiary referral centers from China between March 2005 and December 2022. Long-term survival analysis was performed in the enrolled patients. The Myositis Damage Index (MDI) and Cutaneous Disease Area and Severity Index (CDASI) were used to evaluate the degree of different organ damage and the extent of skin rashes. Longitudinal computed tomographic (CT) patterns were analyzed. Phenotypes were characterized using unsupervised cluster analysis. All-cause death occurred in 10.5% (4/38) of all patients, in which three patients succumbed to malignancies at 13, 18, and 36 months. Most patients had favorable long-term outcomes, 35.3% of them were in drug-free remission. Skin rashes showed significant improvement evaluated by CDASI with time. However, damage to different systems was observed in 70.6% of the surviving patients using the MDI, which mainly consisted in skin damage, accounting for 47.1%. Nine patients with anti-SAE+DM associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) underwent repeat CT showed marked radiological improvement at 6 months or being stable after 12 months. In further, different characteristics and outcomes were also showed in three clusters identified by unsupervised analysis. Anti-SAE+DM is characterized with lower mortality rate and the development of malignancies being the primary cause of death. Patients who survived showed notable cutaneous damage, while the ILD tends to stabilize. Clusters identified with unsupervised analysis could assist physicians in identifying higher risk of mortality.

Clinical Predictors and Outcomes of Invasive Anal Cancer for People With HIV in an Inception Cohort.

Due to the heterogeneity of risk for invasive anal cancer (IAC) among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH), we investigated predictors of IAC and described outcomes among those with a cancer diagnosis. Using a longitudinal inception cohort of anal cancer screening, we evaluated risk factors and outcome probabilities for incident IAC in Cox models. Screening included anal cytology and digital anorectal examination, and, if results of either were abnormal, high-resolution anoscopy. Between 30 November 2006 and 3 March 2021, a total of 8139 PWH received care at the University of California, San Diego, with 4105 individuals undergoing screening and subsequently followed up over a median of 5.5 years. Anal cancer developed in 33 of them. IAC was more likely to develop in patients with anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (aHSILs) on initial or subsequent follow-up cytology (hazard ratio, 4.54) and a nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL (2.99). The joint effect of aHSILs and nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL amplified the hazard of IAC by 9-fold compared with the absence of both. PWH with time-updated cytology aHSIL and CD4 cell counts ≤200/µL had 5- and 10-year probabilities of IAC of 3.40% and 4.27%, respectively. Twelve individuals with cancer died, 7 (21% of the total 33) due to cancer progression, and they had clinical stage IIIA or higher cancer at initial diagnosis. PWH with both aHSIL and a nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL have the highest risk of IAC. PWH who died due to IAC progression had clinical stage IIIA cancer or higher at diagnosis, highlighting the importance of early diagnosis through high-resolution anoscopic screening.

Disease evolution and organ damage accrual in patients with stable UCTD: a long-term monocentric inception cohort

ObjectivesUndifferentiated connective tissue diseases (UCTDs) are systemic autoimmune conditions that cannot be diagnosed nor classified as defined CTD; the majority maintains an undifferentiated profile (stable UCTD, sUCTD) over time. Data...

Anti-KIF20B autoantibodies are associated with cranial neuropathy in systemic lupus erythematosus

BackgroundCranial neuropathies (CN) are a rare neuropsychiatric SLE (NPSLE) manifestation. Previous studies reported that antibodies to the kinesin family member 20B (KIF20B) (anti-KIF20B) protein were associated with idiopathic ataxia and...

Excess Mortality in an Inception Cohort of Childhood Diabetes Diagnosed 1990–2010

Objective. Evaluate the mortality risk of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes compared to the general population. Research Design and Methods. The study population, identified from the Australasian Paediatric Endocrinology Group diabetes register, was diagnosed with type 1 diabetes at age &lt; 16 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, from 1990 to 2010. The register was linked to National Death Index registrations to ascertain timing and cause of death up to 31/12/2022. Risk factors for mortality were assessed using multivariable Cox regression models and observed mortality rate compared to “expected” rates in the Australian general population using indirect-standardized mortality ratios (SMR), overall and by sex and age at diagnosis. Diabetes-related cause of death categories were identified. Results. Of 5,417 children diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, 157 subsequently died, with all-cause mortality of 1.37/1,000 person years. Increased mortality risk was associated with living in most disadvantaged areas (aHR 1.81 (1.05, 3.11)) but not living in a rural area. Overall SMR was 2.83 (95% CI 2.40, 3.33) with females having higher SMR than males (4.18 vs. 2.19). Most common causes of death recorded were acute diabetes complications (26%), including diabetes ketoacidosis, accident/misadventure (21%), and chronic diabetes complications (15%). Alcohol and/or drug use contributed to 17% of deaths. Conclusion. Compared to the general population, higher risk of mortality in people with type 1 diabetes was associated with female sex and living in area of socioeconomic disadvantage. Education about minimizing risk-taking behaviors should be communicated to young adults with type 1 diabetes.

Impact of body composition on clinical outcomes in patients with active radiographic axial spondyloarthritis under biological therapy.

To assess the association of body composition, evaluated by bioimpedance analysis (BIA), with disease activity, physical function, and mobility in patients with axSpA undergoing bDMARD treatment for one year. Patients with AS (radiographic axSpA) were enrolled in an extension of the German Spondyloarthritis Inception Cohort (GESPIC). Patients were required to be candidates for bDMARD therapy at baseline presenting high disease activity despite previous treatment with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Outcomes (disease activity, function, and mobility) and body composition parameters were assessed at baseline and every 6 months thereafter. Body composition was assessed by BIA. The association between body composition parameters and outcomes over 1 year was analyzed using longitudinal generalized estimating equations. Seventy-four patients with radiographic axSpA were included in current analysis with a mean age of 36.5 years, disease duration of 6.2 years and ASDAS-CRP score of 3.4 at baseline. Fat mass value and fat mass index were positively associated with disease activity (ASDAS: ß = 0.01, 95% CI [-0.01, 0.03] and ß = 0.04, 95% CI [-0.01, 0.08], respectively) and functional disability (BASFI). Visceral adipose tissue (VAT) was associated with reduced spine mobility (BASMI: ß = 0.20, 95% CI [0.07, 0.33]). Additionally, increase in VAT and fat mass parameters was linked to worse disease activity and functional disability in women, while they were strongly associated with reduced spinal mobility in men. Higher levels of body fat and VAT were positively associated with increased disease activity, functional disability, and reduced spinal mobility in patients with radiographic axSpA treated with bDMARDs.

Comparison of Attainment and Protective Effects of Lupus Low Disease Activity State in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Versus Established Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

To assess whether Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) attainment is associated with favorable outcomes in patients with recent onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Data from a 13-country longitudinal SLE cohort were collected prospectively between 2013 and 2020. An inception cohort was defined based on disease duration < 1 year at enrollment. Patient characteristics between inception and noninception cohorts were compared. Survival analyses were performed to examine the association between LLDAS attainment and damage accrual and flare. Of the total 4106 patients, 680 (16.6%) were recruited within 1 year of SLE diagnosis (inception cohort). Compared to the noninception cohort, inception cohort patients were significantly younger, had higher disease activity, and used more glucocorticoids, but had less organ damage at enrollment. Significantly fewer inception cohort patients were in LLDAS at enrollment than the noninception cohort (29.6% vs 52.3%, P < 0.001), but three-quarters of both groups achieved LLDAS at least once during follow-up. Limiting analysis only to patients not in LLDAS at enrollment, inception cohort patients were 60% more likely to attain LLDAS (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% CI 1.16-1.61, P < 0.001) than noninception cohort patients and attained LLDAS significantly faster. LLDAS attainment was significantly protective against flare in both the inception and noninception cohorts. A total of 88 (13.6%) inception cohort patients accrued organ damage during a median 2.2 years of follow-up. LLDAS attainment is protective from flare in recent onset SLE. Significant protection from damage accrual was not observed because of low rates of damage accrual in the first years after SLE diagnosis. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03138941).

Overlap of International League of Associations for Rheumatology and Preliminary Pediatric Rheumatology International Trials Organization Classification Criteria for Nonsystemic Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis in an Established UK Multicentre Inception Cohort.

The goal was to assess the degree of overlap between existing International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR) and preliminary Paediatric Rheumatology International Trials Organisation (PRINTO) classification criteria for juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Participants from the Childhood Arthritis Prospective Study, a multicenter UK JIA inception cohort, were classified using the PRINTO and ILAR classification criteria into distinct categories. Systemic JIA was excluded because several classification items were not collected in this cohort. Adaptations to PRINTO criteria were required to apply to a UK health care setting, including limiting the number of blood biomarker tests required. The overlap between categories under the two systems was determined, and any differences in characteristics between groups were described. A total of 1,223 children and young people with a physician's diagnosis of JIA were included. Using PRINTO criteria, the majority of the patients had "other JIA" (69.5%). There was a high degree of overlap (91%) between the PRINTO enthesitis/spondylitis- and ILAR enthesitis-related JIA categories. The PRINTO rheumatoid factor (RF)-positive category was composed of 48% ILAR RF-positive polyarthritis and 52% undifferentiated JIA. The early-onset antinuclear antibodies-positive PRINTO category was largely composed of ILAR oligoarthritis (50%), RF-negative polyarthritis (24%), and undifferentiated JIA (23%). A few patients were unclassified under PRINTO (n=3) and would previously have been classified as enthesitis-related JIA (n=1) and undifferentiated JIA (n=2) under ILAR. Under the preliminary PRINTO classification criteria for childhood arthritis, most children are not yet classified into a named category. These data can help support further delineation of the PRINTO criteria to ensure homogenous groups of children can be identified.