Impact Of Population Aging Research Articles

Reflections on the Challenges of Old-age Security and Policy Options for an Ageing Population

The global phenomenon of population aging is advancing at an unprecedented pace, particularly in China, where the accelerating aging process poses substantial challenges to the existing pension security system. The issue of elderly care has emerged as a critical topic in the realms of society, economy, and politics, impacting national sustainability and social stability. The challenges brought about by an aging society extend beyond the pressures of pension payments and insufficient elderly care services, encompassing risks related to funding sources and management, as well as concerns over the fairness of the security system. In the face of these challenges, there is an urgent need to optimize pension policies, advance pension system reforms, enhance the elderly care service system, and strengthen the coordination between social and medical security to construct a more equitable and sustainable pension security framework. Measures must be collaboratively advanced through top-level institutional design, policy execution efficiency, and societal involvement to provide robust support in addressing the challenges of aging. This paper will delve into the impact of population aging on the pension security system, analyze the current state and shortcomings of policies, and propose strategies to enhance the system's resilience, offering insights and recommendations for strengthening the pension security framework.

The Impact of Population Aging from the Perspective of New Productive Forces: Empirical Evidence from 30 Provinces in China

The new quality productive forces are the important means to promote the high quality of Chinese economic development, which is driven by the innovation of science and technology, the layout of new industries and the development of regional links. In the context of China's aging, it is significant to research the influence of the aging population on the NQHP. Based on the data of 30 Chinese provinces between 2010 and 2022, this paper discusses the influence of population aging on NQF in China. The paper found that population aging hurts new quality productivity. The effect of population aging on NQF has the feature of regional heterogeneity, and the biggest negative influence on NQF is the eastern area, and the second is the northeastern area. In the middle and west area, the aging of the population has no negative influence on the new quality productive forces, and it has an obvious positive influence. By means of the intermediary mechanism, we find that the aging population can inhibit the growth of NQF by decreasing the proportion of TPL.

The effects of population aging on industrial structure upgrading: Empirical analysis of provincial and threshold characteristics in China

Global population aging trends are intensifying, presenting multifaceted economic and social challenges for countries worldwide. As the world’s largest developing country, China has entered a phase of extreme demographic aging, posing significant questions about its impact on the ongoing upgrading of industrial structures. How does this demographic shift influence the upgrading of industrial structures, and does technological innovation mitigate or exacerbate this impact? The empirical results indicate that population aging impedes upgrading the industrial structure, while technological innovation positively affects the relationship between the two. Moreover, using technological innovation as a threshold variable, the impact of population aging on industrial structure upgrading evolves in a “gradient” manner from “impediment” to “insignificant” to “promotion” as the technological innovation levels increase. These findings offer practical guidance for tailoring industrial policies to different stages of technological advancement.

How does green finance affect human well-being in the context of aging populations? Evidences from China

Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of green finance on human well-being in China in the context of urbanization and aging population. It aims to explore the contributions of green finance in such demographic scenarios. Design/methodology/approach This study innovates and optimizes the calculation of the carbon intensity of human well-being (CIWB) index and strengthens the integrity of the assessment model for green finance development. It uses the serial multiple mediator model and moderation effect analysis to address the impact of green finance on human well-being in China on the provincial level from 2009 to 2020. Findings Green finance has a significant, positive and direct impact on human well-being. Simultaneously, it influences human well-being indirectly through three transmission channels. Urbanization and an ageing population are significant individual mediators through which green finance contributes to human well-being improvement. Notably, these two mediators also work together to transfer the promotional impact of green finance to human well-being. Practical implications The government can perfect the regulations to strengthen the market ecosystem to accelerate the development of green finance. Reforms on the administrative division to expand the size of cities with the implementation of ageing friendly development strategy is also necessary. Attracting incoming foreign direct investment in sustainable projects and adjusting public projects and trade activities to fulfil the sustainable principles are also regarded as essential. Social implications The findings challenge traditional views on the impact of aging populations, highlighting the beneficial role of green finance in improving well-being amidst demographic changes. This offers a new perspective on economic and environmental sustainability in aging societies. Originality/value A multi-dimensional well-being indicator, CIWB and the serial multiple mediator model are used and direct and indirect impacts of green finance on human well-being is exhibited. It offers novel insights on the transmission channels behind, identifies the mediating role of urbanization and ageing population and offers empirical evidences with strong academic and policy implications.

Impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots: Evidence from China

China is experiencing a rise in its ageing population alongside rapid advancements in industrial robotics. Using panel data from China’s industries (2006 to 2021), this study empirically examines the impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots. The results show that population ageing significantly promotes industrial robot application. The impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots varies by industry. The promotion effect is greater in low and medium-technology industries than that of high-tech industries. This effect became more evident after 2012. Industries with high state ownership exhibit stronger influence coefficients than those with lower state ownership. Mechanism analysis indicates that population ageing promotes industrial robot adoption through the labour cost substitution effect. These findings offer insights for government policies to promote sustainable ageing and upgrading the manufacturing sector through artificial intelligence represented by the application of robotics.

Research on the Impact of Population Aging on China’s GDP and Its Composition based on Multiple Linear Regression

Research on the Impact of Population Aging on China’s GDP and Its Composition based on Multiple Linear Regression

The Impact of Aging Population on the Economy of New Media Industry

The Impact of Aging Population on the Economy of New Media Industry

The Impact of Population Aging on Employment

The Impact of Population Aging on Employment

New Interpretation of Human–Land Relations: Evidence from the Impact of Population Aging on Resource Utilization Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin

New Interpretation of Human–Land Relations: Evidence from the Impact of Population Aging on Resource Utilization Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin

Impact of population aging on corporate digital transformation strategies: An empirical investigation based on population census data from various provinces in China

Given an aging population, it is crucial to examine how digital transformation affects enterprises. This study uses data from the 2011–2021 Chinese population census and A-share listed companies to examine how aging directly hampers financial support and decision-making for digital transformation. It also explores its indirect effects through financial strategies and management perspectives. The study indicates that aging impacts digital transformation more in nonstate-owned and small to medium-sized enterprises, offering strategic insights for policymakers.

The impact of population ageing on the burden of chronic kidney disease.

The burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its risk factors are projected to rise in parallel with the rapidly ageing global population. By 2050, the prevalence of CKD category G3-G5 may exceed 10% in some regions, resulting in substantial health and economic burdens that will disproportionately affect lower-income countries. The extent to which the CKD epidemic can be mitigated depends largely on the uptake of prevention efforts to address modifiable risk factors, the implementation of cost-effective screening programmes for early detection of CKD in high-risk individuals and widespread access and affordability of new-generation kidney-protective drugs to prevent the development and delay the progression of CKD. Older patients require a multidisciplinary integrated approach to manage their multimorbidity, polypharmacy, high rates of adverse outcomes, mental health, fatigue and other age-related symptoms. In those who progress to kidney failure, comprehensive conservative management should be offered as a viable option during the shared decision-making process to collaboratively determine a treatment approach that respects the values and wishes of the patient. Interventions that maintain or improve quality of life, including pain management and palliative care services when appropriate, should also be made available.

Future temperature-related mortality in the UK under climate change scenarios: Impact of population ageing and bias-corrected climate projections

BackgroundExposure to heat and cold poses a serious threat to human health. In the UK, hotter summers, milder winters and an ageing population will shift how populations experience temperature-related health burdens. Estimating future burdens can provide insights on the drivers of temperature-related health effects and removing biases in temperature projections is an essential step to generating these estimates, however, the impact of various methods of correction is not well examined. MethodsWe conducted a detailed health impact assessment by estimating mortality attributable to temperature at a baseline period (2007–2018) and in future decades (2030s, 2050s and 2070s). Epidemiological exposure-response relationships were derived for all England regions and UK countries, to quantify cold and heat risk, and temperature thresholds where mortality increases. UK climate projections 2018 (UKCP18)were bias-corrected using three techniques: correcting for mean bias (shift or SH), variability (bias-correction or BC) and extreme values (quantile mapping or QM). These were applied in the health impact assessment, alongside consideration of population ageing and growth to estimate future temperature-related mortality. FindingsIn the absence of adaptation and assuming a high-end emissions scenario (RCP8.5), annual UK temperature-related mortality is projected to increase, with substantial differences in raw vs. calibrated projections for heat-related mortality, but smaller differences for cold-related mortality. The BC approach gave an estimated 29 deaths per 100,000 in the 2070s, compared with 50 per 100,000 using uncorrected future temperatures. We also found population ageing may exert a bigger impact on future mortality totals than the impact from future increases in temperature alone. Estimating future health burdens associated with heat and cold is an important step towards equipping decision-makers to deliver suitable care to the changing population. Correcting inherent biases in temperature projections can improve the accuracy of projected health burdens to support health protection measures and long-term resilience planning.

The impact of population aging on business innovation: a comprehensive overview

Population ageing is defined as the number of people aged 65 and over reaching 7 per cent of a country's total population. As our country enters the twentieth century, it is also entering an ageing society. On the one hand, population aging affects the effective supply of labour, the physical function of workers declines along with their willingness to work, and the burden of supporting the labour force in their prime years increases, which increases the operating costs of enterprises, hinders enterprise innovation, and is not conducive to technological advancement; it also pushes enterprises to increase their investment in human capital and technological innovation, enhances labour productivity, and promotes enterprise innovation. As the technological paradigm shifts, latecomer firms can win the competition, offset the negative effects of population ageing, and achieve technological innovation and economic growth as long as they are at the top of the shift.

Study on the Impact of Population Aging o n Savings in China

Study on the Impact of Population Aging o n Savings in China

The impact of population aging on SME digital transformation: Evidence from China.

Many societies around the world are rapidly aging and this has implications for social and economic development. We collect data on NEEQ-listed enterprises from 2010 to 2021 in China and empirically test the effect of population aging on the digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The findings show that population aging has a significant positive impact on SME digital transformation, and private enterprises and enterprises in eastern regions of China tend to benefit more than other regions. The mechanism studies find that population aging positively impacts SME digital transformation by increasing labor costs, facilitating human capital accumulation, and raising savings rates. Furthermore, the threshold effect analyses find that the marginal promotion effect of population aging will weaken with greater aging and will strengthen with a higher level of marketization. Finally, we provide policy recommendations for promoting digital transformation in SMEs against the background of population aging.

Влияние тенденции старения населения на рынок труда в Китае

The article analyzes the impact of the development of an aging society on the labor market. A general descrip-tion of the development of the aging process in China in recent years is given, highlighting the problems that have arisen as a result of the increase in the number of older people in the labor force. The main optimization problems that remain to be solved are summarized. It has been established that the ageing of the population is negatively related to the labor force participation rate and its quality, but has a significant potential in terms of leveling the personnel shortage. Conclusion dwells upon the fact that the impact of population ageing on the labor market can become not a negative, but a positive factor in the country’s economic development with the active efforts of the government. Possible options for measures that can determine the effective use of elderly citizens in the national economy of China are proposed.

Population ageing and national healthcare systems sustainability. A review of world practices

By 2050, the proportion of people over 60 years of age worldwide is expected to be 22 %, and the number of people over 80 is expected to triple by that time, reaching 426 million. Population aging threatens the sustainable functioning of national health care systems, since the increase in the proportion of the elderly population is accompanied by increased costs for the health care system and a decrease in the availability of medical care for other age groups. Based on the analysis and synthesis of data from foreign publications on the impact of population aging on the sustainability of the functioning of national healthcare systems, proposed measures and models of medical care that take into account changes in the age structure of the population are systematized. Analysis of foreign publications made it possible to identify the following challenges for the healthcare system associated with the aging population: rising costs of providing medical care, the need to increase emphasis on preventive measures, increasing prevalence and severity of chronic non-communicable diseases and comorbidity, inequality in access to medical care, expressed in territorial (regional), age and gender aspects, as well as determined by the socio-economic status of a person. Experts suggest that the most obvious and realistic solution to the problem is active prevention of chronic diseases and more intensive monitoring of the health status of the population. Digital solutions that provide disease prevention and remote monitoring of the health status of the elderly population, based on the use of machine learning technologies, artificial intelligence and telemedicine technologies, are identified as promising areas for limiting healthcare costs.

A General Theory of Population Aging and Its Impact on Socio-Economic Development

Population aging is becoming one of the discussed topics not only in Vietnam but all over the world and is one of the most important social transformation phenomena of the 21st century. This process will affect to most areas of social life such as the labor market, finance, demand for goods and services, education, social security and health care for the elderly, etc. Research on aging, especially in a developing country like Vietnam, has become more urgent than ever, when the aging rate is fast but the average income is low and the social security budget is tight. Therefore, population aging can slow down the economic growth and increase the burden on the budget, even affecting social stability. This article analyzes the current situation and aging trends in Vietnam. Next, it focuses on clarifying the general theory of the mechanism of population aging and pointing out the impact of population aging on socio-economic development. Quantifying the impact of aging on socio-economic growth is very complex, requiring in-depth, multi-disciplinary, multi-field and multi-dimensional research. This analysis has reviewed some reliable assessment methods in the world as well as in Vietnam on aging. The results suggest a more multifaceted perspective on aging, referring to the consideration of the age structure of the population in development. At the same time, research on aging requires the participation of scientists, policymakers, etc. to effectively respond to an aging society.

The impact of population aging on FDI: A panel data analysis based on 27 segments in China's manufacturing industry.

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is an important part of China's new "double-cycle" development pattern. Among the many factors affecting FDI, will the aging population have an impact on manufacturing, the key industry for FDI? This paper examines the direct and indirect effects of an aging population on FDI using panel data from 27 manufacturing sub-industries in China between 2005 and 2020. It is found that (1) the deepening of the population's aging negatively affects FDI inflows and this result continues to hold after a series of robustness tests. (2) Using labor quantity and labor cost as mediating variables, it is found that the population's aging indirectly affects FDI by reducing labor quantity and increasing labor cost. (3) The heterogeneity analysis study finds that the deepening of the population's aging significantly inhibits FDI in labor-intensive and capital-intensive industries among manufacturing sub-industries, and the inhibitory effect on FDI in technology-intensive industries is not significant. This study provides meso-evidence to support the findings of existing studies and provides suggestions and insights for the government to formulate relevant policies to actively cope with aging.

Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels.

Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; among which 1 in 5 to 1 in 4 heat-related deaths can be attributed to population aging. Despite a projected decrease in cold-related mortality due to progressive warming alone, population aging will mostly counteract this trend, leading to a net increase in cold-related mortality by 0.1%-0.4% at 1.5-3 °C global warming. Our findings indicate that population aging constitutes a crucial driver for future heat- and cold-related deaths, with increasing mortality burden for both heat and cold due to the aging population.