This study proposes an empirical model to predict the kinetics of hydrogen-induced cracking (HIC) growth rate in pipeline steels based on experimentally measured hydrogen diffusion parameters and spatial distribution of microstructural features previously identified to have a role on HIC kinetics. In the experimental work, the HIC was induced by electrochemical cathodic charging and the crack growth was monitored by ultrasonic inspection. Optical and scanning electron microscopy were used to determine the spatial distribution parameters of non-metallic inclusions, and the ferrite grain and second phase characteristics. The hydrogen microprint technique used to visualize hydrogen diffusion path in the microstructure and the hydrogen diffusion parameters were determined by hydrogen permeation tests. Results show that NMI shape affects HIC nucleation sites, using student's t-distribution, while ferrite grain characteristics affect HIC growth rates, with X70–2 and X56 steel plates recorded highest HIC growth rate. The Log-Normal distribution model, supported by statistical analysis, effectively predicts HIC growth rates compared with Weibull and Gamma distribution models.
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