Thin Ice Research Articles

Atmospheric and Oceanographic Signatures in the Ice Shelf Channel Morphology of Roi Baudouin Ice Shelf, East Antarctica, Inferred From Radar Data

Ice shelves around Antarctica can provide back stress for outlet glaciers and control ice sheet mass loss. They often contain narrow bands of thin ice termed ice shelf channels. Ice shelf channel morphology can be interpreted through surface depressions and exhibits junctions and deflections from flowlines. Using ice flow modeling and radar, we investigate ice shelf channels in the Roi Baudouin Ice Shelf. These are aligned obliquely to the prevailing easterly winds. In the shallow radar stratigraphy, syncline and anticline stacks occur beneath the upwind and downwind side, respectively. The structures are horizontally and vertically coherent, except near an ice shelf channel junction where patterns change structurally with depth. Deeper layers truncate near basal incisions. Using ice flow modeling, we show that the stratigraphy is ∼9 times more sensitive to atmospheric variability than to oceanic variability. This is due to the continual adjustment toward flotation. We propose that syncline‐anticline pairs in the shallow stratigraphy are caused by preferential snow deposition on the windward side and wind erosion at the downwind side. This drives downwind deflection of ice shelf channels of several meters per year. The depth variable structures indicate formation of an ice shelf channel junction by basal melting. We conclude that many ice shelf channels are seeded at the grounding line. Their morphology farther seaward is shaped on different length scales by ice dynamics, the ocean, and the atmosphere. These processes act on finer (subkilometer) scales than are captured by most ice, atmosphere, and ocean models, yet the dynamics of ice shelf channels may have broader implications for ice shelf stability.

Loss of shelf

Ice Shelves An unusually warm and prolonged inflow of warm ocean water intruded beneath Antarctica's Filchner Ronne Ice Shelf in 2017. Ryan et al. describe a 4-year-long time series of ocean temperature measurements that documents the surge and its unusual persistence. They discuss the hydrographic properties of the event and possible forcing mechanisms, suggesting that it was caused by anomalous summer sea ice melting. Much of the thinning of ice shelves like the Filchner Ronne is caused by warm water intrusions. Similar intrusions beneath other ice shelves will affect the future stability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, a pressing concern in our warming climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 10.1029/2020GL088119 (2020).

Redesigning Italy's regional neurosciences networks in the COVID-19 era: a model for a future healthcare system or skating on thin ice?

article: Redesigning Italy’s regional neurosciences networks in the COVID-19 era: a model for a future healthcare system or skating on thin ice? - Journal of Neurosurgical Sciences 2021 June;65(3):377 - Minerva Medica - Journals

Pinus cembra L. tree-ring data as a proxy for summer mass-balance variability of the Careser Glacier (Italian Rhaetian Alps)

AbstractGlacial extent and mass balance are sensitive climate proxies providing solid information on past climatic conditions. However, series of annual mass-balance measurements of more than 60 years are scarce. To our knowledge, this is the first time the latewood density data (MXD) of the Swiss stone pine (Pinus cembra L.) have been used to reconstruct the summer mass balance (Bs) of an Alpine glacier. The MXD-based Bs well correlates with a Bs reconstruction based on the May to September temperature. Winter precipitation has been used as an independent proxy to infer the winter mass balance and to obtain an annual mass-balance (Bn) estimate dating back to the glaciological year 1811/12. The reconstructed MXD/precipitation-based Bn well correlates with the data both of the Careser and of other Alpine glaciers measured by the glaciological method. A number of critical issues should be considered in both proxies, including non-linear response of glacial mass balance to temperature, bedrock topography, ice thinning and fragmentation, MXD acquisition and standardization methods, and finally the ‘divergence problem’ responsible for the recently reduced sensitivity of the dendrochronological data. Nevertheless, our results highlight the possibility of performing MXD-based dendroglaciological reconstructions using this stable and reliable proxy.

SMSTs on thin ice: motivations behind migration from a Hungarian micro‐region

AbstractThe aim of our study is to highlight what kind of factors influence the attachment of inhabitants to the towns in the test area “Murafölde”, a Hungarian micro‐region. We assume, that the level of attachment is a function of the inhabitants’ satisfaction with employment opportunities. In 2017, a total of 1,900 questionnaires have been collected in the test area. This was the first survey in the region aiming at identifying the inhabitants’ motivation for mobility. Results indicate that satisfaction with employment opportunities significantly influence the attachment to the towns, while there are other factors which are even stronger.

60 Years of Glacier Elevation and Mass Changes in the Maipo River Basin, Central Andes of Chile

Glaciers in the central Andes of Chile are fundamental freshwater sources for ecosystems and communities. Overall, glaciers in this region have shown continuous recession and down-wasting, but long-term glacier mass balance studies providing precise estimates of these changes are scarce. Here, we present the first long-term (1955–2013/2015), region-specific glacier elevation and mass change estimates for the Maipo River Basin, from which the densely populated metropolitan region of Chile obtains most of its freshwater supply. We calculated glacier elevation and mass changes using historical topographic maps, Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM), TerraSAR-X add-on for Digital Elevation Measurements (TanDEM-X), and airborne Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) digital elevation models. The results indicated a mean regional glacier mass balance of −0.12 ± 0.06 m w.e.a−1, with a total mass loss of 2.43 ± 0.26 Gt for the Maipo River Basin between 1955–2013. The most negative glacier mass balance was the Olivares sub-basin, with a mean value of −0.29 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1. We observed spatially heterogeneous glacier elevation and mass changes between 1955 and 2000, and more negative values between 2000 and 2013, with an acceleration in ice thinning rates starting in 2010, which coincides with the severe drought. Our results provide key information to improve glaciological and hydrological projections in a region where water resources are under pressure.

Reversed Surface-Mass-Balance Gradients on Himalayan Debris-Covered Glaciers Inferred from Remote Sensing

Meltwater from the glaciers in High Mountain Asia plays a critical role in water availability and food security in central and southern Asia. However, observations of glacier ablation and accumulation rates are limited in spatial and temporal scale due to the challenges that are associated with fieldwork at the remote, high-altitude settings of these glaciers. Here, using a remote-sensing-based mass-continuity approach, we compute regional-scale surface mass balance of glaciers in five key regions across High Mountain Asia. After accounting for the role of ice flow, we find distinctively different altitudinal surface-mass-balance gradients between heavily debris-covered and relatively debris-free areas. In the region surrounding Mount Everest, where debris coverage is the most extensive, our results show a reversed mean surface-mass-balance gradient of −0.21 ± 0.18 m w.e. a−1 (100 m)−1 on the low-elevation portions of glaciers, switching to a positive mean gradient of 1.21 ± 0.41 m w.e. a−1 (100 m)−1 above an average elevation of 5520 ± 50 m. Meanwhile, in West Nepal, where the debris coverage is minimal, we find a continuously positive mean gradient of 1.18 ± 0.40 m w.e. a−1 (100 m)−1. Equilibrium line altitude estimates, which are derived from our surface-mass-balance gradients, display a strong regional gradient, increasing from northwest (4490 ± 140 m) to southeast (5690 ± 130 m). Overall, our findings emphasise the importance of separating signals of surface mass balance and ice dynamics, in order to constrain better their contribution towards the ice thinning that is being observed across High Mountain Asia.

On thinning ice: understanding the knowledge, concerns and behaviors towards polar ice loss in Germany

ABSTRACT Global climate change has the potential to cause rapid changes throughout the world, particularly in the polar regions. While much is known about attitudes towards climate change in general, relatively little is understood about individual orientations towards earth systems affected by climate change, and in particular, polar ice loss. Utilizing novel data from Germany, this study presents a first of its kind analysis of the relationship between knowledge, concern, and individual willingness to make behavioral changes in response to polar ice loss. We find that knowledge of changes to the polar region is positively related to concern for the polar region. But, when looking at willingness to make behavioral changes, concern for the polar regions remains the strongest predictor, while there is little direct effect of individual self-assessed knowledge. Further, concern for the polar region remains a robust predictor of willingness to make behavioral changes, even after individual driving habits are introduced to the model. As such, this analysis builds upon the emerging literature of German orientations towards climate change, as well as understanding the mechanisms by which individuals are willing to engage in behavioral changes in response to changes to the polar regions.

Extraction of Bohai Sea ice from MODIS data based on multi-constraint endmembers and linear spectral unmixing

ABSTRACT A Linear Spectral Unmixing method based on Multi-Constraint Endmembers (LSU-MCE) is proposed to extract the sea ice in the Bohai Sea using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images. The method first extracts the spectral features, texture features, shape features, and temperature features of the sea ice and sea water, and then constructs the rules using the features to purify the endmembers, and finally decomposes the pixels using the linear spectral unmixing method. The method can properly detect sea ice including thin ice, drift ice, and melt ponds. Besides, the turbid sea water is separated from sea water as a separate endmember. So the proposed method can eliminate the disturbance caused by suspended sediment and successfully detect sea ice in high sediment waters. The method has good robustness to MODIS images of different satellites (Terra and Aqua) and the stripe noise. The method has been successfully applied to time series data of MODIS and the results show that it has high accuracy for sea ice detection in the Bohai Sea, with better visual results, and higher overall accuracy and kappa coefficient ().

Ion irradiation of acetylene ice in the ISM and the outer Solar system: laboratory simulations

ABSTRACT)3 Acetylene, C2H2, has been observed in the interstellar medium, mostly around young stellar objects, as well as in molecular clouds and cometary comae, representing an important species of astrophysical interest. In this work, we present a laboratory study of the C2H2 radiolysis at 45 K for three different beams and energies: 1.0 MeV H+ and He+, and 1.0 and 1.5 MeV N+ beams. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy was used for monitoring the molecular changes induced by the ion processing. Two different sample thicknesses were irradiated; for the thicker one, implantation had occurred. Spectra and absorbance evolutions for the thin and thick films are qualitatively different. Four C2H2 bands are observed at 3225, 1954, 1392, and 763 cm−1. The C2H2 compaction and apparent destruction cross-sections are determined. For the case of the H+ beam, the compaction cross-section dominates. Concerning molecular synthesis by irradiation, New product bands were not observed in the thin ice irradiations; for the thicker film ice, the daughter species CH4, C2H4, C3H6, and C4H4 have been identified and their destruction and formation cross-sections determined. The apparent destruction cross-section was found to be a function of the electronic stopping power (Se) as σd ∝ S$_\mathrm{ e}^{3/2}$. The half-life of the C2H2 bombarded by galactic cosmic rays is estimated. The current findings are a contribution to the understanding of how the molecules synthesized upon irradiation of Interstellar and outer Solar system ices participate to the molecular enrichment and to the physicochemical evolution of the Universe.

Object-based landfast sea ice detection over West Antarctica using time series ALOS PALSAR data

Landfast sea ice (fast ice) is an important feature prevalent around the Antarctic coast, which is affected by climate change and energy exchanges with the atmosphere and ocean. This study proposed a method for detection of the West Antarctic fast ice using the Advanced Land Observing Satellite Phased Array L-band SAR (ALOS PALSAR) images. The algorithm has combined image segmentation, image correlation analysis, and machine learning techniques (i.e., random forest (RF), extremely randomized trees (ERT), and logistic regression (LR)). We used SAR images with a baseline of 5 days that are not in the same orbit but overlap each other as overlaps between swaths in adjacent orbits are often available in the polar regions. The underlying assumption for the proposed fast ice detection algorithm is that fast ice regions in SAR images with a time interval of 5 days are highly correlated. The object-based approach proposed in this study was well suited to high-resolution SAR images in deriving spatially homogeneous fast ice regions. The image segmentation results using the optimized parameters showed a distinct difference in the backscatter temporal evolution between fast ice and pack ice regions. Correlation and STD of backscattering coefficients were found to be the most significant variables for the object-based fast ice detection from two temporally separated images. In overall, the quantitative and qualitative evaluation demonstrated that the algorithm was an effective approach to detect fast ice with high accuracies. The models well detected various fast ice regions in the West Antarctica but misclassified some objects. The misclassifications occurred toward the edge of fast ice regions with relatively rapid changes in backscattering between both data acquisitions. On the other hand, few fast ice objects were misclassified as uniform backscattering over time occurred by chance on very small objects far from the coast. Very old multi-year fast ice regions with high backscattered signals were also a source for some misclassifications. This may be due to the sensitivity of L-band to snow structure to some extent and a thinner ice over the region with either ice growth (no deformation) or closing (slight deformation) between both images. Heavy snow load on the ice could be another error source for some misclassification as well. The approach allowed for the reliable detection of fast ice regions by using L-band SAR images with a small local incidence angle difference.

Real-Time Measurement of the Liquid Amount in Cryo-Electron Microscopy Grids Using Laser Diffraction of Regular 2-D Holes of the Grids.

Cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) is now the first choice to determine the high-resolution structures of huge protein complexes. Grids with two-dimensional arrays of holes covered with a carbon film are typically used in cryo-EM. Although semi-automatic plungers are available, notable trial-and-error is still required to obtain a suitable grid specimen. Herein, we introduce a new method to obtain thin ice specimens using real-time measurement of the liquid amounts in cryo-EM grids. The grids for cryo-EM strongly diffracted laser light, and the diffraction intensity of each spot was measurable in real-time. The measured diffraction patterns represented the states of the liquid in the holes due to the curvature of the liquid around them. Using the diffraction patterns, the optimal time point for freezing the grids for cryo-EM was obtained in real-time. This development will help researchers rapidly determine high-resolution protein structures using the limited resource of cryo-EM instrument access.

Sea Ice and Atmospheric Parameter Retrieval From Satellite Microwave Radiometers: Synergy of AMSR2 and SMOS Compared With the CIMR Candidate Mission

AbstractResearch on improving the prediction skill of climate models requires refining the quality of observational data used for initializing and tuning the models. This is especially true in the polar regions where uncertainties about the interactions between sea ice, ocean, and atmosphere are driving ongoing monitoring efforts. The Copernicus Imaging Microwave Radiometer (CIMR) is an European Space Agency (ESA) candidate mission which promises to offer high resolution, low uncertainty observation capabilities at the 1.4, 6.9, 10.65, 18.7, and 36.5 GHz frequencies. To assess the potential impact of CIMR for sea ice parameter retrieval, a comparison is made between retrievals based on present AMSR2 observations and a retrieval using future CIMR equivalent observations over a data set of validated sea ice concentration (SIC) values. An optimal estimation retrieval method (OEM) is used which can use input from different channel combinations to retrieve seven geophysical parameters (sea ice concentration, multi‐year ice fraction, ice surface temperature, columnar water vapor, liquid water path, over ocean wind speed, and sea surface temperature). An advantage of CIMR over existing radiometers is that it would provide higher spatial resolution observations at the lower frequency channels (6.9, 10.65, and 18.7 GHz) which are less sensitive to atmospheric influence. This enables the passive microwave based retrieval of SIC and other surface parameters with higher resolution and lower uncertainty than is currently possible. An information content analysis expands the comparison between AMSR2 and CIMR to all retrievable surface and atmospheric parameters. This analysis quantifies the contributions to the observed signal and highlights the differences between different input channel combinations. The higher resolution of the low frequency CIMR channels allow for unprecedented detail to be achieved in Arctic passive microwave sea ice retrievals. The presence of 1.4 GHz channels on board CIMR opens up the possibility for thin sea ice thickness (SIT) retrieval. A combination of collocated AMSR2 and SMOS observations is used to simulate a full CIMR suite of measurements, and the OEM is modified to include SIT as a retrieval parameter. The output from different retrieval configurations is compared with an operational SIT product. The CIMR instrument can provide increased accuracy for SIC retrieval at very high resolutions with a combination of the 18.7 and 36.5 GHz channels while also maintaining sensitivity for atmospheric water vapor retrieval. In combination with the 1.4 GHz channels, SIT can be added as an eighth retrieval parameter with performance on par with existing operational products.

Observed Evolution of the Tropical Atmospheric Water Cycle with Sea Surface Temperature

AbstractBetter understanding of how moisture, clouds, and precipitation covary under climate warming lacks a comprehensive observational view. This paper analyzes the tropical atmospheric water cycle’s evolution with sea surface temperature (SST), using for the first time, the synergistic dataset of instantaneous observations of the relative humidity profile from the Megha-Tropiques satellite, clouds from the CALIPSO satellite, and near-surface precipitation from the CloudSat satellite, and quantifies their rates of change with SST warming. The dataset is partitioned into three vertical velocity regimes, with cloudy grid boxes categorized by phase (ice or liquid), opacity (opaque or thin), and the presence of near-surface precipitation. Opaque cloud cover is always larger in the presence of near-surface precipitation (high ice clouds especially). Low liquid water clouds in the descending regime dominate for SSTs < 299.25 K, where the free troposphere is dry (~20%), and opaque liquid water cloud cover decreases with SST warming (−8% K−1) and thin liquid water cloud cover stays constant (~20%). High ice clouds dominate the ascending regime in which, for 299.25 < SST < 301.75 K, humidity increases with SST in the lower free troposphere and peaks around 302 K. Over the warm SST range (>301.75 K), in the ascending regime, opaque high ice cloud cover decreases with SST (−13% K−1), while thin ice cloud cover increases (+6% K−1). Over the warm SST range, total cloudiness decreases with warming in all regimes. This paper characterizes fundamental relationships between aspects of the tropical atmospheric water cycle and SST.

Geologic controls on ice sheet sensitivity to deglacial climate forcing in the Ross Embayment, Antarctica

The role of external forcings in the deglacial ice sheet evolution of the Ross Embayment, Antarctica's largest catchment, continues to be a highly contested topic. Although numerical ice sheet models indicate that ocean and atmosphere forcings were the main drivers of deglacial ice sheet retreat, these models have difficulty in accurately capturing both the timing and rate of retreat in every area of the embayment. Other factors that influence the sensitivity of ice sheets to climate forcing, such as the physical properties of the bed, isostatic deformation of the continental shelf, and rheological properties of the ice, are parameterized inconsistently across models. Here, we explore using a systematic approach the extent to which specific model parameters related to basal substrate, bed deformation and ice flow and rheology impact the climate sensitivity of the ice sheet in the Ross Embayment over the last deglaciation. Higher variability in deglacial ice sheet evolution is observed among experiments using different model parameters than among experiments using different climate forcings. Mantle viscosity, the material properties of the till, and an enhancement factor of the shallow shelf approximation (ESSA) component of the stress balance exhibit strong influences on the timing of ice sheet response to deglacial climate forcing, and may contribute to the asynchronous retreat behavior of the Eastern and Western Ross Sea. The Western Ross Sea is especially sensitive to both climate forcing and model parameter selection, with both cool climate forcing and low ESSA producing better agreement with terrestrial ice thinning records. The evolution and extent of the Siple Coast grounding line is highly sensitive to the mantle viscosity and till properties in addition to ocean and precipitation forcing. Constraining these physical model parameters is therefore paramount for accurate projections of the Antarctic ice sheet response to projected future changes in ocean temperatures and precipitation.

Pittsburgh's 'Jock Tax' is on Thin Ice

Former and current professional athletes have filed suit against the city of Pittsburgh alleging its nonresident facility usage fee is a discriminatory, unconstitutional tax.

Respective influences of perturbed atmospheric and ocean–sea ice initial conditions on the skill of seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions: A study with NEMO3.6–LIM3

Dynamical climate models have been extensively used over the last decade to perform seasonal sea ice predictions in the context of ensemble forecasting. To date, the sensitivity to the initial conditions has received the most attention through the evaluation of the theoretical limit of Antarctic sea ice predictability imposed by the chaotic evolution of the climate system. The respective contributions of perturbed ocean–sea ice initial conditions and perturbed atmospheric boundary conditions to this predictability remains unevaluated, though. Using the coupled ocean–sea ice model NEMO3.6–LIM3, we developed a suitable framework for evaluating both influences on seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions. This study reveals that the uncertainty associated with the evolution of the atmospheric conditions is a major limitation to the realization of skilful sea ice extent (SIE) predictions. However, it has a limited impact on sea ice volume (SIV) predictions. The discrepancies between the SIE and SIV predictabilities have been attributed to the presence of very thin ice, which accounts for much of the SIE variability in winter. We also demonstrated that an incorrect estimate of the ocean–sea ice initial conditions has a weaker, but not negligible influence. The time evolution of different plausible ocean–sea ice initial conditions under perfect knowledge of the atmospheric conditions suggest that the initial SIE errors cannot be totally reduced by the atmospheric forcing. They even increase during the melt season. The high persistence of the SIV anomalies is found to be responsible for this behaviour. These findings imply that a correct initialization of the sea ice thickness (SIT) might be more important than previously thought for seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions, especially if one wants to predict the SIE during the melt season.

Assessment with Controlled In-Situ Data of the Dependence of L-Band Radiometry on Sea-Ice Thickness

The European Space Agency (ESA) Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions are providing brightness temperature measurements at 1.4 GHz (L-band) for about 10 and 4 years respectively. One of the new areas of geophysical exploitation of L-band radiometry is on thin (i.e., less than 1 m) Sea Ice Thickness (SIT), for which theoretical and empirical retrieval methods have been proposed. However, a comprehensive validation of SIT products has been hindered by the lack of suitable ground truth. The in-situ SIT datasets most commonly used for validation are affected by one important limitation: They are available mainly during late winter and spring months, when sea ice is fully developed and the thickness probability density function is wider than for autumn ice and less representative at the satellite spatial resolution. Using Upward Looking Sonar (ULS) data from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), acquired all year round, permits overcoming the mentioned limitation, thus improving the characterization of the L-band brightness temperature response to changes in thin SIT. State-of-the-art satellite SIT products and the Cumulative Freezing Degree Days (CFDD) model are verified against the ULS ground truth. The results show that the L-band SIT can be meaningfully retrieved up to 0.6 m, although the signal starts to saturate at 0.3 m. In contrast, despite the simplicity of the CFDD model, its predicted SIT values correlate very well with the ULS in-situ data during the sea ice growth season. The comparison between the CFDD SIT and the current L-band SIT products shows that both the sea ice concentration and the season are fundamental factors influencing the quality of the thickness retrieval from L-band satellites.

Scattering of water waves by thick rectangular barriers in presence of ice cover

Assuming linear theory, the two dimensional problem of water wave scattering past thick rectangular barrier in presence of thin ice cover, is investigated here. Mainly four types of thick barriers are considered here and also the ice cover is taken as a thin elastic plate. May be the barrier is partially immersed or bottom standing or fully submerged in water or in the form of thick rectangular wall with a submerged gap presence in water. The problem is formulated in terms of a first kind integral equation by considering the symmetric and antisymmetric parts of velocity potential function. The integral equation is solved by using multi term Galerkin approximation method involving ultraspherical Gegenbauer polynomials as its basis function. The numerical solutions of reflection and transmission coefficients are obtained for different parametric values and these are seen to satisfy the energy identity. These coefficients are depicted graphically against the wave number in a number of figures. Some figures available in the literature drawn by using different mathematical methods as well as laboratory experiments are also recovered following the present analysis without the presence of ice cover, thereby confirming the correctness of the results presented here. It is also observed that the reflection and transmission coefficients depend significantly on the width of the barriers.

Dynamic response of the Greenland ice sheet to recent cooling

The subglacial hydrological system critically controls ice motion at the margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet. However, over multi-annual timescales, the net impact of hydro-dynamic coupling on ice motion remains poorly understood. Here, we present annual ice velocities from 1992–2019 across a ~10,600 km2 land-terminating area of southwest Greenland. From the early-2000s through to ~2012, we observe a slowdown in ice motion in response to increased surface melt, consistent with previous research. From 2013 to 2019 however, we observe an acceleration in ice motion coincident with atmospheric cooling and a ~15% reduction in mean surface melt production relative to 2003–2012. We find that ice velocity speed-up is greater in marginal areas, and is strongly correlated with ice thickness. We hypothesise that under thinner ice, increases in basal water pressure offset a larger proportion of the ice overburden pressure, leading to reduced effective pressure and thus greater acceleration when compared to thicker ice further inland. Our findings indicate that hydro-dynamic coupling provides the major control on changes in ice motion across the ablation zone of land terminating margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet over multi-annual timescales.