This study aimed to predict the impact of different infusion strategies on pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) target attainment and the potential risk for toxicity in an ICU cohort treated with β-lactams. Using collected patient data from 137 adult ICU patients, and applying population PK models, individual PK parameters were estimated and used to predict concentrations and target attainment following cefotaxime 2 g q8h, piperacillin/tazobactam 4.5 g q6h and meropenem 1 g q8h, applying 15 min short infusions (SI), 3 h extended infusions (EI) and 24 h continuous infusion (CI). The MIC level of the most common primary pathogens, and the worst-case scenario (WCS) pathogen, were used in analyses. For primary pathogens, target was reached in 94% (129/137) using SI. For WCS pathogens treated with piperacillin/tazobactam and meropenem, 78% (65/83) and 92% (76/83) reached target using SI and EI, respectively. However, target attainment was lower for cefotaxime [SI: 31% (17/54), EI: 44% (24/54)]. Overall, the number of individuals with potentially toxic concentrations was low, both in EI (n = 7) and SI (n = 5). For CI and WCS, target was reached in 50% (27/54), 96% (54/56) and 93% (25/27) for cefotaxime, piperacillin/tazobactam and meropenem, respectively. In a Swedish ICU cohort target attainment rates for primary pathogens were high regardless of infusion strategy. In WCS pathogens, SI was insufficient, suggesting the benefit of routine use of EI or CI. However, for cefotaxime, target attainment remained low also with EI and CI. The use of CI might lead to unnecessarily high concentrations, but well-established toxicity levels are lacking and future studies are warranted.
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