Ian Budge Research Articles

Book Review: Ian Budge, David Robertson and Derek Hearl, (eds.), Ideology, Strategy and Party Change: Spatial Analyses of Post-War Election Programmes in 19 Democracies (Cambridge University Press, 1987), pp. xvii, 494. $144.00

Book Review: Ian Budge, David Robertson and Derek Hearl, (eds.), Ideology, Strategy and Party Change: Spatial Analyses of Post-War Election Programmes in 19 Democracies (Cambridge University Press, 1987), pp. xvii, 494. $144.00

Ideology, strategy and party change: spatial analyses of post-war election programmes in 19 democracies and Political elites in Anglo-American democracies: changes in stable regimes

Journal Article Ideology, strategy and party change: spatial analyses of post-war election programmes in 19 democracies and Political elites in Anglo-American democracies: changes in stable regimes Get access Ideology, strategy and party change: spatial analyses of post-war election programmes in 19 democraciesEdited By Ian Budge, David Robertsonand Derek HearlCambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1987. 494pp. Index. £40.00. ISBN 0 521 30648 5.Political elites in Anglo-American democracies: changes in stable regimes. Edited By Harold D. Clarkeand Moshe M. CzudnowskiDekalb, Ill.: Northern Illinois University Press, 1987. 336pp. Index. £32.00. ISBN 0 87580 126 9. Nevil Johnson Nevil Johnson 1Nuffield College, Oxford Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar International Affairs, Volume 64, Issue 2, Spring 1988, Pages 272–273, https://doi.org/10.2307/2621865 Published: 01 April 1988

Ian Budge, David Robertson, Derek Hearl, (ed.), Ideology, Strategy, and Party Change: Spatial Analyses of Post-War Election Programmes in 19 Democracies. Cambridge University Press, 1987, pp. xvii + 494.

Ian Budge, David Robertson, Derek Hearl, (ed.), Ideology, Strategy, and Party Change: Spatial Analyses of Post-War Election Programmes in 19 Democracies. Cambridge University Press, 1987, pp. xvii + 494. - Volume 7 Issue 3

Ian Budge e Dennis J. Farlie, Explaining and Predicting Elections, London, George Allen and Unwin, 1983, pp. 226.

Ian Budge e Dennis J. Farlie, Explaining and Predicting Elections, London, George Allen and Unwin, 1983, pp. 226.

Book reviews

How to Compare Nations: Strategies in Comparative Politics. By Mattei Dogan and Dominique Pelassy. Chatham, New Jersey: Chatham House Publishers, 1984. Pp.185. $11.95. Constitutional Democracy: Essays in Comparative Politics. A Festschrift in Honor of Henry W. Ehrmann. Edited by Fred Eidlin. Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press (Bowker Publishing Company), 1984. Pp.516. £21.75. Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and Consensus Government in Twenty‐One Countries. By Arend Lijphart. New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 1984. Pp.229. £5.95. Explaining And Predicting Elections: Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty‐Three Democracies. By Ian Budge and Dennis J. Farlie. London: George Allen & Unwin, 1983. Pp.xiii + 226. £18 (hardback). Policies and Politics in Western Europe. The Impact of the Recession. Edited by F.F. Ridley. London: Croom Helm, 1984. Pp.221. £14.95. The State in Capitalist Europe: A Casebook. Edited by Stephen Bornstein, David Held, and Joel Krieger. London: George Allen & Unwin, 1984. Pp. viii + 175. £25.00 (hardback), £9.95 (paperback). Unions and Economic Crisis: Britain, West Germany, and Sweden. Peter Gourevitch, Andrew Martin, George Ross, Stephen Bornstein, Andrei Markovits, and Christopher Allen. London: George Allen & Unwin, 1984. Pp.ix + 394. £25.00 (hardback). Soviet Strategy Toward Western Europe. Edited by Edwina Moreton and Gerald Segal. London: George Allen & Unwin, 1984. Pp. 196. £17.50. Soviet Policy Toward Western Europe: Implications for the Atlantic Alliance. Edited by Herbert J. Ellison. Seattle & London: University of Washington Press, 1983. Pp.322. £25.50 (hardback); £12.70 (paperback). Communicating to Voters: Television in the First European Parliamentary Elections. Edited by J. G. Blumler. London: Sage, 1983. Pp.iv + 377. £22.95 (hardback). The First European Elections: Neo‐Functionalism and the European Parliament, by Jane P. Sweeney. Epping, Essex: Bowker, 1984. Pp.xvi + 160. £19.75 (paperback). An Atlas of EEC Affairs. By Ray Hudson, David Rhind, and Helen Mounsey. London: Methuen, 1984. Pp. XIV + 158. £14.95 (hardback), £6.50 (paperback). The Common Agricultural Policy: Past, Present and Future. By Brian E. Hill. London: Methuen, 1984. Pp.xvi + 168. £11.95 (hardback), £5.50 (paperback). Fiscal Harmonization in the European Communities. By Donald J. Puchala. London: Frances Pinter, 1984. Pp. XII + 158. £15.00 (hardback). West European Politics Today. By Geoffrey K. Roberts and Jill Lovecy. Manchester University Press, 1984. Pp.262. £4.95 (paperback). British Politics in Perspective. Edited by R.L. Borthwick and J.E. Sfence. Leicester University Press, 1984. Pp.251. £18.00 (hardback); £5.95 (paperback). Class and the British Electorate. By David Robertson. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1984. Pp. xi + 250. £25.00. State and Government in the Federal Republic of Germany: The Executive at Work. (2nd ed.) By Nevil Johnson. Oxford: Pergamon Press, 1983. Pp.vi + 273. $14.50 (hardback); £7.95 (paperback). The West German Social Democrats 1969–81: Profile of a Party in Power. By Gerard Braunthal. Boulder, Colorado Westview Press, 1983. Pp.xvi + 344. £21.75. Contemporary France. Politics and Society since 1945. By D.L. Hanley, A.P. Kerr and N.H. Waites. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, revised edition 1984. Pp. xii + 372. £6.95 (paperback). Governing France: The One and Indivisible Republic, 2nd edition. By J.E.S. Hayward. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1983. Pp.322. £16.50 (hardback); £7.95 (paperback). Southern Europe Transformed: Political and Economic Change in Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain. Edited by Allan Williams. London: Harper & Row, 1984. Pp.295. £6.50 (paperback). Politics and Nationhood: Post‐Revolutionary Portugal. By Thomas C. Bruneau. New York: Praeger, 1984. Pp. 175. $28.95. Defence and Public Opinion. By David Capitanchik and Richard C. Eichenberg. Chatham House Papers No. 20. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1983. Pp.98. £4.95 (paperback). The Green Movement in West Germany. By Elim Papadakis. London: Croom Helm, 1984. Pp.230. £15.95 (hardback). The Communist Party in Spain. By Victor Alba. New Brunswick: Transaction Books, 1983. Pp.x + 475 (incl. index). Communism and Political Change in Spain. By Eusebio Mujal‐León. Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1983. Pp.viii + 274 (incl. index). Spain, the EEC and NATO (Chatham House Papers No. 22). By Paul Preston and Denis Smyth. (The Royal Institute of International Affairs.) London, Boston and Henley: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1984. Pp.vi + 96. £4.95 (paperback). Terrorism in Northern Ireland. By Alfred McClung Lee. New York: General Hall Inc., 1983. Pp.253. £20.65 (hardback); £9.10 (paperback).

Explaining and Predicting Elections: Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty-Three Democracies, by Ian Budge and Dennis J. Farlie

Explaining and Predicting Elections: Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty-Three Democracies, <i>by Ian Budge and Dennis J. Farlie</i>

Book Reviews : Voting and Party Competition, A Theoretical Critique &amp; Synthesis Applied to Sur veys from Ten Democracies. By IAN BUDGE and DENNIS FARLIE. (New York: John Wiley &amp; Sons, 1977. Pp. 546. $39.95.)

Book Reviews : Voting and Party Competition, A Theoretical Critique &amp; Synthesis Applied to Sur veys from Ten Democracies. By IAN BUDGE and DENNIS FARLIE. (New York: John Wiley &amp; Sons, 1977. Pp. 546. $39.95.)

Voting and Party Competition: A Theoretical Critique and Synthesis Applied to Surveys from Ten Democracies. By Ian Budge and Dennis Farlie. (New York: John Wiley, 1977. Pp. x + 555. $36.50.)

Voting and Party Competition: A Theoretical Critique and Synthesis Applied to Surveys from Ten Democracies. By Ian Budge and Dennis Farlie. (New York: John Wiley, 1977. Pp. x + 555. $36.50.) - Volume 73 Issue 1

Ian Budge and Dennis Farlie. Voting and Party Competition: A Theoretical Critique and Synthesis Applied to Surveys From Ten Democracies. Pp. vii, 555. New York: Wiley, 1977. $36.95

Ian Budge and Dennis Farlie. Voting and Party Competition: A Theoretical Critique and Synthesis Applied to Surveys From Ten Democracies. Pp. vii, 555. New York: Wiley, 1977. $36.95

Party Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition. Edited by Ian Budge, Ivor Crewe, and Dennis Farlie. (London: John Wiley, 1976. Pp. 393. $28.00.)

Party Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition. Edited by Ian Budge, Ivor Crewe, and Dennis Farlie. (London: John Wiley, 1976. Pp. 393. $28.00.)

Party Identification and Beyond: Representatives of Voting and Party Competition.Ian Budge , Ivor Crewe , Dennis Farlie

Previous articleNext article No AccessBook ReviewsParty Identification and Beyond: Representatives of Voting and Party Competition. Ian Budge , Ivor Crewe , Dennis Farlie David KnokeDavid Knoke Search for more articles by this author PDFPDF PLUS Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail SectionsMoreDetailsFiguresReferencesCited by American Journal of Sociology Volume 83, Number 3Nov., 1977 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/226622 Views: 3Total views on this site Copyright 1977 The University of ChicagoPDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Bayesian Statistics and Political Recruitment: A Comment

In an important contribution to the improvement of data analytical techniques in political science, Budge and Farlie examine the predictive success of various background characteristics in determining political activism [Ian Budge and Dennis Farlie, ‘Political Recruitment and Dropout’, this Journal, v (1975), 33–68]. The authors use the framework of Bayesian statistics, in which the subjective probability that a given individual will be a political activist is revised in the light of sample information about the background characteristics of activists to give a posterior (i.e. after the information or event) probability that the individual is an activist. Unfortunately, as the authors admit, they do not utilize fully all the components of the Bayesian approach.

DOUGLAS A. HIBBS, Jr., Mass Political Violence: A Ooss-National Causal Analysis. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1973. DAVID O. SEARS and JOHN B. McCONAHAY, The Politics of Violence: The New Urban Blacks and the Watts Riot. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1973. PETER A. BUSCH, Legitimacy and Ethnicity: A Case Study of Singapore. Lexington, Mass.: D.C. Heath and Company, 1974.

DOUGLAS A. HIBBS, Jr., Mass Political Violence: A Ooss-National Causal Analysis. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1973. DAVID O. SEARS and JOHN B. McCONAHAY, The Politics of Violence: The New Urban Blacks and the Watts Riot. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1973. PETER A. BUSCH, Legitimacy and Ethnicity: A Case Study of Singapore. Lexington, Mass.: D.C. Heath and Company, 1974.

The Scientific Status of Political Science: A Note on the Oedipus Effect

Ian Budge 'A Comment on Self-fulfilling and Self-defeating Predictions’, in this Journal, III (1973), 249–50 attempted to show that, despite objections to the contrary, enduring generalizations about political behaviour can be made even while acknowledging the existence of what Sir Karl Popper has called the ‘Oedipus effect’. Interestingly, Budge proceeds, not by questioning whether change in the level of information leads to change in patterns of behaviour, but by showing that under present conditions the amount of information possessed by the vast majority of the population is sufficiently low to preclude marked alterations of behaviour. A critic, however, might point out that Budge's line of argument leaves open the possibility that future changes in the level and accuracy of the information held by the population will lead them to alter their behaviour and that, consequently, the objection has not really been met. The imaginary critic's response highlights the difficulty of dealing with the so-called Oedipus effect when we proceed from the prevailing approach to the study of politics. I wish to indicate why this may be so, and to suggest a possible solution.

SHORTER NOTICES

Politics And Social Work. By Ray Lees.Legal Problems of an Enlarged European Community. Edited by M. E. Bathurst, K. R. Simmonds, N. March Hunnings and Jane Welch.Industrial Relations in The Common Market. By Campbell Balfour.Belfast: Approach to Crisis. By Ian Budge and Cornelius O'Leary.Emile Durkheim, His Life and Work. By Steven Lukes.The European Parliament: Structure, Procedure and Practice. by Sir Barnett Cocks.The Fellow Travellers. by David Caute.Unemployment and Politics. by José Harris.The Politics of Expertise. By Guy Benveniste.Studies in the Growth of Nineteenth‐Century Government. Edited by Gillian Sutherland.Inside View. By Richard Crossman.

Agreement and the Stability of Democracy.Ian Budge

<i>Agreement and the Stability of Democracy.</i>Ian Budge