Abstract Background High–sensitivity (hs) assays allow to measure cardiac troponin T and I (cTnT/I) even in healthy individuals. The higher hs–cTn values, the higher the ongoing cardiomyocyte damage, and then reasonably the risk of developing symptomatic cardiac disease. Methods We retrieved all studies evaluating the prognostic value of hs–cTnT or I in the general population. We calculated pooled hazard ratio (HR) values for all–cause and cardiovascular death, cardiovascular events and heart failure (HF) hospitalization. Results We included 24 studies for a total of 203,202 subjects; 11 studies assessed hs–cTnT and 14 hs–cTnI. One standard deviation (SD) increase in baseline hs–cTn was associated with a 23% higher risk of all–cause death (HR 1.226, 95% CI 1.083–1.388, p < 0.001, I2=88.5%); all these studies measured hs–cTnI. In an exploratory analysis on 3 studies with 25,760 subjects, hs–cTn predicted cardiovascular death (HR 1.822, 95% CI 1.241–2.674, p = 0.002, I2=87.2%). After synthesizing 9 studies with 58,565 subjects, hs–cTn predicted cardiovascular events (HR 1.328, 95% CI 1.167–1.513, p < 0.001, I2=93.8%). Both hs–cTnT (HR 1.627, 95% CI 1.145–2.311, p < 0.001) and hs–cTnI (HR 1.260, 95% CI 1.115–1.423, p < 0.001; p for interaction <0.001). Furthermore, in 10 studies with 61,467 subjects, hs–cTn predicted HF hospitalization (HR 1.493, 95% CI 1.368–1.630, p < 0.001, I2=76.6%). Both hs–cTnT (HR 1.566, 95% CI 1.303–1.883, p < 0.001) and hs–cTnI (HR 1.467, 95% CI 1.321–1.628, p < 0.001) were associated with HF hospitalization (p for interaction <0.001). Conclusions Hs–cTn values hold strong prognostic value in subjects from the general population, predicting the risk of all–cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular events, and HF hospitalization.
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