Changes in surface conditions on cold-climate aeolian dunes are pronounced; during winter dunes are wet, snow covered, and/or frozen for extended periods of time. It is unknown how the critical wind speed for sediment transport (“threshold”) varies and how threshold may influence sediment transport predictions. Although the impact of surface conditions on threshold has been examined in synthetic experiments (wind tunnels), complicated feedbacks between threshold, sand transport, and surface conditions that occur in natural environments suggest that a ground-based empirical approach may provide enhanced insight. In this study we investigate threshold variability for 73days during fall–winter–spring surface conditions from 18 November 2008 to 30 May 2009 in the Bigstick Sand Hills of Saskatchewan, Canada. Simultaneous measurements of threshold and atmospheric variables (air temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, wind speed and direction) were used to examine the extent to which surface erodibility was regulated by meteorology. Time‐lapse images of the surface from a co-located camera were used for quality control and interpreting changes in the surface affecting threshold. Results reveal that threshold varied throughout the deployment (25–75% quartiles: 6.92–8.28ms−1; mean: 7.79ms−1). Threshold variability was especially evident at two scales: (i) event timescale and (ii) seasonal timescale. Event-scale variability peaked during mid-winter; in one event the threshold varied by 6ms−1 in 2h with freezing and re-freezing of the surface and relatively constant atmospheric conditions. The causes of event-scale variability are complex though qualitatively related to changes of wind direction, antecedent meteorological conditions, and vertical variations of grain-scale bonding agents such as pore ice and moisture. Seasonal-scale changes manifested as an increase in threshold during fall, peaking in mid-winter, and decreasing in spring. Increased threshold in mid-winter was linked to lower insolation and air temperature, suggesting low erodibility due to the presence of pore ice. Correlation coefficients of threshold versus atmospheric variables yielded relatively weak correlations (air temperature: r=−0.322; relative humidity: r=0.388; solar radiation: r=−0.309) that also varied according to wind direction, suggesting that the link between atmospheric conditions and surface erodibility on cold‐climate dunes is complex. This contrasts with results from field-based studies in warmer climates and controlled wind tunnel experiments, which show a more direct link between atmospheric variables (temperature and humidity) and surface erodibility. Nevertheless, our results do show a seasonal pattern of threshold that could be important for modeling cold-climate aeolian sediment transport.