To the Editor: Older adults suffering from multiple diseases are likely to receive polypharmacy; of people aged 65 and older, 44% of men and 57% of women take five or more drugs, and 12% take 10 or more drugs.1 Such situations may cause more harm than good, with up to 100,000 deaths in the United States annually attributable to medications.2 The motivation of doctors to treat all diagnoses according to guidelines is seen as a major cause of polypharmacy. A guideline recommends three drugs per disease on average. At a mean number of 3.3 diagnoses at age 80 and older,3 this means 10 drugs, and reality is in line with this simple math. Deviation from guidelines becomes unacceptable to doctors as they are educated to adhere to them, yet there is increasing discontent about this situation contributing to the polypharmacy debacle, and the obvious solution—prioritization—inevitably results in deviations from guidelines, maybe even blamed as “ageism.” Here lies the basic conceptual flaw, because there are almost no guidelines for older adults. Of 838 guidelines of the Association of the Scientific Medical Societies in Germany (154 specialty societies as members) database, only three are concerned with this age group (on urinary incontinence, psychosomatic geriatrics, and nutrition). Many guidelines contain sections on special patient groups, such as older adults. In the 2007 European Society of Cardiology/Hypertension Hypertension Guidelines, only 27 lines are devoted to this fast-growing population segment. The paucity of guidelines mainly reflects the lack of data for older adults. They rarely participate in clinical trials,4 and extrapolation from data for younger people is often not justified because biological diversity rises exponentially at higher age. Deviation from nonexisting guidelines (if they are strictly defined as evidence-based recommendations), thus, is no true problem. Exceptions are granted (e.g., for the treatment of arterial hypertension in the very elderly for which the recent Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial (HYVET) generated groundbreaking evidence).5 One could wait for guidelines for very old adults, and scientists and patient interest groups frequently recommend conducting more clinical trials in older adults. In most situations, this could be an eternal endeavor; comorbidity and individual involution status generate millions of combinations of therapeutically relevant conditions. It appears to be impossible to study all of them properly. Thus, there will probably never be appropriate guideline sets for very old adults. The answer has much to do with skills and experiences that have guided medicine in the pre-evidence-based medicine (EBM) era; their intuitive integration was the basis for regarding medicine as an art. Despite the strengths of EBM, it is not applicable to younger patients if their individual morbidity pattern is incompatible with the data available, yet medicine can be successful if evidence is integrated and aligned with experiences and skills. Without evidence-based guidelines for older adults at hand, careful reasoning, patient assessment, treatment observation, and integration, as mentioned above, are the clues to success. Focusing on polypharmacy, these integrative processes should principally lead to drug prioritization as the only answer, although this prioritization needs to be structured and transparent. One of the most prominent prioritization tools is the Beers list.6 Unfortunately, clear proof of its utility in terms of safety and efficacy endpoints is still lacking.7 One reason could be the absence of a positive listing of drugs proven to be beneficial in older adults (see the HYVET example mentioned above). Paradoxically, undertreatment may be an important problem even in polypharmacy situations. Thus, drugs should be classified for negative and positive risk:benefit ratios. The “FORTA (fit forthe aged)” classification8 is the first proposal covering positive and negative aspects of drug appropriateness in older adults. Drugs chronically used in older adults are labeled from A through D, with A-labeled drugs being indispensable and associated with a positive risk:benefit ratio in older adults (e.g., angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors in hypertension treatment), and D-labeled drugs those to avoid, thus similar to those in the Beers list. C-labeled drugs have a questionable risk:benefit profile, to be avoided first in polypharmacy situations. B-labeled drugs are those with some restrictions regarding their risk:benefit ratio, to be used if no A-labeled drugs are available or sufficient. Other proposals for prioritization tools are welcome, but they should take into consideration underused drugs and not only consist of negative listings. These facts and such tools should encourage and even legally empower physicians to deviate from “nonexisting guidelines” for the very old adults. Conflict of Interest: MW was employed by AstraZeneca R&D, Mölndal, as Director of Discovery Medicine (translational medicine) from 2004 to 2006 while on sabbatical leave from his professorship at the University of Heidelberg. After return to this position in January 2007, he received lecturing and consulting fees from Sanofi-Aventis, Novartis, Takeda, Roche, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, Daichii-Sankyo, Lilly, and Novo-Nordisk. Author Contributions: MW is the sole author of this letter. Sponsor's Role: None.
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