Hydroclimatic Changes Research Articles

Considering the autogenic processes of the ecosystem to analyze the sensitivity of peatland carbon accumulation to temperature and hydroclimate change

Peatland carbon accumulation plays a vital role in the global carbon pool and climate change dynamics. However, understanding how peatland carbon accumulation responds to climate change is challenging due to the influence of autogenic processes on carbon dynamics. In this study, we investigate the temporal variations of the Non-autogenic Carbon Accumulation Rate (NCAR) over approximately 1500 years in a peatland located in the Amur River Basin. To remove the effects of autogenic processes, we use conceptual models of peat development and employ plant macrofossils to identify vegetation changes, particularly the fen-bog phase transition. We apply different exponential decay models to capture autogenic processes in the fen and bog phases of the peatland. Subsequently, we analyze the sensitivity of peatland carbon accumulation to temperature and hydroclimate changes in the fen and bog phases, respectively. Our findings show that in the fen phase, higher temperature increases plant litter decomposition more than the plant net primary productivity (NPP) when water content is high, leading to lower NCAR. However, as temperature rises and water content is no longer a limiting factor, plant NPP surpasses plant litter decomposition, resulting in high NCAR. In the bog phase, we find no significant correlation between NCAR and precipitation but observe a positive relationship between NCAR and temperature. These results enhance our understanding of the connections between temperature, moisture, and peatland carbon accumulation by considering the influence of autogenic processes.

A North–South Dipole Response of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone During the Mid‐Holocene

AbstractThe South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) profoundly modulates precipitation from central to southeastern Brazil in the present‐day climate. However, the understanding of its long‐term behavior responding to various climate forcings remains limited. Here, we use an isotope‐enabled atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM4.6) to examine the precipitation response of the SACZ during the mid‐Holocene about six thousand years ago. The model simulates a northward intensification of the SACZ in the mid‐Holocene, resulting in a dipole anomaly pattern relative to today's climate. The mid‐Holocene precipitation increased along the northern margin of the SACZ due to the strengthening of easterly winds across the tropical Atlantic, while an eastward deflection of the South American low‐level jet reduced moisture transport to southern Brazil, resulting in reduced precipitation along the southern margins of the SACZ. The north–south dipole response in precipitation is consistent with the mid‐Holocene hydroclimate change observed in proxy records from the region.

An interdisciplinary model chain quantifies the footprint of global change on reservoir sedimentation

Global change alters hydro-climatic conditions, affects land use, and contributes to more frequent droughts and floods. Large artificial reservoirs may effectively alleviate hydro-climatic extremes, but their storage capacities are threatened by sedimentation processes, which in turn are exacerbated by land use change. Envisioning strategies for sustainable reservoir management requires interdisciplinary model chains to emulate key processes driving sedimentation under global change scenarios. Therefore, we introduce a model chain for the long-term prediction of complex three-dimensional (3d) reservoir sedimentation considering concurrent catchment, hydro-climatic, and land-use conditions. Applied to a mountainous Mediterranean catchment, the model chain predicts increased sediment production and decreased discharge for high and medium emission pathways. Increased winter precipitation, accompanied by a transition from snowfall to rainfall, is projected to aggravate reduced summer precipitation, emphasizing a growing need for reservoirs. Additionally, higher winter precipitation proliferates sediment production and reservoir sedimentation. Land use change can outweigh the increased reservoir sedimentation originating from hydro-climatic change, which highlights the significance of localized actions to reduce sediment production. Finally, a 3d hydro-morphodynamic model provides insights into interactions between global change and reservoir sedimentation with spatially explicit information on future sedimentation patterns facilitating the implementation of management strategies.

North Atlantic meltwater during Heinrich Stadial 1 drives wetter climate with more atmospheric rivers in western North America.

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) bring concentrated rainfall and flooding to the western United States (US) and are hypothesized to have supported sustained hydroclimatic changes in the past. However, their ephemeral nature makes it challenging to document ARs in climate models and estimate their contribution to hydroclimate changes recorded by time-averaged paleoclimate archives. We present new climate model simulations of Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1; 16,000 years before the present), an interval characterized by widespread wetness in the western US, that demonstrate increased AR frequency and winter precipitation sourced from the southeastern North Pacific. These changes are amplified with freshwater fluxes into the North Atlantic, indicating that North Atlantic cooling associated with weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key driver of HS1 climate in this region. As recent observations suggest potential weakening of AMOC, our identified connection between North Atlantic climate and northeast Pacific AR activity has implications for future western US hydroclimate.

Model and proxy evidence for coordinated changes in the hydroclimate of distant regions over the Last Millennium

Abstract. The Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA; ca. 950–1250 CE) and the Little Ice Age (LIA; ca. 1450–1850 CE) were periods generally characterized by respectively higher and lower temperatures in many regions. However, they have also been associated with drier and wetter conditions in areas around the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the Asian Monsoon region and in areas impacted by large-scale climatic modes like the Northern Annular Mode and Southern Annular Mode (NAM and SAM respectively). To analyze coordinated changes in large-scale hydroclimate patterns and whether similar changes also extend to other periods of the Last Millennium (LM) outside the MCA and the LIA, reconstruction-based products have been analyzed. This includes the collection of tree-ring-based drought atlases (DAs), the Paleo Hydrodynamics Data Assimilation product (PHYDA) and the Last Millennium Reanalysis (LMR). These analyses have shown coherent changes in the hydroclimate of tropical and extratropical regions, such as northern and central South America, East Africa, western North America, western Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and the Indo-Pacific, during the MCA, the LIA and other periods of the LM. Comparisons with model simulations from the Community Earth System Model – Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM-LME) and phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6) show that both external forcing and internal variability contributed to these changes, with the contribution of internal variability being particularly important in the Indo-Pacific basin and that of external forcing in the Atlantic basin. These results may help to identify not only those areas showing coordinated changes, but also those regions more impacted by the internal variability, where forced model simulations would not be expected to successfully reproduce the evolution of past actual hydroclimate changes.

Holocene sedimentary history of the Silala River (Antofagasta Region, Chile)

AbstractAssessing past and ongoing climate change in the central Andes is critical for understanding the impact of future environmental changes under anthropogenic warming. Emerging from springs located in Bolivia and flowing into northern Chile's Atacama Desert, the Silala River contains inset, terraced wetland (or in‐stream) deposits that provide a unique opportunity to study the impact of past hydroclimate change in a sensitive groundwater system with a small catchment area. After an initial (late Pleistocene) period of deep incision to form the present ravine, in‐stream wetland fine‐grained deposits formed during three phases of aggradation dated to >8.5–1.9 ka (Unit 1), >0.65–0.2 ka (Unit 2), and <0.2 ka to the recent 20th century (Unit 4). These phases of accumulation were coeval with periods of well‐dated records of elevated groundwater tables throughout northern Chile. Phases of abrupt downcutting occurred due to a lowering of the water table after 1.9 ka and before 0.2 ka. The cycle of erosion and deposition clearly continues to the present as evinced by the very recent (21st century) incision of Unit 4 (>1.5 m in some areas) throughout sectors of the Silala where dried‐out standing vegetation can be seen. Such recent incision may be due to multiple different factors, including recent climate change coupled with intense extraction of groundwater resources by the copper mining industry.This article is categorized under: Human Water > Water Governance Science of Water > Hydrological Processes Science of Water > Water and Environmental Change

Holocene hydroclimate and dust activity, as reconstructed from the sediments of Lake Bayanchagan, on the northern margin of the East Asian summer monsoon

Abstract The sediments of closed-basin lakes on the margin of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) are valuable archives of past changes in hydroclimate and dust activity and thus potentially can help us to understand future climate changes. We present high-resolution, well-dated records of the grain size and carbonate mineralogy from Lake Bayanchagan, northern China, spanning the last 11.5 ka. Grain-size endmember (EM) analysis distinguished four EMs, each linked to different sediment transport processes. EM1 (0.4–0.6 μm) and EM3 (14–102 μm) reflect the strength of regional dust activity, whereas EM2 (1.3–31 μm) represents variations in local hydrodynamic conditions related to lake-level changes and EM4 (68–500 μm) is associated with local dust activity. Our results show that a high lake level and weakened dust activity occurred during 10–5.8 ka, as indicated by increased EM2 and decreased EM3, respectively. After 5.8 ka, EM2 decreased as the three other EMs increased, and dolomite appeared in the sediments while calcite decreased—indicating both a decline in lake level and strengthened dust activity. The fluctuations in lake level and dust activity are in good agreement with precipitation variations reconstructed from other records, which are in turn correlated to movement of the EASM rainfall belt, in response to temperature changes.

Climate and atmospheric circulation during the Early and Mid‐Holocene inferred from lake‐carbonate oxygen‐isotope records from western Ireland

ABSTRACTThe Early to Mid‐Holocene experienced marked climate change over the northern hemisphere mid‐latitudes in response to changing insolation and declining ice volume. Oxygen isotopes from lake sediments provide a valuable climate proxy, encoding information regarding temperature, hydroclimate and moisture source. We present oxygen‐isotope records from two lakes in western Ireland that are strongly influenced by the North Atlantic. Excellent replication between the records suggests they reflect regional, not local, influences. Carbonate oxygen‐isotope values peaked at the start of the Holocene, between 11.2 and 11.1 cal ka bp, and then decreased markedly until 6 cal ka bp at both sites. Palaeoecological evidence supports only modest change in temperature or hydroclimate during this interval and we therefore explain the decrease primarily by a reduction in the oxygen‐isotope composition of precipitation (δ18Oppt). We show a similar decrease in δ18O values in a forward model of carbonate isotopes between 12–11 and 6–5 cal ka bp. However, the inferred reduction in δ18Oppt between the Early and Mid‐Holocene in the model is mainly linked to a decrease in the δ18O of the ocean source water from ice sheet melting whereas the lake carbonate isotope records are more consistent with changes in the transport pathway of moisture associated with atmospheric circulation change as the dominant cause.

Development of a coupled model to simulate and assess arsenic contamination and impact factors in the Jinsha River Basin, China

With the increasing severity of arsenic (As) pollution, quantifying the environmental behavior of pollutant based on numerical model has become an important approach to determine the potential impacts and finalize the precise control strategies. Taking the industrial-intensive Jinsha River Basin as typical area, a two-dimensional hydrodynamic water quality model coupled with Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was developed to accurately simulate the watershed-scale distribution and transport of As in the terrestrial and aquatic environment at high spatial and temporal resolution. The effects of hydro-climate change, hydropower station construction and non-point source emissions on As were quantified based on the coupled model. The result indicated that higher As concentration areas mainly centralized in urban districts and concentration slowly decreased from upstream to downstream. Due to the enhanced rainfall, the As concentration was significantly higher during the rainy season than the dry season. Hydro-climate change and the construction of hydropower station not only affected the dissolved As concentration, but also affected the adsorption and desorption of As in sediment. Furthermore, As concentration increased with the input of non-point source pollution, with the maximum increase about 30%, resulting that non-point sources contributed important pollutant impacts to waterways. The coupled model used in pollutant behavior analysis is general with high potential application to predict and mitigate water pollution.

Temporal geomorphic modifications and climate change impacts on the lower course of the São Francisco River, Brazil

Monitoring human intervention and understanding temporal geomorphic modifications in hydrographic basins require continuous data collection. This study aimed to investigate the geomorphological and hydroclimatic changes in the lower course of the São Francisco River, Brazil from 1986 to 2020, utilizing Cloud-based satellite image processing techniques for mapping and identifying flooded areas through the calculation of Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI). The findings reveal a significant increase in sedimented areas within the river channel, occupying 10.64 km2 in 2020, which represents a 22% increment compared to 1986. The river has experienced a territorial reduction of approximately 20%, with decreased Modified Normalized Difference Water Index values indicating shallowing due to possible sediment contributions. Rainfall and flow data exhibited a positive correlation with Modified Normalized Difference Water Index and a negative correlation with sedimentation values, indicating their influence on the river's geomorphology. Furthermore, the Alagoas bank displayed 96 transects, with an average penetration of 86.36 m into the river for each transect, highlighting hydrological and morphological changes. Overall, this study emphasizes the vulnerability of the São Francisco River.

Hydroclimatic Change in Turpan Basin under Climate Change

The Turpan basin is one of the most arid and water-insecure regions in China. Turpan Basin has a continental desert climate as it is located in central Eurasia and surrounded by mountains on all sides, with the lowest elevation of 154.5 m below sea level. Its rivers and water availability are mainly supplied by mountain snowmelt through surface streams and the Karez system. To assess the impact of climate change on streamflow in the Turpan basin, this study examined the long-term trends and change points of hydro-meteorological variables and explored the plausible correlation between them at annual and seasonal scales. A set of non-parametric statistical tests was applied to analyze the trend, its magnitude, and the change point of the hydro-meteorological variables from 1959 to 2012 in the Turpan basin. Results showed that the annual mean temperature had a significant increasing trend with an average warming rate of 0.26 °C/decade. Annual precipitation did not show a consistent upward or downward trend across the basin; however, there was a significant increase in winter precipitation. The increasing rates of streamflow at Alagou and Meiyaogou hydrological stations were the highest in the summer (0.42 and 0.18 m3/s per decade, respectively), which might increase the risk of flooding. The change points of various meteorological variables and streamflow can be generally found in the 1980s, in which temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and streamflow had abrupt changes concurrently in 1986 and had respectively increased by 7.2, 41.3, 5.7, and 18.3% after 1986. In general, the strength of the relationship between annual streamflow and precipitation (0.34) was greater than that between streamflow and temperature (0.16). The significant increase in temperature and agriculture in the basin in recent decades indicates the importance of reducing unnecessary soil evaporation in agriculture to preserve water resources under climate change and using innovative technology to preserve soil quality under increasing evapotranspiration and irrigation. This study provided valuable information for understanding the changing properties of the streamflow in the basin and insights for better-integrated water resources management planning that focuses on mitigating flood disasters and soil degradation and improving irrigation efficiency.

A Blue Water Scarcity‐Based Method for Hydrologically Sustainable Agricultural Expansion Design

AbstractSustainable development and intergenerational responsibility entail the prudent use of natural resources. Water availability can constrain agriculture, a key sector in terms of resources consumed and goods and services provided. The sustainability of its intensification and expansion has been studied, often with a particular focus on water. Agricultural strategies have been based on local water availability, and some downstream effects have been evaluated. However, a method to identify and quantify hydrologically sustainable land use and crop use changes directly accounting for downstream effects is yet to be defined. We propose a framework to design land‐use and crop‐use changes preventing local and downstream effects. We apply it on of coffee plantations expansion in Kenya, a sector that is growing and planned to grow, given its agricultural, economic and social development potential, not without risks associated to hydroclimatic change. We use crop‐ and land‐use specific hydrological modeling to simulate water scarcity impacts of coffee plantation expansion onto available suitable areas, and use the results to iteratively identify and filter out expansion areas increasing water scarcity locally or downstream. This assessment proves effective in preserving water availability, identifying 10% of the suitable and available areas as hydrologically sustainable. Total water footprints are similar in these expansion areas and in currently used areas, but expansion areas have higher precipitation‐generated water availability. The proposed methodology locates and quantifies areas in a physically robust way, maintaining flexibility to the selected expansion scenario. Thus, the methodology is replicable for planning hydrologically agricultural development.

Low‐Latitude Forcing and High‐Latitude Response of the South Asian Summer Monsoon Through the Pliocene

AbstractPrecipitation carried by the Asian summer monsoon influences the livelihoods of millions of people, and there has been a great deal of work trying to reveal the driving mechanisms behind past changes. Compared to the widely studied East Asian summer monsoon, the behavior of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) in the Pliocene is still not well known. Here, we present new high‐resolution geochemical (Rb/Sr and Ti) data from the lacustrine Yuanmou Basin (Southwest China) spanning the Pliocene to early Pleistocene (4.30–2.0 Ma) that permit detailed analysis of hydroclimate changes related to orbital‐scale SASM variability. We find a clear weakening of the SASM at 2.9–2.75 Ma, which may be related to warming in the high‐latitude southern hemisphere and a weakening of atmospheric circulation at low latitudes over the Indian Ocean. Our results highlight that 405‐ and 100‐Kyr eccentricity forcing had a dominant role in driving climate change in the Yuanmou Basin during the Pliocene to early Pleistocene. Based on analysis of our data from the Yuanmou Basin, coupled with marine data from the Arabian Sea, we suggest that orbital‐scale SASM variability during the Pliocene was mainly controlled by changes in low‐latitude insolation. In addition, oscillations of the West Antarctic ice sheet after ∼3.5 Ma also significantly influenced the evolution of the SASM on orbital time scales.

Mid-to-late Holocene climate variability in coastal East Asia and its impact on ancient Korean societies

The sustainability of human societies is contingent upon our ability to accurately predict the effects of future climate change on the global environment and humanity. Wise responses to forthcoming environmental alterations require extensive knowledge from historical precedents. However, in coastal East Asia, a region with a long history of agriculture, it is challenging to obtain paleoenvironmental proxy data without anthropogenic disturbances that can be used to assess the impact of late Holocene climate change on local communities. This study introduces a high-resolution multi-proxy sedimentary record from an isolated crater in Jeju Island, Korea, to elucidate the mechanisms underlying mid-to-late Holocene climate change and its impacts on ancient societies. Our findings suggest that hydroclimate changes were predominantly governed by sea surface temperature fluctuations in the western tropical Pacific, with low-frequency variability in solar activity and a decrease in summer insolation identified as primary drivers of temperature change. Moreover, ancient societies on the Korean peninsula were significantly affected by recurring cooling events, including the 2.8 ka event, 2.3 ka event, Late Antique Little Ice Age, maunder minimum, and others.

Early Holocene ice on the Begguya plateau (Mt. Hunter, Alaska) revealed by ice core 14C age constraints

Abstract. Investigating North Pacific climate variability during warm intervals prior to the Common Era can improve our understanding of the behavior of ocean–atmosphere teleconnections between low latitudes and the Arctic under future warming scenarios. However, most of the existing ice core records from the Alaskan and Yukon region only allow access to climate information covering the last few centuries. Here we present a surface-to-bedrock age scale for a 210 m long ice core recovered in 2013 from the summit plateau of Begguya (Mt. Hunter; Denali National Park, Central Alaska). Combining dating by annual layer counting with absolute dates from micro-radiocarbon dating, a continuous chronology for the entire ice core archive was established using an ice flow model. Calibrated 14C ages from the deepest section (209.1 m, 7.7 to 9.0 ka cal BP) indicate that basal ice on Begguya is at least of early Holocene origin. A series of samples from a shallower depth interval (199.8 to 206.6 m) were dated with near-uniform 14C ages (3 to 5 ka cal BP). Our results suggest this may be related to an increase in annual net snow accumulation rates over this period following the Northern Hemisphere Holocene Climate Optimum (around 8 to 5 kyr BP). With absolute dates constraining the timescale for the last >8 kyr BP, this paleo-archive will allow future investigations of Holocene climate and the regional evolution of spatial and temporal changes in atmospheric circulation and hydroclimate in the North Pacific.

Holocene humid periods of the Levant – evidence from Dead Sea lake-levels

Water availability in the Levant is predicted to decline due to global warming in the upcoming decades and is expected to substantially impact the region. Determining the long-term natural rainfall variability in this region is essential for understanding the regional hydroclimatic response to external climate forcings and for contextualizing future hydroclimate changes. The Dead Sea (DS), located in the southern Levant, is a closed-basin lake whose size varies as a function of water availability. Reconstructing DS lake-level variations through time provides a quantitative measure of the natural hydroclimate variability and can inform on the local hydroclimate response to changes in global climate. Here, we constructed an updated lake-level history of the Holocene DS by: 1) studying lake high-stands derived from a series of new cores collected in the DS southern basin, 2) re-dating of the two major Holocene high-stand exposures, and 3) compiling all previously published ages of Holocene DS lake-level markers (n = 296 radiocarbon ages). The results show that the early (10–6.1 kyr cal BP) and late Holocene (3.6–0 kyr cal BP) in the DS were predominantly wet albeit punctuated by dry intervals, whereas the middle Holocene (6.1–3.6 kyr cal BP) was most likely relatively dry. This pattern of two Holocene humid intervals is also evident in distillation records derived from Levant speleothem caves (which represent the integrated magnitude of rainout from the vapor source to the caves), indicating that rainfall intensity and total water availability were correlated throughout the Holocene. These two humid intervals occurred during high and low summer insolation conditions, suggesting that they were modulated by different climatic mechanisms. The predicted future drying in the Levant is of similar magnitude to the natural hydroclimate variability and thus, it is crucial to assess whether the anthropogenic drying is in- or out-of phase with the natural climate variability.

Tracing last millennium cycles of Río de la Plata Plume Water input into the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean

Recent studies established a strong connection between instrumental hydroclimatic changes in the Río de la Plata (RdlP) watershed and the influx of continental terrigenous material and productivity changes. This correspondence was further validated for the last millennium. Here, we identified centennial, multi-decadal, and interannual changes in diatom composition, as a proxy for La Plata Plume Water (PPW) discharge into the inner shelf. Core GeoB13813-4 diatom data were revisited, and grouped into freshwater, marine, and brackish categories for multivariate, timeseries, and correlation analyses. Such record exhibits a noteworthy resemblance to paleoclimatic and paleoceanographic variations throughout the past millennium. A Detrended Correspondence Analysis (DCA) on the dominant taxa, and Axis-1 revealed a salinity gradient over the past millennium. DCA1-scores exhibited significant correlation with reconstructions of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) over the same period.By plotting DCA1-scores, we inferred time intervals with varying levels of PPW influence. During ∼936–1500 CE, the PPW influence was weak, as the record was dominated by marine taxa, indicating lateral transport from the Brazilian upwelled water and a stronger influence of the Subtropical Shelf Water. After 1500 CE, a well-developed plume was inferred, with the highest influence occurring after 1800 CE, as evidenced by an increased presence of freshwater/brackish taxa. This increased PPW influence after 1500 CE can be attributed to the onset of more humid conditions and associated increased river discharge, particularly under El Niño conditions, with further ENSO intensification after 1800 CE. We identified significant centennial (250 years) and multidecadal cycles (25–50 years) in diatom community composition. These cycles are related to solar forcing, PDO, and AMO. During the 20th Century, cycles of 2 to 7 years were associated with interannual ENSO variability, while 40-year cycles were linked to AMO and PDO variability.

A review of the effects of solar radiation management on hydrological extremes

Solar radiation management (SRM) is one of the proposed climate mitigation strategies to cool the planet rapidly. The injection of aerosol particles into the stratosphere for reflecting solar radiation back to the space is one of the SRM methods that are widely discussed. Theoretically, SRM might lower the earth’s temperature within a few months of deployment, reducing the impacts of climate change on natural disasters, i.e., floods and drought, which lead to huge losses in economic and human life. Solar radiation variability was identified to be a substantial factor that induced the hydrological changes, particularly in precipitation extreme. The effects of SRM on hydrological cycles, however, fluctuate depending on the location and environment. Hence, this article reviews the past SRM studies that related to the analysis of the hydrological cycle changes. A total of 17 articles were identified and collected from the Web of Science and Scopus databases. The results show that there have been an increasing number of articles in recent years studying the effects of SRM on the hydro-climatic changes. The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) and the Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS) are two commonly used SRM-based general circulation models. In general, SRM is projected to slow down the global hydrological cycle. In comparison to the RCP 8.5 scenario, SRM generally tends to lower flood risk in many parts of the world. However, the majority of SRM research in hydrology has been conducted on a global scale, which results in a lack of robust basin-scale assessment needed for flood control policy formulation. In addition, more SRM climate models and scenario experiments should be considered to minimize the uncertainty in the framework for hydro-climatic modelling framework.

Savanna/rainforest dynamics and hydroclimate changes in northern boundary of tropical Asia over the past 150 kyrs

Savanna/rainforest dynamics and hydroclimate changes in northern boundary of tropical Asia over the past 150 kyrs

Rapid hydroclimate fluctuation in eastern China coastal plain restrain Neolithic cultures development: A mineral magnetic study

The Yaojiang Valley (YJV) on the southern Hangzhou Bay Plain, eastern China, was home to Neolithic cultures that date back to 8 ka. Reconstructions of ancient human cultures on the coastal plain in response to sea-level and hydroclimate changes have been well documented. However, centennial-resolution geological records are still lacking. Here, we present a combined approach of environmental (mineral) magnetism, geochemistry and diffuse reflectance spectroscopy (DRS) on a sediment core (YJ1503) in YJV to decipher the centennial hydroclimate oscillations of the coastal plain since early Holocene. Our results show that ferrimagnetic greigite and paramagnetic pyrite bearing layers correspond to periods of reducing condition that were caused by a higher water table while the presence of antiferromagnetic hematite/goethite corresponds to drier periods favorable for soil formation. Centennial scale fluctuations of magnetic mineralogy around the 8.2 ka cooling event and 7.5–6.6 cal ka BP reflect frequent and unstable environments, with limited Neolithic occupation. A strong drought event occurred around 6.0 cal ka BP, which was preceded by an extensive marine inundation event in the study area. This inundation event interrupted rice farming. Our study indicates that magnetic mineralogy can be used to reconstruct high-resolution hydrological processes in coastal plain and floodplain environments. These results are important to understand hydroclimate variation and Neolithic civilization response in environmentally sensitive areas.